Queen’s Park Today – Daily Report October 11, 2019

Quotation of the day

“Made-to-Fail”

Green Leader Mike Schreiner responds to a recent Environmental Defence report slamming ​ ​ the PC’s inaction on greenhouse gas reduction initiatives.

Today at Queen’s Park

On the schedule The house is on extended recess until Monday, October 28.

PC’s mini-budget drops November 6 with lower-than-projected deficit The Ford government’s second mini-budget hits the table November 6.

Finance Minister Rod Phillips announced the release date of the Fall Economic Statement in a ​ ​ luncheon speech to a business crowd in downtown on Thursday.

“We are on track to beat our 2019 deficit projection of $10.3 billion,” Phillips told the Canadian Club. “We are continuing on our prudent path to balance to ensure we meet our goal to balance the budget by 2023,” one year after the next scheduled election.

When he released the public accounts last month, Phillips revised the deficit for 2018-19 down from $15 billion to $7.4 billion.

Conservative insiders told Queen’s Park Today the 2019-20 deficit is expected to be higher than ​ ​ the $7.4 billion recorded last year but come in under the $10.3 billion forecast.

While the PCs have recently backtracked on a slew of funding cuts, including to municipalities, children with autism and education unions in the face of public backlash, much of the savings outlined in the public accounts were owed to higher tax revenues, less program spending than originally forecast and not dipping into the billion-dollar reserve arsenal.

At the time, strategists pointed out the lower deficit was likely the result of a one-time bump and ​ ​ said the PCs will have to do more to show they’re reining in the deficit in future years.

For now Phillips is keeping details close to the vest. “We’ll have to wait until November 6 to actually announce the number,” he told reporters.

The Fall Economic Statement will hit the sweet spot between “a prudent approach that gets us to balance” and one "that understands that we are continuing to make investments, to listen.”

The minister rounded up the PC’s greatest policy hits in his speech and emphasized Ontario’s competitiveness on the global stage, saying “we have not been punching at the weight we need to.”

The official Opposition expects more cuts are in the offing.

“The gloomy outlook that keeps being provided is to ... justify and rationalize the need for these cuts,” said NDP co-deputy leader Sara Singh. She chided the Tories for “continuing to focus on ​ ​ the deficit rather than talking about the services that people in this province need.”

In addition to sitting PC MPPs and ministers, former Tory premier , Postmedia exec ​ ​ Paul Godfrey and ex-PC cabinet minister Janet Ecker were spotted at the event. ​ ​ ​

Later on, Phillips shared a laugh with reporters in a scrum when it was pointed out that he chose to wear a yellow tie — a sartorial staple of his predecessor, now-Economic Development Minister Vic Fedeli, who was demoted less than three months after tabling the PC’s first budget, ​ ​ which was not well-received by the public.

Today’s events

October 11 at 10:30 a.m. — Sault Ste. Marie ​ Training, Colleges and Universities Minister Ross Romano will make an announcement at Sault ​ ​ College.

Upcoming events

October 12 - 24 — South Korea and Japan ​ Economic Development Minister Vic Fedeli, Agriculture Minister Ernie Hardeman and Seniors ​ ​ ​ ​ Minister Raymond Cho are jetting off on a trade mission to South Korea and Japan until ​ ​ October 24. ● A government release says Fedeli will pump up Ontario’s automotive and aerospace sectors; Hardeman will lead a delegation of agri-food leaders to open up markets for Canadian pork, beef and canola exports impacted by trade troubles with China; and Cho will help the pair promote Ontario.

October 15 at 8 a.m. — Toronto ​ StrategyCorp’s Institute of Public Policy and Economy officially launches with a wonkish ​ ​ discussion on major policy topics facing Queen’s Park. The new think-tank is the brainchild of Mitch Davidson, who was most recently Premier Doug Ford’s executive policy director and a ​ ​ ​ key architect of the PC’s election platform (and the People’s Guarantee iteration that preceded it).

Topics of conversation

● A ruling from Ontario’s Superior Court is expected today in Greenpeace ’s case against the Ford government’s cancellation of the Liberal-era cap-and-trade program. The lawsuit, launched last September, alleges the PCs failed to adequately consult the public before scrapping the program.

● As parents and students staged walk-ins at hundreds of schools across the province to protest the Ford government’s changes to education Thursday, the union representing high school teachers in ongoing contract talks says it’s “discouraged and disappointed.” ○ Harvey Bischof, president of the Ontario Secondary School Teachers’ ​ Federation, told members in a memo that the provincial government’s negotiators came to the bargaining table “unprepared” and with no new proposals on major issues. ○ Thursday was the last day of scheduled negotiations and Bischof said the union will now fall back and “consider our next steps.” The OSSTF has been publicly posting bargaining updates online. ○ Bischof told the Toronto Star that Crown negotiators are saying the deal inked ​ ​ ​ ​ with CUPE school support staff has no impact on bargaining with OSSTF, but Finance Minister Rod Phillips has publicly indicated he wants other education ​ ​ unions to stick to the proposed one-per-cent annual compensation cap. ○ Meanwhile, the Elementary Teachers’ Federation of Ontario continues to hold job action votes; union brass have asked members for a strike mandate.

