Democratic-Held Districts (20)

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

TIER 1 DEMOCRATIC-HELD DISTRICTS (20) STATE DISTRICT DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE Alabama 02 Bobby Bright Generic Republican Alabama 05 Parker Griffith Generic Republican Colorado 04 Betsy Markey Generic Republican Florida 08 Alan Grayson Generic Republican Florida 24 Suzanne Kosmas Generic Republican Idaho 01 Walt Minnick Generic Republican Maryland 01 Frank Kratovil Generic Republican Mississippi 01 Travis Childers Generic Republican Louisiana 03 Generic Democrat (Melancon) Generic Republican New Hampshire 01 Carol Shea-Porter Generic Republican New Hampshire 02 Generic Democrat (Hodes) Generic Republican New Jersey 03 John Adler Generic Republican New Mexico 02 Harry Teague Generic Republican New York 24 Mike Arcuri Generic Republican New York 29 Eric Massa Generic Republican Ohio 01 Steve Driehaus Generic Republican Ohio 15 Mary Jo Kilroy Generic Republican Pennsylvania 03 Kathy Dahlkemper Generic Republican Virginia 02 Glenn Nye Generic Republican Virginia 05 Tom Perriello Generic Republican TIER 2 DEMOCRATIC-HELD DISTRICTS (20) STATE DISTRICT DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE Arizona 01 Ann Kirkpatrick Generic Republican Arizona 05 Harry Mitchell Generic Republican California 11 Jerry McNerney Generic Republican Georgia 08 Jim Marshall Generic Republican Illinois 11 Debbie Halvorson Generic Republican Illinois 14 Bill Foster Generic Republican Indiana 09 Baron Hill Generic Republican Michigan 07 Mark Schauer Generic Republican Michigan 09 Gary Peters Generic Republican Nevada 03 Dina Titus Generic Republican New Mexico 01 Martin Heinrich Generic Republican New York 13 Mike McMahon Generic Republican New York 19 John Hall Generic Republican New York 20 Scott Murphy Generic Republican North Carolina 08 Larry Kissell Generic Republican Ohio 16 John Boccieri Generic Republican Pennsylvania 07 Generic Democrat (Sestak) Generic Republican Texas 17 Chet Edwards Generic Republican Texas 23 Ciro Rodriguez Generic Republican Wisconsin 08 Steve Kagen Generic Republican .

Copy Link

Recommended publications

Vital Statistics on Congress Chapter 2: Congressional Elections Table of Contents
Vital Statistics on Congress www.brookings.edu/vitalstats Chapter 2: Congressional Elections Table of Contents 2-1 Turnout in Presidential and House Elections, 1930 - 2012 2-2 Popular Vote and House Seats Won by Party, 1946 - 2012 2-3 Net Party Gains in House and Senate Seats, General and Special Elections, 1946 - 2012 2-4 Losses by the President's Party in Midterm Elections, 1862 - 2010 2-5 House Seats That Changed Party, 1954 - 2012 2-6 Senate Seats That Changed Party, 1954 - 2012 2-7 House Incumbents Retired, Defeated, or Reelected, 1946 - 2012 2-8 Senate Incumbents Retired, Defeated, or Reelected, 1946 - 2012 2-9 House and Senate Retirements by Party, 1930 - 2012 2-10 Defeated House Incumbents, 1946 - 2012 2-11 Defeated Senate Incumbents, 1946 - 2012 2-12 House Elections Won with 60 Percent of Major Party Vote, 1956 - 2012 2-13 Senate Elections Won with 60 Percent of Major Party Vote, 1944 - 2008 2-14 Marginal Races Among Members of the 113th Congress, 2012 2-15 Conditions of Initial Election for Members of the 112th Congress, 2011, and 113th Congress, 2013 2-16 Ticket Splitting between Presidential and House Candidates, 1900 - 2012 2-17 District Voting for President and Representative, 1952 - 2012 2-18 Shifts in Democratic Major Party Vote in Congressional Districts, 1956 - 2010 2-19 Party-Line Voting in Presidential and Congressional Elections, 1956 - 2010 Ornstein, Mann, Malbin, Rugg and Wakeman Last updated April 7, 2014 Vital Statistics on Congress www.brookings.edu/vitalstats Turnout in Presidential and House Elections, 1930
