Structural Features of Typhoon RUSA's Center Revealed
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Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
TIROS V VIEWS FINAL STAGES in the LIFE of TYPHOON SARAH AUGUST 1962 CAPT.ROBERT W
MONTHLY M7EBTHER REVIEW 367 TIROS V VIEWS FINAL STAGES IN THE LIFE OF TYPHOON SARAH AUGUST 1962 CAPT.ROBERT w. FETT, AWS MEMBER National Weather Satellite Center, Washington D C [Manuscript Received April 18 1963, Revised May 28, 19631 ABSTRACT Four TIROS V mosaics showing typhoon Sarah on consecutive days during the period of its dccliiie are deecribcd. The initial development of what later became typhoon Vera is also shown. It is found that marked changes in storm intensity are rcflected in corresponding changes of appearance in the cloud patterns view-ed from the satellite. 1. INTRODUCTION read-out station shortly after the pictures were taken is also shown. Through cross reference from the niosaic to . The 3-week period froni the middle of August through the nephanalysis, locations of cloud I’eatures can con- the first week of September 1962, was one oE unusual veniently be determined. Photographic distortions of the activity for the western Pacific. No fewer than 6 ty- pictures and niosaic presentation are also rectified on the phoons developed, ran their devastating courses, and nephanalysis. The pictures begin in the Southern Hem- finally dissipated in mid-latitudes during this short spa11 isphere and extend northeastward past the Philippines, of time. over Formosa, Korea, and Japan, to the southern tip ol The TIROS V meteorological satellite was in position the Kamchatka Peninsula. The predominant cloud to view niany of these developments during various stages reatures in the southern portion of the mosaic consist of growth from formation to final decay. This provided mainly of clusters of cumulonimbus with anvil tops an unparalleled opportunity to obtain a visual record sheared toward the west-soutliwest by strong upper-level for extensive research into inany of the still unresolved east-northeasterly winds. -
North Pacific, on August 31
Marine Weather Review MARINE WEATHER REVIEW – NORTH PACIFIC AREA May to August 2002 George Bancroft Meteorologist Marine Prediction Center Introduction near 18N 139E at 1200 UTC May 18. Typhoon Chataan: Chataan appeared Maximum sustained winds increased on MPC’s oceanic chart area just Low-pressure systems often tracked from 65 kt to 120 kt in the 24-hour south of Japan at 0600 UTC July 10 from southwest to northeast during period ending at 0000 UTC May 19, with maximum sustained winds of 65 the period, while high pressure when th center reached 17.7N 140.5E. kt with gusts to 80 kt. Six hours later, prevailed off the west coast of the The system was briefly a super- the Tenaga Dua (9MSM) near 34N U.S. Occasionally the high pressure typhoon (maximum sustained winds 140E reported south winds of 65 kt. extended into the Bering Sea and Gulf of 130 kt or higher) from 0600 to By 1800 UTC July 10, Chataan of Alaska, forcing cyclonic systems 1800 UTC May 19. At 1800 UTC weakened to a tropical storm near coming off Japan or eastern Russia to May 19 Hagibis attained a maximum 35.7N 140.9E. The CSX Defender turn more north or northwest or even strength of 140-kt (sustained winds), (KGJB) at that time encountered stall. Several non-tropical lows with gusts to 170 kt near 20.7N southwest winds of 55 kt and 17- developed storm-force winds, mainly 143.2E before beginning to weaken. meter seas (56 feet). The system in May and June. -
Third Assessment on Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclones in the Typhoon Committee Region E Part I: Observed Changes, Detection and Attribution
Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 9 (2020) 1e22 www.keaipublishing.com/tcrr Third assessment on impacts of climate change on tropical cyclones in the Typhoon Committee Region e Part I: Observed changes, detection and attribution Tsz-Cheung Lee a,*, Thomas R. Knutson b, Toshiyuki Nakaegawa c, Ming Ying d, Eun Jeong Cha e a Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China b Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton, NJ, USA c Meteorological Research Institute/Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan d Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China e National Typhoon Center, Korea Meteorological Administration, Jeju, Republic of Korea Available online 20 March 2020 Abstract Published findings on climate change impacts on tropical cyclones (TCs) in the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Region are assessed. We focus on observed TC changes in the western North Pacific (WNP) basin, including frequency, intensity, precipitation, track pattern, and storm surge. Results from an updated survey of impacts of past TC activity on various Members of the Typhoon Committee are also reported. Existing TC datasets continue to show substantial interdecadal variations in basin-wide TC frequency and intensity in the WNP. There has been encouraging progress in improving the consensus between different datasets concerning intensity trends. A statistically significant northwest- ward shift in WNP TC tracks since the 1980s has been documented. There is low-to-medium confidence in a detectable poleward shift since the 1940s in the average latitude where TCs reach their peak intensity in the WNP. A worsening of storm inundation levels is believed to be occurring due to sea level rise-due in part to anthropogenic influence-assuming all other factors equal. -
