City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan & 2010-2011 Annual Action Plan
Cory A. Booker, Mayor
Department of Administration Office of the Business Administrator
September 1, 2010 to August 31, 2015
City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan & 2010-2011 Annual Action Plan
Cory A. Booker, Mayor
PREPARED FOR
City of Newark Office of Partnerships and Grants Management Office of Business Administrator Newark City Hall 920 Broad Street Newark, NJ 07102
PREPARED BY
Dennison Associates, Inc. 1100 G Street N.W., Suite 910 Washington, DC 20005-7406 www.dennisonassociates.com [email protected]
Section 1: Table of Contents
I. TITLE PAGE ...... 1-1 A. TABLE OF CONTENTS ...... 1-3 II. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...... 2-1 A. INTRODUCTION ...... 2-2 B. EVALUATION OF PAST PERFORMANCE ...... 2-2 C. SUMMARY OF 2010 HUD RESOURCES ...... 2-4 D. SUMMARY OF PRIORITY NEEDS, GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND ACTIVITIES ...... 2-5 Summary of Priority Needs and Objectives ...... 2-6 Priority Consolidated Plan Activities ...... 2-7 E. GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION ...... 2-8 F. SUMMARY OF CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PROCESS ...... 2-8 III. MANAGING THE PROCESS ...... 3-1 A. INTRODUCTION...... 3-2 B. LEAD AGENCY...... 3-2 C. INSTITUTIONAL STRUCTURE...... 3-2 D. COMMUNICATION PLAN AND STRATEGY...... 3-4 E. CONSULTATION...... 3-8 F. CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PLAN...... 3-9 G. APPENDICES...... 3-2 IV. HOUSING MARKET ANALYSIS ...... 4-1 A. INTORDUCTION ...... 4-1 B. DEMOGRAPHIC AN DEMPLOYMENT ANALYSIS ...... 4-2 C. HOUSING VALUE AND COST BURDEN ANALYSIS ...... 4-5 D. HOUSING SUPPLY ANALYSIS ...... 4-7 E. PUBLIC HOUSING ...... 4-12 F. ASSISTED HOUSING ...... 4-12 G. FORECLOSURES ...... 4-12 H. VACANT AND ABANDNONED BUILDINGS ...... 4-14 I. SPECIAL NEEDS HOUSING ...... 4-15 J. HOUSING DEMAND ANALYSIS ...... 4-15
Figure 1: City of Newark Zip Codes
Table 1: City of Newark Household Trends Table 2: Distribution of Household by Income Table 3: Household Growth Trends by Zip Code Table 4: Employment and Earnings by Occupant Table 5: City of Newark Housing Characteristics Table 6: City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Type Table 7: City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Income Table 8: Year Housing Unit Built, City of Newark Table 9: Number of Units in Housing Structures in the City of Newark, 2009 Table 10: City of Newark Affordable Housing Inventory Table 11: City of Newark Foreclosure Rates for February 2009 – January 2010 Table 12: Special Needs Households Table 13: Homeless Special Needs Sub-Populations Table 14: City of Newark Residential Housing Demand in 2010 Section 1: Table of Contents
Chart 1: City of Newark Permit Trends 2008-2009 Chart 2: Newark Rental Submarket Total Inventory and Vacancy Rate Chart 3: Newark Rental Submarket Average Asking and Effective Rents Chart 4: City of Newark Home Sale Price Trends in 2009 Chart 5: Unsold Inventory and Months of Supply in 2009 Chart 6: Contract Sales January 2009-January 2010 Chart 7: City of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code – Feb. 2009 – Jan. 2010 Chart 8: Distribution of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code in January 2010 Chart 9: Newark Foreclosures and Average Sales Price V. HOUSING AND HOMELESS NEEDS ASSESSMENT ...... 5-1 A. INTRODUCTION ...... 5-2 Household Income and Poverty ...... 5-2 Housing Unit Characteristics ...... 5-3 B. HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT ...... 5-4 All Low-Income Households with Housing Needs ...... 5-5 Low-Income Renter Households with Housing Needs ...... 5-6 Low-Income Owner Households with Housing Needs ...... 5-7 Housing Affordability Mismatch ...... 5-9 Low-Income and Racial/Ethnic Concentrations ...... 5-10 Public Housing Needs ...... 5-12 Housing and Transportation ...... 5-14 C. HOMELESS NEEDS ASSESSMENT ...... 5-15 Definition of Homelessness ...... 5-16 Nature and Extent opf Homelessness in Newark ...... 5-17 Persons at Risk of Becoming Homeless ...... 5-18 Contributing Factors to Homelessness ...... 5-18 Homeless Facilities and Service Providers ...... 5-18 D. ASSESSMENT OF NON-HOMELESS SPECIAL NEEDS POPULATIONS ...... 5-19 Needs of Non-Homeless Subpopulations in Newark ...... 5-20 E. LEAD-BASED PAINT ...... 5-24
Table 1: Household Income Table 2: Housing Units Table 3: Housing Problems – City of Newark Census Place Table 4: Low-Income Renter Households with Housing Problems Table 5: Low-Income Owner Households with Housing Problems Table 6: Affordability Mismatch for All Households Table 7: Rental Affordability Gap Analysis Table 8: Owner Affordability Gap Analysis Table 9: NHA Family Developments Table 10: NHA Townhouse Specific Developments Table 11: NHA Elderly Developments Table 12: Means of Transportation to Work by Tenure (16 yrs and over) Table 13: (HUD Table 1A): Housing Gap Analysis Chart Table 14: Contributing Factors of Homelessness Table 15: (HUD Table 1B): Special Needs (Non-Homeless) Populations Table 16: Newark Residents HIV/AIDS Cases Reported as of June 30, 2009 Table 17: Newark Residents with a Disability by Type and Age
Chart 1: Housing Units by Size, Newark Section 1: Table of Contents
Chart 2: Housing Stock Comparison Chart 3: Racial/Ethnic Concentrations by Zip Code Chart 4: Veterans by Sex and Age in Newark Chart 5: Age of Housing Stock in Newark
Map 1: Housing and Transportation Costs, Newark Map 2: Newark –Essex County CoC Boundary Map 2008 VI. 2010-2015 STRATEGIC PLAN ...... 6-1 A. INTRODUCTION ...... 6-2 B. PRIORITY NEEDS ...... 6-5 Priority Housing Needs ...... 6-5 Priority Homeless Needs ...... 6-6 Special Needs Population Priority Needs ...... 6-7 Community Development Priority Needs ...... 6-10 Section 108 Loan Program Summary ...... 6-10 C. SPECIFIC GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND STRATEGIES ...... 6-13 Priority Consolidated Plan Activities ...... 6-15 Performance Measurement System ...... 6-15 D. CROSS CUTTING ISSUES ...... 6-17 Lead-Based Paint Strategy ...... 6-17 Barriers to Affordable Housing (AI Summary) ...... 6-18 Antipoverty Strategy ...... 6-18 Monitoring ...... 6-19 Community Development Priority Needs ...... 6-10 Section 108 Loan Program Summary ...... 6-10 E. APPENDICES ...... 6-23 Appendix A – HUD Table 1A ...... 6-24 Appendix A – HUD Table 1B ...... 6-25 Appendix A – HUD Table 2A Part I ...... 6-26 Appendix A – HUD Table 2A Part II ...... 6-27 Appendix A – HUD Table 2A Part III ...... 6-28 Appendix A – HUD Table 2B ...... 6-29 Appendix B – Newark 2010-2015 Strategic Framework ...... 6-30 Appendix C – Analysis of Impediments to Fair Housing CHoice ...... 6-32
Table 1: Proposed Activities for Funding Table 2: HUD Outcome Statements VII. 2010-2011 ANNUAL ACTION PLAN ...... 7-1 A. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...... 7-2 Evaluation of Past Performance ...... 7-4 Summary of Priority Needs ...... 7-6 Statement of Specific Annual Objectives – HUD Table 3A ...... 7-7 Sources of Funds ...... 7-8 Allocation of Funds Summary ...... 7-9 Geographic Distribution ...... 7-10 B. MANAGING THE PROCESS ...... 7-11 Lead Agency ...... 7-11 Institutional Structure ...... 7-11 Summary of Citizen Participation Process ...... 7-13 Section 1: Table of Contents
Monitoring ...... 7-14 C. HOUSING ...... 7-16 HOME Specific Requirements ...... 7-17 Needs of Public Housing ...... 7-17 Barriers to Affordable Housing ...... 7-19 Lead-Based Paint Strategy ...... 7-19 D. HOMELESS ...... 7-20 Homeless Coordination Strategy ...... 7-20 Chronic Homeless Strategy ...... 7-20 ESG Program ...... 7-21 E. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT ...... 7-21 Antipoverty Strategy ...... 7-21 F. NON-HOMELESS SPECIAL NEEDS ...... 7-22 HOPWA Program ...... 7-22 G. APPENDICES ...... 7-23 Appendix A – Listing of Action Plan Projects – HUD Table 3C ...... 7-24
HUD Table 3A: Summary of Specific Annual Objectives Table 1: Allocation of HOME Funds Table 2: Allocation of CDBG Funds Table 3: Allocation of ESG Funds Table 4: Allocation of HOPWA Funds
Section 2: Executive Summary
TABLE OF CONTENTS II. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...... 2-1 A. INTRODUCTION ...... 2-2 B. EVALUATION OF PAST PERFORMANCE ...... 2-2 C. SUMMARY OF 2010 HUD RESOURCES ...... 2-4 D. SUMMARY OF PRIORITY NEEDS, GOALS, OBJECTIVES AND ACTIVITIES ...... 2-5 Summary of Priority Needs and Objectives ...... 2-6 Priority Consolidated Plan Activities ...... 2-7 E. GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION ...... 2-8 F. SUMMARY OF CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PROCESS ...... 2-8
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐1
Section 2: Executive Summary
A. INTRODUCTION
The City of Newark is required to prepare this five-year Consolidated Plan to receive federal funds from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The Consolidated Plan combines, in one report, important information about Newark demographics and economic activity as well as detailed information on the housing and community needs of its residents. The plan outlines the City’s goals and objectives for the ensuing five-year period and the strategies the City will implement to achieve these goals and objectives. The plan also incorporates comments from the public received during public hearings, stakeholders meetings and in writing.
For each succeeding year, the City of Newark is required to prepare an Annual Action Plan to inform citizens and HUD of the City’s intended actions during that particular year. The Action Plan details how the City will allocate its resources to fund projects and services consistent with its annual goals and objectives, which are a subset of the Consolidated Plan goals and objectives.
The Action Plan is developed in accordance with HUD guidelines and serves as the application for the following four annual grant programs:
Community Development Block Grant (CDBG); HOME Investment Partnerships (HOME); Emergency Shelter Grant (ESG); and Housing Opportunities for Persons with AIDS (HOPWA).
At the end of each program year, the City must prepare a Consolidated Annual Performance and Evaluation Report (CAPER) to provide information to HUD and citizens about that year’s accomplishments towards achieving the goals and objectives identified for that year. This information allows HUD, city officials, and the public to evaluate the City’s performance and determine whether the activities undertaken during the program year helped to achieve the City’s goals, objectives and strategies to address priority needs identified in the Consolidated Plan. Overall, the CAPER reflects the City’s progress toward meeting the needs, strategies, and objectives described and presented in the City’s 2010-2015 Consolidated Plan and the 2010- 2011 Annual Action Plan.
