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No Labels Taxes & Spending Study across 33 key congressional districts Congressional Districts Surveyed , ME 2

3 , WA

Mike Gallagher, WI Tom Suozzi, NY 3 8 1 Chris Pappas, NH , WI 1 11 , MI , OR 5 , MN 8 , PA , MI 6 9 , SD AL , IA 4 , PA 17 5 , NJ , MI 8 Brian Fitzpatrick, PA 1 Scott Peters, CA 52 7 , NJ , IA 3 1 , UT Bill Johnson, OH 6 13 Tim Ryan, OH

39 , CA 2 , VA , VA 6 3 John Curtis, UT

21 , CA

Carolyn Bourdeaux, GA 7 REPUBLICANS

Henry Cuellar, TX 28 DEMOCRATS Vicente González, TX 15

Maria Salazar, FL 27

Ed Case, HI 1

SURVEY METHODOLOGY: This survey was conducted online and by phone within the United States from July 16-21 among 12,673 registered voters in 33 congressional districts within the US.

Results were© 2021 weighted HarrisX. for All age,rights gender, reserved. party, race, education, and income to align them with their actual proportions in the population for each district. The margin of error for each district2 is between 4-6 percent. Methodology and District Sample

Survey Methodology:

This survey was conducted online and by phone within the United States from July 16-21 among 12,673 registered voters in 33 congressional districts within the US. Results were weighted for age, gender, party, race, education, and income to align them with their actual proportions in the population for each district. The margin of error for each district is between 4-6 percent. 1. CA-21 – 318 registered voters (plus or minus 5.5 pts sampling margin of error) 18. OH-06 – 351 registered voters (plus or minus 5.2 pts sampling margin of error) 2. CA-39 – 331 registered voters (plus or minus 5.4 pts sampling margin of error) 19. OH-13 – 477 registered voters (plus or minus 4.5 pts sampling margin of error) 3. CA-52 – 388 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 20. OR-05 – 405 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 4. FL-27 – 365 registered voters (plus or minus 5.1 pts sampling margin of error) 21. PA-01 – 439 registered voters (plus or minus 4.7 pts sampling margin of error) 5. GA-07 – 420 registered voters (plus or minus 4.8 pts sampling margin of error) 22. PA-09 – 405 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 6. HI-01 – 399 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 23. PA-17 – 495 registered voters (plus or minus 4.4 pts sampling margin of error) 7. IA-03 – 421 registered voters (plus or minus 4.8 pts sampling margin of error) 24. SD-01 – 399 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 8. IA-04 – 393 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 25. TX-15 – 332 registered voters (plus or minus 5.4 pts sampling margin of error) 9. ME-02 – 382 registered voters (plus or minus 5.0 pts sampling margin of error) 26. TX-28 – 350 registered voters (plus or minus 5.2 pts sampling margin of error) 10. MI-06 – 350 registered voters (plus or minus 5.2 pts sampling margin of error) 27. UT-01 – 339 registered voters (plus or minus 5.3 pts sampling margin of error) 11. MI-08 – 400 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 28. UT-03 – 322 registered voters (plus or minus 5.5 pts sampling margin of error) 12. MI-11 – 410 registered voters (plus or minus 4.8 pts sampling margin of error) 29. VA-02 – 425 registered voters (plus or minus 4.8 pts sampling margin of error) 13. MN-08 – 332 registered voters (plus or minus 5.4 pts sampling margin of error) 30. VA-06 – 427 registered voters (plus or minus 4.7 pts sampling margin of error) 14. NH-01 – 350 registered voters (plus or minus 5.2 pts sampling margin of error) 31. WA-03 –401 registered voters (plus or minus 4.9 pts sampling margin of error) 15. NJ-05 – 326 registered voters (plus or minus 5.4 pts sampling margin of error) 32. WI-01 – 458 registered voters (plus or minus 4.6 pts sampling margin of error) 16. NJ-07– 344 registered voters (plus or minus 5.3 pts sampling margin of error) 33. WI-08 – 350 registered voters (plus or minus 5.2 pts sampling margin of error) 17. NY-03 – 369 registered voters (plus or minus 5.1 pts sampling margin of error)

Note: Some percentages on the following slides may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 3 Key insights

