Cira Annual Report Fy 08/09
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Annual Report COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE for RESEARCH in ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
2015 Annual Report COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 2015 annual report University of Colorado Boulder UCB 216 Boulder, CO 80309-0216 COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES University of Colorado Boulder 216 UCB Boulder, CO 80309-0216 303-492-1143 [email protected] http://cires.colorado.edu CIRES Director Waleed Abdalati Annual Report Staff Katy Human, Director of Communications, Editor Susan Lynds and Karin Vergoth, Editing Robin L. Strelow, Designer Agreement No. NA12OAR4320137 Cover photo: Mt. Cook in the Southern Alps, West Coast of New Zealand’s South Island Birgit Hassler, CIRES/NOAA table of contents Executive summary & research highlights 2 project reports 82 From the Director 2 Air Quality in a Changing Climate 83 CIRES: Science in Service to Society 3 Climate Forcing, Feedbacks, and Analysis 86 This is CIRES 6 Earth System Dynamics, Variability, and Change 94 Organization 7 Management and Exploitation of Geophysical Data 105 Council of Fellows 8 Regional Sciences and Applications 115 Governance 9 Scientific Outreach and Education 117 Finance 10 Space Weather Understanding and Prediction 120 Active NOAA Awards 11 Stratospheric Processes and Trends 124 Systems and Prediction Models Development 129 People & Programs 14 CIRES Starts with People 14 Appendices 136 Fellows 15 Table of Contents 136 CIRES Centers 50 Publications by the Numbers 136 Center for Limnology 50 Publications 137 Center for Science and Technology -
The HWRF Hurricane Ensemble Data Assimilation System (HEDAS) for High-Resolution Data: the Impact of Airborne Doppler Radar Observations in an OSSE
JUNE 2012 A K S O Y E T A L . 1843 The HWRF Hurricane Ensemble Data Assimilation System (HEDAS) for High-Resolution Data: The Impact of Airborne Doppler Radar Observations in an OSSE ALTUG˘AKSOY AND SYLVIE LORSOLO Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, and Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML, Miami, Florida TOMISLAVA VUKICEVIC Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML, Miami, Florida KATHRYN J. SELLWOOD Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, and Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML, Miami, Florida SIM D. ABERSON Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/AOML, Miami, Florida FUQING ZHANG Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania (Manuscript received 10 August 2011, in final form 6 December 2011) ABSTRACT Within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Hurricane Research Division of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory has developed the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Ensemble Data Assimilation System (HEDAS) to assimilate hurricane inner-core observations for high-resolution vortex initialization. HEDAS is based on a serial implementation of the square root ensemble Kalman filter. HWRF is configured with a horizontal grid spacing of 9/3 km on the outer/inner domains. In this preliminary study, airborne Doppler radar radial wind observations are simulated from a higher-resolution (4.5/1.5 km) version of the same model with other modifications that resulted in appreciable model error. A 24-h nature run simulation of Hurricane Paloma was initialized at 1200 UTC 7 November 2008 and produced a realistic, category-2-strength hurricane vortex. The impact of assimilating Doppler wind obser- vations is assessed in observation space as well as in model space. -
Baseball's Worst Team Fred Worth Department of Mathematics and Computer Science
