ACCIDENTS WILL HAPPEN A review of military drone crash data as the UK considers allowing large military drone flights in its airspace Note: The term ‘drone’ is used interchangeably with ‘Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)’ Drone Wars UK is a small British NGO established in 2010 to undertake research and advocacy around the use of armed drones. We believe that the growing use of remotely-controlled, armed unmanned systems is encouraging and enabling a lowering of the threshold for the use of lethal force as well as eroding well established human rights norms. While some argue that the technology itself is neutral, we believe that drones are a danger to global peace and security. We have seen over the past decade that once these systems are in the armoury, the temptation to use them becomes great, even beyond the constraints of international law. As more countries develop or acquire this technology, the danger to global peace and security grows. Published by Drone Wars UK Drone Wars UK Written by Chris Cole Peace House, 19 Paradise Street June 2019 Oxford, OX1 1LD Designed: Chris Woodward www.dronewars.net www.chriswoodwarddesign.co.uk
[email protected] Drone Wars UK | Accidents Will Happen | 3 Contents Executive Summary 5 1 Introduction 7 2 Drone Crash Data 9 2.1 An overview of the data 3 Analysis by operators 13 3.1 The United States 3.1.1 US official crash statistics 3.1.2 Where US drones have crashed 3.2 Europe 3.2.1 The UK 3.2.2 Other European countries 3.3 Other countries 4 Examining the causes of drone crashes 23 4.1 Mechanical failure 4.2 Electrical failure 4.3 Engine failure 4.4 Pilot error 4.5 Lost link 4.6 Other causes 5 Comment: Opening of UK airspace to large military drones 33 5.1 Recommendations Drone Crash Dataset 2008–2019 37 4 | Drone Wars UK | Accidents Will Happen Drone Wars UK | Accidents Will Happen | 5 Executive summary • The Ministry of Defence (MoD) is procuring up to twenty-six of the newest version of the Predator Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) from US manufacturer General Atomics.