Strong majorities across Republican- and Democrat-held districts, as well as Party ID, support the $1.2 trillion bipartisan deal for infrastructure

Majorities across Republican- and Democrat-held districts, as well as Party ID, do NOT want the infrastructure bill tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social services bill

A $4.7 trillion infrastructure and social spending package does NOT achieve majority support among voters overall, or even among voters in Democratic-held districts

There are significant levels of concern that the taxes associated with such a bill will impact voters directly

Bipartisan support for bipartisan support: 3 in 5 voters ONLY want to see a social spending bill passed through Congress if it’s a bipartisan effort

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 4 Baseline questions Half of voters say the country is on the wrong track

In general, do you think the country is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Right track Wrong track Don't know / Unsure

All districts 37% 49% 13%

Democratic 41% 45% 14% Districts

Republican 34% 54% 12% Districts

Democratic 65% 21% 14% voters

Republican 15% 77% 8% voters

Independent/ 29% 53% 18% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) M1: In general, do you think the country is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 6 Half of voters say the American economy is on the wrong track

In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

Right track Wrong track Don't know / Unsure

All districts 38% 49% 13%

Democratic 41% 45% 14% Districts

Republican 34% 53% 13% Districts

Democratic 62% 25% 13% voters

Republican 18% 73% 9% voters

Independent/ 31% 50% 19% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) M2: In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 7 More voters say their financial situation is improving rather than getting worse

Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?

Improving Getting worse Neither No opinion

All districts 33% 22% 41% 3%

Democratic 35% 22% 39% 3% Districts

Republican 31% 22% 44% 3% Districts

Democratic 43% 14% 40% 3% voters

Republican 26% 30% 41% 2% voters

Independent/ 28% 24% 44% 4% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) I4: Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 8 President Biden’s approval stands at 55%, but dips in Republican-held districts (48%) and among Republican voters (18%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

Approve Disapprove

All districts 55% 45%

Democratic 60% 40% Districts

Republican 48% 52% Districts

Democratic 90% 10% voters

Republican 18% 82% voters

Independent/ 53% 47% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) M3: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 9 Congressional approval is underwater, especially among Republican voters

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

Approve Disapprove

All districts 35% 65%

Democratic 38% 62% Districts

Republican 31% 69% Districts

Democratic 59% 41% voters

Republican 16% 84% voters

Independent/ 28% 72% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) QNEW: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 10 Democratic approval is higher than Republican approval by 9 points

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job? Party is handling its job? Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove

All districts 38% 62% All districts 47% 53%

Democratic Democratic Districts 35% 65% Districts 52% 48%

Republican Republican Districts 40% 60% Districts 41% 59%

Democratic Democratic voters 19% 81% voters 84% 16%

Republican Republican voters 66% 34% voters 14% 86%

Independe Independe nt/ Other 29% 71% nt/ Other 39% 61% voters voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) M4: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job? M5: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 11 President Biden is the most favorably viewed figure in all districts

Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them.

Favorable Unfavorable DK/No Opinion

Joe Biden 52% 43% 5%

District 42% 29% 29% Congressman

Donald Trump 39% 56% 5%

Nancy Pelosi 35% 54% 11%

Chuck 30% 40% 29% Schumer

Mitch 24% 53% 23% McConnell

Kevin 22% 35% 43% McCarthy

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

F1. Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 12 President Biden’s favorability is even higher in Democratic districts

Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them.

Favorable Unfavorable DK/No Opinion

Joe Biden 58% 38% 4%

District 44% 29% 27% Congressman

Nancy Pelosi 39% 49% 12%

Donald Trump 35% 60% 5%

Chuck 33% 38% 29% Schumer

Mitch 23% 55% 22% McConnell

Kevin 22% 36% 42% McCarthy

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

F1. Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 13 All political figures, including President Biden, are underwater and net unfavorable in Republican districts

Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them.

Favorable Unfavorable DK/No Opinion

Joe Biden 46% 49% 5%

Donald Trump 44% 51% 5%

District 40% 29% 31% Congressman

Nancy Pelosi 30% 59% 10%

Chuck 27% 43% 30% Schumer

Mitch 25% 51% 24% McConnell

Kevin 22% 33% 45% McCarthy

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

F1. Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 14 Voters say that the Covid-19 and the economy are the top two issues facing the country today; Health care and immigration are the second most important set of issues

What would you say are the most important issues facing the country today?

