Algorithms, Platforms, and Ethnic Bias: an Integrative Essay
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Rethinking Publishing Infrastructure
RatSWD Working Paper www.ratswd.de Series Flipping journals to open: 251 Rethinking publishing infrastructure Benedikt Fecher and Gert G. Wagner December 2015 Working Paper Series of the German Data Forum (RatSWD) The RatSWD Working Papers series was launched at the end of 2007. Since 2009, the series has been publishing exclusively conceptual and historical works dealing with the organization of the German statistical infrastructure and research infrastructure in the social, behavioral, and economic sciences. Papers that have appeared in the series deal primarily with the organization of Germany’s official statistical system, government agency research, and academic research infrastructure, as well as directly with the work of the RatSWD. Papers addressing the aforementioned topics in other countries as well as supranational aspects are particularly welcome. RatSWD Working Papers are non-exclusive, which means that there is nothing to prevent you from publishing your work in another venue as well: all papers can and should also appear in professionally, institutionally, and locally specialized journals. The RatSWD Working Papers are not available in bookstores but can be ordered online through the RatSWD. In order to make the series more accessible to readers not fluent in German, the English section of the RatSWD Working Papers website presents only those papers published in English, while the German section lists the complete contents of all issues in the series in chronological order. The views expressed in the RatSWD Working Papers are exclusively the opinions of their authors and not those of the RatSWD or of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research. The RatSWD Working Paper Series is edited by: Chair of the RatSWD (since 2014 Regina T. -
Nber Working Paper Series Human Decisions And
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES HUMAN DECISIONS AND MACHINE PREDICTIONS Jon Kleinberg Himabindu Lakkaraju Jure Leskovec Jens Ludwig Sendhil Mullainathan Working Paper 23180 http://www.nber.org/papers/w23180 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 February 2017 We are immensely grateful to Mike Riley for meticulously and tirelessly spearheading the data analytics, with effort well above and beyond the call of duty. Thanks to David Abrams, Matt Alsdorf, Molly Cohen, Alexander Crohn, Gretchen Ruth Cusick, Tim Dierks, John Donohue, Mark DuPont, Meg Egan, Elizabeth Glazer, Judge Joan Gottschall, Nathan Hess, Karen Kane, Leslie Kellam, Angela LaScala-Gruenewald, Charles Loeffler, Anne Milgram, Lauren Raphael, Chris Rohlfs, Dan Rosenbaum, Terry Salo, Andrei Shleifer, Aaron Sojourner, James Sowerby, Cass Sunstein, Michele Sviridoff, Emily Turner, and Judge John Wasilewski for valuable assistance and comments, to Binta Diop, Nathan Hess, and Robert Webberfor help with the data, to David Welgus and Rebecca Wei for outstanding work on the data analysis, to seminar participants at Berkeley, Carnegie Mellon, Harvard, Michigan, the National Bureau of Economic Research, New York University, Northwestern, Stanford and the University of Chicago for helpful comments, to the Simons Foundation for its support of Jon Kleinberg's research, to the Stanford Data Science Initiative for its support of Jure Leskovec’s research, to the Robert Bosch Stanford Graduate Fellowship for its support of Himabindu Lakkaraju and to Tom Dunn, Ira Handler, and the MacArthur, McCormick and Pritzker foundations for their support of the University of Chicago Crime Lab and Urban Labs. The main data we analyze are provided by the New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services (DCJS), and the Office of Court Administration. -
Cambridge Working Paper Economics
Faculty of Economics Cambridge Working Paper Economics Cambridge Working Paper Economics: 1753 PUBLISHING WHILE FEMALE ARE WOMEN HELD TO HIGHER STANDARDS? EVIDENCE FROM PEER REVIEW. Erin Hengel 4 December 2017 I use readability scores to test if referees and/or editors apply higher standards to women’s writing in academic peer review. I find: (i) female-authored papers are 1–6 percent better written than equivalent papers by men; (ii) the gap is two times higher in published articles than in earlier, draft versions of the same papers; (iii) women’s writing gradually improves but men’s does not—meaning the readability gap grows over authors’ careers. In a dynamic model of an author’s decision-making process, I show that tougher editorial standards and/or biased referee assignment are uniquely consistent with this pattern of choices. A conservative causal estimate derived from the model suggests senior female economists write at least 9 percent more clearly than they otherwise would. These findings indicate that higher standards burden women with an added time tax and probably contribute to academia’s “Publishing Paradox” Consistent with this hypothesis, I find female-authored papers spend six months longer in peer review. More generally, tougher standards impose a quantity/quality tradeoff that characterises many instances of female output. They could resolve persistently lower—otherwise unexplained—female productivity in many high-skill occupations. Publishing while Female Are women held to higher standards? Evidence from peer review.∗ Erin Hengely November 2017 I use readability scores to test if referees and/or editors apply higher standards to women’s writing in academic peer review. -
Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Scopus
Journal of Informetrics, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 1160-1177, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JOI.2018.09.002 Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Scopus: a systematic comparison of citations in 252 subject categories Alberto Martín-Martín1 , Enrique Orduna-Malea2 , Mike 3 1 Thelwall , Emilio Delgado López-Cózar Version 1.6 March 12, 2019 Abstract Despite citation counts from Google Scholar (GS), Web of Science (WoS), and Scopus being widely consulted by researchers and sometimes used in research evaluations, there is no recent or systematic evidence about the differences between them. In response, this paper investigates 2,448,055 citations to 2,299 English-language highly-cited documents from 252 GS subject categories published in 2006, comparing GS, the WoS Core Collection, and Scopus. GS consistently found the largest percentage of citations across all areas (93%-96%), far ahead of Scopus (35%-77%) and WoS (27%-73%). GS found nearly all the WoS (95%) and Scopus (92%) citations. Most citations found only by GS were from non-journal sources (48%-65%), including theses, books, conference papers, and unpublished materials. Many were non-English (19%- 38%), and they tended to be much less cited than citing sources that were also in Scopus or WoS. Despite the many unique GS citing sources, Spearman correlations between citation counts in GS and WoS or Scopus are high (0.78-0.99). They are lower in the Humanities, and lower between GS and WoS than between GS and Scopus. The results suggest that in all areas GS citation data is essentially a superset of WoS and Scopus, with substantial extra coverage. -
Technical Reports, Working Papers, and Preprints
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS COLLECTIONS POLICY STATEMENTS Technical Reports, Working Papers, and Preprints Contents I. Scope II. Research Strengths III. Collecting Policy IV.Best Editions and Preferred Formats V. Acquisition Sources I. Scope This statement describes the Library's collection policies for technical reports, working papers, and preprints, in all subjects. These formats for publication are used by researchers or contractors to inform sponsoring agencies, peers, or others of the progress of research. This policy statement covers these formats when issued either by government or non-government publishers, or from both domestic and foreign sources. This statement is further limited to technical reports, working papers, and preprints that are issued in numbered or otherwise clearly identifiable series. Some technical reports, working papers, and preprints may be collected on a case-by-case basis rather than as a series, in which case they will fall under the Library's other Collections Policy Statements by subject rather than this Collections Policy Statement. Although the Library of Congress has a separate custodial Technical Reports collection, all Recommending Officers in appropriate fields are responsible for identifying series of technical reports, working papers, and preprints that are of interest to the Library's legislative, federal, and research clientele. The custodial location of reports acquired by the Library may include the Science, Technology & Business Division’s Automation, Collections Support and Technical Reports Section, the Serial and Government Publications Division, the Collections Management Division or any other appropriate custodial divisions, including Law and custodial area studies divisions. Format characteristics of technical reports, working papers, and preprints: The names given to these publication series vary. -
Himabindu Lakkaraju
Himabindu Lakkaraju Contact Information 428 Morgan Hall Harvard Business School Soldiers Field Road Boston, MA 02163 E-mail: [email protected] Webpage: http://web.stanford.edu/∼himalv Research Interests Transparency, Fairness, and Safety in Artificial Intelligence (AI); Applications of AI to Criminal Justice, Healthcare, Public Policy, and Education; AI for Decision-Making. Academic & Harvard University 11/2018 - Present Professional Postdoctoral Fellow with appointments in Business School and Experience Department of Computer Science Microsoft Research, Redmond 5/2017 - 6/2017 Visiting Researcher Microsoft Research, Redmond 6/2016 - 9/2016 Research Intern University of Chicago 6/2014 - 8/2014 Data Science for Social Good Fellow IBM Research - India, Bangalore 7/2010 - 7/2012 Technical Staff Member SAP Research, Bangalore 7/2009 - 3/2010 Visiting Researcher Adobe Systems Pvt. Ltd., Bangalore 7/2007 - 7/2008 Software Engineer Education Stanford University 9/2012 - 9/2018 Ph.D. in Computer Science Thesis: Enabling Machine Learning for High-Stakes Decision-Making Advisor: Prof. Jure Leskovec Thesis Committee: Prof. Emma Brunskill, Dr. Eric Horvitz, Prof. Jon Kleinberg, Prof. Percy Liang, Prof. Cynthia Rudin Stanford University 9/2012 - 9/2015 Master of Science (MS) in Computer Science Advisor: Prof. Jure Leskovec Indian Institute of Science (IISc) 8/2008 - 7/2010 Master of Engineering (MEng) in Computer Science & Automation Thesis: Exploring Topic Models for Understanding Sentiments Expressed in Customer Reviews Advisor: Prof. Chiranjib -
