CA9700335 INIS-jgfc- 35th Annual Conference Canadian Nuclear Association June 4-7, 1995 Saskatoon, Saskatchewan 35" Conference Annuelle de VAssociation NucUaire Canadienne 4-7juin, 1995 Saskatoon, Saskatchewan CNA PROCEEDINGS ANC COMPTE RENDU 28lb 1 9 Canadian Nuclear Association Thirty-fifth Annual Conference 1 June 4 to 7, 1995 Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, CANADA Edited by: R. Loewer Proceed in FOREWORD This volume contains the Proceedings of the eight sessions from the Thirty-fifth Annual Conference of the Canadian Nuclear Association held in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, June 4 to 7,1995. As in previous years, the Annual Conference of the Canadian Nuclear Association was held in conjunction with the Annual Conference of the Canadian Nuclear Society. The papers for these Proceedings were prepared by the authors in a format prescribed by the Program Committee. The papers are published exactly as submitted by the authors. Responsibility for the content of each paper rests solely with its authors. These Proceedings are copyrighted (© 1995) by the Canadian Nuclear Association. Requests for further information concerning these Proceedings, permission to reprint any part of these Proceedings, or orders for copies of these Proceedings should be addressed to: Canadian Nuclear Association 144 Front Street West, Suite 725 Toronto, Ontario, CANADA, M5J 2L7 or phone: (416)977-6152 or fax: (416)979-8356 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Many people contributed to the success of the Conference. Authors put in a tremendous amount of effort in preparing high quality papers and making interesting presentations within the allotted time. The eight chairs of the individual sessions were indispensable in making the sessions run smoothly. The collaboration of the Canadian Nuclear Association Organizing Committee under the leadership of Bernard Michel contributed significantly to making the Conference a success. CNA PROCEEDINGS CNA Session 1 UPDATE ON THE STATUS OF THE CANADIAN NUCLEAR INDUSTRY CNA Session 2 NON-PROLIFERATION AND RELATED POLITICAL ISSUES CNA Session 3 NUCLEAR WASTE DISPOSAL PERSPECTIVES CNA Session 4 REGULATORY ISSUES CNA Session 5 TRADE DEVELOPMENT CNA Session 6 NEW MARKETS CNA Session 7 ECONOMICS OF NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY CNA Session 8 PUBLIC ACCEPTANCE OR REJECTION CNA/CNS NEUTRON DIFFRACTION Special Session TABLE OF CONTENTS CNA Session 1 UPDATE ON THE STATUS OF THE CANADIAN NUCLEAR INDUSTRY Current Status of the Uranium Industry Hikmet Akin Chairman, Uranium Saskatchewan Association Inc. and President and CEO, Uranerz Exploration and Mining Limited AECL: Changing to Meet the Challenge Reid Morden President, AECL Revitalization of the Nuclear Business at Ontario Hydro Don Anderson General Manager, Ontario Hydro Nuclear CNA Session 2 NON-PROLIFERATION AND RELATED POLITICAL ISSUES Market Impact of Military Material Gerald W. Grandey Senior Vice President, Marketing and Corporate Development Cameco Corporation Plutonium: Fuel, Waste Or Weapons? J.L. Ricaud Vice President, Reprocessing and Industry Division Cogema, France IAEA Safeguards Under the Non-Proliferation Treaty Bruno Pellaud Deputy Director General, Head of the Department of Safeguards International Atomic Energy Agency CNA Session 3 NUCLEAR WASTE DISPOSAL PERSPECTIVES Nuclear Waste Disposal: A European Perspective Jean-Pierre Rougeau Chairman, Societe Francaise d'Energie Nucleaire (SFEN) Nuclear Waste Disposal: The North American Perspective Jerome Saltzman Acting Deputy Director, Program Management and Integration, Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management, United States Department of Energy Current Status and Future Plan of High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Program in Japan Noriaki Sasaki and Aiji Yamato Radioactive Waste Management Project Power Reactor and Nuclear Fuel Development Corporation, Tokyo, Japan CNA Session 4 REGULATORY ISSUES ICRP-60, C-122 and the Cost of Regulation for the Mining Industry Doug Chambers ,: ^ SENES Consultants Limited, Canada s V 1 The Current U.S. Approach to Licensing Nuclear Power Plants Jerry N. Wilson Section Chief, Standardization Project Directorate United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Nuclear Regulation in Canada: The Diagnosis and Prognosis Agnes J. Bishop President, Atomic Energy Control Board CNA Session 5 TRADE DEVELOPMENT Advising Emerging Countries on the Development of Regulatory Agencies John G. McManus Secretary General, Atomic Energy Control Board Government / Industry Export Partnerships: What are Other Governments Doing? Glen Hammond Regional Vice President, Export Development Corporation, Vancouver Trade Development: How is Canada Responding? Kenneth W. Wigley Manager of Nuclear Products, Invar Manufacturing Limited, Batawa, Ontario CNA Session 