WLG2013-17 Trophic Model 15May2013
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Volume Two May 2014 Appendix 22 Ecosystem Modelling of the Chatham Rise (Pinkerton 2013) Ecosystem Modelling of the Chatham Rise Prepared for Chatham Rock Phosphate April 2013 Authors/Contributors : Matt Pinkerton For any information regarding this report please contact: Matt Pinkerton Principal Scientist Coasts & Oceans +64-4-386 0369 [email protected] National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research Ltd 301 Evans Bay Parade, Greta Point Wellington 6021 Private Bag 14901, Kilbirnie Wellington 6241 New Zealand Phone +64-4-386 0300 Fax +64-4-386 0574 NIWA Client Report No: WLG2013-17 Report date: April 2013 NIWA Project: CRP12302 Catch of mesopelagic fish on Fisheries Oceanography I voyage to Chatham Rise, TAN0806. [Len Doel, Teacher Fellow, NIWA] © All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced or copied in any form without the permission of the copyright owner(s). Such permission is only to be given in accordance with the terms of the client’s contract with NIWA. This copyright extends to all forms of copying and any storage of material in any kind of information retrieval system. Whilst NIWA has used all reasonable endeavours to ensure that the information contained in this document is accurate, NIWA does not give any express or implied warranty as to the completeness of the information contained herein, or that it will be suitable for any purpose(s) other than those specifically contemplated during the Project or agreed by NIWA and the Client. Contents Executive summary .............................................................................................................. 7 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 8 2 Modelling approach .................................................................................................... 9 2.1 Study region ......................................................................................................... 9 2.2 Model structure .................................................................................................. 10 2.3 Initial parameter estimation ................................................................................ 13 2.4 Balancing methodology ...................................................................................... 16 2.5 Trophic levels ..................................................................................................... 16 2.6 Trophic Importance ............................................................................................ 16 3 Results ....................................................................................................................... 18 4 Discussion & Conclusions ....................................................................................... 36 5 Acknowledgements ................................................................................................... 38 6 References ................................................................................................................. 39 Appendix A Birds .................................................................................................... 45 Appendix B Cetaceans ........................................................................................... 54 Appendix C Seals .................................................................................................... 91 Appendix D Fish .................................................................................................... 102 Appendix E Mesopelagics .................................................................................... 123 Appendix F Phytoplankton .................................................................................. 143 Appendix G Microbial loop ................................................................................... 152 Appendix H Benthos and hyperbenthos ............................................................. 160 References ........................................................................................................................ 179 Ecosystem Modelling of the Chatham Rise Tables Table 1: Summary of groups and parameter estimation used in the Chatham Rise trophic model. 14 Table 2: Initial estimates of model parameters (see Appendices for information on derivation). EE=Ecotrophic efficiency; B=Biomass; P/B=annual production to biomass ratio; Q/B=annual consumption to biomass ratio; P/Q=growth efficiency; Acc=accumulation as a fraction of annual production; Export, X as a fraction of annual production; U=Unassimilated consumption; T S=seasonal transfers (water column particulate detritus to benthos) as a fraction of annual inflow to the group. 20 Table 3a: Initial estimates of diet parameters for the Chatham Rise trophic model showing predator groups 1-18. Predators are referred to by group number for brevity and this is the same group number shown in column 1. Figures are the proportions of prey by weight of organic carbon in diet of each predator. Predators are shown as columns and prey as rows. Columns sum to 1. Entries of “0.00” imply that the diet fraction is >0% and <0.5%. 21 Table 3b: Initial estimates of diet parameters for the Chatham Rise trophic model showing groups 19-37. Predators are referred to by group number for brevity and this is the same group number shown in column 1. Figures are the proportions of prey by weight of organic carbon in diet of each predator. Predators are shown as columns and prey as rows. Columns sum to 1 for consumers. Entries of “0.00” imply that the diet fraction is >0% and <0.5%. 22 Table 4: Relative uncertainty (K) parameters for the Chatham Rise trophic model, with higher K values indicating higher relative uncertainty in the parameter. K E=uncertainty in ecotrophic efficiency parameters; KB=uncertainty in biomass parameters; K P=uncertainty in production parameters (P/B); K PQ = uncertainty in growth efficiency factor (P/Q); KA = uncertainty in accumulation parameters; K X= uncertainty in export parameters; K F = uncertainty in fishery catch parameter; K U=uncertainty in unassimilated consumption parameters; K S=uncertainty in seasonal transfer parameters; K D=uncertainty in diet parameters. 23 Table 5: Changes to Biomass (B), Production (P/B), growth efficiencies (P/Q) and diet fractions (D) during the SVD balancing process. Each line shows the parameter, the trophic group in the model, the original value of the parameter, an arrow (->), the final value of the parameter (in the balanced model), and the % change in square brackets. For diet fractions, the actual change in diet fraction (not the proportion) is shown. Within each type of parameter, the changes are ranked in descending magnitude. All changes of more than 10% are shown. 24 Table 6: Trophic group parameters for the balanced trophic model. Initial estimates of model parameters. EE=Ecotrophic efficiency; B=Biomass; P/B=annual production to biomass ratio; Q/B=annual consumption to biomass ratio; P/Q=growth efficiency; Acc=accumulation as a fraction of annual production; Export, X as a fraction of annual production; U=Unassimilated consumption; T S=seasonal transfers (water column particulate detritus to benthos) as a fraction of annual inflow to the group. 25 Ecosystem Modelling of the Chatham Rise Table 7a: Diet parameters in the balanced model of the Chatham Rise showing groups 1-18. Predators are referred to by group number for brevity and this is the same group number shown in column 1. Figures are the proportions of prey by weight of organic carbon in diet of each predator. Predators are shown as columns and prey as rows. Columns sum to 1. Entries of “0.00” imply that the diet fraction is >0% and <0.5%. 26 Table 7b: Diet parameters in the balanced model of the Chatham Rise showing groups 19-37. Predators are referred to by group number for brevity and this is the same group number shown in column 1. Figures are the proportions of prey by weight of organic carbon in diet of each predator. Predators are shown as columns and prey as rows. Columns sum to 1 for consumers. Entries of “0.00” imply that the diet fraction is >0% and <0.5%. 27 Table 8: Output parameters for the Chatham Rise trophic model. The table shows trophic levels, respiration quotients (R/B), trophic importances (TI) by two methods and rank of trophic importance (1=highest). 31 Figures Figure 1: Depth of water over the Chatham Rise. High values are red; low values are blue (range 0–5100 m). The trophic model area and prospecting licence area are shown as thick black outlines. Depth contours (thin black lines) are plotted at 500, 1000, 2000 and 3000 m. 10 Figure 2: Net primary production (NPP) in 14 large marine ecosystems (Conti & Scardi, 2010) compared with that for the Chatham Rise estimated in this study. Ecosystems compared are taken from the Atlantic Ocean (blue bars), Pacific Ocean (green bars) and Eastern Boundary Currents (pink bars). 28 Figure 3: Single-step trophic impact matrix, Q, for the Chatham Rise based on the balanced model. Positive impacts are shown white and negative are black, with the diameter of the circle proportional to the magnitude of the effect. The “impact” is interpreted as the effect that a small increase in the biomass of the impacting group (shown on the left of the diagram) may have on the biomass of the impacted group (shown across the top). 33 Figure 4: Multiple-step mixed trophic impact matrix, M, for the Chatham Rise. Positive impacts are shown white and