QR2MSE 2020 2020 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering October 8-11, 2020, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China Sponsored by
Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability The Korean Reliability Society Reliability Engineering Association of Japan Korean Society for Prognostics and Health Management Reliability Division of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers European Safety and Reliability Association International Society of Engineering Asset Management Center for System Reliability and Safety of UESTC Organized by
Tsinghua University Northwestern Polytechnical University Beijing University of Technology Harbin Institute of Technology Inner Mongolia University of Technology Jilin University Xi’an University of Science and Technology University of Electronic Science and Technology of China State Key Laboratory of Mining Equipment and Intelligent Manufacturing Co-Organized by
Changsha University of Science & Technology Wenzhou University Qinda Technology Co., Ltd. Chengdu Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd.
QR2MSE 2020
Table of Contents
I. Welcome P. 2
II. QR2MSE 2020 Organizing Committee P. 3
III. Sponsors & Organizers P. 9
IV. Keynote Speeches P.10
V. Program Information P.18
A. Conference Topics P.18
B. Program at A Glance P.19
C. Detailed Timetable P.20
VI. Technical Program P.25
VII. Conference Information P.55
A. Conference Floor P.55
B. Registration P.56
C. Transportation P.56
D. General Information P.59
- 1 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
I. Welcome
Professor Hong-Zhong Huang
General Chair of QR2MSE 2020 Director of Center for System Reliability and Safety University of Electronic Science and Technology of China No. 2006, Xiyuan Avenue, West Hi-Tech Zone
Chengdu, Sichuan, 611731, P. R. China On behalf of the Organizing Committee, I would like to welcome you to the 2020 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE 2020), in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China, October 8-11, 2020. Firstly, I hope that all the colleagues and friends are healthy and safe all around the world. What a decade it has been! In ten years ago, QR2MSE conference was lunched in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China. The annual event aims at providing a premier international forum where leading experts and engineers with various backgrounds and experiences in Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering can share their newest ideas, cutting-edge research results, methodologies, and tools with their peers. With the strong support from all the colleagues and friends, QR2MSE conference was growing very fast in the past ten years and became the most prestigious event in the reliability community. We are also very delighted to see the successful career growth of many young researchers with QR2MSE conference in the past years. Today, we are all getting together again in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China to celebrate a remarkable milestone of QR2MSE conference: its tenth anniversary. 968 papers have been submitted to the conference, and 341 papers have been selected and included in the conference proceedings this year. The conference program includes 8 keynote speeches from world-renowned scholars, 5 special sessions, and 24 regular technical paper oral sessions. It offers great opportunities for exchanging academic ideas and reinforcing professional networking. A successful conference relies on many dedicated individuals serving as conference chairs; members of the advisory committee, program committee, organizing committee, and secretariat; as well as many participants and volunteers. Supports from the following societies, institutions, and groups are also greatly appreciated: IEEE Reliability Society, European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA), International Society of Engineering Asset Management (ISEAM), European Federation of National Maintenance Societies (EFNMS), The Korean Reliability Society (KORAS), Reliability Engineering Association of Japan (REAJ), The Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers (KSME), Polish Safety and Reliability Association, Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China, Reliability Engineering Division of China Mechanical Engineering Society, Reliability Committee of SPMES, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Hunan University, Changsha University of Science & Technology, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Jishou University, Qinda Technology Co., Ltd, Chengdu Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd. I am confident that this conference will meet your highest expectations. I also hope that you will have a wonderful experience in Xi’an, one of the most beautiful places in China. We also look forward to your attending our future conferences.
- 2 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
II. QR2MSE 2020 Organizing Committee
Honorary Chair
Dong Ho Park, Hallym University, Korea Chuliang Yan, Beijing Aircraft Strength Institute, China Tadashi Dohi, Hiroshima University, Japan
General Chair
Hong-Zhong Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
General Co-Chairs
Michael Beer, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany David W. Coit, Rutgers University, USA Jae-Hak Lim, Hanbat National University, Korea Byeng Dong Youn, Seoul National University, Korea
International Advisory Committee Members
John Andrews, University of Nottingham, UK Sukjoo Bae, Hanyang University, Korea Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Canada Jianbing Chen, Tongji University, China Bo Guo, National University of Defense Technology, China Joong Soon Jang, Ajou University, Korea Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China Won Jung, Daegu University, Korea Krzysztof Kołowrocki, Gdynia Maritime University, Poland Ali Mosleh, University of California, USA Bifeng Song, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Loon Ching Tang, National University of Singapore, Singapore Zdenek Vintr, University of Defence, Czech Republic Jin Wang, Liverpool John Moores University, UK Shaoping Wang, Beihang University, China
- 3 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Zhaojun Wang, Nankai University, China Min Xie, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Zhaojun Yang, Jilin University, China Won Young Yun, Pusan National University, Korea Enrico Zio, Politecnico di Milano, Italy Ming J. Zuo, University of Alberta, Canada
Technical Program Committee Chair
Carlos Guedes Soares, University of Lisbon, Portugal
Technical Program Committee Co-Chairs
Lirong Cui, Beijing Institute of Technology, China Insu Jeon, Chonnam National University, Korea Dariusz Mazurkiewicz, Lublin University of Technology, Poland Rui Peng, Beijing University of Technology, China Liudong Xing, University of Massachusetts, USA
Technical Program Committee Members
Dong-Cheon Baek, Korea Institute of Machinery & Materials, Korea Diptiranjan Behera, The University of the West Indies, Jamaica Baoping Cai, China University of Petroleum, China Snehashish Chakraverty, National Institute of Technology Rourkela, India Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China Olivier Gaudoin, Université Grenoble Alpes, France Wei Guo, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Xiaohong Hao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Yu Hayakawa, Waseda University, Japan Liping He, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Lin Hu, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China Longhua Hu, University of Science and Technology of China, China Shinji Inoue, Kansai University, Japan Ping Jiang, National University of Defense Technology, China
- 4 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Hui Jin, Southeast University, China Lu Jin, University of Electro-Communications, Japan Tongdan Jin, Texas State University, USA Dae-Kyung Kim, Jeonbuk National University, Korea Grzegorz Koszalka, Lublin University of Technology, Poland Yaguo Lei, Xi'an Jiaotong University, China Gregory Levitin, Israel Electric Corporation Limited, Israel Guofa Li, Jilin University, China Steven Li, Western New England University, USA Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Yanfu Li, Tsinghua University, China Terry Lin, Qingdao University of Technology, China Huchen Liu, Tongji University, China Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Qiang Miao, Sichuan University, China Min Ouyang, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China Rong Pan, Arizona State University, USA Jihong Pang, Wenzhou University, China Minjae Park, Hongik University, Korea Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China Yi Ren, Beihang University, China Frank Sun, Tesla Motors, USA Yong Sun, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Australia Yoshinobu Tamura, Tokyo City University, Japan Zhangchun Tang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Yourui Tao, Hebei University of Technology, China Zhigang (Will) Tian, University of Alberta, Canada Dong Wang, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China Jinting Wang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China Wendai Wang, Lumentum Operations LLC, USA
- 5 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Pengfei Wei, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Shaomin Wu, University of Kent, UK Zhimin Xi, The State University of New Jersey, USA Yisha Xiang, Texas Tech University, USA Hui Xiao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China Ningcong Xiao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Xiao Xiao, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Japan Ancha Xu, Zhejiang Gongshang University, China Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Wenying Yang, Harbin Institute of Technology, China Zaili Yang, Liverpool John Moores University, UK Elena Zaitseva, University of Žilina, Slovakia Dequan Zhang, Hebei University of Technology, China Di Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China Tieling Zhang, University of Wollongong, Australia Peng Zhao, Jiangsu Normal University, China
Organizing Committee Chair
Shubin Si, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China
Organizing Committee Co-Chairs
Hong-Xia Chen, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Ronghua Du, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China Xuerong Ye, Harbin Institute of Technology, China Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China Hongming Zhou, Wenzhou University, China
Organizing Committee Members
Zhiqiang Cai, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Kaiye Gao, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China Junyu Guo, Southwest Petroleum University, China
- 6 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Cheng-Geng Huang, Sun Yat-sen University, China Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Haibin Li, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Hongshuang Li, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China Xiang-Yu Li, Taiyuan University of Technology, China Zheng Liu, Guangzhou University, China Yun Song, Reliability Engineering Institution of Chinese Mechanical Engineering Society, China Bo Sun, Beihang University, China Bin Suo, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China Hailong Tian, Jilin University, China Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China Zhihua Wang, Beihang University, China Jia Wang, Hebei University of Technology, China Chaoyang Xie, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China Zhaohui Yang, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Jinfen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China Yugang Zhang, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China
Local Arrangement Chairs
Tianxiang Yu, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Xinzhou Qiao, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, China
Publications Chairs
Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Dariusz Mazurkiewicz, Lublin University of Technology, Poland Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China
Publicity Chairs
Pengfei Wei, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China He Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
- 7 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Finance Chairs
W. Eric Wong, University of Texas at Dallas, USA Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
Conference Secretary General
Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
Conference Secretariat Members
Song Bai, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
Yi-Ming Chen, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Zhuo Chen, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Xin-Yun Deng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Zhi-Ming Deng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Jun-Ming Hu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Peng Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Tu-Di Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Tao Jiang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China He Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Xiang Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Yi-Fan Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Cheng Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Jin-Xing Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Zi-Ang Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Hua-Ming Qian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Yu-Qing Qian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China He-Xin Tian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Xue-Ming Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Ao-Di Yu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Hai-Sheng Yuan, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Ying Zeng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Ting-Yu Zhang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Shi-Yang Zhou, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
- 8 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
III. Sponsors & Organizers 1) Sponsors
Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China
Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
The Korean Reliability Society
Reliability Engineering Association of Japan
Korean Society for Prognostics and Health Management
Reliability Division of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
European Safety and Reliability Association
International Society of Engineering Asset Management
Center for System Reliability and Safety of UESTC
2) Organizers
Tsinghua University
Northwestern Polytechnical University
Beijing University of Technology
Harbin Institute of Technology
Inner Mongolia University of Technology
Jilin University
Xi’an University of Science and Technology
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
State Key Laboratory of Mining Equipment and Intelligent Manufacturing
3) Co-Organizers
Changsha University of Science & Technology
Wenzhou University
Qinda Technology Co., Ltd.
Chengdu Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd.
