KENYA DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES 2020

ABBY KEEP, SOPHIE SILVA, EMMA SLOAN, SYDNEY SAMPSON

Table of Contents

Introduction ​...... 3

Health ​...... 5

Housing ​...... 14

Education ​...... 18

Environment .​ ...... 22

Water ​...... 32

Agriculture ​...... 36

Trade .​ ...... 39​

Tourism ​...... 43

Sources​ ​...... 48

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Introduction

The Republic of is home to tower in mountains, blue lakes, and rolling hills. Its people are academics, artists, athletes, and leaders. With the right investment, Kenya can realize its bottomless potential. The wellbeing of our citizens is the priority of the Kenyan government and is enshrined in our national development plan, Kenya Vision 2030.

Kenya Vision 2030 has been designed as a blue-print to create a nation held to a global standard of competitiveness and prosperity by the year 2030. Set​ out by the Grand

Coalition Government in 2008, the goal to "transform Kenya into a newly industrializing, middle-income country providing a high quality of life to all its citizens by 2030 in a clean and secure environment.”1 To clearly emphasize each goal the pillars of this plan have been set out to be:

● Economic and Macro:​ aiming to achieve an average economic growth rate

of 10% per annum and sustaining the same until 2030.

● Social:​ seeks to engender just, cohesive and equitable social development in

a clean and secure environment.

1 Kenya​ Visi​o​n 2030

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● Political:​ aiming to realize an issue-based, people-centered, result-oriented

and accountable democratic system.

These objectives are firmly held in the foundations of macroeconomic stability;

infrastructural development; Science, Technology and Innovation (STI); and

Reforms; Human Resources Development; and Security and Public Sector Reforms.2

The progress of Kenya continues to be successful with the implementation of our

Medium-Term Plan (MTP). First, implementing these goals in 2008-2012, with the feedback, criticism and evaluation given by stakeholders, this has given Kenya the right preparation going into the 2012-2017 goals. Keeping in mind the progress we have made and then looking into the future, we are able to present the improvements needed to create opportunities for the next generation, stimulate economic growth, and improve the overall quality of life.

2 Kenya​ Visi​o​n 2030

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Health Kenya has made significant steps in improving the healthcare of its citizens.

In the past decade there has been a decrease in HIV-related deaths by 55% and

around a 30% decrease in new infections3. We have also seen maternal mortality

rates decrease by almost half in that same time frame​ (Figure 1).​ These two examples

show how much progress we have been able to make in the past few years. As we

head into 2020, we want to keep up this momentum and further address the

problems that are plaguing Kenya’s health care system. Poor quality of care and the

high levels and occurrences of preventable and treatable disease are symptoms of

a larger problem within Kenya’s healthcare system. Our lack of proper

infrastructure and low rates of insured citizens have resulted in a stagnation in

progress to improving the quality of health of Kenyans. The

states that all citizens have the right to attain the highest standard of health4. To

achieve this goal Kenya needs to invest in better infrastructure to build up and

maintain a strong healthcare system.

3 “Kenya” 2018 4 Bartilu et al. 2016

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Figure 1 - Maternal mortality ratio (modeled estimate, per 100,000 live births) – Kenya

There are three key elements that need to be discussed when looking at

Kenya’s healthcare system. It is important to look at how Kenya has responded to

the third Sustainable Development Goal, “Good health and well-being”. We must

evaluate the state of Kenya’s medical infrastructure, in order to properly address

the needs of the Kenyan medical community. Finally, we need to examine how the

novel coronavirus outbreak stands to overrun Kenya’s underdeveloped health

system, and how this could affect the future of said system.

(1)​ Sustainable​ Development Goal #3: Good health and well-being

In the past two decades Kenya has been able to significantly improve the

health of its population. Kenya’s cases of infectious and communicable diseases

have dropped at a significant rate. Likewise, we have also been able to improve the

5 “​ Maternal Mortality Ratio (Modeled Estimate, Per 100,000 Live Births) - Kenya | Data” 2019

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health of mothers and children across the country. This impact is the result of

improving infrastructure and healthcare coverage in the country. These

improvements line up nicely with the United Nation’s third sustainable

development goal which seeks to “ensure healthy lives and promote well-being at

all ages”6. This goal focuses on reducing cases of communicable diseases such as

HIV/AIDS, infectious diseases like Malaria, and improving maternal and child

mortality rates. Over the past twenty years, the Kenyan government has worked

tirelessly to reduce the number of these cases. We can work to further lower these

numbers in the next decade with collaboration with NGOs and donor agencies.