All districts Democratic Districts Republican Districts Democratic voters Republican voters Independent/ Other voters

Coronavirus 30% 32% 27% 41% 18% 28%

Economy and jobs 29% 28% 30% 26% 34% 28%

Health care 23% 24% 22% 30% 16% 24%

Immigration 23% 21% 24% 12% 37% 21%

Environment / climate change 20% 22% 19% 33% 7% 21%

National debt / federal budget deficits 17% 16% 19% 8% 27% 19%

Corruption 14% 12% 17% 9% 18% 16%

Guns 14% 16% 12% 22% 7% 13%

Race relations 14% 14% 13% 19% 9% 12%

Crime and drugs 13% 12% 14% 9% 16% 13%

Taxes 12% 11% 12% 10% 14% 11%

Terrorism / national security 12% 11% 12% 8% 16% 10%

Political correctness / Cancel Culture /Free Speech 10% 10% 11% 4% 16% 11%

Education 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 10%

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673) I1. What would you say are the most important issues facing the country today? (Voters saw a list of 24 issues of which they could choose their top 3. This list was then sorted among voters in all districts and the top 14 issues appear on this slide) © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 15 Proposed Legislation (American Jobs Plan & American Families Plan) 3 in 5 voters across all districts think of infrastructure as just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband

When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

Just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband Includes childcare, elderly care or other such programs

All Districts 59% 41%

Democratic 58% 42% District

Republican 61% 39% District

Democrat 43% 57%

Republican 76% 24%

Independent 61% 39%

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B15. When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 17 Democratic districts: Less than half of voters across almost all of these districts associate childcare and elderly care with infrastructure

When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

Just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband Includes childcare, elderly care or other such programs NH1 64% 36% NJ5 62% 38% NY3 61% 39% IA3 61% 39% ME2 60% 40% PA17 60% 40% NJ7 59% 41% HI1 59% 41% MI11 59% 41% OR5 58% 42% VA2 58% 42% MI8 57% 43% CA52 56% 44% OH13 55% 45% GA7 54% 46% TX15 48% 52% TX28 46% 54%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

B15. When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 18 Republican districts: Fewer voters across these districts associate childcare and elderly care with infrastructure

When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

Just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband Includes childcare, elderly care or other such programs WI8 70% 30% UT1 69% 31% IA4 67% 33% UT3 67% 33% SD1 66% 34% MN8 65% 35% WI1 65% 35% WA3 64% 36% PA9 61% 39% PA1 62% 38% OH6 60% 40% VA6 59% 41% CA39 57% 43% MI6 53% 47% CA21 49% 51% FL27 48% 52%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

B15. When you think about infrastructure does that include just physical buildings, roads, bridges and broadband or does it include spending on climate change, childcare, elderly care, or other such programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 19 Majority of voters overall say Congress should not spend more than 1 trillion on a new infrastructure bill

How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one?

They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion-$1 trillion $1-1.5 trillion $1.5-2 trillion More than $2 trillion

Total 24% 16% 20% 14% 12% 14%

Democratic 22% 15% 20% 15% 13% 15% District

Republican 27% 16% 20% 13% 10% 14% District

Democrat 12% 11% 19% 18% 17% 23%

Republican 36% 21% 22% 10% 6% 5%

Independent 26% 16% 19% 14% 11% 13%

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B14. How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 20 Democratic districts: Majorities of voters in every district say that Congress should not spend more than $1 trillion on a new infrastructure bill

How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one?

They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion-$1 trillion $1-1.5 trillion $1.5-2 trillion More than $2 trillion

TX15 29% 11% 16% 16% 17% 13% ME2 27% 16% 18% 11% 9% 19% GA7 26% 15% 17% 14% 14% 14% NH1 24% 16% 21% 12% 13% 15% OR5 24% 14% 19% 16% 15% 12% MI11 23% 14% 21% 16% 12% 14% VA2 23% 15% 20% 17% 12% 14% IA3 23% 14% 19% 19% 11% 14% OH13 22% 17% 20% 13% 11% 17% CA52 21% 12% 19% 18% 16% 15% HI1 21% 15% 20% 16% 14% 13% PA17 21% 18% 23% 13% 10% 14% MI8 19% 14% 17% 18% 13% 19% NY3 18% 17% 21% 12% 19% 14% NJ7 19% 18% 24% 14% 13% 12% NJ5 17% 15% 24% 17% 10% 17% TX28 16% 19% 21% 18% 11% 16%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693) In aggregate, 22% of voters in Democratic

B14. How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one? districts say Congress should not pass a new infrastructure bill © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 21 Republican districts: Majorities of voters in every district say that Congress should not spend more than $1 trillion on a new infrastructure bill

How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one?

