General Assembly Distr.: General 7 January 2005
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Cross-References ASTEROID IMPACT Definition and Introduction History of Impact Cratering Studies
18 ASTEROID IMPACT Tedesco, E. F., Noah, P. V., Noah, M., and Price, S. D., 2002. The identification and confirmation of impact structures on supplemental IRAS minor planet survey. The Astronomical Earth were developed: (a) crater morphology, (b) geo- 123 – Journal, , 1056 1085. physical anomalies, (c) evidence for shock metamor- Tholen, D. J., and Barucci, M. A., 1989. Asteroid taxonomy. In Binzel, R. P., Gehrels, T., and Matthews, M. S. (eds.), phism, and (d) the presence of meteorites or geochemical Asteroids II. Tucson: University of Arizona Press, pp. 298–315. evidence for traces of the meteoritic projectile – of which Yeomans, D., and Baalke, R., 2009. Near Earth Object Program. only (c) and (d) can provide confirming evidence. Remote Available from World Wide Web: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/ sensing, including morphological observations, as well programs. as geophysical studies, cannot provide confirming evi- dence – which requires the study of actual rock samples. Cross-references Impacts influenced the geological and biological evolu- tion of our own planet; the best known example is the link Albedo between the 200-km-diameter Chicxulub impact structure Asteroid Impact Asteroid Impact Mitigation in Mexico and the Cretaceous-Tertiary boundary. Under- Asteroid Impact Prediction standing impact structures, their formation processes, Torino Scale and their consequences should be of interest not only to Earth and planetary scientists, but also to society in general. ASTEROID IMPACT History of impact cratering studies In the geological sciences, it has only recently been recog- Christian Koeberl nized how important the process of impact cratering is on Natural History Museum, Vienna, Austria a planetary scale. -
Space Situational Awareness
→ SPACE SITUATIONAL AWARENESS OUTLINE - Background - Purpose - Aims - Composition - Space Surveillance (SST) - Space Weather (SWE) - Near-Earth Objects (NEO) - Summary 2 BACKGROUND Image: Dan Durda – FIAAA 3 INTRODUCTION PURPOSE OF THE SSA PROGRAMME “The objective of the Space Situational Awareness (SSA) programme is to support the European independent utilisation of, and access to, space for research or services, through the provision of timely and quality data, information, services and knowledge regarding the space environment, the threats and the sustainable exploitation of the outer space surrounding our planet Earth.” - ESA Ministerial Council November 2008 4 INTRODUCTION AIMS OF THE SSA PROGRAMME • Independent utilisation of Space – Space assets are critical assets • Guarantee access to Space – Diplomatic, – Political – Regulatory – Technical • Serve EU “Lisbon Objectives” – New Applications – New Jobs – New Markets 5 INTRODUCTION CUSTOMERS FOR SSA SERVICES • European Governments • Space Insurance • United Nations – EU • Space Industry • Defence – National • Energy • Civil Protection – Regional – Surveying • European Space Agencies – Electrical Grid – ESA – Power Supply – National • Network Operations • Spacecraft Operators • Telecommunications – Commercial • Air Traffic Control – Academic • Search and Rescue Entities – Governmental 6 INTRODUCTION Current Objectives 2009 – 2012 • Preparatory Programme – Governance Definition – Data Policy – Architecture – Federation – Precursor Services – Radar Breadboard – Pilot Data Centres 2012 -
Questioning the Surface of Mars As the 21St Century's Ultimate Pioneering Destination in Space
Questioning The Surface Of Mars As The 21st Century's Ultimate Pioneering Destination In Space Small Bodies Assessment Group Meeting #13 Washington D.C. 1 July 2015 Questioning Mars As The Ultimate Pioneering Destination In Space Background And Context • Foreseeable human-initiated activity in space can be divided into two categories - Exploring (e.g. Lewis & Clark ca. 1805): survey foreign territory + A major component of NASA's charter + Can be conducted by humans directly or by robots under human control + Virtual human presence is possible via tele-robotics stationed < 100,000 km away + Mars never approaches Earth closer than 56 million km - Pioneering (e.g. Pilgrims ca.1620): put down multi-generation roots in foreign territory + NOT in NASA's charter + MUST be conducted by humans in situ and ultimately return sustained profits + Any examples to date are dubious and Earth-centered (e.g. communication satellites) • Mars is widely accepted as the ultimate 21st century pioneering destination in space - Why would 202,586* adults volunteer in 2013 for a one-way trip to the surface of Mars? - What are potential obstacles to pioneering the surface of Mars? - Might there be more accessible and hospitable pioneering destinations than Mars? * The number of applications actually completed and submitted to Mars One was reported in 2015 to be 4227. Daniel R. Adamo ([email protected]) 1 1 July 2015 Questioning Mars As The Ultimate Pioneering Destination In Space History† Indicates Humans Pioneer For Compelling Reasons • Escape from war, starvation, -
The Hera Mission