The Kenyan government has worked tirelessly in the past twenty years to

reduce the cases of HIV; moreover, we have similarly worked to improve the quality

of life of those who are HIV positive. Since 2000 we have been able to reduce the

HIV cases from around 9% to 4.7% in 2018. This data correlates with the number of

people who are now receiving treatment for HIV, which increased from 41.6% in

2015 to 49.1%7. The Kenyan government with the help of aid donors and NGOs

have been able to reduce the cases of HIV/AIDS in Kenya as well as the rate of

transmission, especially from mother to child. The Kenyan Government’s

introduction of a generic antiretroviral drug in 2017 further helped to not only

reduce the number of future cases, but improve the quality of life of countless HIV

positive Kenyans. The drug, Dolutegravir, is a cheaper but just as effective version

as drugs in higher-income countries, and with it Kenya has been able to work to

6 “​ Goal 3.: Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform” 2019 7 “Kenya” 2018

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reduce HIV/AIDS8. Reducing HIV/AIDS and improving the lives of those infected is of

the the millenium development goals, and Kenya has been able to make great

strides in the effort. The introduction of a generic treatment to HIV as well as

preventative measures has allowed Kenya to make great progress in improving the

quality of lives of its people.

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Figure 2 - CDC's Impact in 2018

Kenya has been vigilant in its fight against communicable and

noncommunicable diseases. Malaria has especially been a fight due to the

prevalence of the disease-carrying mosquitoes in Kenya. Nevertheless, progress

has been made through the partnering of the government and numerous charities,

NGOs, and donor agencies. Malaria decreased from 11% to 8% between 2011 and

8 “Kenya to Introduce Better Treatment For People Living With HIV - Unitaid” 9 “CDC’s Impact In 2018 - 2018 Annual Report - Center For Global Health” 2018

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2015 throughout the entire country, and the Lake Victoria region, which has the

highest number of cases in Kenya, saw an 11% decrease of Malaria cases10. The key

to keeping these numbers low to non-existent is expanding access to antimalarial

medication as well as ensuring that preventative methods are cost effective

available to everyone. In order to continue this progress, it is pertinent that the

Kenyan health services continue to be able to provide treatment and preventative

equipment to people.

Maternal health and mortality has been a top health priority by the Kenyan

government. We have worked to improve the quality of health of our mothers both

pre and postnatal. Most maternal deaths are related to complications from

childbirth, but there are a number of deaths that are due to complications from

malaria, hepatitis, and other diseases11. While we have been able to lower deaths

related to childbirth at a near exponential rate, as seen in Figure 1, there is still

more work to be done to protect the lives of expectant mothers. Access to

education and quality care can save thousands of lives. Expanding health care and

health insurance in order for more Kenyans to get reduced care costs that patients

incur at hospitals. This can help encourage more women to give birth at health

facilities under the care and supervision of trained doctors and nurses.

Furthermore, comprehensive and accessible family planning can have a large

impact on women’s health12. The best path forward to tackling the issue of

maternal health is implementing comprehensive maternal health programs that

10 “In Kenya the Path to Elimination of Malaria is Lined with Good Preventions” 2017 11 “Maternal and Child Health: Kenya” 2012 12 Addressing Maternal Health in Kenya – The Center for Global Health and Development (GHD), 2018

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inform women of all aspects of pregnancy, provides contraceptives, and includes

insurance that covers costs incurred in hospitals. The biggest problems facing

maternal health is a lack of medical infrastructure that can adequately support

expecting mothers.

(2)​ Healthcare​ Infrastructure & Insurance

Currently, the biggest impediments to ensuring adequate healthcare to all

Kenyans is the lack of good infrastructure. This has caused a myriad of problems

such as hospitals and health centers not having enough bed spaces per people in

their respective regions, a lack of centralized communication between healthcare

providers and emergency services, and a lack of trained professionals and

advanced medical equipment13. Our biggest concerns at the moment are improving

and creating proper infrastructure and providing affordable insurance to our

citizens. In terms of infrastructure we want to tear down and rebuild numerous

health facilities that are in near dilapidated conditions so we can safely address the

needs of our community. Furthermore, we must expand the bed capacities of these

hospitals and health centers. Data shows that Kenya’s bed capacity is 14 beds per

10,000 people whereas the world average is 39.3 beds per 10,000 people14.

expanding our bed capacity, we will be able to admit more people which in turn can

help us reduce mortality rates associated with disease, childbirth, and serious

injuries. A lack of bed space can have serious implications in epidemics and

pandemics, or environmental disasters.