- 9 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
IV. Keynote Speeches
A. Keynote Speech 1
Friday, October 9 / 09:00-09:40, 3-5 Function Room
Title: How Can We Better Improve the Reliability and Safety of Our Products? ---A Plea for a New Manufacturing Paradigm Professor Shan-Tung Tu East China University of Science and Technology
Shanghai, China
Abstract: In view of the deficiency of current manufacturing modes, the lecture intends to introduce a new manufacturing paradigm: reliability centered manufacturing (RcM). To achieve a higher reliability and safety of the next generation of products, damage identification techniques is developed which is supported by a big failure databank. High reliability is then secured by development of high performance materials, design against failures, zero-defect manufacture and re-manufacturing for reliability recovery. The reliability centered manufacturing are supported by advanced testing, inspection, and on-line monitoring technology, and various surface engineering techniques for materials performance enhancement. Supply chain management to ensure high reliability will be addressed. The lecture will demonstrate the manufacturing process learning from the failures and evolving with new knowledge. You will find RcM is an iterative solution for a new generation of product of high reliability, an inclusive model entails digital, green, smart and various manufacturing modes. RcM is a Knowledge based evolution process, a lifelong improvement strategy, and sharing ad win-win cooperation. There is a plenty room of development in the general framework of RcM.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Shan-Tung Tu received his B.Eng degree in 1982 and Ph.D degree in 1988 from Nanjing Tech University. He is a Chair professor of Mechanical and Chemical Engineering, East China University of Science and Technology and an honorary professor of engineering, the University of Nottingham. Prior to this, he has worked in Nanjing Tech University and East China University of Science and Technology as a professor and vice present, and a guest scientist to Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden. Driven by the safety concern of the process and energy equipment, Professor Tu has been trying to develop knowledge in the area of high temperature structural integrity and engineering, including creep, fatigue fracture, structural integrity monitoring and design of high temperature equipment. He is an author of more than 350 papers and received a number of distinguished awards, including China National Science and Technology Progress Award, National Technology Invention Award, China Youth Science and Technology Award, ASME Best Paper Award and so on. He has been the honorary president of Chinese Pressure Vessel Institution (since 2010) and the honorary president of Chinese Materials Institution (since 2015) of China Mechanical Engineering Society, Chairman of China Structural Integrity Consortium, Chairman of Asian Oceanic Regional Committee of International Council for Pressure Vessel Technology, a member of reliability committee of IFToMM. He is also serving a number of journals as an associate editor or editorial board member, including Int J Pres Ves and Piping, Applied Energy, J of Materials Science and Technology, Fatigue and Fracture of Engineering Materials and Structures and so on.
- 10 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
B. Keynote Speech 2
Friday, October 9 / 09:40-10:20, 3-5 Function Room
Title: New Technology and Safe Service of Aviation System
Professor Shaoping Wang Beihang University
Beijing, China
Abstract: High safety is the key requirement of aircraft design specification. In order to obtain the high reliability and safety, aviation systems, such as avionics system, flight control system and utility systems, adopt many new technologies. This address introduces high reliability design methods, more electrical technologies, prognostics and health management (PHM) and energy management systems. Based on above technologies, the onboard aviation system becomes typical cyber-physical system. This address provides the life-cycle reliability evaluation considering the fault tolerant strategy, communication, health condition and monitoring. The dynamic hierarchical reliability model considering the monitoring rate, alarm rate and fault tolerant performance and the maintenance supportability are included.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Shaoping Wang is “Cheung Kong Scholar” Chair professor of Beihang University. She is also the winner of China Youth Science and Technology Award, winner of Education Ministry New Century Excellent Talents Support Plan, Excellent talents of Ministry of Industry and Information, winner of Excellent Female Medal of Beijing and Beijing Innovative Star. She got PhD degree, Master degree and Bachelor degree in 1994, 1991 and 1988 respectively. Her research interests are in the area of fault diagnosis and health management, reliability and fault tolerant control, fluid power transmission and control, mechatronic control and simulation, design and optimization of mechatronic system, and product life-cycle management. She is the associate chair of Reliability Branch of China Operational Research Society, Fluid Power Transmission and Control Branch of China Aeronautics Society. She is the associate chief editor of Journal of Aeronautics and Beihang University Journal. She published 5 books, around 300 papers include more than 100 SCI indexed papers, 150 EI indexed paper, 32 Granted patents. She gains National Second Prize for innovation, National Second Prize of the Scientific and technological Progress and 16 Ministerial Awards for Scientific and Technological Progress. She also got the national Second Prize on Education and 3 Beijing Prize on Education.
- 11 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
C. Keynote Speech 3
Friday, October 9 / 10:40-11:20, 3-5 Function Room
Title: City-Scale Nonlinear Time-History Analysis: Methodology and Engineering Application
Professor Xinzheng Lu Tsinghua University Beijing, China
Abstract: Earthquakes can cause severe damage and huge economic loss to modern cities. Rational seismic damage simulations of buildings can provide an essential reference for city planning and post-earthquake rescue work. A new urban earthquake disaster simulation method, i.e., city-scale nonlinear time-history analysis (THA), is performed in this work. The key scientific outcomes achieved are addressed below. (1) A physics-based multi-scale modeling method for urban buildings is proposed to rationally consider the various deformation characteristics and data resolutions of buildings. (2) The CPU/GPU collaborative parallel computing method is employed to address the excessive computational workload from city-scale simulations. (3) A novel numerical coupling scheme is proposed to scientifically investigate the interactions among densely distributed buildings and the site. (4) The 3D urban polygon model and oblique aerial photography are adopted to realize the high-fidelity visualization of seismic scenarios. (5) The refined regional seismic loss prediction can be achieved based on the city-scale nonlinear THA and FEMA P-58. Besides, the secondary disaster scenario can also be simulated through coupling the city-scale nonlinear THA and physics-based models for other hazards, such as the falling debris and fire following earthquake. The proposed disaster simulation method has been successfully applied to the seismic damage prediction of several cities, such as San Francisco Bay Area, Beijing and Tangshan. Combined with the real–time recorded ground motions, the proposed method has also been successfully used for the prompt assessment of seismic damage in 32 domestic and 42 international earthquakes. In summary, the city–scale nonlinear THA takes accurate consideration of the characteristics of ground motions and those of buildings, and the analysis outcomes will provide an important reference for city planning, post-earthquake rescue work, seismic damage assessment, and earthquake scenario simulation.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Xinzheng Lu is a full Professor and the Head of the Institute of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation of Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. He is also the Editor-in-Chief of the Engineering Mechanics journal of CSTAM, and the associate Editor of Journal of Structural Engineering-ASCE. Prof. Lu’s major research interests cover disaster prevention and mitigation of structures and cities. He was listed as the “Most Cited Chinese Scholars in Civil and Structural field” by Elsevier (from 2014 to 2019). The models and methods he proposed have been adopted by ACI guidelines, Chinese national and industrial design codes, and integrated into some important simulation platforms, such as OpenSees, US-NSF NHERI SimCenter, and China Earthquake Networks Center. He has participated in the design of some landmark buildings and the planning of important city areas, such as the tallest building in Beijing (CITIC Tower, 528 m). He also participated in the emergency earthquake reconnaissance after Wenchuan (2008), Yushu (2010), Lushan (2013), etc.
- 12 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
D. Keynote Speech 4
Friday, October 9 / 11:20-12:00, 3-5 Function Room
Title: Reliable Control Technology of Equipment Life Cycle
Professor Chang-Hua Hu Rocket Force University of Engineering
Xi’an, China
Abstract: Reliability design, reliability analysis and reliability experiment, fault-tolerant control, fault diagnosis, fault prognosis, residual useful life prediction, predictive maintenance and health management, all of these reliable control technology are discussed systematically in this report.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Chang-Hua Hu is a professor of the Rocket Force University of Engineering. He has gained the National science foundation for outstanding Young people of china. He is a Chang Jiang Scholars of the ministry of education of the people’s republic of china, and he is a national famous teacher of china. He has published more than 300 papers. His main research interest focuses on the fault diagnosis, fault prognosis, residual useful life prediction, predictive maintenance and health management.
- 13 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
E. Keynote Speech 5
Saturday October 10 / 08:30-09:10, 3-5 Function Room
Title: On Reliability for Balanced Systems
Professor Lirong Cui Beijing Institute of Technology
Beijing, China
Abstract: The reliability of balanced systems (or symmetry systems, I prefer the former) have been studied in reliability field recently, and their special features and applications in real world make them more interesting. In this talk, a history of the reliability of balanced systems is reviewed, and the some important assumptions are given firstly. Then the features of these models on reliability are discussed, the reliability and other measures are considered as well. Finally some discussions on future researches on this direction are presented.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Lirong Cui is a professor in the School of Management & Economics at Beijing Institute of Technology (BIT). He received a BS degree from Tiangong University in 1983, a MS degree from the System Science Institute of China Science Academy in 1986, and a PhD degree in Probability and Statistics from the University of Wales, UK in 1994. He has 14 years of experience working in a research institute for the Ministry of Astronautics Industry (1986-1999), two years in National University of Singapore from 2000 to 2002 and works for BIT since 2003. He also has experiences in Wales (UK) and Taiwan (China) as a visiting scholar. He is an Associate Editor for IISE Transactions, Communications in Statistics and Quality Technology & Quantitative Management, and he was also an Associate Editor for IEEE Transactions on Reliability from 2005 to 2015. Besides, he is also an Associate Director, Executive Director or Director for many academic organizations and an expert for the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC). Since 1999, he has over 80 published SCI journal papers and 1 English monography. He was granted the New Century Outstanding talents from the Ministry of Education, China. One of his PhD student was awarded the excellent doctoral dissertation of Beijing in 2009 and 5 PhD students were awarded the excellent doctoral dissertation of BIT. He has presided 6 programs funded by NSFC, including 5 general programs and 1 key program. His current research interests involve aggregated stochastic processes and maintenance modelling, reliability modelling and analysis of degradation systems, cascading systems and balance systems, finite Markov chain embedding approach, Hawkes process, and the optimal matching problems, etc.
- 14 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
F. Keynote Speech 6
Saturday October 10 / 09:10-09:50, 3-5 Function Room
Title: Multi-Level Inspection Strategy Optimization for Complex Systems
Professor Yu Liu University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Chengdu, China
Abstract: Condition monitoring, as a key measure to ensure the safe and reliable operations of complex engineering systems, has been widely implemented to reveal the health status and predict the future states of systems. However, due to the complex working conditions of systems and the limitation of the accuracy of condition monitoring techniques, the inspection data from the condition monitoring oftentimes cannot accurately reveal the true states of systems. On the other hand, the inspection data can be oftentimes collected from multiple physical levels of a system with a hierarchical structure, including the system level, subsystem level and component level. Besides, due to limited inspection resources, such as time, budget, and manpower, it is often impossible to collect inspection data for all components, subsystems, and the entire system simultaneously. This talk will introduce some preliminary research works on the optimal multi-level inspection strategy in the context of multi-state systems under the uncertainty of inspection data, multiple physical levels of systems and limited inspection resource.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Yu Liu is a full Professor with the Department of Industrial Engineering in the School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering at the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. He received his PhD degree in Mechatronics Engineering from the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. He was a Visiting Pre-doctoral Fellow in the Department of Mechanical Engineering at Northwestern University, Evanston, U.S.A. from 2008 to 2010, and a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in the Department of Mechanical Engineering, at the University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada from 2012 to 2013. His research interests include system reliability modeling and analysis, maintenance decisions, prognostics and health management, and design under uncertainty. He has published over 60 peer-reviewed papers in international journals, such as IEEE Transactions on Reliability, IISE Transactions, European Journal of Operational Research, ASME Journal of Mechanical Design. He has been recognized as one of the Most Cited Chinese Researchers by Elsevier since 2016. He was a recipient of the National Science Fund for Excellent Young Scholars and the HIWIN Doctoral Dissertation Award sponsored by HIWIN Technologies Corporation and Chinese Society of Mechanical Engineers. He serves as the Secretary General of the Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China and the Executive Committee Member of the System Reliability Division of Systems Engineering Society of China.