Overview on Explainable AI Methods Global‐Local‐Ante‐Hoc‐Post‐Hoc
00‐FRONTMATTER Seminar Explainable AI Module 4 Overview on Explainable AI Methods Birds‐Eye View Global‐Local‐Ante‐hoc‐Post‐hoc Andreas Holzinger Human‐Centered AI Lab (Holzinger Group) Institute for Medical Informatics/Statistics, Medical University Graz, Austria and Explainable AI‐Lab, Alberta Machine Intelligence Institute, Edmonton, Canada a.holzinger@human‐centered.ai 1 Last update: 11‐10‐2019 Agenda . 00 Reflection – follow‐up from last lecture . 01 Basics, Definitions, … . 02 Please note: xAI is not new! . 03 Examples for Ante‐hoc models (explainable models, interpretable machine learning) . 04 Examples for Post‐hoc models (making the “black‐box” model interpretable . 05 Explanation Interfaces: Future human‐AI interaction . 06 A few words on metrics of xAI (measuring causability) a.holzinger@human‐centered.ai 2 Last update: 11‐10‐2019 01 Basics, Definitions, … a.holzinger@human‐centered.ai 3 Last update: 11‐10‐2019 Explainability/ Interpretability – contrasted to performance Zachary C. Lipton 2016. The mythos of model interpretability. arXiv:1606.03490. Inconsistent Definitions: What is the difference between explainable, interpretable, verifiable, intelligible, transparent, understandable … ? Zachary C. Lipton 2018. The mythos of model interpretability. ACM Queue, 16, (3), 31‐57, doi:10.1145/3236386.3241340 a.holzinger@human‐centered.ai 4 Last update: 11‐10‐2019 The expectations of xAI are extremely high . Trust – interpretability as prerequisite for trust (as propagated by Ribeiro et al (2016)); how is trust defined? Confidence? . Causality ‐ inferring causal relationships from pure observational data has been extensively studied (Pearl, 2009), however it relies strongly on prior knowledge . Transferability – humans have a much higher capacity to generalize, and can transfer learned skills to completely new situations; compare this with e.g. -
Renaissance Leadership: Transforming Leadership for the 21St Century
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by The Australian National University School of Management, Marketing, and International Business Renaissance Leadership: Transforming Leadership for the 21st Century Part II: New Leadership Development Jay Martin Hays and Choule Youn Kim 2008 ORKING W PAPER SERIES Volume 3 · Number 2 ISSN: 1833-6558 School of Management, Marketing, and International Business WORKING PAPER SERIES ISSN: 1833-6558 School of Management, Marketing, and International Business The School of Management, Marketing, and International Business in the College of Business and Economics was established at the beginning of 2006. The School draws together staff with interests mainly in international business, management, and marketing. The mission of the School is to enrich both the general and the business community through its education, community work and research activities. This mission is accomplished by: conducting high quality pure and applied research so as to increase knowledge in our business disciplines and to communicate that knowledge to others; promoting learning, which provides graduates with relevant skills and knowledge; and serving the education, research and training needs of students, professions, industry, government, employers and other interested groups and individuals. Undergraduate degrees for which the School has primary responsibility include Bachelor of Commerce, Bachelor of E-Commerce, and Bachelor of International Business. The School will also offer a new degree Bachelor of Business Administration from 2009. The School had a large number of students, with approximately 850 effective full-time undergraduate students and 25 coursework graduate students in 2004, making it the largest school in the university. -
Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Offline Policy Evaluation
Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Offline Policy Evaluation Jongbin Jung Ravi Shroff [email protected] [email protected] Stanford University New York University Avi Feller Sharad Goel UC-Berkeley [email protected] [email protected] Stanford University ABSTRACT 1 INTRODUCTION On a variety of complex decision-making tasks, from doctors pre- Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used by employ- scribing treatment to judges setting bail, machine learning algo- ers, judges, lenders, and other experts to guide high-stakes de- rithms have been shown to outperform expert human judgments. cisions [2, 3, 5, 6, 22]. These algorithms, for example, can be used to One complication, however, is that it is often difficult to anticipate help determine which job candidates are interviewed, which defen- the effects of algorithmic policies prior to deployment, as onegen- dants are required to pay bail, and which loan applicants are granted erally cannot use historical data to directly observe what would credit. When determining whether to implement a proposed policy, have happened had the actions recommended by the algorithm it is important to anticipate its likely effects using only historical been taken. A common strategy is to model potential outcomes data, as ex-post evaluation may be expensive or otherwise imprac- for alternative decisions assuming that there are no unmeasured tical. This general problem is known as offline policy evaluation. confounders (i.e., to assume ignorability). But if this ignorability One approach to this problem is to first assume that treatment as- assumption is violated, the predicted and actual effects of an al- signment is ignorable given the observed covariates, after which a gorithmic policy can diverge sharply. -
