And J-1+ on SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS
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21-D-0013 April 1, 2021 Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. (JCR) announces the following credit rating. SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO., LTD. (security code: 9536) <Affirmation> Long-term Issuer Rating: AA- Outlook: Stable Bonds: AA- Shelf Registration: Preliminary AA- CP: J-1+ Rationale (1) SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO., LTD. (the “Company”) is the pure holding company of the Saibu Gas Group centered on SAIBU GAS CO., LTD., a major city gas company supplying gas to Fukuoka, Kitakyushu, Kumamoto, Nagasaki and other areas. It shifted to a pure holding company structure as of today. Given its strong unity with operating companies under the umbrella in terms of management, financing, capital, etc., JCR reflects the Group’s overall creditworthiness in its ratings. City gas demand in the Company’s service areas is large, and stable and profitable household demand accounts for a relatively large portion of total demand. The Company is also actively working on business diversification and plans to increase the sales ratio of businesses other than gas energy, such as electricity, real estate and foods, to as high as 50% in the future. (2) The Company is not in a situation where its business bases centering on city gas are drastically harmed. Since the full liberalization of the retail city gas market, it has been continuously losing city gas customers due to competition with Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated but at the same time acquiring electricity customers at an equal pace. Although attention must be paid to how competition in the liberalized market will affect profits, JCR assumes that the Company can maintain its solid cash flow generation capacity, backed by the real estate business, etc. Financial structure leaves much room for improvement, but further deterioration will likely be avoided. Based on the above, JCR affirmed the ratings on the Company and retained the Stable outlook. (3) According to the latest announcement, the Company forecasts an operating income of 4 billion yen for the fiscal year ending March 2021 (FY2020), down 47.1% from the previous year, as falls in the sales volume of industrial gases and profitability of the foods business in the midst of the COVID crisis are pushing down overall results. The electricity business also appears to have been affected by this winter’s price surge in the wholesale electricity market. JCR views that the impacts of the COVID crisis will lessen from FY2021 onward, but the fact that there are areas including foods where demand recovery is quite unpredictable must be taken into consideration. Meanwhile, the Company set up three regional companies in Kumamoto, Nagasaki and Sasebo to conduct efficient business management based on regional characteristics. Whether it will gain greater earnings power as a result will be closely watched. The Company is also gradually implementing measures to effectively use the Hibiki LNG terminal, including the export of LNG, and their progress will be monitored. (4) Equity ratio as of December 31, 2020 was 19.2%, as opposed to 19.9% at March 31, 2020. Given increasing business risks due to the liberalization of energies and business diversification, the Company faces a major challenge of improving the financial structure. It intends to make aggressive investments in growth areas, such as real estate, under the current medium-term plan, but investment plans have been reviewed flexibly according to changes in the business environment, which suggests that the financial structure will most likely be maintained at around the current level. That said, in the event that the Company decides to, for instance, construct a LNG-fired thermal power plant or additional LNG tanks as part of its plan to utilize the Hibiki LNG terminal, how this will affect the financial structure requires attention. Shigenobu Tonomura, Yusuke Tsuboi 1 / 2 https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/ Rating Issuer: SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO., LTD. <Affirmation> Long-term Issuer Rating: AA- Outlook: Stable Issue Amount (bn) Issue Date Due Date Coupon Rating Bonds no. 11 JPY 10 Jan. 25, 2012 Jan. 25, 2022 1.141% AA- Bonds no. 12 JPY 10 Dec. 13, 2013 Dec. 13, 2023 0.808% AA- Bonds no. 13 JPY 10 Apr. 14, 2015 Apr. 14, 2025 0.555% AA- Bonds no. 14 JPY 5 Mar. 16, 2017 Mar. 16, 2027 0.380% AA- Bonds no. 15 JPY 10 Dec. 13, 2018 Dec. 13, 2038 0.820% AA- Bonds no. 16 JPY 10 Dec. 13, 2018 Dec. 13, 2028 0.355% AA- Bonds no. 17 JPY 10 July 16, 2020 July 13, 2040 0.700% AA- Shelf Registration: Preliminary AA- Maximum: JPY 50 billion Valid: two years effective from September 1, 2020 CP: J-1+ Maximum: JPY 50 billion Rating Assignment Date: April 1, 2021 The assumptions for the credit ratings and the definitions of the rating symbols are published as "Types of Credit Ratings and Definitions of Rating Symbols" (January 6, 2014) in Information about JCR Ratings on JCR's website (https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/). Outline of the rating methodology is shown as "JCR's Rating Methodology" (November 7, 2014), "City Gas" (April 24, 2017), "Rating Methodology for a Holding Company" (January 26, 2015) and "Rating Viewpoints on Pure Holding Companies (Domestic Industrial Corporations)" (July 1, 2003) in Information about JCR Ratings on JCR's website (https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/). Glossary: A preliminary rating is a credit rating assigned as a preliminary evaluation while material terms for issue to be rated are not yet finalized. When the issuing terms are finalized, JCR will confirm them and will assign a credit rating anew. The rating level of the final rating may be different from that of the preliminary rating, depending on the final content of the terms, etc. Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. 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All rights reserved. 2 / 2 https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/ Information Disclosure Form Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. Disclosure Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii) of Rule 17g-7 Issuer: SAIBU GAS HOLDINGS CO., LTD. Rating Publication Date: April 1, 2021 The Symbol, Number, or Score in the Rating Scale used to Denote Credit Rating Categories and 1 Notches and, the Identity of the Obligor or the Identity and a Description of the Security or Money Market Instrument as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(A) of Rule 17g-7 Please see the news release. If the credit rating is a private rating, please see the report for private rating. The version of the procedure or methodology used to determine the credit rating; as Required by 2 Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(B) of Rule 17g-7 Please see the news release. If the credit rating is a private rating, please see the report for private rating. The Main Assumptions and Principles used in Constructing the Procedures and Methodologies 3 used to Determine the Credit Rating as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(C) of Rule 17g-7 The credit rating methodology assumes, in principle, to be applied to assess the likelihood of a given debt payment in light of its issuer’s condition and business environment, etc.