sign in sign up
<<
Home , Anthony Rendon, Daniel Murphy (baseball), Jett Bandy, Justin Turner, Rajai Davis, Wilmer Difo

www.baseballprospectus.com

Jameson Taillon RHP Pirates 

Born: 11/18/1991 Age: 26 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 5” Weight: 225 lbs Draft Info: Round 1, 2010 Draft (#2 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile POWER 1.6 Total WARP 59 27th of 150 PWR 8

STAMINA 6 65 88th of 150 STM

4 COMMAND 49 91st of 150 2 CMD

0 PACE 16th of 150 19 89° -2 Fantasy Values Sec/Pit Very Fast April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 28: DL (cancer treatment) $5.91 $12.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP MPH 95 2017 PIT MLB 25 8 7 0 25 25 133.2 152 11 3.1 8.4 125 49% .352 1.48 4.44 4.51 1.6 96.7 It’s difficult to judge Taillon’s 2017 due to a cancer diagnosis in early May that led to surgery and a six-week absence. He struggled throughout the year but there is too much talent to write him off, and the fact that he pitched at all last year is a triumph. Taillon remains one of the more promising young arms in , and there is plenty of room for improvement now that he is one year removed from his diagnosis. — Mike G.

2017 Pitching Percentages Pitching PECOTA Percentiles Pitching WARP History

100% 8.00 10

80% 7.00 8 6.00 6 60% 5.00 4 40% 4.00 2 20% 3.00 0 0% 2.00 -2 BABIP ISO BB K GB/FB 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2016 2017 DRA DRA_NORM DRA_REP WARP

Tunnel vs LHH Pitch Types Tunnel vs RHH Type Freq Velo H Mov V Mov CH 9.9% 88.6 [114] -7.1 [122] -22.6 [113] CU 26.0% 81.9 [113] 10.4 [110] -48.6 [99] FA 29.7% 95.8 [111] -3.9 [115] -13.3 [106] SI 34.4% 95.5 [119] -11.3 [109] -18.8 [105]

Pitch Tunnel Pairs Release Diff Tunnel Diff Plate Diff Speed Changes 1654 27.5 116.5 221.8 0.032

CH PI Scores CH CU CU Year Pitch Ct Pwr Cmd Stm FA 2016 1535 50 54 65 FA SI 2017 2312 59 49 65 SI

Taillon, Jameson - 435 DIAMOND INSIGHTS 2018

Masahiro Tanaka RHP

Born: 11/1/1988 Age: 29 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 3” Weight: 215 lbs Draft Info: International Free Agent, 2014

2017 Daily WARP Profile POWER 3.8 Total WARP 32 128th of 150 PWR 8

STAMINA 6 73 53rd of 150 STM

4 COMMAND 55 62nd of 150 2 CMD

0 PACE 126th of 150 23 16° -2 Fantasy Values Sec/Pit Very Slow April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 113: DL (shoulder inflammation) $15.01 $16.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP MPH 95 2017 NYA MLB 28 13 12 0 30 30 178.1 180 35 2.1 9.8 194 50% .306 1.24 4.74 3.66 3.8 94.0 Tanaka struggled mightily in the first half before recovering and putting together a strong finish. Some of his struggles were blamed on pitching in day games as well as to batterymate Gary Sanchez, but once Tanaka got back on track none of these reasons seemed to matter. Tanaka is a good candidate to carry over his second half success into 2018, although a partially torn UCL that was never operated on always leaves him with some level of risk. — Mike G.

2017 Pitching Percentages Pitching PECOTA Percentiles Pitching WARP History

100% 8.00 10

80% 7.00 8 6.00 6 60% 5.00 4 40% 4.00 2 20% 3.00 0 0% 2.00 -2 BABIP ISO BB K GB/FB 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2014 2015 2016 2017 DRA DRA_NORM DRA_REP WARP

Tunnel vs LHH Pitch Types Tunnel vs RHH Type Freq Velo H Mov V Mov CU 6.2% 77.2 [96] 8.7 [104] -49.7 [96] FA 11.0% 92.9 [101] -8.3 [94] -15 [101] FC 8.7% 89.8 [108] -2 [82] -21.9 [107] FS 24.9% 87.7 [114] -9.4 [95] -30.5 [98] SI 17.9% 91.4 [95] -13.3 [94] -22.2 [92] SL 31.2% 84.7 [101] 4.7 [101] -33 [99]

Pitch Tunnel Pairs Release Diff Tunnel Diff Plate Diff Speed Changes CU CU 1980 27.1 111.8 208.6 0.024 FA FA FC PI Scores FC FS FS Year Pitch Ct Pwr Cmd Stm SI 2014 1996 40 57 45 SI SL 2015 2287 37 57 61 SL 2016 2925 38 59 79 2017 2721 32 55 73

