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Real Estate for a changing world RESEARCH AT A GLANCE CZECH REPUBLIC INDUSTRIAL Q4 2019 VACANCY RATE SLIGHTLY DECREASED • In total, more than 205,000 sq m of modern industrial stock completed in Q4 2019 • Industrial yield dropped to 5% SUPPLY & VACANCY NEW SUPPLY, VACANCY RATE In 2019, more than 644,000 sq m of new modern industrial space sq m, % was delivered to the market, which was 19% less than in the previous 300 000 9 year. At the end of 2019, we registered 502,000 sq m under 8 250 000 construction, at the end of 2018 it was 8% more. More than 205,000 7 sq m were completed in Q4 2019. Major completions included new 200 000 6 5 logistics hall DC9 (26,900 sq m) in the logistic park P3 Prague D11, 150 000 4 followed by Renwon Business Park Chrastava (19,500 sq m) and hall 100 000 3 D (16,400 sq m) in Panattoni Pilsen Park West. 2 50 000 1 Despite a relatively high new supply, the vacancy rate continued 0 0 to decrease slightly throughout 2019, from 4.75% in Q1 2019 to 4.6% in Q4 2019. New supply Vacancy rate Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate KEY. FIGURES 8.47 m sq m 644,200 sq m 501,800 sq m 4.6% TOTAL STOCK NEW SUPPLY 2019 UNDER CONSTRUCTION VACANCY RATE Real Estate for a changing world 1 AT A GLANCE Q4 2019 CZECH REPUBLIC INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW • The Czech National Bank raised interest rates in February 2020. The basic interest rate rose by 0.25% to 2.25%. After a surprising rate hike, the Czech koruna appreciated to CZK 24.90 / EUR. • According to preliminary data, the Czech economy grew by 2.4% in 2019. The Czech economic growth is projected 7.2% 2.8% 2.0% to slow down to 2.0% in 2020 and to reach 2.2% in 2021. NOMINAL WAGE CONSUMER UNEMPLOYMENT • The unemployment rate reached 2.0% at the end of 2019, GROWTH PRICE INDEX RATE down by 0.1 percentage point year on year. 2019 2019 2019 • CPI rose in the last months of 2019, reaching 2.8%. GDP AT CONSTANT PRICES UNEMPLOYMENT RATE %, y/y %, y/y 8% 14% 6% 12% 4% 10% 2% 8% 0% -2% 6% -4% 4% -6% 2% 0% Czech Republic Eurozone Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate Czech Republic Eurozone Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate VACANCY & RENTS €3.80-4.80 PRIME HEADLINE RENTS (per sq m per month) 5.0% Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate PRIME YIELD Real Estate for a changing world 2 AT A GLANCE Q4 2019 CZECH REPUBLIC INDUSTRIAL DEMAND MAJOR NEW LEASES TAKE - U P Q4 2019 Y/Y Q/Q TENANT PROPERTY SIZE (sq m) DEAL TYPE Gross: 280,900 sq m -23% -29% Confidential CTPark Bor 28,700 Expansion Net: 231,800 sq m 0% -8% VGP Park Hrádek Confidential nad Nisou 17,800 New lease 2019 Y/Y CTPark Prague Confidential East 16,300 New lease Gross: 1,370,000 sq m -3% Prologis Park Confidential 13,500 Expansion Net: 933,400 sq m +11% Pilsen II ANNUAL TAKE-UP Q1 - Q4 2019 NET TAKE-UP BY REGION sq m % 1 600 000 4% 1% 4% 5% 1 400 000 Greater Prague 26% Moravia-Silesia Region 1 200 000 5% Plzeň Region 1 000 000 South Moravia Region 7% 800 000 Central Bohemia Region Karlovy Vary Region 600 000 Ústí nad Labem Region 400 000 Liberec Region 12% Olomouc Region 200 000 19% Hradec Králové Region 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 17% Gross take-up Net take-up Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate QUARTERLY TAKE-UP SUMMARY & OUTLOOK sq m • More than 644,000 sq m of warehousing space were delivered to the market in 2019. In Q4 2019, the total modern 600 000 warehouse stock in the Czech Republic accounted approximately 8.47 million sq m. 500 000 • The vacancy rate remains low despite the relatively high new 400 000 supply in 2019. In Q4 2019, the vacancy rate slightly decreased in comparison with the previous quarter to 4.6%. 300 000 • In 2019, gross take-up slightly decreased in comparison 200 000 with 2018 by 3% and amounted to 1,370,000 sq m. In contrast, the net take-up saw a rise of 11%. The share of renegotiations 100 000 accounted for 13%. 0 • At the end of Q4 2019, we registered 502,000 sq m of modern warehouse space under construction, thereof more than 400,000 sq m with expected completion in 2020. More than 28% of the total space under construction is located Gross take up Net take up in the Moravia-Silesia region. Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate • Rent increased slightly in 2019 and stood between €3.80 and €4.80 per sq m per month. Real Estate for a changing world 3 AT A GLANCE Q4 2019 CZECH REPUBLIC INDUSTRIAL GREATER PRAGUE • The Capital City of Prague is the economic centre of the country and as for economy, has a unique position within the CR. Its economic output consistantly contributes roughly a quarter of the national GDP. Prague is the largest regional labour market KEY INDICATORS in the Czech Republic and affects also the rest of the country, especially Central Bohemian Region, where the unemployment rate continously drops. • The unemployment rate in Q4 2019 was 1.9%. 3,108,000 sq m 3.1% • Prague is a central point of all highway routes and is also TOTAL STOCK VACANCY RATE an important international railway junction. Air transport including freight is provided particularly by the Václav Havel Airport Prague. 34,700 sq m €4.10 – 4.80 • Greater Prague is the largest warehouse market in the Czech UNDER PRIME HEADLINE RENTS Republic. It accounts for 37% of the country‘s total stock. CONSTRUCTION (per sq m per month) • More than 54,800 sq m of modern warehouse space was added to the market in Q4 2019. • In Q4 2019, the total demand amounted to 117,000 sq m, out of which net take-up represented 69%. About 42% of the total national demand was concluded in Greater Prague. • In 2019, the total demand reached more than 492,000 sq m, half of which was net take-up. EXISTING WAREHOUSE SPACE 32 1. Airport Logistics 10 34 & Service Center 2. Areál Letov 3. Areál Zdiby 4. Big Box Horní Počernice 5. Business Park Prague Chrášťany 21 6. Business Park Průmyslová 11 7. CPI Park Vestec 8. CTPark Prague Airport 3 9. CTPark Prague East 3 23 10. CTPark Prague North 36 11. Čestlice Business Park 2 12. Goodman Jažlovice 26 20 8 1 17 30 Logistics Centre 13. Jažlovice PPL 22 4 14. KSF Jažlovice 25 27 35 15. Green Square Říčany 24 37 16. Karlovarská Business Park 33 16 17. Letňany Business Park 6 18. Life Point Čestlice 39 38 39 40 19. P3 Prague D1 42 40 20. P3 Prague D11 5 21. P3 Prague D8 31 22. P3 Prague Horní Počernice 23. P3 Prague Letňany 15 24. Panattoni Park Prague Airport I 11 25. Panattoni 18 9 Park Prague Airport II 7 26. Penny Market Radonice 41 27. Prologis Park Prague Airport 14 12 28. Prologis Park Prague D1 East 13 28 29. Prologis Park Prague D1 West 29 19 30. Prologis Park Prague Jirny 31. Prologis Park Prague Rudná 32. Prologis Park Prague Úžice 33. Segro Logistics Park Prague 34. Tesco DC Postřižín 35. VGP Park Jeneč 36. VGP Park Tuchoměřice 37. Warehouse Jeneč 38. Business Park Prague Zličín 39. CTPark Prague West 40. Eastgate Prague 41. Omikron Dobřejovice 42. City Park Hostivař Real Estate for a changing world 4 AT A GLANCE Q4 2019 CZECH REPUBLIC INDUSTRIAL CENTRAL BOHEMIAN REGION • The Central Bohemian Region is surrounding the Capital City of Prague. Its area, number of municipalities, and population make it the largest region of the Czech Republic. The Region is KEY INDICATORS an important source of labor force for Prague. • The unemployment rate in Q4 2019 was 2.4%. • The Central Bohemian Region has the second densest (after sq m % Prague), but also the most overloaded transport network 671,050 5.2 TOTAL STOCK VACANCY RATE in the CR. Main railway and road transit networks lead over the territory of the region to the Capital City. The region benefits also from the water transport. • The biggest car manufacturer in the country Škoda Auto, is also 13,100 sq m €4.10 – 4.50 the biggest company in the region. It is based in Mladá Boleslav. UNDER PRIME HEADLINE RENTS This is one of the reasons why almost 67% of all warehouses in CONSTRUCTION (per sq m per month) the Central Bohemian Region is located in Mladá Boleslav and its surrounding. • All the space under construction is located in Mladá Boleslav. • 41,460 sq m of modern warehouse space was added to the market in Q4 2019. • Demand amounted to 16,200 sq m in Q4 2019. • In 2019, the total demand reached almost 100,000 sq m, of which net take-up was 65%. EXISTING WAREHOUSE SPACE 11 13 1. Brandýs nad Labem 10 14 Continental 15 2. C-Mec Kladno 7 3. CTPark Divišov 8 4. Archan Park Zápy 5. CTPark Kutná Hora 9 6. CTPark Lysá nad Labem 7. CTPark Mladá Boleslav 8. CTPark Mladá Boleslav II 4 9. D+D Brodce 10. D+D Park Kosmonosy 11. Goodman Mladá Boleslav Logistics 6 12. Kolín Business Park 1 12 13.
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