Make March 26, 2019 Haynesville ETX Geological Great Again Society EXPO
Dave Thetford Blaine Stribling
NYSE:CRK This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements give our current expectations or forecasts of future events. These statements include estimates of future natural gas and oil reserves, expected natural gas and oil production and future expenses, assumptions regarding future natural gas and oil prices, budgeted capital expenditures and other anticipated cash outflows, as well as statements concerning anticipated cash flow and liquidity, business strategy and other plans and objectives for future operations. Our production forecasts are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and the outcome of future drilling activity. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements herein include the timing and extent of changes in market prices for oil and gas, operating risks, liquidity risks, including risks relating to our debt, political and regulatory developments and legislation, and other risk factors and known trends and uncertainties as described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2017 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties occur, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results and plans could differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.
2 Discovery Haynesville Shale
Bossier – Haynesville Tests
Operator County Year Activity
Fina Panola Co 1973 Vert Test
EOG Sligo Fld 2005 Vert Test
PV Harrison 3/2006 Vert Test
EnCana Red River 4/2006 Vert Test
Samson Harrison 5/2007 1st Hz Test
KCS Elm Grove 2007? Vert Test
Comstock De Soto 2/2008 1st De Soto
CHK Caddo 3/2008 HZ Well
P’Hawk Elm Grove 9/2008 Hz Well
3 History of the Haynesville & Comstock
ECA drills for Deep CHK horizontally CRK vertically tests Massive land Rigs peaked in the Downturn in Bossier sands in Red drills and completes Robert Crews 1 and 3 acquisition happened Haynesville at 161 activity when River Parish. the SRLT 29-1 in in the Haynesville and widespread throughout rigs leases were HBP Vertically tests the Haynesville Bossier Shales the play and gas prices Haynesville and dropped Bossier Shale Plays
Late Mar 2008 2012 Apr Feb 2005 2007 to to 2008 2011 2009 2014
CRK begins new CRK implements CRK announces JV CRK drills their 1st CRK announces Haynesville Shale Gen 2 style with USG in 10,000’ lateral in the Jerry Jones program Gen 1 style completions (30’ Greenwood/Waskom Haynesville acquisition of completion (50’ cluster spacing and area Bakken assets for clusters, 2,800 #’s 3,800#’s/ft proppant) stock to fund prop/ft) and 7,500’ and stack/stagger Haynesville program lateral
Dec Nov Jan Jun Jun 2014 2016 2017 2017 2018
4 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Shales
• Haynesville and Mid-Bossier Shales are similar in composition and depocenters
• The more organic content occurring in De Soto Parish and in Nacogdoches Co.
• Dark gray, calcareous, organic-rich mudstone with non-organic mudstone out of depocenter
• Calcite filled horizontal fractures common in depocenters. Additional vertical fractures occurs in uplift and later re- activated areas, likely in U. Cretaceous ~150 • Common dispersed quartz, silt, forams, mya undifferentiated carbonate grains, with occasional pyrite and calcite concretions
• Bedded argillaceous dolomites, local burrowed zones with hummocky cross- laminations in Mid-Bossier
• Local mollusk shells, minor ammonites and Scolecodont fragments ( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Shales Technical Data (Play-Wide Averages) Mid-Bossier Haynesville • Depth range – 8,600’ – 15,480’ • Depth range – 9,500’ – 17,100’ • Thickness range – 100-305’ • Thickness range – 120-330’ • Reservoir pressure – 6,800 – 13,000 • Reservoir pressure – 7,000 – 16,000 • Pressure gradient – 0.7 – 0.95 • Pressure gradient – 0.7- 0.95 • Temperature – 260 - 340 • Temperature – 260 - 430 • TOC – 3.05% • TOC – 2.91% • Porosity – 7.59% • Porosity – 6.90% • Permeability – 18 nD • Permeability – 120 nD • Water saturation – 38.8% • Water saturation – 30.29% • Gas saturation – 58.7% • Gas saturation – 69% • Clastics – 32% • Clastics – 37% • Carbonate – 19% • Carbonate – 24% • Clay – 37% • Clay – 28% • Kerogen – 7% • Kerogen – 6% • Thermal maturity – 1.59% • Thermal maturity – 1.55%
6 Haynesville/Bossier Type Log
~149-151 MYA Geochronology Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Shelf Paleophysiography
Mod. from Cicero et al 2010 9 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
Mod. from Cicero et al 201010 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
Mod. from Cicero et al 201011 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
Mod. from Cicero et al 201012 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
Middle Bossier Deposition
( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Gross Depositional Environment