[Show full text]
Options and Issues for Nasa's Human Space Flight Program
OPTIONS AND ISSUES FOR NASA’S HUMAN SPACE FLIGHT PROGRAM: REPORT OF THE ‘‘REVIEW OF U.S. HUMAN SPACE FLIGHT PLANS’’ COMMITTEE HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION SEPTEMBER 15, 2009 Serial No. 111–51 Printed for the use of the Committee on Science and Technology ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.science.house.gov U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 51–928PDF WASHINGTON : 2010 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HON. BART GORDON, Tennessee, Chair JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois RALPH M. HALL, Texas EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas F. JAMES SENSENBRENNER JR., LYNN C. WOOLSEY, California Wisconsin DAVID WU, Oregon LAMAR S. SMITH, Texas BRIAN BAIRD, Washington DANA ROHRABACHER, California BRAD MILLER, North Carolina ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan GABRIELLE GIFFORDS, Arizona FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma DONNA F. EDWARDS, Maryland JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois MARCIA L. FUDGE, Ohio W. TODD AKIN, Missouri BEN R. LUJA´ N, New Mexico RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas PAUL D. TONKO, New York BOB INGLIS, South Carolina PARKER GRIFFITH, Alabama MICHAEL T. MCCAUL, Texas STEVEN R. ROTHMAN, New Jersey MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida JIM MATHESON, Utah BRIAN P. BILBRAY, California LINCOLN DAVIS, Tennessee ADRIAN SMITH, Nebraska BEN CHANDLER, Kentucky PAUL C. BROUN, Georgia RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri PETE OLSON, Texas BARON P. HILL, Indiana HARRY E.
[Show full text]
ALABAMA Senators Jeff Sessions (R) Methodist Richard C. Shelby
ALABAMA Senators Jeff Sessions (R) Methodist Richard C. Shelby (R) Presbyterian Representatives Robert B. Aderholt (R) Congregationalist Baptist Spencer Bachus (R) Baptist Jo Bonner (R) Episcopalian Bobby N. Bright (D) Baptist Artur Davis (D) Lutheran Parker Griffith (D) Episcopalian Mike D. Rogers (R) Baptist ALASKA Senators Mark Begich (D) Roman Catholic Lisa Murkowski (R) Roman Catholic Representatives Don Young (R) Episcopalian ARIZONA Senators Jon Kyl (R) Presbyterian John McCain (R) Baptist Representatives Jeff Flake (R) Mormon Trent Franks (R) Baptist Gabrielle Giffords (D) Jewish Raul M. Grijalva (D) Roman Catholic Ann Kirkpatrick (D) Roman Catholic Harry E. Mitchell (D) Roman Catholic Ed Pastor (D) Roman Catholic John Shadegg (R) Episcopalian ARKANSAS Senators Blanche Lincoln (D) Episcopalian Mark Pryor (D) Christian Representatives Marion Berry (D) Methodist John Boozman (R) Baptist Mike Ross (D) Methodist Vic Snyder (D) Methodist CALIFORNIA Senators Barbara Boxer (D) Jewish Dianne Feinstein (D) Jewish Representatives Joe Baca (D) Roman Catholic Xavier Becerra (D) Roman Catholic Howard L. Berman (D) Jewish Brian P. Bilbray (R) Roman Catholic Ken Calvert (R) Protestant John Campbell (R) Presbyterian Lois Capps (D) Lutheran Dennis Cardoza (D) Roman Catholic Jim Costa (D) Roman Catholic Susan A. Davis (D) Jewish David Dreier (R) Christian Scientist Anna G. Eshoo (D) Roman Catholic Sam Farr (D) Episcopalian Bob Filner (D) Jewish Elton Gallegly (R) Protestant Jane Harman (D) Jewish Wally Herger (R) Mormon Michael M. Honda (D) Protestant Duncan Hunter (R) Protestant Darrell Issa (R) Antioch Orthodox Christian Church Barbara Lee (D) Baptist Jerry Lewis (R) Presbyterian Zoe Lofgren (D) Lutheran Dan Lungren (R) Roman Catholic Mary Bono Mack (R) Protestant Doris Matsui (D) Methodist Kevin McCarthy (R) Baptist Tom McClintock (R) Baptist Howard P.
