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FINAL REPORT / Vol.2 Future GSMP Development Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) No. Directorate General of Sea Transportation, Ministry of Transportation The Study for Development of The Greater Surabaya Metropolitan Ports in the Republic of Indonesia FINAL REPORT Volume 2 Future GSMP Development November 2007 ALMEC Corporation Japan Port Consultants, Ltd SD JR 07-72 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY (JICA) DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF SEA TRANSPORTATION, MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION THE STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE GREATER SURABAYA METROPOLITAN PORTS IN THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA FINAL REPORT Main Text Volume 2 Future GSMP Development November 2007 ALMEC CORPORATION JAPAN PORT CONSULTANTS, LTD COMPOSITION OF GSMP REPORTS Summary (English, Japanese and Indonesian) Main Text Volume 1: Existing Conditions and Issues Volume 2: Future GSMP Development The exchange rate used in the report is: J. Yen 118 = US$ 1 = Indonesia Rupiah 9,200 (Average in 2007) PREFACE In response to a request from the Government of the Republic of Indonesia, the Government of Japan decided to conduct a study on Development of the Greater Surabaya Metropolitan Ports and entrusted to the study to the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). JICA selected and dispatched a study team headed by Mr. KUMAZAWA Ken of ALMEC Corporation, and consists of ALMEC Corporation and Japan Port Consultants, LTD. between November, 2006 and October, 2007. The team held discussions with the officials concerned of the Government of the Republic of Indonesia and conducted field surveys at the study area. Upon returning to Japan, the team conducted further studies and prepared this final report. I hope that this report will contribute to the promotion of this project and to the enhancement of friendly relationship between our two countries. Finally, I wish to express my sincere appreciation to the officials concerned of the Government of the Republic of Indonesia for their close cooperation extended to the study. November, 2007 EIJI HASHIMOTO, Deputy Vice President Japan International Cooperation Agency The Study for Development of the Greater Surabaya Metropolitan Ports in the Republic of Indonesia Final Report TABLE OF CONTENTS Volume II – Future GSMP Development PART II – FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES 6 REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVE 6.1. Regional Development Plans ....................................................................................6-1 6.2. Regional Transport System Development ...............................................................6-11 6.3. Channel Constraints and Allowable Port Development ...........................................6-26 7 TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST 7.1. Future Socio-economic Framework .........................................................................7-1 7.2. Port Demand Forecast ..............................................................................................7-7 7.3. Future Shipping Needs............................................................................................7-25 8 COMPARISON OF PORT CANDIDATE SITES 8.1. Comparison Methods and Port Candidate Sites........................................................8-1 8.2. Inner Access Channel Sites.......................................................................................8-3 8.3. Middle-distance Access Channel Sites......................................................................8-9 8.4. Access Channel Free Sites .....................................................................................8-19 8.5. Results of Comparative Analysis .............................................................................8-27 PART III – GREATER SURABAYA METROPOLITAN PORTS DEVELOPMENT PLAN 9 SHORT-TERM IMPROVEMENT PLAN 9.1. Seaborne Traffic and Capacity at Madura Strait ........................................................9-1 9.2. Appreciation of the Access Channel..........................................................................9-5 9.3. Access Channel Improvement and Maintenance Plan ............................................9-14 9.4. Jamrud Terminal Rehabilitation Plan .......................................................................9-26 9.5. Land Access Network Improvement Plan................................................................9-30 10 LONG-TERM DEVELOPMENT PLAN 10.1. New Infrastructure Need .........................................................................................10-1 i The Study for Development of the Greater Surabaya Metropolitan Ports in the Republic of Indonesia Final Report 10.2. New Port Development at Tg. Bulupandan .............................................................10-6 10.3. New Port Development at Socah ..........................................................................10-29 10.4. Integrated Port Hinterland Development ...............................................................10-49 10.5. Comparative Assessment for a New Gateway Port...............................................10-60 11 CONSOLIDATED GSMP DEVELOPMENT PLAN 11.1. GSMP Blueprint.......................................................................................................11-1 11.2. PPP Approach in Port Development........................................................................11-5 11.3. Recommendations for Effective Implementation ...................................................11-16 APPENDICES Appendix 1 Tables and Supportive information Regarding IEE Appendix 2 Origin and Destination Port of Domestic Shipping Cargoes to/from Surabaya Port Appendix 3 Simulation Works for Siltation ii The Study for Development of the Greater Surabaya Metropolitan Ports in the Republic of Indonesia Final Report LIST OF TABLES Table No. Title Page No. Table 6.2.1 List of Arterial Road (National)................................................................................................... 6-21 Table 6.2.2 Feature of SRRTS Project ......................................................................................................... 6-24 Table 6.2.3 Estimated Initial Capital Investments for SRRTS....................................................................... 6-24 Table 6.3.1 Main Hindrances of Present Surabaya Channel........................................................................ 6-26 Table 6.3.2 Estimate of Necessary Dredging Volume and Execution Time.................................................. 6-27 Table 6.3.3 Features of Lamong Bay Container Terminal Project ................................................................ 6-32 Table 6.3.4 Rehabilitation Plan of East Nilam Wharf in Tg. Perak Port ........................................................ 6-33 Table 7.1.1 Population Forecast by Province ................................................................................................. 7-1 Table 7.1.2 Future Population in Study Area.................................................................................................. 7-2 Table 7.1.3 Labor Force and Employment of Study Area............................................................................... 7-3 Table 7.1.4 Employment by City and District based on Trend........................................................................ 7-3 Table 7.1.5 Annual Economic Growth Rate by Industrial Sector (% p.a)........................................................ 7-4 Table 7.1.6 Contribution of Industrial Sector to Economic Growth, 2000-2005 .............................................. 7-4 Table 7.1.7 GRDP and Necessary Investment under 2005 Productivity ........................................................ 7-5 Table 7.1.8 Cases of Future Economic Growth.............................................................................................. 7-5 Table 7.1.9 Investment Required for Economic Growth Case........................................................................7-7 Table 7.2.1 Projection of Container and General Cargo in Surabaya Ports ................................................. 7-10 Table 7.2.2 International and Domestic Composition of General and Bagged Cargoes............................... 7-11 Table 7.2.3 Classification of Non-Containerized General Cargo .................................................................. 7-11 Table 7.2.4 Petroleum Handled at Surabaya Port ........................................................................................ 7-13 Table 7.2.5 Forecast of Petroleum Handling at Surabaya Port .................................................................... 7-13 Table 7.2.6 Liquid Bulk Cargo Handled at Surabaya Port, 2000-2006 ......................................................... 7-14 Table 7.2.7 Classification of Liquid Bulk Cargo ............................................................................................ 7-15 Table 7.2.8 Dry Bulk Cargo Handled at Surabaya Port, 200-2006 ............................................................... 7-15 Table 7.2.9 Classification of Dry Bulk Cargo ................................................................................................ 7-16 Table 7.2.10 Top 20 Ports of Domestic Shipping from/to Surabaya (Case 2) ................................................ 7-20 Table 7.2.11 RoRo Ship Fleet Estimation in the STRAMINDO Study ............................................................ 7-23 Table 7.2.12 RoRo Ship to/from Tg. Perak..................................................................................................... 7-24 Table 7.2.13 Estimation of RoRo Ship to/from Tg. Perak ..............................................................................
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