The Office Partnerships and Grants Management (PGM) is the lead City agency responsible for consolidated planning and reporting on the four formula programs to HUD. PGM is directly responsible for administration of CDBG and ESG funds. The Department of Child and Family Well Being (CFWB) is responsible for administration of HOPWA funds. The Department of Economic and Housing Development (EHD) is responsible for the administration of HOME funds.
B. EVALUATION OF PAST PERFORMANCE
The City of Newark adopted its previous Consolidated Plan in 2005, at which time the following priorities were identified:
1. Provision of Neighborhood Services; 2. Provision of Public Services Across a Continuum of Care; and 3. Provision of Economic and Housing Development Services ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐2
Section 2: Executive Summary
For program year 2008-2009, the City of Newark received five (5) entitlement grants from HUD totaling $17,884,235. The City and its community partners used these funds and additional resources to address these three priorities. The following provides a summary of the City’s progress towards addressing these three priorities, as identified in the City’s 2008-2009 CAPER.
Provision of Neighborhood Services
During the 2008-2009 program year the City focused its neighborhood services on demolition/clearance and code enforcement activities. The City’s demolition program focused on damaged and abandoned housing structures in low- to moderate-income block groups that pose an imminent risk to health and safety. During the 2008-2009 program year the City demolished 30 properties totaling 39 units. The City’s code enforcement activities worked in concert with demolition activities to target properties to enforce local and state building codes to improve City neighborhoods. Four non-profit organizations were also funded to conduct an array of services to youth, seniors, and the general population of Newark’s NRSA target area. Additionally, three CBDOs were funded to provide neighborhood services targeted in specific communities of need. In total, over $1,509,859 in funding was disbursed during the 2008-2009 program year for neighborhood service objectives.
Provision of Public Services across a Continuum of Care
One of Newark’s Consolidated Plan priorities was to establish a continuum of public services for its residents. In the 2008-2009 program year, the City prioritized ten (10) key services to address the priority needs of its residents, including: general services, workforce development, educational services, ex-offender re-entry, emergency shelter services (ESG), surveillance and prevention services, environmental health – including lead poisoning services, services and housing for persons with AIDS (HOPWA), and housing counseling services. Approximately 65% of the funds disbursed to address this priority were from the City’s HOPWA program, providing services to persons with AIDS. In total, eighteen (18) organizations were funded to provide services to persons with AIDS. In total, over $4,281,957.23 in total HUD funding was disbursed to sustain a continuum of public services for City residents.
Provision of Economic and Housing Development Services
In the 2008-2009 program year, the City used a variety of activities to address this priority, including: acquisition, relocation, residential rehabilitation, public facility rehabilitation, new construction, and downpayment assistance. During the program year the City disbursed $507,775.91 to facilitate acquisition ($197,255.21) and relocation ($310,520.70) efforts targeting six (6) project sites to support surrounding development activities. The City’s Neighborhood Rehabilitation Program (NRP) assisted 44 units with rehabilitation activities totaling $1,304,949.27, accounting for approximately 50% of the City’s efforts towards addressing this priority. The City also provided downpayment assistance to 35 homebuyers with ADDI funds during the 2008-2009 program year.
The City of Newark strives to achieve every goal and objective established for its programs. Given the recent foreclosure, housing, and economic crisis it has become increasingly challenging to achieve desired accomplishments. The City’s population encompasses a predominantly low-income population with needs across the spectrum of community, housing, and economic development categories. The City was hard hit by the foreclosure crisis and as a ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐3
Section 2: Executive Summary
result properties were abandoned and left to deteriorate. While housing and other community development objectives are often the most publicized, providing services to homeless and special needs populations are just as important. Given the wide-spread needs of City residents and the physical deterioration of properties, prioritization and targeting of City programs remains a challenge.
C. SUMMARY OF 2010 HUD RESOURCES
Sources of Funds
HUD Entitlement Funds
For program year 2010-2011, the City of Newark will receive four (4) entitlement grants from HUD totaling $20,569,064. A brief description of the grants and the City’s allocation for the 2010-2011 program year is as follows:
. Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) - $9,359,979 – The primary objective of the CDBG program is to develop “viable urban communities, by providing decent housing and suitable living environment and expanding economic opportunities principally for persons of low and moderate income”. All CDBG projects and activities must meet one of three national objectives: (1) principally benefit low- and moderate- income persons; (2) aid in the prevention or elimination of slums or blight; or (3) meet other urgent community needs. Each approved activity must benefit at least 51% low- and moderate-income families or individuals. At least 70% of the City’s total funds must be used for low- and moderate-income benefit activities.
. HOME Investment Partnerships Program (HOME) - $4,210,862 – The purpose of the HOME program is to undertake activities that achieve the following: (1) provide decent affordable housing to lower income households; (2) expand the capacity of nonprofit housing providers; (3) strengthen the ability of local governments to provide housing; and (4) leverage private-sector participation. HOME funds can be used for homeowner rehabilitation, homebuyer activities, rental housing and tenant-based rental assistance (TBRA).
. Housing Opportunities for Persons with AIDS (HOPWA) - $6,620,013 – HOPWA funding provides housing assistance and related supportive services and grantees are encouraged to develop community-wide strategies and form partnerships with area nonprofit organizations. HOPWA funds may be used for a wide range of housing, social services, program planning, and development costs. These include, but are not limited to, the acquisition, rehabilitation, or new construction of housing units; costs for facility operations; rental assistance; and short-term payments to prevent homelessness. HOPWA funds also may be used for health care and mental health services, chemical dependency treatment, nutritional services, case management, assistance with daily living, and other supportive services.
. Emergency Shelter Grant (ESG) - $378,210 – The purpose of the ESG program is to provide funds for the rehabilitation or conversion of buildings for use as emergency shelters for the homeless, for the payment of certain operating expenses and essential services in connection with emergency shelters for the homeless, and for homeless prevention activities. ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐4
Section 2: Executive Summary
HUD Stimulus Funds
As a result of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) and American Recovery Reinvestment Act (ARRA) the City of Newark received direct stimulus funds in 2009 totaling $9,250,334, as follows:
. Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP1) - $3,406,849 – The Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) was a formula grant awarded for activities eligible under division B, title III of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (Public Law 110- 289, NSP round 1), to address home foreclosure and abandonment and for the provision of capacity building and support for NSP grantees. Rating factors will include grantee capacity to execute projects, leveraging potential, and concentration of investment to achieve neighborhood stabilization.
. Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP2) - $20,759,155 – The City of Newark in a consortium agreement with The City of Essex, The City of East Orange, The City of Irvington, The City of Montclair, The Township of Orange, Brand New Day, Don Pedro Development Corporation, Episcopal Community Development Corporation, Housing and Neighborhood Development Services, HOMECorp, Ironbound Community Corporation, Make It Right Foundation, Unified Vailsburg Service Organization, and The Community Loan Fund of New Jersey and in a for‐profit partnership with Fairmount Heights Development Corporation, Michaels Development Corporation, and RPM Development Corporation has been awarded $20,759,155 in NSP2 funds. Approximately $11 million of the allocation will be used for Newark area activities. Grantees must expend at least 50 percent of each grant within 2 years and 100 percent within 3 years of grant award.
. CDBG-R - $2,310,137 – The Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) Recovery program enables local governments to undertake a wide range of activities intended to create suitable living environments, provide decent affordable housing and create economic opportunities, primarily for persons of low and moderate income. The City is using CDBG-R to perform renovations of lead free safe houses, renovations of Newark Public Library, and provide Community Based Organizations with funding to support employment training services.
. Homeless Prevention and Rapid Re-housing Program (HPRP) – $3,533,348 – The Homelessness Prevention and Rapid Re-Housing Program provides financial assistance and services to prevent individuals and families from becoming homeless and help those who are experiencing homelessness to be quickly re-housed and stabilized. The funds under this program are intended to target individuals and families who would be homeless but for this assistance. The funds will provide for a variety of assistance, including: short-term or medium-term rental assistance and housing relocation and stabilization services, including such activities as mediation, credit counseling, security or utility deposits, utility payments, moving cost assistance, and case management.
D. SUMMARY OF PRIORITY NEEDS, GOAL, OBJECTIVES AND ACTIVITIES
Summary of Priority Needs and Objectives
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Section 2: Executive Summary
This 2010-2015 Consolidated Plan outlines the current planned uses of CDBG, HOME, ESG, and HOPWA funds for activities that are consistent with the current priority needs identified and support identified objectives presented in this document. These activities will support three overarching goals developed for the 2010-2015 consolidated planning period, including:
1. Jobs for residents; 2. Healthy and safe neighborhoods; and 3. Newark as a City of choice.
The priorities needs below have been identified based on the assessment of housing and homeless needs, housing market analysis and consultation with stakeholders and partner agencies. Below is a summary of the priority needs identified through these assessments.
Housing
. Increasing affordable rental housing opportunities for low-income households. . Providing new affordable homeownership opportunities for low- to moderate-income households. . Improving condition of existing housing. . Increasing availability of sustainable housing options. . Providing counseling for first-time homebuyers and current homeowners.
Homeless
. Reducing the number of individuals and families that become homeless. . Increasing availability of permanent supportive housing options for homeless individuals and families. . Supporting operations of existing emergency/transitional homeless facilities. . Providing essential services to homeless populations.
Special Needs Populations
. Increasing accessibility/availability of affordable housing specifically for persons with HIV/AIDS. . Providing new affordable permanent supportive housing for low- to moderate-income veteran households. . Increasing availability of permanent housing for special needs populations. . Providing support services to special needs populations.
Community/Economic Development
. Increasing economic opportunities for low-income residents in Newark. . Revitalizing and beautifying Newark businesses and storefronts. . Technical Assistance to small businesses. . Establishing social venture programs. . Public Services.
To address the priority needs identified above, the City will focus on the following seven (7) objectives as detailed in the Strategic Plan, working towards the three overarching goals:
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐6
Section 2: Executive Summary
. Objective 1: Increase economic growth and job opportunities through large scale development projects, social ventures and job training programs
. Objective 2: Increase access to quality affordable housing choices
. Objective 3: Improve condition of existing neighborhoods through redevelopment and rehabilitation of residential and commercial properties, and public facilities
. Objective 4: Provide funding for public services to support workforce development, educational services, child care services, ex-offender social services and homeowner foreclosure prevention programs for low-income individuals and families in targeted neighborhoods
. Objective 5: Support homeless and at-risk special needs populations with coordinated support services and housing assistance, focusing on prevention and “housing first” activities
. Objective 6: Promote and fund targeted developments to help facilitate a living downtown urban center around key development nodes
. Objective 7: Green Newark’s Neighborhoods
Priority Consolidated Plan Activities
The tables below summarizes the proposed eligible HUD-funded program activities the City will fund to achieve desired objectives and to support identified strategies.
