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Report of the Commission on the Scientific Case for Human Space Exploration
1 ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY Burlington House, Piccadilly London W1J 0BQ, UK T: 020 7734 4582/ 3307 F: 020 7494 0166 [email protected] www.ras.org.uk Registered Charity 226545 Report of the Commission on the Scientific Case for Human Space Exploration Professor Frank Close, OBE Dr John Dudeney, OBE Professor Ken Pounds, CBE FRS 2 Contents (A) Executive Summary 3 (B) The Formation and Membership of the Commission 6 (C) The Terms of Reference 7 (D) Summary of the activities/meetings of the Commission 8 (E) The need for a wider context 8 (E1) The Wider Science Context (E2) Public inspiration, outreach and educational Context (E3) The Commercial/Industrial context (E4) The Political and International context. (F) Planetary Science on the Moon & Mars 13 (G) Astronomy from the Moon 15 (H) Human or Robotic Explorers 15 (I) Costs and Funding issues 19 (J) The Technological Challenge 20 (J1) Launcher Capabilities (J2) Radiation (K) Summary 23 (L) Acknowledgements 23 (M) Appendices: Appendix 1 Expert witnesses consulted & contributions received 24 Appendix 2 Poll of UK Astronomers 25 Appendix 3 Poll of Public Attitudes 26 Appendix 4 Selected Web Sites 27 3 (A) Executive Summary 1. Scientific missions to the Moon and Mars will address questions of profound interest to the human race. These include: the origins and history of the solar system; whether life is unique to Earth; and how life on Earth began. If our close neighbour, Mars, is found to be devoid of life, important lessons may be learned regarding the future of our own planet. 2. While the exploration of the Moon and Mars can and is being addressed by unmanned missions we have concluded that the capabilities of robotic spacecraft will fall well short of those of human explorers for the foreseeable future. -
Forthcoming Changes in the Global Satellite Observing Systems Mitch Goldberg, NOAA Outline
Forthcoming changes in the Global Satellite Observing Systems Mitch Goldberg, NOAA Outline Overview of CGMS and CEOS. Overview of the key satellite observations for NWP Discuss satellite agencies plans for these key observations Short overview emerging observations or technology which we need to pay attention to. Summary Members: CMA CNES CNSA ESA EUMETSAT IMD IOC/UNESCO JAXA JMA KMA NASA ROSCOSMOS ROSHYRDOMET WMO Observers: CSA EC ISRO KARI KORDI SOA Strategy for addressing key satellite data Begin with WIGOS 5th Workshop of the Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP (Sedona Report). UKMO impact report: Impact of Metop and other satellite data within the Met Office global NWP system using a forecast adjoint-based sensitivity method- Feb 2012, tech repot #562 and MWR October 2013 paper Recall key observation types for NWP Compare with what space agencies are planning to provide continuity and enhancements to these observing types. Make use of the WMO OSCAR database Time scale between now and 2030. Sedona Report Observations contributing to the largest reduction of forecast errors are those observations with vertical information (temperature, water vapor). The single instrument with the largest impact is hyperspectral IR Microwave dominates because of the number of satellites and ability to view thru low water content clouds. However, there is now no single, dominating satellite sensor. GPSRO shows good impact, and largest impact per observation Atmospheric Motion Vector Winds and Scatterometers are single level data and have modest impacts Concerns about the declining number of observations into the future – mostly due to the replacement of 2 year life satellites with 7 years (e.g. -
Lara (Lander Radioscience) on the Exomars 2020 Surface Platform
