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World Bank Document Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR2514 Public Disclosure Authorized IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA-37590 IDA-H0370 IDA-H5690) ON A CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF XDR 9.5 MILLION (US$13 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND GRANTS Public Disclosure Authorized IN THE AMOUNT OF XDR 5.2 MILLION (US$7 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND IN THE AMOUNT OF XDR 1.4 MILLION (US$2 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE Public Disclosure Authorized REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN FOR AN EDUCATION MODERNIZATION PROJECT January 29, 2014 Human Development Department Central Asia Department Public Disclosure Authorized Europe and Central Asia Region CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective January 29, 2014) Currency Unit = Tajikistan Somoni (TJS) TJS 1.00 = US$0.21 US$1.00 = TJS 4.78 FISCAL YEAR 2014 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AF Additional Financing MOF Ministry of Finance AM Aide Memoire MTEF Mid-Term Expenditure Framework CAS Country Assistance Strategy MTR Mid-Term Review CITO Training Centers of Bulgaria and the NCB National Curriculum Board Netherlands DEO District Education Office NGO Non-Governmental Organization EFA Education For All NTC National Testing Center EMP Education Modernization Project NSED National Strategy for Education Development ERP Education Reform Project PAD Project Appraisal Document (Learning and Innovation Loan) FM Financial Management PCF Per Capita Financing FTI Fast Track Initiative PDO Project Development Objectives GDP Gross Domestic Product PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper GPE-4 Fourth Global Partnership for Education PTA Parent-Teacher Association ICR Implementation Completion and Results PMU Project Management Unit Report IDA International Development Association READ Russian Education Aid for Development ILO International Labour Organization RTMC Republican Training and Methodological Center ISR Implementation Status and Results Report SAD Student Assessment Department KPI Key Performance Indicators TA Technical Assistance M&E Monitoring and Evaluation TRF Textbook Revolving Fund MDG Millennium Development Goal UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund MOE Ministry of Education XDR Special Drawing Rights Vice President : Laura Tuck Country Director: Saroj Kumar Jha Acting Sector Manager: Andrea C. Guedes Project Team Leader: Saodat Bazarova ICR Team Leader: Sachiko Kataoka Tajikistan Education Modernization Project CONTENTS Data Sheet A. Basic Information B. Key Dates C. Ratings Summary D. Sector and Theme Codes E. Bank Staff F. Results Framework Analysis G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs H. Restructuring I. Disbursement Graph 1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................... 1 2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes ............................................... 5 3. Assessment of Outcomes ............................................................................................ 9 4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ......................................................... 18 5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ...................................................... 18 6. Lessons Learned ........................................................................................................ 21 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners ........... 22 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................... 23 Annex 2. Outputs by Component .................................................................................. 24 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 29 Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............. 31 Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 33 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................... 36 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 37 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 45 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ....................................................................... 46 MAP A. Basic Information Education Modernization Country: Tajikistan Project Name: Project IDA-37590,IDA- Project ID: P069055 L/C/TF Number(s): H0370,IDA-H5690 ICR Date: 01/27/2014 ICR Type: Core ICR REPUBLIC OF Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower: TAJIKISTAN Original Total XDR 14.70M Disbursed Amount: XDR 16.10M Commitment: Revised Amount: XDR 16.10M Environmental Category: F Implementing Agencies: The Ministry of Education (MOE) Cofinanciers and Other External Partners: B. Key Dates Revised / Actual Process Date Process Original Date Date(s) Concept Review: 04/18/2002 Effectiveness: 09/26/2003 09/26/2003 Appraisal: 03/18/2003 Restructuring(s): 03/14/2011 Approval: 05/15/2003 Mid-term Review: 03/06/2005 05/17/2005 Closing: 12/31/2008 07/31/2013 C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Moderately Satisfactory Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate Bank Performance: Moderately Unsatisfactory Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR) Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Moderately Satisfactory Government: Moderately Satisfactory Implementing Quality of Supervision: Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Agency/Agencies: Overall Bank Overall Borrower Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Performance: Performance: i C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation QAG Assessments (if Indicators Rating Performance any) Potential Problem Project at Yes Quality at Entry (QEA): None any time (Yes/No): Problem Project at any time Quality of Supervision No None (Yes/No): (QSA): DO rating before Moderately Satisfactory Closing/Inactive status: D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing) Primary education 75 75 Secondary education 25 25 Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing) Education for all 67 100 Education for the knowledge economy 33 E. Bank Staff Positions At ICR At Approval Vice President: Laura Tuck Johannes F. Linn Country Director: Saroj Kumar Jha Dennis N. de Tray Sector Manager: Andrea C. Guedes Maureen Anne McLaughlin Project Team Leader: Saodat Bazarova Eluned Roberts-Schweitzer ICR Team Leader: Sachiko Kataoka N/A ICR Primary Author: Jeremie Matthew Amoroso N/A F. Results Framework Analysis Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective is to set the stage for change at the national level while improving learning conditions and school enrollment and completion through grade 5 in selected districts. Through community-driven initiatives, the Project will help to develop local and district capacity. Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority) N/A ii (a) PDO Indicator(s) Original Target Actual Value Formally Values (from Achieved at Indicator Baseline Value Revised Target approval Completion or Values documents) Target Years Enrollment rates increase in project schools in grades 1-5 (4) to 90% of age cohort over Indicator 1 : 2003 enrollments, by the end of the project. Value 99.9 percent on 88.7 percent on average for 90 percent in project quantitative or average for seven seven districts schools Qualitative) districts Date achieved 12/31/2004 09/30/2008 12/31/2012 Comments While the baseline and target values lack accuracy, the end-of-project high enrollment rate (incl. % suggests that the Project most likely achieved the target. The original indicator was achievement) "through grade 5" but "through grade 4" was tracked throughout the Project. Teacher turnover in project schools is lower than average for the country and the schools Indicator 2 : attract qualified new teachers. Value quantitative or 10.7 percent At least by one point 7.5 percent Qualitative) Date achieved 09/30/2004 09/30/2008 09/30/2012 Comments Even though a national comparison data is missing, the substantial decline in the target (incl. % districts demonstrates improvement in those areas in an absolute term. achievement) Completion rate: number of children completing grade 5 over baseline data from year one Indicator 3 : of project. Value 99.5 percent 99.3 percent (project quantitative or Not available (national average) schools) Qualitative) Date achieved 09/30/2004 09/30/2008 09/30/2012 Comments Difficult to determine whether target was achieved (incl. % achievement) Indicator added to align with PAD Functioning school committees/PTAs in 70 percent of project schools at the end of the Indicator 4 : project as measured by records of meetings. Functioning school Functioning school Value No schools had PTAs, committees/PTAs in committees/PTAs in quantitative or though some had school 70 percent of project 86 percent of project Qualitative) committees schools schools Date achieved 02/26/2003 12/30/2008 12/12/2009 Comments Target exceeded. Schools had established PTAs, either as new organizations or from (incl. % existing school committees which were transformed to PTAs. achievement) Increase in community contribution of resources as well as community participation in the Indicator 5 : decision-making process at the school and district level. Value 7 % of rehab grants; 7.1 % of rehab grants; quantitative or Not available Not less than 5 % of 8.3 % of thematic Qualitative) thematic
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