Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 7 Eruptions and Their Chilling Impacts GEOSPHERE; V
Research Paper THEMED ISSUE: Subduction Top to Bottom 2 GEOSPHERE Anticipating future Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 7 eruptions and their chilling impacts GEOSPHERE; v. 14, no. 2 Chris Newhall1, Stephen Self2, and Alan Robock3 1Mirisbiris Garden and Nature Center, Sitio Mirisbiris, Barangay Salvacion, Santo Domingo, Albay 4508, Philippines doi:10.1130/GES01513.1 2Department of Earth & Planetary Science, University of California, 307 McCone Hall, Berkeley, California 94720-4767, USA 3Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, 14 College Farm Road, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08901, USA 7 figures; 3 tables CORRESPONDENCE: cgnewhall@ gmail .com ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION CITATION: Newhall, C., Self, S., and Robock, A., 2018, Worst-case or high-end subduction-related earthquakes and tsunamis Explosive volcanic eruptions occur in a wide range of sizes, and the mod- Anticipating future Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 7 eruptions and their chilling impacts: Geosphere, v. 14, of 2004 and 2011 are painfully fresh in our memories. High-end subduction- ern world has not yet seen an eruption of either Volcanic Explosivity Index no. 2, p. 1–32, doi:10.1130/GES01513.1. related volcanic eruptions have not occurred in recent memory, so we review (VEI) 7 or 8, the highest 2 orders of magnitude known from written and geo- historical and geologic evidence about such eruptions that will surely recur logic history (Newhall and Self, 1982; Mason et al., 2004; Global Volcanism Science Editor: Shanaka de Silva within coming centuries. Specifically, we focus on Volcanic Explosivity Index Program, 2013). Most, although not all, of these very large eruptions have oc- Guest Associate Editor: Robert Stern (VEI) 7 eruptions, which occur 1–2 times per thousand years.
[Show full text]