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Children's Services Information Project Children’s Services Information Project Community Planning Table for Children and Youth, City of Kawartha Lakes ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Introduction This report was prepared by the Peterborough Social Planning Council on behalf of the Community Planning Table for Children and Youth, City of Kawartha Lakes. Maps were prepared by Emmeline Ruttle, Peterborough Family Resource Centre. Local data/information as presented in the Local Services Profiles was provided by the agencies. Likewise, data and information that appears in the Local Services Data, was acquired from the community agencies. Population projections were developed by Map Info Canada. ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes 1. Demographics Comparisons of City of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario ...........................................1-2 Comparisons of City of Kawartha Lakes & Townships ....................................1-14 Comparisons of Townships Within City of Kawartha Lakes.............................1-20 Sources: Data: Statistics Canada, 2007, 2006 Community Profiles, 2006 Census, Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 92-591-XWE, Ottawa, released March 13, 2007 Projections: Map Info Canada, (When preparing the estimated projections of population and households, MapInfo Canada, used the recommended Statistics Canada post-censal estimates of net undercoverage from the 1996 Census coverage evaluation survey. MapInfo Canada, made undercount adjustments to the 2001 base population that conform to the likely distribution of the population missed in the 2001 Census) Demographics 1-1 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Comparisons of City of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario Age Distribution in City of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario, 2001 & 2006 City of Kawartha Lakes Ontario Change, Change, 2001 % 2006 % 2001 % 2006 % 2001- 06 2001- 06 Total - All persons 69,180 74,565 7.78% 11,410,050 12,160,285 6.57% Age 0-4 3,350 4.84% 3,085 4.14% -7.91% 671,250 5.88% 670,770 5.52% -0.07% Age 5-14 9,495 13.73% 8,800 11.80% -7.32% 1,561,500 13.69% 1,540,035 12.66% -1.37% Age 15-19 4,710 6.81% 5,060 6.79% 7.43% 769,420 6.74% 833,115 6.85% 8.28% Age 20-24 3,245 4.69% 3,900 5.23% 20.18% 718,420 6.30% 797,255 6.56% 10.97% Age 25-44 17,080 24.69% 16,270 21.82% -4.74% 3,518,010 30.83% 3,452,055 28.39% -1.87% Age 45-54 10,225 14.78% 12,285 16.48% 20.15% 1,635,280 14.33% 1,861,370 15.31% 13.83% Age 55-64 7,915 11.44% 10,620 14.24% 34.18% 1,064,000 9.33% 1,356,515 11.16% 27.49% Age 65-74 7,305 10.56% 7,545 10.12% 3.29% 818,165 7.17% 868,190 7.14% 6.11% Age 75-84 4,530 6.55% 5,325 7.14% 17.55% 503,930 4.42% 589,180 4.85% 16.92% Age 85 < 1,325 1.92% 1,665 2.23% 25.66% 150,075 1.32% 191,810 1.58% 27.81% Median age of population 42.1 45.1 37.2 39 % of population ages 15 < 81.43% 84.05% 3.21% 80.43% 81.82% 1.73% Source: 2001 data: 2001 Census – Statistics Canada 95F0486XCB01001, 2006 data: 2006 Census – Statistics Canada . Demographics 1-2 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Demographics 1-3 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes 10 Year Youth Population Projections in City of Kawartha Lakes, 2006-2016 2006 2009 2011 2016 % Change, % % % % Projected Projected Projected Projected 2006-16 Total Population 74,859 75,570 76,039 77,420 3.42% Total Growth over period, % 1.35% 0.62% 1.82% Age 0-4 2,737 3.66% 2,904 3.84% 3,063 4.03% 3,587 4.63% 31.06% Age 5-9 3,820 5.10% 3,085 4.08% 2,925 3.85% 3,251 4.20% -14.90% Age 10-14 4,938 6.60% 4,446 5.88% 3,974 5.23% 3,091 3.99% -37.40% Age 15-19 5,307 7.09% 5,309 7.03% 5,084 6.69% 4,138 5.34% -22.03% Source: 2006-2016 estimates: MapInfo Estimates & Projections Canada Note: When preparing the estimated projections of population and households, MapInfo Canada, used the recommended Statistics Canada post-censal estimates of net undercoverage from the 1996 Census coverage evaluation survey. MapInfo Canada, made undercount adjustments to the 2001 base population that conform to the likely distribution of the population missed in the 2001 Census Demographics 1-4 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Household Distribution by Income Bracket Projected Income Change in City of Kawartha Lakes 2006 in City of Kawartha Lakes, 2001-2011 Estimated Households per % of Total Households Average Household % Change Income Bracket, 2006 (% Ontario) Income ($) < $20,000 4,095 13.87% (13.40%) 2001 $20,000 to $40,000 7,123 24.12% (17.53%) 2006 estimated 46,156 $40,000 to $60,000 6,028 20.41% (16.28%) 2009 estimated 59,482 28.87% $60,00 to $80,000 4,605 15.60% (14.11%) 2011 estimated 64,835 9.00% $80,000 to $100,000 3,831 12.97% (14.72%) > $100,000 3,846 13.02% (23.96%) Source: 2001 data: 2001 Census – Statistics Canada 95F0492XCB01001, 2006: MapInfo Estimates & Projections Canada. Note: When preparing the