Proposed Activities for Funding Specific Housing Activities Funding Source(s) Rental new construction CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Acquisition and rehabilitation CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Rental acquisition CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Acquisition and rehabilitation CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Homeowner rehabilitation/maintenance CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Homebuyer acquisition CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Downpayment and/or closing cost assistance CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Lead-based paint remediation CDBG, HOME, LHRDG Green building and energy efficiency rehabilitation CDBG, HOME, Section 108 Specific Homeless Activities Funding Source(s) Short/long-term rental/mortgage and utility assistance HOPWA, HPRP,CDBG Public facility renovations CDBG, ESG, HOPWA Case management and coordination services ESG Essential services ESG Homeless prevention HPRP, ESG Housing information and referral services HOPWA Operations assistance for homeless facilities HOPWA, ESG Specific Special Needs Subpopulation Activities Funding Source(s) New construction of special needs housing HOME, CDBG Acquisition and rehab for special needs housing HOME, CDBG Downpayment assistance HOME, CDBG Specific Community Development Activities Funding Source(s) Property acquisition CDBG, Section 108 Demolition/Clearance CDBG Site improvements CDBG, Section 108 ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 2‐7
Section 2: Executive Summary
Public facilities and improvements CDBG Direct technical assistance to businesses CDBG Tree planting/Urban agriculture CDBG Acquisition of real property CDBG, Section 108 Direct financial assistance to for-profit businesses (commercial façade CDBG beautification) Educational services CDBG Childcare services CDBG Workforce development/Employment training CDBG Capacity building CDBG Surveillance and Prevention CDBG Housing/Foreclosure counseling CDBG Senior Services CDBG Youth Services CDBG
The City of Newark will fund a variety of activities using HUD entitlement funds throughout the Consolidated Plan period however not all activities identified above will be funded each year of the five-year Consolidated Plan period.
E. GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION
The City of Newark will continue to direct its resources into the areas with the highest needs. The City will allocate HUD resources to the areas with the highest needs, including areas of minority concentration which includes the South Ward, Central Wards, and the lower North and West Wards. We believe the rational for this geographical distribution is straightforward. While these areas have received large shares of assistance through HUD programs over the years, the resources have never been sufficient to meet the demonstrated need. The City will also utilize the opportunities and strategies identified in various redevelopment plans to coordinate allocation of resources across targeted neighborhoods and development nodes.
F. SUMMARY OF CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PROCESS
As required by Consolidated Plan regulations, the City has implemented a Citizen Participation Plan (CPP) to engage citizens and stakeholders in the consolidated planning process. The CPP is discussed in detail in Section 3 of the Consolidated Plan. The CPP includes public notice, community engagement of stakeholders, as well as technical assistance during the drafting and finalizing of the Consolidated Plan. The City of Newark held two stakeholder focus group sessions on April 21 and 23 of 2010, where over 40 organizations representing various communities provided the City with feedback on key priorities and objectives. Additionally, a public hearing was held on May 14, 2010 whereby citizens were provided an opportunity to provide feedback on the City’s needs and priorities. Input received during the public hearing process was incorporated into the plan regarding the priorities, strategies, allocation of resources and target areas outlined in this Consolidated Plan.
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Section 3: Managing the Process
TABLE OF CONTENTS III. MANAGING THE PROCESS ...... 3-1 A. INTRODUCTION...... 3-2 B. LEAD AGENCY...... 3-2 C. INSTITUTIONAL STRUCTURE...... 3-2 D. COMMUNICATION PLAN AND STRATEGY...... 3-4 E. CONSULTATION...... 3-8 F. CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PLAN...... 3-9 G. APPENDICES...... 3-2
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 3‐1
Section 3: Managing the Process
A. INTRODUCTION
This section summarizes the process the City of Newark took in consulting with key agencies partners, and the public in preparing this Consolidated Plan and Action Plan submission to HUD. The description of the management process, the citizen participation plan, institutional structure and other HUD requirements outlined in this section fulfill or partially fulfill Sections 91.200, 91.215, 91.230 and 91.215 of the Consolidated Plan regulations.
B. LEAD AGENCY
In 2008, the Department of Administration renamed the Bureau of Research, the Office of Partnerships and Grants Management (PGM). By establishing the PGM, the Administration sought to expand on the functions of the former Bureau of Research with the goal of ultimately centralizing grants management city-wide. PGM is the lead city agency responsible for consolidated planning and reporting on the four formula programs to HUD. PGM is directly responsible for administration of CDBG and ESG funds. The Department of Child and Family Well Being (CFWB) is responsible for administration of HOPWA funds. The Department of Economic and Housing Development (EHD) is responsible for the administration of HOME funds.
C. INSTITUTIONAL STRUCTURE
The City of Newark cannot implement its Consolidated Plan without a strong institutional structure and the closest possible intra- and intergovernmental cooperation. Our institutional structure is composed of segments of the public sector – local, county and state – as many as one-hundred nonprofit organizations, and a like number of for-profit companies, developers, and financial corporations. Major partner organizations are specified below by name.
City Departments
. Department of Administration, Office of the Business Administrator and Bureau of Research and Program Development: Overall policy-making, management and decision-making for all local community development and planning initiatives; coordina- tion of all HUD programs and requirements that involve more than one City agency, including Con Plan coordination; IDIS administration.
. Department of Administration, Office of Management and Budget: Fiscal planning for all community development activities; coordination of HUD programs with other federal and state aid and City operating budget.
. Department of Administration, Office of Partnerships and Grants Management: Lead City agency responsible for consolidated planning and reporting on the four formula programs to HUD.
. Department of Finance: Financing of all community development activities, including bonding programs; grant accounting, grant accounts payable, internal auditing of grants.
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Section 3: Managing the Process
. Department of Economic and Housing Development (EHD), Office of the Director: Planning and management of all City housing and economic development initiatives in accordance with policies of the City administration; all regulatory aspects of land use and real property, through the Boards of Adjustment and Zoning, Central Planning, and Rent Control.
. Department of Economic and Housing Development, Division of Housing and Real Estate: Design, planning and implementation of all assisted housing programs, under the supervision of the Director's Office; development of "mainstream" housing elements of the Con Plan. Planning and implementation, under the Director's Office, of all housing and economic redevelopment activities, i.e., real property acquisition and relocation of families and businesses, management and disposal of City-owned properties.
. Brick City Development Corporation: Brick City Development Corporation (BCDC) is the City’s primary economic development catalyst, organized to retain, attract, and grow businesses; enhance small and minority business capacity, and spur real estate development within Newark. BCDC initiates and executes economic development activities to produce and sustain economic growth, generate jobs, and create wealth for the citizens of Newark.
. Department of Child and Family Well-Being: Design, planning and implementation of all special needs housing programs, involving City and Essex County welfare recipients, people with AIDS, the elderly, and the homeless; development of special needs housing elements of the Con Plan; development and coordination of ESG; development and coordination of Newark and EMA HOPWA.
. Department of Neighborhood and Recreational Services, Division of Inspections and Enforcement: Residential and commercial property code enforcement.
. Department of Neighborhood and Recreational Services, Division of Demolition and Clearance: Emergency demolitions; clearance of properties.
Newark Housing Authority
NHA, the City's public housing authority, is responsible for the development and operations of more than 8,000 dwelling units for very- and extremely low-income Newark residents. NHA works in close cooperation with the City to plan, design, develop and operate public housing.
Newark State Board of Education
The Board coordinates and cooperates with the Newark administration and NHA in the planning, design and development of facilities.
University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey (UMDNJ)
UMDNJ coordinates and cooperates with the above and below-listed institutions in planning, design and site identification for facilities.
County of Essex
. Department of Economic Development, Training and Employment: The Department operates housing grant programs, primarily Balanced Housing and ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 3‐3
Section 3: Managing the Process
Regional Contribution Agreements; PHA activities in Newark, including Section 8 vouchers; and coordinates its own Con Plan with those of local entitlement cities.
. Department of Health and Human Services: The Department coordinates and cooperates with regard to City housing services for special needs populations.
. Essex-Newark Continuum: the CoC coordinates strategies and activities to identify and serve homeless populations.
Nonprofit Organizations
Major organizations expected to implement rehabilitation and/or development projects meet regularly with Department of Economic and Housing Development staff. Often, these meetings occur through the Newark Community Development Network, an organization whose constituents include all our leading CDCs.
EHD has fostered, encouraged and established relationships with two major intermediaries in the housing finance and development industry, the Local Initiative Support Corporation (LISC), NeighborWorks and the Enterprise Foundation. Through these three intermediaries private capital is channeled to support investment in affordable housing that is eligible for low income housing tax credits and other federal and state subsidy programs. The City of Newark, together with the above referenced intermediaries and nonprofit organizations, works with the New Jersey Housing and Mortgage Finance Agency and the New Jersey Department of Community Affairs to secure construction financing.
D. COMMUNICATION PLAN AND STRATEGY
The Consolidated Plan combines, in one report, important information about Newark demographics and economic activity as well as detailed information on the housing and community needs of its residents. The plan outlines the City’s goals and objectives for the ensuing five-year period and the strategies the city will implement to achieve these goals and objectives. The plan also incorporates comments from the public received during public hearings, stakeholders meetings and in written responses to published documents.
The City of Newark recognizes the value of citizen involvement and the wealth of information and resources that citizens of Newark possess. Equally important, is communication between key City agencies, divisions, partners, non-profit partners and elected officials. It is important to increase the City’s understanding of these stakeholder’s concerns, ideas and values so that they can be used to inform the City’s decisions, strategies, goals and objectives identified in the City’s Consolidated Plan. Working towards this effort, the City of Newark has developed a communication strategy to outline the key messages the City wishes to deliver to its stakeholders and the planning process by which the City will seek to engage its various stakeholders. This document outlines the City of Newark’s communication strategy for the ensuing five-year HUD Consolidated Plan period.
Process Overview
Much of the City’s overall success is shaped by the quality of its communication efforts. Therefore, a proactive approach is needed to foster effective two-way communication amongst
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Section 3: Managing the Process stakeholders during the consolidated planning process. The following is an overview of the City’s proposed communication process and strategy for the ensuing Consolidated Plan period:
STAKEHOLDERS CITY COUNCIL CITIZENS PARTNERS BUSINESSES ______
INFORM MEMORANDUMS PUBLIC CALENDAR OF EVENTS MEDIA BRIEFINGS
CONSULT INTERVIEWS SURVEYS PUBLIC HEARINGS RESEARCH
ASSESS REVIEW SURVEY RESULTS MARKET ANALYSIS NEEDS ASSESSMENTS
INCORPORATE GOALS/OBJECTIVES FUNDING STRATEGIES CONSOLIDATED PLAN
Key Objectives
The key objectives of the City of Newark’s communication strategy and plan are summarized below:
1. To identify key stakeholders, outline the message to each and how the message will be delivered 2. To reinforce and increase accountability through the communication process 3. Obtain community buy-in through information sharing, consultation and education processes 4. Provide citizens with complete, accurate and timely information enabling them to make informed judgments 5. Strengthen direct communication between elected officials, City departments, partners, for-profit businesses and non-profit community 6. Support, reinforce and reflect the goals of the City government as established by the City Council and the Administration, through a coordinated communication plan 7. Establish an inclusive process that builds teamwork and motivates stakeholders to implement change in their communities
Below is an overview of the various messages the City would like to communicate to each of its stakeholders and the ways in which the message will be delivered.
Citizens
Message: The City will create an open, interactive and inclusive communication strategy that enhances the principle of community building, interactive government and community feedback.
HUD Consolidated Plan regulations require the City to develop a Citizen Participation Plan (CPP). The purpose of the CPP is to provide citizens of the City of Newark maximum ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 3‐5
Section 3: Managing the Process involvement in identifying and prioritizing housing and community development needs in the City, and responding to how the City intends to address such needs through allocation of HUD funding. From the onset of the first public hearing to the distribution of a community-wide survey and writing of the Consolidated Plan, the needs of the Newark residents must be carefully considered and reflected during the drafting of the plan.
