PUBLIC DISCOURSE in FOREIGN POLICY PSC 4335/ CSS 4353 Spring 2007 M/W 9:30-10:50
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Covert Action to Prevent Realignment by Cullen Gifford Nutt
Sooner Is Better: Covert Action to Prevent Realignment by Cullen Gifford Nutt September 2019 ABSTRACT Why do states intervene covertly in some places and not others? This is a pressing question for theorists and policymakers because covert action is widespread, costly, and consequential. I argue that states wield it—whether by supporting political parties, arming dissidents, sponsoring coups, or assassinating leaders—when they fear that a target is at risk of shifting its alignment toward the state that the intervener considers most threatening. Covert action is a rational response to the threat of realignment. Interveners correctly recognize a window of opportunity: Owing to its circumscribed nature, covert action is more likely to be effective before realignment than after. This means that acting sooner is better. I test this argument in case studies of covert action decision-making by the United States in Indonesia, Iraq, and Portugal. I then conduct a test of the theory’s power in a medium-N analysis of 97 cases of serious consideration of such action by the United States during the Cold War. Interveners, I suggest, do not employ covert action as a result of bias on the part of intelligence agencies. Nor do they use it to add to their power. Rather, states act covertly when they fear international realignment. 1 Chapter 1: Introduction 1. The Puzzle and Its Importance In April 1974, military officers in Portugal overthrew a right-wing dictatorship. A caretaker government under a conservative officer, Antonio Spínola, set elections for March of 1975. But Spínola resigned at the end of September, frustrated with menacing opposition from the left. -
Marshall Plan & Berlin Airlift
Objectives: 1. Explain how the Marshall Plan, the Berlin airlift, and the creation of NATO helped achieve American goals in postwar Europe. 2. Assess the impact of two Communist advances on American foreign policy. 3. Summarize the effects of the cold war on American life. Main Idea: As the cold war intensified, American policy focused on rebuilding and unifying Western Europe. At home, emotionally charged spy cases raised fears of Communist infiltration into American society and government. Marshall Plan & Berlin Airlift • Secretary of State George C. Marshall created an economic plan to rebuild Europe after World War II. The Soviet Union and their Eastern European allies refused to take part in the Marshall Plan, but 16 European countries did accept economic aid from the U.S. ($13 billion over 4 years). • In 1948, to keep people from fleeing communism, Stalin blockaded Berlin. To avoid a war, the U.S. and Britain airlifted supplies to Berlin for 15 months called the Berlin Airlift. 1948 Berlin Airlift NATO & Warsaw Pact In 1949, NATO created a military alliance between 10 Western European countries, the U.S., and Canada. The countries viewed an attack against one country, as an attack against them all. In 1949, China becomes communist and Soviets create their atomic bomb, causing the U.S. to drastically increase peacetime defense spending to enforce Containment. In the 1950s, President Eisenhower will continue with Containment, even though his Secretary of State John Dulles wanted to end communism. The U.S. did not interfere in situations involving Soviet Satellite Nations. President Eisenhower did not want the Cold War to become an actual war. -
Massive Retaliation Charles Wilson, Neil Mcelroy, and Thomas Gates 1953-1961
Evolution of the Secretary of Defense in the Era of MassiveSEPTEMBER Retaliation 2012 Evolution of the Secretary OF Defense IN THE ERA OF Massive Retaliation Charles Wilson, Neil McElroy, and Thomas Gates 1953-1961 Special Study 3 Historical Office Office of the Secretary of Defense Cold War Foreign Policy Series • Special Study 3 Evolution of the Secretary of Defense in the Era of Massive Retaliation Evolution of the Secretary of Defense in the Era of Massive Retaliation Charles Wilson, Neil McElroy, and Thomas Gates 1953-1961 Cover Photos: Charles Wilson, Neil McElroy, Thomas Gates, Jr. Source: Official DoD Photo Library, used with permission. Cover Design: OSD Graphics, Pentagon. Cold War Foreign Policy Series • Special Study 3 Evolution of the Secretary of Defense in the Era of Massive Retaliation Evolution of the Secretary OF Defense IN THE ERA OF Massive Retaliation Charles Wilson, Neil McElroy, and Thomas Gates 1953-1961 Special Study 3 Series Editors Erin R. Mahan, Ph.D. Chief Historian, Office of the Secretary of Defense Jeffrey A. Larsen, Ph.D. President, Larsen Consulting Group Historical Office Office of the Secretary of Defense September 2012 ii iii Cold War Foreign Policy Series • Special Study 3 Evolution of the Secretary of Defense in the Era of Massive Retaliation Contents Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Department of Defense, the Historical Office of the Office of Foreword..........................................vii the Secretary of Defense, Larsen Consulting Group, or any other agency of the Federal Government. Executive Summary...................................ix Cleared for public release; distribution unlimited. -