EPSC Abstracts Vol. 13, EPSC-DPS2019-891-1, 2019 EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2019 c Author(s) 2019. CC Attribution 4.0 license. LaRa (Lander Radioscience) on the ExoMars 2020 Surface Platform. Véronique Dehant1,2, Sébastien Le Maistre1, Rose-Marie Baland1, Özgür Karatekin1, Marie-Julie Péters1, Attilio Rivoldini1, Tim Van Hoolst1, Bart Van Hove1, Marie Yseboodt1, and Alexander Kosov3 (1) Royal Observatory of Belgium (ROB), Brussels, Belgium, (2) Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, (3) Space Research Institute Russian Academy of Sciences (IKI), Moscow, Russia Abstract The surface platform Kazachok will house the radio science experiment LaRa (Lander Radioscience) to support specific scientific objectives of the ExoMars 2020 mission. The LaRa experiment is described and the scientific objectives and strategies are detailed in this presentation. Figure 1. LaRa principle. 1. Introduction 2. The LaRa instrument In the last decade, several missions and observations As LaRa performs a coherent retransmission of the have brought new data on the planet Mars, obtained uplink carrier to the downlink carrier, the downlink by either spacecraft orbiting around Mars or landers frequency is scaled by a constant multiplier, the and rovers on the surface. Among other things, the transponder ratio (880/749). By emitting the uplink information acquired will improve our understanding signal from Earth, the masers in the ground stations of Mars’ interior, evolution and habitability. Data ensure frequency stability of LaRa’s radiosignal. obtained by new space missions are driving further The LaRa instrument is built in collaboration with progress in this field. In 2020, the European Space other Belgian actors under the lead of ESA PRODEX, Agency ESA and the Russian space agency and ROB providing the instrument specifications. -
New Voyage to Rendezvous with a Small Asteroid Rotating with a Short Period
Hayabusa2 Extended Mission: New Voyage to Rendezvous with a Small Asteroid Rotating with a Short Period M. Hirabayashi1, Y. Mimasu2, N. Sakatani3, S. Watanabe4, Y. Tsuda2, T. Saiki2, S. Kikuchi2, T. Kouyama5, M. Yoshikawa2, S. Tanaka2, S. Nakazawa2, Y. Takei2, F. Terui2, H. Takeuchi2, A. Fujii2, T. Iwata2, K. Tsumura6, S. Matsuura7, Y. Shimaki2, S. Urakawa8, Y. Ishibashi9, S. Hasegawa2, M. Ishiguro10, D. Kuroda11, S. Okumura8, S. Sugita12, T. Okada2, S. Kameda3, S. Kamata13, A. Higuchi14, H. Senshu15, H. Noda16, K. Matsumoto16, R. Suetsugu17, T. Hirai15, K. Kitazato18, D. Farnocchia19, S.P. Naidu19, D.J. Tholen20, C.W. Hergenrother21, R.J. Whiteley22, N. A. Moskovitz23, P.A. Abell24, and the Hayabusa2 extended mission study group. 1Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA ([email protected]) 2Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Kanagawa, Japan 3Rikkyo University, Tokyo, Japan 4Nagoya University, Aichi, Japan 5National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Tokyo, Japan 6Tokyo City University, Tokyo, Japan 7Kwansei Gakuin University, Hyogo, Japan 8Japan Spaceguard Association, Okayama, Japan 9Hosei University, Tokyo, Japan 10Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea 11Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan 12University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 13Hokkaido University, Hokkaido, Japan 14University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Fukuoka, Japan 15Chiba Institute of Technology, Chiba, Japan 16National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, Iwate, Japan 17National Institute of Technology, Oshima College, Yamaguchi, Japan 18University of Aizu, Fukushima, Japan 19Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA 20University of Hawai’i, Manoa, HI, USA 21University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA 22Asgard Research, Denver, CO, USA 23Lowell Observatory, Flagstaff, AZ, USA 24NASA Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX, USA 1 Highlights 1. -
Planetary Science Division Status Report
Planetary Science Division Status Report Jim Green NASA, Planetary Science Division January 26, 2017 Astronomy and Astrophysics Advisory CommiBee Outline • Planetary Science ObjecFves • Missions and Events Overview • Flight Programs: – Discovery – New FronFers – Mars Programs – Outer Planets • Planetary Defense AcFviFes • R&A Overview • Educaon and Outreach AcFviFes • PSD Budget Overview New Horizons exploresPlanetary Science Pluto and the Kuiper Belt Ascertain the content, origin, and evoluFon of the Solar System and the potenFal for life elsewhere! 