Working Paper of Public Health [Online]
ISSN: 2279-9761 Working paper of public health [Online] n.09 2020 Working Paper of Public Health infrastruttura ricerca formazione innovazione Azienda Ospedaliera di Alessandria La serie di Working Paper of Public Health (WP) dell’Azienda il WP (i.e. peer review). L’utilizzo del peer review costringerà Ospedaliera di Alessandria è una serie di pubblicazioni gli autori ad adeguarsi ai migliori standard di qualità della online ed Open Access, progressiva e multi disciplinare in Public Health (ISSN: 2279-9761). Vi rientrano pertanto sia Con questo approccio, si sottopone il lavoro o le idee di contributi di medicina ed epidemiologia, sia contributi di un autore allo scrutinio di uno o più esperti del medesimo economia sanitaria e management, etica e diritto. Rientra settore. Ognuno di questi esperti fornirà una propria nella politica aziendale tutto quello che può proteggere e valutazione, includendo anche suggerimenti per l’eventuale migliorare la salute della comunità attraverso l’educazione miglioramento, all’autore, così come una raccomandazione e la promozione di stili di vita, così come la prevenzione di esplicita al Comitato editoriale su cosa fare del manoscritto malattie ed infezioni, nonché il miglioramento dell’assistenza (i.e. accepted o rejected). (sia medica sia infermieristica) e della cura del paziente. la revisione sarà anonima, così come l’articolo revisionato stato di salute degli individui e/o pazienti, sia attraverso la (i.e. double blinded). prevenzione di quanto potrebbe condizionarla sia mediante della stessa. Eventuali osservazioni e suggerimenti a quanto pubblicato, Gli articoli pubblicati impegnano esclusivamente gli autori, dopo opportuna valutazione di attinenza, sarà trasmessa le opinioni espresse non implicano alcuna responsabilità agli autori e pubblicata on line in apposita sezione ad essa da parte dell’Azienda Ospedaliera “SS. -
Designing Alternative Representations of Confusion Matrices to Support Non-Expert Public Understanding of Algorithm Performance
153 Designing Alternative Representations of Confusion Matrices to Support Non-Expert Public Understanding of Algorithm Performance HONG SHEN, Carnegie Mellon University, USA HAOJIAN JIN, Carnegie Mellon University, USA ÁNGEL ALEXANDER CABRERA, Carnegie Mellon University, USA ADAM PERER, Carnegie Mellon University, USA HAIYI ZHU, Carnegie Mellon University, USA JASON I. HONG, Carnegie Mellon University, USA Ensuring effective public understanding of algorithmic decisions that are powered by machine learning techniques has become an urgent task with the increasing deployment of AI systems into our society. In this work, we present a concrete step toward this goal by redesigning confusion matrices for binary classification to support non-experts in understanding the performance of machine learning models. Through interviews (n=7) and a survey (n=102), we mapped out two major sets of challenges lay people have in understanding standard confusion matrices: the general terminologies and the matrix design. We further identified three sub-challenges regarding the matrix design, namely, confusion about the direction of reading the data, layered relations and quantities involved. We then conducted an online experiment with 483 participants to evaluate how effective a series of alternative representations target each of those challenges in the context of an algorithm for making recidivism predictions. We developed three levels of questions to evaluate users’ objective understanding. We assessed the effectiveness of our alternatives for accuracy in answering those questions, completion time, and subjective understanding. Our results suggest that (1) only by contextualizing terminologies can we significantly improve users’ understanding and (2) flow charts, which help point out the direction ofreading the data, were most useful in improving objective understanding. -
Working Paper, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Vijay Kumar Varadi Preprint An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets Suggested Citation: Vijay Kumar Varadi (2012) : An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets, ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz- Informationszentrum Wirtschaft, Kiel und Hamburg This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/57430 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets Abstract Recent price surge in commodity markets has stipulated the intensity of various factors which lead the price volatility. There are multiple-factors namely, traditional supply and demand, excess global liquidity (i.e., monetary inflows in commodity markets), and financialization i.e., financial investors (portfolio investment and speculation) attitude.