RAND History Project Interview: Robert Specht 6/29/1989
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Owen Graduate School of Management
Owen Graduate School of Management Vanderbilt University 2013/2014 Archived 2013/2014 Owen Graduate School of Management Catalog Containing general information and courses of study for the 2013/2014 session corrected to 20 August 2013 Nashville The university reserves the right, through its established procedures, to modify the requirements for admission and graduation and to change other rules, regulations, and provisions, including those stated in this bulletin and other publications, and to refuse admission to any student, or to require the with- drawal of a student if it is determined to be in the interest of the student or the university. All students, full time or part time, who are enrolled in Vanderbilt courses are subject to the same policies. Policies concerning noncurricular matters and concerning withdrawal for medical or emotional reasons can be found in the Student Handbook, which is on the Vanderbilt website at vanderbilt.edu/student_handbook. Archived 2013/2014 NONDISCRIMINATION STATEMENT In compliance with federal law, including the provisions of Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, Title IX of the Education Amendment of 1972, Sections 503 and 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973,Owen the Americans Graduate with Disabilities Act (ADA) School of 1990, the ADA of Amendments Act of 2008, Executive Order 11246, the Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act, as amended, and the Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2008, Vanderbilt University does not discriminate againstManagement individuals on the basis of their race, Catalog sex, religion, color, national or ethnic origin, age, disability, military service, or genetic information in its administration of educational policies, programs, or activities; admissions policies; scholarship and loan programs; athletic or other university-administered programs; or employment. -
Kahn Used the Metaphor of an 'Escalation Ladder'
Preventing Nuclear Use: Internationally-Controlled Theater Missile Defenses Among Non- Super-Arsenal States1 Carolyn C. James, PhD University of Missouri, Columbia INTRODUCTION The current debates over missile defenses in the United States all have a common aspect - the systems are meant to provide a defense for US territory, allies, or troops abroad.2 This article proposes a different view with significant security potential. Specifically, theater missile defenses (TMD) should be considered as an international tool to prevent nuclear weapons use among proliferated states.3 Internationally-controlled TMD placed at potential flash points could prevent conflicts and crises from escalating to nuclear levels. These areas include borders with so-called “rogue” states, such as North Korea, Iran and Iraq, all of whom have seemingly aggressive ballistic missile programs and are embroiled in protracted conflicts with their neighbors.4 Similar to the goal of peacekeeping, reducing and limiting conflict in regions such as the Middle East clearly is in the US national interest. How, then, can nuclear use be prevented? Currently, there are seven declared nuclear weapon states (US, Russia, China, Great Britain, France, Pakistan, India), one non-declared “opaque” nuclear weapon state (Israel), and several states with known or suspected nuclear aspirations (including Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Libya and Taiwan). Two of these, the US and Russia, have established a legacy of Cold War deterrence policies. Nuclear deterrence, in particular, has been credited with maintaining crisis stability during those years.5 Today, a major debate in the field of security studies surrounds the question: Does nuclear deterrence really work? A common failure in most of these discussions about successful deterrence and avoiding nuclear use is the lack of distinction among nuclear force levels.6 The debate tends to be clarified by asking whether it was nuclear weapons, or mutual assured destruction (MAD), that kept the Cold War cold. -
(O) 617-794-9560 (M) [email protected]
Curriculum Vitae - Thomas W. Concannon, Ph.D. Page 1 of 17 THOMAS W. CONCANNON, PH.D. 20 Park Plaza, Suite 920, The RAND Corporation, Boston, MA 02116 617-338-2059 x8615 (o) 617-794-9560 (m) [email protected] CURRICULUM VITAE February 2021 ACADEMIC AND PROFESSIONAL APPOINTMENTS AND ACTIVITIES APPOINTMENTS 2012-present Senior Policy Researcher, The RAND Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts 2006-present Assistant Professor, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston Massachusetts 2015-present Co-Director, Stakeholder and Community Engagement Programs, Tufts Clinical and Translational Sciences Institute Boston, Massachusetts 2012-2017 Associate Director, Comparative Effectiveness Research Programs, Tufts Clinical and Translational Sciences Institute Boston, Massachusetts 2009-2010 Visiting Professor, Institute for Social Research, School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California Teaching: Comparative effectiveness research 2004-2006 Pre-Doctoral Fellow, Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies, Tufts-New England Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, 2002-2004 Research Analyst, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care, Dept. of Ambulatory Care and Prevention, Boston, Massachusetts. 1996-2001 Staff Consultant, John Snow, Inc., Boston, Massachusetts. 1992-1996 Client Services Director, North Shore AIDS Health Project, Gloucester, Massachusetts. TRAINING 2006 Doctor of Philosophy in Health Policy. Dissertation: A Cost and Outcomes Analysis of Emergency Transport, Inter-Hospital Transfer and Hospital Expansion in Cardiac Care Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 1991 Master of Arts in Political Science. Concentration: political theory McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada 1988 International Study in history and philosophy Universität Freiburg, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany 1988 Bachelor of Arts in Political Science, cum laude. Concentration: political theory University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA Curriculum Vitae - Thomas W. -
Omnicide “Here Is What We Now Know: the United States and Russia Each Have an Actual Doomsday Machine.”
