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East cop 58-def_Layout 1 12/02/15 16:40 Pagina 3 58 MARCH APRIL IT’S NOT IMPORTANT 2015 THE WORLD. PAGE AFTER PAGE JUST TO PARTICIPATE. 12,00 fr CH 110,00; kr N £9,00; UK 10,00; 58 3 HOLY WAR! HOLY 12,00; F/NL F/NL 12,00; BUT TO RUN FASTER. 3 9,00; A/D A/D 9,00; 3 For over ten years we made internet run at higher speed 7,00; B/E/L/P B/E/L/P 7,00; 3 THAT’S FIBER I BIMONTHLY (6 ISSUES A YEAR) - POSTE ITALIANE SPA - SPEDIZIONE IN ABBONAMENTO POSTALE DL 353/2003 [CONV. IN L27/02/2004 N46] ART 1 COMMA 1 - DISTRIBUZIONE MEPE DISTRIBUZIONE - 1 COMMA 1 ART N46] L27/02/2004 IN [CONV. 353/2003 DL POSTALE ABBONAMENTO IN SPEDIZIONE - SPA ITALIANE YEAR) POSTE A (6 - ISSUES BIMONTHLY e Owens, Berlino 1936 Berlino e Owens, ss MARCH APRIL 2015 APRIL MARCH Je HOLY WAR! East cop 58-def_Layout 1 12/02/15 16:40 Pagina 4 oYour every movemo coun ...st You stand tall and achieve your goals when you have our banking services working for you. Thanks to our products and our commitment to reliable relationships with clients, we are your bank of choice in Austria, Germany, Italy and in 14 CEE Countries. With such unrivalled footprint along with a network of correspondent banks in 150 Countries worldwide we’re ready, willing and able to answer your requests both at home and abroad. 001_E_Editoriale58_Layout 1 16/02/15 14:15 Pagina 1 FRONT PAGE will not give up seeking new recipes to promote integration, we Where we stand support the latter. Between those who claim that the terrorists were provoked by tasteless cartoons and those who believe freedom of or the past 10 years, we have speech is an unalienable human Fstrived to inform our readers right, we choose freedom. about what has happened the world We do not stand with those who over, looking beyond phenomena believe that the Western ideal of and current events to provide facts, solidarity is last century’s model but forecasts and analyses that stem with those who seek a new from studies, interviews and understanding of democratic journalistic fieldwork. Which have coexistence that does not consider sometimes helped us even skill, entrepreneurship and merit to anticipate events. be profane. It is with them that we One example is the previous issue’s are committed to finding the road to “East-West” editorial, which recovery from a crisis that is not examined the disturbing merely economic but social and phenomenon of the recruitment of cultural as well. foreign fighters by terrorist groups, We believe that when our readers only to find them carrying out the hear expert economists such as most fearsome act of terrorism in Nouriel Roubini and John Paulson Europe – in its very heart – of predicting disasters from the Davos recent years. pulpits that turn out to be entirely The time has come to state our wrong – for example, the collapse of horizons clearly in an increasingly the euro by the end of 2012 – they confusing and complex world. want us to be swift, brave and We intend to stand tall, to ensure outspoken in countering that our readers – who are growing propagandistic ideas with serious, in numbers and hail from all corners in-depth analyses. of the globe – can always trust our We are determined to accompany viewpoint to be reliable, even if they our readers for decades to come by don’t always agree with it. continuing to stimulate an In other words, it is time to say increasingly cohesive community explicitly that we are on the side of and an increasingly informed global those dedicated to making the debate. I European integration model work and not those who criticize it on a daily basis. Between those who believe that migration should be curbed with walls and those who EAST MAR CH APRIL 2015 | 1 002-003_E_sommario58_Layout 1 16/02/15 13:00 Pagina 2 east THE WORLD. PAGE AFTER PAGE year XI · n. 58 · march april 2015 DIRECTOR Benedetta Fabbri SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE ADVISORY BOARD Federico Ghizzoni (PRESIDENT), Giuseppe Scognamiglio (VICE-PRESIDENT), Reuben Abraham, Giuliano Amato, Umit Boyner, Joschka Fischer, Silvia Francescon, Enrico Giovannini, Aleksander Kwasniewski, Enrico Letta, Myrta Merlino, Giovanni Moro, Attilio Maria Contents Navarra, Vincenzo Nigro, Fabrizio Onida, Pier Carlo march april Padoan, Lapo Pistelli, Romano Prodi, Riccardo Pugnalin, Alexei Pushkov, Giuseppe Recchi, Anne- twothousandfifteen Marie Slaughter, Javier Solana, Boris Tadic, Danilo Taino, Zuo Xuejin, Matteo Zuppi CORRESPONDENT COMMITTEE Aldo Bonomi, Massimo Cacciari, Seyda Canepa, 1 Front page Ferruccio De Bortoli, Francesca Gori, Lev Gudkov, 8 UlrikeGuérot,WojciechJagielski,PredragMatvejevic, 4 no Comment MoniOvadia, Soli Özel, Lucrezia Reichlin, Sergio Romano, Gyorgy Schoepflin, Luigi Tomba by Mana Neyestani EDITORIAL COMMITTEE Silvia