Method of Delivery:
Phase Method of Delivery Public Hearing: Hold two public hearings during the consolidated planning process, including one hearing prior to development of the plan Calendar of Events: Publish a detailed calendar of events on the City’s website outlining schedule of Inform meetings, hearings and publications Newspapers: Publish summaries of the draft Consolidated Plan in local community newspapers Annual Performance Report: Prepare an annual assessment report of the City’s accomplishments for citizen review and comment Community Survey: Distribute a mass community survey to solicit feedback from citizens on the City’s programs, communication efforts and overall needs of the City Consult Public Comment Period: Administer a 30-day comment period for Citizens to comment on the City’s strategic framework and Consolidated Plan Needs Assessment: Assess Compile survey and discussion results to establish congruent themes on the needs of the City Citizen Participation Plan: Incorporate Incorporate survey and discussion results into improved communication strategies
Partner Agencies
Message: The City wants to establish a comprehensive Consolidated Plan strategy that integrates and addresses the many interrelated housing, community development, economic, educational and geographic issues facing the City.
Three key HUD and other federal initiatives necessitate the need for the City to engage its partner agencies in a comprehensive planning strategy, including: Choice Neighborhoods, Promise Neighborhoods and Sustainable Communities. These initiatives will provide substantial grant opportunities, as well as require comprehensive strategies that engage partner agencies on multiple levels.
Method of Delivery:
Phase Method of Delivery Partner Agency Surveys: Survey partner agencies on critical needs facing their agencies and methods and Inform strategies on how the City could better comprehensively work to address issues with HUD funding Save the Date: ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 3‐6
Section 3: Managing the Process
Issue save the date memos to partner agencies on upcoming events or meetings the City will hold to engage its partners Focus Group Sessions: Hold monthly focus group sessions to discuss areas of need, strategies on comprehensive planning and potential projects that leverage resources of partner Consult agencies Partner Agency Survey: Distribute survey to solicit feedback from partners on the City’s programs, communication efforts and overall comprehensive needs of the City Strategic Planning Sessions: Assess Hold strategic planning sessions with partner agencies on goals, objectives and opportunities to leverage resources on potential projects and community objectives for the ensuing Consolidated Plan period Focus Projects: Establish pipelines of potential projects that leverage resources of partner agencies (Choice Neighborhoods, Promise Neighborhoods, etc.) Consolidated Plan: Develop distinctive and outcome oriented objectives in a comprehensive Consolidated Plan Choice Neighborhoods Grant Application: Incorporate Leverage focus group discussions to incorporate Choice Neighborhood requirements and objectives into a comprehensive application and overall choice neighborhood strategy Promise Neighborhoods Grant Application: Leverage focus group discussions to incorporate Promise Neighborhood requirements and objectives into a comprehensive application and overall promise neighborhood strategy
For-profit Businesses and Non-profit Community
Message: The City of Newark is modifying its application and RFP award processes that will focus on outcome oriented objectives, reporting requirements, and performance standards.
Method of Delivery:
Phase Method of Delivery Non-Profit Focus Group Sessions: Hold annual non-profit focus group sessions to engage existing, active and new non-profit developers and service providers Inform For-Profit Developer Applications: Post housing development application guidelines after development of Consolidated and Annual Action Plans and hold application workshops Stakeholder Focus Groups: Conduct stakeholder focus groups to engage non-profit community during the consolidated planning process and the needs of the City’s residents and Consult processes Survey: Distribute a non-profit community survey to solicit feedback from organizations on the City’s programs, communication efforts and overall needs of the City Needs Assessment: Assess Compile survey and breakout session results and feedback and use to establish congruent themes on the needs of the City Incorporate Strategic Framework: ______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 3‐7
Section 3: Managing the Process
Develop a strategic framework for the City that incorporates feedback from non- profit and for-profit organizations Project Applications: Structure project applications to be consistent with existing development projects and community services provided by the non-profit and for-profit business community
E. CONSULTATION
Newark’s Consolidated Plan is developed through a collaborative process with NHA, CFWB, the Essex-Newark Continuum of Care, and numerous other City departments. Citizen participation is another important part of the Consolidated Plan including developing and amending the Plan as well as commenting on program performance. As part of the Consolidated Planning process, information on housing and community development needs of Newark citizens was gathered through stakeholder focus group sessions and surveys, coordination of planning documents and public hearings. Upon publishing this plan Newark will allow a 30-day public comment period during June 2010 to allow the public time to review and comment on the draft 2010-2015 Consolidated Plan and 2010 Action Plan. During this public comment period, citizens were encouraged to provide written comments to PGM regarding the City’s draft plans.
Per Consolidated Plan requirements, the City of Newark has specifically consulted with the following agencies:
. Lead-based Paint – Newark’s Department of Child and Family Well-Being (CFWB) is the department charged with coordinating the city’s lead-based paint strategy. CFWB is responsible for the mitigation and prevention of lead-based paint poisoning. As such, the Division regularly consults with state and local health and child welfare agencies, and examines data on hazards and poisonings. The Division maintains a database with the addresses of housing units in which children have been identified as lead poisoned.
. Essex-Newark Continuum of Care (CoC) – The City of Newark has adopted the Essex-Newark CoC approach to addressing the needs of homeless and at-risk populations. Newark is part of the Essex-Newark CoC and coordinates with Essex County on strategies and activities to identify and serve homeless populations. The Essex-Newark CoC addresses the housing and supportive service needs in each stage of the process to help homeless persons make the transition to permanent housing and independent living. As identified above, permanent supportive housing is a priority need in Newark. Newark is committed to providing both housing and support services for homeless persons in need of permanent housing and working to end incidences of homeless in Newark.
. Newark Housing Authority – The City of Newark held two strategic planning sessions with NHA to discuss goals, objectives and strategies for the ensuing Consolidated Plan period. Consistent with this Consolidated Plan, NHA’s housing strategy involves both physical development and rehabilitation, and supportive services. Over the past three years NHA has made significant progress in revamping its mission, goals and objectives, and has been removed from HUD’s “troubled status” designation. NHA will be working in close partnership with EHD on redevelopment and rehabilitation projects to increase the availability and affordability of housing in Newark.
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. Non-profit Stakeholders – The City of Newark held two stakeholder focus group sessions on April 21 and 23 of 2010, where over 40 organizations representing various communities provided the City with feedback on key priorities and objectives.
F. CITIZEN PARTICIPATION PLAN
Participation
As required by Consolidated Plan regulations, the City has implemented a Citizen Participation Plan (CPP) to engage citizens and stakeholders in the consolidated planning process. The CPP includes public notice, community engagement of stakeholders, as well as technical assistance during the drafting and finalizing of the Consolidated Plan. The City of Newark held two stakeholder focus group sessions on April 21 and 23 of 2010, where over 40 organizations representing various communities provided the City with feedback on key priorities and objectives. Additionally, a public hearing was held on May 14, 2010 whereby citizens were provided an opportunity to provide feedback. Input received during the citizen participation process was incorporated into decision making regarding the priorities, strategies, allocation of resources and target areas outlined in the Annual Action Plan.
Access to Information
The City provides reasonable and timely access for citizens, public agencies, and other organizations to access information and records relating to the City’s Consolidated Plan, annual Action Plan, performance reports, substantial amendment(s), Citizen Participation Plan, and the City’s use of assistance under the programs covered by the plan during the preceding five years. The City of Newark announces the availability of planning documents on its website and specifically regarding Consolidated and Annual Action Plans, in the Star Ledger and El Coqui newspapers. Additionally, the city makes copies of plans available for review at City Hall.
The City of Newark’s web page is http://www.ci.newark.nj.us/ for citizens interested in obtaining more information about city services and programs or to review the plans and performance reports.
Public Hearings and Public Comments
Consolidated Plan regulations requires grantees to provide a minimum of two public hearings per year to obtain citizen’s views and to respond to comments and questions, to be conducted at a minimum of two different stages of the program year.
Consolidated/Annual Action Plan
A two-week public notice is given prior to publishing the draft Consolidated Plan/Annual Action Plan. This year, notice was given on April 29th and on May 6th, advertising the public hearing held on May 14, 2010. The city will advertise public hearings for at least two consecutive weeks and in multiple newspapers when possible. The City’s primary newspapers for advertising public hearings are the Star Ledger and El Coqui. The public notices will include a brief summary explaining the content of the draft plan and announce when plan will be available for comment. A thirty-day public comment period will be provided to receive, review and incorporate comments from the public into the final Consolidated Plan/Annual Action Plan.
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Section 3: Managing the Process
Annual Performance Reports
The second public hearing will be held prior to drafting of the City’s annual performance report (CAPER). A two-week notice will be given for the public hearing on the annual performance report. A fifteen-day public comment period will be provided to receive, review and incorporate comments from the public into the final CAPER.
Substantial Amendments
Any substantial amendment to the Consolidated Plan or Annual Action plan requires a public hearing and an additional thirty-day public comment period. The City defines a substantial amendment to the Consolidated Plan or Annual Action Plan as any changes in the use of CDBG funds from one eligible activity to another. Reallocating funds amongst identified activities will not constitute a substantial amendment.
Complaints
The public may provide comments and complaints related to any HUD program. Written public comments and complaints can be mailed to PGM at 920 Broad Street, Room B-16, Newark, New Jersey 07102.
Written complaints must clearly state the complainant’s name, address, and zip code. A daytime phone number or email should also be included in the event further information or clarification is needed. DHND will provide a timely, substantive written response to every written complaint, within 15 days of receipt.
Technical Assistance
The City can provide technical assistance to groups, representative of the target neighborhoods or other low-income areas that request such assistance for the preparation of funding proposals to the greatest extent possible. Technical assistance may consist of workshops, one on- one assistance, or information and referral. When the City initiates a request for proposals, technical assistance is available during the pre-application phase to ensure all organizations are aware of the opportunities and limits of the funding source. The City’s provision of technical assistance does not include the preparation of grant applications for individuals or organizations. The City’s provision of technical assistance can be limited by funds and staff availability.
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Section 3: Managing the Process
G. APPENDICES
Appendix A – Public Hearing Notices
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
TABLE OF CONENTS IV. HOUSING MARKET ANALYSIS ...... 4-1 A. INTORDUCTION ...... 4-1 B. DEMOGRAPHIC AN DEMPLOYMENT ANALYSIS ...... 4-2 C. HOUSING VALUE AND COST BURDEN ANALYSIS ...... 4-5 D. HOUSING SUPPLY ANALYSIS ...... 4-7 E. PUBLIC HOUSING ...... 4-12 F. ASSISTED HOUSING ...... 4-12 G. FORECLOSURES ...... 4-12 H. VACANT AND ABANDNONED BUILDINGS ...... 4-14 I. SPECIAL NEEDS HOUSING ...... 4-15 J. HOUSING DEMAND ANALYSIS ...... 4-15
Figure 1: City of Newark Zip Codes
Table 1: City of Newark Household Trends Table 2: Distribution of Household by Income Table 3: Household Growth Trends by Zip Code Table 4: Employment and Earnings by Occupant Table 5: City of Newark Housing Characteristics Table 6: City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Type Table 7: City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Income Table 8: Year Housing Unit Built, City of Newark Table 9: Number of Units in Housing Structures in the City of Newark, 2009 Table 10: City of Newark Affordable Housing Inventory Table 11: City of Newark Foreclosure Rates for February 2009 – January 2010 Table 12: Special Needs Households Table 13: Homeless Special Needs Sub-Populations Table 14: City of Newark Residential Housing Demand in 2010 Chart 1: City of Newark Permit Trends 2008-2009 Chart 2: Newark Rental Submarket Total Inventory and Vacancy Rate Chart 3: Newark Rental Submarket Average Asking and Effective Rents Chart 4: City of Newark Home Sale Price Trends in 2009 Chart 5: Unsold Inventory and Months of Supply in 2009 Chart 6: Contract Sales January 2009-January 2010 Chart 7: City of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code – Feb. 2009 – Jan. 2010 Chart 8: Distribution of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code in January 2010 Chart 9: Newark Foreclosures and Average Sales Price
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
A. INTRODUCTION
The City of Newark has experienced little household or population growth in recent years, with growth projected to continue at a rate of .3% annually over the next five years. Household incomes in the City of Newark are significantly lower than those in the remainder of Essex County and the Newark Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). The median family income in the City of Newark was $38,700 in 20081, compared to a median income in the Newark MSA of $106,7002. Despite Newark’s lower household incomes and an unemployment rate of 13%3, the city has still experienced substantial housing market pressure since 2000. As growth in housing values has outpaced income growth, a crisis of housing affordability has become pervasive throughout the city.