Academic Forum 21 2003-04 Baseball's Worst Team Fred Worth Department of Mathematics and Computer Science Abstract - In this paper we will look at some of the worst teams in baseball history and try to decide which team was indeed the worst. We will look at some statistics that will compare the teams to the teams of their day to try to account for the differences in eras. Introduction Much discussion is heard regarding who the best player, hitter, pitcher, etc. in baseball history may have been. There is not typically a lot of discussion on who the worst in any of these categories may be. The 2003 season changed that a little bit due to the incredible futility displayed by the Detroit Tigers. In this paper, we will look at some of the worst teams in baseball history and see if, indeed, the Tigers qualify. Preliminary Criteria The first consideration needs to be what criteria we will use to make our determination of the worst team. Certainly the teams win-loss record and winning percentage should be considered. Since the word "worst" implies a comparison, we should also look a how far the teams finished out of first place and, to see how truly bad they were, how far they finished behind the next-to- last-place team. Candidates The following table lists the teams we will consider for the designation as the worst team in baseball history. There have been other teams that were very bad. Obviously the choice of candidates is fairly arbitrary, however, most would agree that these nine teams were rather bad. -
Hazen Preps to Go Solar, Students Lead the Way Staff Cuts Loom As Budget Awaits Voter
THE Since 1889 75 Cents HaHardwick ◆ Greensborord ◆ Craftsburyw ◆ Wickolcott ◆ Walden ◆ Stannard Gazette ◆ Woodbury ◆ Calais ◆ Cabot ◆ Marshfield Wednesday, January 20, 2010 Volume 121, Number 2 Hazen Preps To Go Solar, Students Lead The Way by Tommy Gardner further that education. students and the people in their com- HARDWICK — Hazen Union The federal grant is one of 10 munities learn more about solar School students won the school a awarded to Vermont schools, se- energy and smart ways to get to a $5,000 prize last year for reducing its cured by U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, greener future,” Sanders said. carbon footprint. Last week, the I-Vt., in a federal spending bill. In Twenty-three Vermont school learned it is in line for a a statement, Sanders said students schools submitted proposals, $50,000 grant to go solar. are the ones “with the most at which were looked over by the Hazen is being recognized for stake” when making choices about state Department of Education. its efforts at teaching students their energy sources. The winning proposals will be sub- green energy and now looks for- ”The projects at the 10 Vermont mitted to the U.S. Department of ward to some greenbacks to schools that were selected will help See SOLAR, Page Three Staff Cuts Loom As Budget Awaits Voter Say by June Pichel Cook the board directed Orleans South- Monday night, the school admin- CRAFTSBURY — After meet- west Supervisory Union istration presented two scenarios to ing twice since the new year began, superintendent Mark Andrews and the board. Scenario one, which re- including two executive sessions, the Craftsbury School principal Chirs duced staffing by .2 FTE would have School Board voted unanimously a Young to rework the budget and re- resulted in a 4.33 percent budget $3,234,586 budget Monday night. -
1 a Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season: October–November 2020
1 A Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season: October–November 2020 2 3 Philip J. Klotzbach* 4 Department of Atmospheric Science 5 Colorado State University 6 Fort Collins CO 80523 7 8 Kimberly M. Wood# 9 Department of Geosciences 10 Mississippi State University 11 Mississippi State MS 39762 12 13 Michael M. Bell 14 Department of Atmospheric Science 15 Colorado State University 16 Fort Collins CO 80523 17 1 18 Eric S. Blake 19 National Hurricane Center 1 Early Online Release: This preliminary version has been accepted for publication in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, may be fully cited, and has been assigned DOI 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0312.1. The final typeset copyedited article will replace the EOR at the above DOI when it is published. © 2021 American Meteorological Society Unauthenticated | Downloaded 09/26/21 05:03 AM UTC 20 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 21 Miami FL 33165 22 23 Steven G. Bowen 24 Aon 25 Chicago IL 60601 26 27 Louis-Philippe Caron 28 Ouranos 29 Montreal Canada H3A 1B9 30 31 Barcelona Supercomputing Center 32 Barcelona Spain 08034 33 34 Jennifer M. Collins 35 School of Geosciences 36 University of South Florida 37 Tampa FL 33620 38 2 Unauthenticated | Downloaded 09/26/21 05:03 AM UTC Accepted for publication in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0312.1. 39 Ethan J. Gibney 40 UCAR/Cooperative Programs for the Advancement of Earth System Science 41 San Diego, CA 92127 42 43 Carl J. Schreck III 44 North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System 45 Studies (CISESS) 46 North Carolina State University 47 Asheville NC 28801 48 49 Ryan E. -