They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion-$1 trillion $1-1.5 trillion $1.5-2 trillion More than $2 trillion

UT3 36% 17% 20% 13% 6% 8% CA21 34% 12% 16% 11% 12% 15% UT1 33% 18% 17% 14% 8% 10% OH6 30% 18% 19% 10% 9% 13% WI8 28% 19% 17% 15% 9% 11% WI1 28% 15% 21% 10% 10% 15% PA9 26% 22% 19% 9% 9% 14% MI6 26% 16% 19% 15% 11% 13% FL27 25% 11% 16% 15% 16% 18% VA6 25% 17% 23% 11% 9% 14% IA4 26% 19% 23% 12% 9% 11% SD1 25% 16% 24% 14% 9% 13% WA3 24% 15% 18% 15% 10% 17% MN8 23% 19% 22% 12% 9% 14% PA1 22% 13% 22% 16% 16% 12% CA39 20% 13% 21% 21% 9% 17%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980) In aggregate, 27% of voters in Republican districts say Congress should not pass a new B14. How much should Congress spend on a new infrastructure bill, or should they not pass one? infrastructure bill – more than in Democratic

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. districts, but only by +5 points 22 Over a quarter of voters do not want Congress passing a new social spending bill while most voters fall somewhere between spending under $500 billion to $1 trillion

How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one? They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion to 1 trillion $1 trillion to 1.5 trillion $1.5 to 2 trillion $2 to $3 trillion $3 to 4 trillion More than $4 trillion

All districts 27% 13% 13% 11% 12% 10% 6% 8%

Democratic 24% 12% 14% 12% 13% 11% 6% 8% Districts

Republican 31% 14% 13% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% Districts

Democratic 7% 10% 15% 15% 18% 15% 10% 11% voters

Republican 49% 17% 11% 8% 6% 4% 3% voters

Independent/ 29% 14% 15% 10% 10% 9% 5% 8% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B16. How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 23 Democratic districts: Voters say that Congress should not spend more than $1 trillion on new social spending

How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one? They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion to 1 trillion $1 trillion to 1.5 trillion $1.5 to 2 trillion $2 to $3 trillion $3 to 4 trillion More than $4 trillion PA17 30% 14% 13% 11% 11% 7% 7% 8% GA7 29% 11% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 5% NH1 29% 14% 14% 8% 12% 12% 5% 7% OR5 27% 11% 12% 13% 12% 10% 7% 8% ME2 27% 16% 13% 8% 9% 11% 7% 8% NJ7 26% 14% 14% 12% 10% 10% 8% 6% HI1 26% 11% 19% 8% 11% 14% 3% 7% NY3 26% 11% 11% 15% 17% 11% 4% 6% IA3 25% 13% 15% 14% 12% 11% 4% 5% MI8 24% 10% 12% 12% 13% 12% 8% 9% MI11 23% 14% 16% 10% 13% 11% 6% 6% VA2 23% 10% 18% 12% 14% 9% 5% 8% OH13 23% 13% 14% 13% 13% 10% 5% 10% CA52 21% 10% 13% 15% 17% 11% 8% 6% TX15 19% 13% 12% 11% 15% 15% 6% 8% NJ5 19% 18% 16% 9% 13% 8% 7% 9% TX28 13% 9% 14% 17% 14% 13% 5% 14%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693) In aggregate, 24% of voters in Democratic B16. How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one? districts say Congress should not pass a new social spending bill © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 24 Republican districts: Majorities of voters say that Congress should not spend more than $1 trillion on new social spending

