P1.28 a Digital Archive of Significant Florida Weather Events to Improve the Public’S Response to Future Warnings
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NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS HYDR0-20 STORM TIDE
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS HYDR0-20 STORM TIDE FREQUENCY ANALYSIS FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM CAPE SAN BLAS TO ST. PETERSBURG BEACH Francis P. Ho and Robert J. Tracey Office of Hydrology Silver Spring, Md. April 1975 UNITED STATES /NATIONAL OCEANIC AND / National Weather DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION Service Frederick B. Dent, Secretar1 Robert M. White, Administrator George P, Cressman, Director CONTENTS 1. Introduction. • • • • • • • 1 1.1 Objective and scope •• 1 1.2 Authorization •• 1 1.3 Study method •• 2 2. Summary of historical hurricanes •• 2 2.1 Hurricane tracks 2 2.2 Historical notes 3 3. Climatology of hurricane characteristics. 8 3.1 Frequency of hurricane tracks •••. 8 3.2 Probability distribution of hurricane intensity. 8 3.3 Probability distribution of radius of maximum winds. 9 3.4 Probability distribution of speed and direction of forward motion • . • • • • • • • • 9 4. Hurricane surge • • • • 9 4.1 Surge model ••• 9 4.2 Shoaling factor •• 10 5. Tide frequency analysis by joint probability method • 10 5.1 The joint probability method • 10 5.2 Astronomical tides •••••• 11 5.2.1 Reference datum •.•••• 11 Table 1. Tropical storm parameters - Clearwater, Fla 12 Table 2. Tropical storm parameters - Bayport, Fla •• 13 Table 3. Tropical storm parameters - Cedar Key, Fla. 14 Table 4. Tropical storm parameters- Rock ·Islands, Fla .. 15 Table 5. Tropical storm parameters - Carrabelle, Fla • 16 Table 6. Tropical storm parameters - Apalachicola, Fla 17 5.2.2 Astronomical tide • • • •.• 19 5.3 Prestorm water level ••••••. 19 5.4 Tide frequencies • • • • . • ••• 19 5.5 Adjustment along coast ••••••.•••.•••. 19 5.6 Comparison of frequency curves with observed tides and high-water marks • • • • • • • • • • • . -
Florida's Water Resources1
FE757 Florida’s Water Resources1 Tatiana Borisova and Tara Wade2 Introduction: Why Water Resources Are Important “Water is the lifeblood of our bodies, our economy, our nation and our well-being” (Stephen Lee Johnson, Head of EPA under G.W. Bush Administration). This quote sums up the importance of water resources. We use water for drinking, gardening, and other household uses, in agriculture (e.g., for irrigation), and in energy production and industrial processes (e.g., for cooling in thermoelectric power generation). Clean and plentiful water resources are also important for our recreational activities (e.g., boating, swimming, or fishing). Water also Figure 1. In November, manatees migrate to warmer coastal waters, sustains wildlife (such as manatees) and is an integral part such as Crystal River on the west coast of Florida (Source: UF/IFAS/ICS) of Florida’s environment (Figure 1). The use of water is increasing along with Florida’s of Florida’s water resources is a first step toward optimizing population. Floridians rely on underground freshwater current freshwater supply use and ensuring adequate water reserves, called aquifers, to supply our diverse water needs resources in the future. (USGS 2016a). In some Florida regions, this underground freshwater reserve can no longer sustain the growing water demands of the population, while also feeding Florida’s riv- Hydrologic Cycle: Where Water ers, springs, and lakes. With periodic droughts, shortages of Originates and Where It Goes freshwater may occur. Drought and water shortages in the Toni Morrison, an American novelist, once said that “all state have caused urban planners and policy makers to pay water has a perfect memory and is forever trying to get closer attention to water use, water supply development, back to where it was.” Indeed, water is constantly moving. -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms
FLORIDA HURRICANES AND TROPICAL STORMS 1871-1995: An Historical Survey Fred Doehring, Iver W. Duedall, and John M. Williams '+wcCopy~~ I~BN 0-912747-08-0 Florida SeaGrant College is supported by award of the Office of Sea Grant, NationalOceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce,grant number NA 36RG-0070, under provisions of the NationalSea Grant College and Programs Act of 1966. This information is published by the Sea Grant Extension Program which functionsas a coinponentof the Florida Cooperative Extension Service, John T. Woeste, Dean, in conducting Cooperative Extensionwork in Agriculture, Home Economics, and Marine Sciences,State of Florida, U.S. Departmentof Agriculture, U.S. Departmentof Commerce, and Boards of County Commissioners, cooperating.Printed and distributed in furtherance af the Actsof Congressof May 8 andJune 14, 1914.The Florida Sea Grant Collegeis an Equal Opportunity-AffirmativeAction employer authorizedto provide research, educational information and other servicesonly to individuals and institutions that function without regardto race,color, sex, age,handicap or nationalorigin. Coverphoto: Hank Brandli & Rob Downey LOANCOPY ONLY Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms 1871-1995: An Historical survey Fred Doehring, Iver W. Duedall, and John M. Williams Division of Marine and Environmental Systems, Florida Institute of Technology Melbourne, FL 32901 Technical Paper - 71 June 1994 $5.00 Copies may be obtained from: Florida Sea Grant College Program University of Florida Building 803 P.O. Box 110409 Gainesville, FL 32611-0409 904-392-2801 II Our friend andcolleague, Fred Doehringpictured below, died on January 5, 1993, before this manuscript was completed. Until his death, Fred had spent the last 18 months painstakingly researchingdata for this book. -
