4 September 2018 Transport and Travel in Scotland 2017 This bulletin provides the results of the Transport and Travel related questions asked in the Scottish Household Survey (including the travel diary) and uses data from a range of sources to provide context. The survey and travel diary had around 9,800 respondents in 2017. This publication is split into 4 broad themes: Personal travel Motor vehicles, traffic and driving Public transport and aviation Walking and cycling Overview of travel trends in Scotland Rail and air passenger numbers, as well as car traffic and distance cycled, are estimated to have increased between 2007 and 2017. Rail showed the greatest percentage increase (31%). Bus passenger numbers showed a substantial decline over ten years (22%) [Figure 1]. Sources: DfT, ORR, CAA, Ferry operators (Not all National Statistics). Notes: Rail and bus passengers based on financial year, 2017 bus figure is provisional. Ferry does not include figures for passenger numbers on the Corran ferry service, Car, motorcycle and bicycle traffic estimates indicate the broad level of traffic, so year-on-year comparisons should be made with caution as they are estimated based on a small cross-section of Scottish roads, particularly for cycle traffic. Contents INFOGRAPHIC SUMMARY SHEET .................................................................................................................. 3 NATIONAL INDICATORS .................................................................................................................................. 4 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................................ 6 PERSONAL TRAVEL ........................................................................................................................................ 7 MOTOR VEHICLES, TRAFFIC AND DRIVING ............................................................................................... 12 PUBLIC TRANSPORT AND AVIATION .......................................................................................................... 16 WALKING AND CYCLING .............................................................................................................................. 19 STATISTICAL TABLES ................................................................................................................................... 20 SOURCES ........................................................................................................................................................ 21 BACKGROUND INFORMATION .....................................................................................................................62 2 3 2. NATIONAL INDICATORS Earlier this year the Scottish Government launched a refreshed FURTHER INFORMATION: National Performance Framework, which sets out a vision for the For further information on the Scottish Scotland we want to see and Government’s National Performance incorporates 11 National Framework, please visit: Outcomes that reflect this vision of improved wellbeing and quality of http://nationalperformance.gov.scot/ life for the people of Scotland. The refreshed framework includes a National Indicator on ‘journeys by active travel’. This indicator is currently under development and will be published on nationalperformance.gov.scot when ready for reporting. Two National Indicators from the previous framework: to “reduce the number of driver journeys delayed due to traffic congestion” and to “increase the proportion of journeys to work made by public or active travel” no longer feature in Scotland’s National Performance Framework in their old form. Final updates for these indicators are provided below and overleaf. Reduce number of driver Increase the proportion of journeys delayed due to journeys to work made by traffic congestion public or active travel of driver journeys were 12.8 % perceived to be delayed by congestion in 2017 of journeys to work were by 30.1% public or active travel in 2017 4 FORMER NATIONAL INDICATORS - DETAIL 30.1% of journeys to work were by Public or Active travel, a decrease on 2016 (30.7%). A two percentage point change is required to show performance improving or worsening. Since the difference is smaller than this, the indicator would have shown performance maintaining for 2017. Twelve per cent of journeys to work were on foot, ten per cent were by bus, five per cent were by train and three per cent were by bicycle. 12.8% of driver journey stages were delayed due to congestion, a higher proportion than in 2016 (11.7%) and very close to the 2006 baseline of 12.7%. A two percentage point change is required to show performance improving or worsening. Since the difference is smaller than this, the indicator would have shown performance maintaining for 2017. 5 3. INTRODUCTION Table i: Traffic and passenger numbers in Scotland, 2012 to 2017 % change % change 2012 2016 2017 over 1 over 5 year years Car traffic (m/veh km) on all 33,777 35,362 36,206 2.4% 7.2% roads & Pedal cycles (m/veh km) on all 310 288 290 0.7% -6.5% roads & ScotRail passengers (millions)$ 83.3 94.2 97.8 3.8% 17.4% Bus passengers (millions)$ 420 393 380* -3.3*% -9.5*% Air passengers (millions) 22.2 26.9 28.9 7.1% 29.8% Ferry passengers in Scotland 7.89 8.32 8.36 0.4% 5.9% )# (millions Sources: DfT, ORR, CAA, ferry operators (Not all National Statistics) Notes: $ Based on financial year, *provisional figures, # Does not include figures for passenger numbers on the Corran ferry service, &traffic estimates indicate the broad level of traffic, so year-on-year comparisons should be made with caution as they are estimated based on a small cross-section of Scottish roads, particularly for cycle traffic. *The 2017 bus passenger figure is provisional. This bulletin provides the results of the Transport and travel related questions asked in the Scottish Household Survey (SHS), including information from the travel diary, and uses data from a range of other sources to provide some context around transport and travel in Scotland. The Travel Diary is a component of the survey which involves respondents recounting details of all the journeys they made the previous day. A journey can consist of one or more stages. A new stage is defined when there is a change in the form of transport or when there is a change of vehicle requiring a separate ticket. Non-transport-related SHS results and methodological information for the survey can be found on the SHS web pages. In order to maximise the utility of the data, most tables in Transport and Travel in Scotland (TATIS) provide estimates for single years where possible. Care should be taken when using estimates with lower sample sizes. A lookup table for confidence intervals is included (Table A), which can be used in conjunction with the estimates and sample size to give an indication of what inferences can reliably be made from the data. In some cases, where the sample size would be below 50 respondents, years have been combined or estimates suppressed. Data sources are listed in Section 9 of this publication. Further explanation of definitions can be found in the relevant topic chapters of Scottish Transport Statistics: https://www.transport.gov.scot/publication/scottish-transport-statistics-no-36-2017-edition/ Scottish Transport Statistics will be published in February 2019 and will contain a comprehensive statistical picture of transport statistics in Scotland. For a full list of transport statistics publications see: https://www.transport.gov.scot/our-approach/statistics/# Keith Hoy Transport Analytical Services Transport Scotland Victoria Quay Edinburgh EH6 6QQ Telephone: 0131 244 3004 [email protected] 6 4. PERSONAL TRAVEL This section contains analysis and headline findings from the Scottish Household Survey questions relating to personal travel (including the Travel Diary part of the survey). WHO TRAVELS? Around three quarters (73%) of adults travelled the previous day. The proportion of people travelling the previous day has decreased from 75% in 2016 and 80% in 2006. Men were slightly more likely to have travelled than women; 75 per cent of men had travelled the previous day compared to 72 per cent of women. Older people were less likely to have travelled the previous day. Only 46 per cent of those aged 80 and over had travelled the previous day and 67 per cent of those aged 70 to 79. Over seventy five per cent of adults below the age of 50 had travelled the previous day. [Table TD1] WHY DO PEOPLE TRAVEL? Most journeys were for the purpose of commuting (25%), shopping (23%) or visiting friends or relatives (10%). [Table TD3]. There has been little change in the proportion of journeys made for each purpose since 2012. Travel to Work How do people travel to work? Two thirds of people usually travelled to work by car / 30.1% van, either as a driver (62%) or passenger (5%). Twelve per cent of people usually travelled to work of people usually on foot. Ten per cent of people usually travelled to travelled to work by work by bus and five per cent travelled by rail. Three per cent of people usually travelled to work by bicycle public or active in 2017. travel in 2017. These proportions have not changed greatly over the past 10 years, although bus usage has shown some decline. [Table SUM1] Who travels to work by which mode? Women were more likely than men to walk or catch the bus to work. Men were more likely to cycle to work or travel by rail. People