Macro Report Comparative Study of Electoral Systems Module 5: Macro Report Version: September 14, 2016
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Brazil Ahead of the 2018 Elections
BRIEFING Brazil ahead of the 2018 elections SUMMARY On 7 October 2018, about 147 million Brazilians will go to the polls to choose a new president, new governors and new members of the bicameral National Congress and state legislatures. If, as expected, none of the presidential candidates gains over 50 % of votes, a run-off between the two best-performing presidential candidates is scheduled to take place on 28 October 2018. Brazil's severe and protracted political, economic, social and public-security crisis has created a complex and polarised political climate that makes the election outcome highly unpredictable. Pollsters show that voters have lost faith in a discredited political elite and that only anti- establishment outsiders not embroiled in large-scale corruption scandals and entrenched clientelism would truly match voters' preferences. However, there is a huge gap between voters' strong demand for a radical political renewal based on new faces, and the dramatic shortage of political newcomers among the candidates. Voters' disillusionment with conventional politics and political institutions has fuelled nostalgic preferences and is likely to prompt part of the electorate to shift away from centrist candidates associated with policy continuity to candidates at the opposite sides of the party spectrum. Many less well-off voters would have welcomed a return to office of former left-wing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003-2010), who due to a then booming economy, could run social programmes that lifted millions out of extreme poverty and who, barred by Brazil's judiciary from running in 2018, has tried to transfer his high popularity to his much less-known replacement. -
The 2014 Elections and the Brazilian Party System*
The 2014 Elections and the Brazilian Party System* Carlos Ranulfo Melo Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil The Brazilian party system presents a paradox. Although the Workers Party (PT) and the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) have controlled presidential elections for the last 20 years, their force at the other levels of electoral competition has not grown. The objective of this study is to undertake a discussion of this situation through the 2014 general elections. After attempting to explain why successive challengers have not been able to change the structure of competition for the Brazilian presidency, I will analyze the relation established between the pattern observed at this level and the other “connected” electoral disputes—both those for state executive and federal legislative office. The general conclusion is that even if the pattern continues, it is quite improbable that this will significantly impact the other levels of national political party competition. Keywords: Presidential elections; competition structure; Brazilian party system. magine a country with little political party tradition, where parties are I relatively recent and organizationally fragile; where the majority of the electorate is more accustomed to valuing individual candidates than the available party labels and do not identify with any of them. Now add to this the fact that for the sixth consecutive time, the same two parties dominated the presidential election and one of them won the last four disputes. There is something strange about these two things. It would not be so strange if the parties, in this case the Workers Party (PT) and the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB), were also the two largest national parties; however, they (*) http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1981-38212014000200004 The author would like to express his thanks for the comments and suggestions of anonymous colleagues of the Brazilian Political Science Review. -
The Week in Review on the ECONOMIC FRONT GDP: the Brazilian Statistics Agency (IBGE) Announced That GDP Growth for the Second Quarter Totaled 1.5%