Ursula Hammes MSRL Program 2011 17 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Depositional Environment Shelfward vs Basinward
( Hammes and Frebourg 2011) Haynesville Haynesville Type Log Haynesville Structure Map
21 Haynesville Play Net Thickness Map
GR N-D Por
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700 12% Density Porosity Cutoff 22 Geo-hazards in the Haynesville/Bossier Faulting
23 Geo-hazards in the Haynesville/Bossier Haynesville CO2
Haynesville
24 Geo-hazards in the Haynesville/Bossier Haynesville H2S
25 Haynesville TOC
26 Haynesville V-Clay
27 Haynesville X-section (SW-NE)
28 Haynesville X-section (NW-SE)
29 Haynesville X-section (NW-S)
30 Mid-Bossier Mid-Bossier Type Log
MID-BOSSIER SHALE Mid-Bossier Net Pay Map
GR N-D Por
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
12% Density Porosity Cutoff 33 Mid-Bossier TOC
34 Mid-Bossier V-Clay
35 Mid-Bossier X-section (SW-NE)
36 Mid-Bossier X-section (NW-SE)
37 Mid-Bossier X-section (NW-SE)
38 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Corelab Consortium
39 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Core
Fractures Horizontal Vertical
• Horizontal tensile fractures caused by the development of overpressure and hydrocarbon generation.
• Vertical fractures are related to post-depositional local/regional uplift and subsequent reactivation. Possibly, vertical fractures may have been associated with hydrocarbon generation and overpressure.
• Two Types of petroleum inclusions are present in the horizontal calcite veins: high gravity light oil or condensate, and relatively dry gas.
• Vertical calcite veins appear mostly with high gravity light oil or condensate.
( Core Lab ) Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Core Haynesville Shale
Common Rock Types ( Core Lab )
41 Haynesville Shale Core Middle Bossier Shale
Common Rock Types ( Core Lab )
42 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Core
Minor Rock Types ( Core Lab )
43 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Targeting
44 Staggering wells in the Haynesville • Original wells targeted the upper part of HV • Newer wells will be drilled in lower part of HV 6 Wells/Section 400’ 880’880’ 880’ 880’ 880’ 400’
1 Mile (Section)
LOWER BOSSIER SHALE 200 200 FT. THICK HAYNESVILLE SHALE
SMACKOVER LIME
Gamma Ray Type Curve CROSS-SECTIONAL VIEW
Target Definition Geological Structure Map
45 Haynesville Staggering Test Case CRK Halsey 14 HZ #1 • Tested Gen 2 completion on a well in between two vintage wells • The three wells are spaced 660’ apart • Halsey was placed in the lower section of the Haynesville GAMMA RAY • Older wells were landed in the upper section of the Haynesville • EUR on Halsey ~2.5 BCF/1000’ • EUR’s on older vintage wells are 1.5 BCF/1000’ and 2.1 BCF/1000’ • May be able to push locations in some areas to 8 wells/section
GEOSTEERING SOLUTION
“Bunny Ears”
Nearly All Early Development Wells Targeted in the Upper Haynesville
200 Ft.
“Ears” Haynesville
46 Haynesville / Mid-Bossier Activity
Haynesville Blue Mid-Bossier Orange HARRISON Active Rigs Yellow CADDO
BOSSIER
RUSK PANOLA RED RIVER SHELBY DE SOTO
NACOGDOCHES
SABINE
2007 – 2019 Haynesville 4,192 wells SABINE Mid-Bossier 385 wells Current Rigs 67 47 ANGELINA SAN AUGUSTINE CRK Acreage Position
Haynesville Cotton Shale Valley
Cotton Valley
Bossier Shale
Haynesville/Bossier Shale
Net Effective Acres 134,000* Resource Potential 8 + Tcf Average WI 78.7% Average NRI 80.5% Drilled 70 operated wells since 2015 with *87,000 net acres in Haynesville average IP of 25 MMcf/d 47,000 net acres in Bossier 48 Comstock Inventory
49 Haynesville – Well Spacing
Vintage Completion, 1000#’s/ft Gen 1 Completion, 2,800#’s/ft Gen 2 Completion, 3,800#’s/ft 8 Wells per Section 6 Wells per 1-1/2 Sections 6 Wells per 2 Sections 60’ clusters, 4600’ lateral 50’ clusters, 7500’ lateral 30’ clusters, 10000’ lateral
880’ spacing between wells
660’ spacing 880’ spacing between between wells wells 50 Evolution of Completions
51 Establishing a New Core Area
Normalized 3 year Gas Cum Map (Haynesville wells prior to 2015)
Original Haynesvillle Core Area
52 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback? 1. Great Location
Source – jokideco.com 53 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback? 2. Regional Natural Gas Price Advantage
North East Pipelines(2) -52¢
N. Louisiana Pipelines(1) -15¢
Henry Hub
Exports to Mexico LNG Exports +4 Bcf/d by 2020 +7 Bcf/d by 2020
Gulf Coast Industrial Demand +2.5 Bcf/d by 2020
(1) Based on Platt's monthly price guide LTM average basis for Columbia Gulf Mainline (2) Based on Platt's monthly price guide LTM average basis for Dominion South 54 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback? 3. Lots of Geo-pressure in reservoir
Source – imgur.com 55 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback?