- 15 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
G. Keynote Speech 7
Saturday October 10 / 10:10-10:50, 3-5 Function Room
Title: Reliability Analysis with Two-stage Degradation: Models and Forecasting
Professor David W. Coit Rutgers University New Jersey, USA
Abstract: Many degradation processes occur in two distinct stages or phases. This is not unusual or unexpected because (a) often the design includes protective coverings or coatings that beneficially delay the onset of a degradation process, (b) some physical or chemical processes naturally do not occur until there has been a time-delay of some type, or (c) after progressing gradually for some time, a degradation process may become more aggressive and fundamentally change. There have been several impressive two-stage degradation models in the literature including the gamma-gamma and Weiner-Weiner models and others. In this talk, we will introduce a new model called the Weibull-gamma model. The first stage is modeled by a time-to-event distribution, instead of a stochastic process, to more closely resemble the physical behavior of some delayed failure mechanisms, while the second stage is a stochastic process similar to other models. In the new model, both stages are modeled as a function of stress covariates, which can then be used to conduct accelerated testing. The model is demonstrated using an example of a steel rebar used in reinforced concrete to build more reliable bridges. Testing data was collected for three years under accelerated conditions to evaluate the feasibility and reliability of new steel materials exposed to stressful conditions. While the new model to useful to predict reliability, it is not particularly useful to forecast future degradation. In the final part of the talk, various machine learning forecasting methods are discussed and demonstrated.
Speaker Bio: Prof. David W. Coit is a Professor in the Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering at Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA, and he is currently appointed to a 3-year position as a Visiting Professor at Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. He has been awarded several U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) grants, including a CAREER grant from NSF to develop system reliability optimization algorithms considering uncertainty. He has been the recipient of the P. K. McElroy award, Alain O. Plait award and William A. J. Golomski award for best papers and tutorials at the Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS). He has over 120 published journal papers and over 90 peer-reviewed conference papers. He also has over ten years of experience working for IIT Research Institute (IITRI), Rome NY. He received a BS degree in mechanical engineering from Cornell University, an MBA from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and MS and PhD in industrial engineering from the University of Pittsburgh. He is a Department Editor for IISE Transactions and an Associate Editor for IEEE Transactions on Reliability and Journal of Risk and Reliability, and he is a member of IISE, IEEE and INFORMS.
- 16 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
H. Keynote Speech 8
Saturday October 10 / 10:50-11:30, 3-5 Function Room
Title: Epistemic Uncertainties: Opportunity or Burden?
Professor Michael Beer Leibniz Universität Hannover, Hannover, Germany Abstract: Epistemic uncertainties appear across all engineering fields to quite some significant extent. Although they can often be described phenomenologically and qualitatively, they counteract a rigorous quantitative description, which is needed as a basis for a realistic risk assessment. In the presence of epistemic uncertainties the specification of a probabilistic model and the associated risk analysis lead to hypothetical results presuming some intuitive guess to capture the influence of the epistemic uncertainty. That is, we quantify risk based on conditions that represent assumptions rather than facts. Such results can be significantly misleading. It is thus of paramount importance to quantify epistemic uncertainties most realistically. This quantification should neither introduce unwarranted information nor should it neglect information. On this basis there is a clear consensus that epistemic uncertainties need to be taken into account for a realistic assessment of risk and reliability. However, there is no clearly defined procedure to master this challenge. There are rather a variety of concepts and approaches available to deal with epistemic uncertainties, from which the engineer can chose. This choice is made difficult by the perception that the available concepts are competing and opposed to one another rather than being complementary and compatible. Clearly, the first consideration should be devoted to a probabilistic modelling, naturally through subjective probabilities, which express a belief of the expert and can be integrated into a fully probabilistic framework in a coherent manner via a Bayesian approach. While this pathway is widely accepted and recognized as being very powerful, the potential of set-theoretical approaches and imprecise probabilities has only been utilized to some minor extent. Those approaches, however, attract increasing attention in cases when available information is not rich enough to meaningfully specify subjective probability distributions. The presentation will feature models for epistemic uncertainties, and it will highlight their capabilities and added value when used for engineering analysis and design. Illustrative examples are used to explain the respective features. The discussion on the models is complemented by presenting a powerful numerical technology for processing epistemic uncertainties even in very complex and nonlinear engineering analyses. This technology can be used not only for reliability analysis, but also for sensitivity analysis, design, model updating and more.
Speaker Bio: Prof. Michael Beer is Professor and Head of the Institute for Risk and Reliability, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany, since 2015. He is also part time Professor at the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty, University of Liverpool and in the Shanghai Institute of Disaster Prevention and Relief, Tongji University, China. He obtained a doctoral degree from the Technische Universität Dresden and pursued research at Rice University, supported with a Feodor-Lynen Fellowship from the Alexander von Humboldt-Foundation. From 2007 to 2011 Dr. Beer worked as an Assistant Professor at National University of Singapore. In 2011 he joined the University of Liverpool as Chair in Uncertainty in Engineering and Founding Director of the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty. In 2014 he established the EPSRC and ESRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Quantification and Management of Risk & Uncertainty in Complex Systems & Environments. Among other activities Dr. Beer is Editor in Chief (jointly) of the Encyclopedia of Earthquake Engineering (Springer) as well as Associate Editor of the ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems and Associate Editor of the International Journal of Reliability and Safety. Dr. Beer’s research is focused on non-traditional uncertainty models in engineering with emphasis on reliability and risk analysis.
- 17 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
V. Program Information
A. Conference Topics
I Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis
II Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability
III System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization
IV Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM
V Robust, Reliability-Based, and Lifecycle Design
VI Maintenance and Warranty Management
VII Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing
VIII Special Session on "Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems"
IX Special Session on "Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System"
X Special Sessions on "Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and Reliability Analysis
of Complex Structural and Mechanical Systems"
XI Special Session on "Uncertainty Quantification of Time-Varying Systems"
XII Special Session on "Reliability Analysis of Complex Systems"
- 18 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
B. Program at A Glance
Date October 8 October 9 October 10 October 11 Time (Thursday) (Friday) (Saturday) (Sunday)
08:00-12:00 Registration
Opening Ceremony Keynote Speech 5
Keynote Speech 1 Oral Session E
Keynote Speech 6 Keynote Speech 2
08:30-12:00 Tea Break Tea Break Tea Break
Keynote Speech 3 Keynote Speech 7 Oral Session F Keynote Speech 4 Keynote Speech 8
12:00-14:00 Lunch Lunch Lunch
Oral Session A Oral Session C
14:00-18:00 Registration Tea Break Tea Break
Oral Session B Oral Session D
18:00 Dinner Dinner Banquet
- 19 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
C. Detailed Timetable
October 9 [Friday] 8:30-12:00
Room 3-5 Time Function Room
08:00-12:00 Registration
08:30-09:00 Opening Ceremony
Chair: Keynote Speech 1: Prof. Hong-Zhong Huang Prof. Shan-Tung Tu University of Electronic 09:00-09:40 East China University of Science and Technology, China Science and Technology How Can We Better Improve the Reliability and of China Safety of Our Products? A Plea for a New China Manufacturing Paradigm
Chair: Keynote Speech 2: Prof. Hong-Xia Chen Prof. Shaoping Wang 09:40-10:20 Inner Mongolia University Beihang University, China of Technology New Technology and Safe Service of Aviation System China
10:20-10:40 Tea Break
Chair: Keynote Speech 3: Prof. Bo Guo Prof. Xinzheng Lu 10:40-11:20 National University of Tsinghua University, China Defense Technology City-Scale Nonlinear Time-History Analysis: China Methodology and Engineering Application
Chair: Keynote Speech 4: Prof. Renyan Jiang Prof. Chang-Hua Hu 11:20-12:00 Changsha University of Rocket Force University of Engineering, China Science and Technology Reliable Control Technology of Equipment Life Cycle China
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 20 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] 14:00-16:10
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11 Special Session Fault Diagnosis, on Reliability, System Prognosis, “Reliability and Reliability Maintainability, Analysis, Condition Safety of Modeling and Conference Topic and Simulation and Monitoring and Maritime Risk Analysis Supportability Optimization PHM Transportation (I) (II) (III) (IV) System” (IX)
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:00-14:25 2020-0004-0044 2020-0001-0386 2020-0001-0105 2020-0002-0320 2020-0003-0272
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:25-14:50 Oral 2020-0004-0098 2020-0001-0387 2020-0001-0122 2020-0002-0283 2020-0003-0021 Session A QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:50-15:15 2020-0004-0268 2020-0001-0388 2020-0001-0316 2020-0002-0340 2020-0003-0030
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 15:15-15:40 2020-0004-0309 2020-0001-0389 2020-0001-0132 2020-0002-0319 2020-0003-0112
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
October 9 [Friday] 16:10-18:00
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11 Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and Special Session on Reliability, System Reliability Reliability Maintainability, Analysis, Analysis of “Reliability and Modeling and Conference Topic and Simulation and Complex Safety of Risk Analysis Supportability Optimization Structural and Maritime (I) (II) (III) Mechanical Transportation Systems System” (X) (IX) QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0396 2020-0001-0343 2020-0002-0011 2020-0003-0034 2020-0001-0390 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 16:35-17:00 Oral 2020-0002-0399 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0148 2020-0002-0069 2020-0003-0067 Session B QR2MSE 2020-0001-0391 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 17:00-17:25 2020-0002-0233 2020-0001-0040 2020-0002-0174 2020-0003-0083 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 17:25-17:50 2020-0001-0392 2020-0004-0243 2020-0001-0379 2020-0002-0306 2020-0003-0019
18:00 Dinner
- 21 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] 08:30-12:00
Room 3-5 Time Function Room
Chair: Keynote Speech 5: Prof. Hongming Zhou Lirong Cui 08:30-09:10 Wenzhou University Beijing Institute of Technology, China China On Reliability for Balanced Systems
Chair: Keynote Speech 6: Prof. Xiaoyue Wu Prof. Yu Liu 09:10-09:50 National University of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Defense Technology Multi-Level Inspection Strategy Optimzation for China Complex Systems
9:50-10:10 Tea Break
Chair: Keynote Speech 7: Prof. Lirong Cui Prof. David W. Coit 10:10-10:50 Beijing Institute of Rutgers University, USA Technology Reliability Analysis with Two-stage Degradation: China Models and Forecasting
Chair: Keynote Speech 8: Prof. Rui Peng Prof. Michael Beer 10:50-11:30 Beijing University of Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany Technology Epistemic Uncertainties: Opportunity or Burden? China
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 22 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] 14:00-16:10
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11
Special Session Failure Physics, Special Session on Material on “Reliability Reliability Maintenance and “Resilience of Science, Data Analysis of Modeling and Warranty Conference Topic Critical Analysis, and Complex Risk Analysis Management Infrastructure Reliability Systems” (I) (VI) Systems” Testing (XII) (VIII) (VII)
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:00-14:25 2020-0001-0157 2020-0008-0381 2020-0007-0014 2020-0001-0020 2020-0006-0024 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:25-14:50 2020-0002-0156 2020-0008-0382 Oral 2020-0007-0344 2020-0001-0084 2020-0006-0255 QR2MSE QR2MSE Session C 2020-0002-0276 2020-0008-0383 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 14:50-15:15 QR2MSE QR2MSE 2020-0007-0325 2020-0001-0121 2020-0001-0250 2020-0008-0058 2020-0005-0384 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 15:15-15:40 QR2MSE QR2MSE 2020-0007-0197 2020-0001-0023 2020-0008-0263 2020-0004-0033 2020-0005-0385
15:50-16:10 Tea Break
October 10 [Saturday] 16:10-18:00
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11
Special Session Fault Diagnosis, Robust, on “Uncertainty System Analysis, Prognosis, Reliability Reliability-Based, Quantification of Simulation and Condition Modeling and Conference Topic and Lifecycle Time-Varying Optimization Monitoring and Risk Analysis Design Systems” (III) PHM (I) (V) (XI) (IV)