436 - Tanaka, Masahiro www.baseballprospectus.com

Chris Taylor UT  

Born: 8/29/1990 Age: 27 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 1” Weight: 195 lbs Draft Info: Round 5, 2012 Draft (#161 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 5.7 Total WARP

8

6

4

2

0 PACE 45th of 155 -2 Fantasy Values 21 71° April September Sec/Pit Fast 2017 2017 2018 Game 1: minors $24.62 $19.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 LAN MLB 26 568 85 34 5 21 72 50 142 17 .288/.354/.496 .309 50.3 .361 5.7

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2014 2015 2016 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

CF LAN 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 3 90° Ender Inciarte 5.41 1 88° 4.37

4 87° Cameron Maybin 4.50 2 84° Enrique Hernandez 2.58

-5 5 84° Chris Taylor 4.37 3 70° 2.17

6 82° Jackie Bradley 3.79 4 62° 2.02 2014 2015 2016 2017 80° 56° 7 Keon Broxton 3.64 5 1.80 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

Taylor, Chris - 437 DIAMOND INSIGHTS 2018

Michael Taylor CF

Born: 3/26/1991 Age: 27 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 3” Weight: 210 lbs Draft Info: Round 6, 2009 Draft (#172 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 3.9 Total WARP

8

6

4

2

0 PACE 45th of 155 21 71° -2 Fantasy Values Sec/Pit Fast April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 1: minors, Game 86: DL (oblique strain) $18.34 $12.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 WAS MLB 26 432 55 23 3 19 53 29 137 17 .271/.320/.486 .281 26.5 .363 3.9

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2014 2015 2016 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

CF WAS 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 9 76° 3.17 1 91° 6.83

10 75° Ian Happ 3.07 2 84° Michael Taylor 3.06

-5 11 73° Michael Taylor 3.06 3 77° Wilmer Difo 2.38

12 71° Kevin Kiermaier 2.89 4 65° 2.04 2014 2015 2016 2017 69° 57° 13 Rajai Davis 2.55 5 1.22 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

438 - Taylor, Michael www.baseballprospectus.com

Julio Teheran RHP

Born: 1/27/1991 Age: 27 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 2” Weight: 205 lbs Draft Info: International Free Agent, 2007

2017 Daily WARP Profile POWER 3.8 Total WARP 46 69th of 150 PWR 8

STAMINA 6 79 17th of 150 STM

4 COMMAND 70 10th of 150 2 CMD

0 PACE 81st of 150 Fantasy Values 46° 21 -2 2017 2018 Sec/Pit Average April September 2017 $9.80 $10.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP MPH 95 2017 ATL MLB 26 11 13 0 32 32 188.1 186 31 3.4 7.2 151 41% .281 1.37 4.49 3.74 3.8 93.7

2017 Pitching Percentages Pitching PECOTA Percentiles Pitching WARP History

100% 8.00 10

80% 7.00 8 6.00 6 60% 5.00 4 40% 4.00 2 20% 3.00 0 0% 2.00 -2 BABIP ISO BB K GB/FB 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 DRA DRA_NORM DRA_REP WARP

Tunnel vs LHH Pitch Types Tunnel vs RHH Type Freq Velo H Mov V Mov CH 7.7% 82.8 [91] -10.6 [103] -26.8 [101] CU 9.0% 73.8 [83] 11 [113] -48.5 [99] FA 42.6% 92 [97] -6.5 [103] -16.3 [96] SI 21.7% 91.8 [97] -13.5 [93] -22.4 [91] SL 19.0% 83.1 [94] 3.1 [93] -31.7 [103]

Pitch Tunnel Pairs Release Diff Tunnel Diff Plate Diff Speed Changes 2241 30.5 117.3 218.5 0.029 CH CH CU PI Scores CU FA FA Year Pitch Ct Pwr Cmd Stm SI 2013 2866 49 52 72 SI SL 2014 3246 43 49 83 SL 2015 3256 44 61 79 2016 2959 42 53 75 2017 3060 46 70 79

Teheran, Julio - 439 DIAMOND INSIGHTS 2018

Eric Thames 1B

Born: 11/10/1986 Age: 31 Bats: L Throws: R Height: 6’ 0” Weight: 210 lbs Draft Info: Round 7, 2008 Draft (#219 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 2.5 Total WARP

8

6

4

2

0 PACE 18th of 155 Fantasy Values 88° 20 -2 2017 2018 Sec/Pit Very Fast April September 2017 $16.40 $13.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 MIL MLB 30 551 83 26 4 31 63 75 163 4 .247/.359/.518 .304 29.4 .309 2.5 April stats have a way of distorting our perceptions. Had Thames 11 home runs in August and finished with the same line his season would have been seen as far more of a success. Instead, many believed the league quickly caught up to him, even though he rallied in both July and September and finished as a well-above-average hitter. The talk of Thames as a potential 50+ home- hitter seems silly now, but another 30+ home-run year is a reasonable baseline. — Mike G.