Vulnerability of the Suncoast Connector Toll Road Study Area to Future Storms and Sea Level Rise
Vulnerability of the Suncoast Connector Toll Road Study Area to Future Storms and Sea Level Rise Michael I. Volk, Belinda B. Nettles, Thomas S. Hoctor University of Florida April, 2020 Suncoast Connector Coastal Vulnerability Assessment 2 Abstract The Multi-use Corridors of Regional Economic Significance Program (M-CORES) authorizes the design and construction of three new toll road corridors through portions of Florida, including the proposed Suncoast Connector. This paper assesses the potential vulnerability of the Suncoast Connector study area and specifically the U.S. 19/U.S. 27/U.S. 98 corridor to coastal hazards including storms and sea level rise. The results of this analysis indicate that the study area and existing U.S. 19/U.S. 27/U.S. 98 corridor are not only currently at risk from flooding and coastal storms, but that sea level rise and climate change will significantly exacerbate these risks in the future. Findings include that at least 30 percent of the study area is already at risk from a Category 5 storm surge, with sea level rise projected to increase that risk even further. This region also provides one of the best opportunities for coastal biodiversity to functionally respond to increasing sea level rise, but a new major highway corridor along with the additional development that it facilitates will complicate biodiversity conservation and resiliency efforts. With these concerns in mind, it is critical to ensure that investment in new infrastructure, if pursued within the study area, is strategic and located in areas least vulnerable to impacts and repeat loss and least likely to conflict with efforts for facilitating the adaptation of regional natural systems to sea level rise and other related impacts. -
Suncoast Weather Observer
Suncoast Weather Observer Summer 2010 Issue 1, Volume 15 Inside This Issue... NWS Forecasters Help Australia with Fire Weather Support Visibility Sensors to Shed Light for Marine Vessels Forecaster Spends a Month at the Southern Region Operations Center in Texas Busy 2010 So Far for Spanish Outreach CQ’s the Word! TARC and CERT Clubs Join NWS Outreach Efforts Decision Support Services Preparing the Public for the 2010 Hurricane Season Hurricane Climatology 2010 Hurricane Outlook SPECIAL FEATURE: So What Has Happened to the Summer Thunderstorms That You Can Usually Set Your Watch By? NWS Forecasters Help Australia with Fire Weather Support By: Rick Davis NWS TBW senior meteorologist and Incident Meteorologist (IMET) Rick Davis worked with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) in Melbourne, providing fire weather decision support services, to the State of Victoria, for the month of April 2010. He was part of a small group of NWS forecasters to do so during their active fire season. Typically, El Niño produces warmer and drier than normal summer conditions for Southeast Australia, and this was generally true this year as well. In Melbourne, a record number of days above 20 C (68 F) was set at 123 consecutive days ending April 11th, smashing the previous record, which helped make this the warmest summer on record, while rainfall was generally near normal. Fire Danger Ratings varied through the month but usually ranged from high to very high, then a cold weather outbreak brought cooler and more moist conditions with scattered rain for much of the state, reducing the fire danger ratings at the end of the month. -
2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Now Is the Time to Get Ready for a Hurricane