● Environment Minister Jeff Yurek took issue with Thursday’s report from advocacy group ​ ​ Environmental Defence that suggests the government’s progress on implementing the “made-in-Ontario” environment plan is virtually nil. ○ Yurek, who was shuffled into the file about four months ago, said the government “has already made significant progress toward further consultations and implementation on approximately 20 key commitments” since the plan was introduced last November. That includes finalizing emission performance standards for large industrial emitters, proposing changes to municipal sewage and water management under the provincial policy statement, and naming a special adviser on flooding.

○ “Our government is focused on smart regulatory and policy approaches to facilitate and enable innovation rather than hindering it,” Yurek added. ○ But there doesn’t seem to be much movement to establish the $400-million Ontario Carbon Trust board. The emission reduction fund was a keystone of the plan and will use public money to leverage private investment in clean technologies. “Our government continues to review comments received through the environmental registry and to consult with stakeholders on the design and mandate of the emission reduction fund,” said a statement from the ministry.

City Councillor Stephen Blais announced Thursday he will run for the Ontario ​ ​ Liberals in the forthcoming Orléans byelection. The seat has been vacant since last month when ex-MPP Marie-France Lalonde resigned after winning the federal Liberal ​ ​ nod to run in the same riding in the October 21 election. ○ Premier Doug Ford has until March 23 to call the byelection. ​ ​

● Bad news for Queen’s Park-watchers hoping for fisticuffs: Premier Kathleen Wynne has ​ ​ dropped out of next week’s panel discussion at the University of Toronto that also ​ ​ features Jeff Ballingall, founder of Ontario Proud, the third-party group often credited ​ ​ with spurring Wynne’s electoral defeat last spring. The event will still take place with the smaller-than-planned panel, but refunds are being offered.

Appointments and employments Ministry of Health ● The Ford government has enlisted Jim Pine as a special advisor to lead consultations ​ ​ with municipalities and stakeholders on changes to public health and emergency services, including a plan to consolidate the province’s 35 health units. Pine is the chief administrative officer of the County of Hastings and was previously on the board of the Association of Municipalities of Ontario. ○ Consultations kick off this fall and are expected to wrap up in 2020.

News briefs — governmental Ministry of Education ● Minister Stephen Lecce announced nearly $40 million to help improve student mental ​ ​ health on Thursday, which was also World Mental Health Day. ○ The funding envelope includes $25 million to put about 180 social workers, psychologists and psychotherapists in high schools and $3 million for well-being programs in all district school boards.

Ministry of Health ● Minister Christine Elliott earmarked up to $500,000 for planning a redevelopment and ​ ​ expansion of the emergency department at Scarborough’s Birchmount hospital, perhaps

putting to ease some Tory MPPs who were reportedly worried about losing services, and ​ ​ their seats in the area. ○ However, the PCs aren’t planning on reversing the hospital administration’s decision to move the pediatric and obstetrics departments 10 kilometres away to Scarborough General.

Lobbyist registrations

If you are looking for further information on any lobbying registry, it is all public and easily searchable here. ​ ​

Consultants who registered as lobbyists from October 4, 2019 – October 10, 2019

● David Angus, The Capital Hill Group Inc. ​ o Clients: Rycom

● Fraser Macdonald, Stosic & Associates ​ o Clients: BlueRush Inc.

● Carol Mitchell, Counsel Public Affairs Inc. ​ o Clients: Grape Growers of Ontario

● Patrick Tuns, Upstream Strategy Group ​ o Clients: Alpha Laboratories

● Natalia Lasakova, Global Public Affairs ​ o Clients: Outdoor Power Equipment Institute of Canada

● Lauren McDonald, Proof Inc. ​ o Clients: Ontario Virtual School

● Kevin MacAdam, Self-Employed ​ o Clients: P.G.B. Estate Developments Inc

● Aaron Gairdner, Rubicon Strategy Inc. ​ o Clients: Allvision, Cassels Brock & Blackwell LLP, Himelfarb Proszanski Barristers & Solicitors

● Wayne Snow, Fulcrum Advocacy ​ o Clients: Call2Recycle

● Shakir Chambers, Navigator Limited ​ o Clients: Clorox (GLAD) Company of Canada Ltd.

● Vivek Prabhu, Hill+Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: Leafly

● Daniela Cavatassi, Kealey & Associates Inc. ​ o Clients: AgMedica BioScience Inc.

● Laura Greer, Hill+Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: Express Scripts Canada

● Melissa Lantsman, Hill & Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: Ontario College of Social Workers and Social Service Workers

● Ralph Palumbo, The Hillcrest Consulting Group Inc. ​ o Clients: MCW Group of Companies, CannAssist Group Inc.

