POWER SWEEPS 2007-’10 (ALL H’S WINNING) © 2010 Northcoast Sports Service Volume 28 Issue 16 & 17 Dec
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POWER 27 Years SWEEP ELEVEN NFL $ 00 POWER SWEEPS 2007-’10 www.ncsports.com25 (ALL ★’S WINNING) © 2010 Northcoast Sports Service Volume 28 Issue 16 & 17 Dec. 16, 2010 - Jan. 10, 2011 1-800-654-3448 ★ 35 BOWL DOUBLE ISSUE! ★ BOWL ISSUE 65-30 68% LAST 3 YEARS!!! NFL SELECTIONS FOR WK 15 & 16 INSIDE! NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE P.O. BOX 450829 CLEVELAND, OHIO 44145 NEWS AND NOTES DOUBLE BOWL ISSUE playing 7 gms vs teams with winning records but played our #65 toughest schedule including This issue of Power Sweep is a special double issue which has 35 bowl game forecasts games against 2-9 Eastern Illinois, 4-8 Ball St and 3-9 Minnesota. Per the NCAA, Kentucky plus the 15th & 16th weeks of the NFL. This action-packed double issue traditionally does faced the #103 toughest schedule with an opp W/L % of 45.9% facing 4 teams with winning exceptionally well, with a 22 year record of 64% on the ★ basis. This is our biggest and best records but took on our #57 schedule facing 6-6 Louisville, 6-6 Georgia, 4-8 Mississippi and 6-6 bowl issue ever, as it contains many Key Selections for the bowls and is 32 FULL pages!!!! Tennessee that were all better than their records indicate. Washington had the toughest slate Let’s go over this super Double Bowl Issue so you can utilize it to the fullest. All of the Bowl among bowl teams and Middle Tenn had the easiest. The 2010 bowl teams are in boldface. ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ Selections are rated from 1 to 4 with 4 ’s being the highest. 3 & 4 Selections are 1 Oregon St 31 Baylor 61 BYU 91 WKU considered Key Selections. 2★’s are considered Other Selections. The 1★ plays are very 2 Washington St 32 Alabama 62 Northwestern 92 Toledo light selections and are to be played nowhere near as strong as the Key Selections. We have 3 Washington 33 Illinois 63 USF 93 Florida Atlantic a half page dedicated to EVERY bowl game which should provide every piece of information 4 UCLA 34 Wake Forest 64 Virginia Tech 94 Houston that you will need. Read each bowl write-up and we think you will find them to be the most 5 South Carolina 35 Oklahoma St 65 Iowa 95 Boise St in-depth write-ups available. We supply much more information than just our selections for 6 USC 36 Mississippi 66 Utah St 96 ULM this year’s bowl games. 7 Colorado 37 Clemson 67 Virginia 97 Nevada Included in this issue are our exclusive Power Plays forecasts for each game. Power 8 Iowa St 38 Missouri 68 Michigan St 98 Miami, Oh Plays takes into account things like: strength of opponents faced, and is adjusted after 9 Arizona St 39 NC State 69 SMU 99 Tulsa games for weather, garbage yards, injuries, etc. It is the most accurate set of power ratings 10 Stanford 40 Purdue 70 New Mexico St 100 Arkansas St 11 Vanderbilt 41 Texas Tech 71 Ohio St 101 San Diego St in the country. These forecasts give you a projected box score for each game so you can 12 Auburn 42 San Jose St 72 Rice 102 FIU see a possible outcome for the game. The forecasts include yards rushing, yards passing, 13 California 43 Georgia 73 Syracuse 103 Temple turnovers, special teams edges and, of course, a score based on the Power Plays ratings. 14 Florida St 44 Cincinnati 74 West Virginia 104 Akron They also list the average opponent power rating of the teams that they faced this year. 15 Miami, Fl 45 Kansas 75 Rutgers 105 TCU Keep in mind these projections are based solely on the Power Plays statistical formulas. Our 16 Mississippi St 46 Texas 76 Louisiana Tech 106 Kent St Power Sweep projected winner at the bottom of each bowl takes into account ALL factors, 17 Florida 47 Kansas St 77 Louisville 107 C Michigan including the Power Plays numbers, emotion, bowl experience, talent matchups, turf edge, 18 Oklahoma 48 Georgia Tech 78 Connecticut 108 Buffalo momentum, special teams, coaching, etc. Many times the intangibles in bowls outweigh the 19 Minnesota 49 New Mexico 79 E Michigan 109 North Texas pure statistical forecasts. We supply the projected forecasts at the top of the page to give 20 Duke 50 Nebraska 80 Fresno St 110 Hawaii 21 Arizona 51 Wyoming 81 Marshall 111 Southern Miss you some solid statistical information. 