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Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Area: Mud supply, transport and deposition

Report Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area: Mud supply, transport and deposition

Report Colophon

Authors Albert Oost, Ana Colina Alonso, Peter Esselink, Zheng Bing Wang, Thijs van Kessel and Bas van Maren

With contributions from Theo Gerkema, Eelke Former, Julia Vroom, Andreas Wurpts, Yoeri Dijkstra, Matias Duran-Matute, Frank Kösters, Maarten Kleinhans, Bas Borsje, Hans Burchard, Emil Stanev, Peter Milbradt, Piet Hoekstra, Hein Sas and Michiel Firet

Graphic design cover BW H ontwerpers

Photography cover Luchtinspectie Rijkswaterstaat ( estuary seen from above the Dollard)

ISBN 978-94-90289-57-7

Report 2021-02

This research has been scientifically supervised by the Wadden Academy and financed by the Programme Towards a Rich Wadden Sea and the Wadden Academy

Published by Wadden Academy © Wadden Academy march 2021

Contact person Klaas Deen Executive Secretary T +31 (0)58 233 90 31 E [email protected] www.waddenacademie.nl

The Wadden Academy is funded by the Wadden Fund. FOREWORD

Muddy sediments are a vital element for the Trilateral Wadden Sea ecosystem and mud, both in the form of suspended particles in the water column as well as substrate on shoals, tidal flats and salt marshes, plays an important role in providing and developing ecosystem-services. For many centuries the import and deposition of mud has significantly contributed to the silting up and evolution of tidal basins in the Wadden Sea in response to tidal processes and long-term sea level rise. Mud accumulates in the high intertidal and supra-tidal zone and contributes to the growth of tidal flats and salt marshes. Likewise, mud dynamics and deposition plays an important role in the development of major estuaries in the Wadden Sea region. Mud has various impacts on the food web of the Wadden Sea. High concentration of fine-grained suspended matter, for example, may become a limiting factor for primary production of phytoplankton (pelagic microalgae) by increasing turbidity levels and reducing the penetration of light in the water column. High densities of microphytobenthos (benthic microalgae) are, however, generally found on the more muddy parts of the tidal flats, amongst others due to higher concentration of nutrients in the pore waters of finer sediments. Fine suspended sediment in the water column may hamper the uptake of food for suspension-feeders such as mussels and cockles, whilst deposit-feeding benthos such as mudsnails prefer muddy substrates.

For already a long time, mud dynamics in the Wadden Sea is heavily affected by human activities and interventions such as land reclamation, channel deepening for navigation, maintenance dredging and more recent attempts to locally extract or demobilize mud in tidal basins and estuaries to reduce turbidity. Surprisingly though a more or less comprehensive overview of mud dynamics in the Trilateral Wadden Sea is lacking. This omission has inspired both the Wadden Academy and “Programma naar een Rijke Wadden Zee” to invite Deltares to launch a study to identify the major sources, sediment pathways and sinks of mud in the Trilateral Wadden Sea. This report provides the first mud balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea, making use of a range of data sources such as existing literature, bathymetric charts, sediment distribution maps and measurd deposition rates.

We are confident that the report is highly informative and may act as a kind of benchmark study for future work. We wish you pleasant reading!

Prof. dr. Piet Hoekstra Hendrikus Venema, MSc Portfolio Geosciences and Climate Program manager Programma naar Wadden Academy een Rijke Waddenzee (PRW) Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Summary

The Trilateral Wadden Sea is an extensive barrier-lagoon system composed of three main estuaries and a series of tidal basins, covering Dutch, German, and Danish territory. Although being an important nature reserve, the area also provides important economic services (through fisheries, tourism, and shipping). Because of these economic services, resulting in deepening, land reclamations and flood defences, the area is strongly influenced by human interventions – especially in the three main estuaries (the , and Ems). The sedimentary processes in tidal basins are dominated by sandy and muddy sediments, with the largest mud content in the shallow tidal flats on the landward side and on the tidal divides. Most of the mud supplied to the Wadden Sea originates from the Straits of Dover, via the so- called Continental Flow. Additional but smaller contributions are from the IJsselmeer, the Ems, Weser and the Elbe Rivers, local sources and aeolian deposition.

This report provides the first mud balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea, providing detailed estimates for mud sinks, sources, and transport using a combination of existing literature, bathymetric charts, sediment distribution maps, observed deposition rates, and dredging information. The total mud supply to the Trilateral Wadden Sea is estimated at 12.1 to 16.5 million ton/yr. Mud is mainly deposited on the upper tidal flats connected to the mainland of the Trilateral Wadden Sea, in the tidal marshes, and in the sheltered embayments, providing a sink of sediments. An additional sediment sink is sediment extraction, whereby sediment is dredged and placed on land. The total amount of mud deposition and extraction is estimated at 10.8 to 11.3 million ton/yr. This implies that currently, the mud sources are larger than the mud sinks, but not much larger.

Sand-mud mixtures are either sand-dominated or mud-dominated, resulting in spatial segregation of sand and mud. Especially the inland embayments such as the Dollard, the Leybucht and the Jade Bay are characterised by high mud contents. This segregation is an important characteristic of the system, especially when evaluating the response of the system to sea-level rise and local anthropogenic disturbances. At present, the (mud-dominated) upper tidal flats and salt marshes are accreting at a faster rate than sea-level rise, while some subtidal sections are eroding, especially in the German Wadden Sea. It remains unclear to what extent this redistribution is the result of the observed increase in tidal amplitude or mean sea-level, and therefore related to local human interventions or global sea-level rise.

The most important human interventions influencing mud dynamics are land reclamations and channel deepening. Historic land reclamations resulted in a major loss of sediment sinks where fine sediments naturally accumulate. This loss in sediment accommodation space resulted in more sediment remaining in suspension and therefore higher sediment concentration and more eastward transport of sediment. Both land reclamations and channel deepening (for navigation purposes) lead to amplification and asymmetry of the , promoting landward transport of sediments in the estuaries.

iii Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table of contents

1 INTRODUCTION 1

1.1 Background 1

1.2 Research questions 1

1.3 Study area 3

1.4 Report outline 4 2 A GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREAS 5

2.1 The Dutch Wadden Sea area 5

2.2 The Ems estuary 11

2.3 The Wadden Sea 13

2.4 The Weser estuary 17

2.5 The Elbe estuary 20

2.6 The Schleswig Holstein Wadden Sea area 22

2.7 The Danish Wadden Sea 30

3 A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF MAIN PROCESSES 35

3.1 Determining factors and timescales 35

3.2 Gross and net fluxes 36

3.3 Residence time of mud 37

4 SUSPENDED SEDIMENT CONCENTRATION 39

4.1 Spatial variations 39

4.2 Temporal variations 43 5 MUD AVAILABILITY IN THE SEDIMENT BED 49

5.1 Dutch Wadden Sea 49

5.2 Ems-Dollard estuary 50

5.3 Lower Saxony Wadden Sea 50

5.4 Weser Estuary 52

5.5 Elbe Estuary 52

5.6 Schleswig Holstein Wadden Sea 53

5.7 Danish Wadden Sea 53

5.8 Sand-mud segregation 54

5.9 Sand and mud in the Wadden Sea: two different worlds? 54 6 TOWARDS A MUD BUDGET 57

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.1 Mud sedimentation in the basins 57

6.2 Mud sedimentation in saltmarshes 65

6.3 Dredging activities 71

6.4 Internal reworking 75

6.5 The North Sea 77

6.6 Synthesis: a mud balance for the Wadden Sea and North Sea 88

6.7 Discussion: uncertainties 90 7 HUMAN INTERVENTIONS 93

7.1 Introduction 93

7.2 Poldering and closure works 93

7.3 Deepening and port construction 94

7.4 Landfills and sediment extraction 98

7.5 Managed realignment and depoldering 101

7.6 Foreland marsh development 103 8 SEA-LEVEL RISE 105

8.1 Past mud sedimentation 105

8.2 Present-day mud sedimentation: effect of tidal amplitude and storms 107

8.3 Future mud sedimentation 109 9 MODELLING PRACTICES: FOCUSING ON MUD 113

9.1 Process-based models 113

9.2 Aggregated models 116

9.3 Idealised models 118 10 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS 119

10.1 Discussion of the research questions 119

10.2 Testing the hypothesis 125

11 REFERENCES 129

12 WADDEN SEA RESEARCHERS AND PRACTITIONERS 153

1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 BACKGROUND

the basin’s ability to

‘ ’

1.2 RESEARCH QUESTIONS

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

oie an oeie o the bet in the ilateal aen ea base on eistin liteate an ata oie a bie oeie o the eistin nolee on the ynais in the ilateal aen ea oie an oeie o the aeas in the ilateal aen ea hee the ent onentation leels neatiely iat eoloy an eosition ates theaten sae naiability esltin in hih aintenane ein alate ent an te anaeent stateies an inteentions to tale elate obles sh as inease tbiity ales o eosition in habos an naiation hannels entiy the ain nolee as

o this en e hae olate the olloin eseah estions hat ae at esent the ain soes o the int o in the ilateal aen ea an ho h is annally iote oss an net an sbseently eosite hat ae the ain hyoynai oesses an seient tansot ehaniss eleant o the iot tansot an eosition o in the aen ea an o iotant is the ehane o beteen iniial tial basins hat is the natal ane o onentations as a ntion o loal enionental onitions an ho hae these onentations hane in esonse to han inteentions o hae these onentations been inlene e to laesale inteentions hih hae been sttal oe tie lan elaation lose os sbstantial lanill ith ee ateials e thee altenaties to eal ith elate obles hat is the satial istibtion o in sae eosits on shoals tial lats an salt ashes hat in o anaeent stateies inteentions an tools hae been se so a to eal ith elate obles in the aen ea o ee thei eets ease in tes o hysial an eoloial hanes o osteiient ee the eases e thee othe otions not yet eloe to eal ith elate obles an i so hat ol be the eiieny o these eases in ein the oble an ith eset to the osts hat has been the iat o lonte sealeel ise on the sly an eosition o an ho ill liate hane an aeleate sealeel ise alte these oesses ho is esently oin on hih elate eseah estion in the tilateal aen ea an hat is the tye o oete otoe o this eseah e ose eet iel sties oel scenario’s)? nalytial an neial oels lay an iotant ole in nestanin hinastin an eitin behaio in the aen ea o eliable an aate ae these oels hat in o ioeents ae neessay in tes o oess nolee an ileentation oel alibation an aliation

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

an o e researc esions aoe ae no e een aresse on e scae o e aen ea an aaiae aa an ierare is insicien o roie concsie ansers is reor ereore riari seres as a sarin oin on arescae naics an anaeen raer an roiin ina ansers ore seciica e ai o es e ooin oeses

i an an eosis are saia sereae ic inences no on eir isriion aso eir resonse o an inerenions an seaee rise ii e conriion o o oa seienaion raes in e oe riaera aen ea is ssania iii e sorces an e sins o are cose aance i eaee rise a ea o a sorae o nrooenic seien eracion a ea o a sorae o

1.3 STUDY AREA e area ic is consiere is e anis eran an c aen ea area incin e ree i esaries s eser an e s e aaiae aa are no er eaie e ecie o s e eeoens in e ooin arer reions c aen ea area ro e arsie ne o e aerse ner cieronnioo s esar e c area eas o e aerse o cieronnioo e esar roer o e eir a err) e oar area an e eran aen area o e aerse o or so ecin e asern s canne canne ic as ecoe ore ica or e oer aonian aen ea since iniin o e connecion i e esern s canne) e oer aonian aen ea area ro e aerse o or o eas o e inseneroo arrier isan an e ae eaen eser e esar o e eir an e area eas o i o e e e e esar o e eir an e area nor o i o e aerse o riscen e aen ea area o cesi osein ro e aerse o riscen o e a o e anis aen ea area ro e a o o e norernos ar o e aen area

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 1.1: Satellite image of the Wadden Sea during low showing the numbered sub-areas. (albedo39 Satellitenbildwerkstatt e.K., image processing; Brockmann Consult GmbH, scientific consulting; raw data: U.S. Geological Survey).

1.4 REPORT OUTLINE e reor se is as oos irs e roie a enera escriion o e s areas in ic e iscss e ain caracerisics incin ain ronaic riers e eoo an e e seiens aer ) e e iscss e ain ronaic rocesses an seien ransor ecaniss reean or e ior ransor an eosiion o in e aen ea aer ) n aer e roie an oerie o e nara rane o ssene concenraions aaiaii in e aer con) an in aer e eaorae on e aaiaii in e seien e irs ersion o a e or e riaera aen ea is resene in aer is e is ase on ierare an aa on e sorces ior o rein aciiies an reainin seienaion in e asins seen e eaorae on e iac o an inerenions aer ) an oenia eecs o seaee rise on is e aer ) n aer e eaorae on nerica) oein racices ocsin on as a iscssion on e ress an concsions are resene in aer

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2 A GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREAS

n orer o s e aance an e ncionin o in e riaera aen ea o enar eran an e eerans i as ecie o si e aen area ino seen arer reions ein ro es o eas) e c aen ea e s esar e oer aon aen ea e eser esar e e esar e cesiosein aen ea an e anis aen ea e resena oora an reaiin ronaic coniions i o a are een eerine ere is eosie see caer ) e eooica i an re)isoric eeoen eerine aaiaii in e ssrace ic is eece or an inerna sorce o see caer ) or is reason o are iscsse reaie eensie ase on aaiae ierare or eac area

2.1 THE DUTCH WADDEN SEA AREA

2.1.1 Characteristics e es o eas renin aen area o e eerans as a oa srace area o iin e ir or aia raeor irecies e acarrier aen ea ise as a oa area o soe an consiss o ia sa arses o ineria an sraia) iner an sia as an ia cannes ire )

e area consiss o ine sses nae ro es o eas arsie ieranse a eea an e ie ornie inea oaeraa an ianera ire ) eera resaer sreas are enerin e acarrier e aor ones are e ones ia sseeer an aerseer an e s e ines ae isans a eier sie an cear eeoe eia eas

seraions oer e erio so a increase in e c aen ea is r iin e a ) ereersen e a ) soe a e are ineranna ariaii o ean seaees iners e eecion o a resena acceeraion in seaee rise a oca scaes eir ress on seaee rise raes aree i reios inins iin e a ) erea an ranae ) soe a e ineranna ariaii o ean seaee o c) can e are eaine e es–eas coonen o e ne in ener ecor is ineranna ariaii is increasin i ear on seaee recors reeain a is increasin consisen aser in iner an ser i e in e saion o arinen risin o ies aser in iner an in ser) – see erea an ranae )

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.1 The inlet systems of the Wadden area of the (Courtesy Wadden Sea Secretariat).

(Smits et al., 2005), but trends in storms of ≥10 Bft could not be

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.2 Littoral sand drift along the Dutch Wadden coast, computed using wave data from stations IJmuiden (IJM, red arrows), (EIE, yellow arrows), K13 (magenta arrows), and (SCH, green arrows), in 106 m3/yr (From: Ridderinkhof, 2016).

(until the 80’s)

2.1.2 Geology

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.3 Differences in Holocene relative mean sea-level rise for the Dutch and NW German North Sea coast, making clear the differences on a regional scale. Sea-level rise in NW has been larger than in the Western Netherlands. The differences are mainly caused by relative glacio-isostatic subsidence (Mörner, 1979). Figure modified from Kiden et al. (2008), the sea-level curves are from Van de Plassche, 1982 (W Netherlands); Denys and Baeteman, 1995 (Belgium); Kiden, 1995 and 2006 (SW Netherlands) and Vink et al., 2007 (NW Germany). The sea- level curves depicted here correspond to the mid-lines of the sea-level error bands presented in these studies (From Oost et al., 2012).

e the es ee till ille ith et n ul e inise eltiel esil n e nete int ie eents (e uieee n uesee) thee enlin the til lue the estuies ie sins hih the ee t n the esten en e e the eeest ie lles ee le un 8000 (eets n n e e 000) he esent til inlet sitin is in e ses still eteine the e lles (ies et l 00), but most inlets seem to have “drifted” from their iinl ltins seill in the esten t the uth en e elete leistene uts n helns nsistin ine esits the le (senlst) litin n sn eltte esits the eihselin (lst) litin ee esent he islns eel n ieinen e un suh leistene esits

he ul the est isin ie isln hin e eteen 000000 nitill seienttin ul nt ill the se ete the il isin se ( entu) n inl sutil e e ine n ne intetil sn n u lts n slt shes ne the inln t the inln ens e t ise s hih stte t en n the inln estisi eteen 000000 (sie n teee s et l 0)

t ut 000 seient uultin ul eee the eeletin te seleel ise in the est isin en e e (iue ) n intetil sn lts ene (n eteen n n e e 00 s et l 0) n the llin illenni tt susiene in the esten t the est isin en e s eltiel le n seienttin s insuiient t ill the sins eehee esite eeletin slute

8 Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area sealevel rise os et al, ) n some laes the tidal area as etendin, e in the oorne, une and ivel areas os et al, ) n other laes the adden ea loall silted u and the salt marshes ould advane seaard os and an esteren, os et al, )

t about , a , the est risian barrierisland hain as still situated several ilometres offshore from its resent osition, meland, m and ershellin about m further northard in omarison ith their resent osition ha, a, b os et al, ) rom , a until toda, the hain of ebbtidal deltas and barrier islands has been retreatin landard at an averae miration rate in the order of mr, and a lare art of the sediment as deosited into the babarrier areas ost, )

he situation of the est risian adden area at , a is iven in iure t the mainland, tidal flats mered ith tidal marshes and lare braish areas hih ere flaned b etensive bos linin hiher sand areas sselin, os and nol, ) idall influened rivers and streams ere in oen onnetion ith the adden ea

Figure 2.4 Situation around AD 800. Orange = higher sand grounds; brown -= peats; yellow = coastal ;dark green = tidal marshes; light green = tidal flats; blue is subtidal area; contours of present day coasts are given (Oost et al., 2015).

he first loal dies surroundin smaller areas to safeuard arable fields and aainst most inter floods, ere resent from around and beame robabl relativel ide sread in estrisia around , a an der e, ost , , ) ine , a dies oriented alon streams ere built in order to hannel the outflo of aters , )