● Leah Mulholland, Navigator Ltd. ​ o Clients: Consumer Technology Association

● Katie Lear, Crestview Strategy ​ o Clients: Association of Canadian Distillers/Spirits Canada

● Terrance Oakey, One Persuasion Inc ​ o Clients: Vaping Industry Trade Association

● Patrick Harris, Rubicon Strategy Inc. ​ o Clients: Carpenters District Council of Ontario, Innovative Medicines Canada (Médicaments novateurs Canada), Canadian Niagara Hotels Inc.

● Yan Plante, TACT Intelligence-conseil ​ o Clients: Groupe de sécurité Garda

● Oumar Dicko, Impact Public Affairs ​ o Clients: Frontier Duty Free Association-FDFA

● Gabriela Gonzalez, Crestview Strategy ​ o Clients: Right To Play International

● Stephanie Dunlop, Hill+Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: Pure Sunfarms

● Vivek Prabhu, Hill+Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: H&R Block

● Donald Gracey, CG Management & Communications Inc. ​ o Clients: Perley and Rideau Veterans Health Centre

● Steve McCauley, Steve McCauley ​

o Clients: Pollution Probe

● Jill Wilson, Jared Burke and Dan Mader, Loyalist Public Affairs ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ o Clients: Humane Canada, Ontario Trial Lawyers Association (OTLA)

● Frank Klees, Klees & Associates Ltd. ​ o Clients: Rice Group

● Matthew Gibson, Sussex Strategy Group ​ o Clients: EACOM Timber Corporation

● Rob Godfrey, Arenjay Developments Ltd. ​ o Clients: Orfus Realty

● Patricia Perkins, Sutherland Corporation (formerly Sutherland and Associates) ​ o Clients: Veridos

● Matthew Gibson, Sussex Strategy Group ​ o Clients: BHE Canada Limited, Ontario Waterpower Association, Energy Storage Canada, Pattern Renewable Holdings Canada ULC, Wataynikaneyap Power LP (Fortis-RES PM Inc.)

● James Warren, Riseley Strategies Inc. ​ o Clients: Pollard Banknote Limited

● Rob Leone, Earnscliffe Ontario Inc ​ o Clients: Horizon Legacy Group/Swift River Energy

● John Armstrong, Armstrong Communications Inc. ​ o Clients: Ontario Kinesiology Association

● Patricia Perkins, Sutherland Corporation (formerly Sutherland and Associates) ​ o Clients: Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE Local 905)

● John Whitehead, Earnscliffe Strategy Group ​ o Clients: Swift River Energy Limited

● Stephanie Gawur, Counsel Public Affairs Inc. ​ o Clients: Impact Auto Auctions Ltd.

● Maryanne Sheehy, Public Affairs Advisors ​ o Clients: Visa Canada

● Don Gracey, CG Management & Communications Inc. ​ o Clients: College of Medical Laboratory Technologists of Ontario, Perley and Rideau Veterans Health Centre

● Caroline Pinto, Counsel Public Affairs Inc. ​

o Clients: Impact Auto Auctions Ltd.

● Raj Rasalinga, Protocol Plus Inc. ​ o Clients: JNC Medical Inc

● Stephanie Gawur and Caroline Pinto, Counsel Public Affairs Inc. ​ ​ ​ o Clients: Enterprise Holdings Inc.

● Sheila Willis, TRM Public Affairs ​ o Clients: Brooks Road Environmental

● Jason Lietaer, Enterprise Canada ​ o Clients: Neighbourhood Pharmacy Association of Canada

● Lauren Rettinger, Hill+Knowlton Strategies ​ o Clients: Neighborhood Pharmacy Association

● Chris Benedetti, Sussex Strategy Group ​ o Clients: North Superior First Nations Investment GP Inc.

● Kory Teneycke, Rubicon Strategy Inc. ​ o Clients: Himelfarb Proszanski Barristers & Solicitors

Organizations that registered in-house lobbyists from October 4, 2019 – October 10

● Ontario Processing Vegetable Growers ● Fertilizer Canada ● Ontario Mining Association ● Canadian Diabetes Association ● National Marine Manufacturers Association Canada ● Evergreen ● Canadian National Insurance Crime Services ● Ontario Restaurant Hotel & Motel Association ● Boys and Girls Clubs of Canada ● Canadian Propane Association ● Ontario Forest Industries Association - Home of CLA Grading and Inspection ● Ontario Athletic Therapist Association ● Ovarian Cancer Canada ● CNIB Deafblind Community Services ● Ontario Chamber of Commerce ● Canadian Consumer Specialty Products Association ● Enbridge Inc ● Hoffman-La Roche Limited ● Fujifilm SonoSite Canada Inc. ● General Motors of Canada Company ● Fédération des caisses Desjardins du Québec

● Eli Lilly Canada Inc. ● Janssen Inc. ● The Great-West Life Assurance Company

Queen's Park Today is written by Sabrina Nanji, reporting from the Queen's Park press gallery.

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