Omnicide “Here is what we now know: the United States and Russia each have an actual Doomsday Machine.” By Daniel Ellsberg From The Doomsday Machine, published by Bloomsbury. The book is an account of America’s nuclear program in the 1960s drawn from Ellsberg’s experience as a consultant to the Department of Defense and the White House, drafting Secretary Robert McNamara’s plans for nuclear war. Ellsberg is the author of Secrets, a book about his experiences leaking the Pentagon Papers. At the conclusion of his 1964 film, Dr. Strangelove, Stanley Kubrick introduced the concept of a “Doomsday Machine”—designed by the Soviet Union to deter nuclear attack against the country by automating the destruction of all human life as a response to such an attack. The movie’s Russian leader had installed the system before revealing it to the world, however, and it was now being triggered by a single nuclear explosion from an American B-52 sent off by a rogue commander without presidential authorization. Kubrick had borrowed the name and the concept of the Doomsday machine from my former colleague Herman Kahn, a Rand physicist with whom he had discussed it. In his 1960 book On Thermonuclear War, Kahn wrote that he would be able to design such a device. It could be produced within ten years and would be relatively cheap— since it could be placed in one’s own country or in the ocean. It would not depend on sending warheads halfway around the world. But, he said, the machine was obviously undesirable. It would be too difficult to control— too inflexible and automatic—and its failure “kills too many people”— everyone, in fact, an outcome that the philosopher John Somerville later termed “omnicide.” Kahn was sure in 1961 that no such system had been built, nor would it be, by either the United States or the Soviet Union. -
1 the Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training Foreign Affairs
The Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training Foreign Affairs Oral History Project LAURENCE H. SILBERMAN Interviewed by: Charles Stuart Kennedy Initial interview date: September 23, 1998 Copyright 2000 ADST TABLE OF CONTENTS Background Born and raised in Pennsylvania and New Jersey Dartmouth College; Harvard Law School World War II influence McCarthy and communism President Eisenhower’s anti-McCarthy speech U.S. Army reserve Derek Bok influence Harvard politics Political views Hawaii - Private Law Practice 1961-1967 Labor law Union organizations Harry Bridges Senator Hiram Fong Republican Party Vietnam War sentiment Department of Labor - NLRB 1967-1969 Appellate lawyer Solicitor of Labor (General Counsel) Labor management affairs Department of Labor - Under Secretary 1970-1973 Nixon administration Secretary of Labor George Shultz Kissinger-Shultz comparison Nixon involvement Ehrlichman White House influence Unions’ political orientation George McGovern 1 Deputy Attorney General 1973-1975 Saturday Night Massacre Archibald Cox Yugoslavia - Ambassador 1975-1977 Recalling 1969-1970 ILO Geneva Conference U.S. unions anti-communism George Meany Lane Kirkland “Towards Presidential Control of the State Department” “Europe’s Fiddler on the Roof” Tito and tactics Soviet-West power struggle World War II fears Internal debate on Yugoslavia Kissinger views of USSR future U.S. ambassador’s 1974-1975 meeting Sonnenfeldt Doctrine Foreign Service officer (FSO) attitude towards political appointees Mack Toon Embassy friction DCM problems CODELs Understanding -
RAND Corporation, RR-708-DHHS, 2014
C O R P O R A T I O N The Effect of Eliminating the Affordable Care Act’s Tax Credits in Federally Facilitated Marketplaces Evan Saltzman, Christine Eibner ince its passage in 2010, the Patient Protection Key findings and Affordable Care Act (ACA) (Pub. L. 111- • Enrollment in the ACA-compliant individual S148, 2010) has sustained numerous legal chal- market, including plans sold in the market- lenges. Most notably, in Nat. Fedn. of Indep. Business places and those sold outside of the market- v. Sebelius (132 S. Ct. 2566, 2012), the U.S. Supreme places that comply with ACA regulations, Court upheld the individual-responsibility require- would decline by 9.6 million, or 70 percent, in ment to purchase health insurance under the federal federally facilitated marketplace (FFM) states. government’s taxing authority, but it made Medicaid • Unsubsidized premiums in the ACA-compliant expansion voluntary for states. The latest challenges individual market would increase 47 percent to the ACA focus on whether residents of states that in FFM states. This corresponds to a $1,610 have not established their own insurance exchanges are annual increase for a 40-year-old nonsmoker eligible for subsidies under 26 U.S.C. § 36B. Although purchasing a silver plan. 16 states1 and the District of Columbia have established their own exchanges, 34 states have not, instead defer- ring to the federal government to set up exchanges in their states. In its final rule, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) interpreted the provision as allowing tax credits to be made available for eligible people purchasing health insurance in state- based marketplaces (SBMs) or federally facilitated marketplaces (FFMs) (45 C.F.R. -
