4 August 2021 FBMKLCI Index
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Malaysia | August 4, 2021 Key Metrics Malaysia Daybreak | 4 August 2021 FBMKLCI Index 1,700 ▌What’s on the Table… 1,650 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 1,600 1,550 Hartalega Holdings – Downsides more than priced in 1,500 We deem 1QFY3/22F net profit of RM2.3bn (+102% qoq) to be in line (55% of 1,450 our full-year estimates) as we expect weaker results in following quarters. While 1,400 we expect ASPs to normalise heading into FY22F, we expect Hartalega to Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20 Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 Aug-21 resume its lead position in terms of margins in the glove sector. Reiterate Add, ——————————————————————————— with a lower TP of RM8.10 (24x CY23F P/E). FBMKLCI 1,500.26 7.26pts 0.49% AUG Future SEP Future Freight Management Hldgs – Laying the path to an integrated logistic hub 1497 - (0.37%) 1491 - (0.40%) ——————————————————————————— FMH has proposed to acquire 9.3 acres of vacant freehold land from Boustead Gainers Losers Unchanged Properties Berhad for RM56.8m. FMH is likely to build an integrated logistics hub 479 489 429 ——————————————————————————— on this land, which will include e-ecommerce fulfilment and parcel delivery Turnover services. With this hub, FMH can benefit from tax incentives granted by MIDA. 4161.25m shares / RM2718.157m 3m avg volume traded 5676.80m shares 3m avg value traded RM3350.92m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices ▌News of the Day… ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI 1,500 3,149 6,131 1,541 26,195 • PM: Motion to debate emergency ordinances can be brought forth to Parliament ———————————————————————————————— next month Market Indices • Umno withdraws support of its MPs for Perikatan National government Close % chg YTD % chg FBMKLCI 1,500.26 0.5 (7.8) • Bursa seeks public feedback on ACE Market one-stop centre proposal FBM100 10,736.85 0.4 (6.7) • MSPO certification at final stage of revision, ready for rollout soon FBMSC 15,396.27 0.3 (1.1) FBMMES 7,117.73 0.4 (33.7) • BLand sells 6.7m more BFood shares for RM12.6m Dow Jones 35,116.40 0.8 14.7 NASDAQ 14,761.29 0.5 14.5 • HB Global’s recently-acquired telecom unit wins contract from Axiata subsidiary FSSTI 3,149.25 (0.4) 10.7 FTSE-100 7,105.72 0.3 10.0 SENSEX 53,823.36 1.6 12.7 Hang Seng 26,194.82 (0.2) (3.8) JCI 6,130.57 0.6 2.5 KOSPI 3,237.14 0.4 12.7 Nikkei 225 27,641.83 (0.5) 0.7 PCOMP 6,560.06 1.8 (8.1) SET 1,540.51 1.0 6.3 Shanghai 3,447.99 (0.5) (0.7) Taiwan 17,553.76 0.3 19.1 ———————————————————————————————— Top Actives Close % chg Vol. (m) SERBA DINAMIK 0.405 6.6 230.5 SAUDEE GROUP 0.105 (12.5) 143.8 PERMAJU INDUS 0.090 0.0 100.2 KANGER 0.060 (7.7) 99.7 SYSTECH 0.305 0.0 93.3 YLI HLDGS 0.460 9.5 90.8 EMICO HLDGS 0.310 1.6 90.6 GREENYIELD 0.330 (13.2) 82.0 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics Close % chg US$/Euro 1.1869 0.03 RM/US$ (Spot) 4.2200 (0.04) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) 4.2725 (0.51) OPR (%) 1.75 0.00 GOLD ( US$/oz) 1,810.75 0.02 WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) 70.56 (0.98) CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 4,470.50 (3.24) ———————————————————————————————————————— Ivy NG Lee Fang, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9073 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN Powered by the THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS-CIMB SECURITIES (USA), INC. AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH. EFA Platform Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Malaysia Daybreak | August 4, 2021 Global Economic News US consumers’ demand for new debt grew in the second quarter and credit card use rebounded, reversing the trend of declining card use seen earlier in the coronavirus pandemic, according to a report by the New York Federal Reserve. Total household debt increased by US$313bn in 2Q21 to US$14.96tr, the New York Fed said in its quarterly report on household debt and credit. Mortgage debt continued to be the biggest driver of that growth, rising by US$282bn to US$10.44tr by the end of Jun. (Reuters) US factory orders beat expectation by rising 1.5% mom in Jun (+2.3% mom in May). Demand pivoted towards goods during the COVID-19 pandemic as millions of Americans were cooped up at home, boosting manufacturing, which accounts for 11.9% of the US economy. (Reuters) The Reserve Bank of Australia said it will stick with its planned tapering of bond purchases even as Sydney’s protracted lockdown is set to push the economy into contraction this quarter. The Australian dollar