24-Feb-2021 SMIFS Research
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Index Outlook June 2021
Index Outlook JUNE 2021 June 28, 2021 Nifty Sectoral Weights* Weight Weight Change Earnings stage smart upgrade, further upside seen… Sectors (Nov 2020) (Jun 2021) (bps) Indian markets have shown resilience in the recent past and scaled new BFSI 37.8% 37.4% -42 highs amid encouraging corporate earnings in Q4FY21 led by the upswing IT 16.4% 16.3% -9 in key commodities prices and strong underlying demand prospects. GST Oil and Gas 14.1% 12.6% -153 collection at ~| 1.02 lakh crore for May 2021 (eighth consecutive month of FMCG 8.5% 8.2% -34 >| 1 lakh figure) is testimony to robust domestic macroeconomics. Going Capital Goods 2.3% 2.7% 37 forward, with peak of the Covid resurgence behind us, increasing pace of Auto 5.3% 5.3% 1 vaccination domestically and calibrated state specific unlocking under way, Metals and Mining 2.3% 3.5% 117 we expect economic activity to bounce back sharply in 9MFY22E. Our view Power 1.7% 1.6% -8 is further reinforced by the step up capex by the government, which will Telecom 2.1% 1.9% -21 Report Special create multiplier effect on the economy. We expect the present broad-based Pharma 3.5% 3.5% -1 up move in markets to continue, with small cap and midcaps leading the Others 5.9% 7.1% 123 gains. We continue to like IT & pharma space as structural plays in the market. Total 100% 100% Exhibit 1: Nifty and Sensex targets *Index weights are dynamic in nature Revised Sensex & Nifty Target resultant to market price movement & Earnings Estimates FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E susceptible to change going forward Nifty EPS (₹/share) -
Consumer Goods Recovery in Discretionary and Urban Sales Led to Better Q3 Sector Update
Consumer Goods Recovery in discretionary and urban sales led to better Q3 Sector Update Consumer goods companies’ Q3 performance was driven by sales recovery of Q3FY2021 Results Review discretionary categories (such as value-added hair oil and personal care products), sustained higher demand for healthcare and hygiene products, better traction to Sector: Consumer Goods new launches, and higher demand in rural markets coupled with improving demand in urban markets. General trade continues to grow strongly, e-commerce mix to Sector View: Positive overall revenue is improving due to higher sales and modern trade channel has witnessed sequential improvement due to recovery in urban sales. Most consumer goods companies under our coverage registered organic revenue growth of 6%-16%, driven by domestic volume growth of 7%-18% in Q3. Paint companies, including Asian Paints, registered strong volume growth of 30%, led by sustained high demand in tier III/IV towns and improving demand in metros and top cities due to receding scare of virus and improving construction and real estate activities. Overall, Sharekhan’s consumer goods universe registered revenue growth of ~14% in Q3FY2021, better than 9.1% growth achieved in Q2FY2021. Significant increase Our coverage universe in prices of palm oil, copra, other edible oils, and raw tea/coffee resulted in gross Companies CMP Reco. PT margin decline for companies such as HUL, Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL), (Rs) (Rs) Marico, and Tata Consumer Products (TCPL). However, lower ad spends and cost- Asian Paints 2,389 Buy 3,000 saving initiatives arrested the sharp decline of 80-100 bps in operating profit margins (OPM) for some companies. -
The Pricing of Internationally Traded Gas
