Good Practice Guide for Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling
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Climate Models and Their Evaluation
8 Climate Models and Their Evaluation Coordinating Lead Authors: David A. Randall (USA), Richard A. Wood (UK) Lead Authors: Sandrine Bony (France), Robert Colman (Australia), Thierry Fichefet (Belgium), John Fyfe (Canada), Vladimir Kattsov (Russian Federation), Andrew Pitman (Australia), Jagadish Shukla (USA), Jayaraman Srinivasan (India), Ronald J. Stouffer (USA), Akimasa Sumi (Japan), Karl E. Taylor (USA) Contributing Authors: K. AchutaRao (USA), R. Allan (UK), A. Berger (Belgium), H. Blatter (Switzerland), C. Bonfi ls (USA, France), A. Boone (France, USA), C. Bretherton (USA), A. Broccoli (USA), V. Brovkin (Germany, Russian Federation), W. Cai (Australia), M. Claussen (Germany), P. Dirmeyer (USA), C. Doutriaux (USA, France), H. Drange (Norway), J.-L. Dufresne (France), S. Emori (Japan), P. Forster (UK), A. Frei (USA), A. Ganopolski (Germany), P. Gent (USA), P. Gleckler (USA), H. Goosse (Belgium), R. Graham (UK), J.M. Gregory (UK), R. Gudgel (USA), A. Hall (USA), S. Hallegatte (USA, France), H. Hasumi (Japan), A. Henderson-Sellers (Switzerland), H. Hendon (Australia), K. Hodges (UK), M. Holland (USA), A.A.M. Holtslag (Netherlands), E. Hunke (USA), P. Huybrechts (Belgium), W. Ingram (UK), F. Joos (Switzerland), B. Kirtman (USA), S. Klein (USA), R. Koster (USA), P. Kushner (Canada), J. Lanzante (USA), M. Latif (Germany), N.-C. Lau (USA), M. Meinshausen (Germany), A. Monahan (Canada), J.M. Murphy (UK), T. Osborn (UK), T. Pavlova (Russian Federationi), V. Petoukhov (Germany), T. Phillips (USA), S. Power (Australia), S. Rahmstorf (Germany), S.C.B. Raper (UK), H. Renssen (Netherlands), D. Rind (USA), M. Roberts (UK), A. Rosati (USA), C. Schär (Switzerland), A. Schmittner (USA, Germany), J. Scinocca (Canada), D. Seidov (USA), A.G. -
Evaluation of Fast Atmospheric Dispersion Models in a Regular
Evaluation of fast atmospheric dispersion models in a regular street network Denise Hertwig, Lionel Soulhac, Vladimír Fuka, Torsten Auerswald, Matteo Carpentieri, Paul Hayden, Alan Robins, Zheng-Tong Xie, Omduth Coceal To cite this version: Denise Hertwig, Lionel Soulhac, Vladimír Fuka, Torsten Auerswald, Matteo Carpentieri, et al.. Eval- uation of fast atmospheric dispersion models in a regular street network. Environmental Fluid Me- chanics, Springer Verlag, 2018, 10.1007/s10652-018-9587-7. hal-01761232 HAL Id: hal-01761232 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01761232 Submitted on 8 Apr 2018 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Environ Fluid Mech manuscript No. (will be inserted by the editor) 1 Evaluation of fast atmospheric dispersion models in a regular 2 street network 3 Denise Hertwig · Lionel Soulhac · Vladim´ır 4 Fuka · Torsten Auerswald · Matteo Carpentieri · 5 Paul Hayden · Alan Robins · Zheng-Tong Xie · 6 Omduth Coceal 7 8 Received: date / Accepted: date 9 Abstract The need to balance computational speed and simulation accuracy is a key chal- 10 lenge in designing atmospheric dispersion models that can be used in scenarios where near 11 real-time hazard predictions are needed. -
Results from the Implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic Sea Ice Rheology in Hadcm3 W
Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3 W. M. Connolley, A. B. Keen, A. J. Mclaren To cite this version: W. M. Connolley, A. B. Keen, A. J. Mclaren. Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3. Ocean Science, European Geosciences Union, 2006, 2 (2), pp.201- 211. hal-00298295 HAL Id: hal-00298295 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00298295 Submitted on 23 Oct 2006 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Ocean Sci., 2, 201–211, 2006 www.ocean-sci.net/2/201/2006/ Ocean Science © Author(s) 2006. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License. Results from the implementation of the Elastic Viscous Plastic sea ice rheology in HadCM3 W. M. Connolley1, A. B. Keen2, and A. J. McLaren2 1British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, UK 2Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK Received: 13 June 2006 – Published in Ocean Sci. Discuss.: 10 July 2006 Revised: 21 September 2006 – Accepted: 16 October 2006 – Published: 23 October 2006 Abstract. We present results of an implementation of the a full dynamical model incorporating wind stresses and in- Elastic Viscous Plastic (EVP) sea ice dynamics scheme into ternal ice stresses leads to errors in the detailed representa- the Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere climate model tion of sea ice and limits our confidence in its future predic- HadCM3. -
Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling of Bioaerosols That Are Pathogenic to Humans and Livestock – a Review to Inform Risk Assessment Studies