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 16:10-16:35 2020-0001-0079 2020-0003-0021 2020-0004-0246 2020-0005-0046 2020-0001-0350
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 16:35-17:00 Oral 2020-0001-0247 2020-0003-0202 2020-0004-0027 2020-0002-0136 2020-0007-0298 Session D QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 17:00-17:25 2020-0001-0064 2020-0008-0409 2020-0004-0186 2020-0008-0412 2020-0008-0408
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 17:25-17:50 2020-0008-0393 2020-0008-0410 2020-0004-0225 2020-0008-0413 2020-0008-0411
18:00 Banquet
- 23 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] 08:30-10:10
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11
Fault Diagnosis, System Reliability, Reliability Prognosis, Maintenance Analysis, Maintainability, Modeling and Risk Condition and Warranty Conference Topic Simulation and and Analysis Monitoring and Management Optimization Supportability (I) PHM (VI) (III) (II) (IV)
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 8:30-8:50 2020-0001-0104 2020-0004-0007 2020-0003-0140 2020-0002-0028 2020-0006-0150
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 8:50-9:10 2020-0001-0051 2020-0004-0099 2020-0003-0260 2020-0002-0029 2020-0006-0077 Oral QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE Session 9:10-9:30 E 2020-0001-0036 2020-0004-0106 2020-0003-0201 2020-0002-0129 2020-0008-0404 QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 9:30-9:50 2020-0001-0356 2020-0008-0414 2020-0003-0209 2020-0008-0401 2020-0008-0405
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 9:50-10:10 2020-0008-0416 2020-0008-0415 2020-0008-0403 2020-0008-0402 2020-0008-0406
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
October 11 [Sunday] 10:10-12:00
Room Conference Conference Conference Conference Conference Time Room 3-3 Room 3-6 Room 3-9 Room 3-10 Room 3-11
Fault Diagnosis, Fault Diagnosis, Reliability, Prognosis, Prognosis, Reliability, Reliability Maintainability, Condition Condition Maintainability, Modeling and Conference Topic and Supportability Monitoring and Monitoring and and Risk Analysis (II) PHM PHM Supportability (II) (I) (IV) (IV)
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 10:30-10:50 2020-0002-0308 2020-0004-0158 2020-0004-0133 2020-0002-0339 2020-0001-0025
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 10:50-11:10 Oral 2020-0002-0152 2020-0004-0191 2020-0004-0235 2020-0002-0054 2020-0001-0042 Session F QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 11:10-11:30 2020-0002-0041 2020-0004-0231 2020-0004-0336 2020-0002-0063 2020-0002-0118
QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE QR2MSE 11:30-11:50 2020-0002-0305 2020-0004-0226 2020-0002-0071 2020-0001-0214 12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 24 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
VI. Technical Program October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-3
14:00-15:40 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV) Moderators: Prof. Wensheng Peng, China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China Prof. Xinzhou Qiao, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0044 Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing Based on Permutation Entropy Optimized Maximum Correlation Kurtosis Deconvolution/ Ping Liu, Zhonghai Lin, Min Zhang, Yingkui Gu (Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, China)
In this paper, the author introduce an improved MCKD algorithm which is proposed as an adaptive parameter selection approach.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0098 Life Prediction Method of On-board Hydrogen Clock under Multiple Mechanisms/ Xiao Xiong (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Haitao Zhao, Yonghui Xie and Jianyu Zhao
In this paper, the author expounds the composing and design of the hydrogen clock and focuses on the factors affecting the lifetime.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0268 Prediction of Fatigue Crack Growth Life Based on a New Fusion Model/ G L Chen (Southeast University, China), J M Cheng, H Jin
In this paper, a discretized improved two parameter exponential formula is proposed.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0309 Damage Identification and Severity of Bolt Looseness Based on Sensor Information Fusion with Neural Network/ Yanhe Tao(Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China), Xiangdong Li, Qintao Guo, Chao Zhou, Jin Wu, Yeping Xiong
In this paper, the authors show that the random vibration test of bolted structure was conducted with electromagnetic vibrator and data collecting instrument.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 25 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-6
14:00-15:40 Special Session on“Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System”(IX) Moderators: Prof. Jin-Fen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China Prof. Jun Yang, Beihang University, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0386 Collision Risk Assessment in Jiangsu Section of the Yangtze River Based on Evidential Reasoning/ An-Xin He (Wuhan University of Technology, China), Jin-Fen Zhang, Di Zhang, Wei-Dong Gan
This paper aims at collision risk assessment in Jiangsu section of the Yangtze river based on evidential reasoning.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0387 An Advanced Method of Collision Risk Assessment in terms of Encountering Ships/ Yuting Deng (Nanjing University of Science and Technology, China), Weibin Zhang, Xinyu Feng
This paper aims to improve the Vessel collision risk operator (VCRO) and proposes an exponential model of the safety distance in terms of the imbalance of risk assessment in the case of ships meeting close to the safety zone.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0388 A Preliminary Mapping Network Model for Unsafe Acts in Maritime Accidents/ Shanshan Fu (Shanghai Maritime University, China), Hui Zhuang, Changjiang Zhang, Yongtao Xi
This paper explores the correlations between the crew’s unsafe acts and the induced maritime accidents, and proposes a preliminary mapping network model.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0389 Abnormal Identification of Lubricating Oil Parameters and Evaluation of Physical and Chemical Properties Based on Machine Learning/ Kun Yang (Wuhan University of Technology, China), Xia Wang
This paper proposes an abnormality identification model for online oil monitoring parameters.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 26 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-9
14:00-15:40 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis(I) Moderators: Prof. Ping Jiang, National University of Defense Technology, China Prof. Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0105 An Improved High-Moment Method for Reliability Analysis Based on Polynomial Chaos Expansion/ Jianyu Zhao (China Academy of Space Technology, China), Jianbin Guo, Jingyan Wang, Hao Xu
This paper improves the traditional high-moment method based on the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE).
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0122 Quality Prediction of Laser Cladding Based on Elman Neural Network/ S Q Yang, X Y Jiang (Shenyang University of Technology, China), K Zhang, M X Shi, Z S Wang
This paper proposes a quality prediction method based on Elman neural network in order to solve the problem of complicated laser cladding process, more influencing factors of cladding quality and the difficulty to predict the morphology of the cladding layer.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0316 A Monte Carlo Expectation Maximization Algorithm for Statistical Inference of Weibull Process with Left Censored Data/ Jun-Ming Hu (Xihua University, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, statistical inferences of a Weibull process with incomplete data using Monte Carlo expectation maximization algorithm is proposed.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0132 A Birnbaum Importance and Regression Analysis Based Heuristic Algorithm for Multi-type Component Assignment Problem/ Zhiling Guan, Yida Shi, Siqi Qiu (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China)
In this paper, a new kind of multi-type component assignment problem (MCAP) called the two types of component of component assignment problem (TCAP) is proposed.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 27 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-10
14:00-15:40 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II) Moderators: Prof. Pengwen Sun, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Dr. Yuan Chen, The Fifth Electronics Research Institute of Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0320 Reliability Evaluation for Complex System Based on Bayesian Theory and Multi-source Information Fusion/ Zhaoli Song, Qian Zhao, Xiang Jia, Bo Guo (National University of Defense Technology, China)
In this paper, a system reliability evaluation method based on Bayesian theory and multi-source information fusion is proposed.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0283 Study on the Reliability of Mechanical Components of Squib Valve in Passive Nuclear Power Plant/ Qiang Liu (China Productivity Center for Machinery, China), Lechang Zhan, Xiaowei Zhang, Liangming Chang, Jingxian Ma, Xihui Su
In this paper, the action principle of squib valve employed in passive nuclear power plant was introduced and the main factors affecting the reliability of the mechanical components of the squib valve were analyzed.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0340 System Reliability Analysis with Hybrid Uncertainty Based on Hierarchical Evidential Network/ J Mi (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), H Liang, Y F Li, Y Cheng, L Bai
In this paper, a comprehensive study on reliability analysis of complex system with common cause failures and hybrid uncertainties is performed based on evidential network.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0319 Research on Mission Reliability and Sensitivity of Folding Tail Mechanism/ Huan Pang (Chang’an University, China), Dongyang Shi, Daocheng Wang
In this paper, the failure modes and failure influencing factors in the mission process are analyzed systematically and the dynamic model of the folding tail mechanism is established.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 28 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-11
14:00-15:40 System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization (III) Moderators: Prof. Kai Sun, Institute of Microelectronic of Chinese Academy of Science, China Prof. Zhen Chen, Southwest Petroleum University, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0272 Simulation Analysis of Outage Recovery Time of Navigation Satellite/ Haitao Zhao (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Xiao Xiong, Qinghua Wang
This paper analyses the specific process of outage recovery of satellite on orbit at the design stage, and puts forward the modelling and analysis method of outage recovery time according to the characteristics of outage recovery process.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0026 Time-Dependent Reliability-based Design Optimization of Structures with Fuzzy Uncertainty/ Chongqing Fan (Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, China), Zhengkai Zhang, Qingguo Wen
This paper proposes a novel reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) model with the constraints of time-dependent failure possibility (TDFP) for addressing the optimal design parameter for the time-dependent structure involving fuzzy variables.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0030 Reliability Analysis of Mixer Structure under Mixing Simulation/ Hai-Ying Cheng (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Zhun Luo, Liang Yong
This paper simulates the mixing process of the mixture, obtains the random load data of the mixture on the mixing drum and the mixing parts based on the EDEM software.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0112 Research on Multi-agent Task Optimization and Scheduling Based on Improved Ant Colony Algorithm/ Y Wang (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), R R Yang, Y X Xu, X Li, J L Shi
This paper proposes an ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithm for achieving balanced task scheduling with optimal completion time.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 29 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-3
16:10-17:50 Special Session on “Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and Reliability Analysis of Complex Structural and Mechanical Systems” (X) Moderators: Prof. Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China Prof. Haitao Zhao, Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0396 Reliability Analysis of Wheel Fatigue Strength Based on Active Learning Kriging Model/ Xin Cheng (Southwest Jiaotong University, China), Xufeng Yang
A reliability analysis method based on active learning Kriging (ALK) model is introduced to solve the fatigue strength failure probability of wheels in this paper.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0399 A PDEM-COM Framework for Uncertainty Quantification of Backward Issues Involving both Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties/ Zhi-Qiang Wan (Tongji University, China), Jian-Bing Chen, Michael Beer
In the present paper, a probabilistically consistent framework for the quantification of both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty by synthesizing the probability density evolution method (PDEM) and the change of probability measure (COM) is outlined.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0233 Structural Reliability Analysis with Temporal and Spatial Variations Based on Polynomial Chaos Expansion/ Hang Nan (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China), Hongshuang Li, Caijun Xue
In this paper, it presents a polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) based method to evaluate the reliability problem with temporal and spatial variations.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0243 A Remaining Useful Life Prediction Method for Complex Systems Based on Multi-index Fusion with MC and HSMM/ D F Zhang (Chongqing University, China), Y Ran, G B Zhang, C X Jin, S L Li
This paper introduces that remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is the core and basic of system Prognostic and Health Management (PHM).