01/08/2016 As the highest resolution images continue to beam back from New Horizons, the mission is onto exploring Kuiper Belt Objects with the Long Range Reconnaissance Imager (LORRI) camera from unique viewing angles not visible from Earth. New Horizons is also beginning maneuvers to be able to swing close by a Kuiper Belt Object in the next year. Giant IcebergsObjecve 1.5.1 (water blocks) floatingObjecve 1.5.2 in glaciers of Objecve 1.5.3 Objecve 1.5.4 Objecve 1.5.5 hydrogen, mDemonstrate ethane, and other frozenDemonstrate progress gasses on the Demonstrate Sublimation pitsDemonstrate from the surface ofDemonstrate progress Pluto, potentially surface of Pluto.progress in in exploring and progress in showing a geologicallyprogress in improving active surface.in idenFfying and advancing the observing the objects exploring and understanding of the characterizing objects The Newunderstanding of Horizons missionin the Solar System to and the finding locaons origin and evoluFon in the Solar System explorationhow the chemical of Pluto wereunderstand how they voted the where life could of life on Earth to that pose threats to and physical formed and evolve have existed or guide the search for Earth or offer People’sprocesses in the Choice for Breakthrough of thecould exist today life elsewhere resources for human Year forSolar System 2015 by Science Magazine as exploraon operate, interact well as theand evolve top story of 2015 by Discover Magazine. -
Potential Resources on and from the Asteroids/Comets; Threats
ASTEROIDS AND COMETS: POTENTIAL RESOURCES LECTURE 21 NEEP 533 HARRISON H. SCHMITT EROS C-TYPE NASA/NEAR SHOEMAKER/APL 11X11X34 KM ASTEROIDS IN GENERAL 1.3 GM/CM3 MAIN BELT ASTEROIDS BETWEEN JUPITER AND MARS NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS SOME MAY BE SPENT COMETS EARTH CROSSING ASTEROIDS SOME MAY BE SPENT COMETS “CENTAUR” ASTEROIDS BETWEEN JUPITER AND URANUS CHIRON, 1979 VA, AND 133P/ELST-PIZARRO ALSO HAVE COMET- LIKE BEHAVIOR “TROJAN” ASTEROIDS JUPITER’S ORBIT AND CONTROLLED BY IT GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS RUBBLE PILES (?) NO ASTEROID >150M ROTATES FASTER THAN ONE REVOLUTION PER 2 HOURS CALCULATED LIMIT FOR RUBBLE TO STAY TOGETHER 1998 KY26 IS 30M IN DIAMETER, ROTATES IN 10.7 MIN. AND MAY BE SOLID MAY BE A TRANSITION IN ORBITAL CHARACTERISTICS AND / OR COMPOSITION BETWEEN SOME ASTEROIDS AND COMETS • S-TYPE OTHER ASTEROIDS – INNER ASTEROID BELT – EVIDENCE OF HEATING AND DIFFERENTIATION – 29 TELESCOPIC SPECTRA (Binzel, et al., 1996) • INTERMEDIATE BETWEEN S-TYPE AND ORDINARY CHONDRITES – 1. DISTINCT ROCK TYPES VS DIVERSE LARGER BODIES – 2. ABUNDANCE OF OPAQUE MATERIALS – 3. FRESH SURFACES (MOST LIKELY) • BASALTIC ACHONDRITES (6%) – 4 VESTA AT 2.36 AU [MAIN BELT PARENT (?)] – TOUTATIS - NEA (RADAR STUDY) • 4.5X2.4X1.9KM, 2.1 GM/CM3, TWO ROTATIONS, I.E., TUMBLING (5.4 AND 7.3 DAYS) – 1459 MAGNYA AT 3.15 AU [FRAGMENT OF LARGER BODY (?)] EROS • (Lazzaro, et al, 2000, Science, 288) C-TYPE (REVISED BY GRS DATA) 11X11X33 KM 2.7 GM/CM3 5.27 HR ROTATION NASA/NEAR SHOEMAKER/APL OTHER ASTEROIDS • D-TYPE CARBONACEOUS CHONDRITE (BEYOND MAIN BELT ASTEROIDS) – TAGISH -
XIII Publications, Presentations
XIII Publications, Presentations 1. Refereed Publications E., Kawamura, A., Nguyen Luong, Q., Sanhueza, P., Kurono, Y.: 2015, The 2014 ALMA Long Baseline Campaign: First Results from Aasi, J., et al. including Fujimoto, M.-K., Hayama, K., Kawamura, High Angular Resolution Observations toward the HL Tau Region, S., Mori, T., Nishida, E., Nishizawa, A.: 2015, Characterization of ApJ, 808, L3. the LIGO detectors during their sixth science run, Classical Quantum ALMA Partnership, et al. including Asaki, Y., Hirota, A., Nakanishi, Gravity, 32, 115012. K., Espada, D., Kameno, S., Sawada, T., Takahashi, S., Ao, Y., Abbott, B. P., et al. including Flaminio, R., LIGO Scientific Hatsukade, B., Matsuda, Y., Iono, D., Kurono, Y.: 2015, The 2014 Collaboration, Virgo Collaboration: 2016, Astrophysical Implications ALMA Long Baseline Campaign: Observations of the Strongly of the Binary Black Hole Merger GW150914, ApJ, 818, L22. Lensed Submillimeter Galaxy HATLAS J090311.6+003906 at z = Abbott, B. P., et al. including Flaminio, R., LIGO Scientific 3.042, ApJ, 808, L4. Collaboration, Virgo Collaboration: 2016, Observation of ALMA Partnership, et al. including Asaki, Y., Hirota, A., Nakanishi, Gravitational Waves from a Binary Black Hole Merger, Phys. Rev. K., Espada, D., Kameno, S., Sawada, T., Takahashi, S., Kurono, Lett., 116, 061102. Y., Tatematsu, K.: 2015, The 2014 ALMA Long Baseline Campaign: Abbott, B. P., et al. including Flaminio, R., LIGO Scientific Observations of Asteroid 3 Juno at 60 Kilometer Resolution, ApJ, Collaboration, Virgo Collaboration: 2016, GW150914: Implications 808, L2. for the Stochastic Gravitational-Wave Background from Binary Black Alonso-Herrero, A., et al. including Imanishi, M.: 2016, A mid-infrared Holes, Phys. -
