Property Sector Long Term Recovery NEUTRAL 11 September 2017 Richardson Raymond Outlook. Research Associate Indonesia property sector has underperformed JCI index by 13.5% +62 21 392 5550 ext. 611 YTD. Despite this condition, we remain NEUTRAL on the sector as current
[email protected] valuations had already priced-in the weaker than expected demand recovery in 1H17. However, we are optimistic on better 2H17-FY18F result, although we believe recovery will happen in a slow pace. We set our eyes on several key aspects such as steady economic growth, interest rate cut opportunity, stable political situation, supportive regulation environtment, and developers strategies to thrive in current market condition. Nevertheless, in a longer future, we expect government main infrastructure projects to be a significantth catalyst for the property sector. Last but not least, Indonesia huge population (4 largest in the world) with the growing middle class economy and rising urbanization trend will naturally create future demand for the sector. And for that reasons, we can see foreign and SOE developers coming in and crowding Indonesia property market. JAKPROP Index JCI Index 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Source: Bloomberg, Sinarmas Investment Research End users’ time. Indonesia Property Expo (IPEX), which held by Bank Tabungan Negara in August, successfully recorded new credit potential totaled to IDR 8.36tn, exceeding the initial target of IDR 5tn. From the sales result, properties below IDR 1.5bn are still the favorite.