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2011 2012 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

1B MIL 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 36 29° Matt Carpenter -2.37 13 28° Jett Bandy -1.95

37 26° Mitch Moreland -2.72 14 20° -2.22

-5 38 23° Eric Thames -2.73 15 12° Eric Thames -2.73

39 20° -2.86 16 4° Eric Sogard -2.86 2011 2012 2017 16° 0° 40 Anthony Rizzo -3.23 17 -3.45 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

440 - Thames, Eric www.baseballprospectus.com

Mike Trout CF     

Born: 8/7/1991 Age: 26 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 2” Weight: 235 lbs Draft Info: Round 1, 2009 Draft (#25 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 6.6 Total WARP

8

6

4

2

0 PACE 45th of 155 21 71° -2 Fantasy Values Sec/Pit Fast April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 32: hamstring tightness, Game 54: DL (thumb ligament tear) $30.13 $43.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 ANA MLB 25 507 92 25 3 33 72 94 90 22 .306/.442/.629 .360 69.0 .318 6.6 Despite missing significant time due to injury for the first time in his career, Trout still managed to finish in the Top 15 among hitters while logging only 402 plate appearances. On a per-plate-appearance basis, Trout had the finest year of his already illustrious career, and now he enters his prime. While Jose Altuve has outperformed Trout the last couple of seasons, it is completely understandable if you prefer Trout to Altuve if you have the number 1 overall pick. — Mike G.

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

CF ANA 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 47 13° 0.06 9 77° Juan Graterol 0.50

48 11° Jarrod Dyson 0.04 10 67° 0.44

-5 49 9° -0.03 11 57° Mike Trout -0.03

50 9° Tyler Naquin -0.24 12 46° Kole Calhoun -0.59 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 8° 45° 51 Pedro Florimon -0.24 13 Nick Franklin -0.61 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

Trout, Mike - 441 DIAMOND INSIGHTS 2018

Justin Turner 3B Los Angeles Dodgers   

Born: 11/23/1984 Age: 33 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 5’ 11” Weight: 205 lbs Draft Info: Round 7, 2006 Draft (#204 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 5.9 Total WARP

8

6

PACE 99th of 155 4 22 36° Sec/Pit Slow 2

0

-2 Fantasy Values April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 43: DL (hamstring strain) $23.59 $21.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 LAN MLB 32 543 72 32 0 21 71 59 56 7 .322/.415/.530 .347 63.9 .326 5.9

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

3B LAN 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 50 15° Christian Arroyo -2.77 11 31° -0.17

51 13° Adrian Beltre -2.87 12 25° -2.58

-5 52 11° -3.24 13 16° Justin Turner -3.24

53 8° -4.10 14 10° -3.37 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6° 0° 54 -4.66 15 Yasiel Puig -4.33 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

442 - Turner, Justin www.baseballprospectus.com

Trea Turner SS Washington Nationals  

Born: 6/30/1993 Age: 25 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6’ 1” Weight: 185 lbs Draft Info: Round 1, 2014 Draft (#13 vo erall)

2017 Daily WARP Profile 3.7 Total WARP

8

6

4

2

0 PACE 4th of 155 19 97° -2 Fantasy Values Sec/Pit Very Fast April September 2017 2017 2018 Game 6: DL (hamstring strain), Game 80: DL (wrist fracture) $29.15 $34.00

YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP WARP 2017 WAS MLB 24 447 75 24 6 11 45 30 80 46 .284/.338/.451 .283 36.6 .329 3.7 An injury quietly dampened how valuable Turner was in fantasy last year. In only 412 plate appearances, Turner was the 16th best hitter, thanks mostly to his 46 stolen bases, although his modest power contributions and solid batting average certainly helped. Even if Turner cannot maintain this aggressive steal pace over the course of a full season, he will be first-round material easily if he can stay on the field. — Mike G.

2017 Batting Percentages Batting PECOTA Percentiles Batting WARP History

100% .400 10

80% .350 8 .300 6 60% .250 4 40% .200 2 20% .150 0 0% .100 -2 BA ISO BB K SPD 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2015 2016 2017 TAv TAv_NORM TAv_REP DEF_WARP OFF_WARP

BRR (Relative to Position) BRR (Relative to Team) Base Running Components

SS WAS 5

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Rank Player BRR Rank Player BRR 0 1 96° Trea Turner 6.83 1 91° Trea Turner 6.83

2 93° 5.51 2 84° Michael Taylor 3.06

-5 3 91° Miguel Rojas 4.57 3 77° Wilmer Difo 2.38

4 88° 4.16 4 65° Anthony Rendon 2.04 2015 2016 2017 86° 57° 5 3.94 5 Daniel Murphy 1.22 BRR GAR SBR AAR HAR OAR

Turner, Trea - 443