SUMMER 2020 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins Now is the time to get ready for a hurricane he 2020 Hurricane Season started June 1. Hurricanes are El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are expected to either among nature’s most powerful and destructive phenomena. remain neutral or to trend toward La Nina, meaning there will not be an T Early forecasts by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric El Nino present to suppress hurricane activity. Also, there are warm- Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center is predicting er-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic above-normal activity for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Ocean and Caribbean Sea, coupled with reduced vertical wind NOAA is a division of the National Weather Service. shear, and weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds. Similar con- The outlook predicts a 60 percent chance of an above-nor- ditions have been producing more active seasons since the mal season, a 30 percent chance of a near-normal season and current high-activity era began in 1995. only a 10 percent chance of a below-normal season. The Atlantic Hurricanes pose the greatest threat to life and property hurricane season officially runs from June 1 through November 30. however, tropical storms and depressions can also be devastating. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a likely range of 13 The primary hazards from tropical storms, tropical depressions, and to 19 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could hurricanes, are storm surge flooding, inland flooding from heavy rains, become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hur- destructive winds, tornadoes, and high surf and rip current. -
Probable Maximum Precipitation East of the 105Th Meridian for Areas from 10 to 1,000 Square Miles and Durations of 6, 12, 24, and 48 Hours
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL REPORT NO. 41 Probable Maximum and TYA Precipitation over the Tennessee River Basin above Chattanooga u.s. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE WEATHER BUREAU Washington June 1965 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL REPORTS (Nos. 6-22 NUlnbered Retroactively) *No. 1. Maximum possible precipitation over the Ompompanoosuc Basin above Union Village, Vt. 1943. *No. 2. Maximum possible precipitation over the Ohio River Basin above Pittsburgh, Pa. 1942. *No. 3. Maximum possible precipitation over the Sacramento Basin of California. 1943. *No. 4. Maximum possible precipitation over the Panama Canal Basin. 1943. *No. 5. Thunderstorm rainfall. 1947. *No. 6. A preliminary report on th,e probable occurrence of excessive precipitation over Fort Supply Basin, Okla. 1938. *No. 7. Worst probable meteorological condition on Mill Creek, Butler and Hamilton Counties, Ohio. 1937. (Unpub- lished.) Supplement, 1938. *No. 8. A hydrometeorological analysis of possible maximum precipitation over St. Francis River Basin above Wappa . pello, Mo. 1938. *No. 9. A report on the possible occurrence of maximum precipitation over White River Basin above Mud Mountain Dam site, Wash. 1939. *No. 10. Maximum possible rainfall over the Arkansas River Basin above Caddoa, Colo. 1939. Supplement, 1939. *No. 11. A preliminary report on the maximum possible precipitation over the Dorena, Cottage Grove, and Fern Ridge Basins in the Willamette Basin, Oreg. 1939. *No. 12. Maximum possible precipitation over the Red River Basin above Denison, Tex. 1939. *No. 13. A report on the maximum possible precipitation over Cherry Creek Basin in Colorado. 1940. *No. 14. The frequency of flood-producing rainfall over the Pajaro River Basin in California. 1940. *No. 15. A report on depth-frequency relations of thunderstorm rainfall on the Sevier Basin, Utah. -
Volume 1-3 North Central Florida Region Technical Data Report
Volume 1-3 North Central Florida Region Technical Data Report CHAPTER II REGIONAL HAZARDS ANALYSIS This page intentionally left blank. Statewide Regional Evacuation Studies Program Volume 1-3 North Central Florida Table of Contents CHAPTER II REGIONAL HAZARDS ANALYSIS .................................................................... 1 A. Hazards Identification and Risk Assessment ........................................................................ 1 1. Frequency of Occurrence .................................................................................................... 1 2. Vulnerability Factors ............................................................................................................ 1 3. Vulnerability Impact Areas .................................................................................................. 1 B. Coastal Storms and Hurricanes .............................................................................................. 5 1. Coastal Storm /Hurricane Hazard Profile .......................................................................... 5 2. Hurricane Hazards ................................................................................................................ 7 3. Storm Surge: The SLOSH Model ........................................................................................ 8 4. Hurricane Wind Analysis.................................................................................................... 17 5. Tornadoes .......................................................................................................................... -
New England Hurricanes of Note (PDF)