Journal Issue 26 | October 2019
journal Issue 26 | October 2019 Communicating Astronomy with the Public Spotlighting a Black Hole What did it take to create the largest outreach campaign for an astronomical result? Tactile Subaru A project to make telescope technology accessible Naming ExoWorlds Update on the IAU100 NameExoWorlds campaign www.capjournal.org As part of the 100th anniversary commemorations, the International Astronomical Union (IAU) is organising the IAU100 NameExoWorlds global competition to allow any country in the world to give a popular name to a selected exoplanet and its News News host star. The final results of the competion will be announced in Decmeber 2019. Credit: IAU/L. Calçada. Editorial Welcome to the 26th edition of the CAPjournal! To start off, the first part of 2019 brought in a radical new era in astronomy with the first ever image showing a shadow of a black hole. For CAPjournal #26, part of the team who collaborated on the promotion of this image hs written a piece to show what it took to produce one of the largest astronomy outreach campaigns to date. We also highlight two other large outreach campaigns in this edition. The first is a peer-reviewed article about the 2016 solar eclipse in Indonesia from the founder of the astronomy website lagiselatan, Avivah Yamani. Next, an update on NameExoWorlds, the largest IAU100 campaign, as we wait for the announcement of new names for the ExoWorlds in December. Additionally, this issue touches on opportunities for more inclusive astronomy. We bring you a peer-reviewed article about outreach for inclusion by Dr. Kumiko Usuda-Sato and the speech “Diversity Across Astronomy Can Further Our Research” delivered by award-winning astronomy communicator Dr. -
Curriculum Vitae - 24 March 2020
Dr. Eric E. Mamajek Curriculum Vitae - 24 March 2020 Jet Propulsion Laboratory Phone: (818) 354-2153 4800 Oak Grove Drive FAX: (818) 393-4950 MS 321-162 [email protected] Pasadena, CA 91109-8099 https://science.jpl.nasa.gov/people/Mamajek/ Positions 2020- Discipline Program Manager - Exoplanets, Astro. & Physics Directorate, JPL/Caltech 2016- Deputy Program Chief Scientist, NASA Exoplanet Exploration Program, JPL/Caltech 2017- Professor of Physics & Astronomy (Research), University of Rochester 2016-2017 Visiting Professor, Physics & Astronomy, University of Rochester 2016 Professor, Physics & Astronomy, University of Rochester 2013-2016 Associate Professor, Physics & Astronomy, University of Rochester 2011-2012 Associate Astronomer, NOAO, Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory 2008-2013 Assistant Professor, Physics & Astronomy, University of Rochester (on leave 2011-2012) 2004-2008 Clay Postdoctoral Fellow, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics 2000-2004 Graduate Research Assistant, University of Arizona, Astronomy 1999-2000 Graduate Teaching Assistant, University of Arizona, Astronomy 1998-1999 J. William Fulbright Fellow, Australia, ADFA/UNSW School of Physics Languages English (native), Spanish (advanced) Education 2004 Ph.D. The University of Arizona, Astronomy 2001 M.S. The University of Arizona, Astronomy 2000 M.Sc. The University of New South Wales, ADFA, Physics 1998 B.S. The Pennsylvania State University, Astronomy & Astrophysics, Physics 1993 H.S. Bethel Park High School Research Interests Formation and Evolution -
NASA's Dragonfly Program: Commercialized Robotics
35th Space Symposium, Technical Track, Colorado Springs, Colorado, United States of America Presented on April 8th, 2019 NASA’s Dragonfly Program: Commercialized Robotics - Enabling a New Generation of Evolvable, Resilient Assets in Orbit John Lymer Maxar† Abstract Commercialized, affordable robotics for in-space assembly of large platforms and structures are being prepared for flight in 2021. Integrating easily with standard GEO and LEO satellite command and control architectures, these automation systems enable a new operating paradigm for on-orbit assets – one that includes incremental growth, on-demand payload refresh to match user needs, and in-situ warehousing for rapid expansion, augmentation, or dispersion on a timeline independent of launch. Introduction The Dragonfly Robotic