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The 2013 Italian Election
The 2013 Italian Election A Global Counsel political briefing February 2013 . The Italian election of February 24-25 is becoming increasingly hard to call with any certainty, as the centre-right under Silvio Berlusconi continues to close the gap on the centre-left coalition led by Pier Luigi Bersani. Berlusconi’s Lazarus-like return remains this election’s wildcard. The centre-left is most likely to win in the Camera, but the crucial Senate election will be decided by races in Lombardy and Sicily which both look too close to predict. A Berlusconi victory in either would force Bersani into a complicated coalition negotiation with Mario Monti’s centrist coalition. Personality and policy will both be important. A Bersani-led coalition promises a high level of continuity with the agenda pursued by Monti’s technocratic government over the last fourteen months. Bersani is a pragmatic social democrat with a record in government of product market reform. Bersani has pledged to lower payroll taxes, reduce Italy’s property taxes and widen economic participation among women. A Bersani government is unlikely to take leftist gestures like Hollande’s 75% top tax rate, but neither will it introduce sweeping liberalisation. On the European level a Bersani government will be a strong potential ally for Paris. Bersani sees himself as pro-European and has deliberately distanced himself from anti-German rhetoric on the campaign trail. His support for tougher European oversight of national budgets will win him friends in Berlin. His views on the need for debt mutualisation in the Eurozone will not. For the markets, continuity will matter. -
Sondaggi Ed Elezioni.Pdf
a cura di Ilvo Diamanti Luigi Ceccarini Sondaggi ed elezioni Le regole del gioco e della comunicazione XI Convegno Internazionale SISE Pordenone, 13-14 marzo 2013 © SISE, Società Italiana di Studi Elettorali www.studielettorali.it Prima edizione ottobre 2013 Pubblicato da SISE – Firenze (Italy) ISBN 978-88-907-8181-0 Indice Introduzione, di Ilvo Diamanti x Note dei partecipanti alla tavola rotonda, di Antonio di Bella, Ilvo Diamanti, Nando Pagnoncelli, Eric Jozsef e Reimar Zeh xiii Parte prima I SONDAGGI PRE-ELETTORALI 1. La capacità predittiva dei sondaggi pre-elettorali pubblicati in occasione delle elezioni politiche italiane del 2013, di Giancarlo Gasperoni 2 2. Pre-election poll accuracy: meta-analysis as multilevel approach, di Rosario D'Agata e Venera Tomaselli 23 3. I sondaggi verso le elezioni politiche del 2013, di Maurizio Pessato 39 Parte seconda COMUNICAZIONE ED ELEZIONI 4. Problematica costituzionale della diffusione dei sondaggi elettorali, di Leonardo Bianchi 51 5. Diffusione di sondaggi e campagna elettorale: definizioni più certe, contesti più indefiniti, di Marina Caporale 64 v 6. Menzogna politica, fra immaginazione e insegne pubblicitarie: una riflessione filosofico-politica, di Orsola Goisis 89 7. Alla prova dei fatti? Elezioni 2013, crisi economica e informazione politica in Italia, di Marco Calabrò 99 Parte terza LA CAMPAGNA ELETTORALE 8. Usi e condizioni delle strategie elettorali: il caso del “negative campaigning”, di Luca Cordani 123 9. Una campagna «emblematica»: il rapporto tra simboli di lista, media e propaganda, di Gabriele Maestri 139 10. Modelli di campagna elettorale e consulenza politica. Un focus sui parlamentari siciliani, di Rossana Sampugnaro e Francesca Montemagno 153 Parte quarta SOCIAL MEDIA ED ELEZIONI 11. -
The Sanders Moment and After
THE SANDERS MOMENT AND AFTER SOCIALIST STRATEGY AND STATE CRISIS 1 The Sanders Moment and After: Socialist Strategy and State Crisis Edited by Stephen Maher and Rafael Khachaturian. Layout by Niko Block. Published October 2020 by the Socialist Project Toronto, Ontario, Canada. socialistproject.ca THE SANDERS MOMENT AND AFTER Socialist Strategy and State Crisis From the Streets to the State and Back Again: Learning From the Sanders Moment 6 Stephen Maher and Rafael Khachaturian I. The Political Crisis Working Classes and the Rise of the New Right: Socialist Politics in the Era of Trump 18 Socialist Project Accountable Capitalism or Democratic Socialism? 24 Stephen Maher Why is There Now Socialism in the United States? 34 Ingar Solty II. Organizational Questions By Party or By Formation 43 Seth Adler The American Left Resurgent: Prospects and Tensions 62 Rafael Khachaturian and Sean Guillory Search for a Mass Politics: The DSA Beyond Bernie 79 Sarah Mason and Robert Cavooris Three Measures Against Racist Policing 92 April M. Short III. New Labour Formations The Political Revolution Goes to Work 105 Jane Slaughter Teachers’ Strikes: A New Class Politics Emerging 116 Eric Blanc Green New Deals: Climate Movements and Labour Unions 126 Alleen Brown with Jane McAlevey IV. Social Crises Global Capitalism, Global Pandemic, and the Struggle for Socialism 132 Stephen Maher and Rafael Khachaturian Racism, COVID-19, and the Fight for Economic Justice 142 Marty Hart-Lansberg The California Disaster: What is the Link Between Wildfires and the Coronavirus? 150 Christoph Hermann Political Openings: Class Struggle During and After the Pandemic 156 Sam Gindin About the Socialist Project 175 4 Note on the Text Citations for these articles can be found in their online versions. -