B. DEMOGRAPHIC AND EMPLOYMENT ANALYSIS
The City of Newark is the largest city in the State of New Jersey, with an estimated population of 282,058 in 2009. The city encompasses nine zip codes and is located within Essex County. Overall Newark is composed of 52% African American households, 15% White/Non- Hispanic/Latino households, and 13% White Hispanic/Latino households. The trends within each of the city’s zip codes are similar to the trends for the city as a whole, except for zip code 07105, located in the east part of downtown along the riverfront, which has 55% White Non- Hispanic/Latino Households and 4% African American households. The greatest concentration of Hispanic/Latino households is located in zip code 07104, with 07105 and 07107 also having Hispanic/Latino concentrations over 15%. The African American population is represented in significant concentrations in all the zip codes except 07105. In zip codes 07112, 07108, and 07106, African Americans make up over 75% of the households.
Figure 1. City of Newark Zip Codes
1 Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau (median income for family of four) 2 Source: Claritas 3 Source: City of Newark Re-Examination Report, 2009
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
The City of Newark has seen average annual household growth of .4% per year and average annual population growth of .3% per year between 2000 and 2009, a trend that is projected to continue through 2014. The median household income within the City of Newark has increased by $664 per year since 2009, to $33,300 in 2009. The household income in the city is projected to increase to $36,898 in 2014 at a rate of .3% per year, which is well below inflation. Table 1, below, demonstrates the household trends for the City of Newark.
Table 1. City of Newark Household Trends City of Newark 2000 2009 2014 CENSUS ESTIMATE PROJECTION Population 273,546 282,058 286,541 Average Annual Change - 946 897 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.3% 0.3% Households 91,382 94,494 96,073 Average Annual Change - 346 316 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.4% 0.3% Median Income $27,323 $33,300 $36,898 Average Annual Change - $664 $720 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 2.2% 2.1% Household Size 2.85 2.85 2.85 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.0% 0.0%
The median family income (MFI) for the City of Newark in 2008 was $38,700, reflecting only a slight increase over the median income for all households. This presents a sharp contrast to the area median income (AMI) of the Newark Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) of $106,700. An analysis of the distribution of households by income, based on the MFI for the city of Newark, reveals that a third of the city’s households earn less than 50% of AMI. Similarly, this analysis indicates that almost 70% of households earn less than 50% of the AMI for the metro region. This household distribution is shown in Table 2 below.
Table 2. Distribution of Households by Income
30% of AMI/MFI or Above 80% of CITY OF NEWARK INCOME DISTRIBUTION Less 30-50% of AMI/MFI 50%-80% of AMI/MFI AMI/MFI Total
Income Distribution Based on: 19,852 11,263 13,563 49,816 94,494 Median Family Income for the City of Newark of $38,700 % Income Distribution 21% 12% 14% 53% 100%
Income Distribution Based on: 45,835 18,436 15,978 14,245 94,494 AMI for the Newark MSA of $106,700 % Income Distribution 49% 20% 17% 15% 100%
Within the City of Newark, the lowest median household incomes at the zip code level are $15,900 in zip code 07102 (Downtown Newark along the riverfront) and $19,400 in zip code 07114, indicating that those two zip codes have the highest poverty levels in the city. The highest median incomes in Newark are $42,600 in zip code 07105 (East part of downtown Newark along the riverfront), $38,800 in zip code 07106, and just over $35,000 in zip codes 07104 and 07112. The breakdown of households, household income, and race for each zip code is shown in Table 3 below.
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Table 3. Household Growth Trends by Zip Code ZIP CODE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION BY RACE
Median % White (Non % White City of Newark Zip Codes Household Hispanic/ (Hispanic/ % African Households Income Latino) Latino) American % Other
07102 4,311 $15,858 8% 8% 64% 17% 07103 10,925 $28,571 2% 5% 83% 8% 07104 17,277 $35,707 11% 31% 26% 29% 07105 16,036 $42,643 55% 16% 4% 24% 07106 11,310 $38,805 9% 3% 79% 6% 07107 12,589 $31,602 12% 16% 38% 31% 07108 8,635 $24,107 1% 3% 89% 7% 07112 9,754 $35,384 1% 1% 93% 5% 07114 3,580 $19,424 8% 12% 49% 30%
City of Newark - Total 94,417 $33,347 15% 13% 52% 18%
The average annual earnings for all employment within the City of Newark are $28,300. The majority of employment within Newark falls into the industry categories of Service occupations (25% of employment), Production, Transportation, and Material Moving (19%), Office and Administrative Support (14%), and Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, and Repair occupations (12%). The median annual incomes for each of these industry sectors range from $22,000 to $29,000. Some of the higher paying occupations, such as Management and Business and Financial Services have median annual earnings of around $50,000, but they make up only a small portion of Newark’s employment, as shown on table 4 below.
Table 4. Employment and Earnings by Occupation % of Total Median Annual Total Employees Employees Earnings Management Occupations 5,535 5% $50,033 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 2,458 2% $51,229 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 928 1% $47,377 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 939 1% $46,085 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 455 0% $28,401 Community and Social Services Occupations 2,321 2% $41,597 Legal Occupations 657 1% $29,697 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 5,629 5% $31,438 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 811 1% $48,252 Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations: 2,765 3% $42,140 Service Occupations: 27,684 25% $22,017 Sales and Related Occupations 9,715 9% $21,691 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 15,672 14% $29,008 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 0 0% N/A Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations: 13,016 12% $26,691 Production, Transportation, and Material Moving Occupations: 20,952 19% $28,661
Total 109,537 100% $28,282
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
C. HOUSING VALUE AND COST BURDEN ANALYSIS
An analysis of the trends in housing values reveals significant growth in values since 2000, with the increasing housing market pressure further constraining housing affordability in the City of Newark. The median housing value within Newark was $132,800 in 2000 and grew to average of $305,400 during the 3-year period of 2006-2008. This growth of 130% in a 6-8 year period reflects the rapid housing market increase during the boom period of the last market cycle. The 2009 estimate for housing values is $268,900, is a 12% decline in value from the 2006-2008 average which represented the peak of the latest housing market cycle. Despite this correction in the housing market, owner-occupied housing continues to be affordable to only a small segment of Newark’s households.
Housing values within the Newark zip codes range from $204,800 in zip code 07103 to $402,800 in zip code 07105. Located on the east portion of downtown along the river, zip code 07105 has the highest median household income and the highest median housing value. In this zip code the median housing value was 9.5 times the median income in 2009, compared to an industry standard of housing values approximately 3 times household incomes. Throughout the rest of Newark’s zip codes, this ratio of median housing value to median household income ranges from 6.3 to 17.0, with an average of 9.7 in 2009. These ratios were substantially lower in 2000 with an average of 4.7 for the City of Newark. The change in these ratios between 2000 and 2009 indicates that housing value has significantly outpaced income growth, increasing the housing cost burden for households occupying for-sale units and likely contributing to, in some neighborhoods, high foreclosure rates.
Consistent with these trends, the local housing market is made up primarily of rental housing stock, as the majority of households are priced out of the for-sale market. In 2009, 76% of households are renters and 24% are home-owners. The portion of renter households in each zip code ranges within Newark’s zip codes from 66% in zip code 07106 to 92% in zip code 07102, consistently reflecting a majority of renters in the market.
Table 5. City of Newark Housing Characteristics
Median Median Housing Median % Change in City of Newark Zip Codes Housing Value Value 2006-2008 Housing Value Value: 2000 Avg. 2009 2000 - 2009 % Renter
07102 $138,710 N/A $269,928 95% 92% 07103 $98,264 N/A $204,792 108% 77% 07104 $146,751 N/A $297,382 103% 78% 07105 $187,721 N/A $402,117 114% 74% 07106 $124,007 N/A $243,009 96% 66% 07107 $137,075 N/A $282,563 106% 76% 07108 $99,015 N/A $216,267 118% 80% 07112 $124,476 N/A $248,894 100% 71% 07114 $123,056 N/A $269,928 119% 86%
City of Newark Total $132,825 $305,400 $268,910 102% 76%
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
An analysis of 2008 Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy (C.H.A.S.) data confirms that there is a persistent housing affordability problem within Newark. Table 6 contains the percent of households spending between 30%-50% and over 50% of their income on housing, broken out by family type and tenure. Consistently across all family types, 55% of households spend more than 30% of their household income on housing each year, and 31% of households spend more than 50% of their household income on housing each year. Consistent with the housing value trends observed between 2000 and 2009, the CHAS data reveals that owners experience a more significant cost burden, with 36% of owner households spending more than 50% of their income on housing, compared to 26% of renters. Elderly households that are homeowners experience the greatest housing cost burden, particularly those households that are made up of non-related members.
The persistence of the recent foreclosure crisis and rising housing values, coupled with high unemployment rates and continued vulnerability within the job market makes this cost burden particularly alarming. Based on this analysis, a significant portion of Newark’s households represent an “at-risk” population, particularly those households currently paying over 50% of their income on housing.
Table 6. City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Type % of Income Spent on Housing Owner Household Type Less than 30% 30%-50% Greater than 50% Total Large family 48% 27% 25% 100% Non-Family Household, Elderly 18% 31% 51% 100% Non-Family Household, Not Elderly 33% 21% 46% 100% Small Family, Elderly 46% 24% 31% 100% Small Family, Not Elderly 51% 24% 25% 100%
% of Income Spent on Housing Renter Household Type Less than 30% 30%-50% Greater than 50% Total Large family 58% 23% 19% 100% Non-Family Household, Elderly 48% 28% 25% 100% Non-Family Household, Not Elderly 49% 23% 28% 100% Small Family, Elderly 46% 21% 33% 100% Small Family, Not Elderly 52% 24% 24% 100%
Table 7 on the following page demonstrates that this cost burden is experienced primarily by lower income households, for both renter and owner households. Not surprisingly, 97% of owner households earning less than 30% of area median income (AMI) spend more than 30% of their income on housing, and 90% of households earning 30%-50% of AMI spend more than 30% of their income on housing. Each of these groups represents a significant portion of the City of Newark’s households.
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Table 7. City of Newark Housing Cost Burden by Household Income % of Income Spent on Housing
OWNER Less than Greater than 30%-50% HOUSEHOLDS 30% 50% Total 30% AMI or less 3% 10% 87% 100% 30.1-50% AMI 10% 31% 59% 99% 50.1-80% AMI 29% 33% 38% 100% 80% AMI and Above 69% 23% 8% 100%
% of Income Spent on Housing
RENTER Less than Greater than 30%-50% HOUSEHOLDS 30% 50% Total 30% AMI or less 25% 19% 56% 100% 30.1-50% AMI 33% 51% 16% 100% 50.1-80% AMI 75% 24% 1% 100% 80% AMI and Above 57% 21% 22% 100%
D. HOUSING SUPPLY ANALYSIS
An analysis of permitting trends, as displayed in Chart 1, reveals little activity within the single family housing market since mid 2008, which are presumably for-sale units. This reflects the recent housing market crisis and the higher proportion of renters to owners within Newark. Multifamily permitting activity has been sporadic, with a few spikes in permitting in early 2009. This lack of permitting activity indicates that there will be minimal housing construction within Newark over the next few years, except for a few small to mid-size rental communities.