How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one? They should not pass one Under $500 billion $500 billion to 1 trillion $1 trillion to 1.5 trillion $1.5 to 2 trillion $2 to $3 trillion $3 to 4 trillion More than $4 trillion UT3 43% 12% 12% 10% 9% 7% 4% 4% WI1 36% 16% 14% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% OH6 36% 14% 10% 10% 10% 8% 4% 7% UT1 36% 14% 12% 10% 10% 7% 6% 5% WI8 36% 14% 15% 10% 9% 6% 5% 4% SD1 34% 15% 11% 9% 9% 11% 5% 6% IA4 35% 16% 14% 11% 10% 5% 3% 7% CA21 33% 12% 8% 11% 10% 10% 6% 9% PA9 32% 16% 13% 10% 8% 10% 4% 7% VA6 32% 12% 11% 11% 11% 12% 5% 6% PA1 27% 13% 13% 11% 13% 10% 6% 7% MN8 24% 20% 12% 14% 12% 5% 6% 7% WA3 24% 12% 16% 10% 8% 9% 8% 13% FL27 22% 15% 14% 7% 18% 11% 5% 8% MI6 23% 14% 11% 15% 12% 10% 9% 6% CA39 22% 12% 17% 14% 11% 7% 7% 9%

In aggregate, 31% of voters in Republican BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980) districts say Congress should not pass a new B16. How much should Congress spend on a new social spending bill for families, education, healthcare and climate change or should they not pass one? infrastructure bill – more than in Democratic districts, but only by +7 points © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 25 Majority of voters say new social spending should only be passed with bipartisan support, not partisan razor-thin majorities

Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support, or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses? Only with bipartisan support Support Democrats passing a bill using parliamentary techniques

All districts 61% 39%

Democratic 58% 42% Districts

Republican 65% 35% Districts

Democratic 31% 69% voters

Republican 88% 12% voters

Independent/ 67% 33% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B17. Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 26 Democratic districts: Majorities of voters in most of these districts say new social spending should only be passed with bipartisan support, not partisan razor-thin Democratic majorities

Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support, or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses? Only with bipartisan support Support Democrats passing a bill using parliamentary techniques

NJ7 67% 33% NH1 64% 36% NJ5 64% 36% HI1 62% 38% ME2 62% 38% GA7 61% 39% OR5 61% 39% NY3 60% 40% PA17 60% 40% IA3 60% 40% MI11 58% 42% MI8 56% 44% OH13 56% 44% VA2 54% 46% CA52 49% 51% TX15 46% 54% TX28 39% 61%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

B17. Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 27 Republican districts: Majorities of voters in all of these districts say new social spending should only be passed with bipartisan support, not by razor-thin Democratic majorities

Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses? Only with bipartisan support Support Democrats passing a bill using parliamentary techniques

UT3 78% 22% UT1 76% 24% IA4 72% 28% WI8 72% 28% OH6 70% 30% SD1 69% 31% MN8 67% 33% PA9 65% 35% WA3 63% 37% WI1 63% 37% VA6 62% 38% MI6 59% 41% PA1 59% 41% CA39 57% 43% CA21 56% 44% FL27 53% 47%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

B17. Should a new social spending bill be passed only with bipartisan support or would you support Democrats pushing one through Congress using parliamentary techniques and a razor-thin majority in both houses?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 28 7 in 10 voters in all districts support the $1.2 trillion infrastructure deal, with support for the bill among Democratic voters at 87%

A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill?

Support Oppose

All districts 72% 28%

Democratic 74% 26% Districts

Republican 68% 32% Districts

Democratic 87% 13% voters

Republican 55% 45% voters

Independent/ 70% 30% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B18. A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 29 Democratic districts: Strong majorities of voters across districts support the Biden-endorsed $1.2 trillion bill for infrastructure that does not increase the budget deficit

A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill? Support Oppose

TX28 81% 19% HI1 80% 20% TX15 78% 22% NJ5 77% 23% NY3 77% 23% ME2 77% 23% VA2 76% 24% MI8 76% 24% MI11 75% 25% OR5 75% 25% IA3 74% 26% NJ7 74% 26% CA52 72% 28% NH1 71% 29% PA17 71% 29% OH13 71% 29% GA7 64% 36%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

B18. A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 30 Republican districts: Even in these districts, majorities of voters support the Biden-endorsed $1.2 trillion bill for infrastructure if it does not increase the budget deficit