Microbial Risk Analysis 1 (2016) 19–39 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Microbial Risk Analysis journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/mran Atmospheric dispersion modelling of bioaerosols that are pathogenic to humans and livestock – A review to inform risk assessment studies J.P.G. Van Leuken a,b,∗,A.N.Swarta, A.H. Havelaar a,b,c, A. Van Pul d, W. Van der Hoek a, D. Heederik b a Centre for Infectious Disease Control (CIb), National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands b Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands c Emerging Pathogens Institute and Animal Sciences Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States of America d Environment & Safety (M&V), National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands article info abstract Article history: In this review we discuss studies that applied atmospheric dispersion models (ADM) to bioaerosols that Received 19 May 2015 are pathogenic to humans and livestock in the context of risk assessment studies. Traditionally, ADMs have Revised 25 June 2015 been developed to describe the atmospheric transport of chemical pollutants, radioactive matter, dust, and Accepted 17 July 2015 particulate matter. However, they have also enabled researchers to simulate bioaerosol dispersion. Availableonline26July2015 To inform risk assessment, the aims of this review were fourfold, namely (1) to describe the most im- Keywords: portant physical processes related to ADMs and pathogen transport, (2) to discuss studies that focused on Airborne the application of ADMs to pathogenic bioaerosols, (3) to discuss emission and inactivation rate parameter- Pathogens isations, and (4) to discuss methods for conversion of concentrations to infection probabilities (concerning Respiratory infections quantitative microbial risk assessment). -
Large-Scale Tropospheric Transport in the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) Simulations
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7217–7235, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7217-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Large-scale tropospheric transport in the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) simulations Clara Orbe1,2,3,a, Huang Yang3, Darryn W. Waugh3, Guang Zeng4, Olaf Morgenstern 4, Douglas E. Kinnison5, Jean-Francois Lamarque5, Simone Tilmes5, David A. Plummer6, John F. Scinocca7, Beatrice Josse8, Virginie Marecal8, Patrick Jöckel9, Luke D. Oman10, Susan E. Strahan10,11, Makoto Deushi12, Taichu Y. Tanaka12, Kohei Yoshida12, Hideharu Akiyoshi13, Yousuke Yamashita13,14, Andreas Stenke15, Laura Revell15,16, Timofei Sukhodolov15,17, Eugene Rozanov15,17, Giovanni Pitari18, Daniele Visioni18, Kane A. Stone19,20,b, Robyn Schofield19,20, and Antara Banerjee21 1Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research (GESTAR), Columbia, MD, USA 2Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA 3Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA 4National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand 5National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling (ACOM) Laboratory, Boulder, USA 6Climate Research Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montreal, QC, Canada 7Climate Research Branch, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada 8Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, -
Table of Contents
CALPUFF Modeling System Version 6 User Instructions April 2011 Section 1: Introduction Table of Contents Page 1. OVERVIEW ...................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 CALPUFF Version 6 Modeling System............................................................... 1-1 1.2 Historical Background .......................................................................................... 1-2 1.3 Overview of the Modeling System ....................................................................... 1-7 1.4 Major Model Algorithms and Options................................................................. 1-19 1.4.1 CALMET................................................................................................ 1-19 1.4.2 CALPUFF............................................................................................... 1-23 1.5 Summary of Data and Computer Requirements .................................................. 1-28 2. GEOPHYSICAL DATA PROCESSORS.......................................................................... 2-1 2.1 TERREL Terrain Preprocessor............................................................................. 2-3 2.2 Land Use Data Preprocessors (CTGCOMP and CTGPROC) ............................. 2-27 2.2.1 Obtaining the Data.................................................................................. 2-27 2.2.2 CTGCOMP - the CTG land use data compression program .................. 2-29 2.2.3 CTGPROC - the land use preprocessor -
Coordination of Atmospheric Dispersion Activities for the Real-Time Decision Support System RODOS