13 Bartilu et al. 2016 14 “GHO | By Category | Hospital Bed Density - Dada by Country” 2020

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Another serious infrastructure problem that we have is a lack of suitable

roads, especially in rural counties. This significantly impedes the rate at which

ambulances can access people in need of emergency services. This coupled with

the nonexistence of a central call center, a lack of emergency vehicles, and high

costs of ambulance use has resulted in a rarely used, ill-equipped emergency

service system15. The first step to improving this service is improving the roads to

health centers and hospitals. This will allow ambulances to respond to calls faster,

which would vastly improve the care that patients receive as they are able to be

cared for quicker. A central call center and communication system would further

help as dispatch callers would be able to get emergency services deployed faster as

well as better coordinate with hospitals. These emergency services are critical to

the health care of Kenyans and improving these services can have long lasting

effects.

In order for all of these infrastructure improvements to have a resounding

impact on the health and lives of Kenyans, it is essential that they have good health

insurance. The cost for medical treatment can be extremely expensive, especially

depending on the care needed, but having health insurance can lower those costs

exponentially. Currently, only around 25% of Kenyans are covered by health

insurance which means that the majority of Kenya’s 51.2 million citizens are

uninsured, paying for medical care out-of-pocket16. The Health Insurance Subsidy

Program, which was launched in 2014, aims to insure more Kenyans, especially our

15 Bartilu et al. 2016 16 Bartilu et al. 2016

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poorest17. The Kenyan government is looking to expand HISP to cover more

Kenyans, so that all Kenyan citizens will be able to receive superior health care as is

their constitutional right.

(3)​ Coronavirus​ Response

Improving Kenya’s infrastructure is critical in the time of this coronavirus

pandemic. While our medical system has been able to handle the outbreak so far,

our lack of adequate infrastructure may very well be our downfall. Our lack of bed

space in hospitals means that a surge in cases can easily overwhelm our system.

Similarly, a lack of proper medical equipment means a lack of Personal Protective

Equipment (PPE), meaning that we could see more cases of transmissions within

hospitals. In 2013, only about 2% of medical facilities were properly outfitted to

provide the necessary services when facing a communicable disease18. This not only

puts our medical community at risk, but the entirety of Kenya. This segways into

our next point, there is a severe lack of important equipment in our hospitals.

There is a shortage of ventilators, dialysis equipment, and other similar machines

that are needed to provide critical health care. In order to mitigate the effects of

the Covid-19 outbreak, it is essential that we improve our existing infrastructure

and acquire more advanced, life-saving medical equipment. This pandemic has the

ability to significantly set back the work we have done in Kenya’s health sector, and

we must ensure that this does not happen.

17 “Improving Health Care For Kenya’s Poor” 2014 18 Gathara 2020

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Priorities Our goals to improve and expand Kenya’s medical infrastructure can be

realized through coordination with nonprofit organizations and donor agencies,

with the cooperation of the Kenyan Government. Our objective is to bring quality

health care to the people of Kenya, which can be done through our combined

efforts.

● Improve Kenya’s medical infrastructure by building adequate and up-to-date

hospitals and health centers and ensuring that there is an adequate bed

capacity to support the community.

● Create a central communication and dispatch system so emergency

personnel can be accurately sent out to respond to distress calls.

● Work on upgrading roads so that emergency vehicles can respond to distress

calls in a timely fashion.

● Create a stockpile of advanced medical equipment and see it properly

distributed to hospitals and health centers across the country.

● Reducing mortality rates related to treatable diseases such as Malaria and

HIV, as well as reducing the rate of transmission through proper,

cost-effective treatment plans and the distribution of effective preventative

measures like insecticide infused bed nets.

● Work to ensure that all Kenyans are insured by healthcare and provide

cost-effective treatments and life saving procedures under these plans. This

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includes family planning and comprehensive healthcare specifically focused

on maternal and women’s health.