18:00 Dinner
- 30 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-6
16:10-17:40 Special Session on“Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System”(IX) Moderators: Prof. Jin-Fen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China Prof. Jun Yang, Beihang University, China
16:10-16:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0390 The Influence of Water Content on the Acid Number of Diesel Engine Lubricant in Electrochemical Measurement/ Fanhao Zhou (Wuhan University of Technology, China), Kun Yang
In this paper, thick film (TF) potentiometric sensors based on ion-selective electrodes (ISE) are used to determine the acid acidity of the diesel engine oil to determine the oxidation duration of the oil.
16:40-17:10 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0391 Effects of Load and Rotational Speed on the Friction and Wear Properties of PTFE Composites/ Tao Guan (Naval Research Academy, China), Yunsheng Liu, Haiming Shou, Feng Li
This paper studies the friction and wear properties of PTFE composites, and a series of experimental tests are conducted under different sliding velocities and load pressures using block-on-ring testing machine.
17:10-17:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0392 The Influence of Nozzle Parameters on the Atomization Performance of Non-normal Fuel Based on the Super-high Pressure Common Rail System/ Qi Liu (Naval Research Academy, China), Yunsheng Liu, Xinzhuan Chen, Baiqi Huo
This paper aims at the influence of nozzle parameters on the atomization performance of non-normal fuel based on the super-high pressure common rail system.
18:00 Dinner
- 31 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-9
16:10-17:50 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis (I) Moderators: Prof. Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Prof. Hui Jin, Southeast University, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0343 Instantaneous Availability of Multi-component System under the Constraint of Spare Parts/ Yun Wang (China Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Product Assurance, China), Pengwei Hu, Baidong Jin, Hailong Cheng, Yuhan Liu
In this paper, a model that can compute the instantaneous availability of multi- component series system with spare parts is proposed.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0148 Isolation Forest Wrapper Approach for Feature Selection in Software Defect Prediction/ Zhiguo Ding (Zhejiang Normal University, China)
In this paper, a wrapper feature selection approach applying genetic algorithm as a search strategy to find the optimal feature subset is firstly introduced, and an improved isolation forest based defect prediction method is proposed.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0040 A Model of Resource Allocation for Intercepting the Missile of Mass Destruction Considering Detection Contest/ Li Qu, Chenjing Han (Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China), Yingchun Li, Ye Ma, Kaiye Gao, Rui Peng
A model of resource allocation for missile interception is proposed in this paper.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0379 Risk-Based Inspection Methodology：A Case Study of Desulfurization Unit in a Natural Gas Plant/ Y J Yang (Chongqing University of Science and Technology, China), C Huang, Q Y Zhong, H Zhang, H J Chen
In this paper, the Risk-based inspection (RBI) is applied to evaluate the risk of the desulfurization unit in a natural gas plant.
18:00 Dinner
- 32 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-10
16:10-17:50 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II) Moderators: Prof. Wenxue Qian, Northeastern University, China Prof. Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0011 Research on the Construction of Supportability Index of Aviation Equipment System of Systems/ Gang Ding (Air Force Engineering University, China), Li-Jie Cui, Li-Yong Wang, Rong Hu, Guang Qian
In this paper, the concept, connotation and characteristics of the supportability of the AESos (Aviation equipment system of systems) based on task are defined.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0069 Remaining Useful Life Prediction of r-out-of-n: G System/ Q Zhao (National University of Defense Technology, China), Z L Song, P Jiang, F C Qian, J W Zhang
In this paper, relationship between the reliability and the RUL is discussed and a simulation method has also been provided, and the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method is verified by the numerical examples.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0174 Reliability Evaluation of Command Information System under Different Attack Modes/ Guohui Jia, Jie Zhou, Junyi Li (China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC) 20th Institute, China)
In this paper, based on the basic structure of the typical command information system network, the model has been divided into physical layer and information layer and reliability changes of the constructed system are compared of different attack modes.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0306 Precise Reliability Analysis Base on Static Pose Error of 6 Degree of Freedom Serial Robot / Ming Hu, Mei Wu (Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, China), Xuwu Zhou, Jing Yang, Bingxu Wang, Jian Li
In this paper, the improved D-H modelling method is used to establish the positioning error model of the robot, the reliability of the static pose error of the robot is analyzed, and the reliability evaluation index of the static pose error of the robot is established.
18:00 Dinner
- 33 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-11
16:10-17:50 System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization (III) Moderators: Prof. Hui Xiao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China Prof. Wei Liu, Tongji University, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0034 Fatigue Reliability Analysis and Optimization of Vibrator Baseplate Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method/ Zhen Chen (Southwest Petroleum University, China), Tao Li, Xiaowei Xue, Yang Zhou, Shuang Jing
This paper proposes a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for baseplate fatigue reliability based on the baseplate parameter weight set and evaluation matrix scored by experts.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0067 Reliability Evaluation and Optimization for Phased Mission Systems with Cascading Effects/ Chenyang Ma, Shuai Zhang, Mi Zhou, Shubin Si, Zhiqiang Cai (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China)
This paper presents a reliability evaluation method for phased mission systems (PMSs) with the cascading effect (CE) based on recursive algorithm.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0083 Feasibility Study of Pinhole Inspection via Magnetic Flux Leakage and Hydrostatic Testing in Oil & Gas Pipelines / Hailiang Zhang, Shengyi Sha (China University of Petroleum (EastChina), China), Chris Willis, Qingshan Feng, Pengchao Chen
In this paper, the effectiveness and applicability of magnetic flux leakage (MFL) in characterizing and sizing pinhole defects is studied by pull test in a 10-inch pipe string with manufactured defects.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0019 A Multi-objective Optimization for Simultaneous Determination of Spare Part Numbers and Imperfect Preventive Maintenance/ Xiao Zhao (University of Science and Technology Beijing, China), Jianhua Yang, Mengying Han
This paper proposes a model simultaneously determining spare part numbers and imperfect PM intervals based on multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT), one of the multi-objective decision making theories.
18:00 Dinner
- 34 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-3
14:00-15:40 Special Session on “Reliability Analysis of Complex Systems” (XII) Moderators: Prof. Chaonan Wang, Jinan University, China Prof. Pengwen Sun, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China
14:00-14:20 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0157 An Improved BDD-Based Combinatorial Method for Competing Failure Analysis/ Y Zhang (Jinan University, China), C Wang, L Xing
In this paper, an improved BDD-based combinatorial method is proposed for the reliability analysis of systems with competing failures.
14:20-14:40 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0156 Reliability Analysis of k-out-of-n Phased-Mission Systems with Phase-AND Requirement/ Y Hu (Jinan University, China), C Wang, L Xing
In this paper, the reliability of a non-repairable phased-mission system (PMS) with k-out-of-n structure and phase-AND requirements is modeled and analyzed.
14:40-15:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0276 A Reliability Calculation Method of Safety Device in Cars / Z Han (Qiongtai Normal University, China), Y Li, G C Tang, H P Gou, J Q Xing, C X Jiang
In this paper, a reliability calculation method of vehicle safety device and the equivalent models of solving the device reliability is proposed.
15:00-15:20 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0033 ARIMA-Based Aging Prediction Method for Cloud Server System/ Haining Meng (Xi’an University of Technology, China), Yuekai Shi, Yilin Qu, Junhuai Li, Jianjun Liu
This paper presents a prediction method to investigate software aging in an OpenStack cloud system
15:20-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0058 Reliability Analysis of Multi-stage Shock and Degradation Model Based on Markov Renewal Process/ Dong Xu (Minzu University of China, China), Xujie Jia
This paper establishes reliability models of self-healing system with competitive failure under cumulative shock.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 35 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-6
14:00-15:40 Special Session on“Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems”(VIII) Moderators: Prof. Min Ouyang, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China Prof. Xiao-Ling Zhang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
14:00-14:20 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0381 Resilience-based Seismic Retrofit of Urban Infrastructure Systems/ C Liu (Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China), M Ouyang
This paper further introduces a resilience-based seismic retrofit optimization problem for UISs under a limited retrofit budget and proposes a novel heuristic algorithm for its solution.
14:20-14:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0382 Resilience-driven Restoration Optimization of Critical Infrastructure Systems under Uncertainty/ M Xu (Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China), M Ouyang
This paper studies the restoration optimization problem of post-disaster CISs, where the uncertainty of repair time for damaged components is considered.
14:40-15:00 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0383 Real-time Planning of Post-earthquake Restoration for Bridge Networks Using Discrete-time Markov Decision Process Model/ W F Tao (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), N Y Wang
This paper aims at Real-time Planning of Post-earthquake Restoration for Bridge Networks Using Discrete-time Markov Decision Process Model.
15:00-15:20 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0384 Probabilistic Lifecycle Resilience Assessment of Water Distribution Networks/ W Liu, Z Y Song (Tongji University, China)
This paper proposes a general probabilistic framework of assessing the lifecycle resilience of water distribution networks (WDNs).