Reconciled Climate Response Estimates from Climate Models and the Energy Budget of Earth
This is a repository copy of Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. White Rose Research Online URL for this paper: https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/101518/ Version: Accepted Version Article: Richardson, Mark, Cowtan, Kevin orcid.org/0000-0002-0189-1437, Hawkins, Ed et al. (1 more author) (2016) Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Nature Climate Change. pp. 931-935. ISSN 1758-678X https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3066 Reuse This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence. This licence allows you to distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon the work, even commercially, as long as you credit the authors for the original work. More information and the full terms of the licence here: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/ Takedown If you consider content in White Rose Research Online to be in breach of UK law, please notify us by emailing [email protected] including the URL of the record and the reason for the withdrawal request. [email protected] https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/ © 2015. All rights reserved. Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth Mark Richardson* Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, U.S.A. Email: [email protected] Phone: (+1) 818-354-4270 Address: Jet Propulsion Laboratory, M/S 233-300, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91101, U.S.A. Kevin Cowtan Department of Chemistry, University of York, York, UK Ed Hawkins National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK Martin B. -
Predicting Hurricane Trajectories Using a Recurrent Neural Network
The Thirty-Third AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-19) Predicting Hurricane Trajectories Using a Recurrent Neural Network Sheila Alemany,1 Jonathan Beltran,1 Adrian Perez,1 Sam Ganzfried1,2 1School of Computing and Information Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL 2Ganzfried Research, Miami, FL fsalem010, jbelt021, apere946g@fiu.edu, [email protected] Abstract have been recently used to forecast increasingly compli- cated systems. RNNs are a class of artificial neural networks Hurricanes are cyclones circulating about a defined center where the modification of weights allows the model to learn whose closed wind speeds exceed 75 mph originating over tropical and subtropical waters. At landfall, hurricanes can intricate dynamic temporal behaviors. A RNN with the ca- result in severe disasters. The accuracy of predicting their tra- pability of efficiently modeling complex nonlinear temporal jectory paths is critical to reduce economic loss and save hu- relationships of a hurricane could increase the accuracy of man lives. Given the complexity and nonlinearity of weather predicting future hurricane path forecasts. Development of data, a recurrent neural network (RNN) could be beneficial such an approach is the focus of this paper. in modeling hurricane behavior. We propose the application While others have used RNNs in the forecasting of of a fully connected RNN to predict the trajectory of hur- weather data, to our knowledge this is the first fully con- ricanes. We employed the RNN over a fine grid to reduce nected recurrent neural networks employed using a grid typical truncation errors. We utilized their latitude, longitude, model for hurricane trajectory forecasts. The proposed wind speed, and pressure publicly provided by the National method can more accurately predict trajectories of hurri- Hurricane Center (NHC) to predict the trajectory of a hur- ricane at 6-hour intervals. -
ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2008*