• The Haynesville has one the highest pressure gradient of all of the US Shale plays • Pressures ranging from 0.70 to 0.95 psi/ft • In the deeper parts of the play as high as 0.95 psi/ft
56 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback? 3. Shallower declines than other shales
Source – quickmeme.com 57 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback?
Source – 2019 DUG Haynesville – Sun Trust
58 Why is Haynesville Making a Comeback? 4. Scalability and manufacturing mode
Source – pinterest.com 59 Haynesville Rig Count
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0 2/1/2011 2/1/2012 2/1/2013 2/1/2014 2/1/2015 2/1/2016 2/1/2017 2/1/2018 2/1/2019
Source – Baker Hughes
60 Haynesville Rigs – March 2019 LA TX
Operator Rigs Parish Operator Rigs County Aethon 2 Bienville BP 5 Angelina 2 De Soto 1 Nacogdoches 1 Caddo XOM 3 San Augustine Indigo 2 De Soto 1 Panola 1 Red River 1 Shelby 1 Sabine Rockcliff 3 Panola
GEP 2 De Soto 1 Harrison
2 Red River Aethon 2 Nacogdoches CRK 2 De Soto Comstock 1 Panola 1 Caddo Covey Park 1 Harrison Vine 3 Sabine Tanos 1 Harrison Covey Park 1 Bossier CCI 1 Panola 1 De Soto
Sabine 1 Panola 1 Sabine
CHK 1 Caddo
1 De Soto
EXCO 1 Caddo
XOM 1 De Soto
Tellurian 1 De Soto
GDP 1 De Soto
Source – Drilling Info 61 Historical Gas Prices
Source – eia.gov
62 Shale Gas Production in US
Source – eia.gov
63 Haynesville Gas Production
200 Rig Count 150
100
50
0 2/1/2011 2/1/2012 2/1/2013 2/1/2014 2/1/2015 2/1/2016 2/1/2017 2/1/2018 2/1/2019
Source – Drilling Info 64 CRK HV/BSR Gas Production
MMCFD
65 Haynesville/Bossier Performance Gas Production (MMCFD) Production Gas
Day on Production
66 Normalized Cum Gas vs Time Logansport Area
1600 Harrison 30-31 (Gen 2)
Claybrook 15-2 (Gen 2)
1400 Halsey 14-1 (Gen 2)
James Pace 5-8 (Gen 2) 1200 Headrick 14-11-2 (Gen 2)
Headrick 14-23-1 (Gen 2) 1000 Nash 19-18-1 (Gen 2) 800 Nash 19-18-2 (Gen 2) Billingsley 25-24 (Gen 2) 600 Furlow 25-24 (Gen 2) Furlow 25-36 (Gen 2) 400 NT Powell Jr A 28-2 (Gen 2) Pace 8-17 (Gen 2)
Derrick 21-1HZ-2 (Gen 2)
Gas Produced/Completed Lateral Length (MCF/Ft) Length Lateral Produced/Completed Gas 200
Roberts 26-35-1 (Gen 2)
0 10K TC (SEC - 1.89 BCF/Ft)
1 10K TC (CD - 2.15 BCF/Ft) 101 201 301 401 501 601 701 801 901
1001 1101 1201 1301 10K TC (CD - 2.48 BCF/Ft)
Day on Production
67 Normalized Cum Gas vs Time Logansport Area
1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400
Gas Produced/Completed Lateral Length (MCF/Ft) Length Lateral Produced/Completed Gas 200 Day on Production 0 1 101 201 301 401 501 601 701 801 901 1001110112011301
Avg Gen 1 (11 wells) Avg Gen 2 (14 wells) Avg Gen 3 (6 wells) 10K TC (SEC - 1.89 BCF/Ft) 10K TC (CD - 2.15 BCF/Ft) 10K TC (CD - 2.48 BCF/Ft)
68 Haynesville D&C Costs
69 Haynesville Drilling
Drilling CPX (2016-18) y = -0.0962x + 4565.8 $800 R² = 0.014 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300
Drilling CPX/MD ($/ft) CPX/MD Drilling $200 $100 1/7/2017 2/7/2017 3/7/2017 4/7/2017 5/7/2017 6/7/2017 7/7/2017 8/7/2017 9/7/2017 1/7/2018 2/7/2018 3/7/2018 4/7/2018 11/7/2016 12/7/2016 10/7/2017 11/7/2017 12/7/2017 CLL, ft