15:20-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0385 Seismic Resilience Assessment for Water Distribution Networks with Multi-components/ W Liu, Q X Wu (Tongji University, China)
This paper proposes a refined metric for quantifying resilience and a sensitivity-based recovery strategy for improving WDNs resilience subjected to earthquakes.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 36 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-9
14:00-15:40 Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing(VII) Moderators: Prof. Hai-Ying Cheng, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Prof. Zhiqiang Cai, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0014 Research On Backup Strategy of BeiDou Global Navigation System Constellation/ Qinghua Wang (China Academy of Space Technology, China), Haitao Zhao, Lei Chen, Zhaozhao Gao, Xiaofang Zhao
In this paper, the effects of three kinds of satellites in different positions of BeiDou Global Navigation System and the failure probability of satellites in orbit are analyzed.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0344 Research on Qualitative Analysis and Quantitative Evaluation Method of BDS Signal-In-Space Integrity/ Peipei Gong (China Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Product Assurance, China), Guanyu Wei, Yueling Cao, Ding Liu, Dongteng Long
In this paper, modeling and qualitative analysis methods for BDS Signal-In-Space (SIS) integrity indicators are proposed.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0325 Review of Deployable Mechanism Test Technologies Oriented Towards Deep Space Exploration/ Tianyuan Ye (Beijing Institute of Space Environment Engineering, China), Zhuo Chen, Shouqing Huang, Fang Hu
In this paper, some typical tests of deployable mechanism for deep space exploration are analyzed, and the scheme and the performance of the special test program are summarized.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0197 Quantitative Analysis of a Process Industry’s Operating Status of Based on DCS Data Set/ Qian Chen, Kai Sun (Institute of Microelectronic of Chinese Academy of Science, China)
In this paper, a novel method to calculate fault score of system’s operating status by classifying its DCS data set and forming a classifier matrix is proposed.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 37 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-10
14:00-15:40 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis (I) Moderators: Prof. Bo Zheng, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, China Dr. Yuan Chen, The Fifth Electronics Research Institute of Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0020 A Bias-corrected Nelson-Aalen Estimator/ R Jiang (Changsha University of Science and Technology, China)
This paper proposes a simple and almost unbiased estimator by using a non-parametric reliability estimator.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0084 A Heuristic for a Special Kind of Multi-type Component Assignment Problem/ Y Shi, Z Guan, and S Qiu (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China)
This paper proposes a two-stage Birnbaum importance-based local search heuristic to address a special kind of MCAP where positions in the system can accept up to two types of components.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0121 Vaccination Strategy Analysis with SIRV Epidemic Model Based on Scale-free Networks with Tunable Clustering/ Xueyu Meng (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Zhiqiang Cai, Hongyan Dui, Huiying Cao
This paper proposed a SIRV (susceptible, infected, recovered, vaccination) evolutionary game model for infectious disease vaccination strategies based on the scale-free networks with tunable clustering.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0023 Optimal Defense-attack Strategies Between M Defenders and N Attackers: A Method Based on Cumulative Prospect Theory/ H Xiao, C Lin (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China), R Peng, K X Yi
This paper incorporates the cumulative prospect theory into defense strategy and models a defense-attack game between M defenders and N attackers considering risk attitudes.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 38 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-11
14:00-15:40 Maintenance and Warranty Management (VI) Moderators: Prof. Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Prof. Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0024 Optimal Maintenance of a Single Unit System with Consideration of Two Failure Modes and Production Wait Time/ H Xiao (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China), Y M Yan, R Peng, Y S Xiang
In this paper, the authors consider two types of failures in a single-unit system: a traditional catastrophic failure and a two-stage delay failure.
14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0255 Fleet Maintenance Strategy Planning with Time Windows Integrated with Multi-agent and Wolf Pack Reinforcement Learning/ Xinrui Ma (System Engineering Research Institute, China), Haixu Li, Zheng Zhou, Bo Chen
A fleet maintenance strategy planning approach based on multi-agent and reinforcement learning is studied in this paper.
14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0250 Prediction of Spindle Rotation Error through Vibration Signal Based on Bi-LSTM Classification Network/ Jianhong Liang (Southwest University of Science and Technology, China), Liping Wang, Jun Wu, Zhigui Liu, Guang Yu
This literature proposes a novel uncompressed approach to predict spindle rotation error through vibration signal based on Bi-LSTM classification network.
15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0263 Deformation Inspection and Safety Assessment Method of Buried Flexible Pipeline in Service/ Xinmin Zhu, Shaokong Feng, Tao Huang, Feng Shang, Lufei Yang (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China)
A laser scanning and piecewise elliptic curve fitting combined method is proposed to measure the empty pipeline deformation in this paper.
15:40-16:10 Tea Break
- 39 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-3
16:10-17:50 Special Session on “Uncertainty Quantification of Time-Varying Systems” (XI) Moderators: Prof. Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Prof. Shun-Peng Zhu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0064 A Novel ISLE-ESE Method for Mixed-variable Experiment Design / J W Yang (National University of Defense Technology, China), Z P Wu, W J Wang, J X Li, W H Zhang, J B Sun, H L Zhao, Q Wen, X Zhen
In this paper, a novel method is proposed for solving mixed-variable problem by combing the Enhanced Stochastic
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0079 Dynamic Safety Assessment of Aircraft Mechanism Using Extremum Framework with Fault Tree Analysis/ J Y Chen (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y W Feng, Y N Guo, C Lu
In this paper, a hybrid two-level inventory allocation method based on multi-echelon technique for recoverable item control (METRIC) is applied to the spare parts allocation of amphibious aircraft.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0247 Influential Parameter Analyses for Sinking Velocity with Measured Data / X F Xue (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y W Feng, Q Y Du, C Lu
This paper studies the effect of operational parameters on the sinking velocity of the landing gear of carrier-based aircraft, the influential analyses of various related parameters are performed based on the measured data of F/A-18.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0393 An Efficient and Robust Method for Structural Reliability Analysis and Its Application in Reliability-based Design Optimization/ Dequan Zhang (Hebei University of Technology, China), Meide Yang, Xu Han
In this study, a new efficient and robust method is proposed to overcome the difficulties in convergence and is applied to reliability-based design optimization (RBDO).
18:00 Banquet
- 40 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-6
16:10-17:50 System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization (III) Moderators: Prof. Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China Prof. Jihong Pang, Wenzhou University, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0021 Comprehensive Evaluation for Design for Design Scheme of Metro Auxiliary Power Supply System Based on FAHP/ Q Gong (Dalian Jiaotong University, China), B Z Chen, P P Zhi, Y H Li
This paper considers the main factors that affect the design scheme of power supply system, and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is used to comprehensively evaluate the design scheme of metro auxiliary power supply system.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0202 Reliability Analysis of Girth Welds by Using Finite Element Simulations with Uncertain Material Properties/ Cheng Qian, Jin Xiao Meng (Beihang University, China), Yi Ren, Bo Sun, Qiang Feng, De Zhen Yang, Zi Li Wang
This paper proposes a reliability simulation method combining the finite element simulation technology and stress-strength model to predict the structural reliability of girth welds with the following steps.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0409 Discrete-Time Bayesian Network for Reliability Analysis of Multi-Level System with Warm Spare Gate/ Xiang Li (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
This paper puts emphases on analysing the dynamic reliability characteristics of dormant systems with WSP gates by utilizing DTBNs.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0410 Time-variant Reliability Analysis Method under Multiple Failure Modes and a Small Failure Probability / Hua-Ming Qian (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Ke Wang, Yan-Feng Li, Hong-Zhong Huang
This paper proposes a time-variant system reliability analysis method by combining multiple response Gaussian process (MRGP) and subset simulation (SS) to solve the small failure probability problem.
18:00 Banquet
- 41 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-9
16:10-17:50 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV) Moderators: Prof. Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China Prof. Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0246 Extraction and Utilization of Satellite Products Life and Reliability Data on Orbit/ Xinqi Lv (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Jingyan Wang, Nan Du
This paper puts forward the basic method of reliability feature extraction based on satellite telemetry data.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0027 Effect of Variable Transformations in Joint Monitoring of Process Parameters and Identification of Efficient Charting Plans/ Q Li (Beihang University, China), A Mukherjee, J Yang
In this paper, a novel scheme for monitoring two-parameter exponential distribution by using Laplace transformation method based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) is introduced.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0186 Bearing Fault Diagnosis Based on the Improved Local Mean Decomposition / J. P. Xing (Qingdao University of Technology, China), T. R. Lin
An autoregressive (AR) model is employed in this paper to predict the continuation of a signal at the endpoints.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0225 Field Test of Online Leakage Noise Monitoring for Pressure Water Pipeline/ Tianxiang Lin (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China), Guanlin Ye, Shaokong Feng, Xinmin Zhu
In this study, the online monitoring test is carried out by utilizing the water pipeline.
18:00 Banquet
- 42 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-10
16:10-17:50 Robust, Reliability-Based, and Lifecycle Design (V) Moderators: Prof. Hui Jin, Southeast University, China Dr. Gui-Jie Li, China Academy Of Engineering Physics, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0046 Reliability Engineering Design Method Based on Generalized Margin Design Theory/ Wensheng Peng (China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China), Yonghong Li
This paper proposes a reliability engineering design method based on the general margin theory, and the quantification relationships between the statistic reliability parameters and general margin parameters are established.
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0136 An Efficient Global Reliability Analysis Method for Turbine Disc’s Multi-failure Modes Considering Importance Distribution Technology/ Yu Liu (Beihang University, China), Xi Liu, Dianyin Hu, Rongqiao Wang
In this paper, it presents an improved efficient global reliability analysis (EGRA) method for a turbine disc considering the importance distribution of multi-failure modes, such as low cycle fatigue (LCF) and creep-fatigue (CF).
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0412 A New Ordering Method of Basic Events via Sequential Binary Decision Diagram / Yifan Li (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
This paper studies the key factors influencing the scale of SBDD, expounds the precedence relationship when factors are taken into account in the ordering, and finally gets a new method of basic events ordering for SBDD.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0413 Fatigue Life Prediction of an Aero-engine Turbine Shaft under Combined High Cycle Loading and Low Cycle Loading / S Bai (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, the author considers the interaction between high cycle and low cycle loading when predicting fatigue life of an aero-engine turbine shaft.
18:00 Banquet
- 43 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-11
16:10-17:50 Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing(VII) Moderators: Prof. Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China Prof. Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0350 A Reliability Evaluation Method for RV Reducer by Combining Multi-fidelity model and Bayesian Updating Technology / Z H Jiang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China), X L Zhang and J Q Liu
In this paper, the stochastic dynamic response analysis and dynamic reliability estimation method is proposed for RV reducer
16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0298 The Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on the Price of Chinese Important Production Material Market/ Shuxuan Huang (Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China), Ruobing Zhan, Junlin Tian, Chunhua Jin, Anran Wang, Kaiye Gao
In this paper, the impact of the novel coronavirus pneumonia on the market price of important production data in China is analyzed.
17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0408 Reliability Test Design for Qualification and Production Acceptance based on Weibull Distribution/ Peng Huang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, a reliability qualification and production acceptance test method based on Weibull distribution is proposed to deal with the inapplicability of the traditional exponential distribution test plans.
17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0411 Reliability Analysis of Industrial Robot Drivers Considering Multiple Failures Dependence/ Ao-Di Yu (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, a reliability analysis method for industrial robot drivers considering multiple failure dependence is proposed.
18:00 Banquet
- 44 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-3
08:30-10:10 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis (I) Moderators: Prof. Bin Suo, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China Prof. Shun-Peng Zhu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
08:30-08:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0104 A Method of Reliability Weight Distribution of Wind Turbines/ Xin Li (Inner
Mongolia University of Technology, China), Ying Wang, Lele Zhang, Jingshen Zhao, Sheng Liang
In this paper, the method takes both maintenance data and expert knowledge into consideration, which can well avoid one-sided problem from the view of considering only subjective or objective factors.
08:50-09:10 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0051 Fitting Method of Small Sample P-S-N Curve Based on Weibull
Distribution/ T Huang (Lanzhou University of Technology, China), Z W An, Q Ma, M Q Han
This paper proposes a method which can obtain high-precision P-S-N curve fitting results in the case of small samples.