Francescon, Francesca Nenci, Fabrizia Falzetti, 6 EAST-WEST Roberta Ceccarelli, Simone Cofferati, Fabrizio Goria, Nicholas Hunt, Barbara Modugno, Valentina the Caliph's Foreign Legion Pascucci, Claudio Patriarca, Ilaria Sbarigia, Silvia by Giuseppe Scognamiglio Settecasi, Maja Kecojevic PUBLISHER Europeye srl - Via Gregorio VII, 368 - 00165 Roma [email protected] cover www.eastonline.eu - www.europeye.com BOARD OF DIRECTORS EUROPEYE 8 the Charlie effect Giuseppe Scognamiglio (PRESIDENT), Francesca Nenci (DIRECTOR), Silvia Francescon (DIRECTOR), Simone by Fadi Elhusseini Cofferati (DIRECTOR), Giuseppe Verderese (DIRECTOR), Riccardo Pugnalin (DIRECTOR), Attilio Maria Navarra 11 the tables are turned (DIRECTOR), Fabrizia Falzetti (EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR) by Alberto Negri NEWSROOM 22 Fabrizia Falzetti, Maja Kecojevic, Silvia Settecasi, Fabrizio Goria (WEB), Roberta Ceccarelli (WEB), 12 Is makes big money Valentina Pascucci (WEB) by Francesca Nenci [email protected] ART DIRECTOR 15 the Web as oracle Claudio Patriarca - [email protected] GRAPHIC DESIGNER by A. Ceron, L. Curini, S. M. Iacus Flora Dicarlo - [email protected] PHOTOEDITOR Ilaria Sbarigia - [email protected] europe ENGLISH LANGUAGE EDITOR Nicholas Hunt 18 Brussels notebook ENGLISH LANGUAGE REVIEW COMMITTEE Nicholas Hunt, Aminda Leigh, Natasha Senjanovic by Ann Cahill TRANSLATORS Marina Astrologo, Teresa Ciuffoletti, Darcy Di Mona, 19 eU hits and myths Helen Farrell, Alessandra Guidoni, Aminda Leigh, Valentina Mazzei, Nicholas Neiger, Guiomar by Pagellapolitica.it Parada, Natasha Senjanovic WEBMASTER 22 EUROPEAN UNION Luca Pizzato - [email protected] MARKETING AND ADVERTISING the real Donald tusk Theresa Lindo - [email protected] by Jan Krzysztof Bielecki PHOTOGRAPHIC AGENCIES Contrasto, Reuters, Getty Images 28 24 the eU, a legal requirement BACK ISSUES STAFF srl - tel. +39 02 4570 2415 - by Patrizia De Pasquale [email protected] SUBSCRIPTIONS 26 POINTOF VIEW www.eastonline.eu - [email protected] PRINTERS Iran, from rogue state Arti Grafiche Boccia - www.artigraficheboccia.com to reliable ally? NEWSAGENT DISTRIBUTION Messaggerie Periodici - www.mepe.it by R. Prodi and G. Cucchi BOOKSHOP DISTRIBUTION Johnsons Books srl - www.johnsons.it 28 UKRAINE AIRPORT DISTRIBUTION Johnsons Inflight News Italia srl - www.johnsons.it Putin's successful strategy HOTEL DISTRIBUTION by Paul Lendvai P Publishing srl - www.johnsons.it INTERNATIONAL DISTRIBUTION 30 the ultras' role in the war A.I.E. www.aie-mag.com ENGLISH LANGUAGE DISTRIBUTION IN ITALY by Anna Zafesova Messinter - www.messinter.it Publication registered with the Court of Milan n. 451 / 21-06-2004 38 All rights © Europeye COVER ILLUSTRATION: EMILIO GIANNELLI 2 | EAST 002-003_E_sommario58_Layout 1 16/02/15 15:28 Pagina 3 79 32 ESTONIA A small learned state 46 goes to vote by Mara Gergolet 34 TURKEY the sultan's rivals world by Marta Ottaviani 76 Washington notebook 36 CYPRUS by Luca Borsari elections across the Wall by Giampaolo Cadalanu 77 Us: hits and myths by Luca Borsari 38 THE VATICAN the Church splits over middle east and africa new marriages 100 79 EGYPT by Francesco Anfossi the Pharoah vs the Caliph 40 EUROPEANCONSCIE NCE by G. Bertoluzzi and C. Spocci success in space by Emanuele Colombo 82 ISRAEL asia elections and Us tensions 90 CHINA chronicles by Gabriele Barbati Xi Jinping's Imperial dream 84 LIBYA by Federico Brusadelli 42 How start-ups start too many interests at stake by Nanxi Liu 93 JAPAN by K. Mezran and N. Pedde 43 Riding the digital economy Where to, Japan? 86 MIDDLE EAST & USA by Federico Treu by Pio D’Emilia America heading east? 44 Aladin, from sana'a to Rome by Viviana Mazza 96 TECHNOLOGY & RESOURCES by Giovanni Piazzese 88 NIGERIA the Artic Conquest by Jacopo Pasotti 46 IntervIew : Haruhiko Kuroda the uphill struggle Bank of Japan governor of Africapitalism americas by Fabrizio Goria by Stella Morgana 98 ARGENTINA A make or break year DOSSIER: TTIP: TO bE OR nOT TO bE by Jesus Rodriguez 100 CUBA 50 PORTFOLIO 64 The Eurasian 74 THE EAST BOOK the ‘Yanquis’ are back Trade globetrotters economic union The crisis according by Francisco Forteza 56 MARKETS AND SOCIETIES by Michael Gross to Martin Wolf 102 the devil's in the details TTIP - How 66 The Turkish point by Fabrizio Goria by Diana Ferrero international trade of view 75 FOOD & CULTURE European gourmets will change by Soli Özel 104 BADGIR LS by Carlo Calenda 68 South-south trade up in arms by Elisabeth Roman the tsarina, the empress 58 EU and US, together denting northern and the Popess markets for growth by James Hansen by Alessia Mosca by Stefania Pensabene 60 Multinationals' double 71 The European Union 106 FINANCIAL TRENDS standards and its trade partners 72 oil prices: winners and losers by Erik F. Nielsen by Francesco Guarascio CULTURAL