The Pricing of Internationally Traded Gas Gas Pricing in India Anupama Sen OxfOrd University Press Great Clarendon Street, Oxford Ox2 6dP © Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2012 The moral rights of the author have been asserted first published 2012 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, or as expressly permitted by law, or under terms agreed with the appropri- ate reprographics rights organization. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, 57 Woodstock road, Oxford Ox2 6fA. The contents of this book are the sole responsibility of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its members. IntroductIon Jonathan Stern This is the first academic book in any language to be entirely devoted to the pricing of internationally traded gas. The majority of books on gas are notably silent on the issue of pricing.1 Given the sizeable amount of research dealing with international oil prices, this is extremely surprising and would alone be sufficient justification for this work, but there are additional reasons for believing that such a volume is long overdue. First, the growing importance of natural gas in energy balances world- wide, which is partly a function of the expansion of international gas trade. Second the rise to prominence and importance of natural gas issues – and especially pricing issues – in energy and political relations between countries. -
Report on Short-Term Power Market in India: 2018-19
Report on Short-term Power Market in India: 2018-19 Economics Division Central Electricity Regulatory Commission The contents from the report can be freely copied/used with due acknowledgement to CERC Contents S.No Particulars Page No Contents i List of Tables iii List of Figures v Preface vii Abbreviations ix Executive Summary xiii Chapter-I: Overview of Power Sector 1 Generation 1 2 Transmission 6 3 Distribution 9 Chapter-II: Short-term Power Market in India 1 Introduction 13 2 Yearly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (2008-09 To 14 2018-19) 2.1 Total Short-term Transactions of Electricity with respect to Total 15 Electricity Generation 2.1.1 Electricity Transacted through Traders and Power Exchanges 16 2.1.2 Electricity Transacted through DSM 20 2.1.3 Electricity Transacted Directly between DISCOMs 21 3 Monthly Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (April 2018- 22 March 2019) 3.1 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity 23 3.2 Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity 27 3.3 Volume of Electricity Transacted in Various Price Slabs 29 4 Daily Trends in Short-term Transactions of Electricity (1st April 2018 31 to 31st March 2019) 4.1 Volume of Short-term Transactions of Electricity 31 4.2 Price of Short-term Transactions of Electricity 32 4.2.1 Price and its volatility in Power Exchanges 32 4.2.2 Price and its volatility in DSM 33 Report on Short-term Power Market in India, 2018-19 i S.No Particulars Page No 5 Time of the Day Variation in Volume and Price of Electricity 34 Transacted through Traders -
National Thermal Power Corporation Limited (Ntpc) Ministry of Power Committee on Public Undertakings (2020-21) Eighth Report Se
8 NATIONAL THERMAL POWER CORPORATION LIMITED (NTPC) MINISTRY OF POWER COMMITTEE ON PUBLIC UNDERTAKINGS (2020-21) EIGHTH REPORT SEVENTEENTH LOK SABHA LOK SABHA SECRETARIAT NEW DELHI EIGHTH REPORT COMMITTEE ON PUBLIC UNDERTAKINGS (2020-21) (SEVENTEENTH LOK SABHA) NATIONAL THERMAL POWER CORPORATION LIMITED (NTPC) MINISTRY OF POWER Presented to Lok Sabha on 24.03.2021 Laid in Rajya Sabha on 24.03.2021. LOK SABHA SECRETARIAT NEW DELHI March, 2021/Chaitra, 1942 (Saka) ii C O N T E N T S Page No. Composition of the Committee (2020-21) (vi) Introduction (vii) PART – I CHAPTER - I PROFILE OF THE COMPANY 1 1. Brief History 1 2. Pioneering Role in Power Sector 2 3. Contribution to Exchequer 2 4. Creation of Employment (Direct & Indirect) 2 5. Developing the Communities around the Plants 3 6. Objectives of NTPC 4 7. Composition of Board of Directors 4 8. Independent Directors - Need for Domain Expertise 5 9. Absence of Required Number of Independent Directors 6 10. Representation of Women in Board of Directors 8 11. MoU with Ministry of Power 9 CHAPTER-II PHYSICAL PERFORMANCE 11 1. Details of Plants of NTPC 11 2. Growth in Installed Power Generation Capacity 12 3. Capacity Addition (Installed & Commercial) 13 4. Coal-based Power Generation 14 5. Gas-based Power Generation 14 6. Renewable (solar,wind,bio-mass) Based Power Generation 15 7. Domestic Content Requirements in RE Projects 19 8. Joint Ventures with ONGC for RE Projects 20 9. Hydro-Power Generation 20 10. Comparison of NTPC with International Counterparts in Performace Metrics 22 CHAPTER –III FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 24 1. -