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.5 Sediment characteristics in the Dutch Wadden Sea area. From top to bottom: median and mean grain size in µm, gravel content (relatively high around ) and mud content (high north of and near the mainland. Based on sediment atlas Rijkswaterstaat. Data source: http://opendap.deltares.nl/thredds/catalog/opendatap/rijkswaterstaat/sedimentatlas_waddenzee/Karline Soetaert

a a ontinuous sstem of inter dies had been onstruted alon the entire est risian adden ea mainland oasts ost, ) eat subsidene due to ariulture led to floodin and before a man larer bas reahed their maimum area artl oinidin ith the onset of the ittle e e, suessful land relamation started, from time to time set ba b severe storm sures ost, ) round a and later, lare arts of the salt marshes had silted u to suh a level that the ould suessfull be embaned and etensive areas of land iddelee, auersee, ivelboeem) ere relaimed van der e, ost, ollmer et al, an eteren and van der e, ) he land relamations redued the surfae area of the tidal basins, reatin smaller tidal risms hih

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area in turn resulted in smaller tidal inlet sstems eause the mainland oast as roradin seaard and the barriers ere retreatin landard, the tidal basins beame smaller

he larer art of the sediments of the tidal area onsists of medium sied uart sands he sand is mainl derived from the orth ea oastal area, hih, as a result, retreated the mud is mainl riverine or bioeneti of oriin iure )

2.2 THE EMS ESTUARY

2.2.1 Characteristics he ms estuar is loated beteen the etherlands, rovine of roninen and erman, oer aon, and beteen the barrier island ottumeroo in the est and orum in the east or the urose of this stud e have added the eastern adden ea ith the smaller tidal inlets eeat van de auers, and hild – see iure ) eorahiall to the ms estuar he ms estuar onsists of an outer estuar and a onneted tidal river, the loer ms river he lenth of the estuar beteen the barrier islands and the eir at erbrum is m iure ) he tidal river is aroimatel m lon, and the outer estuar m he outer estuar onsists of tidal hannels and flats, hih beome inreasinl mudd in the landard diretion he most seaard setion is omosed of dee hannels ith a deth loall limited b leistoene substrate ieri et al, ) and sand shoals he outer area has to main outlets a estern hannel and an eastern hannel t resent, the estern hannel is the main outlet he middle reah is a tohannel sstem ith a main hannel the ‘Friesche Gaatje’) and an abandoned tidal channel (the ‘Bocht van Watum’). The outer estuary terminates in a mudd tidal embament non as the ollard

or the loal meteorolo, the reader is referred to the hater on the uth adden ea

and relamations arried out in the ast ears have reatl redued the intertidal area ine , the sie of the ms stuar the subtidal, intertidal and suratidal area) u to emshaven dereased b from to m errlin and iemeer, ) he ombined intertidal and suratidal area dereased b from to m uman interferenes in the estuar have aelerated in the ast ears, ith the onstrutionetension of three orts emshaven, elfil and mden), a lare shiard aenbur), and the deeenin of the shiin lanes

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.6 Map of the Ems estuary (including the lower reaches, the middle Reaches, and the Dollard estuary) and lower Ems River (between km 0 and 40). Adapted from De Jonge (2000).

The resentday aroimate maintenance deths o the aroach channels to the orts are m (emshaven) m (elijl) and m (mden) reuirin reular maintenance dredin. The loer ms iver as deeened rom a ater deth o m belo W to m belo W beteen the s and (van aren et al. b). This deeenin has led to stron tidal amliication ossibly amliied by the resence o the eir at erbrum constructed in (chuttelaars et al. ). The tidal rane at aenbur (m ) has increased rom . m in to . m in ith a major loerin o the tidal lo ater level (rebs and Weilbeer ). ntil the tidal rane eaed at mden ( m donstream o the eir at erbrum) because the tide as damened urther in the ustream direction. ince then hoever the oer ms has been deeened urther and the tide amliied ustreams o mden and noadays the tidal rane at aenbur eceeds the tidal rane at mden by .

2.2.2 Geology For the eneral local eoloy the reader is reerred to the chater on the utch Wadden ea.

The aleovalley incised durin the leistocene sealevel lo stand determined the location dimensions and inland enetration o estuaries such as the msollard (Wiersma et al. ). t as illed early durin the rise o the sea. riinally lare eatlands surrounded this droned river valley. ome land areas have oened to the sea in an early stae. They ere looded illed u ith inerained sediment and became land aain. ther areas such as the ollard and the eybucht ere breached durin medieval times. eat as artially eroded. nother art as comressed under the eiht o ne sedimentary deosits hich radually illed u the lare art o the areas. urin the ormation o the ollard the estuary idened considerably in the direction o mden.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2.3 THE LOWER SAXONY WADDEN SEA

2.3.1 Characteristics The est to east trendin Wadden area o oer aony has a total surace area o . m ithin the ationalar iederschsisches Wattenmeer. The bacbarrier Wadden ea consists o tidal marshes sura inter and subtidal lats and tidal channels (Fiure .).

The described area consists o (Fiure .) . nlet systems in the mesotidal area rom est to east Westerems sterems orderneyer eeat Wichter e ccumer e tumer Balje arle and . more eastern coast ith e islands in the suratidal area rom est to east ade Weser obinbalje and Westertill ordertill.

n eneral this area resembles stronly the utch Wadden area both or its aearance and the morhoenesis. everal reshater streams are enterin the bacbarrier the major one is the river ms hereas the more eastern hal is also stronly inluenced by the Weser and lbe estuaries. ost o the inlets have islands at either side and clearly develoed ebbtidal deltas but east o inseneroo the increasin tidal rane results in small suratidal shoals instead o islands. bservations over the ast century sho that increase in the oer aony Wadden ea is around . mmyr (tations Borum lte Weser Wanerooe West and orderney see also Wahl lbrecht et al. ). Tidal amlitude increases rom est to east rom . m at station Borum dstrand u to m in station Waneroo ost (B ). lso over time tidal amlitude has increased ith some .. mmyr (tations Borum lte Weser Wanerooe West and orderney). The mean siniicant ave heiht decreases rom . m in the Westerems to . m in the Blaue Balje (oast at data). lon the oer aony orth ea coast the littoral drit o sandy sediments is directed to the east and calculated to be .. myr (Fiure . idderinho ). For indiness storminess ave conditions and related stormsure conditions alon the Wadden ea the reader is reerred to the utch Wadden ea ararah .. Wave conditions and related ocean resonses in the area o ast Frisian Wadden ea and outhern orth ea are addressed by Grashorn et al () and chloen et al. () resectively.

everal lare enineerin interventions have been carried out in the area. The most imortant are the reclaimin o lare arts o the sterems area and the arle embayment and the deeenin o the Westerems the Weser and the lbe hich led to increases in tidal amlitude in a lare art o each estuary. nother imortant eature has been the rotection ors on most o the barrier islands. The estern tis o Borum orderney ieeroo and Wanerooe are rotected by roynes and stoneor (W Thoren ). The mainland is died and in ront o it marsh develoment ors have been constructed on many laces resultin in oreland salt marshes. n the barrier islands only the inhabited areas are surrounded by a closed chain o sand drit dies and bacbarrier dies.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.7 The inlet systems of the Wadden area of Lower Saxony (Courtesy, Wadden Sea Secretariat).

Figure 2.8 Littoral drift along the North Sea coast of Lower Saxony, computed using wave data from stations Schiermonnikoog (SCH, green arrows), Elbe (ELB, yellow arrows) and Fino1 (FN1, magenta arrows), in 106 m3/yr (From: Ridderinkhof, 2016).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2.3.2 Geology ter the last ce e relative sealevel rise as initially raid but decreased over time (see Fiure .). The risin sealevel olloed and modiied the mostly entle leistocene relie and determined the initial osition o the Wadden ea. The aleovalleys incised durin the leistocene sealevel lostand determined the location dimensions and inland enetration o estuaries such as the msollard and Weser estuaries and the adebusen (trei Wiersma et al. ). ome o the areas ere illed ith eat and could be incised relatively easily and be converted into bacbarrier embayments (e.. arle and adeembayments) thereby enlarin the tidal volume o the estuaries or bacbarrier basins o hich they ere art. n the ast Frisian Wadden ea area the deeest river valleys ere looded around a B (Beets and an der e ). The resentday tidal inlet osition is in a e cases still determined by the ormer valleys (Wiersma et al. ). ocally elevated leistocene outcros and headlands consistin o moraine deosits o the aale (secondlast) laciation and sandy deosits o the Weichselian (last) laciation ere resent ormin the resentday runden o oer aony. maller barrier islands sandy shoals or sand sits may have been resent in ront o the mainland coast as relicts o leistocene headlands (Flemmin and avis ).

The bul o the ast Frisian barrier island chain ormed beteen a B. nitially sedimentation could not ill the sace created by the raidly risin sea ( mcentury) and a mainly subtidal area ormed rined by a narro one o intertidal sand and mud lats and salt marshes near the mainland. t the mainland ens ave ay to raised bos hich started to eand on the mainland o east beteen esecially a B (etelberer et al. cstein et al. ).

n the olloin millennia ater B subsidence o the bottom in the ast Frisian Wadden ea as relatively lare and desite a deceleratin absolute sealevel rise sedimentation as insuicient to ill the basins everyhere (os et al. ). n some laces the tidal area as etendin (os et al. ). n other laces the Wadden ea silted u locally and salt marshes could advance seaard (see Behre os et al. ).

t about a B the ast Frisian barrierisland chain as still situated several ilometres oshore rom its resent osition (os et al. ). From a B until today the chain o ebbtidal deltas and barrier islands has been retreatin landard and a lare art o the sediment as deosited into the bacbarrier areas.

The situation o the ast Frisian Wadden area at a B is iven in Fiure .. t is the eriod beore man started to searate the various coastal environments rom each other by dies. t the mainland tidal lats mered into tidal marshes and lare bracish areas hich ere laned by etensive bos linin hiher sandy areas (sselin ). Tidally inluenced rivers and streams ere in oen connection ith the Wadden ea.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.9 Situation around 800 AD. Orange = higher sand grounds; brown -= peats; yellow = coastal dunes ;dark green = tidal marshes; light green = tidal flats; blue is subtidal area; contours of present-day coasts are given (Oost et al., 2017).

The irst local dies surroundin small areas to saeuard arable ields aainst tyical inter loods ere resent rom around B and became robably relatively ide sread in Frisia around a B (an der e ost y ). ince a B dies alon streams ere built in order to channel the outlo o aters (y ). By a B a continuous system o inter dies had been constructed alon the entire ast Frisian Wadden ea mainland coasts (y ). ue to eat subsidence as a result o ariculture areas ere looded and beore a B many larer bays reached their maimum sie. artly coincidin ith the onset o the ittle ce e successul land reclamation started rom time to time set bac by severe storm sures (ost ). round a B and later lare arts o the salt marshes silted u so hih that they could be embaned and etensive areas o land (eybucht aade inbruch chares Brac arlebucht) has been reclaimed (ollmer et al. an eteren and van der e ). and reclamations and the retreat o the barrier islands reduced the surace area o the tidal basins creatin smaller tidal risms hich in turn resulted in smaller tidal inlet systems. s technoloy u to the end o the th century as larely incaable o stoin larescale natural develoments many stron eastard shits o inlets and ebbtidal deltas occurred (iemeyer ).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Grain sies are mainly ine sandy on the tidal lats hereas medium to coarse rained sediments are resent in most o the inlets and around the islands (Fiure .). lon the mainland coasts and in the estuaries (esecially more ustream) and in the ade Busen ine rained sediments are dominant resultin in lare mudrich areas.

Figure 2.10 Median grain size distribution in m-classes of the Lower Saxonian area as given in the functional bottom model (Milbradt et al. 2015).

2.4 THE WESER ESTUARY

2.4.1 Characteristics The Weser is the secondlarest river in Germany discharin into the orth ea. The lenth o the estuary rom the tidal eir is aroimately m (Fiure .). The Weser estuary consists o the oer Weser beteen the eir and the city o and the uter Weser seaard o Bremerhaven. The tide inluenced tributaries are those o the chtum esum unte and Geeste. The uter Weser has a unnel shae oriented to the northest.

The tidal rane has increased in since the irst deeenin rom aro. . m to a current level o . m due to the deeenin o the oer and uter Weser. oadays mean tidal rane rises rom . m at the lihthouse lte Weser (aro. m ) to . m at Bremerhaven (aro. m ) and to . m at Bremenslebshausen (aro. m ). Beteen and the oer Weser as deeened to m chart datum. n the eriod the uter Weser as deeened to m chart datum.

Bottom sediments o the oer and uter Weser consist mainly o medium and ine sands. n the oer Weser lare ronounced bed orms (dunes suerimosed by riles) are resent due to currents. They have averae crest heihts o m at mean lenths o m hile maimum heihts o . m can be ound. eaards o ordenham these bedorms disaear. There the socalled “Nordenham mud section” (km 55–) is resent. This is the turbidity maimum one here muddy sediments dominate containin u to silt and clay and oranic matter (Grabemann and rause ller ). earbed concentrations eceed . l (Faner et al. iethmller et al. Grabemann and rause ). The turbidity maimum one is ormed due to the combined eects o tidal asymmetry (Grabemann et al. an et al. ) and nontidal estuarine ravitational circulation (iethmller et al. ).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.11 An overview of the Weser estuary (BIOCONSULT and NLWKN, 2012)

he unnelshaed uter eser has to main channels seeral secondar channels tidal ullies and etensie tidal lats (ane et al n this sand area the toorah chanes continuousl due to the stron hdrodnamics eore the main naiation channel in the inner estuar as estalished and rones and trainin alls ere iatin the main channels (earl th centur cclic ariations led to an alternatin reerence o the estern (edderarder rm or eastern (urster rm channel (ane et al ediments o the channels o the uter eser are mainl ine and medium sands n the ottom o the

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area naiation channel etensie lat sections alternate ith scoured areas or stretches ith sand aes hain crest heihts u to 5 m and lenths o u to m eendin on the location tidal lats and ullies consist o sand silt and all other sediment mitures

ikes ere irst uilt on the loer reaches o the eser ier aout are areas o the loodlain ere thus searated rom the estuar he eser estuar ot its resent shae in the iddle es hereater ortiied emankments and dikes ere uilt (raemann n the eriod 5 the irst reulation o the rier course as undertaken in order to uarantee assae or seaoin essels ith a drat o less than 5 m s a result the tidal ae could enetrate almost unimeded till remen n the th centur additional chanes and imroements ere made to adat to increasin shi sies and to counter the reaction o the estuarine sstem (ale rainin orks and alls etties and rones ere uilt to stailie the course and rotect the emankments and shorelines (oers ue to the enetration o the tide leels ere allin resultin in loer round ater tales ustream o remen n the eriod a eir as uilt in emelinen to sto this deeloment n the s the storm sure arriers ere uilt at the mouth o the triutaries unte esum und chtum

or meteoroloical conditions the reader is reerred to the section in the descrition o oer aon

Table 2.1 Overview of river deepening and correction measures in the Lower and Outer Weser (SKN = nautical chart datum; from Lange et al., 2008)

2.4.2 Geology or the eneral oerie o the deeloment o the eser area the reader is reerred to the chater on the eolo o the oer aon area adiocaron measurements and ollen analsis indicates that the North ea reached the eser area around

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2.5 THE ELBE ESTUARY

2.5.1 Characteristics he le is the larest rier in erman discharin into the North ea rom the eir at eesthacht until it los into the North ea the km lon estuar is dominated tides rom the eesthacht eir the le is tideinluenced and knon as the inner le (nnenele u to uhaen rom thereon it is knon as the uter le (ussenele he inner le consists o a o le (nterele startin at the eir at eesthacht and the oer le (Niederele endin at uhaen ithin amur the nterele has a numer o ranches such as oe le ose le hlrand Northern le (Norderele eiherstie outhern le (derele some o hich hae een disconnected dikes

he les to main ranches Northern le and the hlrand reunite south o ltona ltstadt in amur cit t kilometer (see ottom o iure the Northern and the outhern le used to reunite hich is h the a there is seen as the startin oint o the oer le (Niederele t uhaen the oer le los into the ussenele hich connects to the North ea he National ark amurisches attenmeer eists since and has a surace area o ca ha t is art o the le estuar and includes the islands Neuerk charhoern and Niehoern

Figure 2.12 Overview of the Elbe estuary. TIDE factsheet

n the earl th centur the estuar as still relatiel natural (iure and iure t that time the le estuar near amur as still relatiel shallo ith a ater deth o aout m lot o small islands ormed a delta close to amur ince then the le has een deeened times and is no assale u to amur or shis that need a deth o 5 m

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.13 Development of high water and low water levels at St. Pauli station with running mean and the various management measures in the Elbe estuary (Meine, 2011).

Figure 2.14 High water and low water levels along the estuary in 1900 (blue) and 2010 (red) (after Meine, 2011).

n the tidal amlitude as still some m at amur (iure t the mouth o the le estuar tidal ranes are circa m (uhaen rom there it increases u to amur aint auli to m ater hich it decreases to some 5 m in the direction o the eir at eesthacht he lood eriod is shorter than the e eriod a rocess associated ith a lood dominated asmmetr in tidal currents hich causes tidal umin and ustream sediment transort

or meteoroloical conditions the reader is reerred to the chater on chlesi olstein

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2.5.2 Geology or the eneral oerie o the eolo the reader is reerred to the chater on chlesi olstein

urin the lster ce e ( ears ao melt ater eroded channels u to m dee hich ere later illed ith sands urin the aale ce e ( – ears ao land ice reached the area ands eles and oulder cla ere deosited at oth sides o the le alle and ormed a heiht eteen mainl to m aoe resentda sea leel n the loer areas north o the le u to m thick eatlands ere ormed (ao iether oor immelmoor olmmoor hmoor lasmoor ittmoor and endorer oor

urin the eichsel ce e (5 – ears ao laciers ended Northeast o the le n these das the rier lo as dierted to the Northest and the le acted as a marinal lacial meltater sstem loin arallel to the eichselian iceront ee alles ere ormed such as those o the lster ille andse and innau oether ith the aleo alle o the le the determine the resentda landscae o the amur reion ter the eichsel ce e sealeel rose once more and tidal ater could enter the le alle and turn the alle into a road estuar his led to the eneration o rier shits and island ormation he mud lats near the le estuar are elieed to hae een aoe sealeel durin oman histor and to hae een inundated hen the shoreline sank durin the th centur

2.6 THE SCHLESWIG HOLSTEIN WADDEN SEA AREA

2.6.1 Characteristics he southnorth oriented orld eritae adden area o chlesi olstein has a total surace area o km and ranes rom the mouth o the rier le u to the anish order the island lt he adden ea o chlesi olstein itsel has a total area o some 5 km and consists o small islands hich ma or ma not e inhaited the socalled allien ( o the area or urther elanation see hater tidal marshes ( tidal lats (5 and tidal channels ( iure 5

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.15 The inlet systems of the Wadden area of Schleswig Holstein: Norderhever-Heverstrom to Hörnum Tief (Courtesy, Wadden Sea Secretariat).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.16 Detailed overview of the inlet systems of Schleswig Holstein.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.17 Littoral drift along the Schleswig Holstein coastline, computed using wave data from stations Helgoland (HLG, magenta arrows) and (SLT, green arrows), in 106 m3/yr (From: Ridderinkhof, 2016).