[Show full text]
B-320091 National Aeronautics and Space Administration
United States Government Accountability Office Washington, DC 20548 B-320091 July 23, 2010 Congressional Requesters Subject: National Aeronautics and Space Administration—Constellation Program and Appropriations Restrictions, Part II In a letter dated March 12, 2010, you requested information and our views on whether the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) complied with the Impoundment Control Act of 1974 and with restrictions in the fiscal year 2010 Exploration appropriation when NASA took certain actions pertaining to the Constellation program. Your letter asked us (1) for information regarding the planning activities of NASA staff after the President submitted his fiscal year 2011 budget request; (2) whether NASA complied with the provision in the Exploration appropriation which prohibits the use of the Exploration appropriation to “create or initiate a new program, project or activity;” (3) whether NASA has obligated Exploration appropriations in a manner consistent with the Impoundment Control Act; and (4) whether NASA complied with the provision in the Exploration appropriation which prohibits the use of the Exploration appropriation for “the termination or elimination of any program, project or activity of the architecture for the Constellation program.” We responded to your first two questions in a previous letter. B-319488, May 21, 2010. In that letter, we provided information on planning activities and determined that NASA had not violated the provision in the Exploration appropriation that bars NASA from using the Exploration appropriation to “create or initiate a new program, project or activity.” Id. This letter responds to your third and fourth questions. In addition, we address questions raised by your staff subsequent to your letter regarding potential contract termination costs.
[Show full text]
Extensions of Remarks E1470 HON. TED POE HON. PARKER GRIFFITH HON. BILL PASCRELL, JR. HON. HEATH SHULER
E1470 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — Extensions of Remarks June 17, 2009 Recipient: Idaho State Police HONORING KENNETH WAYNE to Lt. Col. Kenneth A. Reiman for his many Recipient’s Street Address: 700 South Strat- HUDSON years of service to the United States of Amer- ford, Meridian, Idaho 83642 ica. f Description: In 2006, the Idaho State Police HON. TED POE OF TEXAS (ISP) developed and deployed, on a limited TRIBUTE TO WILLIAM JOSEPH IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES basis, a web-based Case Investigative System BURKE, SR., ESQ. (CIS). This tool allows investigators to collect, Wednesday, June 17, 2009 use and share critical law enforcement infor- Mr. POE of Texas. Madam Speaker, I would HON. BILL PASCRELL, JR. mation across the state. CISAnet provides a like to recognize and thank Kenneth Wayne OF NEW JERSEY bi-directional information-sharing network with- Hudson for his service in the United States IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES in and between state and local law enforce- Navy. The hard work and devotion he has Wednesday, June 17, 2009 ment agencies. CISAnet provides ISP and law demonstrated through out his career serves as enforcement across Idaho with real time ac- an example to us all. Kenny has served our Mr. PASCRELL. Madam Speaker, I would cess to criminal intelligence information shared country with courage and honor both at home like to call to your attention the work of an out- standing individual, William ‘‘Bill’’ Joseph by law enforcement partner agencies within and abroad. Burke, Sr., Esq. Mr. Burke will be recognized the states of Alabama, Arizona, California, See Madam Speaker, during the Vietnam on June 16, 2009 with the Ram of the Year Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, War Kenny chose to leave high school before graduating to serve his country.
[Show full text]
Election 2006
APPENDIX: CANDIDATE PROFILES BY STATE We analyzed the fair trade positions of candidates in each race that the Cook Political Report categorized as in play. In the profiles below, race winners are denoted by a check mark. Winners who are fair traders are highlighted in blue text. Alabama – no competitive races___________________________________________ Alaska_________________________________________________________________ Governor OPEN SEAT – incumbent Frank Murkowski (R) lost in primary and was anti-fair trade. As senator, Murkowski had a 100% anti-fair trade voting record. 9 GOP Sarah Palin’s trade position is unknown. • Democratic challenger Tony Knowles is a fair trader. In 2004, Knowles ran against Lisa Murkowski for Senate and attacked her for voting for NAFTA-style trade deals while in the Senate, and for accepting campaign contributions from companies that off-shore jobs.1 Arizona________________________________________________________________ Senate: Incumbent GOP Sen. Jon Kyl. 9 Kyl is anti-fair trade. Has a 100% anti-fair trade record. • Jim Pederson (D) is a fair trader. Pederson came out attacking Kyl’s bad trade record in closing week of campaign, deciding to make off-shoring the closing issue. On Nov. 3 campaign statement: “Kyl has repeatedly voted for tax breaks for companies that ship jobs overseas, and he has voted against a measure that prohibited outsourcing of work done under federally funded contracts,” said Pederson spokesman Kevin Griffis, who added that Pederson “wants more protections [in trade pacts] related to child labor rules and environmental safeguards to help protect U.S. jobs.”2 House Arizona 1: GOP Rep. Rick Renzi incumbent 9 Renzi is anti-fair trade. 100% bad trade vote record.