ICICI Securities – Retail Equity Research Result Update Marico
Marico (MARLIM) CMP: | 546 Target: | 630 (15%) Target Period: 12 months BUY August 1, 2021 Saffola growth momentum continues… About the stock: Marico is one of the major FMCG companies present in hair oil, edible oil, foods & personal care segment. Major brands include Parachute, Saffola, Nihar, Hair & Care, Set Wet, Livon and Beardo. Particulars The company has an overall distribution network of more than 5 million Particulars (| crore) Amount outlets and direct reach of ~1 million outlets. Through its stockist network, Market Capitalization 70,503.0 it reaches 58000 villages Total Debt (FY21) 340.0 Cash and Investments (FY21) 1,572.0 Update Result With the high gross margins of ~47%, Marico is able to spend 10% of its EV 69,271.0 sales for advertisements to support new categories & products 52 week H/L (|) 552 / 333 Equity capital 129.0 Face value (|) 1.0 Q1FY22 Results: Marico reported robust revenue growth in Q1FY22 results. Shareholding pattern Sales were up 31.2% YoY with strong volume recovery and price hikes (in %) Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 EBITDA was at | 481 crore, up 3.1% YoY, with margins at 19% Promoter 59.6 59.6 59.6 59.6 FII 23.7 24.2 24.0 25.0 Consequent PAT was at | 365 crore (down 5.3% YoY) DII 10.4 10.2 10.2 9.7 Others 6.3 6.0 6.2 5.7 What should investors do? Marico’s share price has given 84% return in the last five years (from | 297 in July 2016 to | 547 in July 2021). -
Annual Report 2 0 1 2 - 1 3
Annual Report 2 0 1 2 - 1 3 Ministry of Power Government of India Shram Shakti Bhawan, Rafi Marg, New Delhi-110 001 Website : www.powermin.nic.in Shri Pranab Mukherjee, Hon’ble President of India with Shri Jyotiraditya M. Scindia, Hon’ble Union Minister of State for Power (Independent Charge) at the National Energy Conservation Day function CONTENTS Sl. No. Chapter Page No. (s) 1. Performance Highlights 5 2. Organisational Set Up and Functions of the Ministry of Power 9 3. Capacity Addition Programme in the XIIth Plan 11 4. Generation & Power Supply Position 23 5. Status of Ultra Mega Power Projects 35 6. Transmission 37 7. Status of Power Sector Reforms 41 8. Rural Electrification Programme 43 9. Re-Structured Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Programme (R-APDRP) 45 10. Energy Conservation 49 11. Renovation and Modernisation of Thermal Power Stations 53 12. Private Sector Participation in Power Sector 57 13. International Cooperation 59 14. Power Development Activities in North-Eastern Region 67 15. Central Electricity Authority 75 16. Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) 79 17. Appellate Tribunal for Electricity (APTEL) 83 Public Sector Undertakings: 18 NTPC Limited 85 19. NHPC Limited 105 20. Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd. (PGCIL) 111 21. Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC) 115 22. Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd. (REC) 125 23. North Eastern Electric Power Corporation Limited (NEEPCO) 133 Joint Venture Corporations : 24. SJVN Limited (SJVNL) 135 25. THDC India Limited (THDCIL) 139 Statutory Bodies : 26. Damodar Valley Corporation (DVC) 143 27. Bhakra Beas Management Board (BBMB) 149 28. Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) 155 Autonomous Bodies : 29. -
Press Release Ratnagiri Gas and Power Private
