Naval War College Review Volume 67 Article 20 Number 3 Summer 2014 Summer 2014 Review The .SU . Naval War College Follow this and additional works at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review Recommended Citation War College, The .SU . Naval (2014) "Summer 2014 Review," Naval War College Review: Vol. 67 : No. 3 , Article 20. Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol67/iss3/20 This Full Issue is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Naval War College Review by an authorized editor of U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. War College: Summer 2014 Review Summer 2014 Volume 67, Number 3 Summer 2014 Summer 2014 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2014 1 6557_Cover.indd Cyan Magenta Yellow Black 6557_Cover.indd 1 4/21/14 1:12 PM Naval War College Review, Vol. 67 [2014], No. 3, Art. 20 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Summer 2014 Volume 67, Number 3 NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841-1207 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol67/iss3/20 2 War College: Summer 2014 Review NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS ADVISORY BOARD PRESIDENT, NAVAL WAR COLLEGE A dam Bellow R ear Adm. Walter E. Carter, Jr., USN Jeffrey Kline PROVOST Gale A. Mattox A mb. Mary Ann Peters Robert A. Silano Marin Strmecki DEAN OF NAVAL WARFARE STUDIES Dov S. Zakheim R obert C. Rubel NAVAL WAR COLLEGE PRESS NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW EDITORIAL BOARD C arnes Lord, Editor D onald Chisholm Pelham G. Boyer, Managing Editor Audrey Kurth Cronin Phyllis P. Winkler, Book Review Editor Peter Dombrowski Lori A. Almeida, Secretary and Circulation Manager Stephen Downes-Martin Frank Uhlig, Jr., Editor Emeritus Col. Theodore L. Gatchel, USMC (Ret.) James R. Holmes Naval War College Review William C. Martel Code 32, Naval War College Col. Mackubin Owens, USMC (Ret.) 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207 Cdr. Derek S. Reveron, USN Fax: 401.841.1071 Michael Schmitt DSN exchange, all lines: 841 Capt. Peter M. Swartz, USN (Ret.) Website: www.usnwc.edu/press Capt. David Teska, USCGR http://twitter.com/NavalWarCollege Scott C. Truver Editor, Circulation, or Business James J. Wirtz 401.841.2236 [email protected] Managing Editor 401.841.4552 [email protected] Newport Papers, Books [email protected] Essays and Book Reviews 401.841.6584 [email protected] Other Naval War College Offices 401.841.3089 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2014 3 Naval War College Review, Vol. 67 [2014], No. 3, Art. 20 The Naval War College Review was established in 1948 as a forum for discussion of public policy matters of interest to the maritime services. The thoughts and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the U.S. government, the U.S. Navy Department, or the Naval War College. The journal is published quarterly. 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ISSN 0028-1484 https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol67/iss3/20 4 War College: Summer 2014 Review Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2014 5 Naval War College Review, Vol. 67 [2014], No. 3, Art. 20 CONTENTS From the Editors � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 3 China’s Maritime Disputes in the East and South China Seas � � � � � � � � � 7 Peter A. Dutton President’s Forum � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 21 Averting the Great War? Churchill’s Naval Holiday � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 25 John H. Maurer In the spring of 1914 Winston Churchill’s “naval holiday” arms-control initiative was, in the eyes of the German government, “nonsense�” As the war that broke out that summer would show, Berlin would have better served its own interests and the well-being of the German people had it worked with Churchill rather than thwarting him� The History of the Twenty-First-Century Chinese Navy � � � � � � � � � � � � � 43 Bernard D. Cole The Chinese navy being built for the twenty-first century owes a good deal to its history, which has been marked by some notable consistencies and represents a cautionary message for strategists considering possible Chinese reactions to specific issues� A Theory of Naval Airpower � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 63 Robert C. Rubel It is well known that naval officers have a cultural aversion to theory and doctrine, at least at the operational level� However, theory and doctrine are needed to establish the case for naval war- fighting imperatives in this era of regional and overlapping command and control—that is, theory and doctrine as flexible as naval airpower itself� The Littoral Arena A Word of Caution � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 81 Rear Admiral Yedidia “Didi” Ya’ari, Israel Navy Reprinted from the Spring 1995 issue of the Naval War College Review, pages 7–21� A Prophet for Our Times � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 96 Wayne P. Hughes, Jr. https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol67/iss3/20 6 2 n AVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIWarEW College: Summer 2014 Review Reinventing the Drone, Reinventing the Navy 1919–1939 � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 98 Angelina Long Callahan Naval Research Laboratory engineers and physicists after World War I were key contributors to a lengthy effort that produced radio-controlled aircraft drones just in time to help prepare the Navy in critical ways for World War II� The experience—marked by collaboration, chance, failures, and breakthroughs—offers valuable lessons for technological innovation today� Future Mine Countermeasures No Easy Solutions � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 123 Commander Martin Schwarz, German Navy There is no lack of options for a new generation of mine-countermeasures approaches, and certainly no lack of questions requiring answers� What is not in question is the seriousness of the threat and the prospect that solutions will involve factors not only of technology but of national purposes, resources, and willingness to cooperate� Book Reviews Duty: Memoirs of a Secretary at War, by Robert M. Gates reviewed by Thomas Hone � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 142 Counterinsurgency: Exposing the Myths of the New Way of War, by Douglas Porch reviewed by Karl Walling � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 148 Seapower and Sino-U.S. Relations, by Shi Xiaoqin reviewed by Nan Li � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 151 Sino-Japanese Relations after the Cold War: Two Tigers Sharing a Mountain, by Michael Yahuda reviewed by Grant F� Rhode � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 153 National Security through a Cockeyed Lens: How Cognitive Bias Impacts U.S. Foreign Policy, by Steve A. Yetiv reviewed by Richard Norton � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 154 Silent Killers: Submarines and Underwater Warfare, by James P. Delgado reviewed by William Murray � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 156 Of Special Interest � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 158 Reflections on Reading � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 159 Published by U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons, 2014 7 Naval War College Review, Vol. 67 [2014], No. 3, Art. 20 from the editors In recent testimony to the