estimated projections of population, households and income, MapInfo Canada, used the recommended Statistics Canada post-censal estimates of net undercoverage from the 1996 Census coverage evaluation survey. MapInfo Canada, made undercount adjustments to the 2001 base population that conform to the likely distribution of the population missed in the 2001 Census Demographics 1-5 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Marital Status in City of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario, 2001 & 2006 City of Kawartha Lakes Ontario Marital Status 2001 % 2006 % 2001 % 2006 % Total - Population 15 years and over 56,335 100% 63,364 100% 9,177,300 100% 10,424,789 100% Not in a common-law relationship 52,035 92.37% 58,887 92.93% 8,592,795 93.63% 9,773,771 93.76% In a common-law relationship 4,300 7.63% 4,477 7.07% 584,505 6.37% 651,018 6.24% Total - Population 15 years and over 56,335 100% 63,364 100% 9,177,300 100% 10,424,789 100% Single 13,295 23.60% 16,032 25.30% 2,793,080 30.43% 2,927,413 28.08% Married 32,835 58.29% 34,132 53.87% 4,897,095 53.36% 5,415,228 51.95% Separated 1,955 3.47% 1,830 2.89% 311,380 3.39% 300,229 2.88% Divorced 3,755 6.67% 3,144 4.96% 597,595 6.51% 517,157 4.96% Widowed 4,500 7.99% 3,749 5.92% 578,145 6.30% 613,744 5.89% Source: 2001 data: 2001 Census – Statistics Canada 95F087XCB01001 (*NOTE: 2001 StatsCan defines ‘Single’ as including persons under 15 years old); 2006 data: MapInfo estimates. Note: under 15 does not add up to population 15+ and put with next graph on same page; Also MapInfo ‘Husband-Wife Families’ includes Common-Law families When preparing the estimated projections of population, households and income, MapInfo Canada, used the recommended Statistics Canada post-censal estimates of net undercoverage from the 1996 Census coverage evaluation survey. MapInfo Canada, made undercount adjustments to the 2001 base population that conform to the likely distribution of the population missed in the 2001 Census Demographics 1-6 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Demographics 1-7 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Family Status in City of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario, 2001 & 2006 City Ontario % % Change, Family Status 2001 % 2006 % Change, 2001 (%) 2006 (%) 2001-2006 2001-06 Total number of families 20,710 22,535 8.81% 7.25% Married-couple families 16,260 78.51% 16,920 75.08% -3.43% 75.41% 73.94% 5.16% Common-law couple families 2,165 10.45% 2,955 13.11% 2.66% 9.36% 10.26% 17.59% Lone-parent families 2290 11.06% 2,660 11.80% 0.75% 15.23% 15.80% 11.23% Female lone-parent families 1785 8.62% 2,090 9.27% 0.66% 12.57% 12.89% 9.94% Male lone-parent families 500 2.41% 570 2.53% 0.12% 2.66% 2.91% 17.38% Source: 2001 data: 2001 Census – Statistics Canada, 2006 data: 2006 Census- Statistics Canada Demographics 1-8 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Household Status in City Of Kawartha Lakes & Ontario, 2001 & 2006 City of Kawartha Lakes Ontario Household Status 2001 % 2006 % 2001 % 2006 % Total - All private households 26,780 100% 29,500 100% 100% 100% Households containing a couple (married or common-law) with children 7,930 29.61% 7,945 26.93% 32.63% 31.10% Households containing a couple (married or common-law) without children 10,035 37.47% 11,360 38.51% 27.95% 28.20% One-person households 5,865 21.90% 6,780 22.98% 23.47% 24.25% Other household types 2,950 11.02% 3,415 11.58% 15.95% 16.27% Source: 2001 data: 2001 Census – Statistics Canada, 2006 data: 2006 Census- Statistics Canada Demographics 1-9 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Aboriginal Population 2001 2006 CKL Census CKL Census Ontario Agglomeration % % Metropolitan Ontario Total % % totals totals Total Total - All persons 68,460 100% 11,285,545 100% 73,365 100% 12,028,900 100% Aboriginal identity population 780 1.14% 188,315 1.67% 1,255 1.7% 242,490 2.0% Non-Aboriginal population 67,680 98.86% 11,097,235 98.33% 72,105 98.3% 11,786,405 98% Source: 2001 data : 2001 Census – Statistics Canada, 2006 data: 2006 Census – Statistics Canada Demographics 1-10 ■ ■ CHILDREN’S SERVICES INFORMATION PROJECT – City of Kawartha Lakes Comparison of Projected Population Growth in Four Counties Total % % % % Population Growth 2001 2006 2009 2011 2016 Change, Change Change Change Change 2001-16 City of Kawartha Lakes 69,180 74,565 7.78% 75,570 1.35% 76,039 0.62% 77420 1.82% 11.91% Haliburton 15,085 16,147 7.04% 17,086 5.82% 17,387 1.76% 18186 4.60% 20.56% Northumberland 77,497 80,963 4.47% 85,781 5.95% 86,700 1.07% 89048 2.71% 14.91% Peterborough 125,860 133,080 5.74% 135,684 1.96% 136,441 0.56% 138799 1.73% 10.28% All Combined 287,622 304,755 5.96% 314,121 3.07% 316,567 0.78% 323,453 2.18% 12.46% Note: When preparing the estimated projections of population and households, MapInfo Canada, used the recommended Statistics Canada post-censal estimates of net undercoverage from the 1996 Census coverage evaluation survey.
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