’ 1990’s

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.18 Development of the MHW, mid-tide and MLW over the period 1940-2007 as a mean of the stations: List, Hörnum, Wittdünn, Dagebüll, Husum, Büsum and Helgoland (MELUR, 2013).

Figure 2.19 Observations of the annual highest storm surges at Husum gauge (MELUR, 2013)

s s s s s s s s s s s 19000 ss ss s s s ss s s ss 00 s sss s s s ss s s

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.20 Annual hours of storm surges higher than +2.0 and 2.4 m NN at tidal gauge station List on Sylt over the period 1900-2004 (MELUR data, courtesy of Hofstede). NN is the reference level in the German Ordnance system, and is identical to Dutch NAP (both approximately corresponding to MSL).

2.6.2 Geology ss s s s s s s ss s s s s s s s s sss s s ss 00 s s s s s s s 110 s s s ss s s s ss s s s s sss s ss s

s s s s s 00000 00 s 00 sss 00 00 00 s 009 011 s ss s s s s s s s s s s s s

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

ss s s s s s 1 s s ss ss eest Islands and extensive “Außensänden” in , and the s 199

s s s ss ss ss s ss s s s 199 s 00 s s s s s s s s s s s s s ss ss s ss s s s ss s s s ss s ss s s s ss s ss 19

1000 s s sss ss s s s s s s ss s s s 1991 001 00 00 00 s ss s s s 00 s s s s 001 s 10001100 s s s s s s s s s s ss s 001 s s ss s s s ss s s s s ss s s s s s s 199 199 1 s s s s s s s ss “Außensänden” remained ap s

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.21 Geological map of the Schleswig Holstein Wadden Sea area (Falk, 2001).

he larer part of the sediments of the tidal area onsists of mediumsied uart sands ut it is learl visile on iure that the hannels of ever, Aue, and espeiall rnum ief and ister ief are harateried oarserained sediments indiatin erosion into the leistoene moraine deposits or transport of oarser materials in meltater of the ontinental ie sheets, the sturd oulder las his miht e an explanation to the eneral la of meanderin in the deeper inlet hannels he sand is mainl oriinatin from the North ea oastal area, hih, as a result, retreated the mud is mainl riverine or ioeneti of oriin iure Ahrendt, ,

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 2.22 Median grain size distribution in µm-classes of the Schleswig Holstein Wadden Sea area as given in the functional bottom model (Milbradt et al. 2015).

2.7 THE DANISH WADDEN SEA

2.7.1 Characteristics he southnorth oriented anish adden ea area has a total area of some m iure aursen and rie, It onsists of four inlet sstems, from south to north ister ister ief, uvre , nude and rd, situated eteen lt, m, and, an and the allinen peninsula iure everal small ompared to erman and uth adden area freshater rivers are enterin the aarrier he maor one is the

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

arde enterin the rd via an open estuar In rd and ister , the rate of sedimentation exeeds relative sealevel rise Invardsen, a,

Figure 2.23 The inlet systems of the Wadden area of : Lister Dyb to Grådyb (Courtesy, Wadden Sea Secretariat).

idal amplitude is m stdiretoratet, aursen and rie, he mean sinifiant ave heiht dereases from ister a m to rd a m oast at data Alon the est oast of utland littoral drift is direted to the south, amountin to mr iure idderinhof, revailin esterl inds exeed ms for of the time and ms for of the time he stron littoral drift fores the main inlet hannels southards I and I, until the eurrent ill ut throuh the etidal

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area delta and forms a more diret route In the proess an elevated etidal delta sand od is left south of the ne e hannel and transported toards the oast aves arthold and erup,

Figure 2.24 Littoral drift along the Danish coastline, computed using wave data from stations Fanø (FNO, red arrows) and Sylt (SLT, green arrows), in 106 m3/yr (From: Ridderinkhof, 2016).

servations indiate that in the anish adden ea is mmr in the period omparison to the averae rate of sealevel rise of mmr in the th entur at ser, suests aeleration in reent ears laener et al, oever, are should e taen, as shorter time series ma inore lonterm flutuations and thus lead to fault onlusions illinh et al, Indeed, the aeleration is not oserved in North risian part of hlesi olstein see there ,

ive out of six I stations in utland indiate that ind has een inreasin over the period to ith mean ind inreasin from ms to ms in the period laener et al, revailin hih ind ener from the is oinident ith the hih ave ener periods laener et al, everal lare enineerin interventions have een arried out in the area he most important are the dams to lt and m and the tidal road to and Alon the mainland oastal protetion ors and ors are present Alon the rd mainland oast the harour ton of ser has een developed he atera to the harour of ser has een deepened and is maintained dredin

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

2.7.2 Geology urin the seond last Ie Ae aalian the area as laiated, and moraines ere deposited hih eame later elevated urin the last Ie Ae eihselian the terminal line of the ie sheet as a m east of the presentda adden ea elt aters drained to the est into the North ea asin sealevel aout m loer than at present As a result, outash plains formed eteen the older moraines iure aosen, arthold and erup,

Figure 2.25 Geological map of the Danish Wadden Sea (Jacobsen, 1993)

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

he east and north of enmar experiened a postlaial isostati adustment to the removed ie sheet In omination ith the postlaial eustati sealevel rise, this resulted in reressiontransressionalternations arthold and erup, It is enerall elieved that the adden area has een isostatiall stale durin the oloene, at least durin the present Initiall the postlaial sealevel rise veloit as hih, ut raduall sloed edersen et al ave onl m over the past ears his led to a muh more restrited erosion of the oast or instane, the northern spit of lt as formed as earl as the seaard part has een eroded indhorst, , hereas m proraded seaard sine , a , due to aundant sediment suppl adsen et al, from the updrift etidal delta eteen lt and m eteen r sealevel rise as some mentur ith liel several hihstands After r sealevel rise as slo and aain liel puntuated several hihstands

As a result of the floodin the outash deposits have een reored into arrier islands n the mainland the outash deposits and the moraines ere eroded and formed liffs oall tidal marsh deposits formed hih have een partiall relaimed

It is not ompletel lear hen the arrier islands ere formed It is thouht that anli, the eastern part of an, and, and ordsand formed a sstem of old arrier islands arthold and erup, Aaard et al, he reent arrier islands formed in the period he development of oresand is onsidered to fill the ap in the ro of the ne, more esterl loated arrier islands, hih onsist of allinen the most reent arrier island, an, oresand and m stinspetoratet, lt is an erodin leisto lioene ore otes liff and surroundins hih has an even more estern position than the anish islands more to the north

he larer part of the anish adden ea onsists of fine to oarse sand he area of , mixed flats and tidal marshes ith a hih mud ontent is rather small

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

3 A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF MAIN PROCESSES

In this hapter e disuss the main hdrodnami proesses and sediment transport mehanisms relevant for the import, transport and deposition of mud in the adden ea esides, e disuss the residene time of mud inside the asins, and the exhane of mud eteen individual tidal asins and eteen the suparts of the rilateral adden ea sstem

3.1 DETERMINING FACTORS AND TIMESCALES erman et al reonied three important fators and three important time sales here proesses operate that determine oth the suspended partiulate matter in the ater olumn and the mud ontent of sediments in the adden ea see iure

Figure 3.1 Schematic diagram of the most important processes affecting mud dynamics in the Wadden Sea. After: Herman et al. (2018). The light blue arrows indicate the mud sources, the dark blue arrows show mud extraction, by salt marshes and landfills and the white arrows show mud transport between the basins and the North Sea and between the individual basins.

he fators are • he quantity of mud, some of hih is in suspension ut most of hih is stored in the seaed, in an either eas or diffiult to erode state • he properties of mud hih determine oth horiontal and vertial transport ie sedimentation, erosion and transport, mainl harateried settlin veloit, ritial shear stress for erosion and the erosion rate • he hydrodynamic forces atin on mud, steered the tide, ind, aves and freshater dishare see also iure

he time sales are hort tidal to sprinneap tidal das, intermediate seasonal to multiear, and lon ears, ie morpholoial time sale

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

At the short time sale, most proesses related to deposition, resuspension and transport exhane eteen the adden ea and North ea of suspended material tae plae At the ver lon timesale deadal e oserve interations eteen maor hdroloial hanes e hanes in tidal volume eause of land relamations, losures of uideree and auersee, mirations of tidal divides and mud ontent of the sediments oever, the oservations also point to a third time sale, hih ranes from seasonal to multiear, here the surprisingly long ‘memory’ of the system resides. There are yeartoear variations oth in mud ontent of the sediment and onentrations, hih have autoorrelations up to more than one ear, and here, eause of this, averae flutuations ma divere from the lontime averae for a numer of suessive ears his time sale is often neleted in oneptualiations of mud dnamis, ut it appears to pla an important role in the time dnamis of the oservation series

Note that this does not exlude other fators that an e important from a manaement point of vie, suh as influene of iota, fisheries and dredin erman et al explain that these influenes operate mainl throuh hanes in the main fators mentioned aove see also iure

Figure 3.2 Schematic and generic diagram of the most important processes affecting SPM levels. By: Herman et al. (2018).

3.2 GROSS AND NET FLUXES In multipleinlet sstems lie the adden ea, lare amounts of sediment are exhaned ith the adaent sea durin e and flood or an inlet, the amount enterin ith flood is enerall uneual to the amount leavin ith e, ivin a residual flux of suspended sediment over a tidal period he residual flux is ver small ompared to the ross flux and is

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area highly ariale in spae and in time erema et al. assi et al. . hange proesses eteen the adden ea and surrounding systems inlude the orth ea oastal one and freshater disharge. ross ehange rates eteen the orth ea and eah of the tidal asins are in the order of tonyr and net import rates are roughly to of the gross ehange rate erman et al. .

The residual flu of ater and sediment in the adden ea is in the eastarddiretion generating a residual transport oer the tidal diides. The arsdiep inlet is the first inlet enountered y the northard plume along the uth oast and is hene a faourale loation for import au et al. erema et al. . ost of this sediment ill not e eported again in the dondrift tidal inlet ut rather e transported eastard aross the atershed uranatute et al. . The large ontriution of ind to residual transport oer tidal diides as first estalished using numerial models tane et al. uranatute et al. assi et al. urhard et al. errling and inter . ts importane as orroorated through oserational data y an eerdenurg in the estern adden ea. The ontriution of the ind to residual flo and transport oer intertidal areas of the estern adden ea as analysed in detail y olosimo et al. ho shoed that a single and een moderately strong ind eent may transport the same amount of sediment transported during ees of tidedominated onditions. s a result of the dependene of residual transport of sediment on storms sediment is mostly deposited in the eastard erman ight during periods ith high ind eloities sters et al. .

epresentatie estimates of oerall transports are still laing eause of the high short and longterm ariaility indued y the ind and the logisti diffiulties in measuring ontinues flues oer a tidal diide. esidual flues therefore need to e omputed using numerial models. oeer numerial models themseles introdue unertainties espeially in residual uantities as net transport is often a small differene eteen to muh larger gross sediment flues assi et al. mits et al. . s ill e elaorated in more detail in hapter important soures of unertainties in net sediment transport arise from the meteorologial onditions definition of ind limate ariaility shematiation of ae drien transportresuspension geometry of the asins inluding model resolution and sediment parameter settings. etermining aerage residual flues therefore reuires running a large amount of meteorologial years and model parameter settings hih is hallenging from a omputational point of ie. n order to improe our noledge on the net ehange eteen asins more longterm measurements in omination ith dediated modelling is needed.

3.3 RESIDENCE TIME OF MUD hile adetie ehange of ater eteen the adden ea and the orth ea has a time sale of ees only idderinhof adetie ehange of mud an hae muh longer time sales eause large uantities of mud are stored ithin the ed and an e resuspended in the future erman et al. . ased on traer studies it is estimated that the residene time of mud in the uth oastal one in the ater olumn and the sediment ed omined is multiple years an essel et al. .

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

The residene time of mud has not een uantified in a similar ay for the adden ea. oeer as large parts of the system are depositional the residene time of mud in the ed must e muh longer in the adden ea than in the fairly energeti orth ea. ud has een depositing here for millennia forming sustantial mud uffers ithin the adden ea area. large part of these deposits is no losed off from the sea through onstrution of dies. eertheless ithin the adden ea area sustantial olumes of mud are still present of hih a part an e eroded during energeti onditions e.g. heay storms.

isma et al. estimated the time sales of transport and deposition of mud in the adden ea using an unstale isotope of lead measured in suspended and ed sediments. The transfer time the aerage time needed for dissoled to eome adsored onto partiles is . days the remoal time the aerage time needed to remoe partiulate from the ater olumn is . days and the residene time the aerage time during hih remains in the addensea is . days. This is relatiely short refleting the rapid ehange of ater and suspended matter eteen the analysed flats in the adden ea and the oastal orth ea and the freuent settling and resuspension of suspended matter.

mits et al. eplain that the residene time of mud ithin the adden ea determines at hih timesale the dynami amount of mud ill sustantially ary. They estimated the residene time ased on model simulations y omparing mud transport flues net and gross and mud aailaility in the ed. They shoed that the residene time largely depends on the fall eloity of the mud partiles espeially related to the density and sie of flos eing signifiantly larger for partiles ith a large settling eloity on aerage days ompared to partiles ith a small settling eloity on aerage days sine the fastsettling partiles interat more ith the sediment ed. ased on their results they estimated an aerage loer limit of the residene time of days and an upper limit of years. The loer limit in the order of half a year ill proaly e a etter indiation for relatiely dynami areas lose to the inlets hile the upper limit in the order of a deade represents the residene time in lodynami areas suh as the salt marshes along the mainland oast.

There is also an assumed transport of from est to the east in the adden ea aane et al. . sing a physial miing model of the uth adden ea erhagen alulated the adaptation time of the sediment uality in arious parts of the adden ea. y using the interannual trend of lead onentration in the surfae sediments he ould uantify the time an partile needs to trael from the estern to the eastern parts of the uth adden ea. ording to the results it taes aout years for and assoiated ontaminants to trael through the uth adden ea from the est to the east.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

4 SUSPENDED SEDIMENT CONCENTRATION

uspended mud onentrations sho a ery ide natural range oth spatially and temporally. idterm ariations an hae natural and anthropogeni auses. amples of natural auses are the ae limate meteorologial ariation ind air pressure effets y mirophytoenthos ater salinity and temperature ariations ertial miing and hanging properties of fine sediments y for instane floulation. n the other hand human interentions hae an impat y arrying out dredging atiities and regulating freshater output into the asins. uman atiities suh as land relamations and etration of mud an also influene the longterm ariation of suspended mud onentrations. n this hapter e riefly disuss osered spatial and temporal ariations of suspended mud onentrations rought aout y natural fators. n hapter the human interentions are disussed.

4.1 SPATIAL VARIATIONS

4.1.1 Introduction The deelopment of suspended mud onentrations is ompliated eause settling eloity and ritial shear stress for erosion are not diretly lined to partile sie. loulation proesses influene settling eloity hereas onsolidation and diatom oers of ed sediment influene erosion properties.

4.1.2 The larger picture nalysis of data erman et al. olleted as part of the uth national ater monitoring programme T reealed that ithin the orth ea transets off eeland off oordi and off Tershelling is primarily determined y the ater depth the timeaeraged onentration depends linearly on the logarithm of depth leeld et al. . oeer most adden ea stations hae a mean onentration ell aoe that of the orth ealeels and a diret orrelation ith the depth does not eist. The in e.g. a hannel station is also influened y proesses in the intertidal tane et al. therey osuring any depthdependeny in the oserations. multiyear trend analysis of did reeal the eistene of multiyear ariaility in i.e. alues may e loer or higher for a period of multiple years oer larger spatial domains suh as the adden ea orth ea orthern part orth ea outhern part et.. oeer this multiannual ariaility may differ per spatial domain i.e. a period of seeral years ith eleated onentrations in one area does not orrespond ith multiyear trends in another area ithout any autoorrelation eteen areas.