Housing There is a lack of adequate housing for the majority of Kenyans. This is a

significant hurdle that the is seeking to remedy. This

deficiency is a serious issue that has repercussions for the country’s entire

population. Currently a little over a quarter of Kenya’s population lives in an urban

area, and that number is growing every year at a rate of about 4.4.%19. With a

growing urban population it is essential that every Kenyan has the ability to

purchase and live in a home that has all the essential services. The Kenyan

constitution asserts that affordable housing is a right, and Kenya Vision 2030 states

that every citizen should have access to good housing with electricity, running

water, and sewage20. Access to a permanent settlement with these utilities can have

long lasting effects on the lives of citizens. By investing in housing we can work to

improve the living conditions of over a quarter Kenyans, and improve their

standards of living while also stimulating the economy through urban development

and mortgages.

19 “Kenya Needs 2 Million More Low-Income” 2017 20 “Kenya Needs 2 Million More Low-Income” 2017

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Figure 1 - Kibera Slum

At present only 39% of Kenyans live in quality housing, whereas the

remaining 61% of the urban population lives in slums22. The slums in the urban

centers of Kenya are gigantic and widespread. This poses many challenges,

especially health wise. There are millions of impoverished Kenyans living in close

contact with one another without access to running water, power, and proper

sewage. This creates an environment where infectious diseases, parasites, and

infections run rampant23. Poor housing along with an unclean living environment

have caused long lasting illnesses such as respiratory issues common in these

communities. Access to affordable housing can limit exposure to diseases and

parasites that cause serious harm. The Coronavirus pandemic for example, the

slums and conditions in which the inhabitants live is cause for extremely fast

21 Golla 2018 22 “Kenya Needs 2 Million More Low-Income” 2017 23 Van Noppen 2013

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community transmission, and with the already present diseases and health

problems could leave the areas with thousands of casualties. For these reasons, it is

imperative that we work to provide affordable homes with the necessary utilities to

provide a higher quality of life for all Kenyan citizens.

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Figure 2 - New housing developments being built next to the Kibera slum

Kenya Vision 2030, which is the Kenyan government's plan to develop the

state, promises to build 200,000 new permanent residences a year, but has only

been able to produce around 50,000 leaving a housing deficiency25. We seek to

produce more settlements to make up for this deficiency by building more low-cost

buildings. It is essential that these housing units are affordable because a large

cause to the housing crisis is the high prices of current houses. Only around 2% of

24 “We Are Like Rubbish In This Country: Forced Evictions in Nairobi, Kenya” 2013 25 “Kenya” 2020

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permanent houses are affordable for low-income citizens26. There are a multitude

of benefits by providing low-cost housing for Kenya’s most vulnerable. Construction

of these housing developments provides jobs and brings in money; similarly,

low-cost mortgages will generate more money into the economy27. By providing

low-income housing more Kenyans will be able to afford to buy a house; moreover,

by offering low mortgage rates we can stimulate the housing market while

simultaneously ensuring that people are adequately housed. Quality housing at low

prices will allow our citizens to live in better conditions which improves their sense

of dignity. Affordable housing is a constitutional right for all Kenyans, and

homeownership will only increase the prosperity of every citizen.

Priorities ● Provide subsidized housing for low-income Kenyans. ● Build and provide 500,000 permanent and quality housing units by 2030. ● Work to reduce the growth of slums in urban areas and control the outbreak of infectious diseases. ● Increase homeownership among Kenyans. ● Improve the quality of life in the informal settlements in Kenya’s urban spaces while working on building new housing settlements. By increasing sanitation and cleaning up these areas, we can work to reduce the health problems that persist.

26 “Kenya” 2020 27 Van Noppen 2013

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Education Kenya is committed to the idea that every child has the right to access a

quality, universal education. Since 2003, when universal primary education was

incorporated into the constitution, student enrollment numbers have been steadily

increasing. Between the years 2003 and 2012, 7,000 new schools were constructed,

and over three million additional pupils have been enrolled. 28 Similarly, once

access to universal secondary education became officially considered a right for

every child in 2008, Kenya saw our enrollment increase by 24%. As this cohort of

children with unprecedented access to education moved onward toward University

level studies, the country also saw unprecedented university enrollment.

While Kenya has made great strides to meet the Millenium Development

Goal to achieve universal primary education, there is still much left to be done.

