The CLE Master Plan Includes
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The CLE Master Plan Includes: § An inventory of existing conditions § Forecasting future demand and analyzing future needs § Evaluating alternative development scenarios § Preparing the Airport Layout Plan § Preparing the Airport Capital Improvement Program (ACIP) § Determining the economic impact of current airport activity and future master plan development § Promoting green initiatives & environmental stewardship § Fostering partnership with stakeholders & the airport community Master Plan Reflects Stakeholder Consensus of Approach to the Future of Aviation at CLE § Reflects interviews with stakeholders at every step of the master planning process § Stakeholders identified opportunities and constraints § Consensus: create opportunities to shape the Airport’s future Provide Opportunities to Shape CLE’s Future Long Term Demand Considerations § Long-term economic growth will be positive § Baseline demographic § Shifting economic focus forecasts reflect “business- Projected Socio-Economic Growth Rates - Cleveland CSA as-usual” future GRP Personal Income § Successful economic PCPI development initiatives in Employment the region will change this Population 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% Average Annual Growth Rates (2008-2035) Source: Woods & Poole forecast H:\CLE\Master Plan Update 2009\Aviation Forecast\Source Data\Socioeconomic Data\[Socioeconomic Data.xls]Growth rates Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only § Stronger local market will Factors Driving High-Scenario Passenger Traffic Segment make CLE a more attractive Originating Connecting Near Term Q Recovery from recession Q Re-emphasize CLE hub location for an airline hub Forecast more favorable than in Q UA/CO adds back base case. 2009 capacity cuts Q Enplanements return to pre-recession levels by Q UA/CO makes long-term § A 25% change in the commitment to CLE 2011/2012 demographic forecasts has Long Term Q Economic growth Q Capacity constraints at east Forecast rates modeled at 25% coast hubs divert connecting a dramatic impact on future above base forecast travel to CLE Q CLE captures increasing Q Connections could account passenger volumes share of regional market for half of total passengers Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only H:\CLE\Master Plan Update 2009\Aviation Forecast\Master Sheet\[High Scenario.xls]Assumptions The Future of Aviation at CLE § 2035 Passenger Forecasts: High Scenario Enplanement Forecast § High scenario forecast projects 11.4 million enplanements in 2035 § Baseline of 8.3 million boarding § 37% higher than the baseline scenario § Driven primarily by increased connecting traffic passengers (25% connecting) Total Passenger Enplanements § High case of 11.4 million 12 boarding passengers 10 (50% connecting) 8 6 Enplanements Forecasts AAG: Baseline High § High case driven primarily by 4 2000-2008 -2.2% -2.2% 2008-2010 -4.7% -3.1% Enplanements (in millions) (in Enplanements 2010-2015 3.3% 4.0% 2 History increased connecting traffic 2015-2025 1.7% 2.8% 2025-2035 1.8% 3.2% Baseline 2008-2035 1.5% 2.7% High Scenario 0 2020 2008 2010 2015 2025 2035 § 2035 Operations Forecasts: 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2030 § Baseline of 257,400 Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only H:\CLE\Master Plan Update 2009\Aviation Forecast\Master Sheet\[High Scenario.xls]Graph commercial operations (AAG rate of 0.8%) § High case of 351,400 commercial operations (AAG rate of 1.9%) § High case driven primarily by modeled increase in Continental Airlines connecting traffic The Airport Campus Airfield Passenger Terminal Area South Campus (Cargo, Airline Maintenance and Corporate Aviation) Passenger Terminal Area Passenger Terminal Area Terminal Improvement Plan Background/Findings § Building conditions survey Terminal Building Assessment Approach § Building Condition Assessment Approach findings: § Sampling Plan – Building Zones • Main Terminal § Structure is sound • Concourses A, B, C, D • GCRTA Tunnel § Roof requires immediate repair • Mechanical & Electrical Spaces § Improve efficiency through insulation, § Building Components Assessment Approach § Sampling Plan – System Components double pane windows, new systems • Architecture • Structural § Building will require various recurring • Civil • Mechanical renewal efforts to extend useful life • Electrical § Evaluated Plans / Documents § Interviewed Staff § Renewal will require $5-10 million per Building Assessment Areas year over next 25 years § Non-Destructive Observations Level 2 - Boarding Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only § Functional improvements Functional Needs § No immediate projects (recession has § Immediate-Term: dampened demand, postponing needs) § Outbound baggage, baggage