A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill? Support Oppose

PA1 75% 25% FL27 73% 27% MN8 73% 27% WI8 72% 28% CA39 72% 28% VA6 71% 29% WI1 70% 30% IA4 70% 30% WA3 69% 31% SD1 68% 32% PA9 68% 32% CA21 66% 34% UT1 62% 38% MI6 62% 38% UT3 59% 41% OH6 59% 41%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

B18. A group of Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate has agreed on an infrastructure bill, which President Biden has endorsed, that would spend $1.2 trillion for infrastructure over the next eight years without increasing the budget deficit. Do you support or oppose this bill? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 31 Keep it clean: 3 in 4 voters want the infrastructure bill to get an up or down vote on its own

Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

Get an up or down vote on its own Be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package

All districts 76% 24%

Democratic 74% 26% Districts

Republican 78% 22% Districts

Democratic 65% 35% voters

Republican 85% 15% voters

Independent/ 79% 21% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

B19. Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 32 Democratic districts: Voters strongly support an up or down vote on the infrastructure bill without being tied to the larger social spending package

Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

Get an up or down vote on its own Be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package

PA17 80% 20% IA3 78% 22% NH1 78% 22% NJ7 78% 22% ME2 78% 22% HI1 76% 24% OR5 76% 24% NJ5 75% 25% NY3 75% 25% OH13 74% 26% GA7 73% 27% VA2 72% 28% CA52 70% 30% MI11 70% 30% MI8 69% 31% TX28 67% 33% TX15 66% 34%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

B19. Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 33 Republican districts: Voters in these districts even more strongly support an up or down vote on the infrastructure bill without being tied to the larger social spending package

Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

Get an up or down vote on its own Be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package

IA4 88% 12% PA9 82% 18% VA6 80% 20% WI1 80% 20% SD1 80% 20% MN8 79% 21% WI8 79% 21% WA3 79% 21% UT3 79% 21% MI6 78% 22% OH6 77% 23% UT1 77% 23% PA1 73% 27% CA39 73% 27% FL27 68% 32% CA21 67% 33%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

B19. Should the infrastructure bill get an up or down vote on its own or should it be tied to a larger $3.5 trillion social spending package?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 34 3 in 5 voters say the social services bill should not pass without significant support from Republicans

Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? The social services bill should be allowed to pass with only Democratic support. The social services bill should not pass without significant support from Republicans.

All districts 39% 61%

Democratic 42% 58% Districts

Republican 35% 65% Districts

Democratic 66% 34% voters

Republican 12% 88% voters

Independent/ 34% 66% Other voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

N1. Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 35 Democratic districts: Majorities of voters in almost all districts do not support moving forward with the social services bill without significant support from Republicans

Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? The social services bill should be allowed to pass with only Democratic support. The social services bill should not pass without significant support from Republicans. TX28 58% 42% TX15 53% 47% CA52 49% 51% VA2 45% 55% MI8 45% 55% NY3 42% 58% NJ7 42% 58% MI11 41% 59% NJ5 40% 60% OH13 40% 60% NH1 40% 60% OR5 39% 61% GA7 39% 61% PA17 38% 62% IA3 38% 62% HI1 37% 63% ME2 36% 64%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

N1. Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 36 Republican districts: Stronger majorities of voters in all districts do not support moving forward with the social services bill without significant support from Republicans

Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? The social services bill should be allowed to pass with only Democratic support. The social services bill should not pass without significant support from Republicans. CA39 44% 56% FL27 44% 56% CA21 42% 58% WA3 41% 59% PA1 41% 59% MI6 40% 60% MN8 37% 63% VA6 34% 66% WI1 34% 66% WI8 33% 67% IA4 31% 69% OH6 31% 69% SD1 27% 73% PA9 27% 73% UT3 27% 73% UT1 25% 75%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

N1. Most Democratic members of Congress say that it would be acceptable for the Senate to pass the social services bill with only Democratic support by using a budgetary procedure that would allow the bill to pass with a narrow majority of 50 Senators plus the Vice President to break a tie. Republicans believe it should be passed only with a bipartisan majority. Which is closer to your view? © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 37 Voters oppose a sum total $4.7 trillion of spending across infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare

Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

Favor Oppose

All districts 43% 57%

Democratic 46% 54% Districts

Republican 40% 60% Districts

Democratic 69% 31% voters

Republican 16% 84% voters

Independent/ Other 42% 58% voters

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

N2. Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 38 Democratic districts: Voters in most of these districts do not support a $4.7 trillion package combining infrastructure and social spending

Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

Favor Oppose

TX15 59% 41% TX28 59% 41% CA52 51% 49% MI8 48% 52% GA7 47% 53% OR5 46% 54% HI1 46% 54% MI11 46% 54% OH13 46% 54% NJ5 45% 55% NJ7 45% 55% VA2 44% 56% NY3 44% 56% ME2 43% 57% NH1 43% 57% IA3 42% 58% PA17 41% 59%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

N2. Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 39 Republican districts: The opposition is even stronger in these districts infrastructure and social spending are combined into a $4.7 trillion package

Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

Favor Oppose

CA21 53% 47% FL27 52% 48% WA3 48% 52% CA39 47% 53% PA1 46% 54% MI6 45% 55% VA6 45% 55% MN8 41% 59% WI1 35% 65% SD1 34% 66% OH6 34% 66% PA9 32% 68% WI8 32% 68% IA4 32% 68% UT1 30% 70% UT3 26% 74%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

N2. Do you favor or oppose spending a sum total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs?

© 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 40 Voters express high levels of concern that the price tag of these packages will negatively impact the economy and hit them directly

Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … NET CONCERNED Runaway inflation Higher taxes down the line Lower economic growth Economic uncertainty Negative impact on your family finances

All districts 74% 78% 69% 73% 69%

Democratic Districts 73% 77% 68% 72% 67%

Republican Districts 76% 80% 71% 75% 70%

Democratic voters 59% 65% 53% 58% 52%

Republican voters 90% 93% 87% 90% 86%

Independent/ Other 75% 79% voters 68% 74% 69%

BASE: Registered Voters (n= 12673)

N3. Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 41 Democratic districts: Most of the voters in these districts are concerned that new spending on infrastructure and social programs will negatively impact the economy

Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … NET CONCERNED Runaway inflation Higher taxes down the line Lower economic growth Economic uncertainty Negative impact on your family finances HI1 74% 82% 69% 75% 72% TX15 76% 79% 70% 78% 67% GA7 74% 77% 70% 77% 72% NY3 72% 82% 69% 74% 73% NJ7 72% 79% 70% 77% 67% NJ5 73% 83% 66% 72% 69% VA2 74% 76% 72% 72% 70% MI11 74% 78% 69% 73% 67% PA17 74% 76% 68% 73% 69% IA3 72% 76% 69% 73% 67% OH13 72% 76% 69% 72% 66% MI8 69% 77% 66% 71% 64% TX28 69% 83% 64% 63% 66% CA52 73% 74% 65% 70% 63% ME2 72% 76% 63% 70% 63% NH1 71% 72% 66% 67% 67% OR5 71% 72% 61% 68% 60%

BASE: Registered Voters in Democratic districts (n= 6693)

N3. Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 42 Republican districts: The concern that new spending on infrastructure and social programs will negatively impact the economy is even greater in these districts

Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … NET CONCERNED Runaway inflation Higher taxes down the line Lower economic growth Economic uncertainty Negative impact on your family finances UT1 84% 87% 82% 84% 79% UT3 83% 87% 74% 80% 80% WI1 81% 84% 76% 78% 74% PA9 77% 83% 74% 79% 76% OH6 81% 81% 74% 78% 72% SD1 75% 79% 75% 79% 75% IA4 77% 84% 69% 79% 72% VA6 79% 78% 72% 75% 67% CA39 71% 79% 72% 77% 71% MN8 75% 79% 67% 70% 70% WI8 78% 76% 67% 74% 64% PA1 72% 77% 67% 73% 66% MI6 71% 75% 70% 71% 63% CA21 71% 77% 67% 67% 69% WA3 71% 76% 65% 70% 63% FL27 69% 74% 61% 64% 64%

BASE: Registered Voters in Republican districts (n= 5980)

N3. Are you concerned or not concerned that spending an extra $4.7 trillion dollars for the Biden infrastructure and social spending plans will lead to any of the following … © 2021 HarrisX. All rights reserved. 43