24 January 2017 Americas/United States Equity Research Gas Utilities Spire Inc. (SR) Rating NEUTRAL Price (20-Jan-17, US$) 64.65 INITIATION Target price (US$) 68.00 52-week price range (US$) 70.84 - 59.84 Market cap (US$ m) 2,952 Reaching Beyond Missouri Target price is for 12 months. Research Analysts ■ Initiating at Neutral: We initiate coverage of SR with a Neutral rating and $68 price target. Although the stock currently trades at a 9% 2018 P/E Michael Weinstein 212 325 0897 discount to peer gas utilities, we see this as appropriate considering a major
[email protected] pending ratecase filing for Missouri set for April 2017, where 63% of ratebase Khanh Nguyen, CFA now resides. SR has made strides diversifying beyond its Missouri base in 212 538 3524
[email protected] recent years, albeit through some high-priced M&A activity in Alabama and Radi Sultan Mississippi. High levels of operating company equitization among all its 212 538 8137 utilities present an opportunity to de-lever the parent, invest in infrastructure
[email protected] such as the STL Pipeline, and grow EPS 4%-6% over the long-term. ■ Missouri ratecase downside is mitigated: We see ~$0.10 of EPS or less at risk in the April 2017 ratecase, focusing on an appropriate equity ratio and the clawback of merger savings. The utility is now supported by ~56% equity but if the authorized level is reduced below this, we expect the impact to be mitigated with increased utility debt for reinvestment or parent debt reduction.