Truman Doctrine / Marshall Plan, Comecon & Cominform
Cold War Aim: To understand how USA used financial develops… aid to fight Communism in post-war Europe (Marshall Plan) Imagine you were reading this at the breakfast table, have a conversation with your neighbour, what might have been said? How does this headline make you feel? What is it trying to say? Key terms: Before WW2 After WW2 Isolationism: Containment: US policy before WW2 was US policy after WW2 was Isolationism, basically staying Containment (limiting the out of other countries affairs, spread of something), basically especially Europe’s as it is “so stopping the spread of far away” anyway! Communism outside a small number of countries What was the impact of the Truman Doctrine? Kennan’s ’Long Telegram’ confirmed Truman’s worst fears Stalin intended to spread Communism across Europe Truman’s military advisors told Truman the Soviets weren't strong enough to fight the USA. Truman said they didn't need to fight to increase their territories and power. What would you do if you were Truman at this stage? What can you see here, and why might this help Stalin out? Post war damage in Europe • Many European countries were in ruins • Homes, factories, infrastructure (roads, railways) • Poverty increases with anger and desperation Communism is actually quite attractive right now, the wealth of the rich will be redistributed (shared) to help us all, not just the few at the top! I see what Stalin is offering us! So, you see, Stalin doesn't need to go to war, he has a perfect scenario, the people are already discontented, he When you put -
Surprise, Security, and the American Experience Jan Van Tol
Naval War College Review Volume 58 Article 11 Number 4 Autumn 2005 Surprise, Security, and the American Experience Jan van Tol John Lewis Gaddis Follow this and additional works at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review Recommended Citation van Tol, Jan and Gaddis, John Lewis (2005) "Surprise, Security, and the American Experience," Naval War College Review: Vol. 58 : No. 4 , Article 11. Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol58/iss4/11 This Book Review is brought to you for free and open access by the Journals at U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Naval War College Review by an authorized editor of U.S. Naval War College Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen van Tol and Gaddis: Surprise, Security, and the American Experience BOOK REVIEWS HOW COMFORTABLE WILL OUR DESCENDENTS BE WITH THE CHOICES WE’VE MADE TODAY? Gaddis, John Lewis. Surprise, Security, and the American Experience. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Univ. Press, 2004. 150pp. $18.95 John Lewis Gaddis is the Robert A. U.S. history, American assumptions Lovell Professor of History at Yale Uni- about national security were shattered versity and one of the preeminent his- by surprise attack, and each time U.S. torians of American, particularly Cold grand strategy profoundly changed as a War, security policy. Surprise, Security, result. and the American Experience is based on After the British attack on Washington, a series of lectures given by the author D.C., in 1814, John Quincy Adams as in 2002 addressing the implications for secretary of state articulated three prin- American security after the 11 Septem- ciples to secure the American homeland ber attacks. -
1956 Counter-Revolution in Hungary - Words and Weapons
Janos Berecz 1956 Counter-Revolution in Hungary - Words and Weapons - Akademiai Kiado, Budapest 1986 Translated from the second, enlarged and revised edition of Ellenforradalom tollal es fegyverrel 1956. Published by Kossuth Konyvkiado, Budapest, 1981 Translated by Istvan Butykay Translation revised by Charles Coutts ISBN 963 05 4370 2 © Akademiai Kiado, Budapest 1986 Printed in Hungary Contents Preface 7 Chapter 1. Hungary and the International Situation before 1956 9 Chapter 2. The Doctrines of "Containment" and "Libera tion "—Political Warfare (1947-1954) 14 Chapter 3. The First Phase of Operation FOCUS (1954-1955) 25 3.1. The Beginnings of Intervention 25 3.2. The Internal Situation of Hungary 32 3.3. Attack Launched by the External Enemy 43 3.4. Reactivating the Internal Enemy 48 Chapter4. The Second Phase of Operation FOCUS (1956).... 58 4.1. The Bankruptcy of the Dogmatic Leadership of the Party 58 4.2. The Group of Imre Nagy Organizes Itself into Party Opposition 63 4.3. Preparations for a Coordinated Attack 71 4.4. The Situation before the Explosion 77 4.5. The Eve of the Counter-Revolution 83 Chapter 5. The Socialist Forces against Counter-Revolution- ary Revolt and Treachery (From October 23 to November 4,1956) 97 5 5.1. The Preparation of the Demonstration 97 5.2. The First Phase of the Armed Revolt 103 5.3. The Struggle Waged by the Forces Loyal to Socialism 114 5.4. Imre Nagy and Radio Free Europe Call for the With drawal of Soviet Troops 130 5.5. The Second Phase of the Counter-Revolution: Resto ration and "Neutrality" 137 5.6. -
The Rhetorical Antecedents to Vietnam, 1945-1965