[Show full text]
Strategic Politicians, Partisan Roll Calls, and the Tea Party: Evaluating the 2010 Midterm Elections
Electoral Studies 32 (2013) 26–36 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Electoral Studies journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/electstud Strategic politicians, partisan roll calls, and the Tea Party: Evaluating the 2010 midterm elections Jamie L. Carson a,*, Stephen Pettigrew b a University of Georgia, 104 Baldwin Hall, Athens, GA 30602-1615, USA b Harvard University, Department of Government, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA article info abstract Article history: The 2010 midterm elections were politically and historically significant in several respects. Received 14 September 2011 This article offers a concise narrative of the congressional elections beginning with Received in revised form 8 August 2012 a discussion of the factors influencing the outcome of the historic election. We briefly Accepted 22 August 2012 consider established research on congressional elections and analyze the degree to which these theories apply to the specific circumstances in 2010. Throughout the article, we Keywords: compare the 2010 midterms to two other recent elections, 2006 and 2008. We also Congressional elections examine several idiosyncratic aspects of the 2010 elections, relative to the historic Midterms Strategic politicians midterm elections of 1994 and 2006, as well as the effects of the stimulus and healthcare fi Tea Party reform bills and the Tea Party movement. We nd strong effects for member votes on the individual roll calls, but little evidence of Tea Party influence on electoral outcomes. Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. The 2010 midterms will likely go down as one of the economic conditions and changes in presidential approval. most historic elections in the modern era.
[Show full text]
435 HOUSE RACES 2006 Pres ’04 House ’04 DISTRICT DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN STATUS K B D R
435 HOUSE RACES 2006 Pres ’04 House ’04 DISTRICT DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN STATUS K B D R THE HOUSE BREAKDOWN: 435 Districts: 202 Democratic, 232 Republican, 1 Independent, 2 vacancies: NJ-13 (D), TX-22 (R) ALABAMA THE BREAKDOWN: 7 Districts. Current lineup: 2 Democratic, 5 Republican CD-1 Southeastern Corner: Vivian Sheffield Beckerle JO BONNER 35% 64% 37% 63% SAFE REPUBLICAN Mobile Attorney Elected in 2002 CD-2 Southeastern: Part of Chuck James TERRY EVERETT 33% 67% 28% 71% SAFE REPUBLICAN Montgomery Professor Elected in 1992 CD-3 Eastern: Anniston, Greg Pierce MIKE ROGERS 41% 58% 39% 61% SAFE REPUBLICAN Auburn Fmr Army Sgt Elected in 2004 CD-4 North Central: Gadsden, Barbara Bobo ROBERT ADERHOLT 28% 71% 75% 25% SAFE REPUBLICAN Jasper Newspaper Publisher Elected in 1996 CD-5 Northern border: Huntsville BUD CRAMER No Republican Candidate 39% 60% 25% 73% SAFE DEMOCRAT Elected in 1990 CD-6 Central: Part of Birmingham No Democratic Candidate SPENCER BACHUS 22% 78% 1% 99% SAFE REPUBLICAN Elected in 1992 CD-7 Western: Parts of Birmingh. & ARTUR DAVIS No Republican Candidate 64% 35% 75% 25% SAFE DEMOCRAT Montgomery Elected in 2002 ALASKA THE BREAKDOWN: 1 District. Current lineup: 0 Democratic, 1 Republican CD-1 Entire State Diane Benson DON YOUNG (R) 36% 61% 22% 71% SAFE REPUBLICAN Author Elected in 1973 . 1 435 HOUSE RACES 2006 Pres ’04 House ’04 DISTRICT DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN STATUS K B D R ARIZONA THE BREAKDOWN: 8 Districts. Current lineup: 2 Democratic, 6 Republican (1 Open seat: Republican) CD-1 Northern & Eastern borders: Ellen Simon RICK RENZI 46% 54% 36% 59% COMPETITIVE Flagstaff Attorney Elected in 2002 CD-2 Western border, Phoenix John Thrasher TRENT FRANKS 38% 61% 39% 59% SAFE REPUBLICAN suburbs: Lake Havasu Retired Teacher Elected in 2002 CD-3 Central, Phoenix suburbs: TBD (race too close to call) JOHN SHADEGG 41% 58% 20% 80% SAFE REPUBLICAN Paradise Valley Primary 9/12 Elected in 1994 CD-4 Central: Phoenix ED PASTOR Don Karg 62% 38% 70% 26% SAFE DEMOCRAT Elected in 1994 Management in Aerospace CD-5 Central: Tempe, Scottsdale Harry Mitchell J.D.