Dr. Patrick Michel Hera Investigation Team PI Université Côte d’Azur Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur CNRS, Lagrange Laboratory Nice, France The Hera Mission ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use Hera main aspects Role of space missions at ESA in NEO hazard mitigation • Understanding the problem (deflection modeling and simulations) 2001 • Ground versus space solutions analyses • Assessment of space component options 2002- • 6 parallel phase-0 studies (3 space telescopes, 3 rendezvous) Euneos Nero Earthguard 1 2004 • ESA’s NEO Mission Advisory Panel (NEOMAP) established • Kinetic impactor validation ranked highest importance 2004- • Don Quijote mission selected and studied up to phase-A level 2006 • SANCHO / Proba-IP orbiter up to phase A level studies, small deep-space Don Quijote Ishtar Simone 2008- mission to investigate impactor’s result 2009 • AIDA proposed by NASA: USA/impactor + ESA/impact assessment • ESA phase 0 and phase A studies on the observer spacecraft "AIM” (GSP) 2011- Proba-IP 2016 • Phase B1 study and “consolidation phase” for mission definition (GSTP) • HERA: impact observer spacecraft reformulation and optimization AIM 2017- • Phase B1 implementation + payload + technology breadboards (GSTP+SSA) Several concepts 2019 • DART phase-C kick-off on 15 May 2018 Hera iterated AIDA: An International Planetary Defense Mission U.S. National Research Council Committee “Defending Planet Earth: Near-Earth Object Surveys and Hazard Mitigation Strategies” Recommendation: “If [U.S.] Congress chooses to fund mitigation research at an appropriately high level, the first priority for a space mission in the mitigation area is an experimental test of a kinetic impactor along with a characterization, monitoring, and verification system, such as the Don Quixote mission that was previously considered, but not funded, by the European Space Agency. -
Planetary Defence Activities Beyond NASA and ESA
Planetary Defence Activities Beyond NASA and ESA Brent W. Barbee 1. Introduction The collision of a significant asteroid or comet with Earth represents a singular natural disaster for a myriad of reasons, including: its extraterrestrial origin; the fact that it is perhaps the only natural disaster that is preventable in many cases, given sufficient preparation and warning; its scope, which ranges from damaging a city to an extinction-level event; and the duality of asteroids and comets themselves---they are grave potential threats, but are also tantalising scientific clues to our ancient past and resources with which we may one day build a prosperous spacefaring future. Accordingly, the problems of developing the means to interact with asteroids and comets for purposes of defence, scientific study, exploration, and resource utilisation have grown in importance over the past several decades. Since the 1980s, more and more asteroids and comets (especially the former) have been discovered, radically changing our picture of the solar system. At the beginning of the year 1980, approximately 9,000 asteroids were known to exist. By the beginning of 2001, that number had risen to approximately 125,000 thanks to the Earth-based telescopic survey efforts of the era, particularly the emergence of modern automated telescopic search systems, pioneered by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s (MIT’s) LINEAR system in the mid-to-late 1990s.1 Today, in late 2019, about 840,000 asteroids have been discovered,2 with more and more being found every week, month, and year. Of those, approximately 21,400 are categorised as near-Earth asteroids (NEAs), 2,000 of which are categorised as Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs)3 and 2,749 of which are categorised as potentially accessible.4 The hazards posed to us by asteroids affect people everywhere around the world. -
Asteroid Retrieval Feasibility Study
Asteroid Retrieval Feasibility Study 2 April 2012 Prepared for the: Keck Institute for Space Studies California Institute of Technology Jet Propulsion Laboratory Pasadena, California 1 2 Authors and Study Participants NAME Organization E-Mail Signature John Brophy Co-Leader / NASA JPL / Caltech [email protected] Fred Culick Co-Leader / Caltech [email protected] Co -Leader / The Planetary Louis Friedman [email protected] Society Carlton Allen NASA JSC [email protected] David Baughman Naval Postgraduate School [email protected] NASA ARC/Carnegie Mellon Julie Bellerose [email protected] University Bruce Betts The Planetary Society [email protected] Mike Brown Caltech [email protected] Michael Busch UCLA [email protected] John Casani NASA JPL [email protected] Marcello Coradini ESA [email protected] John Dankanich NASA GRC [email protected] Paul Dimotakis Caltech [email protected] Harvard -Smithsonian Center for Martin Elvis [email protected] Astrophysics Ian Garrick-Bethel UCSC [email protected] Bob Gershman NASA JPL [email protected] Florida Institute for Human and Tom Jones [email protected] Machine Cognition Damon Landau NASA JPL [email protected] Chris Lewicki Arkyd Astronautics [email protected] John Lewis University of Arizona [email protected] Pedro Llanos USC [email protected] Mark Lupisella NASA GSFC [email protected] Dan Mazanek NASA LaRC [email protected] Prakhar Mehrotra Caltech [email protected] -
NASA's Near-Earth Object Program
NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program (Spaceguard) Don Yeomans Manager, NASA Near-Earth Object Program Office Meteor Crater Arizona History of Known NEO Population The Inner Solar System in 2006 201118001900195019901999 Known • 500,000 Earth minor planets Crossing •7750 NEOs Outside • 1200 PHAs Earth’s Orbit Scott Manley Armagh Observatory NASA’s NEO Search Program (Current Systems) Minor Planet Center (MPC) • IAU sanctioned NEO-WISE • Int’l observation database • Initial orbit determination www.cfa.harvard.edu/iau/mpc. html NEO Program Office @ JPL • Program coordination JPL • Precision orbit determination Sun-synch LEO • Automated SENTRY www.neo.jpl.nasa.gov Catalina Sky Pan-STARRS LINEAR Survey MIT/LL UofAZ Arizona & Australia Uof HI Soccoro, NM Haleakula, Maui3 The Importance of Near-Earth Objects •Science •Future Space Resources •Planetary Defense •Exploration NASA’s NEO Program Office at JPL Coordination and Metrics Automatic orbit updates as new data arrive SENTRY system Relational database for NEO orbits & characteristics Conduct research on: Discovery efficiency Improving observational data Modeling dynamics Optimal mitigation processes Impact warnings & outreach http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/asteroidwatch / NEO Program Office: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/ Near-Earth Asteroid Discoveries Start of NASA NEO Program Discovery Completion Within Size Intervals 40% 8% <1% 87% JPL’s SENTY NEO Risk Page http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/ Object Year Potential Impact Velocity H Estimated Palermo Torino Designation Range Impacts Prob. (km/s) (mag.) Diameter -
The Asteroid Impact Hazard: Historical Perspective
The Asteroid Impact Hazard: Historical Perspective David Morrison NASA SSERVI (NASA Ames Research Center) Asteroid Grand Challenge Virtual Seminar" NASA GRAND CHALLENGE : Find all objects capable of threatening human populations and determine how to deal with them. Historical Quotes" • Should a comet in its course strike the Earth, it might instantly beat it to pieces. But our comfort is, the same great Power that made the Universe, governs it by his providence. And such terrible catastrophes will not happen till 'tis best they should … Benjamin Franklin (1757) • Men should be free from this fear ... for the probability of [a comet] striking the Earth within the span of a human lifetime is slim, even though the probability of such an impact occurring in the course of centuries is very great … Laplace (c. 1790) • Who knows whether, when a comet shall approach this globe to destroy it, as it often has been and will be destroyed, men will not tear rocks from their foundations by means of steam, and hurl mountains, as the giants are said to have done, against the flaming mass? - and then we shall have traditions of Titans again, and of wars with Heaven... Lord Byron (1822) • Civilization could be entirely destroyed by the unexpected impact of an asteroid or comet. Thousands of years of history could be erased in a single day, and with it the hopes for future generations … Clark Chapman & David Morrison (1989) • If some day in the future we discover well in advance that an asteroid that is big enough to cause a mass extinction is going to hit the Earth, and then we alter the course of that asteroid so that it does not hit us, it will be one of the most important accomplishments in all of history… U.S. -
Defending Planet Earth: Near-Earth Object Surveys and Hazard Mitigation Strategies Final Report
PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION Defending Planet Earth: Near-Earth Object Surveys and Hazard Mitigation Strategies Final Report Committee to Review Near-Earth Object Surveys and Hazard Mitigation Strategies Space Studies Board Aeronautics and Space Engineering Board Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS Washington, D.C. www.nap.edu PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS 500 Fifth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20001 NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance. This study is based on work supported by the Contract NNH06CE15B between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the agency that provided support for the project. International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-309-XXXXX-X International Standard Book Number-10: 0-309-XXXXX-X Copies of this report are available free of charge from: Space Studies Board National Research Council 500 Fifth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20001 Additional copies of this report are available from the National Academies Press, 500 Fifth Street, N.W., Lockbox 285, Washington, DC 20055; (800) 624-6242 or (202) 334-3313 (in the Washington metropolitan area); Internet, http://www.nap.edu. -
Neossat: a Collaborative Microsatellite Project for Space
