Mike Clay's 2020 NFL Projection Guide
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Mike Clay's 2020 NFL Projection Guide Updated: 9/10/2020 Glossary: Page 2-33: Team Projections Page 34-44: QB, RB, WR and TE projections Page 45-48: Category Leader projections Page 49: Projected standings, playoff teams and 2021 draft order Page 50: Projected Strength of Schedule Page 51: Unit Grades Page 52-61: Positional Unit Ranks Understanding the graphics: *The numbers shown are projections for the 2020 NFL regular season (Weeks 1-17). *Some columns may not seem to be adding up correctly, but this is simply a product of rounding. The totals you see are correct. *Looking for sortable projections by position or category? Check out the projections tab inside the ESPN Fantasy game. *'Team stat rankings' is where each team is projected to finish in the category that is shown. *'Unit Grades' is not related to fantasy football and is an objective ranking of each team at 10 key positions. The overall grades are weighted based on positional importance. The scale is 4.0 (best) to 0.1 (worst). A full rundown of Unit Grades can be found on page 51. *'Strength of Schedule Ranking' is based on 2020 rosters (not 2019 team record). '1' is easiest and '32' hardest. See the full list on page 50. *Note that prior to the official release of the NFL schedule (generally late April/early May), the schedule shown includes the correct opponents, but the order is random *Have a question? Contact Mike Clay on Twitter @MikeClayNFL 2020 Arizona Cardinals Projections QUARTERBACK PASSING RUSHING PPR DEFENSE WEEKLY SCORE PROJECTIONS Player Gm Att Comp Yds TD INT Sk Att Yds TD Pts Rk Pos Player Snap Tkl Sack INT FF Rk Wk Opp Loc Tm Opp Win Prob Kyler Murray 15 544 349 3831 26 12 43 87 471 4 299 5 DI Corey Peters 716 39 5.0 0.1 37 1 SF V 21.9 27.3 31% Brett Hundley 2 26 16 177 1 1 2 2 11 0 12 49 DI Zach Allen 614 40 3.3 0.1 44 2 WAS H 26.1 20.6 69% Total 17 571 366 4008 28 13 45 89 482 4 311 54 DI Jordan Phillips 563 32 3.6 0.1 39 3 DET H 25.5 25.7 49% DI Angelo Blackson 256 14 0.9 0.0 123 4 CAR V 27.6 24.1 63% DI Leki Fotu 123 8 0.5 0.0 136 5 NYJ V 26.5 22.9 63% RUNNING BACK RUSHING RECEIVING PPR DI Rashard Lawrence 61 4 0.3 0.0 150 6 DAL V 22.9 28.5 30% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk DI Total 2332 138 13.5 0.3 529 7 SEA H 24.3 26.6 42% Kenyan Drake 14 200 933 8 71 54 404 2 245 8 ED Chandler Jones 921 49 10.1 0.3 3 8 0.0 0.0 Chase Edmonds 14 79 341 3 21 16 127 1 84 62 ED Devon Kennard 665 43 5.4 0.2 54 9 MIA H 26.6 22.1 66% Eno Benjamin 14 19 76 1 5 4 31 0 19 103 ED Haason Reddick 194 17 0.9 0.1 106 10 BUF H 22.5 23.6 46% Total 42 297 1351 11 98 74 562 3 348 173 ED Kylie Fitts 51 3 0.5 0.0 140 11 SEA V 22.8 28.1 31% ED Total 1831 113 16.9 0.7 303 12 NE V 22.2 24.9 40% LB Jordan Hicks 972 134 1.9 1.2 4 13 LAR H 26.1 24.6 55% LB Isaiah Simmons 870 118 2.6 0.8 21 14 NYG V 25.5 26.3 47% WIDE RECEIVER RUSHING RECEIVING PPR LB De'Vondre Campbell 512 72 1.3 0.6 52 15 PHI H 24.9 26.9 43% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk LB Zeke Turner 41 5 0.1 0.0 135 16 SF H 22.5 26.5 36% DeAndre Hopkins 15 4 23 0 136 89 1100 7 246 5 LB Total 2394 330 6 2.7 212 17 LAR V 24.5 26.1 44% Christian Kirk 15 15 105 0 98 63 724 5 176 40 CB Patrick Peterson 972 66 0.2 1.8 22 Total 392 405 47% Larry Fitzgerald 15 0 0 0 81 56 602 5 143 57 CB Dre Kirkpatrick 818 61 0.2 1.9 38 PROJECTED WINS: 7.5 (NFL RANK: 22) Andy Isabella 