Chart 1. City of Newark Permit Trends 2008-2009 90
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
The majority of Newark’s housing units, 68%, were built before 1970, 19% were built between 1970 and 1990, and 13% of housing units have been built since 2000. The increase in new housing units built after 1999, compared to the prior ten year period, reflects the housing market growth that put pressure on housing affordability. Table 8, below, summarizes the year that Newark’s residential housing units were built for the city overall and for each zip code. Zip code 07103 experienced the most growth since 2000, with 21% of housing units built in that time period. Zip codes 07102 and 07106 have had the fewest new units built since 2000, with their housing stock more heavily weighted towards older housing units.
Table 8. Year Housing Unit Built, City of Newark YEAR HOUSING UNITS BUILT
City of Newark Zip Codes % Built After % Built 1990- % Built 1970- % Built 1950- % Built Before 1999 1999 1989 1969 1950
07102 6% 2% 32% 35% 24% 07103 21% 10% 19% 20% 30% 07104 14% 5% 15% 27% 39% 07105 12% 9% 12% 23% 45% 07106 8% 1% 9% 38% 44% 07107 13% 4% 12% 33% 38% 07108 11% 4% 18% 26% 41% 07112 13% 2% 8% 29% 48% 07114 14% 5% 13% 39% 29%
City of Newark Total 13% 5% 14% 29% 39%
The dominance of multi-family units in the permitting trends and in the existing housing stock is similarly reflected in Table 9, which reveals that single family detached homes only account for 11% of Newark’s total housing stock.
Table 9. Number of Units in Housing Structures in the City of Newark, 2009 NUMBER OF UNITS IN STRUCTURE
City of Newark Zip Codes 1 Unit Detached 1-Unit Attached Multifamily - 2 Multifamily - 3- Multifamily - 20- Multifamily - - Single Family - Townhome Units 19 Units 49 Units Over 50 Units
07102 3% 3% 4% 32% 10% 49% 07103 8% 14% 14% 46% 2% 15% 07104 13% 6% 16% 36% 9% 19% 07105 7% 3% 28% 58% 2% 1% 07106 21% 2% 19% 36% 2% 20% 07107 10% 6% 20% 40% 6% 16% 07108 10% 8% 12% 49% 7% 14% 07112 13% 1% 18% 42% 11% 14%
07114 7% 6% 11% 44% 8% 24%
City of Newark - Total 11% 6% 18% 43% 6% 16%
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
As part of the housing supply analysis, an evaluation was conducted of the trends in the Newark rental submarket. The Newark rental submarket boundaries extend beyond Essex County, but the City of Newark drives the submarket trends as it contains most of the rental properties in the submarket. There has been little change in the overall inventory of rental units within the submarket between 2005 and 2009, although the vacancy rate has increased from 3.5% in the first quarter of 2005 to 8% in the fourth quarter of 2009. While this is still within the range of a healthy vacancy rate for a submarket, it is on the edge of the healthy range. The trends in the total inventory of rental units and the submarket vacancy rate are shown below in Chart 2.
Chart 2. Newark Rental Submarket Total Inventory and Vacancy Rate 45,000 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 40,000 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 35,000 7.0% 6.5% 6.0% 30,000 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 25,000 4.0% 3.5%
20,000 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 15,000 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 10,000 0.0% 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Inventory of Units in Submarket Vacancy Rate
The average effective rental rate in the Newark is $848/month, which is affordable to a one person household earning 55% of the Newark MSA’s AMI, a 2-person household earning 48% of the MSA AMI, or a 3-person household earning 43% of the MSA AMI. The average effective rent for the Newark submarket has increased since 2005, with a slight decline in rates in 2009. The gap between effective and asking rents has increased slightly throughout 2009, indicating that the amount of concessions being offered is increasing, likely as a reaction to increasing vacancies across the submarket.
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐9
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Chart 3. Newark Rental Submarket Average Asking and Effective Rents $1,000
$950
$900
$850
$800
$750
$700 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Asking Rents Effective Rent
Newark’s for-sale housing supply has not experienced as much permitting activity over the past few years, but the change in housing values has had a significant impact on the local housing market. As discussed in the analysis of housing value trends in the housing cost burden section of this report, increases in home values between 2000 and the peak of the market in 2006-2008 further exacerbated the housing cost burden felt by the majority of Newark households. Home values have declined slightly as the market has corrected, but they remain high relative to household incomes. Chart 4 presents the sale price trends for for-sale housing units throughout 2009, comparing the average for all of Newark’s sales with the sales of foreclosed homes.
Chart 4. City of Newark Home Sale Price Trends in 2009
In the fourth quarter of 2007, Newark’s unsold for-sale housing inventory was at a peak of around 22 months of supply and 505 unsold units existing in the marketplace. Since this peak, the inventory has declined and the market has slowly absorbed this excess of units. The unsold inventory count was 400 in the fourth quarter of 2009, and the months of supply in the market declined to 15. This is a positive trend, as a healthy market typically has around 12 months of supply in the pipeline.
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐10
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Chart 5. Unsold Inventory and Months of Supply in 2009 550.0 25.0
530.0
510.0 20.0
490.0
470.0 15.0
450.0
430.0 10.0
410.0
390.0 5.0
370.0
350.0 ‐ 4Q 2006 4Q 2007 4Q 2008 4Q 2009
Unsold Inventory Months Supply
There was an average of approximately 30 contract sales per month in the City of Newark throughout 2009, as seen in Chart 6 below, with a slight decline towards the end of 2009 to a total of 21 sales in the month of January 2010.
Chart 6. Contract Sales January 2009 – January 2010 60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10 Jan‐09 Feb‐09 Mar‐09 Apr‐09 May‐09 Jun‐09 Jul‐09 Aug‐09 Sep‐09 Oct‐09 Nov‐09 Dec‐09 Jan‐10
Contract Sales Seller:Buyer Ratio
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐11
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Despite these recent market corrections, home values remain high in relation to household incomes in Newark, and future market correction will likely do little to narrow this gap significantly. In conjunction with fairly stagnant income growth and persistent unemployment, the presence of affordable housing will continue to be a key component in meeting housing demand for Newark’s residents.
E. PUBLIC HOUSING
Newark’s existing affordable housing is primarily rental housing stock. The affordable rental properties include properties managed by the Newark Housing Authority and other rental properties managed by private owners. Exhibit 28A in the appendix contains the inventory of the Newark Housing Authority units, broken down by type of unit. Of the 6,230 public affordable housing managed by the Newark Housing Authority, 2,585 units (or 44%) are oriented towards senior renters, 3,276 are family rental units, and 369 are units redeveloped through the Hope VI program. Due to the housing cost burden on seniors identified earlier in this report, the presence of affordable rental housing oriented towards seniors is an important resource in addressing the housing cost burden.
F. ASSISTED HOUSING
In addition to the affordable public rental housing discussed above, there is also a significant presence of assisted affordable housing offered by the private and non-profit sector. Table 10, below, summarizes the breakdown of Newark’s affordable housing into Housing Authority properties, private affordable rental properties, and for-sale affordable units. Exhibit 28B in the appendix contains the complete inventory of the 7,342 assisted affordable rental properties, of which 1,178 are senior units. There are currently 41 for-sale affordable units in Newark, which are listed in the appendix on Exhibit 29.
Table 10. City of Newark Affordable Housing Inventory Inventory of City of Newark Affordable Housing ‐ 2010 Total Units Newark Housing Authority Properties 6,230 Private Affordable Rental Properties 7,342 Total Affordable Rental Units 13,572
For‐Sale Affordable Units 41
G. FORECLOSURES
There was an increase in foreclosures within the City of Newark throughout the second half of 2009, with small declines in September, November, and January 2010. Newark hit a peak of 516 foreclosures in the month of December 2009, although the number of foreclosures dropped in January 2010 to 319 foreclosures. The distribution of foreclosures by zip code within Newark has remained fairly consistent throughout 2009 and into January 2010, as demonstrated in Charts 7 and 8 on the following page.
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐12
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Chart 7. City of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code – February 2009 through January 2010 550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0 Feb‐09 Mar‐09 Apr‐09 May‐09 Jun‐09 Jul‐09 Aug‐09 Sep‐09 Oct‐09 Nov‐09 Dec‐09 Jan‐10 Zip 07107 Zip 07106 Zip 07103 Zip 07104 Zip 07108 Zip 07112 Zip 07102 Zip 07114 Zip 07105
Chart 8. Distribution of Newark Foreclosures by Zip Code in January 2010 Distribution of Newark Foreclosures in January 2010
8% 3% 4% 17%
10%
17%
12%
14% 15%
Zip 07106 Zip 07107 Zip 07103 Zip 07104 Zip 07108
Zip 07112 Zip 07102 Zip 07114 Zip 07105
In January 2010, zip codes 07106 and 07107 both had the highest portion of Newark’s foreclosures, each representing 17% of the city’s total. The foreclosure rates for these zip codes over the 12 months from February 2009 through January 2010 are 15% and 21%, respectively. As shown in Table 11, the 12-month foreclosure rate across Newark’s zip codes range from 10% to 50%, with a total of 19% for the city as a whole. The average foreclosure rate for the three zip codes that make up over 50% of Newark’s owner-occupied housing supply (zip codes 07105, 07106, and 07104) is 17%. These unhealthy foreclosure rates are indicative of the housing market crisis that created home value appreciation not matched by income growth among Newark’s households.
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Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
Table 11. City of Newark Foreclosure Rates for February 2009-January 2010
12‐Month Total % of City's Owner‐ Zip Code Foreclosure Rate Occupied Units 07105 10% 18% 07106 15% 17% 07104 17% 17% 07107 21% 13% 07112 19% 12% 07103 24% 11% 07108 32% 8% 07114 40% 2% 07102 18% 2% City of Newark Total 19% 100%
As foreclosures increased throughout 2009, the average sales price for for-sale homes in Newark declined from around $300,000 to just over $200,000. While the surplus of homes on the market had a negative impact on sales price, the observed trend of a decline in the total inventory of unsold units indicates that the market is experiencing a correction as excess supply decreases.
Chart 9. Newark Foreclosures and Average Sales Price 550 $350,000
500 $300,000 450
400 $250,000
350
$200,000 300
250 $150,000
200
150 $100,000
100 $50,000 50
0 $0 Feb‐09 Mar‐09 Apr‐09 May‐09 Jun‐09 Jul‐09 Aug‐09 Sep‐09 Oct‐09 Nov‐09 Dec‐09 Newark Foreclosures Newark Average Sales Price
H. VACANT AND ABANDONED BUILDINGS
The presence of vacant and abandoned buildings can lower property values and limit neighborhood investment. According to the US Department of Housing & Urban Development and the U.S. Postal Service, 3.6% of Newark’s residential addresses, over 2,500 properties,
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐14
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis
were vacant or abandoned in the Fourth Quarter of 2009. This total includes vacant properties, and therefore the number of abandoned buildings is only a portion of the total. In July of 2008 Newark’s Division of Housing Code Enforcement estimated 300 abandoned structures, indicating that the abandoned properties represent a minority of the 2,500 abandoned and vacant properties.