RODOS R-2-1997 RIS0-R-93O (EN) DK9700116 Coordination of Atmospheric Dispersion Activities for the Real-Time Decision Support System RODOS DECISION SUPPORT FOR NUCLEAR EMERGENCIES RODOS R-2-1997 RIS0-R-93O (EN) Coordination of Atmospheric Dispersion Activities for the Real-Time Decision Support System RODOS Torben Mikkelsen RIS0 National Laboratory Denmark July 1997 Secretariat of the RODOS Project: Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe Institut fur Neutronenphysik und Reaktortechnik P.O. Box 3640, 76021 Karlsruhe, Germany Phone: +49 7247 82 5507, Fax: +49 7247 82 5508 EMail: [email protected], Internet: http://rodos.fzk.de This work has been performed with the support of the European Commission Radiation Protection Research Action (DGXII-F-6) contract FI3P-CT92-0044 This report has been published as Report RIS0-R-93O (EN) (ISSN 0106-2840) (ISBN 87-550-2230-8) in May 1997 by RIS0 National Laboratory P.O. Box 49 DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark Management Summary 1.1 Global Objectives: This projects task has been to coordinate activities among the RODOS Atmospheric Dispersion sub-group A participants (1) - (8), with the overall objective of developing and integrating an atmospheric transport and dispersion module for the joint European Real-time On- line DecisiOn Support system RODOS headed by FZK (formerly KfK), Germany. The projects final goal is the establishment of a fully operational, system-integrated atmospheric transport module for the RODOS system by year 2000, capable of consistent now- and forecasting of radioactive airborne spread over all types of terrain and on all scales of interest, including in particular complex terrain and the different scales of operation, such as the local, the national and the European scale. -
Assimila Blank
NERC NERC Strategy for Earth System Modelling: Technical Support Audit Report Version 1.1 December 2009 Contact Details Dr Zofia Stott Assimila Ltd 1 Earley Gate The University of Reading Reading, RG6 6AT Tel: +44 (0)118 966 0554 Mobile: +44 (0)7932 565822 email: [email protected] NERC STRATEGY FOR ESM – AUDIT REPORT VERSION1.1, DECEMBER 2009 Contents 1. BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Context .................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Scope of the ESM audit ............................................................................................ 4 1.4 Methodology ............................................................................................................ 5 2. Scene setting ........................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 NERC Strategy......................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Definition of Earth system modelling ........................................................................ 8 2.3 Broad categories of activities supported by NERC ................................................. 10 2.4 Structure of the report ........................................................................................... -
Review of the Global Models Used Within Phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI)
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 639–671, 2017 www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/639/2017/ doi:10.5194/gmd-10-639-2017 © Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) Olaf Morgenstern1, Michaela I. Hegglin2, Eugene Rozanov18,5, Fiona M. O’Connor14, N. Luke Abraham17,20, Hideharu Akiyoshi8, Alexander T. Archibald17,20, Slimane Bekki21, Neal Butchart14, Martyn P. Chipperfield16, Makoto Deushi15, Sandip S. Dhomse16, Rolando R. Garcia7, Steven C. Hardiman14, Larry W. Horowitz13, Patrick Jöckel10, Beatrice Josse9, Douglas Kinnison7, Meiyun Lin13,23, Eva Mancini3, Michael E. Manyin12,22, Marion Marchand21, Virginie Marécal9, Martine Michou9, Luke D. Oman12, Giovanni Pitari3, David A. Plummer4, Laura E. Revell5,6, David Saint-Martin9, Robyn Schofield11, Andrea Stenke5, Kane Stone11,a, Kengo Sudo19, Taichu Y. Tanaka15, Simone Tilmes7, Yousuke Yamashita8,b, Kohei Yoshida15, and Guang Zeng1 1National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New Zealand 2Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK 3Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, Universitá dell’Aquila, L’Aquila, Italy 4Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montréal, Canada 5Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich (ETHZ), Zürich, Switzerland 6Bodeker Scientific, Christchurch, New Zealand 7National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, Colorado, USA 8National Institute of Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan 9CNRM UMR 3589, Météo-France/CNRS, -
Dispersion Modeling of Air Pollutants in the Atmosphere: a Review