Multipliers and the Lechatelier Principle by Paul Milgrom January 2005
Multipliers and the LeChatelier Principle by Paul Milgrom January 2005 1. Introduction Those studying modern economies often puzzle about how small causes are amplified to cause disproportionately large effects. A leading example that emerged even before Samuelson began his professional career is the Keynesian multiplier, according to which a small increase in government spending can have a much larger effect on economic output. Before Samuelson’s LeChatelier principle, however, and the subsequent research that it inspired, the ways that multipliers arise in the economy had remained obscure. In Samuelson’s original formulation, the LeChatelier principle is a theorem of demand theory. It holds that, under certain conditions, fixing a consumer’s consumption of a good X reduces the elasticity of the consumer’s compensated demand for any other good Y. If there are multiple other goods, X1 through XN, then fixing each additional good further reduces the elasticity. When this conclusion applies, it can be significant both for economic policy and for guiding empirical work. On the policy side, for example, the principle tells us that in a wartime economy, with some goods rationed, the compensated demand for other goods will become less responsive to price changes. That changes the balance between the distributive and efficiency consequences of price changes, possibly favoring the choice of non-price instruments to manage wartime demand. For empirical researchers, the same principle suggests caution in interpreting certain demand studies. For example, empirical studies of consumers’ short-run responses to a gasoline price increase may underestimate their long response, since over the long 1 run more consumers will be free to change choices about other economic decisions, such as the car models they drive, commute-sharing arrangements, uses of public transportation, and so on. -
Rand Corporation Headquarters Building Final EIR Table of Contents
RAND CORPORATION HEADQUARTERS BUILDING Final Environmental Impact Report State Clearinghouse No. 1999122008 Prepared by: City of Santa Monica Planning & Community Development Department 1685 Main Street Santa Monica, CA 90407-2200 Contact: Mr. Andrew Agle Prepared with the assistance of: Rincon Consultants, Inc. 790 East Santa Clara Street Ventura, California 93001 August 2000 This report is printed on 50% recycled paper with 10% post-consumer content and chlorine-free virgin pulp. Rand Corporation Headquarters Building Final EIR Table of Contents Rand Corporation Headquarters Building Final EIR Table of Contents Page 1.0 Introduction................................................................................................................................... 1-1 2.0 Revisions to the Project Following Public Review 2.1 Revisions to the Project Description ............................................................................... 2-1 2.2 Clarifications to the EIR................................................................................................... 2-1 3.0 Correction Pages to the Draft EIR ............................................................................................... 3-1 4.0 Draft Environmental Impact Report ........................................................................................... 4-1 5.0 Comments and Responses 5.1 Comments and Responses .............................................................................................. 5-1 5.2 Commentors on the Draft EIR ....................................................................................... -
Workplace Wellness Programs: Services Offered, Participation, And
Research Report Workplace Wellness Programs Services Offered, Participation, and Incentives Soeren Mattke, Kandice Kapinos, John P. Caloyeras, Erin Audrey Taylor, Benjamin Batorsky, Hangsheng Liu, Kristin R. Van Busum, Sydne Newberry Sponsored by the United States Department of Labor C O R P O R A T I O N For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/rr724 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2014 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.html. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface This Research Report was sponsored by the Employee Benefits Security Administration (EBSA) of the U.S. Department of Labor. -
Honorable Laurence H. Silberman