I. SPECIAL NEEDS HOUSING
In addition to cost-burdened low-income households, there are also a number of special-needs households with unique housing needs. Table 12 summarizes the number of households, number of persons, and number of youth living in emergency shelter, transitional housing, safe haven housing, and that are unsheltered.
Table 12. Special Needs Households Emergency Transitional Household Types Shelter Housing Safe Haven Unsheltered
Households w/Dependent Children # of Households w/Dependent Children 154 145 0 25 # of Persons (Adults & Children) 426 394 0 54
Households w/out Children # of Individuals 556 121 0 165
Youth Households # of Households 0 0 0 0 # of Persons 0 0 0 0
Table 13, below, summarizes the homeless population in Newark by special needs sub- category and by whether the individuals are currently sheltered or unsheltered.
Table 13. Homeless Special Needs Sub-Populations Household Types Sheltered Unsheltered
Chronically Homeless 101 28 Severe/Persistant Mental Illness 215 44 Substance Abuse 208 39 HIV/AIDS 146 18 Domestic Violence 56 8 Veterans 32 10 Unaccompanied Youth 0 0
J. HOUSING DEMAND ANALYSIS
The following provides a detailed analysis of for-sale and for-rent housing demand in 2010 for the City of Newark by income range (for households with incomes at or below 80% of AMI) and by household size. This analysis was based on current household trends and the distribution of households by income and household size. Table 14 on the following page summarizes the demand by income, household size, and tenure. The demand analysis was also based on current trends for turnover within renter and owner households. The renter and owner demand analyses were conducted separately. The analysis indicates that annually there is demand for a
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐15
Section 4: Housing Market Analysis total of 720 for-sale housing units within the City, due to owner turnover and a small portion of renters becoming owners. However, the lack of household growth within the city indicates that this annual turnover will result in little demand for new housing as the current housing stock is already accommodating the majority of households in turnover. New demand for for-sale housing units will result from the small amount of projected household growth and from the need for replacement units as housing ages and becomes obsolete.
There is a significant mismatch between the home prices that households can afford and the home values within the City of Newark. For example, a 2-person household earning 30%-50% of AMI can afford a home valued between $86,800 and $144,700, and a 2-person household earning 50% to 80% of AMI can afford a for-sale housing unit between $144,700 and $231,600. These affordable home prices are all lower than the City of Newark average, and lower than the average for all but two zip codes (07103 and 07108).
There is demand for 3,024 rental units each year, as renter households turnover and as owners become renters (primarily due to recent foreclosures). This demand is the total annual demand within the City of Newark, most of which is met by the existing rental stock. This rental demand is concentrated in households with 1 person and primarily for households earning less than 30% of AMI. The presence of 11,889 affordable rental units in the city is already meeting some of this rental demand from very-low income households. There is also a large portion of the rental demand coming from households with 4 or more persons, which translates to larger rental units with 3 or more bedrooms. Similar to the for-sale demand, the demand for new rental units will largely be driven by the replacement of obsolete rental units unless Newark’s household growth is altered significantly from the current projections.
Table 14. City of Newark Residential Housing Demand in 2010 5 or More 1-2 Person 3-4 Person Person Households Households Households Total
Owner Demand Potential Households Less than 30% AMI 150 123 71 343 Households 30%-50% AMI 80 61 34 175 Households 50%-80% AMI 99 68 34 201 Total Rental Demand Potential 329 252 139 720
Renter Demand Potential Households Less than 30% AMI 591 430 555 1,576 Households 30%-50% AMI 290 189 222 702 Households 50%-80% AMI 354 202 190 746 Total Rental Demand Potential 1,235 822 967 3,024
______City of Newark, New Jersey 2010-2015 HUD Consolidated Plan 4‐16
Exhibit 1
ZIP CODE MAP CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY MARCH 2010
City of Newark
Exhibit 1 64-1284.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 2
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLD GROWTH TRENDS CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2000-2014
City of Newark 2000 2009 2014 CENSUS ESTIMATE PROJECTION Population 273,546 282,058 286,541 Average Annual Change - 946 897 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.3% 0.3% Households 91,382 94,494 96,073 Average Annual Change - 346 316 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.4% 0.3% Median Income $27,323 $33,300 $36,898 Average Annual Change - $664 $720 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 2.2% 2.1% Household Size 2.85 2.85 2.85 Compounded Annual Growth Rate - 0.0% 0.0%
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau; Claritas, Inc.
Exhibit 2 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 3
HOUSEHOLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
1 Newark MSA City of Newark
AMI for a 4-Person Household $106,667 $38,668
Less than 30% AMI Income Range Less than $32,000 Less than $11,600
30% - 50% AMI Income Range $32,000 - $53,333 $11,600 - $19,300
50% - 80% Income Range $53,333 - $85,333 $19,300 - $30,900
Over 80% AMI Income Range Over $85,333 Over $30,900
30% of AMI/MFI or Above 80% of CITY OF NEWARK INCOME DISTRIBUTION Less 30-50% of AMI/MFI 50%-80% of AMI/MFI AMI/MFI Total
Income Distribution Based on: 19,852 11,263 13,563 49,816 94,494 Median Family Income for the City of Newark of $38,700 % Income Distribution 21% 12% 14% 53% 100%
Income Distribution Based on: 45,835 18,436 15,978 14,245 94,494 AMI for the Newark MSA of $106,700 % Income Distribution 49% 20% 17% 15% 100%
1 Data reflects 2008 Median Family Income for the City of Newark Source: US Department of Housing and Urban Development, Claritas
Exhibit 3 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 4
HOUSEHOLD TRENDS BY ZIP CODE THE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
ZIP CODE HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION BY RACE
Median % White (Non % White City of Newark Zip Codes Household Hispanic/ (Hispanic/ % African % Pacific % Native Households Income Latino) Latino) American % Asian Islander American % Other
07102 4,315 $15,858 8% 8% 64% 2% 0% 1% 17% 07103 10,934 $28,571 2% 5% 83% 1% 0% 0% 8% 07104 17,291 $35,707 11% 31% 26% 2% 0% 0% 29% 07105 16,049 $42,643 55% 16% 4% 0% 0% 0% 24% 07106 11,319 $38,805 9% 3% 79% 3% 0% 0% 6% 07107 12,599 $31,602 12% 16% 38% 2% 0% 1% 31% 07108 8,642 $24,107 1% 3% 89% 0% 0% 0% 7% 07112 9,762 $35,384 1% 1% 93% 1% 0% 0% 5% 07114 3,583 $19,424 8% 12% 49% 0% 0% 0% 30%
City of Newark - Total 94,494 $33,347 15% 13% 52% 1% 0% 0% 18%
- The neighborhoods within the City of Newark have a range of median household incomes from $15,800 to $42,600, with a the median household income for the City of Newark of $33,300.
- Overall the City of Newark is composed of 52% African American householdshouseholds, 15% White NonNon-Hispanic/LatinoHispanic/Latino householdshouseholds, and 13% White Hispanic/Latino households. households The trends within each of the zip codes is similar to that of the city overall, except for zip code 07105, which has 55% White Non-Hispanic/Latino households and 4% African American households.
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 4 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 5
MAP OF MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOMES BY ZIP CODE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
$35,700
$31,600
$38,900 $28,600
$15,900 $42,600 $24,100
$35,400
$19,400
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 5 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 6
MAP OF MEDIAN HOUSING VALUE BY ZIP CODE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
$297,400
$283,600
$243,000 $204,800
$269,900 $402,100 $216,300
$248,900
$270,000
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 6 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 7A
CONCENTRATION OF WHITE HOUSEHOLDS BY ZIP CODE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
White Households % of Zip Code Total
0%-25%
26%-50%
51%-75%
76%-100%
City of Newark Boundaries
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 7A 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 7B
CONCENTRATION OF HISPANIC/LATINO HOUSEHOLDS BY ZIP CODE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
Hispanic/Latino Households % of Zip Code Total
0%-25%
26%-50%
51%-75%
76%-100%
City of Newark Boundaries
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 7B 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 7C
CONCENTRATION OF AFRICAN AMERICAN HOUSEHOLDS BY ZIP CODE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
African American Households % of Zip Code Total
0%-25%
26%-50%
51%-75%
76%-100%
City of Newark Boundaries
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 7C 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 7D
CONCENTRATION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY RACE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY ZIP CODES 2009
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 07102 07103 07104 07105 07106 07107 07108 07112 07114
White Hispanic/Latino African American Other
Source: Claritas
Exhibit 7D 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 8
HOUSING UNIT TRENDS BY ZIP CODE THE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
YEAR HOUSING UNITS BUILT Median Median Housing Median % Change in City of Newark Zip Codes Housing Value Value 2006-2008 Housing Value Value: % Built After % Built 1990- % Built 1970- % Built 1950- % Built Before 2000 Avg. 2009 2000 - 2009 1999 1999 1989 1969 1950 % Renter
07102 $138,710 N/A $269,928 95% 6% 2% 32% 35% 24% 92% 07103 $98,264 N/A $204,792 108% 21% 10% 19% 20% 30% 77% 07104 $146,751 N/A $297,382 103% 14% 5% 15% 27% 39% 78% 07105 $187,721 N/A $402,117 114% 12% 9% 12% 23% 45% 74% 07106 $124,007 N/A $243,009 96% 8% 1% 9% 38% 44% 66% 07107 $137,075 N/A $282,563 106% 13% 4% 12% 33% 38% 76% 07108 $99,015 N/A $216,267 118% 11% 4% 18% 26% 41% 80% 07112 $124,476 N/A $248,894 100% 13% 2% 8% 29% 48% 71% 07114 $123,056 N/A $269,928 119% 14% 5% 13% 39% 29% 86%
City of Newark Total $132,825 $305,400 $268,910 102% 13% 5% 14% 29% 39% 76%
Source: US Census, Claritas, 2006-2008 American Community Survey
Exhibit 8 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 9
HOUSING UNIT TRENDS BY ZIP CODE THE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
NUMBER OF UNITS IN STRUCTURE