4.1.3 Basin variations rainsie frations in tidal asins are sorted aording to an energy gradient see e.g. yandi lemming and iegler . The general trend shos a derease ith oth tidal and ae energy and hene in grain sie from the inlet to the landard side of the asin. ud d. mm here log d is thus dominant in the ater olumn in the loestenergy parts of the tidal asin.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

rain sies a. . mm diameter are sometimes alled the suspension population as the differenes eteen urrent eloities needed for entrainment of a grain or to suspend them in the ater are ery lo an in . Thus a distintion an e made eteen finer sediments which are almost totally transported in suspension (the ‘suspension population’) and a socalled ‘bed load population’ of coarser grains. The latter group is partly transported oer the ottom and ill only e suspended at fairly high urrent eloities . ms. nder normal onditions suh urrent eloities an our for longer periods during the tidal yle in the deeper hannels ut only our for a short period in the shalloer hannels gullies shoals marshes rees et. ear the inlet and in some parts of the main hannel the urrent eloities are suffiiently high that een oarse sand ill e pied up.

oing from the inlet toards the end of the hannel systems under normal onditions the grain sie of partiles suspended in the ater olumn dereases ostma . The to main sediment populations suspension population and ed load population are learly separated here. The oarser sands of the ed load population are mainly to e found near the inlet and sho a ui derease toards the aarrier. rom hannel lags the shells and stones hih are left ehind after the ashing out of sands don to sand of a. . mm the distriution is learly determined y the urrent eloities in the hannel. The suspension population in the hannel inreases in onentration ith inreasing distane from the inlet highest onentrations are found loser to the end of the hannels igure ..

ithin this suspension population there is also a ery lear derease in the median grain sie toards the end of the hannels. The same is also true for the median grain sie and the lay ontent at the sediment surfae of the hannels ysin . The oserations strongly suggest that the suspension transport in hannels funtions to sort the arious grain sie frations. lthough tidal urrents dominate the igger hannels ae and indgenerated turulene does influene the smaller hannels ostma . t is important to realie that also the shoals eome muddier in the diretion of the mainland y settling lag and sour lag effets. part of this material ill e rought a from the shoals toards the hannels. This implies that the onentrations of suspended matter do not hae to orrelate ompletely ith the loal urrent eloities in the hannels ysin .

n this report e argue that the sorting of mud is determined y the urrents and aes oth in the smaller hannels and on the shoals eause . eletion to grain sie is learly isile in the ater olumn of the hannels . n the hannels parallel to the mainland in igure . stations and the grain sie learly dereases toards the end. t the same time the intertidal to supratidal oast is ery rih in mud. This an only e eplained y deposition of the oarser suspended material of the mud rih ater and transporting the finer material to the end of the hannel . odel studies sho that in sutidal areas the onentrations of mud are lo near the inlet due to tidally drien ed shear stress. lso mud onentrations are high toards the end of the hannels due to a omination of tidal and aedrien shear stress. This is in good aordane ith field data. n general it is osered ieuenhuis and predited an rooien and ang that mud ill e enountered some m

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

distance from the inlet in the case of the meland inlet (igure . ieuwenhuis an rooien and ang ).

Figure 4.1 Suspended sediment concentrations of various grain sizes in the Borndiep channels as measured in September 1958 (Postma, 1961).

Figure 4.2 Mud content of the sediment versus distance from the gorge (Nieuwenhuis, 2001).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

n the tidal flats current elocities are generally low. s soon as the tidal flat is flooded current elocities drop sharply. The coarser grains are deposited near the channel edge forming the channel leees. uring the ebbphase the highest current elocities occur when the flats are (almost) dry. onseuently suspension transport dominates on the intertidal shoals with the eception of the leees. ysin and iegel () agreed with ostma () that wae action on the tidal flats dominated and that currents were not important. oweer obserations show that currents also play an important role

The grain sie decreases in general going from the islands towards the mainland (ostma amps lemming and yandwi lemming and iegler sediment atlas ). This suggests that also currents must be of influence otherwise the sheltered areas near the islands would probably be muddier. The decrease in grain sie towards the mainland (see lemming and yandwi ) can partially be eplained from the settling lag and scour lag effects (ostma an traaten and uenen ) and partially by the sorting in the tidal channels as discussed before. n comparable sub enironments the median grain sie decreases from west to east (ysin ). ince the tidal flats east of chiermonnioog are far less sheltered than the ones south of meland or chiermonnioog this cannot be eplained by wae effects alone (only waes would lead to highest mud content directly south of the islands. This suggests that currents liely in combination with storminduced setup setdown lead to eastward transport of fines (such as the prealent eastward wind drien transport coinciding with storm setup during winds from the to . amps () found that during storm surges the tide and winddrien currents determine the direction of sediment transport on the shoals. odel studies indicate that areas where mud deposition occurs are mainly determined by the tide. en though in shallow water depths waes determine how much and how fast mud can be suspended the tidal currents determine the actual transport (ieuwenhuis ).

ll in all it can be concluded that grain sie fractions in tidal basins are deposited according to an energy gradient (lemming and iegler yandwi ).

4.1.4 Influence of hydrodynamic conditions in the wider area uspended sediment concentrations are not simply a factor of entrainment and deposition i.e. the waterbed echange (as discussed aboe). lso processes in the water column (settling ersus ertical miing) play an important role. This is uite eident in estuaries where estuarine turbidity maima are determined by many hydrodynamic and sediment dynamic processes (urchard et al. tane et al. ).

oriontal salinity gradients generate horiontal gradients in the nearbed hydrostatic pressure (driing a nearbed flow directed to areas with low salinity) and a sloping free water surface (driing a seaward directed current near the surface). n most estuaries this gies rise to a ertical graitational circulation with landwarddirected currents near the bed and seawarddirected currents near the water surface. ith sediment concentrations typically

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area higher close to the bed this graitational circulation leads to net landward transport of sediment.

This salinitydrien circulation increases nonlinearly with the water depth. n water depths of seeral meters (pristine conditions in many natural estuaries) such a salinitydrien circulation is not important. t water depths eceeding m a pronounced salinitydrien circulation often deelops in the transition one of salt and fresh water. t water depths eceeding m it often becomes a dominant mechanism for sediment transport.

n summary the relatie importance of these processes for trapping is determined by topography fluial and tidal forcing — because the interaction determines the degree of miing and stratification — and composition. ud transport is steered by hydrodynamic conditions in the wider area and with important memory effects. Typically mud transport is drien by supply (sins and sources) rather than by transport capacity as is the case with sand.

4.1.5 Fluid mud layers uring the past decades the accumulation of flocculated cohesie sediments and the formation of wealy consolidated mud deposits including fluid mud gained attention. luid mud is deposited in depressions in troughs of subaueous dunes in the form of mud drapes during slac water or as largescale bed coers in areas with abundant mud supply. ntrainment is controlled by local production of turbulence which is in turn influenced by local morphology.

luid mud may deelop in areas where the deposition rate is ery high as mud consolidation times scale uadratically with the thicness of the deposit. This occurs for instance in coastal systems where mud transport conerges in energetic areas (resulting in regular resuspension of the mud). ud particles in the water column are ept in suspension by turbulent miing and therefore the strong turbulence damping at the interface between the fluid mud and the water column promotes settling of mud into the fluid mud. This leads to positie feedbac mechanisms in which muddy fluid muddominated areas become progressiely muddier.

n the adden ea fluid mud is primarily confined to the estuaries (most prominent in the lower ms ier) and arious harbours. oweer fluid mud may also deelop in naigation routes in the tidal basins. egular infilling of the access channel to the ferry platform at olwerd has led to a rapid increase in dredging uantities in the last years.

4.2 TEMPORAL VARIATIONS

4.2.1 Tidal variations uring slac tide in subtidal areas mud deposits on the bed as a thin (seeral mm thic) layer resulting in low concentrations around the turn of the tide. uring the flood and ebb phase resuspension occurs and mud concentrations in the water increase (igure . and igure .). ue to the asymmetry of the tides current elocities in a channel may be either characteried by a shorter duration of the flood or ebb period which results in higher current elocities and a higher chance of erosion (isser e oer and ost ). n addition

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 4.3 Sediment concentrations during the tide on the locations 9 (large channel Borndiep) and 6 (small channel eastward of Veerdam, for the different fractions (from: Postma, 1961). The numbers at the lines correspond to the fractions: 1: total suspended matter; 4: fraction < 63 µm; 5: Fraction < 32 µm; 6: Fraction < 16 µm; 7: Fraction < 8 µm.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

4.2.2 Seasonal variations

Figure 4.4 Monthly relative deviation from the long-time average concentration of SPM in the different systems of the Netherlands continental shelf. From: Herman, et al. (2018).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 4.5 Annual variation of the percentage of sediment <16 micron in the top 0.5 cm of the intertidal flats near the mainland (average of 15 separate observations). The smooth line is a third order polynomial fit (Oost, 1995; data from Kamps, 1956).

4.2.3 Annual variations likely. There are no clear signs of ‘clouds of elevated SPM’ drifting into the Wadden Sea

4.2.4 Long-term variations developments

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area to sutidal area hich restricts ud deosition. or the s estuary it has een shon that such decrease in sedientation sace for fines results over the course of several decades the SS ay increase consideraly van Maren et al. . iven the historic develoent over the ast illennia here any eayents and tidal flats silted u and ere diked it can e eected that turidity ay have increased consideraly ithin the reaining Wadden Sea and its estuaries. oever direct roof is not availale.

Figure 4.6 Light attenuation coefficient k in the Western Wadden Sea, using data of Giesen et al. (1990), suggesting a decreasing visibility from 1920 to 1990. The R2 correlation coefficient is only 0.18 because of the large scatter in the k-values (van Maren et al., 2016).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

5 MUD AVAILABILITY IN THE SEDIMENT BED

n this chater e descrie the satial distriution of ud in surface deosits on shoals tidal flats and salt arshes in tidal asins and estuaries of the Wadden Sea.

5.1 DUTCH WADDEN SEA iksaterstaat collected an etensive set of seaed sales fro the Wadden Sea including tidal asins inlets and arrierisland coasts iksaterstaat . Mud is alost coletely asent in sales fro the orth Sea each the etidal delta and the ain tidal channels. The ud content increases in sales fro the lee side of the arrier islands and in the direction of the ainland.

The overall sedient distriution in the Western utch Wadden Sea is characteried y a strong sandud segregation hich has also een oserved and descried in various earlier studies e.g. Posta van Straaten and uenen de loer van edden arts . We oserve distinct differences in the ud deosits eteen the Western art corresonding to the Marsdie ierlandse at and lie inlets and the astern art u to the sollard estuary. n the Western art shoals are ainly sutidal and consist of fine sand ith a of aout μ. The central arts of the asins ainly consist of sandy channels ith lo ud content. Surface ud deosits can e found along the ainland coastline here surface sedients have a tyical ud content of u to . n addition aandoned channels raidly filled in ith fine sedients after the closure of the uideree in and these ud deosits are still resent in the uer ed olina lonso et al. .

n the astern utch asins ore ud rich intertidal and sutidal shoals are resent. ear the coastlines and the atersheds the ud content suddenly increases to high values over a liited distance. or the ackarrier area S of eland it as oserved that ud content is higher in the eastern art of the eland tidal asin than in the estern art ieuenhuis . This ight e related to the distance fro the inlet van Prooien and Wang and to aiu ed shear stress during the tidal cycle hich is higher in the estern ackarrier area ieuenhuis . urtherore here filterfeeders are resent local atches ith high ud content are oserved in areas ith otherise relatively lo ud content ost . y closing off the tidal asin auersee in an iortant ud sink as reoved. s a conseuence the atershed eteen Schieronnikoog and the ainland ecae uddier in the years olina lonso . oler et al. shoed that the intertidal flats in the utch Wadden Sea have ecoe slightly sandier in the eriod the edian grain sie of the sedient has increased ith an average yearly increase in ean grain sie of . μ and the ud fraction has decreased ith an average reduction of . er year.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

5.2 EMS-DOLLARD ESTUARY n the sollard the ud content is relatively high in . The tidal flats of the ollard tyical ud content is . The ain channel of the ollard the roote at. This difference is ost ronounced hen coaring the ud content in the roote at ith the eringslaat located southest of the roote at . The loer s iver and the den navigation channel roo et al. .

roo et al. shoed that oth finer and coarser sedients are resent a PS analysis shoed to eaks around μ and μ. n the Middle eaches ig. . the edian grain sie is larger in the deeer areas in oth the ollard and the loer s iver this difference is less ronounced.

Figure 5.1: Mud content in the upper bed. Based on Sediment Atlas data (1989-1996, all measurements were carried out in summer).

ualitative coarison of the ud content of ith the ud content of revealed the folloing • The ud content on the tidal flats of the ollard ay sees to have decreased. • The ed of the ain tidal channel in the ollard the roote at aears to have ecoe uddier. • Most of the loer s iver shos an increase in ud content.

ven though the and sales ere collected in a siilar eriod Set – ec and ug – ct in and soe of the oserved changes eteen and ay have to e attriuted to seasonal fluctuations roo et al. .

5.3 LOWER SAXONY WADDEN SEA s elained in Section .. the tidal flats in the oer Saony Wadden area ainly consist of fine sand ith ediu lo ercentages of ud . oever along the ainland coasts and in the eyucht and ade ay ud content in the uer ed ranges u to and finegrained sedients are doinant see also igure ..

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 5.2 Mud content in the bed sediments of the . Raw data retrieved from: www.geoseaportal.de/mapapps/resources/yrpps/projekt_aufmod/

Figure 5.3

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 5.3 Spatial pattern of the mean sediment grain-size in the back-barrier area of Island. Note the landward-fining trend. Sediment grain sizes are indicated in phi classes. The phi unit (ø) is a logarithmic transformation of millimetres into dimensionless numbers, according to the formula: ø =2log-d, where d = grain diameter in millimeters. The grain size decreases with increasing phi number. (From Flemming and Ziegler, 1995).

5.4 WESER ESTUARY

5.5 ELBE ESTUARY

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

5.6 SCHLESWIG HOLSTEIN WADDEN SEA

5.7 DANISH WADDEN SEA

Figure 5.4 Map of the Danish Wadden Sea (at low water) according to a classification by means of remote sensing: 1. Land and ocean. 2. Coastline. 3. . 4. Muddy or mixed flat. 5. Wet or moist sand flat. 6. Dry sand flat. 7. High sand. Retrieved from: Bartholdy and Folving (1986).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

5.8 SAND-MUD SEGREGATION

Figure 5.5 Statistical distribution of the observed values of sediment mud content in the SIBES data base (left) and of the station means over the period 2008-2013 (right). Values (%) were natural log-transformed. Very low observations close to detection limit (< 0.1%) were discarded. From: Herman, et al. (2018).

5.9 SAND AND MUD IN THE WADDEN SEA: TWO DIFFERENT WORLDS?

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

the sediment. This stimulates the development of benthic diatoms which may “glue” the

separate “worlds”: one of

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6 TOWARDS A MUD BUDGET

n this chapter we wor towards a first indication of a mud budget for the Trilateral adden ea. This sediment budget is based on observed mud sedimentation volumes in the tidal basins section . and salt marshes section . dredging volumes and anthropogenic sediment etraction section . and reworing of older deposits section .. ombined with a balance for sediment flues in the orth ea section . we derive an integrated mud budget for the adden ea and adacent orth ea section ..

6.1 MUD SEDIMENTATION IN THE BASINS

6.1.1 Dutch Wadden Sea basins largescale sand and mud budget of the utch adden ea has been presented by olina lonso et al. in which an estimate was given for the volume changes by both mud and sand fractions for the past years. The sediment budgets were calculated by multiplying the bed level changes with the measured volumetric mud content in the bed . formula by van in was used to estimate the bul density of the sandmud miture which depends on the local sediment composition. The findings were validated against sediment cores.

igure . and Table . show the calculated volume budgets and the spatial sedimentationerosion patterns. n the estern utch adden ea a more or less linear infilling of mud has been observed since the closure of the uideree. arge mud sins are abandoned channels as a result of the closure and tidal flats near the mainland coast. n the astern utch adden ea a sudden increase of import of mud was observed after following the closure of the auwersee in . olume changes in roninger ad have been much smaller compared to the other basins igure . Table ..

ud sedimentation seems to be largely constant in space and in time: we observe a spatial sedimentationerosion pattern that is uite persistent in time. onseuently it is liely that compaction has played an important role. Therefore we assume a mean mud dry density of gm representing slightly consolidated mud typical for surface deposits. ith this the utch adden ea basins currently act as a mud sin of . tonyr ecluding salt marshes.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.1 Volume budget of the Western Dutch Wadden Sea: a) bathymetry changes based on Vaklodingen data, b) calculated volume changes in the basins, c) estimated sand contribution to the bathymetry changes d) estimated mud contribution to the bathymetry changes. From: Colina Alonso et al. (2021).

Table 6.1 Calculated volume changes in the Dutch Wadden Sea basins (Colina Alonso, 2020)

Total volume changes [×106 Sand volume changes [×106 Mud volume changes [×106 m3] m3] m3] Western Dutch Wadden Sea . . 94.9 (1932-2015) Inlets of Ameland and . . 23.5 Schiermonninkoog (1971-2011) Groninger Wad (1985-2011) . . 0.52

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.2 Volume budget of the Eastern Dutch Wadden Sea: a) bathymetry changes based on Vaklodingen data, b) calculated volume changes in the basins, c) estimated sand contribution to the bathymetry changes d) estimated mud contribution to the bathymetry changes. From: Colina Alonso (2020).

6.1.2 Ems Estuary Bed level changes The net volume changes in the ms estuary also contribute to the net sediment budget and have been established by lias and van aren . The largest gross volumetric changes in the ms estuary occur in the tidal channels connecting the ms estuary with the orth ea. The two outlet channels in the west of the estuary are laterally migrating resulting in large volume changes but small net volume changes. lso one of these two outlet channels estereems is deepening while the other channel uibertgat is degenerating. dditionally the floodtidal delta is accreting with . myr with primarily sandy sediment.

The two largest areas with net bed level changes within the estuary are a degenerating tidal channel the ocht van atum and the emshoornplaat. This latter is now an etensive shallow area but used to be a channel connecting the astern part of the estuary with the western part. n the past years m was deposited here corresponding to myr. The part of the emshoornplaat with largest net bed level changes is primarily muddy and it is estimated lias and van aren that with mud the annual mud deposition here is . . m. ith a mud dry density of gm which we assume as an average value representative for the estuaries this sin constitutes . – . ton of mud. The sand volume with a density of gm is euivalent to . – . ton of sand. The annual sedimentation in the ocht van atum is . m of almost completely muddy sediment therefore corresponding to . tonyr. The maor sediment

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

– –

The sediment budget

Table 6.2 Sediment sinks in the Ems estuary [106 ton/yr], with a sink defined as net accretion, extraction during maintenance dredging, and sand mining, over the approximate period 1960-1990 and 1990 - 2011

1960-1990 1990-2011 Total Ems(mud) >1.8 (extraction) 1.9-2.4 – Total Ems (sand + mud) >6.1 4.8-6.7

6.1.3 Lower Saxony

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.3 Calculated mud contribution to the bed level changes in the Wadden Sea basins of the German Bight, for the period 2000-2010.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table 6.3 Calculated mud sedimentation in Lower Saxony, Jade Bay and the Weser estuary (excl. extraction)

Total mass changes Sand mass changes Mud mass changes (2000- (2000-2010) [106 (2000-2010) [106 2010) [106 ton/yr] ton/yr] ton/yr] Lower Saxony excl. Jade Bay 12.3 11.7 0.6 Jade Bay 0.9 Outer Weser 22.1 20.8 * 1.3

6.1.4 Weser Estuary

6.1.5 Elbe Estuary

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table 6.4 Overview of the average import from the Elbe river and the North Sea of mud, the removal by dredging and the net result in ×106 ton/yr

Source Weights Ton/yr Net sedimentation of fluvial mud in the Elbe estuary +0.165

Net sedimentation of marine mud in the Elbe estuary +0.161

Net total sedimentation of mud in the Elbe estuary +0.326

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.1.6 The Wadden Sea area of Schleswig Holstein

Table 6.5 Calculated mud sedimentation in the Meldorf Bight

Mud mass changes (2000- Sand mass changes (2000-2010) 2010) 106 ton/yr] [106 ton/yr] Meldorf Bight area 0.2 * North Frisian German Wadden Sea 1.4 22.2 Total Wadden Sea area of Schleswig Holstein 1.6 *

6.1.7 Danish Wadden Sea basins

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.2 MUD SEDIMENTATION IN SALTMARSHES

6.2.1 Introduction

6.2.2 Methods

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.4 Overview of the subdivision of the Wadden Sea into seven sections in which the annual mud deposition is estimated.