09:10-09:30 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0036 Modelling and Failure Analysis of SiC MOSFET under the Effects of
Parasitic Parameters/ Xuerong Ye, Haonan Wang (Harbin Institute of Technology, China), Yaokang Lai, Guofu Zhai, Yufeng Cao
In this paper, an improved SiC MOSFET model with all key parasitic parameters is built to set up an accurate test circuit.
09:30-09:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0356 Modeling of UAV Integrated Logistics Support Process via an Agent-based
Method/ Q M Zhang, X S Hai (Beihang University, China)
An agent-based integrated logistics support simulation and evaluation model for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) systems is proposed to meet the requirements of UAV system integrated support during mission execution.
09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0416 Multi-Objective Redundancy Allocation for Multi-State System Design Under Epistemic Uncertainty of Component States / Tangfan Xiahou (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Yu Liu, Qin Zhang
In this paper, a multi-objective RAP is developed for MSS design under the belief function theory.
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
- 45 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-6
08:30-10:10 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV) Moderators: Prof. Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Prof. Wensheng Peng, China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China
08:30-08:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0007 Research on Organizational Reliability Capability System of
Electromechanical Product Manufacturing Enterprise/ Zong-Yi Mu (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Gen-Bao Zhang, Xin Yang
This paper establishes the decomposition model of the ORC to understand its composition.
08:50-09:10 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0099 Bearing Fault Diagnosis Method Based on CNN-LightGBM/ Xin Jia
(Beihang University, China), Boping Xiao, Zhanjuan Zhao, Lin Ma, Naichao Wang
This paper presents a new fault diagnosis model based on CNN and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM).
09:10-09:30 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0106 The Construction of Digital Twin for Reliability of Liquid Level Volatile
Products/ DeZhen Yang, Jize Chen (Beihang University, China), Yi Ren, Bo Sun, Qiang Feng, Cheng Qian
This paper proposes a scheme to estimate the liquid level information and predict the remaining life of volatile liquid level products through reliability digital twin.
09:30-09:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0414 Remaining Useful Lifetime Prediction for Optoelectronic Pod Based on
Particle Filter / Y Zeng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, the author analyzes the reliability of common optoelectronic pods using the Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), and after that, the remaining useful lifetime of the key component will be predicted by Particle Filter algorithm.
09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0415 The Module Fault Stratification and Propagation Analysis of Hybrid System
/ Tingyu Zhang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, a method based on fault layering of hardware and software hybrid fault propagation mode is proposed, and the system fault propagation path is further obtained.
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
- 46 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-9
08:30-10:10 System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization (III) Moderators: Prof. Hai-Ying Cheng, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China Prof. Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China
08:30-08:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0140 Reliability Analysis and Optimization of Production System for Production
Scheduling/ Weiwei Duan (Beihang University, China), Wei Dai, Yue Wang, Jiahuan Sun
This paper proposes a new strategy for production scheduling to ensure the reliability of the production system when planning production tasks.
08:50-09:10 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0260 Prediction Model of Aeronautics Equipment Spare Parts Considering Spare
Part Sharing/ Yanluo Geng (Aeronautical Radio Electronics Research Institute, China)
Considering spare part sharing, this paper proposes a prediction method of aeronautics equipment spare parts requirement to reduce high spare parts sharing proportion of similar types of aeronautics equipment.
09:10-09:30 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0201 Research of Multi-objective Component Assignment Problem for
Lin/con/k/n System Considering Cost/ Muhammad Rashid (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Huiying Cao, Chenyang Ma, Mudassar Rehman, Zhiqiang Cai
This paper resolves the multi-response component assignment problem for Lin/con/k/n system to boost up the reliability, and maintenance cost reduction of the overall system.
09:30-09:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0209 Ergonomics Optimization of Heavy Commercial Vehicle/ S Y Zhang (Inner
Mongolia University of Technology, China), R Y Pang, C Liu
This paper simplifies the human body model into a two-rod structure, and establishes a human sitting posture model and a steering wheel model for the upper limbs, based on the revised Chinese human body size.
9:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0403 Selective Maintenance Strategy Optimization for Multi-state Systems under
Imperfect Observations and Stochastic Imperfect Maintenance/ Chunyang Li (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Boyuan Zhang, Yu Liu
This paper considers stochastic imperfect maintenance actions to capture uncertainty in the outcome of maintenance actions after previous mission and their impact on MSS reliability.
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
- 47 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-10
08:30-10:10 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II) Moderators: Prof. Kaiye Gao, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China Prof. Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
08:30-08:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0028 Reliability Life Analysis of Blades of Twin-shaft Mixer Based on Wear
Failure/ Nan-Xi Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hai-Ying Cheng, Jiang Liu
In this paper, the mathematical model expression of the wear amount and the load on the blades of the twin-shaft mixer in a single cycle is established, and through Monte Carlo method to simulate the load distribution law to predict the reliability life of the mixer blade.
08:50-09:10 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0029 Failure Analysis of Asphalt Foaming Device Based on FEMA and FTA/
Zhun Luo (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hai-Ying Cheng
In this paper, it proposes to combine the two methods, using the complementarity of the FMEA method and the FTA method, and targeting the innovative product- The six subsystems of the bubble device perform fault analysis, and propose corresponding solutions.
09:10-09:30 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0129 Reliability Evaluation of Li / SOCl2 Battery for Smart Electricity Meter
Based on Remaining Capacity/ Xuerong Ye, Qisen Sun (Harbin Institute of Technology, China), Haoxiang Li, Wenwen Li, Li Liu, Guofu Zhai
This paper presents a polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) based method to evaluate the reliability problem with temporal and spatial variations.
09:30-09:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0401 An Adaptive Framework for Integrated Circuit Marking Recognition in
Electronic Device Manufacturing/ Zhongshu Chen (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Yu Liu
In this paper, an adaptive IC marking recognition framework containing four deep learning (DL) supported components is proposed to address the challenges.
09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0402 A Fuzzy Markov Decision Process Approach to the Optimal Maintenance Policy of Wind Turbine Generation Systems/ Tudi Huang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Yu Liu, Hong-Zhong Huang
In this paper, the wind turbine generation system is chosen and the maintenance optimization model of the wind turbine generation system is constructed based on FMDP.
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
- 48 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-11
08:30-10:10 Maintenance and Warranty Management (VI) Moderators: Prof. Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China Prof. Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China
08:30-08:50 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0150 Maintenance Decision of Meta-action Unit Based on Grey- BWM/ Xinlong
Li (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Hui Yu, Yifan Chen, Genbao Zhang
In this paper, the meta-action unit is taken as the research carrier, and the grey weight of each criteria is obtained by combining the grey system theory with the best worst method (BWM).
08:50-09:10 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0077 Research on Opportunity Maintenance Strategy of Wind Turbines Based
on Incomplete Maintenance/ C Liu (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), R Y Pang, C Han, T T Liu
In this paper, an opportunity maintenance strategy for wind turbines based on incomplete maintenance is proposed.
09:10-09:30 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0404 Performance Analysis and Optimization Design of Reciprocating Seals
with Finite Element Analysis/ Chen-Fei Liu (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Yu Liu
In this paper, the authors choose the rubber (NBR) O-ring (referred to as O-ring) seal as the research subject, and then use the finite element analysis in ANSYS to establish a two-dimensional axisymmetric simplified model of the sealing.
09:30-09:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0405 Parameter Estimation for Sandwich Structure Based on Hierarchical
Bayesian Model/ Bin Zheng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Tao Jiang, Yu Liu
This paper introduces two ways to handle latent variables in hierarchical Bayesian model.
09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0406 Reliability Structure Function Learning with Incomplete Data for Multi-state
Systems/ Yi-Xuan Zheng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Tao Jiang, Yu Liu
This paper introduces reliability structure function learning with incomplete data for multi-state systems.
10:10-10:30 Tea Break
- 49 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-3
10:30-11:50 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II) Moderators: Prof. Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China Prof. Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
10:30-10:50 QR2MSE2020-0002-0308 Dynamics and Reliability Analysis of the Deployment Process of Spring
Folding Wing / Yun Gao (Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, China), Ming Hu, Deming Zhao, Xingwen Gao, Jiangfeng Lin
In this paper, the theoretical model of kinematics and dynamics which considering the gravity moment is established by simplifying the geometric model of deployment mechanism of the folding wing.
10:50-11:10 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0152 Reliability Analysis of Dependent Systems Using Copula Bayesian
Networks: A Case Study/ Guofeng Xie (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Liudong Xing, Faisal Khan, Liping He
In this paper, a Copula Bayesian Network (CBN) model to address challenge of modeling non-linear relationships is presented.
11:10-11:30 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0041 Reliability Analysis of Fuzzy Random Mixed Uncertainty Based on
Universal Generating Function/ H H Sun, C W Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), H X Chen, H H Yang
This paper proposes a method for reliability analysis of mixed fuzzy and random variables.
11:30-11:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0305 Improving the Risk Assessment of FMEA in Foamed Asphalt Preparation
Plant Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy/ Zhun Luo (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hai-Ying Cheng
This paper aims at the shortcomings and shortcomings of traditional failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) method.
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 50 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-6
10:30-11:50 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV) Moderators: Prof. Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China Prof. Cheng Qian, Beihang University, China
10:30-10:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0158 Accuracy Degradation Model and Residual Accuracy Life Prediction of
CNC Machine Tools Based on Wiener Process/ Shilin Li (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Genbao Zhang, Dingfei Zhang
In this paper, an accuracy degradation model of CNC machine tools is established based on the nonlinear Wiener process.
10:50-11:10 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0191 Fault Diagnosis for Mechanical System Using Dynamic Bayesian
Network/ Tian Yang Pang (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Tian Xiang Yu, Bi Feng Song
This paper focuses on the fault diagnosis of mechanical systems based on dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model.
11:10-11:30 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0231 The Epidemic Prediction of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Based on a SEIR
(Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) Model Considering Population Migration between Wuhan and other Provinces in China/ Anran Wang (Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China), Ruobing Zhan, Fen Yu, Jie Mi, Kaiye Gao
This article proposes the SEIR infectious disease dynamics model introduced the inter-provincial migration factor, which is called the SEIRM model.
11:30-11:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0226 Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing Based on Empirical Mode
Decomposition and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network/ Mulin Huang (Beihang University, China), Tingting Huang, Yuepu Zhao, Wei Dai
In this paper, a method using vibration signals based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and convolutional recurrent neural network (CRNN) is proposed.
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 51 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-9
10:30-11:30 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV) Moderators: Prof. Lin Hu, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China Prof. Xiaohong Hao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
10:30-10:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0133 Fault Prediction Method of Analog Circuits Based on MLSTM/ Hui Fan
(Beihang University, China), Weiwei Hu, Tianyu Si, Yufeng Sun
A fault prediction method for analog circuits based on Multi-scale and Long-Short Term Memory (MLSTM) is proposed in this paper.
10:50-11:10 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0235 Research on Reliability Prediction Method of Complex Mechanical Product
Based on Meta-action Unit/ Wei Zhang (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Yu-long Li, Gen-bao Zhang
In this paper, a methodology based on meta-action unit (MAU) which is the basic units affecting reliability is proposed.