HONORABLE LAURENCE H. SILBERMAN Oral History Project The Historical Society of the District of Columbia Circuit Oral History Project U n i t e d S t a t e s C o u r t s The Historical Society of the D i s t r i c t o f C olumbia Circuit District of Columbia Circuit Honorable Laurence H. Silberman Interviews conducted by: Raymond J. Rasenberger, Esquire June 26, September 26, and December 13, 2001 January 25 and February 6, 2002 January 23 and February 4, 2008 TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface . i Oral History Agreements Honorable Laurence H. Silberman Agreement. iii Authorization. v Raymond J. Rasenberger, Esq. vi Oral History Transcript of Interviews on: June 26, 2001 . 1 September 26, 2001 . 40 December 13, 2001 . 69 January 25, 2002 . 117 February 6, 2002 . 164 January 23, 2008 . 238 February 4, 2008 . 263 Index . A-1 Table of Cases and Statutes . A-22 Biographical Sketches Honorable Laurence H. Silberman . B-1 Raymond J. Rasenberger, Esq. B-3 Appendix I . C-1 The Origin of Affirmative Action as We Know It–The Philadelphia Plan Pivot, by Judge Silberman, October 10, 2001. Appendix II . D-1 “Will Lawyering Strangle Democratic Capitalism: a Retrospective,” by Judge Silberman, March 30, 2000. Appendix III . E-1 On the Twenty-Fifth Anniversary of the Saturday Night Massacre, by Judge Silberman, June 24, 1999. Appendix IV . F-1 “Judge Silberman’s response to David Brock’s book,” Michael Barone Blog, August 18, 2006 NOTE The following pages record interviews conducted on the dates indicated. The interviews were electronically recorded, and the transcription was subsequently reviewed and edited by the interviewee. -
How Scenarios Became Corporate Strategies: Alternative Futures and Uncertainty in Strategic Management
HOW SCENARIOS BECAME CORPORATE STRATEGIES: ALTERNATIVE FUTURES AND UNCERTAINTY IN STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT Bretton Fosbrook A Dissertation submitted to The Faculty of Graduate Studies in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Graduate Program in Science and Technology Studies York University Toronto, Ontario December 2017 © Bretton Fosbrook, 2017 ABSTRACT How Scenarios Became Corporate Strategies tracks the transformation of scenario planning, a non-calculative technique for imagining alternative futures, from postwar American thermonuclear defense projects to corporate planning efforts beginning in the late 1960s. Drawing on archival research, the dissertation tells a history of how different corporate strategists in the second half of the twentieth century attempted to engage with future uncertainties by drawing heterogeneous and sometimes contradictory rational and intuitive techniques together in their developments of corporate scenario planning. By tracing the heterogeneity of methodologies and intellectual influences in three case studies from corporate scenario planning efforts in the United States and Britain, the dissertation demonstrates how critical and countercultural philosophies that emphasized ‘irrational’ human capacities like imagination, consciousness, and intuition—often assumed to be antithetical to the rule- bound, quantitative rationalities of corporate planning efforts—became crucial tools, rather than enemies, of corporate strategy under uncertainty after 1960. The central argument -
The Game Theory Narrative and the Myth of the National Security State
Game Theory Narrative | 333 The Game Theory Narrative and the Myth of the National Security State Steven Belletto With the Soviet Union, you did get the sense that they were operating on a model that we could comprehend in terms of, they don’t want to be blown up, we don’t want to be blown up, so you do game theory and calculate ways to contain. —Barack Obama, September 2004 ou can never underestimate the willingness of the state to act out its own massive fantasies.” So says Eric Deming in the novel Underworld (1997), Don DeLillo’s weighty stocktaking of postwar “Y 1 U.S. culture. As Matt Shay listens, Eric, stoned and introspective, repeats this statement: “You can never unterestimate the villingness of the shtate . to ahkt out its own massif phantasies.” The accented repetition signals that this is a clichéd phrase, likely lifted from some half-remembered antifascist B movie. But the following day, as Matt thinks about the phrase, he wonders if it was not “paying tribute” to “all those émigrés from Middle Europe [who] came to do science in New Mexico during the war.” This speculation is occasioned by a rambling reference Eric wedges between the first statement and its rep- etition: “Eric went on in his stupid voice, talking about problem boxes and minimax solutions, all the kriegspielish stuff they’d studied in grad school, theory of games and patterns of conflict, heads I win, tails you lose.” With this pairing, DeLillo implies a connection between game theory—“minimax solutions, all the kriegspielish stuff”—and fantasies of state control.