Mud BDD = Total Sediment BDD(1 – SandMASS FRACTION)

Mud BDD = Total Sediment BDD (Clay + Silt)VOLUME FRACTION× specific weight (Clay + Silt)

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.2.3 Results

Total area

Table 6.6 Overview of tidal marsh types in the Wadden Sea in ha (Esselink et al. 2017).

Landform Netherlands Lower Schleswig- Denmark Total Saxony Holstein Year of survey 2008/2012 2004 2009/2014 2011/2012 2010/2012 Island salt marsh Barrier connected (foreland incl.) 4,640 3,670 310 1,700 3,280 13,600

De-embanked (summer) 90 150 40 280 Mainland salt marsh

Barrier connected 780 1,340 2,120

Foreland type 4,000 5,460 8,580 2,520 20,560

De-embanked summer polder 360 380 740 Hallig salt marsh

50 2,180 2,230 Total 9,140 9,660 350 13,240 7,140 39,530

Surface-elevation change (SEC)

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.5 Comparison of SEC and vertical accretion rates in Wadden Sea salt marshes and summer . The graph is a compilation of studies based on both SEC from levelling and accretion data from studies which used SEB and marker-horizon techniques including clay-layer thickness measurements (Nolte et al. 2013a). SECs are based on overlapping and varying periods in time, mostly starting around 1990 or a more recent date. The graph presents a boxplot with median and 25 and 75 percentiles (grey). The vertical lines give the minimum and maximum values or 1.5 times the interquartile range of the data. Black dots show outliers. The horizontal blue bar gives the range of the long-term increase of MHT level since about 1900 (figure from Esselink et al. 2017).

Grain-size distribution and bulk dry densities

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table 6.7 Overview of SEC and vertical accretion rates in Wadden Sea salt marshes. The table presents data that were selected for the boxplot in Figure 6.5.

Sector Site Period SEC / accretion Method References (mm/yr) Foreland NL Friesland_West (B’ pollen) 1992-2014 21.3 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Friesland_mid 1992-2014 15.3 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Friesland_East 1992-2014 15.2 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Peazemerlannen 2007-2015 10.5 SEB van Duin and Sonneveld 2016 NL Groningen_West 1992-2014 8.5 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Groningen_Mid 1992-2014 9.8 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Groningen_East 1992-2014 10.2 Levelling van Duin et al. 2016 NL Dollard 1984-2012 6.5 Levelling Esselink et al. 1998, 2013 LS Leybucht 1989-1994 18.2 Sedimentation plates Erchinger et al. 1994, 1996 LS Wûrster Kûste 1960-1997 16.0 Levelling Michaelis 2008 SH Reg_Marien 1988/90-2009 7.0 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_NissHH 1988/90-2009 7.0 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_NordBu 1988/90-2009 9.1 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_EiderN 1988/90-2009 9.7 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_Tümlau 1988/90-2009 0.0 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_Ehsten 1988/90-2009 2.5 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_Hering 1988/90-2009 4.1 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 SH Reg_DiekKo 1988/90 -2009 2.6 Levelling Suchrow et al. 2012 Barrier-connected NL 2002-2008 7.2 SEB Esselink unpubl. NL 1992-20xx 1.1 SEB de Groot, pers.comm. NL Schiermonnikoog 1994-20xx 3.4 SEB de Groot, pers.comm. HH Scharhörn/Nigehörn 2011-2015 3.5 SEB Hellwig, pers. comm. SH 2004-2013 3.7 SEB Stock et al. 2014 DK 2001-2009 0.4 SEB Kuijper and Bakker 2012 DK Skallingen 1992-1997 2.8 clay thickness, SEB Van Wijnen and Bakker 2001 Hallig SH 1995-2010 0.9 SET/SEB Stock 2011 SH (Nordmarsh-)Langeneß 1986-2011 1.6 Cs-137 and Pb-210 Schindler 2014 SH Süderoog 1963-2007 3.9 sediment traps, Cs-137, Deicke et al 2009 SEB SH 1986-2011 3.2 Cs-137 and Pb-210 Schindler 2014 SH Hooge 1986-2011 1.4 Cs-137/Pb-210 Schindler 2014

6.2.4 Mud sedimentation

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table 6.8 Grain-size distributions and bulk dry densities in Wadden Sea salt marshes. Grain-size distribution in italics and shaded cells refer to volumetric distributions; other values are mass percentages (100×g/g). Bulk dry densities either refer to the same depth as the grain-size distribution, or to the compacted salt marsh sediment at greater depth.

etor ite ept ineral ration () Bl dr densit o o ore () ( ) ores and ilt la pper deeper laer laer

Foreland oord olte ollard Wiertsea and artners et riner et al et riner et al Bsereller eereller riner et al iesanderoo eller et al Westereer eller et al arer alli olte aneissenoo eller et al re pper l na ederson and Bartold nded pper l na ederson and Bartold rd pper l na ederson and Bartold Barrieronneted eland lsot pers o ieronnioo na lsot et al and pers o Fr er et al Fano pper l ederson and Bartold allinen Bartold et al anli pper l ederson and Bartold

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Table 6.9 Mud sedimentation in the Wadden Sea salt marshes, specified for seven sections (Figure 6.4), and the three main salt-marsh types. QSRarea refers to the subdivision of the Wadden Sea into 23 tidal areas in Fig. 5 of Esselink et al. (2017). For further explanation, see text.

area etion ars rea edient B and ration d d otal d tpe inrease ( (a) (r) (r) () (ol) () (tonr) (tonr) ) arrier oreland otal 306211 s arrier oreland oreland alli otal s 151382 a arrier oreland otal a 384903 ade oreland otal ade 229320 arrier Weser oreland otal 179778 Weser le arrier oreland otal le 107801 arrier oreland alli otal 3051618 arrier oreland otal 199710

rand total 1864263

6.3 DREDGING ACTIVITIES

6.3.1 Dutch Wadden Sea

6.3.2 Ems Estuary

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Figure 6.6 Dredging volumes for the Ems estuary since 1925: sediment extraction (mainly mud) in the Ems estuary and the lower Ems River, sediment dispersal, and sand mining (from van Maren et al. (2016). Total dredging volumes before 1960 are from de Jonge (1983); dredging volumes after 1960 are from Mulder (2013) for the Ems estuary and from Krebs (2006) in the lower Ems River (until 2006; after 2006 a constant value of 1.5×106 m3 is assumed).

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

approach channel) increased up to the mid 1970’s, but became close to 0 in the early 1990’s

6.3.3 Weser Estuary Dredging

Figure 6.7 Overview of data on dredging. Data 1998-2010 based on BIOCONSULT and NLWKN (2012); data 2007- 2018 WSV data für dritten. Differences in overlap most likely due to exclusion of sand mining in latter series.

Sand mining

Permanent storage of mud outside the estuary

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

he muddy sediments dreded rom the harbours are brouht on land because o contamination ith harmul substances eore 199 contaminated inerained material rom the harbours as deposited on disposal sites on land and on a placement site in the urster rm uter eser) ince 199 remen stored dreded material on land at the interated dreded material disposal site in remeneehausen ince 001 also remerhaen used this site ependin on the source, storae iures dier somehat rom 017 to 00010 myr and , 01 , 01) ore as remoed in the period 00–00 and 011 hen sediments ere transported to the oer hine urthermore, since 011 more material can be remoed because it can be stored in the luter deposal site at otterdam n 01 the total need or permanent deposition has been estimated to be some 0110 myr due to the enlarement o the aiserschleuse and the more intense use o the ischereihaenschleuse , 01) his iure as used or permanent storae on land includin otterdam deposition) since 01

6.3.4 Elbe Estuary he tidal lbe has maor players inoled in dredin o the area the ater and hippin uthorities o runsbttel, uhaen and o ambur and the ambur ort uthority n total dredin olumes hae been roin up to more than 110 m since the deepenin o 1999 ntil 1999, beore the last lbe shippin lane depth increase, some 10 m sediments ere dreded annually in the lbe and the ambur harbour ien a speciic density o 0 m eniter and an der tar, 01) this amounts to an annual dredin o 111710 tonyr he amount o dredin material produced in the lbe and the ort o ambur has increased rom million m in 000, up to 10 m by 00 i, 00) ince the beinnin o the years 000 on aerae some 910 m is dreded ambur ort uthority, 017)

n combination ith all other dredin and minin some 110 m is annually dreded in the entire lbe stuary in the period 00001 n aerae some 11 o the dreded sediment is remoed rom the system emoal o the mud is as ollos

1) Mud deposited on land 110 m or 010 tonyr is treated on land etband et al, 00) raditionally, the dredin material rom the ort o ambur is stored on land, to heihten areas t the end o the 1970s, the enironmental impacts o this practice became clear o reduce these eects a dredin material treatment as deeloped and implemented in the 190s, the socalled nlae rbeitsemeinschat r die einhaltun der lbe, 199) he nlae treats some 110 m per year o the most contaminated dredin slude t is separated in sand, ine sand and a siltclay raction he contaminated ines are deposited in special depots on land he uncontaminated ine raction is used as a clay layer on top o dies otal permanent deposition is 110 m i, 00) his is mainly mud

2) Mud deposited at Buoy E3 t as decided to place part o the lihtly to uncontaminated sediments een more seaard he dumpin location is at 0 m depth o charhrn and o el near uoy

7 Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Dispersal of remaining dredged sediment: deposition in the seaward part of the estuary

Figure 6.8 Dredging volumes for the Elbe Estuary since 1998: (mainly) sand extraction in the Estuary, sand extraction from the harbours; mud extraction from the Estuary plus harbours and sediment dispersal by various means in the Estuary and the harbours. Data WSA and Hamburg Port Authority

6.4 INTERNAL REWORKING

Outwash of fines during reworking of sand

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

Pleistocene deposits

Holocene clay-rich deposits

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

the various areas won’t add up exactly. How large this discrepancy is, is

Figure 6.9 Cross-section running from the North Sea coast of Ameland, through the Wadden Sea onto the mainland of Friesland, showing the distribution of fine-grained deposits. Note the decrease in basin length of the original basin versus the present-day basin bounded by dikes (Van der Spek, 1994).

6.5 THE NORTH SEA

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.5.1 Major sediment sources ost sedient enters the orth ea ro the orth tlantic etween cotland and orway characteristic settling velocity s and through the trait o over characteristic settling velocity . to several s isa and al, uls et al., . edient coposition suggests that which is transported along the elgian and utch coasts is largely supplied y sedient eroded ro the rench and ritish cli coasts rion and ller, ettweis and van den ynde, . he annual input shows large interannual variaility which proaly relect dierences in reuency and duration o stors van lphen, .

nother iportant source are the resh water inputs, such as le, eser, s, hine, haes, elland, Huer, ees, yne, orth, ssel and the oordeeanaal Huthnance et al., . iver input o shows a strong interannual variaility due to the interannual changes in discharge, in relation to cliate variaility. lso, strong variations occur over the year, with axia coinciding with pea discharges. urherore, suspended atter is entering the orth ea ro the althic ea, erosion o the otto and coasts, atospheric deposition and, ainly in the suer hal year iologic priary production appenerg and anger, ale ..

Table 6.10 Overview of the estimates of the various sources of SPM input in the North Sea basin. Values vary due to differences in measurement techniques and natural fluctuations. Total input in the tidally influenced realm is given irrespective of deposition or dredging; data for landfill are added as negatives. It should be noted that Eisma and Irion (1988) made calculations for <63 mu, whereas Puls (1997) and Schubert (2006) looked at <20 mu which constitutes some 85% of all fines. The estimates of Puls (1997) being in general higher than those of Eisma and Irion (1988).

Source of SPM Input (106 ton/yr) Source orth tlantic uls isa and rion over trait . canus and randle elegrais et . . . al uls aite et al. an lphen isa and rion althic . isa and rion rosion o sea ed . . an lphen isa and rion nglish li erosion uls isa and rion ll rivers . .. isa and rion cave tospheric deposition . isa and rion riary production isa and rion xtraction le , xtraction s and storage ud otterda . an lphen harour Total input SPM matter in the 44.8 – 95.3 North Sea Basin

t is assued that all studies addressed the suspended ineral atter.

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

6.5.2 Residual transport patterns he ain ud transport towards the adden ea area ollows the longyear residual current patterns in the orth ea isa, isa and rion, leveld et al., igure . and igure .. he concentration in the open orth ea is ainly deterined y the distance to the coast, water depth, sedient coposition o the seaed, eteorology and the aount o planton. he variaility is up to two orders o agnitude appenerg and anger, . sing reote sensing iages ietra et al. characteried the water types, relating the suspended atter to stratiication in the southern orth ea area igure .. hey showed strong seasonal and neapspring variaility and highlighted the iportant role o tides and winds in controlling stratiication and distriution.

Figure 6.10 Fronts and residual currents in the North Sea during a) summer and b) winter (ICONA, 1992).

wo iportant paths, relevant to the adden ea suspended atter iport, are recognied one which we will reer to as the orth ea ontinental low and the other eing the ast nglia plue. oth transport plues are separated y clearer waters originating ro the traits o over. e will uantiy the transport rates in oth these plues in ore detail in the ollowing sections ro their source to their terinus.

6.5.3 The North Sea Continental Flow he is the residual current ro the over trait along the rench, elgian and Holland coast which reaches exel nlet and suseuently oves along the adden ea coast ael . igure .. long the Holland coast its northward otion is strengthened y the hine

Towards a Mud Balance for the Trilateral Wadden Sea Area

region o resh water inluence through delection o resh water asses y the oriolis orce. he density dierences generate a vertical circulation current with landwarddirected otto currents and seaward directed surace currents. s sedient particles settle, they are transported landward y these otto currents, eectively eeping the turid waters close to the coast.

Figure 6.11 Monthly average surface SPM based on SeaWiF’s data 1998. Insets show histograms of the pixel values, with x-axis giving the SPM pixel value and y-axis relative frequency distribution (Pietrzak et al., 2011).

Dover Straits he largest contriution o ud originates ro the over traits which iport soe . tonyr, hal o which lows along the coast and hal into the . with a range o .. tonyr see canus and randle, . ettweis et al. estiated the lux ro the over trait using a coination o satellite iages and a nuerical odel at illion tonyr o which . – . illion ton enters the see also ale ..

Belgium High concentrations are easured along the elgian coast during alost all onths o the year, ut especially in epteer to arch average onthly concentrations ay e as high as gl aaphorst et al., . t ors a turidity axiu in ront o eerugge. he high turidity near eerugge has een explained with a coination o salinity and

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

able .11 verview of the estimates for the SPM flux in the SF from France to the Inlet. Sediment sources are positive, sediment sins landfill or net deposition are negative. nderlined rows give local transport in transects perpendicular to the coast eastward positive.

able .1 Sediment flux in the SF orth of otterdam

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

etherlands, olland coast

utch Wadden Sea

– between Nauw’s and Sassi’s estimates therefore seems most and Nauw et al. (2014)’s estimate for the Marsdiep flux

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

he NS beomes narrow (some 10 m but with ariations oer the seasons) in the North Sea borderin the adden Sea. er hih onentrations hae been obsered in the upper 10 m of the water olumn in the North Sea near the risian nlet where the adden Sea area is relatiel narrow (a. 10 m) and sediments are mudd (aaphorst et al. 1). he transport of partiulate matter from the North Sea into the adden Sea is assumed to our larel in bottom urrents whih hae a landward omponent (ostma 14 isser 1). he adden Sea is fillin in with fine sediments resultin from (1) a net residual landward but annuall arin residual flow drien b the dominantl westwarddireted winds (uisman and idderinhof 200) and (2) the low ener onditions in the adden Sea ompared to the North Sea result in hiher SS durin the flood than durin ebb eneratin residual transport from the North Sea to the adden Sea (Nauw et al. 2014). urin more enereti storm onditions waedrien sediment remobilisation ma lead to export of sediment. he exhane between the North Sea and adden Sea an be simplified as follows

1. he adden Sea is an area of net lonterm SM sedimentation (see espeiall setion .1) trappin part of the mud proided b the North Sea. 2. Sediment in the adden Sea is resuspended durin storm onditions. ependin onto the storm harateristis and the tide this resuspended mud an be deposited on the tidal marshes (amps 12) be transported to the North Sea or remain in the adden Sea inter and subtidal area. urin storm periods the adden Sea ma therefore funtion as a temporal soure of mud for the North Sea.

t is diffiult to uantif the eastward hane of the sediment flux in the NS based on data ien onstraints in spatial oerae duration and freuen of obserations. s an alternatie we start with our best estimate for sediment transport alon the olland oast (10.014. million mr – see able .11) and orret this for sins and soures in the eastward diretion resultin sediment fluxes are erified with existin numerial model results.

Subtratin the estimated sedimentation in the uth adden Sea (1.10 tonr – see setion .1) and addin mud delierane throuh the fsluitdi (0.410 tonr) this results in an eastward transport of .1.110 tonr at the transet oer Shiermonnioo. ne of the few omprehensie model studies shows that oer a 210 m lon SN profile at the east side of the barrier island Shiermonnioo the eastward transport of suspended sediment (in both the NS and the ast nlia lume ombined) is in the order of 11.10 tonr (utar and Malhere 201) whih is omparable in manitude to the alulated transports at Marsdiep.