Analysis of Gravity-Waves Produced by Intense Tropical Cyclones
Ann. Geophys., 28, 531–547, 2010 www.ann-geophys.net/28/531/2010/ Annales © Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed under Geophysicae the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Analysis of gravity-waves produced by intense tropical cyclones F. Chane Ming1, Z. Chen2, and F. Roux3 1Laboratoire de l’Atmosphere` et des Cyclones, UMR 8105, CNRS-Met´ eo-France,´ Universite´ de la Reunion,´ La Reunion,´ France 2Institute of Atmospheric Physics – Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 3Laboratoire d’Aerologie,´ UMR CNRS – Universite´ Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France Received: 19 June 2009 – Revised: 27 January 2010 – Accepted: 31 January 2010 – Published: 15 February 2010 Abstract. Conventional and wavelet methods are combined sphere (Sato, 1993; Pfister et al., 1993; Danielsen, 1993; to characterize gravity-waves (GWs) produced by two in- Dhaka et al., 2003; Cairo et al., 2008). Chane Ming et tense tropical cyclones (TCs) in the upper troposphere and al. (2002) showed that such GWs can be characterized using lower stratosphere (UT/LS) from GPS winsonde data. Anal- high resolution daily radiosonde data in the UT/LS within yses reveal large contribution of GWs induced by TCs to a radius of about 2000 km above the radiosonde station. For wave energy densities in the UT/LS. An increase in total instance, significant release of GW energy was observed dur- energy density of about 30% of the climatological energy ing landfalls of TC Hudah over Madagascar and Mozam- density in austral summer was estimated in the LS above bique. Observations of GWs also appear to be common in Tromelin during TC Dina. -
The Air Typhoon Model for South Korea
Every year about 30 tropical cyclones The AIR Typhoon develop in the Northwest Pacific Basin. On average, at least one Model for makes landfall in South Korea. Others pass close enough offshore to cause wind damage and coastal and inland South Korea flooding. As the value and number of properties in South Korea’s risk-prone areas increase every year, insurers need tools that can accurately assess and help manage this changing risk. THE AIR TYPHOON MODEL FOR SOUTH KOREA The AIR Typhoon Model for South Korea—part of AIR’s Northwest Pacific Basinwide Typhoon Model— provides a fully probabilistic approach for determining the likelihood that Central Pressure (mb) losses will result from typhoon winds <= 920 921 - 945 946 - 960 961 - 980 and precipitation-induced flooding. 981 - 1000 > 1000 The model incorporates the current The majority of storms during the 2012 Northwest understanding of tropical cyclone Pacific typhoon season impacted more than one activity in this basin and the latest country. A COMPREHENSIVE engineering research concerning the APPROACH TO ASSESSING response of local construction to REGIONAL RISK Insurers and reinsurers who operate globally damaging winds and precipitation. need to be able to quantify catastrophe risk Model results are validated using to policies and portfolios that span multiple countries—especially in the Northwest Pacific extensive loss experience data— basin, where more than half of all landfalling including data from two of South typhoons affect more than one country. Korea’s strongest historical typhoons, To provide a consistent and comprehensive Maemi and Rusa—that represent about view of risk to companies that have regional portfolios, AIR has developed a unified 25% of the market. -
TROPICAL CYCLONES a Briefing for Mariners