Cent. Eur. J. Geosci. • 6(3) • 2014 • 257-278 DOI: 10.2478/s13533-012-0188-6 Central European Journal of Geosciences Dispersion modeling of air pollutants in the atmosphere: a review Research Article Ádám Leelossy˝ 1, Ferenc Molnár Jr.2, Ferenc Izsák3, Ágnes Havasi3, István Lagzi4, Róbert Mészáros1∗ 1 Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary 2 Department of Physics, Applied Physics, and Astronomy, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York, USA 3 Department of Applied Analysis and Computational Mathematics, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary 4 Department of Physics, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Budapest, Hungary Received 22 October 2013; accepted 15 May 2014 Abstract: Modeling of dispersion of air pollutants in the atmosphere is one of the most important and challenging scientific problems. There are several natural and anthropogenic events where passive or chemically active compounds are emitted into the atmosphere. The effect of these chemical species can have serious impacts on our environment and human health. Modeling the dispersion of air pollutants can predict this effect. Therefore, development of various model strategies is a key element for the governmental and scientific communities. We provide here a brief review on the mathematical modeling of the dispersion of air pollutants in the atmosphere. We discuss the advantages and drawbacks of several model tools and strategies, namely Gaussian, Lagrangian, Eulerian and CFD models. We especially focus on several recent advances in this multidisciplinary research field, like parallel computing using graphical processing units, or adaptive mesh refinement. Keywords: air pollution modeling • Lagrangian model • Eulerian model • CFD; accidental release • parallel computing © Versita sp. -
Influence of Ozone Recovery and Greenhouse Gas Increases on Southern Hemisphere Circulation Alexey Y
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 115, D22117, doi:10.1029/2010JD014423, 2010 Influence of ozone recovery and greenhouse gas increases on Southern Hemisphere circulation Alexey Y. Karpechko,1,2 Nathan P. Gillett,3 Lesley J. Gray,4 and Mauro Dall’Amico5,6 Received 27 April 2010; revised 6 September 2010; accepted 13 September 2010; published 24 November 2010. [1] Stratospheric ozone depletion has significantly influenced the tropospheric circulation and climate of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) over recent decades, the largest trends being detected in summer. These circulation changes include acceleration of the extratropical tropospheric westerly jet on its poleward side and lowered Antarctic sea level pressure. It is therefore expected that ozone changes will continue to influence climate during the 21st century when ozone recovery is expected. Here we use two contrasting future ozone projections from two chemistry‐climate models (CCMs) to force 21st century simulations of the HadGEM1 coupled atmosphere‐ocean model, along with A1B greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, and study the simulated response in the SH circulation. According to several studies, HadGEM1 simulates present tropospheric climate better than the majority of other available models. When forced by the larger ozone recovery trends, HadGEM1 simulates significant deceleration of the tropospheric jet on its poleward side in the upper troposphere in summer, but the trends in the lower troposphere are not significant. In the simulations with the smaller ozone recovery trends the zonal mean zonal wind trends are not significant throughout the troposphere. The response of the SH circulation to GHG concentration increases in HadGEM1 includes an increase in poleward eddy heat flux in the stratosphere and positive sea level pressure trends in southeastern Pacific. -
Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): Status and Relevance for Numerical Weather Prediction, Atmospheric Pollution and Climate Research
GAW Report No. 226 WWRP 2016-1 WCRP Report No. 9/2016 Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): status and relevance for numerical weather prediction, atmospheric pollution and climate research (Geneva, Switzerland, 23-25 February 2015) WEATHER CLIMATE WATER CLIMATE WEATHER WMO-No. 1172 GAW Report No. 226 WWRP 2016-1 WCRP Report No. 9/2016 Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology/ Climate Modelling (CCMM): status and relevance for numerical weather prediction, atmospheric pollution and climate research (Geneva, Switzerland, 23-25 February 2015) WMO-No. 1172 2016 WMO-No. 1172 © World Meteorological Organization, 2016 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chairperson, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] ISBN 978-92-63-11172-2 NOTE The designations employed in WMO publications and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WMO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of itsfrontiers or boundaries. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by WMO in preference to others of a similar nature which are not mentioned or advertised.