Wadden Sea of ower Saxony ien the losses due to retrieal and sedimentation in the ms (110 tonr) and in the adden Sea area of ower Saxon (1.10 tonr) the sediment transport towards the eser area an be estimated to be some .11.10 tonr of mud (able .1). Near to the ast risian barrier islands sediment transport follows the oast and proeeds all the wa up to the ade (iure .12). More seaward west of eloland the paths hane towards a SN traetor (utar and Malhere 201).

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

able .1 verview of the estimates for the SPM flux in the SF from Marsdiep Inlet to enmar. Sediment sources are positive, sediment sins landfill or net deposition are negative. nderlined rows give local transport in transects perpendicular to the coast eastward positive.

he lbeWeserelgoland triangle

Wadden Sea of Schleswig olstein

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

Wadden Sea of enmar

Figure .1 esidual suspension transport paths for the scenario Putar and Malchere, 1.

otal gross availability of mud

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

Figure .1 Seabed upper cm fine sediment micron. athymetry given in blac lines depth in m. istribution determined by combination of grainsie analysis, satellite data during storms and numerical model results obyrnin et al., 1.

6.5.4 East Anglia Plume

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

able .1 verview of the estimates of the SPM availability of the ast nglia Plume. otal input in the tidally influenced realm is given irrespective of deposition or dredging data for permanent deposition are added as negatives. nderlined rows give local transport in transects perpendicular to the coast.

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

6.6 SYNTHESIS: A MUD BALANCE FOR THE WADDEN SEA AND NORTH SEA

able .1 verview of net mud and sand sedimentationyr in terms of million tonyr and million myr in the three maor estuaries. Metric tons were recalculated into m and vice versa by using a sediment density of 1 gm for sand and gm for mud, based on the average experiences within the estuaries.

≤0.03 ≥1.9 ≤0.5

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

Figure .1 isual presentation of the estimated mud budget for the trilateral Wadden Sea. ellow numbers indicate annual mud transport fluxes, white numbers annual deposited mass of mud, and blue number anthropogenic extraction rates all in million tonyr. ocal storage during uiet periods in the near coastal part of the orth Sea could not be uantified.

• • • •

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

• • • •

able .1 verview of sediment sins net mud sedimentation per year in the rilateral Wadden Sea.

6.7 DISCUSSION: UNCERTAINTIES

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

• • • • • • •

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

7 HUMAN INTERVENTIONS

7.1 INTRODUCTION

7.2 POLDERING AND CLOSURE WORKS were reclaimed (‘poldered’)

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

e aweree ad e radal dii o e idal mare i ma e epeced a le edimeaio pace wa aailale (ee alo a der pe ad a der al lemmi ad adwi ad ai ad arolom ) ad coceraio i e adde ea will ae icreaed (a are e al )

7.3 DEEPENING AND PORT CONSTRUCTION

7.3.1 Historic developments e m ear proide acce o ree por (emae elil ad mde) ad a lare ipard (aper) e preeda approimae maieace dep (all dep elow local ordace leel i c por ad ormal ll i erma) o e approac cael o e por are m (emae) m (elil) ad m (mde) reiri relar maieace dredi e lower m ier wa deepeed rom a waer dep o m below HW to ~8 m below HW between the 1930’s and 1994 (van Maren et al )

e ir relaio o e eer rier core occrred i e period i order o reac a miimm dep or eaoi eel wi a dra o le a m a rel e idal wae cold peerae almo impeded ill reme e cer addiioal cae ad improeme were made o adap o icreai ip ie ad o coer e repoe o e earie em raii wor ad wall eie ad roe were il o ailie e core ad proec e emame ad orelie (oer ) e o e peeraio o e ide leel were alli reli i lower rod waer ale pream o reme e period a weir wa il i emelie o op i deelopme e e orm re arrier were il a e mo o e riarie e em d cm ewee ad e ower eer wa deepeed o m car dam e period e er eer wa deepeed o m car dam

e earl cer e le ear wa ill relaie aral a ime e le ear ear amr wa relaiel allow wi a waer dep o ao m lo o mall ilad ormed a dela cloe o amr ice e e le a ee deepeed ime ad i ow paale p o amr or ip wi a dep o m raormi e ear rom a allow mlicael em o a ile deep cael em aor deepei proec were eeced i (rom o m) ad ( m)

7.3.2 Impact on tidal propagation eepei ad lo o ieridal area (lad reclamaio) ilece e idal propaaio llial earie i eilirim are elaped eir ie decreae epoeiall i e ladward direcio i el ape lead o a icreae i e idal rae de o coerece o idal eer – ereore ma earie are caraceried a iiiall icreai idal rae i ladward direcio e idal rae decreae ricio rom e eaed ad waer orae i ieridal area ricio o decreae wi icreai waer dep ad ereore cael deepei lead o a icreae i e idal rae ad a icreae i propaaio eloci o e idal wae o o ieridal area redce waer orae ad ereore lad reclamaio ma lead o idal ampliicaio mo earie cael are deepeed ad ieridal area reclaimed reli i a icreae o e idal rae i ma earie i e pa o ear e cae i idal damic i oe well docmeed

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

n heavl nlened estares nldn the lbe ms and Weser dal hanes n these sstems wll be smmared n the ollown setons

ntl 190 the tdal rane n the ms estar and ms rver nreased rom m at the moth to 9 m at mden ater whh the tdal rane dereased n the landward dreton he tdal rane n the oter ms estar ( to mden has not haned mh sne then wth the larest hane ben the nrease rom m to 3 m at ell n the erod 1901980 eeenn o the lower ms ver however has led to stron tdal amlaton ossbl strenthened b the resene o the wer at Herbrm onstrted n 1899 (httelaars et al 013 and a ostve eedba mehansm assoated wth the mort o neraned sedment (Wnterwer et al 013 he tdal rane at aenbr (m 0 has nreased rom 1 m n 190 to 3 m n 010 wth a maor lowern o the tdal low water level (rebs and Welbeer 008 ntl 1990 the tdal rane eaed at mden (4 m seaward o aenbr bease the tde was damed rther n the estar dreton ne then the tde s amled stream o mden and wthn 0 ears the tdal rane at aenbr has beome 0 larer than the tdal rane at mden

eore deeenn the tdal rane o the Weser estar dereased n the landward dreton rom abot 3 m on the seaward entrane wth a tdal lmt near remen he tdal rane n remen nreased rom aro 0 m sne the rst deeenn to a resent level o 41 m de to the deeenn o the ower and ter Weser (hhard and holle 019 owadas the mean tdal rane nreases rom 9 m at the lhthose lte Weser (aro m 11 to 38 m at remerhaven (aro m and to 41 m at remenslebshasen (aro m 8

lso the tdal rane n the lbe estar sed to derease n the landward dreton rom nearl 3 m at the moth o the lbe estar (haven to 1 m (ollenseer stream o the ort o Hambr n 1911 he tdal rane at the moth remaned arl onstant n tme nreasn aromatel 30 m between 1911 and 00 (Wnterwer et al 013 n between the moth and the ort o Hambr (statons ollmar and hla the tdal rane nreased wth 30 and 0 m (resetvel between 19 and 198 ollown the deeenns o 19 and 19 he tdal rane at Hambr nreased wth 1 m and sne 191 the hhest tdal rane s observed at the ort o Hambr (nowadas 3 m he tdal rane o the nner lbe (ollenseer has been steadl nreasn eeedn m n 199 (emeer 1998 he nreasn rane n the nner lbe does not dsla a lear orrelaton n tme wth hman nterventons (n ontrast to nterventons n the oter estar where deeenn dretl reslted n an nrease n tdal rane

What these three sstems have n ommon s that ther tdal rane dereased n the landward dreton beore deeenn de to rton and ener loss o the tdal wave bt swthed to a landward nrease as a reslt o hannel deeenn t s also noteworth that hanes n the tdal rane o the oter estar show abrt hanes related to deeenn whereas the tdes n the nner estares resond mh more radall

9 owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

7.3.3 Impact on estuarine circulation seond modaton o the hdrodnams s related to a salntdrven rlaton n eton 414 we elaned that salntdrven rlaton (or ravtatonal rlaton nreases nonlnearl wth the water deth n water deths o several meters (rstne ondtons n man natral estares sh a salntdrven rlaton s not mortant t water deths eeedn 10 m a rononed salntdrven rlaton oten develos n the transton one o salt and resh water t water deths eeedn 0 m t oten beomes a domnant mehansm or sedment transort

he hane n salntdrven rlaton resltn rom a moded water deth an onl be establshed throh modelbased hndasts nl or the ms estar sh a hndast has been done (van Maren et al 01a and onl or a arl small hane n water deth n both the lbe ms and Weser salntdrven lows are rrentl mortant or sedment transort (see also net seton t an thereore be assmed that deeenn reslted n (enhaned salntdrven rlatons that beame mortant de to hannel deeenn

7.3.4 Impact on sediment dynamics The sediment concentration increases from several 10’s of mg/l in the outer estuary to 10’s o l n the lower ms ver he oter ms estar has beome more trbd n the ast deades (de one et al 014 stmates or ths nrease are tall to a ator hher (at least n the ollard van Maren et al 01a bt ossbl also n wder setons o the oter estar (de one et al 014 hs nrease was robabl the reslt o a loss o sedment sns (van Maren et al 01a 01 and nteraton wth the lower ms ver (de one et al 013 eeenn o the arwas and mantenane dredn robabl ontrbted less to the nrease n trbdt he hh onentraton n the oter estar are the reslt o tdal mn bt also o salntdrven ravtatonal rlaton (van Maren et al 01a he sedment onentraton n the lower ms ver has nreased mh more resentl ben several orders of magnitude larger than in the 1950’s (de Jonge et al., 2014). hs nrease most lel reslts rom deeenn o the rver hannel resltn n a eedba mehansm wth deeenn leadn to deormaton o the tdes n trn leadn to more sedment mort whh rther deorms tdes and thereore strenthens sedment mort (Wnterwer et al 013 – see also re 1 eormaton o the tdes s n the orm o amlaton and hane n asmmetr (towards a more lood domnant tde wth van Maren et al (01b stressn the mortane o the nrease n amlaton and stra (019 the role o hann tdal asmmetr

The Elbe estuary has two ETM’s (estuarine turbidity maxima): one at the tip of the salt wedge (0 m land nward and one rther landward n the tdal reshwater one o the lbe (aenber et al 199 rhard et al 004 tanev et al 019 he oter M s the reslt o salntnded resdal lows the nner M rom tdal mn ver nterannal tmesales the oston o the M n the lbe estar deends on the resh water dshare (aenber and rabemann 001 he oter estar o the lbe s domnantl deostonal whle the nner estar s erosonal resltn rom tdal mn ( et al 014 eoston rmarl taes lae on the tdal lats whereas eroson domnates n tdal hannels he sedment onentraton n the lbe has nreased n the erod 199900 relatve to 199

9 owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

199 around the port of amburg (20) but even more in the freshwater part landward of the port (120) (erner, 200). There are no specific studies relating the change in sediment concentration to detailed interventions as established for the Ems estuary. interwerp et al. (201) argue that changes in around the port of amburg are uite limited because of the dredging strategies around the port of amburg (a large amount of sediment is dredged and disposed on land or at sea).

Figure .1 raphical presentation of the conceptual model of Winterwerp et al. 1 relating tidal deformation to channel deepening. he initial increase in tidal range as a result of deepening leads to more sediment import, hence higher sediment concentrations and a reduction in the apparent hydraulic drag, which in turn further strengthens tidal deformation.

The formation of the ETM in the eser estuary is also the combined result of estuarine circulation and asymmetries in mixing. Mainly fine sediments deposit in the main channel, often as a fluid mud, at a location which varies seasonally (esse et al., 2019). There is no information on historic changes in the sediment concentration in the eser estuary, or on the impact of human interventions on . owever, as for the Elbe estuary, the location of the ETM varies over years resulting from variability in fresh water discharge (appenberg and rabemann, 2001).

or all three estuaries, the location with high turbidity (the ETM) is formed by landward transport by tidal pumping and by salinitydriven circulation, balanced by seaward transport governed by freshwater flow. Especially the ETM of the Elbe and eser is susceptible to the river discharge. In the Elbe two ETM’s exist, one formed by salinitydriven flows and one by tidal pumping. or all three estuaries the sediment concentrations have increased during a period in which intertidal areas were reclaimed and channels were deepened. The increase may have been partly mitigated by sediment extraction as a maintenance dredging strategy. owever, only for the Ems estuary historic hindcasts have been carried out revealing how human interventions lead to higher suspended sediment concentrations. More research is needed to relate mechanisms responsible for the increase in sediment concentrations in the Elbe and eser to the various human interventions.

9 owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

7.3.5 Maintenance dredging isosal of sediments rimarily leads to a redistribtion of sediment, rather than an increase in ssended sediment concentrations van Maren et al., a, becase the estarine sediment concentrations effectively decrease when sediment settles in the orts or fairways. bseent disosal restores the sediment concentration to a level comarable with a sitation withot settling in orts and fairways, at least on large time and satial scales. lose to disosal sites, the sediment concentrations increase. n to of this as a secondary effect maintenance dredging can be considered as an eisodic stirring mechanism, leading to temorally higher ssended sediment concentrations comared to a sitation withot dredging i.e. comarable to a storm event. veraged over time, this effect constittes an increase in the ssended sediment concentration.

igh sediment concentrations negatively imact biota throgh loss of visibility esecially elagic rimary rodction or brial smothering esecially imacting benthic organisms bt also vegetation. redging therefore negatively imacts ecology close to disosal sites, where a md layer is deosited on the bed and the trbidity temorally increased. Its imact over larger satial scales remains nnown. There are indications, for instance, that the sediment concentrations arond the ort of ambrg Elbe are relatively low becase of the dredging wors carried ot by the ort of ambrg interwer et al., . or the Ems estary the largescale effect of dredging and disosal on trbidity are robably limited van Maren et al., a – the observed gradal increase in trbidity negatively imacting rimary rodction is robably not directly related to other factors.

7.4 LANDFILLS AND SEDIMENT EXTRACTION andfills imly a retrieval of sediment from the estary and shold be considered an artificial sin in which sediment is ermanently extracted from the adden ea system. If volmes which are ths stored are significant, the inflence on the ssended md concentrations may be noticeable.

tarting in the late th centry landfills with md have taen a flight in the th centry as harbors were extended and fairways were deeened. irstly, sediment had to be dredged to deeen the areas. econdly, maintenance dredging was needed to ee the deths. This is esecially tre for the three big estaries of the Ems, eser and Elbe, each showing their own develoments. n estimated m of md has been stored on land along the Ems in the ast years million myr between and and since and . million myr between and see van Maren et al., and references therein. This is comarable in magnitde to the total net sedimentation of sand and md in the western art of the tch adden ea area in the same eriod. or the eser and Elbe these figres are not well nown.

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

Figure . he iederung den iepe is being filled via a 1 m long pipe transporting the dredging sludge over the msade channel period 191989. Source reative ommons ttribution . International icense Photo 19.pg

century. Already in the 1930’s substantial amounts of mud were stored in landfills along

Figure . omparison of volumes of retrieved mud as part of total sedimentation left and total maximum influx of suspended matter right excluding supply by the ast nglia Plume, since this is most liely largely insignificant

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

igure .3 shows the current significance of the retrieal of mud from the system between 11 and 1 of the total deending on the definition. tracting mud lowers the susended sediment concentration of the adacent estuary igure . – this was numerically inestigated for the ms estuary by an aren et al. 01. traction may also hae a downdrift imact deending on the scale of etraction otentially influencing a larger art of the adden ea ast of the etraction as less mud is aailable for natural sedimentation in the downdrift area of the sediment etraction. Any imact of largescale etraction may remain unnoticed for a rolonged eriod because the sediment stoc within the adden ea is large. At the moment it is unclear whether such etraction influences the sedimentary and ecological deeloment of the adden ea area more to the east of the estuary and what associated resonse timescales are.

Figure . ffect of sediment extraction from all ports and fairways on SS in the ms stuary. From van Maren et al. 1.

he results of this research indicate that the annual suly of mud which does not all settle in the adden ea is only 1.1 to 1. times larger than the annual deosition including etraction. his would imly that with an increase in etraction or mud deosition rates mud aailability may become limiting on the scale of the trilateral adden ea in the longer run. er a shorter eriod the influence would robably be limited because the gross influ is at least 1 orders of magnitude larger than the net annual flues. nnown is howeer what the cumulatie effects of multile etraction sites will be esecially in combination with the anticiated increase in mud deosition rates resulting from . or instance it might be ossible that the etent of the mud areas would gradually diminish as the mud is transorted to those laces where it can still be deosited. otential shortages in mud would become manifest in the more north eastern arts of the trilateral adden ea not the western adden ea. ud may therefore become a scarce commodity which should become an integral art of sustainable longterm sediment management. easures aiming at using etracting mud should account for its imact on the largescale sediment budget on the leel of the trilateral adden ea. ontinuous long term obserations of susended sediments and

100 owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

7.5 MANAGED REALIGNMENT AND DEPOLDERING

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

Figure . ealignment proects and cumulative area in the estuaries ms Weser lbe and the Wadden Sea outside the estuaries data mainly sselin et al., 1, P, 1 and several other sources.

• • •

owards a Mud alance for the rilateral Wadden Sea rea

• • •

Figure . rtist impression of alternative ways to heighten the lowlying land of ast roningen by seuential flooding of large areas. “Rijzend Land” of Bureau Lamaland, see httpwww.lamaland.euproectsriendland

7.6 FORELAND MARSH DEVELOPMENT

oard a ud Balane for e rilaeral adden ea rea

called “farmer’s method”). Since the 20 called “Schleswig method”) to establish foreland salt m

iure emai oerie of ane in e arifiial drainae em afer e radiional mainenane a dioninued eamle from ie in e eerland and erman arin iuaion B enral ar of e die or field drain ae iled u ream drainae i loed donream drain deeen and dereae in id e reulin oilaerloin aue loal relaemen of eeaion eondar ioneer eeaion and lomar eeaion elin e al modified from an eeenee e al

oard a ud Balane for e rilaeral adden ea rea

8 SEA-LEVEL RISE ne of the research estions was “a a een e ima of lonerm ealeel rie on e ul and deoiion of mud and o ill limae ane and aeleraed ealeel rie aler ee roee o our oinion” ere we shortl discss this estion b comaring the ast resent and ftre sitations.