TROPICAL CYCLONES a briefing for mariners Rev. 2.3 Hurricane “Katrina” gearing up in the Gulf of Mexico, 2005 INTRO In recent years, within the JDN - Group, two ships were wrecked in tropical cyclones. CSD Kaerius was declared total-loss due to a hurricane in the Caribbean, and TSHD Cristoforo Colombo – in 2004 – in the aftermath of a typhoon reaching as far north as Sachalin island, eastern Siberia. M/V Pompei was trapped in a typhoon in South China Sea early 2006, but survived against all odds. The past seven years, TSHD “Gerardus Mercator” has been assigned jobs in Taiwan, Korea and Sachalin, crossed South China Sea numerous times, in world’s most dangerous region for tropical cyclones. I remember our first typhoon, “Rusa”, in South-Korea, september 2002. Hundreds of ships packed tightly together in Chinhae anchorage, all surrounded by hills – a “safe” place. Still: it was awesome, huge; the massive buildup of wind hour after hour. Two ships dragged anchor, collided in front of “Mercator” One of them (a large trawler “Shin An Ho”) capsized in ten minutes flat; fifteen crewmembers in the water. Crew of “Mercator” -all hands on deck- managed to get five seamen out of the water, in windgusts of 150 km/h. Fig. 1: Trawler “Shin An Ho” capsizing during typhoon “Rusa”, september 2002. Tropical cyclones – update Marc Van de velde 2 Later on that day windgusts went up to 200 km/h. Since that day the idea got to my mind that I’d better know something about these typhoons. “Gerardus” was anchored next to “Cristoforo Colombo” when typhoon “Songda” struck and beached “Cristoforo”, september 2004 (see chapter 5). -
KATASTROFALNI VETROVI V SVETU LETA 2002 Global Catastrophic Winds in 2002
KATASTROFALNI VETROVI V SVETU LETA 2002 Global Catastrophic Winds in 2002 Renato Bertalanič* UDK 551.55:614.8“2002”(21) Povzetek hurricanes: Isidore and Lili which both hit the Sezona hurikanov je bila podpovprečna, vseeno Caribbean, Cuba and Louisiana in September and pa so zahtevali najmanj 15 žrtev. Najmočnejši Kenna which hit Mexico from the eastern Pacific. hurikani, ki so dosegli kopno, sta bila Isidore in Lili z They took at least 15 lives. Although the tropical Atlantskega in Kenna z vzhodnega Tihega oceana. V cyclone season in Asia was normal, typhoons Aziji je bila sezona tajfunov povprečna, toda vseeno caused even more fatalities. There were at least so zahtevali najmanj 341 življenj. Najmočnejši tajfuni, 341 people killed by Typhoons Chataan (July 1st– ki so dosegli kopno, so bili: Chataan, Rusa, Sinlaku 11th in the Philippines), Rusa (August 29th–30th in Higos. Sezona tornadov v ZDA je bila povprečna. in South Korea), Sinlaku (August 28th–September Zaradi njih je umrlo najmanj 47 ljudi. 7th in China), and Higos (September 26th-October 1st); a lot of material damage was also caused. Abstract At least 47 people in the USA were killed by The 2002 Atlantic hurricane season had less than tornadoes and a lot of damage was also caused. normal activity but more tropical storms than the Tornados in Bangladesh and India took a number average. In 2002, there were three deadly of lives. Uvod vzhodni Tihi ocean), tajfuni (če prihajajo čez zahodni Tihi ocean) pa tudi močni tropski cikloni in močne ciklonske Močan, katastrofalen veter ponavadi nastopa skupaj z nevihte (v Avstraliji in Indiji). -
Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation in Korea Using a Regional Climate Model
water Article Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation in Korea using a Regional Climate Model Jeonghoon Lee 1, Jeonghyeon Choi 1, Okjeong Lee 1, Jaeyoung Yoon 2 and Sangdan Kim 3,* 1 Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Korea; [email protected] (J.L.); [email protected] (J.C.); [email protected] (O.L.) 2 Department of Environmental Engineering, Korea University, Sejong 30019, Korea; [email protected] 3 Department of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan 48513, Korea * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-051-629-6529 Academic Editor: Athanasios Loukas Received: 19 January 2017; Accepted: 24 March 2017; Published: 30 March 2017 Abstract: Extreme precipitation events have been extensively applied to the design of social infra structures. Thus, a method to more scientifically estimate the extreme event is required. This paper suggests a method to estimate the extreme precipitation in Korea using a regional climate model. First, several historical extreme events are identified and the most extreme event of Typhoon Rusa (2002) is selected. Second, the selected event is reconstructed through the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, one of the Regional Climate Models (RCMs). Third, the reconstructed event is maximized by adjusting initial and boundary conditions. Finally, the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is obtained. The WRF could successfully simulate the observed precipitation in terms of spatial and temporal distribution (R2 = 0.81). The combination of the WRF Single-Moment (WSM 6-class graupel scheme (of microphysics), the Betts-Miller-Janjic scheme (of cumulus parameterization) and the Mellor-Yamada-Janjic Turbulent Kinetic Energy (TKE) scheme (of planetary boundary layer) was determined to be the best combination to reconstruct Typhoon Rusa. -
Herter Outlines Plan to Ease World Strife