SSC08-III-5 NEOSSat : A Collaborative Microsatellite Project for Space Based Object Detection William Harvey Canadian Space Agency 6767, Route de l'Aéroport, St-Hubert, QC, Canada, J3Y 8Y9; (450) 926-4477 [email protected] Tony Morris Defence Research and Development Canada 3701 Carling Avenue, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0Z4; 613 990-4326 [email protected] ABSTRACT Recognizing the importance of space-based Near Earth Object (NEO) detection and Surveillance of Space (SoS), the Canadian Space Agency and Defence Research and Development Canada are proceeding with the development and construction of NEOSSat. NEOSSat's two missions are to make observations to discover asteroids and comets near Earth's orbit (Near Earth Space Surveillance or NESS) and to demonstrate surveillance of satellites and space debris (High Earth Orbit Space Surveillance or HEOSS). This micro-satellite project will deploy a 15 cm telescope into a 630 km low earth orbit in 2010. This will be the first space-based system of its kind. NEOSSat represents a win-win opportunity for CSA and DRDC who recognized there were significant common interests with this microsatellite project. The project will yield data that can be used by the NEOSSat team and leveraged by external stakeholders to address important issues with NEOs, satellite metric data and debris cataloguing. In the contexts of risks and rewards as well as confidence building, NEOSSat is providing CSA and DRDC with valuable insights about collaboration on a microsatellite program and this paper presents our views and lessons learned. INTRODUCTION The NEOSSat microsatellite project satisfies several The Near Earth Object Surveillance Satellite objectives: 1) discover and determine the orbits of (NEOSSat) is the first jointly sponsored microsatellite Near-Earth Objects (NEO's) that cannot be efficiently project between the Canadian Space Agency CSA and detected from the ground, 2) demonstrate the ability of Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC). -
Michael W. Busch Updated June 27, 2019 Contact Information
Curriculum Vitae: Michael W. Busch Updated June 27, 2019 Contact Information Email: [email protected] Telephone: 1-612-269-9998 Mailing Address: SETI Institute 189 Bernardo Ave, Suite 200 Mountain View, CA 94043 USA Academic & Employment History BS Physics & Astrophysics, University of Minnesota, awarded May 2005. PhD Planetary Science, Caltech, defended April 5, 2010. JPL Planetary Science Summer School, July 2006. Hertz Foundation Graduate Fellow, September 2007 to June 2010. Postdoctoral Researcher, University of California Los Angeles, August 2010 – August 2011. Jansky Fellow, National Radio Astronomy Observatory, August 2011 – August 2014. Visiting Scholar, University of Colorado Boulder, July – August 2012. Research Scientist, SETI Institute, August 2013 – present. Current Funding Sources: NASA Near Earth Object Observations. Research Interests: • Shapes, spin states, trajectories, internal structures, and histories of asteroids. • Identifying and characterizing targets for both robotic and human spacecraft missions. • Ruling out potential future asteroid-Earth impacts. • Radio and radar astronomy techniques. Selected Recent Papers: Marshall, S.E., and 24 colleagues, including Busch, M.W., 2019. Shape modeling of potentially hazardous asteroid (85989) 1999 JD6 from radar and lightcurve data, Icarus submitted. Reddy, V., and 69 colleagues, including Busch, M.W., 2019. Near-Earth asteroid 2012 TC4 campaign: results from global planetary defense exercise, Icarus 326, 133-150. Brozović, M., and 16 colleagues, including Busch, M.W., 2018. Goldstone and Arecibo radar observations of (99942) Apophis in 2012-2013, Icarus 300, 115-128. Brozović, M., and 19 colleagues, including Busch, M.W., 2017. Goldstone radar evidence for short-axis mode non-principal axis rotation of near-Earth asteroid (214869) 2007 PA8. Icarus 286, 314-329. -
MHMP 2014 UPDATE PART 3 I D Natural Geological Hazards
I. Natural Hazards D. Geological Hazards The following outline summarizes the significant geological hazards covered in this section: 1. Ground Movement a. Earthquakes b. Subsidence 2. Celestial Impacts Although some states recognize “landslides” as an additional hazard, Michigan’s geology and history tends to make it more prone to land subsidence instead. Michigan’s two main vulnerabilities to ground movement are therefore identified in the sections on earthquakes and subsidence hazards. Erosion is not in itself typically considered an emergency event, except in cases involving encroachment into shoreline developments near a river or lake, and these have been dealt with in the Hydrological Hazards section of this plan. A new section of this plan, celestial impacts, deals not only with the impact of physical objects on property, but also with the effects of solar storms on our modern infrastructure. It will be seen that the systemic technological impacts of this hazard involve greater expected risks than the more well-known impacts of a meteoritic type. Although meteorite impacts are quite easy to understand and visualize, and do have a small potential to be catastrophic, it is the seemingly abstract and mostly invisible effect of “space weather” that has the greatest probability of causing widespread disruption and harm in the near future. Overlap Between Geological Hazards and Other Sections of the Hazard Analysis The most serious Michigan earthquakes would be expected to damage some of the utilities infrastructure in the southern part of the state, and could contribute to the occurrence of an energy emergency. Some flooding could result from broken water mains.