Scotland Route Strategic Plan March 2019 Scotland Route Strategic Plan Contents Foreword and summary ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Route objectives ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 7 Safety ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Train performance .................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 17 Locally driven measures ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 23 Sustainability & asset management capability ....................................................................................................................................................................... 26 Financial performance ............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 37 Activities & expenditure .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 40 Delivery strategy ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 53 Headwinds and efficiency ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 59 Risk and uncertainty in the plan ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 62 CP6 income / expenditure ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 65 Sign-off ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 68 Appendix A - Stakeholder engagement ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 69 Appendix B - Key assumptions ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73 Appendix C - Route context ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 76 Appendix D - Asset by asset long term forecast ............................................................................................................................................................................ 77 Appendix E - Freight and National Passenger Operators Route Plan ........................................................................................................................................... 79 Appendix F - Supporting strategies ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 84 Appendix G - List of supporting annexes ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 95 Appendix H - Glossary of terms ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 96 Appendix I - CP6 HLOS Tracker (extract, see annex uploads for full details) ............................................................................................................................. 100 Network Rail 2 Scotland Route Strategic Plan Foreword and summary Foreword by Alex Hynes, MD, ScotRail Alliance. Our vision is to build the best railway Scotland has ever had. Already more popular than at any time in the last 150 years, more than 97 million journeys are made every year on Scotland’s railway, that’s nearly a third more than a decade ago. This popularity is expected to continue with passenger numbers forecast to double on many routes through Scotland’s main stations. The railway is key to Scotland’s economic success contributing up to £670m each year and employing more than 13,000 people. Network Rail alone employs nearly 3,000 people and engages with over 160 suppliers. We continue to contribute to Scotland’s economy, and are focused on delivering a safe, punctual and reliable service every day for passenger and freight customers in Scotland and on cross border services – we will not compromise. We are protecting the resilience of the railway by investing in the infrastructure to address recent weather-related challenges and to protect against ongoing extreme weather conditions. The untapped potential that exists is enormous and to build the best railway Scotland has ever had will take a complete transformation of what we do and how we do it. New electric trains will offer more seats and faster journeys on many of our key routes and we are re-creating a true inter-city network between our seven cities, offering passengers a superb quality of service. We are increasing the number of carriages by over 25%, that’s an extra 100,000 seats for our passengers every day, and we are making travel hassle-free by rolling out queue busting smart ticketing right across the network. We are continuing to upgrade our stations including new and extended platforms at Edinburgh Waverley and a £120m redevelopment of Glasgow Queen Street, creating a new landmark on Glasgow’s cityscape. But it’s not just about passengers. Securing and retaining rail freight traffic in Scotland will be more challenging than anywhere else in the UK. The faster than anticipated decline in what was Scotland’s bedrock for rail freight, coal, resulted in a reduction of over 40% of freight moved to, from and within Scotland. This has radically changed the face of rail freight in Scotland from a buoyant industry to one that will require a period of recovery and support to build up new and sustainable markets. We will support our freight customers to grow their business in Scotland. Over the last five years Scotland’s Railway has seen unprecedented levels of investment and change as it has delivered new and upgraded railway infrastructure and trains onto the network. Looking ahead to Control Period 6, our priority is to provide an enhanced level of service to our customers - passengers and freight - and to do that we will continue to invest to build the best railway Scotland has ever had. Network Rail 3 Scotland Route Strategic Plan Response to the Final Determination Network Rail welcomes ORR’s conclusions in their final determination (FD) that our plans are well founded, and broadly meet the requirements of the Scottish High Level Output Specification (HLOS), while recognising that work remains ongoing to develop plans to deliver some of the HLOS requirements. Together with ORR we have published an HLOS Tracker, which shows how Network Rail Scotland Route, System Operator and Freight and National Passenger Operators (FNPO) intend delivering these requirements. A number of these require coordinated activity across the industry (for example, including passenger and freight operators) and we anticipate ongoing engagement with ORR and Transport Scotland to track the role each party will play in delivering these plans. Key stakeholders The industry’s key stakeholders in determining future options are: passengers, Scottish Ministers and Transport Scotland who specify and fund the network in Scotland, passenger operators, including: Abellio ScotRail, LNER, Virgin West Coast, TransPennine Express, Caledonian Sleeper, CrossCountry, Charter operators and Freight operators (Direct Rail Services (DRS), GB Railfreight, DB Cargo UK, Colas, Freightliner). The UK Government, HS2 Ltd, ORR and representative groups are also involved in strategic development of priorities that feed through to the Scottish HLOS and PR18 process. As we develop our delivery strategy, we will increasingly work with delivery partners, as well as the supply chain, to seek early involvement in the