Kenya currently has the 45th highest illiteracy rate in the world.29 One reason

attributed to this is the student to teacher ratio. Increasing the number of teachers

in schools would allow classrooms to be less densely occupied, increase individual

instruction time, and allow for increased student participation in class. In 2015, the

pupil to teacher ratio was 30.65, while the global average that year was 22.9.30

Kenya needs assistance to provide more teachers, and therefore a higher standard

of education to our children. Considering that the percentage of children enrolling

28 Education in Kenya. WENR, 2018. ​ 29 Literacy Rates by Country. World Population Review, 2020. ​ 30 Pupil-Teacher Ratio. The World Bank. ​

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in primary and secondary school is on an upward trend, the demand for more

teachers is only going to grow.

Prior to the coronavirus outbreak, Kenya

had made significant progress toward gender

equality for primary school enrollment, but the

global pandemic threatens to set back years of

progress. Schools in Kenya are currently shut down at a nation-wide level, leaving

over 17 million students out of school.31 Instructed learning has moved online, but

rural and poor families struggle. Many in rural areas do not have access to a

computer or the internet. COVID-19 has abruptly ended these children’s access to

education. Girls are disproportionately affected by this as well. Since many children

31 How School Closures during COVID-19 Further Marginalize Vulnerable Children in Kenya. Brookings, 2020. ​

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relied on school lunch programs to eat, families are likely to prioritize providing

food over education, and girls are more likely to be made to help their parents with

farm work, instead of spending the time learning. In addition, it is quite likely that

many families will not send their children back to school once they reopen. We are

expecting to see a sharp increase in dropout rates over the next few years,

particularly among girls.32 Should the global pandemic continue for a considerable

period of time, it would place millions of children’s education in jeopardy, and leave

many rural children behind their urban classmates.

Ensuring that students can come back to school once the pandemic is over is

going to be costly, especially given the economic hardships that many have faced

since the country went into lockdown. In order to provide universal education, the

government spends approximately seventeen billion dollars annually.33 It is likely

that education will be subject to extreme budget cuts in light of the pandemics’

damage to the economy, and it is unlikely that we will be able to offer the same

quality of education. Access to education is vital for fighting poverty and lessening

wealth inequality, and it is vital that every child continues to have free access to

quality basic education.

32 Kenya Emergency Appeal. ReliefWeb, 2020. ​ 33 Kenya Country Profile. UNICEF, 2020. ​

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Figure 1: Literacy Rates in Kenya 34

Figure 2: Enrollment percentages in primary education, by gender 35

34 Kenya Literacy Rate. Knoema, 2019. ​ 35 Transitional Enrollment Trends within Different Education Levels in Kenya. Journal of Education and Practice, ​ 2015.

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Priorities Moving forward, our top priorities for the education sector are as follows:

● Improve access to radio education, particularly in rural areas. Radio

education allows children to continue to learn remotely, and helps

lessen the burden that rural children face in trying to keep up with

their urban-based peers.

● Prepare schools for a safe, health, and sanitary reopening. This

includes lessening the classroom density, and equipping schools with

the necessary sanitation products.

● Providing support for educators as they transition to remote teaching,

as well as recruiting new teachers for the smaller, socially-distant

classrooms upon reopening.

These priorities can be met through the combined efforts of the Kenyan

government, local nonprofit organizations, and donor organizations. With global

collaboration, we can ensure that the rights of every Kenyan children are met and

every child can access a high quality education.

Environment

Kenya — located in Eastern Africa, bordering the Indian Ocean and placed in

between Somalia and Tanzania — is known for its diverse scenic landscapes and

rich biodiversity. In order to maintain global competitiveness, the necessity to

maintain Kenya’s beautiful environment and natural resources is more important

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than ever. The natural resources that derive from Kenya’s land are responsible for a

vast majority of economic profit and accounts for the livelihoods of the

approximately 54,000,000 individuals who reside in this country. However, the

rapid shift in climate, access to resources and change in normal conditions puts

Kenya on the brink of danger. The reliance on natural resources for socioeconomic

gain, among other prominent qualities of living, places Kenya’s economy in a

vulnerable spot. The degradation of Kenya’s indigenous resources is causing severe

losses in many sectors throughout the government and a consistent threat to the

lives of the people living in Kenya.

The country of Kenya has an incredibly wide range of different ecosystems to

keep the environment functioning properly. Forests, mountains, arid and semi-arid

spaces, wetlands and coastal areas are the principal areas in which Kenya keeps up

their sustainable economic, social and general human development. The services

that are given to the people of Kenya are the natural resources that come with the

land. Providing the regulation of water flow from mountains and forests, or

administering wood for fuel creates the basic necessities for human survival at the

Kenyans disposal. The creation of wealth derives from the natural sectors of Kenya

—agriculture, fisheries, livestock, water, energy, forestry, trade, tourism and

industry. With the

constant developments of cities and and the modernization of the standard of

living, the local and national could eventually falter.