screening, FIS/CBP, Checkpoints, Ticketing, Parking § Emerging Needs: § Curbs § Checkpoints and baggage screening § Roadway weaves operating at capacity during peak hours § New revenue sources and growth of existing revenue streams § Long-Term § Customs facility accommodates one § Gates for expanded connecting hub (high scenario only) Needs flight at a time, is inefficient and poorly Exclusive Use Facilities Units Existing 2013 2025 2035 High 2025 High 2035 Ticketing Total Positions 119 122 131 161 139 163 Bag Screening EDS Machines 11 13 14 15 15 15 located Baggage Make-Up Square Feet 41,792 68,117 81,987 93,398 84,680 97,944 Gates Number 81 62 66 75 79 103 Holdrooms Square Feet 117,760 90,137 95,953 109,037 114,811 149,366 Common Use Facilities § Emerging needs for ticketing and airline Arrival Auto Curb Linear Feet 770 723 848 938 874 982 Arrival Other Curb Linear Feet 770 558 654 723 674 758 Departure Curb Effective Linear Feet 1,217 822 948 1,029 967 1,071 baggage handling space Bag Claim Units 11 6 8 8 10 11 Security Screening Units 11 12 12 13 12 14 Total SSCP Area Square Feet 17,857 11,250 11,250 13,125 11,250 13,125 FIS/CBP Square Feet 27,769 30,000 38,500 47,000 38,500 47,000 Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only Ground Transportation Plan Background/Findings Parking Roads § Long-term garage has reached § Peak hour demand at the curbs the end of its useful life exceeds capacity § Constructed in 1969 § Arrivals curb has greater problem § Previous restoration already extended than departures curb its life once § Queuing backs up onto entrance road § Parking study and master plan concur § Entrance roads capacity issues on expansion of short-term garage to § Short decision distances provide long-term parking capacity § Three way signal limits capacity and § Need for immediate action causes queuing Land Use § Exit roads design issues § Short decision and weaving distances § Link Hotel with RTA and Terminal § Difficult sight lines § Demand for airport related § Recession has dampened government office space demand and has postponed need for immediate action Terminal Area Improvement Plan Terminal Area Immediate Needs (GTC) Alternative Energy Terminal Area (w/ Hotel/Office/Retail & Garage Exp) South Campus Cargo, Airline Maintenance & Corporate Aviation South Campus (Cargo, Airline Maintenance and Corporate Aviation) Cargo – Operations & Fleet Mix Cargo Aircraft Operations Forecast § While air cargo demand is § Cargo operations at CLE declined by 7.3% in 2008 and projected to decline further to 8.8% in 2009 flat, facility enhancements § 2035 baseline: between 12 and 17 daily cargo flights could help capture new/ § FedEx expected to continue to account for nearly three quarters of total cargo aircraft operations at CLE throughout the forecast period available market All-Cargo Carrier Annual Aircraft Operations 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 Cargo Operations: Aircraft Fleet Mix 4,490 4,860 5,000 § Cargo aircraft operations at CLE is predominately operated with wide-body 3,794 4,090 3,620 4,000 and B757 aircraft 3,000 § FedEx continues to operate the majority of A300-600 through 2035 Aircraft Operations Aircraft UPS continues to replace DC 8 aircraft with A300-600 and is expected to 2,000 § History retire DC 8 aircraft from the CLE cargo fleet by 2015 1,000 Forecast § FedEx expected to continue to operate turboprop aircraft at CLE throughout 0 the forecast period 2008 2015 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2015 2025 2035 H:\CLE\Master Plan Update 2009\Aviation Forecast\Cargo Forecast\[CLE Cargo Operations Forecast.xls]Op Forecast Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only Wide Body 73.7% 78.4% Narrow Body 4.6% 0% 70 Seat RJ 0% 0% 50 Seat RJ 0.1% 0% Turbo Prop 21.7% 21.6% Preliminary Draft - For Discussion Purposes Only Cargo Campus Development Plan Corporate Aviation Campus Development Plan South Campus Development Plan New entrances and loop road Modify Cargo Interchange IX Center Campus Glycol Treatment Close Airline Eastland Rd. Entrance Maintenance Relocate Campus Five Points Corporate Aviation Campus ATCT Road USPS ARFF Central Receiving/ Concessions Screening West Campus Department of Port Control and Tenant Facilities West Campus West Campus Improvement Plan EV-10 Proposed DPC Oil Field Maintenance § Background & Findings Existing DPC § Collocate airport maintenance Maintenance Facility NASA functions for efficiency Proposed CPD/ FBI/TSA § Provide for satellite ARFF location Hazmat Storage § Provide for relocated DPC Existing VBM employee offices Battery Proposed Storage & Existing NWS Radar DPC Vehicle Hazmat Maintenance Proposed Proposed Satellite DPC Offices ARFF Existing UPS Facility Airfield Plan Airfield Airfield Improvements – Background Commercial Aircraft Operations Forecast § Previous master plan § Scenarios: § 2035 baseline