NATO Intelligence Sharing in the 21st Century Columbia School of International and Public Affairs Capstone Research Project, Spring 2013 RESEARCH TEAM FACULTY ADVISOR Keenan Mahoney Dr. Joshua Rovner
[email protected] [email protected] Nemanja Mladenovic
[email protected] Salvador Molina
[email protected] Adam Scher
[email protected] Selma Stern
[email protected] Christopher Zoia
[email protected] TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 3 Introduction & Framework 4 France 8 Germany 18 Italy 28 Turkey 41 Conclusion 55 Notes 57 Appendix 65 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report analyzes the opportunities and obstacles for intelligence sharing with select NATO members: France, Germany, Italy, and Turkey. In addition to describing the history, organizational structure, and capabilities of these members’ civilian and military intelligence organizations, the report provides a framework for assessing a country’s propensity to share intelligence based on the following six factors: strategic priorities, security environment, established partnerships, intelligence capabilities, and culture. We hope this framework can serve as an enduring analytical tool for intelligence scholars and practitioners. Based on our research, we conclude the following about the prospects for intelligence sharing with France, Germany, Italy, and Turkey: Due to the insular nature of France’s secret services and the lack of legislative oversight, France’s propensity to share intelligence will depend on the characteristics of its potential partners. France will be likely to share if the partner is involved in similar areas of strategic interest, if it is affected by an event that causes a sense of crisis in France, if there are mutual “boots on the ground,” or if the partner is a member of Five Eyes.