70 Haynesville Completions
y = 0.1521x - 5484.2 Completion CPX (2016-18) R² = 0.0359 $1,400 $1,300 $1,200 $1,100 $1,000 $900 $800 Completion CPX/CLL ($/ft) CPX/CLL Completion $700 1/7/2017 2/7/2017 3/7/2017 4/7/2017 5/7/2017 6/7/2017 7/7/2017 8/7/2017 9/7/2017 1/7/2018 2/7/2018 3/7/2018 4/7/2018 11/7/2016 12/7/2016 10/7/2017 11/7/2017 12/7/2017 CLL, ft
71 Technology Improving IP30’s
Comstock Haynesville IP30/Lateral Length (MCFD/1000')
Vintage GEN 1 GEN 2 Avg- 1.60 Avg- 2.42 Avg- 2.94 5 4.5
4
3.5 3
2.5 2
1.5 1
0.5
0 11/1/2008 11/1/2009 11/1/2010 11/1/2011 11/1/2012 11/1/2013 11/1/2014 11/1/2015 11/1/2016 11/1/2017 11/1/2018
72 Technology Improving EUR’s
Comstock Haynesville EUR/1000'
4 Vintage GEN 1 GEN 2 3.5 Avg – 1.00 Avg- 2.17 Avg- 2.42
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0 11/1/2008 11/1/2009 11/1/2010 11/1/2011 11/1/2012 11/1/2013 11/1/2014 11/1/2015 11/1/2016 11/1/2017 11/1/2018
73 Haynesville Well Economics
Gen 3 Completion Design - Refrac 4,500' L 7,500' L 10,000' L Estimated Well Costs ($ millions) $4.5 $7.0 $10.2 $11.9 24 Hr. IP (Mmcf per day) 12 16 21 24 Decline B Factor 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Initial Decline (%) 72 70 63 58 Proppant (Pounds per lateral ft.) 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 EUR (Bcf) 7.8 11.2 18.6 24.8
Rate of Return Net Present Value at 10% (%) (Million $)
160% $30 $28 140% $26 $24 120% $22 $20 100% $18 $16 80% $14
% ROR % $12 60% $10 40% $8 $6 NPV @10 millions) (in 20% $4 $2 0% $0 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $/MCF $/MCF Refrac 4,500 ft. 7,500 ft. 10,000 ft. 74 75 CRK - Low Cost Structure
(Per Mcfe)
76 CRK – Comparison to Peers
77 2018-19 Drilling Program (Capex - $MM)
78 CRK Hedging Program
79 Haynesville - Liner Refrac Design
• QEP most prolific operator with liner Original Completion- refrac program 5-8 Clusters/Stage • Data was analyzed on 60-80’ Cluster Spacing 37 QEP wells that have 500-1,000 lbs/ft Sand had a liner refrac • 30 day IP uplift of 1.2 times original • EUR uplift of 1.7 times the original • IRR’s are comparable Liner Refrac Design- to newer vintage wells 5 Clusters/Stage 30’ Cluster Spacing • All older CRK wells are 3,800 lbs/ft Sand refrac candidates
80 The Future of the Haynesville/Bossier
• Drilling and Completion Optimization • Longer laterals • More proppant • Optimizing spacing/job size • Stacking/Staggering • Optimization of diverters • Use of dissolvable plugs • Use of local proppants and less mesh size sorting • More aggressive flowback with larger frac jobs • Continue developing the Bossier and optimizing drilling and completions. Will have more grass roots opportunities here. • Continue optimizing liner refracs. • Two laterals from one wellbore to capture both Haynesville and Bossier reserves. • Consolidation of operators
81 MAKE HAYNESVILLE Questions? GREAT AGAIN
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