15 4 20 0 38 24 313 2 73 96 CB Byron Murphy 696 52 0.5 1.2 70 Strength of Schedule Ranking: 9 KeeSean Johnson 15 0 0 0 16 10 119 1 27 128 CB Kevin Peterson 174 13 0.1 0.5 123 Trent Sherfield 15 0 0 0 11 6 85 1 18 141 CB Total 2660 192 1 5.4 253 UNIT TEAM STAT Total 90 23 148 1 380 249 2942 20 684 467 S Budda Baker 972 121 1.2 1.4 1 GRADES RANKINGS S Jalen Thompson 839 75 0.3 1.5 44 QB 2.5 Passing S Deionte Thompson 102 8 0.1 0.2 103 RB 1.4 DB 10 TIGHT END RUSHING RECEIVING PPR S Charles Washington 82 7 0.0 0.2 107 WR 3.8 Att 12 Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk S Chris Banjo 20 2 0.0 0.1 132 TE 0.4 Com 10 Dan Arnold 15 0 0 0 43 28 349 3 82 31 S Total 2015 213 2 3.2 387 OL 0.5 Yds 18 Maxx Williams 15 0 0 0 16 12 117 1 30 62 Grand Total 11233 985 39 12 1684 INT 0.3 TD 11 Darrell Daniels 15 0 0 0 5 3 39 0 10 86 EDGE 2.0 INT 14 Total 45 0 0 0 65 43 504 5 121 179 OB LB 2.9 Sack 4 CB 1.1 Rushing S 0.6 Att 20 KICKER FGM FGA FG% XPM XPA XP% Off Rk 17 Yds 7 Zane Gonzalez 25 31 82% 38 42 92% Def Rk 29 TD 11 Ovr Rk 21 Defense PUNTER Att Yds Avg In 20 RETURNS Player Att Yds TD Tackles 3 Andy Lee 69 3249 46.9 25 KR Andy Isabella 28 617 0.2 Sack 15 KR Trent Sherfield 3 69 0.0 INT 22 OFFENSIVE LINE KR Total 31 685 0.2 D/ST 27 D.J. Humphries LT PR Andy Isabella 24 192 0.2 Justin Pugh LG PR Christian Kirk 4 32 0.0 Mason Cole C PR Patrick Peterson 1 11 0.0 J.R. Sweezy RG PR Total 30 235 0.2 Kelvin Beachum RT 2020 Atlanta Falcons Projections QUARTERBACK PASSING RUSHING PPR DEFENSE WEEKLY SCORE PROJECTIONS Player Gm Att Comp Yds TD INT Sk Att Yds TD Pts Rk Pos Player Snap Tkl Sack INT FF Rk Wk Opp Loc Tm Opp Win Prob Matt Ryan 15 599 389 4515 28 12 42 32 125 1 283 8 DI Grady Jarrett 793 67 6.7 0.1 2 1 SEA H 24.0 25.1 46% Matt Schaub 2 30 19 223 1 1 2 1 3 0 13 48 DI Tyeler Davison 559 47 1.6 0.1 41 2 DAL V 22.7 26.9 35% Total 17 629 409 4738 30 13 44 33 128 1 296 56 DI Allen Bailey 458 25 1.6 0.0 93 3 CHI H 23.4 18.4 68% DI Marlon Davidson 295 20 1.3 0.0 106 4 GB V 24.1 25.7 44% DI Deadrin Senat 31 2 0.1 0.0 156 5 CAR H 28.6 21.1 76% RUNNING BACK RUSHING RECEIVING PPR DI Total 2136 160 11.4 0.2 398 6 MIN V 21.5 24.2 40% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk ED Dante Fowler Jr. 783 52 8.4 0.3 20 7 DET H 25.2 24.1 54% Todd Gurley 14 214 871 7 61 45 373 2 223 17 ED Takkarist McKinley 651 34 7.2 0.1 49 8 CAR V 27.4 22.3 68% Brian Hill 14 61 255 1 21 16 131 1 68 67 ED John Cominsky 376 25 3.5 0.1 83 9 DEN H 23.4 21.7 56% Ito Smith 14 46 188 1 18 15 109 1 56 76 ED Charles Harris 122 7 1.0 0.0 127 10 0.0 0.0 Qadree Ollison 14 17 70 1 6 5 36 0 20 102 ED Jacob Tuioti-Mariner 41 3 0.4 0.0 142 11 NO V 22.1 29.3 25% Keith Smith 14 4 15 0 3 2 19 0 7 125 ED Steven Means 31 2 0.3 0.0 146 12 LV H 25.8 22.5 62% Total 71 342 1399 10 108 83 668 4 374 387 ED Total 2003 123 20.8 0.5 567 13 NO H 23.4 27.6 35% LB Deion Jones 925 116 0.9 1.0 27 14 LAC V 22.1 21.7 51% WIDE RECEIVER RUSHING RECEIVING PPR LB Foye Oluokun 437 68 0.4 0.2 65 15 TB H 24.0 25.8 44% Player Gm Att Yds TD Tgt Rec Yds TD Pts Rk LB Mykal Walker 356 48 0.5 0.5 78 16 KC V 24.2 31.1 26% Julio Jones 15 2 11 0 139 89 1241 7 253 3 LB LaRoy Reynolds 224 26 0.5 0.2 92 17 TB V 23.0 27.2 35% Calvin Ridley 15 2 12 0 114 76 1010 7 219 16 LB Total 1942 258 2 1.9 262 Total 385 395 48% Russell Gage 15 4 18 0 78 52 560 4 132 67 CB Isaiah Oliver 814 58 0.1 1.6 53 PROJECTED WINS: 7.7 (NFL RANK: 18) Christian Blake 15 0 0 0 24 15 180 1 41 112 CB A.J.