Download/Print the Study in PDF Format
GENERAL ELECTIONS IN ITALY 04th March 2018 European The right running favourite in the Elections monitor Italian parliamentary election on 4th 1) Analysis : page 01 to 08 2) Résults : page 09 to 11 March next. Corinne Deloy On 28th December last the President of the Italian Republic, Sergio Mattarella dissolved the parliament (Assembly and Senate) and convened parliamentary elections on 4th March next. According to the Constitution these must be organised within 40 to 70 days after the dissolution. Analysis Three camps face each other in these parliamentary elections. On the one side there is the right- wing, represented by Forza Italia (FI), the party of former President of the Council (1994-1995, 2001-2006 and 2008-2011) Silvio Berlusconi, the Northern League (LN) led by Matteo Salvini, and the Brothers of Italy (FdI) led by Giorgia Meloni; on the other there is the left-wing, whose main movement, the Democratic Party (PD) led by Matteo Renzi, to which the present head of government Paolo Gentiloni belongs. The third camp is the 5 Stars Movement (M5S) founded by Beppe Grillo, an undefinable populist party which is rejecting any coalition with the other parties and led at present by Luigi di Maio. According to the most recent poll by Tecne, published at the end of January, the M5S is due to come out ahead with 27.8% of the vote. It is forecast to beat the Democratic Party, which is due to win 22.2% of the vote, Forza Italia, 18.3%, the (Northern) League, 12.8% and the Brothers of Italy, 5.1%. -
Understanding Intra-Party Politics Through Text Analysis of Social Media: Three Applications to the Italian Case
CERGU’S WORKING PAPER SERIES 2016:3 Understanding Intra-Party Politics through Text Analysis of Social Media: Three applications to the Italian case Andrea Ceron ___________________________________ Centre for European Research (CERGU) University of Gothenburg Box 711, SE 405 30 GÖTEBORG January 2016 © 2016 by Ceron. All rights reserved. This paper was presented at The Workshop on Intra-Party Politics in Gothen- burg 17-18 September 2015. The workshop was co-organized by CERGU and the Party Research Network, with the support of the Swedish Research Council and the Swedish Network for European Studies in Political Science. Papers in the workshop focused on three aspects of the internal dynamics of political parties; sources of information on internal party politics, addressing and recon- ciling disagreements within political parties, and the electoral or other ramifica- tions of internal tensions or divisions within parties. Understanding intra-party politics through text analysis of social media: Three applications to the Italian case. Andrea Ceron (University of Milan) [email protected] Introduction Although some scholars claim that unity is a source of party’s strength, we hardly ever observe perfect cohesion within political parties. The party is by no means a monolithic structure as it is composed by politicians retaining similar but non-identical preferences. Those sharing the most similar views often cluster together and form party factions, in order to shape the party strategy and maximize their own share of benefits. Given this premise, the fact that many parties all over the world are factionalized comes as no surprise, particularly because factionalism is not necessarily damaging to the party’s fortune (Boucek, 2012). -
Inside the Secret Garden of Political Parties. Transformations and Reactions to Primary Elections in Italy and France
Deliberative and Participatory Democracy: Theory and Practice Stanford University – May 30-31, 2014 Inside the secret garden of political parties. Transformations and reactions to primary elections in Italy and France Martin Baloge, University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne ([email protected]) Giuliano Bobba, University of Turin ([email protected]) Marino De Luca, University of Cagliari ([email protected]) Antonella Seddone, University of Cagliari ([email protected]) Abstract: Primary elections are becoming quite spread within no-US political context. Many political parties in different countries choose to adopt such inclusive methods to select their candidates for general elections. Thus, primary elections have been re-adapted to different political systems, in order to fit with different