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The leading environment issues that Kenya is facing according to the Kenyan

National Environment Management Authority (NEMA) include: deforestation,

desertification, waste disposal problems, water scarcity, loss of biodiversity, general

pollution from industry, food insecurity and poaching. External factors degrading

the quality in which Kenya is able to function in its best standard consists of natural

wildlife crime, urbanization through city structures and overall population

expansion. With shortage of supplies and rapid economic loss, it is inevitably

forcing farming lands and cultivation fields to spill over into semi-arid and drought

prone marginal lands of the east and north36, creating a disparity in productivity of

Kenya’s most valued method of economic gain — farming and agriculture. This

redirects focus to Kenya’s most needed environmental help to: improving air and

water quality, adapting cleaner sanitation methods, decreasing deforestation and

decertification, creating a sense of adaptability with climate change in rural areas

and a further comprehension of sustainable development goals.

a.) Air & Water Quality

Air pollution stems from human made resources that seem to make human life

easier. Vehicles, industry work, the burning of waste and fuel. The effects of

outdoor pollution have direct causation with those effects of indoor pollution. The

cause of disease from bad air quality can be deadly for various different

communities all throughout the country.

36 Darkoh, M. B. K. “KENYA'S ENVIRONMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT.”

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The lower levels of water accessibility in Kenya affect the degree of health and

safety for civilians. The seasonal changes the water levels and often leaves people

of Kenya without the basic means of living. The essential access to clean drinking

water for all Kenyans could change the lives of so many in a positive light. The

implementation of clean water and better air quality is essential for the survival of

the communities of Kenya.

Image Source: UNEP, average total suspended particulates (TPS) over a section of Nairobi

Image Source: UNEP, severe pollution in natural water sources

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b.) Deforestation, Desertification & Biodiversity

With the quick expansion of urban cities throughout Kenya, the building of city

infrastructure and the construction of roads have not stopped at the thought of

saving the varying ecosystems present in the country of Kenya. The immediate

losses when continuing the expansion of cities are within the forests, mountains

and other natural areas — causing in a devastating loss of plant and animal lives.

The establishment of ‘protected green spaces’ throughout both rural and urbanized

areas of Kenya help promote the preservation of biodiversity, the filtering of air

pollutants, and act as a water catchments in the outskirts of cities37. The installation

of these protected areas have promoted safety and protection of many of Kenya’s

valued natural resources. People like Wangari Maathai, creator of the Green Belt

Movement, where the integration of communities, espeically women in these

communities, across Kenya come together to protect these valued areas. The

benefits of these green spaces are quite substantial so the implementation of more

throughout the untouched natural land is essential for the continued survival of

Kenya’s biodiverse plant and animal communities.

37 UNEP. “Chapter 5: Nairobi and Its Environment.” ​

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Image Source: Green Belt Movement - Goldman Environmental Prize Winner

c.) Urbanization, Sanitation & Pollution

Kenyan cities like Nairobi continue to rapidly urbanize and modernize — this

positive action comes at the risk of severe environmental degradation. The direct

correlation with rapid population growth and Kenyan government inabilities to

keep up with waste management, adequate sanitation and sewage disposal is

putting Kenyan civilians at risk. The improper management of garbage and sewage

increases the chances of water pollution, disease, poverty and general

environmental degradation38. Oftentimes, the mixing of industrial and domestic

sewage systems lead to the degradation of both quality of the water and the

amount accessible for Kenyan civilians. Wastewater is one of the biggest threats to

public health in Kenya, it promotes “increased nutrient levels leading to algal

blooms and depleted dissolved oxygen resulting in destruction of aquatic habitats”

38 UNEP. “Chapter 5: Nairobi and Its Environment.”

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39. The management of waste is essential in producing a healthy, functioning society

that can upkeep with the inevitability of global competition.