POLICY MONITOR August 26 – 30 , 2013 The Week in Review ON THE ECONOMIC FRONT GDP: The Brazilian Statistics Agency (IBGE) announced that GDP growth for the second quarter totaled 1.5%. This year, GDP grew by 2.1%. Interest Rate: The Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) of the Central Bank unanimously decided to raise interest rates by 0.5% to 9%--the fourth increase in a row. The Committee will hold two more meetings this year. Market analysts expect interest rates to rise by at least one more point to 10%. Strikes: Numerous groups of workers are under negotiations with the government for salary adjustments. Among those are regulatory agencies, national transportation department (DNIT), and livestock inspectors. DNIT workers have been on strike since June and livestock inspectors begun their strike on Thursday. On Friday, union workers will hold demonstrations throughout the country. Tourism: A study conducted by the Ministry of Tourism showed that the greatest cause of discontent for tourists coming to Brazil was high prices. The second most important reason was telecommunication services. Airport infrastructure, safety, and public transportation did not bother tourists as much and were ranked below both issues. Credit Protection: The Agency for Credit Protection Services (SPC Brasil) announced that the largest defaulting groups are in the middle class (Brazilian Class C). Forty-seven percent of all defaults are within Class C, 34% in Class B, and 13% in Class D. Forty-six percent of respondents claim to have been added to the list of default due to credit card payment delays and 40% due to bank loans. -
Responsabilidade Civil E Solidariedade Social: Potencialidades De Um Diálogo 393
Responsabilidade civil e solidariedade social: potencialidades de um diálogo 393 Responsabilidade civil e solidariedade social: potencialidades de um diálogo Nelson Rosenvald1 Procurador de Justiça do Ministério Público de Minas Gerais Felipe Braga Netto2 Procurador da República Sumário: 1. Uma palavra introdutória: olhando para trás. 1.1. O individualismo jurídico e as liberdades clássicas do direito civil. 1.2. A tradição patrimonialista que historicamente permeou os institutos civis. 2. A revitalização do direito civil em múltiplas dimensões: o es- pectro normativo da dignidade e da solidariedade social. 3. Os ciclos evolutivos da responsabilidade civil: entre velhas estruturas e novas funções. 3.1. Os degraus da responsabilidade civil: um olhar através dos ciclos históricos. 4. Proposições conclusivas. 1. Uma palavra introdutória: olhando para trás Para bem compreendermos o novo, é essencial conhecer o que havia antes. Seja para evitar o apego anacrônico a modelos teóricos que já não nos servem, seja para evitar que nos deixemos seduzir ir- refletidamente pela (leviana) novidade. O novo não é necessariamente sinônimo de qualidade. O autenticamente novo é um fiel depositário 1 Pós-Doutor em Direito Civil na Universidade de Roma Tre (Itália). Professor Visitante na Oxford Uni- versity (Inglaterra). Professor Pesquisador na Universidade de Coimbra (Portugal). Doutor e Mestre em Direito Civil pela PUC-SP. Bacharel em Direito pela Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Membro do European Law Institute (ELI). Membro da Society of Legal Scholars (Inglaterra). Membro do Comitê Científico da Revista Actualidad Juridica Iberoamericana (Espanha). Coautor do Curso de Direito Civil, do Novo Tratado de Responsabilidade Civil, e do Volume Único de Direito Civil. -
Broadband Internet and Political Outcomes; Effects of Pronatec
Three essays about Brazilian public polices: broadband internet and political outcomes; effects of Pronatec; and returns to technical education Thiago Mendes Rosa 08/07/2021 Three essays about Brazilian public polices: broadband internet and political outcomes; effects of Pronatec; and returns to technical education Thiago Mendes Rosa Tese apresentada ao Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasília como requisito parcial para a obtenção do título de Doutor em Economia – Área de Concentração: Setor Público. Orientador: Rafael Terra de Menezes. Acknowledgement This work was only possible with the support of many people. Firstly, I am thankful for my family support, notably my mother, Edelair, and my aunt, Ivone, who always encouraged education in my life. I would like to thank all my professors who helped to pave my way until here, particularly Flávio. I am especially grateful for the opportunity to have a couple of first quality supervisors, Rafael and Ana Carolina, whose expertise made this study feasible. I would also like to thank Bruno and Luiz Rubens, for the partnership