System, developed first as a DARPA seedling and then maturing through the NASA Tipping Point Program, successfully completed a ground demonstration in late 2017, shown in Figure 1 assembling a Ka band antenna. Critical Design Review occurred in 2018. Ultra-lightweight and affordable, the Dragonfly Robotic System is designed to fit into existing satellite command and data handling (C&DH) subsystems and low rate command/telemetry links for inexpensive integration – it behaves like any other satellite subsystem. The supervised autonomy operating concept facilitates command and control from a standard Mission Operations Center. Current satellite operations personnel can plan and execute robotic operations with only minor additional training. Dragonfly represents the first ‘commercialized’ robotic system – affordable and accessible to satellite owners without the risk of infrastructure changes. † The operations of DigitalGlobe, SSL and Radiant Solutions were unified under the Maxar brand in February. MDA continues to operate as an independent business unit within the Maxar organization. -
Astronomy News KW RASC FRIDAY JANUARY 8 2021
Astronomy News KW RASC FRIDAY JANUARY 8 2021 JIM FAIRLES What to expect for spaceflight and astronomy in 2021 https://astronomy.com/news/2021/01/what-to-expect-for- spaceflight-and-astronomy-in-2021 By Corey S. Powell | Published: Monday, January 4, 2021 Whatever craziness may be happening on Earth, the coming year promises to be a spectacular one across the solar system. 2020 - It was the worst of times, it was the best of times. First landing on the lunar farside, two impressive successes in gathering samples from asteroids, the first new pieces of the Moon brought home in 44 years, close-up explorations of the Sun, and major advances in low-cost reusable rockets. First Visit to Jupiter's Trojan Asteroids First Visit to Jupiter's Trojan Asteroids In October, NASA is set to launch the Lucy spacecraft. Over its 12-year primary mission, Lucy will visit eight different asteroids. One target lies in the asteroid belt. The other seven are so-called Trojan asteroids that share an orbit with Jupiter, trapped in points of stability 60 degrees ahead of or behind the planet as it goes around the sun. These objects have been trapped in their locations for billions of years, probably since the time of the formation of the solar system. They contain preserved samples of water-rich and carbon-rich material in the outer solar system; some of that material formed Jupiter, while other bits moved inward to contribute to Earth's life-sustaining composition. As a whimsical aside: When meteorites strike carbon-rich asteroids, they create tiny carbon crystals. -
The Blurring Distinction Between Asteroids and Comets
Answers Research Journal 8 (2015):203–208. www.answersingenesis.org/arj/v8/asteroids-and-comets.pdf The Blurring Distinction between Asteroids and Comets Danny R. Faulkner, Answers in Genesis, PO Box 510, Hebron, Kentucky, 41048. Abstract Asteroids and comets long had been viewed as distinct objects with regards to orbits and composition. However, discoveries made in recent years have blurred those distinctions. Whether there is a continuum on which our older conception of asteroids and comets are extremes or if there still is a gap between them is not entirely clear yet. Some of the newer views of comets and asteroids may challenge the evolutionary theory of the solar system. Additionally, the new information may challenge the idea that the solar system is billions of years old. For readers not versed in nomenclature of small solar system bodies, I discuss that in the appendix. Keywords: small solar system objects, comets, asteroids (minor planets) Introduction the sun, and their orbits frequently are inclined The differences between asteroids and comets considerably to the orbits of the planets. Because of At one time, we thought of asteroids and comets as their highly elliptical orbits, most comets alternately being two very different groups of objects. Comets and are very close to the sun when near perihelion and asteroids certainly looked different. Comets can be very far from the sun when near aphelion. Comets visible to the naked eye, and have been known since spend most of the time near aphelion far from the ancient times. They have a hazy, fuzzy appearance. sun, so that their ices remain frozen.