party’s specific features. This implied a re-definition of the very concept of primary both in terms of procedures and in terms of political meaning. This paper aims to understand the promotion of party primaries in two EU countries: Italy and France. The two countries have implemented open primaries adopting the maximum level of inclusiveness. This paper will focus on the public debate about these two case studies in order to clarify which were the meaning and the political value of the primary contests in 2011 (France) and 2012 (Italy). Keywords: Candidate Selections, Political Parties, Public Debate, Italian Politics, French Politics, Media, Political Participation, Elections, Legitimation. Paper prepared for the project ‘Is Representative Democracy in Crisis? Research Review and Research Perspectives in France and Italy’ 1. Introduction: Why studying primaries? United States could be considered as the birthplace of primary elections (Ware 2002), even though, within the States, it is possible to find a wide variety of systems and procedures, which overall make it difficult to find an ideal type of primary election. -
Introduction the Year of the Bulldozer
IntroductIon The Year of the Bulldozer Chris Hanretty and Stefania Profeti In the summer of 2010, in an interview given to the newspaper La Repubblica, the then little-known mayor of Florence, Matteo Renzi, erupted onto the political scene by claiming that it was time for the Partito Democratico (PD, Democratic Party) to take a large number of the party’s leading figures to task—or, to use the phrase that would soon become a battle cry, to “bulldoze” (rottamare) them from the picture.1 The interview was considered by many in the party to be arrogant and excessively self-aggrandizing—or at least incautious. Yet from that moment on, and probably thanks to this message, Renzi has been able to capture to an ever-greater degree the dissatisfaction and frustrations of a large number of center-left activists and sympathiz- ers, while attracting the curiosity of a large number of Italians of all political persuasions. From the conventions organized at the Leopolda station in Flor- ence in 2010 and 2011, through the decision to run for the role of the party’s prime ministerial candidate in 2012, to his victory in the party leadership election at the end of 2013, the “bulldozer’s” path toward the top of Italian politics has been awkward and prone to setbacks, but at the same time irresistible. Renzi’s attacks on the leadership and the stagnation of the majority of the PD; the (sometimes personal) disagreements with historic leaders of the party and with the unions; the public declarations, which occasionally fell out of sync with the mainstream of the Italian left—all these have helped Renzi succeed in Italian Politics: The Year of the Bulldozer 30 (2015): 29–49 © Berghahn Books doi:10.3167/ip.2015.300103 30 Chris Hanretty and Stefania Profeti becoming a reference point for those groups within the Democratic Party who did not come from the old Left Democrats. -
Intra-Party Politics and Party System Factional Conflict, Cooperation and Fission Within Italian Parties
UNIVERSITA` DEGLI STUDI DI MILANO Graduate School in Social and Political Sciences Dipartimento di Studi Sociali e Politici Dottorato di ricerca in Studi Politici, ciclo XXIV Tesi di dottorato Intra-party Politics and Party System Factional Conflict, Cooperation and Fission within Italian Parties Settore Scientifico-Disciplinare: SPS/04 Autore: Andrea Ceron Tutor: Prof. Luigi Curini Coordinatore del dottorato: Prof. Marco Giuliani ANNO ACCADEMICO 2010-2011 ii Tutor: Prof. Luigi Curini University of Milan Doctoral Committee Prof. Kenneth Benoit London School of Economics (LSE) Prof. Thomas Konig¨ Mannheim Centre for European Social Research (MZES) Prof. Paolo Martelli University of Milan iii iv Acknowledgements First and foremost I offer my deepest gratitude to my supervisor, Prof. Luigi Curini, who supported me with his expertise throughout my dissertation. I would like to sincerely thank him for his guidance, carried out with patience and respect. He has always been there to discuss any major concern and to help me solving any trouble I faced during the work. His hints and suggestions leaded me to constantly improve my research. Despite his many commitments, prof. Curini has always found a way to supervise my work with accuracy, even when we were several time zones away from each other. Far from any rhetoric, I have really much appreciated his helpfulness. I am also grateful to some other people who gave me suggestions about how to improve the present work. In particular, I would like to thank Prof. Paolo Martelli who devoted time to revising one chapter of the present work, giving me useful ideas to clarify some aspects of the dissertation before writing the final handout.