in research, co-authorship of the third essay and for the valuable friendship in work and life. I very thankful for all support, love, and patience of Najla, my partner in life who always believed in me. Lastly, I want to thank all Brazilian people, the truly providers of this unique opportunity. Resumo Essa tese contém três ensaios independentes sobre políticas públicas no Brasil. No primeiro ensaio, investigamos a relação entre a velocidade de internet banda larga fixa e os resultados eleitorais no Brasil (2008, 2010 e 2012). Utilizando uma estratégia de identificação robusta, um RDD aplicado à implementação do programa Backhaul, exploramos saltos na velocidade da internet de acordo com o tamanho da população dos municípios. -
WHAT WILL the MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid
e-ISSN nº 2447-4266 Vol. 6, n. 3 (Special Issue 1), May. 2020 WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter COMO SERÁ A ELEIÇÃO MUNICIPAL? Crises, Covid-19 e o eleitor ¿CÓMO SERÁN LAS ELECCIONES MUNICIPALES? Crisis, Covid-19 y el votante 3a10en n 6 v 20 Adriano Oliveira ABSTRACT: PhD in Political Science (UFPE). Research Associate The possible characteristics of the Professor, Department of Political Science, Federal 4266.20 forthcoming municipal election will be - University of Pernambuco. [email protected] presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and 0000-0002-7451-7366 construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are Mailing address: Universidade Federal de considered for construction of scenarios: 1) Pernambuco, Centro de Filosofia e Ciências Humanas, Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political Departamento de Ciências Sociais. Cidade and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The Universitária - Campus da UFPE, 50610-220 - Recife, possible effects on the voter of these three PE – Brazil. causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the Received: 03.15.2020. Accepted: 04.03.2020. conjuncture analysis, the construction of Published: 01.10.2019. scenarios and the prospective analysis to http://dx.doi.org/10.20873/uft.2447 explain the voter's behavior. DOI: KEYWORDS: 1) Municipal election; 2) Voter behavior; 3) Prospective analysis 20 20 un. J Introduction - Apr In 2016, the dispute for the mayor office took place under the impact of the , 11 - economic and political crisis, as well as of the June of 2013 demonstrations. -
Fascist Group Carries out Terrorist Attack in Brazil
ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺁﺯﺍﺩ – ﺁﺯﺍﺩ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ AA-AA ﭼﻮ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﻧﺒﺎﺷـﺪ ﺗﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺒـــــــﺎﺩ ﺑﺪﻳﻦ ﺑﻮﻡ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﻳﮏ ﺗﻦ ﻣــــﺒﺎﺩ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺳﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮ ﺗﻦ ﺑﻪ ﮐﺸﺘﻦ ﺩﻫﻴﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﮐﻪ ﮐﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺷﻤﻦ ﺩﻫﻴﻢ www.afgazad.com [email protected] ﺯﺑﺎﻧﻬﺎی ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﺋﯽ European Languages By Tomas Castanheira 10.01.2020 Fascist group carries out terrorist attack in Brazil On December 24, the headquarters of the Porta dos Fundos comedy program in Rio de Janeiro was attacked with Molotov cocktails after it produced a Christmas Special shown on Netflix portraying Jesus as gay. The terrorist action was claimed on social networks by a fascist group that calls itself the Nationalist Popular Insurgency Command of the Brazilian Integralist Family. The identity of one of the perpetrators of the attack was disclosed by police on December 31, two days after he fled the country to Russia. Eduardo Fauzi is a member of the Brazilian Integralist Front and PSL (Social Liberal Party), the same right-wing party that ran the fascistic ex-army officer Jair Bolsonaro for president. The Bolsonaro government, which employs hysterical rhetoric denouncing every form of social protest as “terrorism”, has deliberately remained silent about the firebombing, signaling tacit government support for fascist violence. The president’s son, Eduardo Bolsonaro, was one of the politicians who spoke out against Porta dos Fundos, saying, “How much is it worth to attack the faith of others?” www.afgazad.com 1 [email protected] Frame of video in which fascists took responsibility for the attack on Porta dos Fundos. The use of the term of “Integralist” in the name of the group claiming responsibility for the attack is a reference to a short-lived version of Brazilian fascism known as Brazilian Integralist Action (AIB) which was founded in the 1930s. -