Marquette University e-Publications@Marquette College of Communication Faculty Research and Publications Communication, College of 9-1-2018 The Rhetorical Antecedents to Vietnam, 1945-1965 Gregory R. Olson Marquette University George N. Dionisopoulos San Diego State University Steven R. Goldzwig Marquette University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://epublications.marquette.edu/comm_fac Part of the Communication Commons Recommended Citation Olson, Gregory R.; Dionisopoulos, George N.; and Goldzwig, Steven R., "The Rhetorical Antecedents to Vietnam, 1945-1965" (2018). College of Communication Faculty Research and Publications. 511. https://epublications.marquette.edu/comm_fac/511 The Rhetorical Antecedents to Vietnam, 1945–1965 Gregory A. Olson, George N. Dionisopoulos, and Steven R. Goldzwig 8 I do not believe that any of the Presidents who have been involved with Viet- nam, Presidents Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, or President Nixon, foresaw or desired that the United States would become involved in a large scale war in Asia. But the fact remains that a steady progression of small decisions and actions over a period of 20 years had forestalled a clear-cut decision by the President or by the President and Congress—decision as to whether the defense of South Vietnam and involvement in a great war were necessary to the security and best interest of the United States. —Senator John Sherman Cooper (R-KY), Congressional Record, 1970 n his 1987 doctoral thesis, General David Petraeus wrote of Vietnam: “We do not take the time to understand the nature of the society in which we are f ght- Iing, the government we are supporting, or the enemy we are f ghting.”1 After World War II, when the United States chose Vietnam as an area for nation building as part of its Cold War strategy, little was known about that exotic land. -
How Should the United States Confront Soviet Communist Expansionism? DWIGHT D
Advise the President: DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER How Should the United States Confront Soviet Communist Expansionism? DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER Advise the President: DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER Place: The Oval Office, the White House Time: May 1953 The President is in the early months of his first term and he recognizes Soviet military aggression and the How Should the subsequent spread of Communism as the greatest threat to the security of the nation. However, the current costs United States of fighting Communism are skyrocketing, presenting a Confront Soviet significant threat to the nation’s economic well-being. President Eisenhower is concerned that the costs are not Communist sustainable over the long term but he believes that the spread of Communism must be stopped. Expansionism? On May 8, 1953, President Dwight D. Eisenhower has called a meeting in the Solarium of the White House with Secretary of State John Foster Dulles and Treasury Secretary George M. Humphrey. The President believes that the best way to craft a national policy in a democracy is to bring people together to assess the options. In this meeting the President makes a proposal based on his personal decision-making process—one that is grounded in exhaustive fact gathering, an open airing of the full range of viewpoints, and his faith in the clarifying qualities of energetic debate. Why not, he suggests, bring together teams of “bright young fellows,” charged with the mission to fully vet all viable policy alternatives? He envisions a culminating presentation in which each team will vigorously advocate for a particular option before the National Security Council. -
2 the Reform of the Warsaw Pact
Research Collection Working Paper Learning from the enemy NATO as a model for the Warsaw Pact Author(s): Mastny, Vojtech Publication Date: 2001 Permanent Link: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-004148840 Rights / License: In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted This page was generated automatically upon download from the ETH Zurich Research Collection. For more information please consult the Terms of use. ETH Library Zürcher Beiträge zur Sicherheitspolitik und Konfliktforschung Nr.58 Vojtech Mastny Learning from the Enemy NATO as a Model for the Warsaw Pact Hrsg.: Kurt R. Spillmann und Andreas Wenger Forschungsstelle für Sicherheitspolitik und Konfliktanalyse der ETH Zürich CONTENTS Preface 5 Introduction 7 1 The Creation of the Warsaw Pact (1955-65) 9 2The Reform of the Warsaw Pact (1966-69) 19 3 The Demise of the Warsaw Pact (1969-91) 33 Conclusions 43 Abbreviations 45 Bibliography 47 coordinator of the Parallel History Project on NATO and the Warsaw PREFACE Pact (PHP), closely connected with the Center for Security Studies and Conflict Research (CSS) at the ETH Zürich. The CSS launched the PHP in 1999 together with the National Security Archive and the Cold War International History Project in Washington, DC, and the Institute of Military History, in Vienna. In 1955, the Warsaw Pact was created as a mirror image of NATO that could be negotiated away if favorable international conditions allowed Even though the Cold War is over, most military documents from this the Soviet Union to benefit from a simultaneous dissolution of both period are still being withheld for alleged or real security reasons. -
Philatelic Propaganda U.S. Postage Stamps During the Cold War