11:10-11:30 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0336 Vibration Indicator-based Graph Convolutional Network for
Semi-supervised Bearing Fault Diagnosis/ S H Wang (Xi’an Jiaotong University, China), S B Xing, Y G Lei, N Lu, N P Li
This paper proposes a vibration indicator-based graph convolutional neural network (VI-GCN) for fault diagnosis.
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 52 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-10
10:30-11:50 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II) Moderators: Prof. Tianxiang Yu, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China Prof. Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
10:30-10:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0339 Reliability Analysis of Discrete Multi-state Systems Based on Survival
Signature / H Liang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), J Mi, L Bai, Y Cheng
In this paper, a novel pattern of survival signature for the multi-state system with multiple types of components is proposed.
10:50-11:10 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0054 Fuzzy FMECA for CNC Machine Tool Spindle System/ Hong-Xia Chen,
Yan-Qing Gong (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Baosiriguleng, Wei-Long Qi
This paper extends the conventional failure modes, effect and criticality analysis by integrating which with fuzzy theory to finitizing a failure analysis of an electric spindle system of a CNC machine tool.
11:10-11:30 QR2MSE2020-0002-0063 System Reliability Analysis of Forage Crushing Machine Mased on Fuzzy
FMECA/ X Y Zhai (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Z P Zhai, Y Z Lan, Y M Wu, H Y Cheng, C C Zhang
In this paper, the problems of high failure rate, poor reliability, and incomplete failure data associated with forage crushing machines are addressed.
11:30-11:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0071 A Reliability Estimation of a CMTSC Considering Dynamic Clamping
Force/ Z P Zhai, B Y Zhang (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Y Z Gong, H J Zhang, H Y Cheng, Y Y Ren
This paper carries out a detailed reliability estimation of a CMTSC, in which the dynamic clamping force of the chuck is considered.
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 53 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-11
10:30-11:50 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis(I) Moderators: Prof. Haitao Zhao, Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China Prof. Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China
10:30-10:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0025 Time-dependent Reliability Moment-independent Global Sensitivity
Analysis of Planar Motion Mechanisms / Q Guo (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y S Liu and B Q Chen
In this paper, an active learning Kriging method is introduced to solve the time-dependent reliability and sensitivity index efficiently.
10:50-11:10 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0042 Information Fusion of Discrete Variables and Continuous Variables Based
on D-S Evidential Theory/ H H Yang(Inner Mongolia University of Technology), H H Sun, H X Chen, G J Jiang, C W Li
An information fusion method based on Dempster's rule of combination of D-S evidence theory was proposed to facilitate the reliability analysis by integrating information.
11:10-11:30 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0118 Hierarchical Bayesian Based Reliability Analysis of a Sharing Storage
Processor/ Guang-Jun Jiang, Zong-Yuan Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hong-Xia Chen, Guan Qiao, Hong-Hua Sun
In this paper, a hierarchical Bayesian model and multi-source information fusion joint method is investigated and then implemented to the parameter estimation of failure data as well as reliability analysis of a Sharing Storage Processor (SSP).
11:30-11:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0214 An Improved Detection Algorithm of Three-phase Unbalanced Voltage Sag
Detection Method for Improving Power Supply Reliability/ C Peng, S L Hu (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China) X H Hao
In this paper, based on the symmetrical component method, an improved detection algorithm for three-phase unbalanced voltage sag is proposed.
12:00-14:00 Lunch
- 54 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
VII. Conference Information
A. Conference Floor
Floor for Oral Sessions
The 3rd Floor of Shaanxi great hall
- 55 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
B. Registration
Regular 600USD Early Bird Student 450USD (On or Before August 31, 2020) Regular 800USD After August 31, 2020 Student 650USD
The regular registration fee includes the participation to all keynote speeches and technical sessions, conference tour, lunches and banquet. For Student registration, both the conference tour and banquet are not included.
C. Transportation
Shaanxi Guesthouse is located in No.1, Zhangba North Road, Xi’an.
- 56 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Access to Shaanxi Guesthouse
From Xi'an Xianyang International Airport
37 km
Xi'an Xianyang International Airport Shaanxi Guesthouse Recommended routes： 1. Take a taxi ：about ¥100，45 minutes. 2. By bus： Airport bus, Hilton Garden Hotel line: Get on the bus from the airport bus station, after 2 stops, get off at the Greenland city terminal bus station. It takes about 90 minutes. Operation time: 9:00-18:00.
From Xi’anbei Railway Station
32 km
Xi anbei Railway Station Shaanxi Guesthouse Recommended routes： 1. Take a taxi ：about ¥70，60 minutes. 2. By subway： Xi an Metro Line 2: Get on the bus from the Beike railway station, after 16 stops, get off at the Huizhanzhongxin Station, then take the No.526 bus from Huizhanzhongxin bus station, after 11 stops, get off at the Zhangbaxilu Zhangbayilukou bus station. It takes about 100 minutes. Operation time: 6:00-23:00.
From Xi’an Railway Station
15 km
Xi'an Railway Station Shaanxi Guesthouse
Recommended routes：（The bus station is next to the railway station.） 1. Take a taxi ：about ¥45，48 minutes. 2. By bus： No.251 bus: Get on the bus from the railway bus station, after 26 stops, get off at the Chazhangcun bus station. It takes about 70 minutes. Operation time: 6:00-20:30.
- 57 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Contact information of conference secretariat
On-site helpers and volunteers at Xi’an Xianyang International Airport and Shaanxi Guesthouse are as follows.
Mr. Zhi-Ming Deng +86 13594082217 Xi’an Xianyang International Airport Mr. Tu-Di Huang +86 18200145088
Mr. Xue-Ming Wang +86 18280294065 Shaanxi Guesthouse Mr. Hai-Sheng Yuan +86 13438163191
* Please do contact the conference secretariat if you need any help on transportation.
- 58 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
D. General Information
About Xi'an
Xi'an(西安), conventional Sian, historically Chang'an, city and capital of Shaanxi province, north-central China. Located on a low plain on the southern bank of the Wei River, Xi'an is not only one of China's major industrialized citied, but also a market and trade center in the history of China. In addition, as the eastern terminus of the Silk Road, the ancient trade route that connected China with the Mediterranean, Xi'an is the center of an important farming region known for the cotton, wheat, and tea.
Xi'an is a charming city with a long history and the famous Xi'an incident also happened here. The Xi'an Incident and its peaceful settlement occupy an important historical position in the development of Chinese society. Moreover, it is the turning point of China's social politics from autocracy to gradual democracy.
- 59 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
About Tourism
Emperor Qinshihuang’s Mausoleum Site Museum(Terra-cotta Warriors Museum)(秦始皇帝陵博物馆) is one that is specialized in relic display. As one of the most famous cultural scenic spots in China, it symbolizes China's long ancient history and culture. The main objects exhibited here are the terra-cotta figures of more than 2000 years old that stand for the garrison force of protecting Emperor Qinshihuang's mausoleum. Qinshihuang is the first feudal emperor in Chinese history who has a crucial influence on Chinese history and culture, and the construction of the Great Wall is also organized by him. Approximately 500 satellite tombs and pits have been discovered in the vicinity of the mausoleum. The tomb which covers an area of 56.25sq.km lies in Lintong District, Xi'an city. The Terra-cotta Warriors and horses are all life-sized, and the warriors carry real bronze battle weapons. People called this find "one of the world wonders" and "one of the greatest archaeological discoveries of the twentieth century". Originally, the tomb was 115m high. After over 2000 years weathering, the mausoleum today still remains more than 70m in height. At present, 196 burial tombs have been discovered, including the Bronze Chariots pit, the Rare Birds pits, the Barns pits in small and large scales, the Stone Armor pit, the Warriors and Horses pits and other sacrificial pits. The mausoleum including the pits of Terra-cotta Warriors and Horses was listed as one of the UNESCO World Cultural Heritage Site on December 7th 1987.
- 60 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Hua Qing Palace(华清宫) Huaqing Palace (Huaqing Hot Spring & Lishan Mountain) scenic spot is located 30 kilometers away from the east of Xi'an city, and it is adjacent to the Terra-Cotta Warriors, the well-known Eighth Wonder of the World. The Huaqing Palace was built more than 1,000 years ago during the Tang Dynasty of China, and Tang Xuanzong, the Emperor of the Tang Dynasty, visited it almost every year. The Huaqing Palace is also called the Huaqing Pool and it is entitled as the first batch of National 5A-Grade Tourist Attraction, National Key Scenic Spot, National Key Cultural Relics Protection Site and National Cultural Industry Demonstration Base. The emperors of Zhou Dynasty, Qin Dynasty, Han Dynasty, Sui Dynasty all once established temporary palace or villas in this place. The Huaqing Palace is one of China's priceless treasures. Many historical relics have been unearthed here and many prestigious writers have high praise and evaluation for it. Its appearance is very artistic, here you can enjoy the unique style of Chinese royal garden.
- 61 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
Big Wild Goose Pagoda(大雁塔). As the symbol of Xi'an city, Big Wild Goose Pagoda is a well-preserved ancient building and a holy palace for Buddhists. It is located in the southern suburb of Xi'an city, about 4 kilometers from the downtown of the city. Rated as a National Key Cultural Relic Preserve as well as a 5A-Grade Tourist Attraction. Built in 652, the Pagoda originally functioned as a repository for Buddhist materials that were taken from India. First built to height of 60 meters with five stories, it is now 64.5 meters high with an additional two stories. There is a Chinese saying that saving a life exceeds building a seven-storied pagoda. Inside the pagoda, stairs twist up so that visitors can climb and overlook the panorama of Xi'an city and on the walls are engraved fine statues of Buddha by the renowned artist Yan Liben of the Tang Dynasty. Steles by noted calligraphers also grace the pagoda. There is a legend about the origin of the name of the Big Wild Goose Pagoda. Ancient Buddhist stories have two branches, one of which holds that eating meat is not a taboo. One day, they can not find meat to buy. Seeing a group of big wild geese flying by, a monk said to himself: 'We have no meat. I hope the merciful Bodhisattva will give us some.' At that moment, a wild goose broke its wings and fell to the ground. All the monks were shocked and believed that Bodhisattva showed his spirit to order them to be more pious. Then the pagoda was established where the wild goose fell.
- 62 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA QR2MSE 2020 OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020
The Xi'an Circumvallation(西安城墙) is the largest and best-preserved ancient wall in China. As the first batch of National 5A-Grade Tourist Attraction, it is located in the center of Xi'an city. Listed as one of the first major historical and cultural site protected at the national level, the Xi'an Circumvallation was built in 1370 and completed in 1378. It is over 4 kilometers from the east to west and about 3 kilometers from the north to south. There is a nice suggestion for tourists: Try biking on the City Wall and you will have an enjoyable and interesting experience. The Xi'an ancient Circumvallation includes a series of military facilities such as moat, drawbridge, sluice tower, arrow tower, turret, enemy tower, parapet wall and ditch, forming a scientific, strict and complete military defense system. If you're lucky, you'll encounter actors playing ancient Chinese troops patrolling by your side. In addition, you have the opportunity to rent a variety of traditional ancient Chinese costumes including dragon robes for a photo shoot.
- 63 -