Analytical Environmental Agency 2 21St Century Frontiers 3 22 Four 4
# Official Name of Organization Name of Organization in English 1 "Greenwomen" Analytical Environmental Agency 2 21st Century Frontiers 3 22 Four 4 350 Vermont 5 350.org 6 A Seed Japan Acao Voluntaria de Atitude dos Movimentos por Voluntary Action O Attitude of Social 7 Transparencia Social Movements for Transparency Acción para la Promoción de Ambientes Libres Promoting Action for Smokefree 8 de Tabaco Environments Ações para Preservação dos Recursos Naturais e 9 Desenvolvimento Economico Racional - APRENDER 10 ACT Alliance - Action by Churches Together 11 Action on Armed Violence Action on Disability and Development, 12 Bangladesh Actions communautaires pour le développement COMMUNITY ACTIONS FOR 13 integral INTEGRAL DEVELOPMENT 14 Actions Vitales pour le Développement durable Vital Actions for Sustainable Development Advocates coalition for Development and 15 Environment 16 Africa Youth for Peace and Development 17 African Development and Advocacy Centre African Network for Policy Research and 18 Advocacy for Sustainability 19 African Women's Alliance, Inc. Afrique Internationale pour le Developpement et 20 l'Environnement au 21è Siècle 21 Agência Brasileira de Gerenciamento Costeiro Brazilian Coastal Management Agency 22 Agrisud International 23 Ainu association of Hokkaido 24 Air Transport Action Group 25 Aldeota Global Aldeota Global - (Global "small village") 26 Aleanca Ekologjike Europiane Rinore Ecological European Youth Alliance Alianza de Mujeres Indigenas de Centroamerica y 27 Mexico 28 Alianza ONG NGO Alliance ALL INDIA HUMAN -
In Search of the Amazon: Brazil, the United States, and the Nature of A
IN SEARCH OF THE AMAZON AMERICAN ENCOUNTERS/GLOBAL INTERACTIONS A series edited by Gilbert M. Joseph and Emily S. Rosenberg This series aims to stimulate critical perspectives and fresh interpretive frameworks for scholarship on the history of the imposing global pres- ence of the United States. Its primary concerns include the deployment and contestation of power, the construction and deconstruction of cul- tural and political borders, the fluid meanings of intercultural encoun- ters, and the complex interplay between the global and the local. American Encounters seeks to strengthen dialogue and collaboration between histo- rians of U.S. international relations and area studies specialists. The series encourages scholarship based on multiarchival historical research. At the same time, it supports a recognition of the represen- tational character of all stories about the past and promotes critical in- quiry into issues of subjectivity and narrative. In the process, American Encounters strives to understand the context in which meanings related to nations, cultures, and political economy are continually produced, chal- lenged, and reshaped. IN SEARCH OF THE AMAzon BRAZIL, THE UNITED STATES, AND THE NATURE OF A REGION SETH GARFIELD Duke University Press Durham and London 2013 © 2013 Duke University Press All rights reserved Printed in the United States of America on acid- free paper ♾ Designed by Heather Hensley Typeset in Scala by Tseng Information Systems, Inc. Library of Congress Cataloging-in - Publication Data Garfield, Seth. In search of the Amazon : Brazil, the United States, and the nature of a region / Seth Garfield. pages cm—(American encounters/global interactions) Includes bibliographical references and index. -
Bruno Covas (PSDB)