8.1 PAST MUD SEDIMENTATION large art of the resonse to longterm sealeel rise in the olocene has alread been discssed in hater 2. ere we will focs on the changes in sedimentation rates throgh time in the adden Sea. efore hmans started to inflence the deeloment of the mainland coastal one a large art of the adden Sea area was a egetated tidal landscae intermittentl flooded dring high tides or storms. idal marshes and tidal mdflats were to seeral tens of ilometres wide igre .). ntil dies were constrcted on a large scale dring the iddle ges these tidal marshes formed abot the half of the adden Sea eise 200).

d broght in dring high water conditions robabl largel deosited on the etensie tidal areas roiding an etensie sin for fine sediments. lemming and andwi ) arge that the original natral md gradient stretched oer a larger distance than at resent igre .2) reslting in an oerall coarsening of the bed of the adden Sea.

iure Reonruion of e a and e riian adden ea landae around rane ier leioene round ron ea dar reen al mar li reen ineridal and and mudfla lue reen i al mar leee and ride ello and ea ride o and nol

0

hen alles or eat areas were flooded the eat was eroded or comacted and strong sedimentation of md occrred igre .). fter the initial incrsion of the sea the area silted and became land once again. he raid infill of embaments sch as the ollard the iddelee and the arleba oint to a er large aailabilit of md. or the olocene deosits in the tch adden Sea it has been calclated that in total some 0 m of md was deosited an der Se and eets ). f it is assmed that the maor art has been deosited dring the ast 000 ears corresonding to an aerage deosition olme of some 2. 0 mr for the tch adden Sea area to roningen. his is abot twice as high as resentda ales. he elanation is most liel twofold

1) he adden Sea area was mch larger with incised alles and embaments which roided large areas with er iet conditions for mds to be deosited. 2) he sl of md might hae been higher. orests were cleared b hmans leading to stronger erosion and the sea bottom was still reacting on the raid flooding after the last ce ge locall eroding the bottom. lso coastal retreat has occrred oer the ast 000 ears in the est and ast risian adden area and oer the ast 000 ears along the olland coast and arts of the orth risian adden area.

0

8.2 PRESENT-DAY MUD SEDIMENTATION: EFFECT OF TIDAL AMPLITUDE AND STORMS or resentda conditions the natral landward net sediment fl allows for the tidal flats to ee ace with sealeel rise. en more enninghoff and inter 20) conclded that most of the erman adden Sea basins were accreting oer the eriod – 20 with rates higher than the obsered mean sealeel rise in the erman ight while simltaneosl the sbtidal mean deth increases. or the eriod of inestigation this adden Sea steeening is antified to aeraged ales of . mmr for the tidal flats and −20.0 mm/yr for the channels.

Sedimentation rates increase with increasing tidal amlitde igre .). or the mesotidal flat areas behind barriers the linear fit of the ositie correlation between the mean tidal range and sedimentation rates has an 2 of 0. igre .). his sggests that tidal amlitde ma inflence the rate of sedimentation on a tidal flat as also sggested b enninghoff and inter 20). oweer for the estaries and ade a obserations are less clear. ith increasing tidal amlitde the elocit of the water increases and brings larger amonts of sediments in ssension which are transorted from the channels towards the shoals. boe the shoals the mean settling distance with resect to is rather constant ofstede 20) reslting in faster sedimentation rates with increasing tidal range.

0

However, it’s most likely that waves have only played a minor

8.3 FUTURE MUD SEDIMENTATION limate hane may ompliate thins rther he potential rowth o tidal lats with sea level rise depends on the availaility o sediments as ildin material n order to assess the tre development o the adden ea it is espeially important to otain realisti estimates or sediment availaility and dets wo eets are o prime importane, as preditions or wave and storm limate sest only sliht hanes with lare nertainties

lready in the past entry preipitation and evaporation patterns have een hanin verall, rno o rivers inreased However, drin the smmer period reshwater rno is reded stronly de to the inreasin reeny o etremely hot and dry periods y ontrast, drin atmnwinter preipitation inreased leadin to stron rno into the adden ea system t remains nknown whether this leads to an inrease in sspended matter inl he inreased otlow o resh water will enhane the estarine irlation in the estaries and alon the orth ea oast leadin to a reater eiieny to trap md his miht inrease the onentrations o md in these waters and the availaility o md or the system

loal sealevels have een risin with some mmyr drin the irst hal o the past entry ine loal sealevel rise is aeleratin resently, it is some mmyr ire anendor et al, n the adden ea sealevel rise is slower, most likely de to reional eoloial, laioisostati and meteoroloial eets t is epeted that loal sea level rise will ontine or entries to ome and it is oreseeale that also in the adden ea, in the near tre sealevel rise may proeed at a iker pae

he presentday knowlede o the morpholoial response o tidal asins to sealevel rise is insiient to onidently estimate the role o the sealevel rise on the md det nmer o senarios may e ormlated related to the response o sand and md deposition rates nder aelerated

he presentday adden ea asins keep pae with sealevel rise, inldin the horiontal distrition o sand and md he reired annal md mass is then the prodt o the areal etent o the adden ea, the presentday md ontent, and the rate o his is raphially displayed or the th and erman adden ea in ire , allowin assessment at whih rate o md availaility eomes limitin he rrent md spply is – million tonyr, o whih million ton is annally etrated he remainin – million ton ompletely ontrite to vertial aretion to ompensate sealevel rise or rates etween and mmyr his is inetween proetions o mmyr and mmyr or the adden ea ermeersen et al, he senario assmes that H emissions deline ater whereas the senario represents a ontined rise o H emissions throhot the st entry n reality, a sealevel rise in etween senario and is most likely his then implies that the availaility o md is insiient to keep pae with , assmin that the the spatial md distrition remains as it is today or , already million tonyr o md deposits is reired in the th adden ea in order to keep pae with ealevel ise y that time etration rates remain the same, only – million ton o sediment remains availale to annally deposit with demandin million ton to keep pae with nder these onditions, md will eome a limitin ator, espeially in the eastern adden ea he system will either drown or eome more sandy dependin on the availaility o sand, whih is not elaorated on here

ote that in the lonterm, the spply o md old possily hane, e ease o sealevel rise, hanes in wind or wave limate, hanes in reshwater dishare, hman interventions sh as oastline hanes and sand minin, temperatre inrease resltin in dierent md omposition and settlin veloity et till it remains nknown how these proesses and onditions wold hane md spply his is the more important, sine we see that spply miht eome limitin in the tre

9 MODELLING PRACTICES: FOCUSING ON MUD

9.1 PROCESS-BASED MODELS

9.1.1 Morphological models also indicated as “complex” and “quasi–realistic” in the litera

underlin phsical processes and mechanisms or e the osered morpholoical and sedimentoloical deelopments t is important to realie that een processased models are not realit ut aim to represent realit as closel as possile dependin on the model purpose his representation o realit is as ood as the underlin equations and model deploment ome o these equations are ellstudied and ellnon e hdrodnamics some contain a considerale marin o error and unnons e sediment transport

e part o the sediment transport model ormulation is the ed oundar condition or the adectiondiusion equation or sediment concentration his part o the model ormulation is also essentiall dierent or mud than or sand or sand the equilirium concentration or equilirium concentration radient in the ertical direction calculated rom a sediment transport ormula is prescried or mud the erosion and deposition luxes are calculated usin the roneartheniades tpe ormulation n the classical a o usin this ormulation i ith critical ed shear stress or deposition smaller than that or erosion there is an essential dierence ith the ormulation or sand or sand an equilirium concentration can e calculated as a continuous unction o the lo condition characteried e the ed shear stress and or mud it is not the case oeer intererp and an esteren recommend settin the critical ed shear stress or deposition ininitel lare ie let deposition alas tae place remoin this dierence eteen the ormulations or sand and or mud

urthermore mud transport is more complicated than sand transport as sediment parameters such as settlin elocit and critical shear stress or erosion are not directl lined to particle sie ut ma chane in time due to processes o locculation o suspended sediment inluencin settlin elocit and consolidation o ed sediment inluencin erosion properties lso sand transport is steered mainl actual and local hdrodnamic conditions determinin transport capacit and radients herein hereas mud transport is more steered hdrodnamic conditions in a much ider area and ith important memor eects picall mud transport is drien suppl sins and sources rather than transport capacit as or sand andmud interaction maes the sediment transport modellin een more diicult in areas lie the adden ea

orpholoical models such as elt hae reached a stae that the can e used to inestiate hdro and morphodnamics and reatl improe our undamental understandin o the processes driin sediment transport see lias and an der pe esser an der een lias and ansen an der een illustrated that lon term centuries morphodnamic simulations are capale o reproducin concepts and equilirium relationships ased on measurements and laorator experiments similar indins ere presented in the studies o ima et al a arciano et al asthei et al issanaae et al a esser demonstrated throuh areement eteen modelled and measured morphodnamic ehaiour o illapa a that a processased numerical model could reproduce the most important phsical processes in the coastal one oer mediumterm ear timescales lso recent modellin o morpholoical chanes o the andmotor meanourishment alon the olland coast illustrates that the elt model can capture morphodnamic deelopments on a

decadal scale uiendi et al uisman et al tudies that aimed to predict the morphodnamics o the adden ea inlets e meland nlet ere less successul e ocert ese lias et al an et al ne o the important lessons learned rom the aoe models is that these are er ell capale to predict the morphodnamic eolution ater larescale distortion o the sstem e construction o the andmotor ut cannot easil predict the smallerscale natural eolution o inlets unless aundant ield data and model deelopment are aailale esser pplications o processased models or simulatin impact o to the adden ea tane et al issanaae et al ostede et al echerer et al hae onl demonstrated limited success

9.1.2 Turbidity models uridit models hae other requirements or hdrodnamic model caliration than morpholoical models ext to the proper reproduction o peas in lood and e elocities and their asmmetr and peas in current and aeinduced ed shear stress also residual currents and the residence time o ater masses are important hese are inluenced tidal asmmetr ut also ind speed and direction and densit radients induced salinit temperature or the sediment concentration itsel i suicientl hih o reproduce densit radients a approach is adopted deault or suspended sediment modellin hereas or morpholoical models oten still a approach is applicale rom hdrodnamic models usin the  turulence model also the ertical mixin intensit is non rom hich in comination ith the particle settlin elocit the ertical suspended sediment concentration proiles can e computed and hence neared and nearsurace residual uspended articulate atter transport

idderinho as one o the irst to stud residual currents in the estern adden ea usin a numerical model er since models hae een deeloped ith increasin resolution and complexit in orcin and processes hereas ocus as initiall most on tidal transport more and more also the eect o densit radients on transport and mixin as studied lso the analsis extended rom aerae orcin conditions to ariale conditions ith reard to ater leel setup and setdon ind speed and direction ae heiht reshater dischare includin rain and eaporation and heat alance otal in shallo areas such as tidal diides residual transport is steered more ind and aeinduced transport than tidal transport

he proect proides an excellent trilateral oerie o recent adances in hdrodnamic and suspended sediment modellin in the adden ea urchard et al or the estern adden ea uranatute et al discuss the residual circulation and reshater transport ased on the numerical model stud hihlihtin the importance o inddrien circulation his model is aailale oth in and elt ased on this hdrodnamic model a suspended sediment transport model as deeloped as reported assi et al he ealuate the sensitiit o luxes on tidal and meteoroloical orcin n important outcome o their or is that the residual transport is not onl sensitie to meteorolo and eometr ut also to sutle ariations in sediment parameters used as model input settlin elocit erodiilit his dependence on oten limitedl non input

parameters introduces an uncertaint associated ith the predictailit o net luxes ater this model as extended in elt ith a second ed laer o consolidated mud his model introduces more realistic time las and delaed response o the sstem an essel and an uren et al ut does not reduces the dependenc o residual luxes on model input parameters ecentl this model as conerted to and its resolution as urther increased room et al or the msollard area a model is aailale ased on the same philosoph an aren et al a and n unstructured suspended sediment transport model or the erman iht ith hih resolution in the three main estuaries as recentl deeloped tane et al usin the model

he adden ea ide models are ale to reproduce the main eatures o osered suspended sediment dnamics such as aerae concentration leels spatial radients tidal and seasonal ariations and storm peas oeer the oodness o it or a direct comparison ith lon timeseries o hihrequenc oserations e ith is oten open or urther improement e an aren et al his indicates that some processes are still lacin or not ell descried in these models ut also oserations on suspended sediment concentrations hae inherent uncertainties etteis et al part rom the three adden ea ide models deeloped in elt and a lare numer o smallscale models hae een deeloped in the past ears or a speciic part o the adden ea hich oten attain a etter datamodel comparison than the larescale models hese models are oten proect and questionspeciic and the are onl operational or a limited amount o time

otithstandin their limitations these models hae the i adantae oer ield oserations that it is eas to derie a mud alance rom them as the are snoptic lso it is eas to sitch some processes on or o and inestiate the sensitiit to ariations in hdro meteo orcin ie to identi the main driers or mud import and export he results assi et al an essel and room et al suest that the interannual ariailit in mud dnamics and transport in the utch adden ea is lare hereore aerain oer a multiear period is required to otain a mean mud alance maor shortcomin o complex numerical models is that net sediment transport in sstems ith small residual sediment luxes relatie to the ross tidal sediment luxes is sensitie to model input meteorolo eometr and sediment settins his limits the predictailit o the residual transport requirin caliration aainst areated parameters such as net transport uch oserations are hoeer rarel aailale and onl limitedl accurate

9.2 AGGREGATED MODELS reated models or semiempirical models are also non as ehaiouroriented models hese models mae explicit use o empirical relationships to deine a morpholoical equilirium n important assumption is that the morpholoical sstem ater a disturance throuh natural eolution or human intererence alas tends to deelop to a state satisin the empirical equilirium relationships he model tie et al tie and an onend et al a hich is used as an important tool or determinin the eects o interentions in the adden ea is a tpical example o this tpe

o model he model uses a schematisation in hich a tidalinlet sstem is diided into the main morpholoical elements etidal delta channels in the asin and intertidal shoals and lats hese elements exchane sediment ith each other and ith the adacent coast to deelop a morpholoical equilirium as deined the empirical relationships he model is eas to handle and simulates lonterm deelopments his maes it suitale to stud the eects o an oor et al and larescale human interentions rati et al on the morpholo o the adden ea ince these models are dependin on the asic assumption concernin morpholoical equilirium suicient historical data or the caliration and alidation is essential

ecentl onend et al a demonstrated that the dierence eteen and a processased model such as elt is in the leel o spatial and temporal areation rather than in the extent o empiricism he model is ased on the same principles as a processased model in the case that the suspended sediment transport is dominant oth models tr to represent the same phsical processes ut at dierent leels o areation he dierence eteen the to models is in the ormulations or the exchane eteen the ottom sediment and the ater column n elt this is arraned ia the ottom oundar condition in mode or a ormulation deried rom an asmptotic solution o the adectiondiusion equation alappatti and reudenhil an in mode n oth cases the local equilirium concentration or sediment needs to e calculated his requires a sediment transport ormula that relates the transport capacit to the strenth o the lo and the properties o sediment sediment transport ormula is oten deried considerin the releant phsical processes ut it alas contains parameters to e calirated ith oserations rom the ield andor laorator n that sense a sediment transport ormula is thus empirical ne must also consider the uncertainties associated ith the application o such a ormula his is shon the act that there are not one ut man sediment transport ormulas aailale n indication o the uncertaint is ien an in a ho suested that sediment transport estimates and measurements can dier easil a actor o n a sinle ormulation is used or the exchane eteen the ottom and the ater column or each lare morpholoical element e the hole etidal delta his is ased on morpholoical equilirium relationships o the elements and areated hdrodnamic parameters relectin the areation in time and space hese relationships are lie the sediment transport ormula ased on phsical considerations to determine releant hdrodnamic parameters and morpholoical relationships and oserations rom the ield to calirate the parameters in the relationship he local equilirium concentration is related to the ratio eteen the equilirium olume and the actual olume he empirical relationships or the morpholoical equilirium also contain uncertainties ust lie the empirical aspects o a sediment transport ormula in elt

he existin models onl consider a sinle raction sediment oeer recent research an and an der pe an et al made clear that sand as ell as mud are important or the adden ea in its response to sealeel rise and that the models produce ood results onl ecause the parameter settins in the models mimic sandmud transport ith a sinle raction ormulation xtension o the models ith a multiraction sandmud transport module is needed in order to hae the parameters in the model clearl

related ith the parameters in the processased models complicatin actor is that or sand transport ma e assumed to e close to equilirium ie the transport capacit o the lo ut or mud transport is tpicall limited suppl o a ed module eepin trac o the ed composition and hence the aailailit o mud is essential or mud models hereas or sinle raction sand models a transport ormula to compute the equilirium concentration suices

9.3 IDEALISED MODELS n idealised model is a processased model that maes use o simpliied phsical and mathematical descriptions to analse the ehaiour o a morphodnamic sstem he dierence ith the complex models is that the do not pursue ull description o eometr orcin and phsical processes ut tr to reduce these to essential principles dealised models themseles hae reat ariailit in complexit as ell see also the reie in e art and immerman n example o a simple idealised model is the conceptual model o ostma on landard sediment transport in the adden ea ore recent and more complex idealised models deeloped or the adden ea include the schematised model o an rooien and an and those deeloped oos et al and ee et al

dealised models can e used to stud speciic phenomena such as reime shit in estuaries recent example o an idealised model is lo deeloped istra uildin on the models deeloped hernets et al and chuttelaars et al uch idealied models hae een used to understand the transition to hih turidit in the ms stuar intererp and an intererp et al istra model deeloped or inestiatin the response o mudlats to sealeel rise is udlats lmilad et al