MAY 2010 A N N U A L S U M M A R Y 1975 ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2008* DANIEL P. BROWN,JOHN L. BEVEN,JAMES L. FRANKLIN, AND ERIC S. BLAKE NOAA/NWS/NCEP, National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 27 July 2009, in final form 17 September 2009) ABSTRACT The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year’s tropical cyclones are described. Sixteen named storms formed in 2008. Of these, eight became hurricanes with five of them strengthening into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale). There was also one tropical de- pression that did not attain tropical storm strength. These totals are above the long-term means of 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The 2008 Atlantic basin tropical cyclones produced significant impacts from the Greater Antilles to the Turks and Caicos Islands as well as along portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast. Hurricanes Gustav, Ike, and Paloma hit Cuba, as did Tropical Storm Fay. Haiti was hit by Gustav and adversely affected by heavy rains from Fay, Ike, and Hanna. Paloma struck the Cayman Islands as a major hurricane, while Omar was a major hurricane when it passed near the northern Leeward Islands. Six con- secutive cyclones hit the United States, including Hurricanes Dolly, Gustav, and Ike. The death toll from the Atlantic tropical cyclones is approximately 750. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2008 is also presented. Official track forecasts set records for accuracy at all lead times from 12 to 120 h, and forecast skill was also at record levels for all lead times. -
Central Planning Authority
Central Planning Authority Minutes of a meeting of the Central Planning Authority held on April 28, 2021 at 10:00am, in Conference Room 1038, 1st Floor, Government Administration Building, Elgin Avenue. 09th Meeting of the Year CPA/09/21 Mr. A. L. Thompson (Chairman) Mr. Robert Walter Jr. (Deputy Chairman) (Acting Chairman 2.6) Mr. Kris Bergstrom (left at 3:15) Mr. Peterkin Berry Mr. Edgar Ashton Bodden Mr. Roland Bodden Mr. Ray Hydes Mr. Trent McCoy Mr. Jaron Leslie Ms. Christina McTaggart-Pineda Mr. Selvin Richardson Mr. Fred Whittaker Mr. Haroon Pandohie (Executive Secretary) Mr. Ron Sanderson (Deputy Director of Planning – Current Planning) 1. Confirmation of Minutes & Declarations of Conflicts/Interests 2. Applications 3. Development Plan Matters 4. Planning Appeal Matters 5. Matters from the Director of Planning 6. CPA Members Information/Discussions 1 List of Applications Presented at CPA/09/21 1. 1 Confirmation of Minutes of CPA/08/21 held on April 13, 2021. .............................. 4 1. 2 Declarations of Conflicts/Interests ............................................................................ 4 2.1 REFUEL (Chalmers Gibbs Architects) Block 12C Parcel 517 (P21-0021) ($1M) (JP) 5 2.2 NWPR GROUP LTD. (Declan O’Brien) Block 2C Parcel 66&67 (P20-1021) ($12,320,000) (MW) ............................................................................................. 16 2.3 CAYMAN PROPERTY INVESTMENTS LTD (MJM Design Studio) Block 5B Parcel 162 (P20-1121) ($820,000) (JP) ........................................................................... 33 2.4 LOOKOUT HOLDINGS LTD. (Abernethy & Associates) Block 43A Parcels 54 and 409 Rem2 and Block 37A Parcel 15 (P20-0630) ($272,257) (BES) ........................... 49 2.5 KARL LOPEZ (Island Drafting) Block 28B Parcel 121 (P20-0551) ($660,269) (BES) 59 2.6 ANTHONY WELLINGTON (Architectural Designs and Cayman Contemporary) Block 14C Parcel 355 (P20-1058) ($8,000) (JP) ................................................................ -
1999 EOS Reference Handbook
1999 EOS Reference Handbook A Guide to NASA’s Earth Science Enterprise and the Earth Observing System http://eos.nasa.gov/ 1999 EOS Reference Handbook A Guide to NASA’s Earth Science Enterprise and the Earth Observing System Editors Michael D. King Reynold Greenstone Acknowledgements Special thanks are extended to the EOS Prin- Design and Production cipal Investigators and Team Leaders for providing detailed information about their Sterling Spangler respective instruments, and to the Principal Investigators of the various Interdisciplinary Science Investigations for descriptions of their studies. In addition, members of the EOS Project at the Goddard Space Flight Center are recognized for their assistance in verifying and enhancing the technical con- tent of the document. Finally, appreciation is extended to the international partners for For Additional Copies: providing up-to-date specifications of the instruments and platforms that are key ele- EOS Project Science Office ments of the International Earth Observing Mission. Code 900 NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Support for production of this document, Greenbelt, MD 20771 provided by Winnie Humberson, William Bandeen, Carl Gray, Hannelore Parrish and Phone: (301) 441-4259 Charlotte Griner, is gratefully acknowl- Internet: [email protected] edged. Table of Contents Preface 5 Earth Science Enterprise 7 The Earth Observing System 15 EOS Data and Information System (EOSDIS) 27 Data and Information Policy 37 Pathfinder Data Sets 45 Earth Science Information Partners and the Working Prototype-Federation 47 EOS Data Quality: Calibration and Validation 51 Education Programs 53 International Cooperation 57 Interagency Coordination 65 Mission Elements 71 EOS Instruments 89 EOS Interdisciplinary Science Investigations 157 Points-of-Contact 340 Acronyms and Abbreviations 354 Appendix 361 List of Figures 1. -
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WINS NINTH CONTEST IN A a ROM/-A CLEVELAND -A— -A— -mAm Ar ^Ar- MIKE RYBA GIVES Gornicki Hurls Cards To Eighth Win, 6 To 0 Over Phils UP 4RUNS IN 1ST -★ —;—.--* * Jimmie Death In Return Bout Kentucky Generals League-Leaders Sweep Two- Thrillers of Lynch Dodgers SINGLE IN SIXTH BOZZELL AND HILL Game Series With Red LOUISVILLE, Ky„ M.n. —This may sound 4 To 2 slightly Sox, RUINS NO-HITTER TO GRAPPLE HERE iny, but there were fiv» among the militia patrolling 3— (£1 —The ill Downs CLEVELAND. May Fans Brave Chilly today each of Indians ran Only 2,404 Kiauser And Also Pit- addressed as amazing Cleveland Slagle •■general" i„, w their winning streak to nine Weather, Watch Master- ted In Mat Bout At tain, but took orders Vo,?. exped- lieutenant. games today by the simple ful foi Hurling Thalian Hall Investigation ient of umping on Mike Ryba produced The explanation. The five four runs in the first inning. were 'th' the sistant attorneys 4 to 2 triumph over PHILADELPHIA, May 3.—<iP)—A general 0f T resultant A variety of mat weapons will State of Al but w. Red Sox was southpaw ruined Kentucky, Eoston single in the sixth inning be on display during the wrestling rates in Company third in four decisions. A, sc,,,n,i r' Milnar’s _ Gornicki’s chances of program to be presented at Thal- tucky regiment of that be s Pvookie Henry active mio' Mr. Ryba, so versatile lan hall tomorrow the bill from the -ason's night, Frankfort, Ky. -
2008 Tropical Cyclone Review Summarises Last Year’S Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Impact of the More Significant Cyclones After Landfall
2008 Tropical Cyclone 09 Review TWO THOUSAND NINE Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 NORTH ATLANTIC BASIN 2 Verification of 2008 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts 3 Tropical Cyclones Making US Landfall in 2008 4 Significant North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones in 2008 5 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009 15 NORTHWEST PACIFIC 17 Verification of 2008 Northwest Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts 19 Significant Northwest Pacific Tropical Cyclones in 2008 20 Northwest Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009 24 NORTHEAST PACIFIC 25 Significant Northeast Pacific Tropical Cyclones in 2008 26 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN 28 Significant North Indian Tropical Cyclones in 2008 28 AUSTRALIAN BASIN 30 Australian Region Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009/2010 31 Glossary of terms 32 FOR FURTHER DETAILS, PLEASE CONTACT [email protected], OR GO TO OUR CAT CENTRAL WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.GUYCARP.COM/PORTAL/EXTRANET/INSIGHTS/CATCENTRAL.HTML Tropical Cyclone Report 2008 Guy Carpenter ■ 1 Executive Summary The 2008 Tropical Cyclone Review summarises last year’s global tropical cyclone activity and the impact of the more significant cyclones after landfall. Tropical 1 cyclone activity is reviewed by oceanic basin, covering those that developed in the North Atlantic, Northwest Pacific, Northeast Pacific, North Indian Ocean and Australia. This report includes estimates of the economic and insured losses sus- tained from each cyclone (where possible). Predictions of tropical cyclone activity for the 2009 season are given per oceanic basin when permitted by available data. In the North Atlantic, 16 tropical storms formed during the 2008 season, compared to the 1950 to 2007 average of 9.7,1 an increase of 65 percent.