CENÁRIOS E TENDÊNCIAS ELEIÇÕES MUNICIPAIS ÍNDICE ARACAJU BELÉM BELO HORIZONTE BOA VISTA CAMPO GRANDE CUIABÁ CURITIBA FLORIANÓPOLIS FORTALEZA GOIÂNIA JOÃO PESSOA MACAPÁ MACEIÓ MANAUS NATAL PALMAS PORTO ALEGRE PORTO VELHO RECIFE RIO BRANCO RIO DE JANEIRO SALVADOR SÃO LUÍS SÃO PAULO TERESINA VITÓRIA ARACAJU Estado: Sergipe Eleitorado: 404.901 eleitores Atual prefeito: Edvaldo Nogueira (PDT) EDVALDO (PDT) DELEGADA DANIELLE Vice: Katarina Feitosa (PSD) (CIDADANIA) Coligação: PCdoB, PSD, PDT, MDB, PV, PP, PSC, SOLIDARIEDADE e Vice: Marcos da Costa (PTB) Coligação: CIDADADIA, PSB, PL e PSDB REPUBLICANOS PORCENTAGEM DE VOTOS Fonte: TSE Edvaldo (PDT) 45,57 Delegada Danielle (Cidadania) 21,31 Rodrigo Valadares (PTB) 10,89 Márcio Macedo (PT) 9,55 3 BELÉM Estado: Pará Eleitorado: 1.009.731 eleitores Atual prefeito: Zenaldo Coutinho (PSDB) EDMILSON RODRIGUES (PSOL) DELEGADOPRIANTE (MDB) FEDERAL EGUCHI Vice: Edilson Moura (PT) (PATRIOTA)Vice: Patrícia Queiróz (PSC) Coligação: PT, REDE, UP, PCdoB, PSOL E Vice:Coligação: Sargento MDB, Quemer PTB, PSL,(PATRIOTA) PL e DC PDT Sem Coligação PORCENTAGEM DE VOTOS Fonte: TSE Edmilson Rodrigues (PSOL) 34,22 Delegado Federal Eguchi (Patriota) 23,06 Priante (MDB) 17,03 Thiago Araújo (CIDADANIA) 8.09 4 BELO HORIZONTE Estado: Minas Gerais Eleitorado: 1.943.184 eleitores Atual prefeito: Alexandre Kalil (PSD) ELEITO COM ALEXANDE KALIL (PSD) Vice: Fuad Noman (PSD) Coligação: MDB, DC, PP, PV, REDE, 63,36% AVANTE, PSD e PDT DOS VOTOS VÁLIDOS PORCENTAGEM DE VOTOS Fonte: IBOPE Kalil (PSD) 63,36 Bruno Engler (PRTB) 9,95 -
Os Percursos Da Cidadania Na Geografia Escolar Portuguesa
UNIVERSIDADE DE LISBOA INSTITUTO DE GEOGRAFIA E ORDENAMENTO DO TERRITÓRIO OS PERCURSOS DA CIDADANIA NA GEOGRAFIA ESCOLAR PORTUGUESA Maria Helena Mariano de Brito Fidalgo Esteves DOUTORAMENTO EM GEOGRAFIA ESPECIALIDADE ENSINO DA GEOGRAFIA 2010 UNIVERSIDADE DE LISBOA INSTITUTO DE GEOGRAFIA E ORDENAMENTO DO TERRITÓRIO OS PERCURSOS DA CIDADANIA NA GEOGRAFIA ESCOLAR PORTUGUESA Maria Helena Mariano de Brito Fidalgo Esteves DOUTORAMENTO EM GEOGRAFIA ESPECIALIDADE ENSINO DA GEOGRAFIA TESE ORIENTADA PELA PROF. DOUTORA TERESA BARATA SALGUEIRO 2010 Resumo A Geografia escolar portuguesa abraçou nas últimas décadas o desafio da adaptação a um mundo em mudança, protagonizando pela Reforma do Sistema Educativo (Decreto-Lei n.º 286/89, de 29 de Agosto) e pela Reorganização Curricular do Ensino Básico (Decreto-Lei n.º 6/2001, de 18 de Janeiro). No âmbito de um ensino que seja capaz de contribuir para a formação de cidadãos conscientes e participativos numa sociedade democrática, a Geografia escolar, durante os anos 90, vai aprofundar o estudo da Europa e preocupar-se com a problemática do desenvolvimento sustentável. Mais recentemente, e em articulação com o Currículo Nacional do Ensino Básico, vai afirmar-se como uma disciplina vocacionada para uma melhor compreensão do mundo nas suas dimensões cultural, social e ambiental, assumindo-se como tendo um papel fundamental na formação e informação de futuros cidadãos. Esta investigação teve como objectivo conhecer de que forma os professores de Geografia têm percepcionado estas mudanças curriculares. Os professores foram estudados, através do conhecimento dos seus discursos e das suas práticas. Procurou-se igualmente conhecer a sua opinião sobre a importância da Geografia como disciplina vocacionada para uma educação para a cidadania. -
Populism from A
Addressing European Populism from a Sustainability Policy Perspective Sara Gottenhuber & Eric Mulholland ESDN Quarterly Report 53 1 July 2019 This report is published as a work of the ESDN Office. The opinions expressed do not reflect the official views of ESDN Steering Group countries. Please cite this publication as: Gottenhuber, S., Mulholland, E. “Addressing European Populism from a Sustainability Policy Perspective”, ESDN Quarterly Report 53, July 2019, ESDN Office, Vienna. AUTHORS: Sara Gottenhuber & Eric Mulholland, ESDN Office CONTACT: ESDN Office Institute for Managing Sustainability Vienna University of Economics and Business Welthandelsplatz 1, A-1020 Vienna, Austria [email protected] +43-1-31336-4807 © 2019 EUROPEAN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT NETWORK (ESDN) 2 Table of Contents INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................ 4 CHAPTER 1: POTENTIAL INCONGRUENCES BETWEEN POPULISM AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT .................................................................................................................................................... 5 WHAT IS POPULISM? ................................................................................................................................ 5 IS ALL POPULISM BAD? .............................................................................................................................. 6 POPULISM AND SUSTAINABILITY ................................................................................................................