10 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

10.1 DISCUSSION OF THE RESEARCH QUESTIONS n this section the research questions ormulated in hapter ill e addressed ased on the results ormulated in hapters to

he main source or inoranic mud inlux in the trilateral adden ea is sediment rom the oer traits hich is transported alon the rench elian and olland coasts the orth ea ontinental lo he estimates sho that ia the some tonr o mud is transported toards and alon the adden ea area up to the eserle eloland trianle ther sources are local riers hich suppl an additional tonr o mud to the adden ea area and its estuaries rimar production and eolian dust delier an additional tonr he resultin total mud suppl is estimated at to tonr he aerae decadal deposition and extraction o mud ie excludin sand ranes eteen and tonr hich means that presentl the suppl is times larer than demand extraction and deposition ote that ross import rates are orders o manitude larer than the net import ie the demand ut it is the net import that contriutes to the mud udet it is assumed that suspended sediment transport ia the stops in the eserleeloland trianle perhaps leadin to the ormation o the eloland mud ield then net deposition is tonr the amount o mud settlin in the orth risian adden ea implin suppl is times larer than demand

n case o a temporal mud shortae local mud stocs in the orth ea and in the adden ea could mae up the dierence eteen the suppl and the demand temporaril closin the imalance oeer this ould not hold or the lonterm alance since these mud stocs are limited

ore suspended matter miht e deliered ia the ast nlia lume ut the ate o sediment rom this sediment source is poorl non here are indications that at least some tonr o the ma reach the especiall in the orth risian area e ic et al he is thouht to e responsile or stron sedimentation in deeper ater leadin to mudd oshore areas art o the mud deposited oshore ma e intermittentl released durin storms and transported to the reion

t is important to note that this is the irst time that the mud alance has een estimated or the rilateral adden ea and that the results should thereore e interpreted as such

oth in the adden ea and alon the orth ea coast the ariations oer a tidal ccle a neap sprin ccle the annual ind inluence and interannual ariations in storminess all lead to mared chanes in the aailailit o suspended matter n eneral sediment is transported rom the orth ea into the adden ea idal currents transport mud to the intertidal areas drien horiontal and temporal tidal asmmetries and la eects ome o this material ma e exported durin storm eents edistriution ithin the adden ea and transport eteen tidal asins is stronl oerned inddrien los durin storm conditions oth aes and inddrien currents remoilie ine sediments iure deposited durin lo ener conditions and transport sediment in the eastard direction n addition densit radients and ertical mixin can stronl inluence mud transport hich is especiall the case in the estuaries

n eneral the natural rane o suspended mud concentration ma ar due to the aoe descried ariations oer to orders o manitude n aerae there is a narro one o hiher mud concentrations alon the coasts rom olland up to inserooe the easternmost arrier island o the adden ea o oer axon rom the eser up to lt this transport pattern is not present rom lt onards it is restored eertheless on aerae concentrations are er lo o the order o summer period ml inter period nto the adden ea area the concentrations o suspended matter increase in the channels ith increasin distance rom the inlet ostma an rooien and an oe the tidal lats e see a similar pattern

ithin the eser and le estuaries there is clearl deined turidit maximum one present here a comination o estuarine circulation and tidal pumpin enerates hih turidit up to seeral ml Concentrations may be as high as 10’s of g/l in the hyperturbid lower Ems ier

or the second part o the question e reer to uestion

he to interentions that hae most stronl impacted the sediment concentration are land reclamation and channel deepenin

eclamation of naturally accreting land the etensie pristine intertidal and supratidal areas south of the adden ea introduced a maor loss in sediment sins ediment transported from west to east is no longer able to settle resulting in an increase in the suspended sediment concentrations an aren et al 01 hus with the closure of large basins such as the uideree and the auwersee and the gradual diing of the tidal marshes it may be epected that less sedimentation space was aailable see also an der pe and an der al 1 lemming and yandwi 1 and ai and artholom 000 his would result in a higher concentration of fines in the water column eclamations also influence the tidal dynamics especially in the estuaries arrowing of the estuaries increases the amplification and flood dominance of the tides contributing to landward transport of sand and mud

eepening of tidal channels for naigation purposes also increases the range and flood dominance of the tides contributing to landward sediment transport n an area with horiontal salinity gradients primarily the estuaries deepening will also strengthen a salinity drien residual circulation cell promoting nearbed landward sediment transport or all three maor estuaries in the trilateral adden ea the combined effect of deepening has led to a substantial increase in suspended sediment concentrations with the Ems rier as the most etreme eample resulting in a 100fold increase in sediment concentrations

argescale managed realignment may reduce the mudrelated problems in the adden ea ee also the answer to uestion

he aailable E measurements as well as the obserations in other parts of the world hae shown that there is a strong bimodal distribution of the mud content of bed sediments erman et al 01 Colina lonso et al in prep with a mode at a low percentage of mud and a mode at a relatiely high percentage his suggests that sandrich and mudrich sediment mitures behae ery differently and therefore also respond differently to eternal changes eg human interentions sealeel rise he locations where mud settles are characterised by lowenergy hydrodynamic conditions and are in general persistent dditionally the presence of mud itself also promotes mud sedimentation Colina lonso et al in prep for different reasons hese reasons may be physical related to bed roughness and erodibility of the mitures and/or biological sticiness of benthic diatoms growing oer mud beds ud sedimentation is important in abandoned channels at mudflats on distance of 10 m from the inlets in tidal marshes and in uiet embayments and in the estuaries around the turbidity maimum and in fairways and harbours with oerdepth

11

he most widely applied sediment management techniue is dredging redged sediment is disposed in within the system disposed offshore or brought on land ffshore disposal or bringing sediment on land can be considered etraction of suspended sediments

isposal of sediments primarily leads to a redistribution of sediment rather than an increase in suspended sediment concentrations an aren et al 01a because the estuarine sediment concentrations effectiely decrease when sediment settles in the ports or fairways ubseuent disposal restores the sediment concentration to a leel comparable with a situation without settling in ports and fairways at least on large time and spatial scales Close to disposal sites the sediment concentrations increase n top of this dredging can be considered a permanent stirring mechanism leading to higher suspended sediment concentrations compared to a situation without dredging ie comparable to an estuary with or without permanent waeinduced resuspension f dredged material is released close to the dredging location important return flows may occur enhancing local sediment concentrations substantially

andfill or deposition far outside the adden area of dredged sediments will result in an artificial etraction of sediment from the estuaries and a decrease of the concentrations in the estuaries f the dredged sediments are heaily contaminated as is the case near amburg Elbe and in the eser then there is no other option than to store such sediments on land as they are detrimental to the ecology of the adden area oweer if clean mud is deposited on land to heighten the land or fill former sand pits this should be regarded as a loss to the system he uestion arises if the benefits lower concentration in the estuaries outdo the effects less mud aailable for ecosystem serices in downdrift basins t the same time a reduction in mud aailability may also be considered positie as it may lead to a reduction in maintenance dredging and higher primary production rates t the present rates of the reduction in mud aailability may not lead to a substantial negatie ecological impact oweer the largescale and longterm impact of sediment management strategies needs to be accounted for when designing such strategies

andfills are beneficiary for the estuary but also for conditions on land Estuarine mud is composed of nutrients and historical landfills especially in the areas around Emden and the lower Ems ier show that the uality of the agricultural land significantly improes n the nearfuture the etherlands will also eperiment with landfills or seminatural flooding to improe the soil uality of agricultural lands second positie effect of landfills / artificial flooding is that the land grows ertically reducing flood riss less disrupting method to enrich agricultural lands is through mechanic spreading of marine mud as an alternatie for manure he subsoil of the lowlying coastal areas in the northeast of the etherlands consist of compacted peatland which is poor in nutrients Eperiments with mechanic spreading of limited olumes of mud sufficiently low to allow agricultural functions to be continued lead reeal that the soil uality improes oweer the olume of etracted mud is too low to significantly influence the mud balance

n alternatie to storage on land is managed realignment n the past realignments were often accidental when dies were breached and had to be gien up eg aesummer lannen

1

owadays with the increased uality of the dies realignment is a choice anaged realignment or deembanment can be done ia the reintroduction of tidal storm surge influence to polders by breaching or remoing dies n total more than 0 realignment proects hae been realied in the trilateral adden ea and some 100 ha has been conerted into adden area Esselin et al 01 edimentation rates in these areas are slightly higher or comparable to aerages found in the near tidal marshes padenlnder pite mm/yr olwerder summer polder 10 mm/yr 01 oweer sometimes sedimentation rates are ery high especially in estuaries n eample is the leinsieler late in the eser with a sedimentation rate of 00 mm/yr 01 ccasionally sedimentation rates may be ery low eg ildtpollen 1 mm/yr aer et al 01 resulting in a lag relatie to mean high water leel rise but that is rare he reasons for differences in sedimentation rates are the hydrodynamic conditions full tide or dampening concentrations wae effects eleation and inundation of the site the slope of the terrain and the number of breaches

p to present most of the realignment schemes hae been rather small in areal etent Een at sedimentation rates of 10 mm/yr this does not allow for largescale permanent storage of mud o that end largerscale realignment proects are needed he silting up of a basin of 10 m with 1 cm/yr would reuire 0110 m/yr of mainly mud resently seeral possibilities are being considered from a totally open landscape without dies to strongly regulated tidal basins

The most comprehensive and futuristic plan is “Rijzend Land” of Bureau amaland igure t enisages to open polders surrounded by inland dies which function as sedimentation basins hen the area has become high enough it can be reclaimed or if sealeel rise is too fast left to nature t the same time other realignment proects are still silting up ariants of the plan hae been brought forward by the bureau and other staeholders

o store considerable amounts of dredged mud and thus reduce the concentrations seeral of these largescale realignment initiaties would be needed along the estuaries uch managed realignment will mainly be implemented on agricultural land which will turn into nature reseres ut depending on financial compensation farmers are liely willing to sell their land lternatiely the land may be eploited economically while being regularly flooded his includes recreation nature reseres as aboe shellfish farming or salty agriculture ecently oggema 00 showed that higheralue future crops tae up much less land and delier the same amount of income ut een these lands retain some economic alue additional inestments will be needed

1

s arued in hapter this is difficult to predict t is anticipated that as lon as sand flats can eep up ith LR the ill provide shelter for the more inland mudflats oever ith increasin rates of LR the sand flats increasinl la ehind and ecome somehat deeper ith reference to L and ave action and tides ill ecome stroner t is not non hat ill happen ith mud sedimentation second point is that more mud ill e needed to eep up ith accelerated LR s alread at present mud suppl is limited it ma e epected that for the more eastard asins this ma ecome prolematic in the loner run t is not non to hat etent sealevel rise ill enhance coastal erosion at over trait and thus mud influ troner fluctuations in runoff due to chanin precipitation patterns ma lead to increased mud suppl via the rivers oever this ma e hindered if river ater levels increase due to sealevel rise hich miht lead to mud entrapment in the rivereds

ove a certain critical limit sand tidal flats are epected to e no loner ale to eep up ith LR and the ill start to dron Then ave ener on the mudflats ill increase This ma lead to erosion or reduced vertical accretion

ee hapter

lare numer of models developed for different purposes and different spatial and temporal scales summarized in hapter

10.2 TESTING THE HYPOTHESIS

Hypothesis I: Sand and mud deposits are spatially segregated, which influences not only their distribution but also their response to human interventions and sea-level rise

rom hapter and it appears that overall stron sandmud sereation in the sediment ed of the utch adden ea has een oserved man researchers ostma van traaten and uenen de lopper van Ledden arts etailed data indicate that the sereation is not onl eplained the athmetr ith sand channels and mudd shoals ut is also oserved on intertidal flats here sediments tend to e either mudrich averae ca mud or mud poor averae ca erman et al This imodal distriution of the mud content as shon to e relativel stale over decennia olina lonso The proailit of findin ed sediments in eteen these to modes is much loer The intermediate samples sho lare fluctuations in rain size distriutions and ma e the result of samplin mied eds of flaser and linzen structures cla rich and cla poor laers of sediment hich alternate Thus as a first approimation one miht thin of the acarrier area as consisting of two separate “worlds”: one of mudrich sediments that are enerall cohesive and one of sandrich sediments that are noncohesive f course the idea of to separate orlds is an oversimplification and it should e noted that in oth orlds cohesive and noncohesive the ed sediments eist of oth sand and mud oreover these to orlds interact in their morphodnamic development These interactions tae place at various scales t small rainrain scales sand and mud particles mutuall influence their erosion rates ith mud particles reducin sand erosion rates hile an addition of sand strenthens a pure mud ed – see intererp and van esteren t larer scales sand shoals shelter finerained tidal flats from aveinduced erosion hereas simultaneousl deposition of mud on intertidal areas reduce the tidal prism and therefore flo velocities in the dominantl sand tidal channels

The eistence of imodalit is proal rouht aout oth hdrodnamic conditions and the stronl differin sedimentar ehaviour of sand and mud in terms of entrainment transport and settlin ostma an rooijen and an urthermore it appears that mud settles preferentiall in mud fields over periods of a centur or more olina lonso et al in prep possile eplanation is the oranic matter on mud hich stimulates enthic diatom development and hence sediment indin thus increasin entrainment velocit

The eistence of imodalit in the erman adden ea could not et e studied in this project ecause the availale data consists of interpolated data and the oriinal datasets ere not availale oever since the imodalit is also oserved on other areas ith sand and mudflats around the orld it is assumed that it is also true for the erman and anish adden ea

e implications of tis oseration are far reacing pon accelerated sealeel rise it does not suffice to onl consider te aailailit and transport of sand or more landward areas te aailailit of mud sould also e considered see furter sealeel rise

Hypothesis II: The contribution of mud to total sedimentation rates in the whole trilateral Wadden Sea is substantial

e ed sediment in te adden ea consists of approimatel mud mass see eg ost et al oweer large interentions ma lead to a larger contriution tan tis of mud to total deposition is was sown for te western part of te utc adden ea after closure of te uideree were aout olume of te deposited sediment consisted of mud see igure and ale e contriution of mud to deposition in te astern part of te utc adden ea was largest after closure of te auwersee olume since igure and ale n realit mud contriutes een more to te net deposition rates ecause te and do not account for salt mars sedimentation rate were mud constitutes of te deposit n te ms stuar mud contriutes mass to infilling since see ale n te sandier parts of te ower aon coast and te ort risian erman adden ea mud contriutes muc less mass see ale and ale uc more mud deposits in some of te seltered emaments euct ade a eltof igt and te salt marses e estuaries of te le and eser are primaril mudd ut uantitatie alues for te mud contriution to total sedimentation are not aailale

erall we conclude tat mud sustantiall influences morpodnamic eaiour and te sediment udgets in te adden ea

Hypothesis III: The sources and the sinks of mud are closely balanced.

is potesis is confirmed for te current sedimentation rates e potential influ of mud originating from te aforementioned sources is estimated at tonr of mud ased on a literature reiew and an additional data analsis we ae sown tat recent mud deposition consisting of net sedimentation and etraction uman is estimated at tonr tis sows tat at te moment te sources are onl approimatel times te net total sedimentation oweer two tings sould e noted: ud sedimentation in te erman igt as een calculated ased on data of te period onl wic means tat we cannot conclude wat te longterm mud udget of te adden ea loos lie erefore we recommend etending tis analsis to a longer period of time e mud sources are still difficult to uantif wic creates uncertaint in te calculations erefore we strongl recommend furter researc on teir magnitude and patwas oweer it is also clear tat altoug suppl ma e igl ariale it

will not e an order of magnitude larger tan current estimates t implies tat in general suppl and deposition of mud are uite comparale in sie

Hypothesis IV: Sea-level rise may lead to a shortage of mud

e deposition rate of mud is epected to increase wit sealeel rise it te presentda rate of or a sligt increase and current mud etraction rates tere is no sortage of mud oweer te mud alance is nearl closed see potesis wic implies tat a critical rate of eist were mud deposition rates are so large tat a sortage in mud ma deelop – especiall in te east of te adden ea is critical rate of is now estimated at mmr ut tis numer needs to e uantified in more detail wit additional studies n te sort term tis response is furter complicated te sediment uffers in te adden ea e stoc of mud in and around te adden ea is so large tat sedimentation ma continue for a limited period of time at rates of eceeding mmr oweer as te aailale mud stocs will ecome depleted in time tis uffer capacit onl proides a delaed response to

maor uncertaint is to wat etent drodnamic conditions cange for instance due to te drowning of more seaward sand soals or parts of arriers uc a cange will ecome liel for more etreme rates of and lead to a reduction in mud deposition rates

Hypothesis V: Anthropogenic sediment extraction may lead to a shortage of mud.

uman mud retrieal is estimated at tonr wic is aout of te net mud suppl te ort ea ontinental flow te riers primar production and aeolian dust comined is million tonear can e considered large compared to te tonr of mud wic naturall deposits in te adden ea asins and te saltmarses nder current conditions te amount of mud aailale in te entire trilateral adden ea is sufficient oweer on a large scale and oer a longer period of time tere is a limit on te amount of mud tat can e etracted especiall considering te epected acceleration of see potesis on te scale of te entire adden ea ocall enoug sediment ma e aailale especiall in te estern adden ea ut in time sediment sortages ma deelop in te eastern adden ea ustainale sediment management strategies including sediment etraction scemes sould account not onl for te local impact ut also te large scale long term implications

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Kres M. eileer . 200. he msollart stuary. ie Kste 4 2222.

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amalan N. ien an htt.lamalan.euroectsrienlan

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tidal Delta of „Het Friesche Zeegat‟,

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Ausschließlichen Wirtschaftszone „AWZ“”.BAW

Wiertsea an artners. . nerzoe naar e saenstellin an lei te ieue tatenzil en e oeliheen oor e toeassin in een i. raort. aaeen nenieursureau Wiertsea an artners B.. olert. .

Winterer . . an an esteren W. . . . ntrouction to the hsics of cohesie seient in the arine enironent. Astera lseier.

Winterer . . an Wan Z. B. . aninuce reie shifts in sall estuaries theor. cean naics –.

Winterer . . Wan Z. B. an Bracel A. an ollan . an sters . . an inuce reie shifts in sall estuaries a coarison of riers. cean naics –.

Wolters . arutt A. an Baer .. . altarsh restoration ealuatin the success of eeanents in northest uroe. Bioloical onseration –.

Wurts . an orn . . ears of eerience ith flui u efinition of the nautical otto ith rheoloical araeters. erra et Aua . .

Zeiler . ilrat . lß A. an . alerius . oellin are cale eient ransort in the eran Biht orth ea. ie ste .

Zarts . . Boeestelhei en echanische oelisseri in e Waenzee. aort ZA. B

12 WADDEN SEA RESEARCHERS AND PRACTITIONERS