« i"'' WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 1*, 19BI tAGM TWENTY-ETGHT Hanrh^istpr lEnenittg 1|i?ralb Aveng* Daily N«t Pr«M Ron The Waalhar rw r Mm W s M i OWtod Peraeaat af 0. R. Waatbai •.ami lUy ttrfi. IMW msklflg 6 turn Into th# westbound ] I Mia* Busan King, daughter of MiH Judith Taitl, daughUr of Rockville Driver portion of the street. As her] Oeo) wtdeapread tro ti trndgM. Mr. and Mrs. James V. Tapi. Con the left lane, it^ L T. WOOD 00. Utr. and Mr*. Haiwey King, 218 ear moved Jnto 12,925 O m la 86a. P a ir cswitlaiM d aaal About Town HeniA- St . naa enrolled as a fresh- cord Rd , has returned to ,Mary-1 CUUIUITUcollided witlfrr.^.w -.a car.................. driven east ' ICE P U N T ' mount College, Tartytown, N Y . , i Injured in Crash •Uttber «f Mm AndH tamermw. Wgh aear aa. man ' at New Elngland College. thaTlane by Morgan F. Steele. 22, St BItMBLL OT. BorsMi pf OraolaMM Robert 2. HoUenbech, formerly Henniker, N. H Her sister. Miss to begin her. sophomore year. of 205 Porter St. Mancheater-r-A City of VUlago Chorm nf i3 Oreen Hill Rd., ha* Joined .Nancy King, has returned to Lea> ^ Rockville driver, John Martin. Damage was light, according t o , Cu beB-C.riukeiUBlockB the facuJtv of Ixw-ell TechnoloRi- ley College. Cambridge, Mass , as The first fall meeting of Cfiar-I 62, of Ellingtoir Av*„ was taken to police, and no one was hurl. Mr*.; cal Inatltiite. Lmvell. Maas., as an ter Oak lodges, B'nal B’rlth. -
Assimilation and Simulation of Typhoon Rusa (2002) Using the WRF System
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 22, NO. 3, 2005, 415–427 Assimilation and Simulation of Typhoon Rusa (2002) Using the WRF System GU Jianfeng∗1,2,3 (ï¸), Qingnong XIAO2, Ying-Hwa KUO2, Dale M. BARKER2, XUE Jishan1 (ÅVõ), and MA Xiaoxing3 (ê¡() 1Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081 2National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA 3Shanghai Weather Forecast Center, Shanghai 200030 (Received 29 July 2004; revised 25 December 2004) ABSTRACT Using the recently developed Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) 3DVAR and the WRF model, numerical experiments are conducted for the initialization and simulation of typhoon Rusa (2002). The observational data used in the WRF 3DVAR are conventional Global Telecommunications System (GTS) data and Korean Automatic Weather Station (AWS) surface observations. The Background Error Statistics (BES) via the National Meteorological Center (NMC) method has two different resolutions, that is, a 210-km horizontal grid space from the NCEP global model and a 10-km horizontal resolution from Korean operational forecasts. To improve the performance of the WRF simulation initialized from the WRF 3DVAR analyses, the scale-lengths used in the horizontal background error covariances via recursive filter are tuned in terms of the WRF 3DVAR control variables, streamfunction, velocity potential, unbalanced pressure and specific humidity. The experiments with respect to different background error statistics and different observational data indicate that the subsequent 24-h the WRF model forecasts of typhoon Rusa’s track and precipitation are significantly impacted upon the initial fields. Assimilation of the AWS data with the tuned background error statistics obtains improved predictions of the typhoon track and its precipitation. -
Junho CHOI* and Hirokazu TATANO
京都大学防災研究所年報 第 54 号 B 平成 23 年 6 月 Annuals of Disas. Prev. Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ., No. 54 B, 2011 Flood Risk Management Scheme and Risk Communication in Korea JunHo CHOI* and Hirokazu TATANO * Graduate School of Informatics , Kyoto University Synopsis Flood risks are rising in many parts of the world. Recently, due to typhoons and localized torrential downpours, the scale of economic loss over the Korean Peninsula is increasing. The damage caused by the heavy rain and the typhoon is 80% of total in Korea. Korea's disaster management and prevention plans are implemented by each ministry and regional government, and the government-invested organizations. But It flooded annually at about the same time of year and make the casualties. The most important point is making a collaborative system for disaster prevention. Keywords: Korea, flood disaster, Typhoon RUSA, Typhoon MAEMI 1. Introduction determined from a statistical study by Ministry of Government Administration and Home Affairs South Korea(hereafter Korea) experiences (MOGAHA). Also, these natural disasters result typhoons every year. And The strength of the in a yearly average of 160,600 acres (64,992 typhoons which affect the Korean Peninsula is hectares) of flooded land and 165 deaths. The becoming stronger and this tendency is gradually damage caused by the heavy rain and the typhoon is increasing lately because of global abnormal 80% of total in Korea. The life and property climate changes. The scale of economic loss is damage are continued. Life damage is decreasing, increasing rapidly due to industrialization and the property damage becomes larger.