advanced after Governor Philip Lowe and his board surprised economists by keeping to their plan to reduce the pace of weekly bond purchases to A$4bn (US$3bn) in Sep from A$5bn now, while maintaining the cash rate at 0.1% on 3 Aug. (Bloomberg) Indonesia is expected to report this week an economic growth of more than 6% in the second quarter, but a new wave of COVID-19 cases, which started to hit in Jun, is clouding the outlook for subsequent quarters, a Reuters poll showed on 3 Aug. The median forecast of 22 analysts in the poll was for gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 6.57% in Apr-Jun on an annual basis, the first expansion in five quarters. That is also the fastest clip since 2010, albeit less optimistic than the government's projection of 7% and the central bank's estimate of 6.75%. (Reuters) Malaysia Economic News The Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Ministry (KPDNHEP) is considering a proposal to control the price of the Covid-19 test kit, said Deputy Minister Datuk Rosol Wahid. He said based on feedback from the public, the test kit price is a burden especially to the low-income groups and families with many children. "We were told that the price is RM39.90 each, not many can afford to buy it at that price. So, we are discussing the matter with manufacturers, importers and sellers to get it at a reasonable price that will not affect the traders or burden the people. (Bernama) Malaysia on 3 Aug received 415,000 doses of AstraZeneca vaccine contributed by the United Kingdom (UK), which will further boost the National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK). The consignment was flown in via Emirates Airlines EK 346 which landed at the Kuala Lumpur International Airport (KLIA) at 2.20pm on 3 Aug. On hand to receive the vaccines were PICK Coordinating Minister Khairy Jamaluddin, Senior Minister of Foreign Affairs (Security Cluster) Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Tun Hussein, Health Minister Datuk Seri Dr Adham Baba and British High Commissioner to Malaysia Charles Hay. (Bernama) About six million individuals in the Klang Valley have received at least one dose of the Covid-19 vaccine as at 2 Aug, according to the Special Committee for Ensuring Access to Covid-19 Vaccine Supply (JKJAV), citing data from the Covid-19 Immunisation Task Force (CITF). This translates into 71.2% of the population in the Klang Valley, comprising Selangor, Putrajaya and Kuala Lumpur. Among the 6m who have taken at least one dose of the Covid-19 jab, 2 Malaysia Daybreak | August 4, 2021 2.43m of them are fully inoculated with two doses. This means 28.8% of the Klang Valley population is now fully inoculated. (The Edge Markets) Political News The Perikatan Nasional government is on the verge of collapse after at least 11 United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) Members of Parliament (MP) withdrew their support. The opposition has at least 105 MPs and coupled with the 11 UMNO MPs, it means Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin no longer commands a majority of the 220 MPs. Lenggong MP Datuk Shamsul Anuar Nasarah also resigned as the energy and natural resources minister, citing his loyalty to UMNO. UMNO had withdrawn support for Muhyiddin since July 7 but at the time, nothing came out of it as UMNO Vice-President Ismail Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob led several UMNO MPs to rebel against the decision. At the same time, Muhyiddin had also tried to counter the move by appointing Ismail as the deputy prime minister. This time, UMNO president Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi presented 11 UMNO MPs at a live press conference as evidence. He also cited the PN government's conflict with the Yang di-Pertuan Agong as a reason for the decision. Prior to Zahid's latest announcement, Muhyiddin had again tried to counter the move by announcing that the government will finally heed the Agong's demand for the emergency ordinances to be debated in Parliament. But Zahid, presenting evidence of the numbers this time, has put pressure on other Umno MPs to comply. It is understood that at least 14 MPs are onboard and a handful of ministers are also contemplating resigning. UMNO has a total of 38 MPs in Parliament. (Malaysiakini) Umno president Datuk Seri Zahid Hamidi said a number of Umno members of Parliament (MPs) have signed a declaration letter indicating their withdrawal of support for Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin. Zahid said the Umno Supreme Council decided to not defend the Perikatan Nasional (PN) government, which he deemed “has clearly failed in the eyes of the people”.