What Has Happened to Ukraine inertial Scenario for ukraine’s national and political identity Alexei V. Popov Abstract This article is a study of the evolution of the Ukrainian national and political identity in the context of the most important aspects of its formation, singled out by the author. The author’s methods are based on the principle of historicism. He analyzes the formation and development of political practices and the political regime in Ukraine in the 20th-21st centuries, and compares peculiarities of the ethnic, cultural and political development of Ukraine with that of Russia and other countries in Eastern Europe. Prospects for the development of the political situation in Ukraine are discussed through the prism of the geopolitical paradigm. The author points out that during the Soviet period there were factors that worked for the separation of Ukrainians from Russians and those that worked against it. In the post-Soviet period, under the influence of growing ethnic and civic nationalism, globalism and some peculiarities of Ukrainian political culture separatist tendencies prevailed. The current conflict in Donbass has entered into a smoldering phase, which is most advantageous to the Ukrainian authorities. He describes as unlikely the possibility of major changes in the Ukrainian regime. The more probable scenario, in his opinion, is inertial. Key words: National identity, ethnic and civic nationalism, Ukrainian political culture, Russophobia, Euromaidan, political conformism, military actions in Donbass, de-russification, limited political competition Alexei V. Popov is an expert with the Kiev Center of Political Studies and Conflictology (http:// www.analitik.org.ua/).
[email protected] DOI: 10.31278/1810-6374-2018-16-2-8-35 8 RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS What Has Happened to Ukraine he question “What has happened to ukraine?” has been asked in russia for almost three decades, but especially in the last four years.