RESEARCH NOTE Philatelic Propaganda U.S. Postage Stamps during the Cold War ✣ Matin Modarressi After the United States joined with eleven other countries in April 1949 to establish the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), U.S. officials had to convince the public that the formation of NATO was necessary to prevent another world war. This task, they believed, was likely to be difficult. After all, for more than 150 years the U.S. government had heeded George Washing- ton’s warning in his Farewell Address to “steer clear of permanent alliances.” One of the ways policymakers sought to increase public support for NATO was through the issuance of carefully designed postage stamps. Gov- ernments around the world have long recognized the potential for stamps to serve as tiny billboards for informing, educating, influencing, and sometimes even manipulating people. In the United States, proposals for stamp designs are typically considered two to three years in advance, demonstrating how much deliberation and planning goes into each stamp’s creation. During the Cold War, the U.S. Post Office Department (which was a cabinet-level de- partment until 1971) and the U.S. Department of State used stamps to help promote U.S. foreign policy. In 1952, for example, the United States issued a special commemorative stamp on the third anniversary of the formation of NATO. During a cere- mony at the White House, President Harry S. Truman, accompanied by the postmaster general and secretary of state, autographed a sheet of stamps to be presented to the leader of each of the other NATO countries.1 The stamp was then sold at post offices around the country for six months, in place of the regular 3-cent stamp (the domestic letter rate).2 The total number of NATO stamps printed was the second highest in U.S. -
The Marshall Plan and the Beginnings of Comecon
THE MARSHALL PLAN AND THE BEGINNINGS OF COMECON Cristian BENȚE Abstract: The integration of the Eastern-European states into the Soviet Union’s sphere of influence at the end of the Second World War represented a complex process that aimed all the vital sectors in those states. In a relatively short period of time, the political, economic, social and cultural life of the Eastern-European states was radically transformed, according to the models imposed by Moscow. The Soviet Union imposed its control over Eastern Europe because it had strategic, political, military and economic interests in this region. The states in this region became, after the Soviet Union broke relations with its former Western allies, the main suppliers of resources for the recovery of the soviet economy. The soviet control over the Eastern-European economies took many forms: from the brutal transfer of raw materials, finite products and technology during the first years after the war, to more subtle methods, as the establishment of “mixed enterprises”, the initialization of bilateral agreements and finally by establishing the COMECON. The establishment of the COMECON in January 1949 was one of the measures taken by Moscow in order to counteract the effects of the Marshall Plan and to consolidate the Soviet influence in the satellite-states from Eastern Europe. This measure was preceded by other actions meant to strengthen Moscow’s political, economic and ideological control over these states. Keywords: Marshall Plan, COMECON, Cold War economic integration, Iron Curtain The launch of the Marshall Plan in the summer of 1947 and its rejection by the Soviet Union represents a turning point in the evolution of the Cold War. -
February 21, 2010 Transcript
© 2010, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. PLEASE CREDIT ANY QUOTES OR EXCERPTS FROM THIS CBS TELEVISION PROGRAM TO "CBS NEWS' FACE THE NATION." February 21, 2010 Transcript GUEST: GEN. COLIN POWELL Former Secretary of State MODERATOR/ HOST: Mr. BOB SCHIEFFER CBS News This is a rush transcript provided for the information and convenience of the press. Accuracy is not guaranteed. In case of doubt, please check with FACE THE NATION - CBS NEWS (202) 457-4481 TRANSCRIPT BOB SCHIEFFER: Today on FACE THE NATION, an exclusive interview with Colin Powell. He holds a unique place in American life: soldier, diplomat, advisor to both Republican and Democratic Presidents. What does he make of the Washington gridlock? Does he think the system is broken? What would he do to fix it? We'll ask him. Then I'll have a personal thought on why Washington doesn't listen, or does it? It's all next on FACE THE NATION. ANNOUNCER: FACE THE NATION with CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer. And now, from CBS News in Washington, Bob Schieffer. BOB SCHIEFFER: And good morning again. The former secretary of state, the former chairman of the joint chiefs is in the studio with us this morning. General, you do bring a unique perspective to this. You're a Republican but you have held high- level positions under both Republicans and Democrats. And when you announced that you were voting for Barack Obama in 2008, it really got the nation's attention. Here's part of what you said. COLIN POWELL (Former Secretary of State) (Meet the Press, October 19, 2008): Because of his ability to inspire, because of the inclusive nature of his campaign, because he is reaching out all across America, he has both style and substance, he has met the standard of being a successful President, being an exceptional President.