[Show full text]
(Lcongre%% of Tbe 'Mlniteb $Tate% STEVE BUYER
HENRY A. WAXMAN. CALIFORNIA JOE BARTON. TEXAS CHAIRMAN RANKING MEMBER JOHN 0 OING£lL. MICHIGAN ROY BLUNT. MISSOURI CHAIRMAN EMERITUS DEPUTY RANKING MEMBER EDWARD J MARKEY. MASSACHUSETTS RALPH 1.1 HALL TEXAS FRED UPTON. MICHIGAN RICK BOUCHER. VlRG1NIA ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS FRANK PAlLONE• .k. NEW JERSEY CUFF STEARNS. FLORIDA BART GORDON. TENNESSEE ED WHITFI£lD. KENTUClC.Y BOBBY L RUSH. n.UN01S JOHN SHIMKUS. ILUNOIS ANN. G ESHOO. CAUfORNIA JOHN 8. SHADEGG. ARl20NA BART STUPAK. MICHIGAN (lCongre%% of tbe 'mlniteb $tate% STEVE BUYER. INDIANA ELIOT L ENGel. NEW YORK GEORGE RADANQVlCH, CAUFORNIA GENE GREEN. TEXAS JOSEPt1 R PITTS. PENI'-<SYlVANIA DI.NA DlGETTE. COlORADO ~ouse MARY BONO MACK. CAlIFOflNIA VICE CHAJRAfAN of l'epresentiltibes LEE TERRY. NEBRASKA LOIS CAPPS, CALIFORNIA MIKE ROGERS. MICHIGAN MIKE DOYLE. PEI'-<NSYLVANIA SUE WILKINS MYRICK. NORTH CAROLINA JANE HARMAN. CALIFORNIA COMMITIEE ON ENERGY AND COMMERCE JOHN SULUVAN. OKLAHOMA JAN SCHAKo\VSKY.ILUN01S TlM MURPHY. PENNSYLVANIA CHARLES A. GONZALEZ, TEXAS 2125 RAYBURN HOUSE OFFICE BUILDING MICHAEL C BURGESS. TEXAS JAY1NSLEE. WASHINGTON MARSHA BLACKBURN. TENNESSEE TAMMY BALDWIN. WISCONSIN PHIL G1NGREY. GEORGIA MIKE ROSS. ARKANSAS WASHINGTON, DC 20515-6115 STEVE SCALISE, LOUISIANA ANTHONY 0 WEINER. NEW YORK PARKER GRIFFITH. ALABAMA JIM MATHESON. UTAH ROBERTE LATTA. OHIO GK BUTTERF!ELO. NORTH CAROLINA CHARLIE MELANCON, LOUISIANA t, IV (202) 225-2927 JOHN BARROW. GEORGIA fA,CS \' lE (202) 225-2525 BARON P HILL. INOIANA t.' .'OAITY l202j 225-3&1 1 DORIS 0 MATSUI, CAUFORNIA DONNA CHRISTENSEN. VIRGIN ISLANDS energycommerce.house.gov KATHY CASTOR. FLORIDA JOHN SARBANES. /T,\ARYLANO CHRISTOPHER MURPHY. CONNECTlCUT ZACHARY T. SPACE. OHIO JERRY McNERNEY. CALIfORNIA August 31,2010 1438 BETTY SUTTON, OHIO BRUCE BRALEY.