6 NEW MARKETS Review of Emerging Markets for Nuclear Power Gerald E. Clark and Robin Bhar The Uranium Institute, London KEPCO: An Established and Growing Nuclear Power Bo Hun Chung Vice President, Nuclear Power Division Korea Electric Power Corporation Turkey: An Area of Great Potential Nejat Aybers Nuclear Energy Institute, Istanbul Technical University CNA Session 7 ECONOMICS OF NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY Nuclear Fuel Cycle in Japan Ryo Ikegame Executive Vice President, Tokyo Electric Power Company Nuclear Energy in the United States: Meeting the Challenge in a More Competitive Electricity Market Marvin S. Fertel Vice President, Nuclear Economics and Fuel Supply Nuclear Energy Institute Contribution of Nuclear Fuel Management to Reactor Availability Factor and Operational Cost Control Michel Ponticq Fuel Operations and Strategy Group, Electricite de France CNA Session 8 PUBLIC ACCEPTANCE OR REJECTION Union's Role for Creating Public Acceptance of the Nuclear Industry William Adams Coordinator, Canadian Nuclear Workers Council A Scapegoat Called "Public Acceptance" Otto H. Wildgruber Department Head, International Public Relations Siemens AG, Power Generation Group The Politics of Economic, Technical and Regulatory Issues Associated with Spent Fuel Storage Miller Hudson Mescalero Spent Fuel Storage Initiative Engineering Public Consent for Nuclear Facilities: A Strategy for Reducing Public Fears and Building Public Acceptance Gerry Kruk President, Gerry Kruk and Associates Communications Limited, Calgary CNA/CNS Special Session NEUTRON DIFFRACTION The Application of Neutron Diffraction to Materials Science Problems in the Canadian Nuclear Industry Tom M. Holden, J.H. Root, R.B. Rogge, A.P. Clarke AECL, Chalk River Laboratories, Chalk River, Ontario CNA Session 1 UPDATE ON THE STATUS OF THE CANADIAN NUCLEAR INDUSTRY Current Status of the Uranium Industry Hikmet Akin Chairman, Uranium Saskatchewan Association Inc. and President and CEO, Uranerz Exploration and Mining Limited AECL: Changing to Meet the Challenge Reid Morden President, AECL Revitalization of the Nuclear Business at Ontario Hydro Don Anderson General Manager, Ontario Hydro Nuclear CA9700336 Current Status of the Uranium Industry Hikmet Akin Chairman, Uranium Saskatchewan Association Inc. and President and CEO, Uranerz Exploration and Mining Limited Abstract The world uranium market is presently undergoing a slow recovery process. Although the present rate of uranium consumption for peaceful purposes greatly exceeds mining production, the spot prices for uranium still dwell at very low levels. Production shortfalls are dominantly being supplied from excess inventories in the west, which are expected to be depleted by the end of this decade. Even if the future market will be supplied by de- enriched weapons grade material, in addition to conventional sources such as mine production and reprocessing, a gap seems to be developing between uranium consumption and supply, which may allow for the installation of new mining capacities towards the end of this decade. Canadian uranium production centres, particularly the high grade uranium mines of Saskatchewan's Athabasca Basin, are well-positioned to take advantage of this potential opportunity. The three operating mines and mills, Key Lake, Rabbit Lake and Cluff Lake produced 30% of the world's uranium in 1994. In addition to the recently approved new projects and extensions at Cluff Lake, McClean Lake and Rabbit Lake, environmental reviews will be conducted for the Me Arthur River, Midwest and Cigar Lake projects in 1995 and 1996. Difficult past market conditions, some of which are somewhat still continuing, have resulted in a process of emerging consolidation. In the uranium mining industry there is a reduction in the number of production centres as well as corporate entities. On a global basis, the bulk of the competitive uranium production originates from basically two major regions: Northern Saskatchewan in Canada and Central Asia. Uranium is produced mainly by in- situ leach technology in Central Asia in contrast to Saskatchewan production which is entirely from open pit and underground mining operations. Introduction On behalf of the uranium producers and other members of Uranium Saskatchewan Association, welcome to Saskatoon. Here in Saskatchewan, the uranium mining companies presently produce more than one-quarter of the world's uranium, making Saskatoon the uranium mining capital of the world. In this presentation, we will briefly examine the development of the world's uranium production and demand and emphasize the current Canadian production as well as new mine developments. Thereafter, we will examine the conditions prevailing in today's world uranium market, and conclude with a review of the supply and demand situation for the future. Uranium mining has a short history,