THE COMMONWEALTH OF MASSACHUSETTS EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF PUBLIC SAFETY _____________________________ MASSACHUSETTS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY 400 Worcester Road Framingham, MA 01702-5399 Cristine McCombs Mitt Romney Director Governor Tel: 508-820-2000 Fax: 508-820-2030 Website: www.mass.gov/mema Kerry Healey Lieutenant Governor Robert C. Haas Secretary FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: Peter Judge June 1, 2006 (508) 820-2002 NEW ENGLAND HURRICANES OF NOTE FRAMINGHAM, MA – Although the approaching Hurricane Season in New England is defined as June 1st through November 30th, the vast majority of the 40 tropical systems that have impacted our region over the past century have struck during the months of August and September. Because Massachusetts is such a relatively small state, it is important to realize that these are not just ‘coastal events’, but, in fact, everyone in the Commonwealth can be severely impacted by a major storm. “New England is in the unenviable position of receiving all three types of Hurricane Threats,” states Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency Director Cristine McCombs. “Depending upon the storm’s track and landfall location, we can experience coastal inundation from storm surge, widespread inland river flooding, and widespread wind damage.” To best prepare ourselves for the future, it is important to revisit the past, and examine a dozen of the most notable New England Hurricanes and their catastrophic impact upon our region. The Great Colonial Hurricane of 1635 August 25, 1635 This was the first historical record of an intense hurricane striking New England. The highest winds have been estimated at Category 3 or greater, with winds of 115-plus mph. -
Hurricane Irma After Action Report
HURRICANE IRMA CITY OF NAPLES FIRE-RESCUE DEPARTMENT Fire-Rescue Headquarters 355 Riverside Circle - Naples, FL. 34102 Phone: 239-213-4900 Pete DiMaria, Fire Chief December 18, 2017 Honorable Mayor and City Council, The After-Action Report is a process used by emergency responders to capture the lessons learned from past successes and failures, with the goal of improving future performances. This is an opportunity for reflection on the event so that the success or failure, and ultimate improvements can be made. The After-Action Report has been compiled based upon feedback from City of Naples employees, emergency operations staff, department directors and some community leaders who played key roles during the response and recovery efforts of Hurricane Irma. On September 10, 2017, the City of Naples experienced the effects of a major hurricane in our area. The high winds and heavy rain of a hurricane wreaked havoc and for the first time in nearly a decade, the City of Naples faced the threat of a major hurricane making a direct impact to our community. The City of Naples community, personnel and partnering agencies prepared for the storm and the challenging response and recovery to come. In true Naples form, the response and recovery exceeded expectations; the assistance provided was invaluable to our community, residents and visitors. Naples has recovered quickly and set an example for other communities faced with similar circumstances. Naples Fire-Rescue is privileged to present the following After-Action Report and would like to thank City Council, City Manager Moss, Assistant City Manager Reinke, the Department Directors, City of Naples employees and all the Fire-Rescue personnel that contributed key roles in the incident and producing this report. -
Landslides Triggered by Hurricane Hugo in Eastern Puerto Rico, September 1989
Caribbean Journal of Science, Vol. 28, No. 3-4, 113.125, 1992 Copyright 1992 College of Arts and Science University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez Landslides Triggered by Hurricane Hugo in Eastern Puerto Rico, September 1989 M ATTHEW C. LARSEN AND A NGEL J. TORRES S ANCHEZ U.S. Geological Survey, P.O. Box 364424, San ]uan, Puerto Rico, 00936-4424 ABSTRACT . – On the morning of September 18, 1989, a category-four hurricane struck eastern Puerto Rico with a sustained wind speed in excess of 46 m/sec. The 24-h rainfall accumulation from the hurricane ranged from 100 to 339 mm. Average rainfall intensities ranging from 34 to 39 mm/h were calculated for 4 and 6 h periods, respectively, at a rain gage equipped with satellite telemetry, and at an observer station. The hurricane rainfall triggered more than 400 landslides in the steeply sloping, highly dissected mountains of eastern Puerto Rico. Of these landslides, 285 were mapped from aerial photography which covered 6474 ha. Many of the mapped landslides were on northeast- and northwest-facing slopes at the eastern terminus of the mountains, nearest the hurricane path. The surface area of individual landslides ranged from 18 m2 to 4500 m2, with a median size of 148 m2. The 285 landslides disturbed 0.11% of the land surface in the area covered by aerial photographs. An approximate denudation rate of 164 mm/1000 yr was calculated from the volume of material eroded by landsliding and the 10-yr rainfall recurrence interval. RESUMEN. — En la manana del 18 de septiembre de 1989, un huracan de categoria cuatro paso por el sector este de Puerto Rico con vientos sostenidos de mas de 46 metros por segundo.