22 Texas A&M 52 Penn St 82 Navy 112 Army On page 32 of this newsletter you’ll find the Computer Corner Power Ratings forecasts 23 UNLV 53 Oregon 83 Air Force 113 Troy for the bowls. The Computer Corner Plays are rated in different categories and, of course, 24 North Carolina 54 Boston College 84 Tulane 114 UCF the higher the difference between the Computer Forecast and the actual Vegas Line, the 25 Notre Dame 55 Maryland 85 Utah 115 Ball St stronger the play is. They are strictly the computer’s forecast & do not take into account all 26 LSU 56 Memphis 86 UAB 116 Ohio the intangibles that our overall write-ups do. These projections have done very well through 27 Michigan 57 Kentucky 87 Louisiana 117 UTEP the years. The bowl checklists included with each bowl write-up are invaluable as every 28 Pittsburgh 58 East Carolina 88 Wisconsin 118 W Michigan stat and ranking is analyzed with checks going to the better unit. Each check represents 29 Arkansas 59 Colorado St 89 Idaho 119 N Illinois approximately one point. 30 Tennessee 60 Indiana 90 Bowling Green 120 Middle Tennessee Page 28 will be our Pro Selections for Week 16 in the NFL. These selections will be made Above ratings are based on overall strength of schedule. Now take a look at the toughest on Sunday (Dec 12th) two weeks before the games are played. The Week 15 results will be schedules of opponents units faced: unknown. This is not easy to do as the Week 15 results will determine the next week’s selections Rush Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rushing offenses: as well as playoff chances. Due to that uncertainty we will not have an NFL 4★ for that week, 1.) Oregon St, 2.) Duke, 3.) Notre Dame, 4.) California, 5.) Minnesota, 6.) Washington, but we will have ★ rated Key Selections. Last year we forecasted the NFL Week 17 two weeks 7.) Miami, Fl, 8.) Arizona St, 9.) South Carolina, 10.) Tennessee in advance and went 3-0 on the Key Selections (8-0 on ★’s) and 2-0 on the 3★ Totals!! We Pass Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of passing offenses: do put a lot of work into the advance forecasts and they have done well throughout the years. 1.) Texas A&M, 2.) Texas Tech, 3.) Oklahoma St, 4.) Rice, 5.) Oklahoma, 6.) Colorado, The staff here at Northcoast Sports would like to wish you & your family Happy Holidays 7.) New Mexico St, 8.) Utah St, 9.) Texas, 10.) Baylor & a prosperous New Year. As always, thank you for reading Power Sweep. We hope to hear Rush Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rush defenses: from you in our questionnaire which will be coming in the next couple of issues. 1.) Oregon St, 2.) Washington, 3.) Washington St, 4.) UCLA, 5.) Notre Dame, 6.) Auburn, Who Faced the Toughest Schedule in 2010? 7.) California, 8.) Vanderbilt, 9.) South Carolina, 10.) USC What makes our Toughest Opponents Faced rank- Pass Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of pass defenses: ings far superior to the NCAA method is that ours 1.) Wyoming, 2.) Iowa St, 3.) Colorado St, 4.) Auburn, 5.) Oregon St, 6.) Baylor, 7.) New takes into account 9 sets of power ratings, combines Mexico, 8.) Mississippi, 9.) Duke, 10.) Florida St them and factors in every team’s schedule this year. Total Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of scoring offenses: We did this not only for the bowl teams, but for all 1.) Oregon St, 2.) South Carolina, 3.) Arizona, 4.) UCLA, 5.) Washington, 6.) Oklahoma, 7.) Mississippi St, 8.) Arizona St, 9.) California, 10.) Notre Dame the NCAA teams & found out which teams played Total Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of scoring defenses: the toughest schedules this year. Iowa ranked #34 1.) Washington, 2.) Florida St, 3.) Florida, 4.) Oregon St, 5.) Washington St, 6.) Duke, in the NCAA rankings with an opp W/L % of 57.3% 7.) North Carolina, 8.) Auburn, 9.) Miami, Fl, 10.) Michigan Date Bowl Game Time (ET) TV TEAM VS TEAM NC LINE TTL Dec. 18 New Mexico Bowl 2:00 pm ESPN BYU vs UTEP 10 11' 50 Dec. 18 Humanitarian Bowl 5:30 pm ESPN N Illinois vs Fresno St F-6 1 59 BCS STANDINGS Dec. 18 New Orleans Bowl 9:00 pm ESPN Ohio vs Troy O-1' 1' 58 BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings Dec. 21 Beef O'Brady's Bowl 8:00 pm ESPN Southern Miss vs Louisville 3 3 57 TEAM AVG RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW % Dec. 22 Las Vegas Bowl 8:00 pm ESPN Utah vs Boise St 7 17 60' 1 Auburn .9866 1 2809 .9856 2 1437 .9742 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 Dec.