1 Unit 1-Unit City of Newark Zip Codes Detached - Attached - Multifamily - 2 Multifamily - 3- Multifamily - 20- Multifamily - Single Family Townhome Units 19 Units 49 Units Over 50 Units Total
07102 3% 3% 4% 32% 10% 49% 100% 07103 8% 14% 14% 46% 2% 15% 100% 07104 13% 6% 16% 36% 9% 19% 100% 07105 7% 3% 28% 58% 2% 1% 100% 07106 21% 2% 19% 36% 2% 20% 100% 07107 10% 6% 20% 40% 6% 16% 100% 07108 10% 8% 12% 49% 7% 14% 100% 07112 13% 1% 18% 42% 11% 14% 100%
07114 7% 6% 11% 44% 8% 24% 100%
City of Newark - Total 11% 6% 18% 43% 6% 16% 100%
Housing Unit Vacancy - City of Newark
Number of Vacant Residential Addresses 2,586 Vacant as of 4Q 2009
% Of Total Residential Addresses 3.6% Vacant as of 4Q 2009
Average Years that Addresses are Vacant 2.23
Source: US Census, Claritas, US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD)
Exhibit 9 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 10
HOUSING COST BURDEN BY HOUSEHOLD TYPE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2008
% of Income Spent on Housing
Owner Household Type Less than 30% 30%-50% Greater than 50% Total Large family 48% 27% 25% 100% Non-Family Household, Elderly 18% 31% 51% 100% Non-Family Household, Not Elderly 33% 21% 46% 100% Small Family, Elderly 46% 24% 31% 100% Small Family, Not Elderly 51% 24% 25% 100%
% of Income Spent on Housing
Renter Household Type Less than 30% 30%-50% Greater than 50% Total Large family 58% 23% 19% 100% Non-Family Household, Elderly 48% 28% 25% 100% Non-Family Household, Not Elderly 49% 23% 28% 100% Small Family, Elderly 46% 21% 33% 100% Small Family, Not Elderly 52% 24% 24% 100%
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development CHAS Data
Exhibit 10 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 11
HOUSING CHARACTERISTICS BY MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2008
% of Income Spent on Housing Household Distribution by Number of Bedrooms % In Sub- OWNER Greater than 0-1 Bedroom 2-Bedroom 3- or more Less than 30% 30%-50% Standard HOUSEHOLDS 50% 1 Units Units Bedroom Units Total Housing Total 30% AMI or less 3% 10% 87% 100% 0.7% 16% 29% 55% 100% 30.1-50% AMI 10% 31% 59% 99% 0.0% 6% 30% 64% 100% 50.1-80% AMI 29% 33% 38% 100% 0.5% 6% 27% 67% 100% 80% AMI and Above 69% 23% 8% 100% 0.1% 4% 30% 67% 100%
% of Income Spent on Housing Household Distribution by Number of Bedrooms % In Sub- RENTER Greater than 0-1 Bedroom 2-Bedroom 3- or more Less than 30% 30%-50% Standard HOUSEHOLDS 50% Units Units Bedroom Units Total Housing 1 Total 30% AMI or less 25% 19% 56% 100% 0.7% 46% 34% 20% 100% 30.1-50% AMI 33% 51% 16% 100% 0.6% 27% 45% 27% 100% 50.1-80% AMI 75% 24% 1% 100% 0.2% 26% 43% 31% 100% 80% AMI and Above 57% 21% 22% 100% 0.7% 19% 43% 38% 100%
1 Substandard housing indicates lack of a complete kitchen or adequate plumbing facilities SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development CHAS Data
Exhibit 11 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 12
HOUSEHOLDS BY AGE AND INCOME CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2000
Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and over TOTAL Income Range#% #% #% #% #% #% #% #% Less than $15,000 2,347 43% 5,383 29% 5,664 26% 4,102 25% 4,105 31% 4,044 43% 3,968 57% 29,613 32% $15,000 - $24,999 970 18% 2,854 16% 3,393 16% 1,731 10% 1,758 13% 1,418 15% 1,200 17% 13,324 15% $25,000 - $34,999 872 16% 2,820 15% 3,085 14% 1,872 11% 1,538 12% 970 10% 666 10% 11,823 13% $35,000 - $49,999 619 11% 2,889 16% 3,392 16% 2,583 16% 1,881 14% 947 10% 400 6% 12,711 14% $50,000 - $74,999 347 6% 2,764 15% 3,552 17% 3,098 19% 1,939 15% 962 10% 382 5% 13,044 14% $75,000 - $99,999 224 4% 1,019 6% 1,501 7% 1,646 10% 1,041 8% 419 4% 197 3% 6,047 7% $100,000 - $124,999 32 1% 325 2% 431 2% 807 5% 430 3% 242 3% 83 1% 2,350 3% $125,000 - $149,999 17 0% 137 1% 228 1% 213 1% 204 2% 111 1% 58 1% 968 1% $150,000 - $199,999 15 0% 51 0% 153 1% 246 1% 160 1% 104 1% 0 0% 729 1% $200,000 and above 22 0% 78 0% 80 0% 202 1% 148 1% 179 2% 48 1% 757 1%
TOTAL 5,465 100% 18,320 100% 21,479 100% 16,500 100% 13,204 100% 9,396 100% 7,002 100% 91,366 100% Percent of Total 6% 20% 24% 18% 14% 10% 8% 100%
Median Income $18,683 $28,058 $30,025 $38,153 $29,771 $19,209 $12,968
INCOME DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDERS BY AGE 35% 35% 32%
30% 30% 27% 25% 25% 24% 20% 20% 20% 18% 15% 14% 14% 15% 15% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 5% 2% 0% 0% Less than $15,000- $25,000- $50,000- $75,000- $100,000- $150,000 Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and $15,000 $24,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 $149,000 and above Age of Householder over Income Range
Exhibit 12 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 13
HOUSEHOLDS BY AGE AND INCOME CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2009
Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and over TOTAL Income Range#% #% #% #% #% #% #% #% Less than $15,000 2,124 37% 4,212 24% 4,505 22% 4,144 21% 4,191 29% 3,405 34% 3,089 45% 25,670 27% $15,000 - $24,999 861 15% 2,338 14% 2,452 12% 1,831 9% 1,932 13% 1,670 17% 1,476 22% 12,560 13% $25,000 - $34,999 880 15% 2,048 12% 2,602 12% 1,997 10% 1,540 10% 1,013 10% 783 12% 10,863 11% $35,000 - $49,999 845 15% 2,884 17% 3,261 16% 2,677 14% 1,948 13% 1,071 11% 558 8% 13,244 14% $50,000 - $74,999 581 10% 2,919 17% 3,515 17% 3,593 19% 2,275 15% 1,231 12% 392 6% 14,506 15% $75,000 - $99,999 218 4% 1,517 9% 2,324 11% 2,187 11% 1,222 8% 558 6% 215 3% 8,241 9% $100,000 - $124,999 143 2% 725 4% 1,177 6% 1,384 7% 800 5% 374 4% 126 2% 4,729 5% $125,000 - $149,999 32 1% 283 2% 457 2% 686 4% 325 2% 176 2% 64 1% 2,023 2% $150,000 - $199,999 24 0% 178 1% 323 2% 437 2% 235 2% 152 2% 49 1% 1,398 1% $200,000 and above 28 0% 114 1% 231 1% 367 2% 222 2% 248 3% 50 1% 1,260 1%
TOTAL 5,736 100% 17,218 100% 20,847 100% 19,303 100% 14,690 100% 9,898 100% 6,802 100% 94,494 100% Percent of Total 6% 18% 22% 20% 16% 10% 7% 100%
Median Income $23,535 $35,051 $38,787 $44,923 $32,944 $23,968 $16,446
INCOME DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDERS BY AGE 35% 35%
30% 30% 27% 26% 25% 25% 22% 20% 20% 20% 18% 15% 16% 15% 13% 15% 10% 10% 9% 7% 10% 7% 6% 5% 5%
0% 0% Less than $15,000- $25,000- $50,000- $75,000- $100,000- $15,000 $24,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 $149,000 Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and Age of Householder over Income Range
Exhibit 13 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 14
HOUSEHOLDS BY AGE AND INCOME CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2014
Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and over TOTAL Income Range#% #% #% #% #% #% #% #% Less than $15,000 1,923 35% 3,691 23% 3,809 19% 3,873 19% 4,253 26% 3,536 32% 2,809 39% 23,894 25% $15,000 - $24,999 813 15% 2,035 13% 2,046 10% 1,765 9% 1,986 12% 1,885 17% 1,635 23% 12,165 13% $25,000 - $34,999 770 14% 1,841 12% 2,186 11% 1,742 9% 1,621 10% 1,204 11% 938 13% 10,302 11% $35,000 - $49,999 893 16% 2,735 17% 2,922 15% 2,556 13% 2,081 13% 1,242 11% 814 11% 13,243 14% $50,000 - $74,999 631 11% 2,798 18% 3,488 17% 3,789 19% 2,530 16% 1,337 12% 460 6% 15,033 16% $75,000 - $99,999 247 4% 1,421 9% 2,324 12% 2,450 12% 1,477 9% 751 7% 226 3% 8,896 9% $100,000 - $124,999 144 3% 793 5% 1,521 8% 1,656 8% 932 6% 448 4% 160 2% 5,654 6% $125,000 - $149,999 78 1% 344 2% 767 4% 980 5% 557 3% 259 2% 76 1% 3,061 3% $150,000 - $199,999 28 1% 185 1% 507 3% 709 4% 331 2% 197 2% 67 1% 2,024 2% $200,000 and above 39 1% 130 1% 389 2% 559 3% 319 2% 304 3% 61 1% 1,801 2%
TOTAL 5,566 100% 15,973 100% 19,959 100% 20,079 100% 16,087 100% 11,163 100% 7,246 100% 96,073 100% Percent of Total 6% 17% 21% 21% 17% 12% 8% 100%
Median Income $25,614 $37,246 $44,702 $50,603 $35,952 $26,047 $19,123
INCOME DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDERS BY AGE 35% 35%
30% 30% 25% 25% 25% 25% 21% 21% 20% 20% 16% 17% 17% 15% 13% 15% 12% 9% 10% 9% 10% 8% 6% 4% 5% 5%
0% 0% $15,000- $25,000- $50,000- $75,000- $100,000- $150,000 and Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 and $24,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 $149,000 above Age of Householder over Income Range
Exhibit 14 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 15
TOTAL EMPLOYMENT AND EARNINGS BY OCCUPATION CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2008
% of Total Median Annual Total Employees Employees Earnings Management Occupations 5,535 5% $50,033 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 2,458 2% $51,229 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 928 1% $47,377 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 939 1% $46,085 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 455 0% $28,401 Community and Social Services Occupations 2,321 2% $41,597 Legal Occupations 657 1% $29,697 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 5,629 5% $31,438 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 811 1% $48,252 Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations: 2,765 3% $42,140 Service Occupations: 27,684 25% $22,017 Sales and Related Occupations 9,715 9% $21,691 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 15,672 14% $29,008 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 0 0% N/A Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations: 13,016 12% $26,691 Production, Transportation, and Material Moving Occupations: 20,952 19% $28,661
Total 109,537 100% $28,282
Source: US Census Bureau 2008 American Community Survey
Exhibit 15 64-12484.02 Printed:4/19/2010 Exhibit 16
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 2008-2009
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Single Family Units Total Multifamily
Source: New Jersey Department of Labor
Exhibit 16 P# 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 17
AVERAGE SALES PRICE CITY OF NEWARK ZIP CODES, NEW JERSEY MARCH 2009 - DECEMBER 2009
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09
Zip 07106 Zip 07107 Zip 07103 Zip 07104 Zip 07108 Zip 07112 Zip 07105 City of Newark Average
Source: RealtyTrac Exhibit 17 P# 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 18
AVERAGE SALES PRICE AND AVERAGE FORECLOSURE SALES PRICE CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY JANUARY - DECEMBER 2009
Source: City of Trenton Assessor Data
Exhibit 18 P# 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 19
CONTRACT SALES AND SELLER:BUYER RATIO CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY JANUARY 2009 - JANUARY 2010
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10
Contract Sales Seller:Buyer Ratio
Source: Otteau Report
Exhibit 19 P# 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 20
UNSOLD FOR-SALE RESIDENTIAL INVENTORY AND MONTHS OF SUPPLY CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 4Q 2006 - 4Q 2009
550.0 25.0
530.0
510.0 20.0
490.0
470.0 15.0
450.0
430.0 10.0
410.0
390.0 5.0
370.0
350.0 4Q 2006 4Q 2007 4Q 2008 4Q 2009
Unsold Inventory Months Supply
Source: Otteau Report
Exhibit 20 P# 64-12484.02 Printed: 4/19/2010 Exhibit 21
AVERAGE MONTHLY SALES AND SUPPLY:DEMAND RATIO CITY OF NEWARK, NEW JERSEY 4Q 2005 - 4Q 2009
60%
70.0
50% 60.0
50.0 40%
40.0 30%
30.0
20%
20.0
10% 10.0