[Show full text]
Intraparty in the US Congress.Pages
UC Berkeley UC Berkeley Electronic Theses and Dissertations Title Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2cd17764 Author Bloch Rubin, Ruth Frances Publication Date 2014 Peer reviewed|Thesis/dissertation eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California ! ! ! ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress ! ! by! Ruth Frances !Bloch Rubin ! ! A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science in the Graduate Division of the University of California, Berkeley ! Committee in charge: Professor Eric Schickler, Chair Professor Paul Pierson Professor Robert Van Houweling Professor Sean Farhang ! ! Fall 2014 ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress ! ! Copyright 2014 by Ruth Frances Bloch Rubin ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Abstract ! Intraparty Organization in the U.S. Congress by Ruth Frances Bloch Rubin Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science University of California, Berkeley Professor Eric Schickler, Chair The purpose of this dissertation is to supply a simple and synthetic theory to help us to understand the development and value of organized intraparty blocs. I will argue that lawmakers rely on these intraparty organizations to resolve several serious collective action and coordination problems that otherwise make it difficult for rank-and-file party members to successfully challenge their congressional leaders for control of policy outcomes. In the empirical chapters of this dissertation, I will show that intraparty organizations empower dissident lawmakers to resolve their collective action and coordination challenges by providing selective incentives to cooperative members, transforming public good policies into excludable accomplishments, and instituting rules and procedures to promote group decision-making.
[Show full text]
The Economy at a Sensitive Juncture Time for Benefits for the Middle Class, Not Premature Credit for a Turnaround
Date: November 3, 2009 To: Friends of Democracy Corps From: Stanley B. Greenberg, James Carville, Andrew Baumann and Jesse Contario The Economy at a Sensitive Juncture Time for Benefits for the Middle Class, Not Premature Credit for a Turnaround With GDP growth having finally returned, but unemployment still rising slowly toward 10 percent, the economy is at a sensitive juncture as an issue for the 2010 elections. Almost half of voters in the 60 most competitive Democratic and Republican congressional districts now rate their personal finances positively and half believe the economic recovery plan passed by Congress and signed by the president will have a positive impact. Yet, only 16 percent have a positive view of the current economy and only a third think the economy is “starting” to improve. Independents are particularly pessimistic on economic issues, with important consequences for the midterm elections. That half in these swing (but Republican-leaning) districts believe that President Obama’s economic recovery plan could help suggests the economy could break in favor of Democrats, but the country is not ready to listen to a narrative about how Democrats have brought the economy “back from the brink” and averted an even worse disaster, as articulated by the president in his joint session address to Congress earlier this year. That leaves a lot of receptivity to Republican messages that focus on wasted spending and exploding deficits. On the other hand, focusing on the specific benefits in the stimulus package that have helped working Americans through the crisis and on rebalancing the economy so it works for the middle class (not just the wealthy) has a much bigger impact and effectively challenges the Republican narrative.
[Show full text]
Political Implications of Medicaid Expansion: a Decision for Five Incumbent Southern Governors Seeking Re-Election in 2014 and 2015
University of Tennessee, Knoxville TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange Supervised Undergraduate Student Research Baker Scholar Projects and Creative Work 5-2016 Political Implications of Medicaid Expansion: A Decision for Five Incumbent Southern Governors Seeking Re-election in 2014 and 2015 Samuel R. Henninger University of Tennessee, Knoxville Follow this and additional works at: https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_bakerschol Recommended Citation Henninger, Samuel R., "Political Implications of Medicaid Expansion: A Decision for Five Incumbent Southern Governors Seeking Re-election in 2014 and 2015" (2016). Baker Scholar Projects. https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_bakerschol/33 This Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Supervised Undergraduate Student Research and Creative Work at TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. It has been accepted for inclusion in Baker Scholar Projects by an authorized administrator of TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Political Implications of Medicaid Expansion: A Decision for Five Incumbent Southern Governors Seeking Re-election in 2014 and 2015 By Samuel R. Henninger A senior thesis submitted to fulfill the requirements of the Howard H. Baker Jr. Policy Scholars Program at The University of Tennessee, Knoxville. May 2016 Thesis Supervisor: Professor William F. Fox Henninger 1 I. Introduction Research Question If winning re-election is the only goal of an incumbent politician, should the governors of five states—Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Tennessee—have accepted Medicaid expansion prior to the Republican primaries in 2014 (AL, GA, SC, TN) and 2015 (MS)? Argument If winning re-election is the only goal of an incumbent politician, the governors of five states—Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Tennessee—should not have accepted Medicaid expansion prior to the Republican primaries in 2014 (AL, GA, SC, TN) and 2015 (MS).
[Show full text]