Press Release Ratnagiri Gas and Power Private Ltd October 19, 2020 Ratings Facilities Amount (Rs. crore) Rating1 Rating Action Bank facilities – Fund-based – Long 1,461.05 Revised from CARE BB-; Stable CARE D term -Term Loan (reduced from 1562.70) (Double B minus) 1,461.05 Total (Rs. One thousand four hundred sixty one crore and five lakh only) Details of instruments/facilities in Annexure-1 Detailed Rationale & Key Rating Drivers CARE has revised the ratings of Ratnagiri Gas and Power Private Ltd (RGPPL) to CARE D. Facilities with this rating are in default or are expected to be in default soon. The revision in the long term rating of RGPPL factors in the delay in servicing of its principal obligations by the company which were due at the end of September 2020. Key Rating Sensitivities: Positive: Timely servicing of debt obligations for more than three months. Detailed description of the key rating drivers Key Rating Weaknesses Delays in servicing of debt obligations RGPPL had not serviced the principal obligations due at the end of September 2020. The company is in discussion with its lenders for one time settlement (OTS) of its outstanding debt of Rs 1461.05 crore. As per minutes of the consortium meeting held on September 17, 2020, the company had proposed its lenders for OTS for which lead lender has given in-principle approval with cut- off date considered as September 01, 2020. Other lenders are still under process of taking requisite approvals. The company has only paid interest obligations due for the month of Sept 2020 while it has not made the principal payment due on Sept 30, 2020 as the process for OTS is underway. -
Sundaram Equity Hybrid Fund
Sundaram Equity Hybrid Fund Category : Aggressive Hybrid Portfolio NAV*: Regular-Growth: 131.6337 IDCW: 16.5308 Fund Type : Open ended Fund Security Weight NAV*: Direct-Growth: 141.9229 IDCW: 18.7290 Benchmark TRI : CRISIL Hybrid 35+65 - Equity 78.0 Infosys 6.3 Performance Aggregate Index ICICI Bank 5.1 Fund Manager : Rahul Baijal (Equity Portion) HDFC Bank 5.1 Performance NAV per Fund CRISIL Nifty 50 Excess Larsen & Toubro 3.2 S Bharath (Equity Portion) State Bank of India 2.6 Period Unit ( ) (%) Hybrid TRI(%) Points Sandeep Agarwal (Debt) Astral 2.6 35+65- HDFC 2.5 Agg. Rahul Baijal has 19 years of experience and managing this PI Industries 2.4 fund since Dec 2017. S Bharath has 17 years experience and Reliance Industries 2.4 (%) managing this fund since Feb 24, 2021. Sandeep Agarwal is Varun Beverages 2.3 Last 1 year 92.50 42.3 36.3 52.2 6.1 TCS 2.3 (31-08-2020) managing the fixed income portion of the fund. CSB Bank 2.1 Bharat Petroleum Corp 2.1 Last 3 years 91.41 12.9 14.0 14.9 -1.1 Investment Objective United Spirits 2.1 (31-08-2018) MindTree 2.0 Last 5 years 71.80 12.9 13.6 15.7 -0.7 To generate capital appreciation and current income, through Gland Pharma 1.9 (31-08-2016) a mix of investments in equities and fixed income securities. Axis Bank 1.9 HCL Technologies 1.9 Since Inception 10.15 12.9 - 13.8 - Bajaj Finserv 1.8 Bharti Airtel 1.7 (23-06-2000) Industry Classification (%) Procter & Gamble Hygiene 1.6 Westlife Development 1.6 10,000 invested Indraprastha Gas 1.5 Banks 16.8 Home First Finance Co 1.5 Period Fund CRISIL Hybrid Nifty 50 TRI Software 12.5 Shriram Transport Finance 1.4 35+65-Agg. -
1 Stocks to Watch: Avenue Supermarts, CSB Bank, GAIL, HCL
Stocks to Watch: Avenue Supermarts, CSB Bank, GAIL, HCL Tech, HDFC Monday, Jul 5, 2021 - Morning brief for the stock market: TOP EVENTS TODAY * Apr-Jun earnings to be detailed by: Cupid Trades and Finance * Jan-Mar earnings to be detailed by: Asian Hotels (North), Ind Agiv Commerce, Uniworth * Annual General Meetings of: Tata Investment Corp, Tata Power Co, Vimta Labs INDICATORS (previous session) * NSE provisional net buy/(sell) in bln rupees, Jul 2: FIIs (9.83), DIIs 9.30 * Institutional net buy/(sell) in bln rupees, Jul 1: FIIs (1.14) * FII NSE futures net buy/(sell) in bln rupee, Jul 2: index 0.99, stock 2.35 * Sensex: 52484.67, up 166.07 points; Nifty 50: 15722.20, up 42.20 points * Crude: $75.16/bbl; Rupee: 74.74/$1; Gold: $1,783.3/ounce; 10-year yield: 6.0645% 1 WEEKLY SECTOR OUTLOOK * AUTOMOBILE: Seen in narrow range this week * BANKS: May trade in range on lack of immediate triggers * CAPITAL GOODS: May track broad market this week * CEMENT: Seen weak as profit-booking may continue * FMCG: Seen up this week on improved demand * IT: TCS earnings in focus, to set trend for sector * METALS: May remain subdued this week as well * OIL: In narrow range, crude price key for upstream cos * PHARMACEUTICALS: May outperform this week on rotation of funds * TELECOM: Bharti Airtel may gain, Vodafone Idea fall GLOBAL MARKETS * US – Benchmark US indices ended higher on Friday after a better-than- expected June employment report cheered the market and reinforced positive sentiment among investors on economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. -
Government of India Ministry of Railways Lok Sabha Unstarred Question No. 4233 to Be Answered on 21.03.2018 Purchase of Power Fr
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF RAILWAYS LOK SABHA UNSTARRED QUESTION NO. 4233 TO BE ANSWERED ON 21.03.2018 PURCHASE OF POWER FROM DISCOMS 4233. SHRI C.S. PUTTA RAJU: Will the Minister of RAILWAYS be pleased to state: (a) whether the Government is purchasing power from various discoms across the country for its train operations and if so, the details thereof, discom-wise; (b) the details of expenses incurred on purchasing power from discoms, year-wise; (c) whether any proposal is pending with the Government to change this system of purchasing power from discoms; (d) if so, the details thereof; and (e) the time by which a final decision in this regard is likely to be taken? (f) ANSWER MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF RAILWAYS (SHRI RAJEN GOHAIN) (a) & (b) Yes, Madam. Indian Railways is purchasing power from various Distribution Companies (DISCOMs) across the country for its train operations, details of which are appended. (c) to (e) Indian Railways was granted deemed licensee status in November, 2015 after which it has started to procure power through Open Access from Generating Companies (GENCOs) through tariff based bidding/bilateral arrangements and has made applications to Contd....2/- -2- various State Transmission Utilities (STUs) for obtaining “No Objection Certificate” (NOC). Indian Railways is presently drawing about 1000 MW through Open Access, out of about 2000 MW total requirement, in the States of Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Jharkhand, Haryana, Karnataka and also in Damodar Valley Corporation (DVC) and Central Transmission Utility (CTU) points in Uttar Pradesh after the NOC was granted by the States. -
Factsheet March 2021
FACTSHEET MARCH 2021 Remember this TASK, Always wear a MASK Stay Safe. Stay Healthy *The Bank of Baroda logo belongs to Bank of Baroda and is used under license. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. The Bank of Baroda logo belongs to Bank of Baroda CIO LETTER - March 2021 and is used under license Mr. Sanjay Chawla Chief Investment Officer Dear Investors, Warm Greetings! The BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 index ended with minor gains of 0.8% and 1.1% in the month of March. Globally, stock markets rallied sharply with DOW JONES up 5.6% and S&P500 up 3.8%. European markets too rallied by 5-6% for the month of March. In India, the breadth was positive with the BSE Mid-cap and BSE Small-cap indices gaining by 1% and 2.5% respectively. Amongst sector indices, IT, FMCG, Metals outperformed while Oil & Gas, Bank and Auto underperformed during last month. While the month started on a positive note as 3QFY21 GDP grew at 0.4% after two quarters of contraction and expansion of the vaccination drive, a rapid spurt in Covid-19 cases, imposition of lockdowns, night curfews and other restrictions, weak macroeconomic data, elevated crude prices and jump in bond yield weighed on market sentiments. In its policy meeting the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged; it also mentioned that it does not currently expect to hike interest rates through 2023 and will maintain the current quantum of bond purchases. The policy rates remained at 0%-0.25% band and median estimate for unemployment rates are pegged at 4.5% end 2021 and 3.9% end 2022.