40

Projected population growth in Kenya; Source: UNEP

d.) Climate Change

The differing climate seen throughout Kenya makes for an ever-changing degree of

life. With the tropical level weather along the coast and arid temperatures

throughout the interior, the change in climate is bound to affect the normalcy of

living and working in the differing areas. The transitions into a low emission

economy is essential in the further planning of Kenya’s development. The

continued vulnerability that Kenya has with the change in climate puts the country

on the verge of “projected incremental changes associated with air and sea

temperature, precipitation and sea level, together with changes in the frequency

39 “National Environmental Policy.” Republic of Kenya , 2013. ​ ​

40 UNEP. “Chapter 5: Nairobi and Its Environment.” ​

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and severity of extreme events will have profound social, economic and ecological

implications”41. This change in climate throughout the environment will affect the

degree to which civilians produce agriculture, sustain the water supply and protect

their natural resource areas. This inevitable global change is affecting Kenya in a

variety of ways and so the governments communities of Kenya must collaborate in

order to accomplish the new set of economic and environmental goals.

The overall survival of Kenyan communities rests in the collaboration of the

environment and the causation of socioeconomic well-being. As Kenya has grown

as a country, urbanization and expansion have taken over many cities. In many

ways this is a positive development within social and political society, however, this

is development at the expense of nature. The degree in which these expansions are

sprawling outwards into forested and agricultural land are causing natural losses.

The basic needs of the people in cities like Nairobi, are introducing a decrease in

necessary resources for survival. Being a diverse land for plant and animal

populations, the shared resources between civilians and animals is causing

disturbances is moral policies and good governance from the Kenyan government.

A joint effort between government organizations, Kenyan civilians and donor

organizations, environmental issues may be able to change, but with the common

inadequacy and weak implementation of environmental policies, the environmental

sector of Kenya could be put in continuous danger.

e.) Sustainable Development Goals

41 “National Environmental Policy.” Republic of Kenya , 2013. ​ ​ ​

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The achievements that Kenya has implemented into the communities have made

progress throughout the years. Designing a long term blue print Vision 203042has

enabled the Kenyan community to set out goals and create Medium Term Plans

(MTP) in order to ultimately achieve the greater goals set out.

Achievements to date include:

● “Elaborating how SDGs targets align with the national planning

frameworks.

● Government and partners use targeted awareness creation and

sensitization strategies through focus group discussions, sensitization

forums, workshops and discussion panels.

● Kenya follows “whole of government” and “whole of society” approach

and has institutionalized stakeholder engagement in implementation,

monitoring and awareness through their umbrella bodies.

● Kenya through Water Sector Trust Fund was awarded prestigious 2019

United Nations Public Service Awards for Up-scaling Basic Sanitation

for the Urban Poor programme under the “Delivering Inclusive and

Equitable Services to Leave No one Behind” category being the only

institution from Africa.”43

42 ​Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform, UN 43 ​Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform, UN

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The constant need for global improvement is necessary for the expansion of

growth. Kenya’s formation of a sustainable environmental framework is the next

step in which Kenya can improve. Implementing collaboration and cooperation

amongst different stakeholders of Kenya’s environment will refocus environmental

goals to benefit all facets of life within Kenya. These collaborative efforts must be

present in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) —- stated above — of not only

just Kenya, but the rest of the globe as well. Implementing plans and actions of how

to fix Kenya’s environmental issues, will improve the degree in which Kenya is able

to partake and keep up with global competition. With the help of generous donors

and collaborating with various different powers across the world, the idea of

environmental improvement can be reached.

Priorities

● Meet the ​obligations of Kenya’s agreed upon environmental policies, whi​l​e

“​enhancing the contribution of natural resources and the environment to

poverty reduction and sustainable socio-economic development.”44

● Create a genera​l environmentally safe space f​or all inhabitants of Kenya.

● Mainstream ideas ​of the Sustainab​l​e Deve​l​opment Goa​l​s in performance

contracting, actions plans and sub-national County Integrated Development

Plans45

44 UNDP Sustainab​l​e Deve​lo​pment G​o​a​l​s 2020 45 ​2020 VNR MAIN MESSAGES FOR KENYA

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Water

Image Source: UNICEF

In alignment with Kenya Vision 2030 and the Sustainable Development Goals, the

Republic of Kenya intends to ensure universal (100%) access to water and sanitation by the year 2030. With ramifications for public health, agriculture, the economy, the environment, and more, much hinges on Kenya’s ability to improve its water supply.

At present, overall access to sanitation and hygiene infrastructure and clean water is poor. Out of the total population of 51.39 million people, only 29% (14.9 million) use at least basic sanitation services, and 38% (19.5 million) uses unimproved

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sanitation facilities.46 As for water access, 59% (30.3 million) of the population uses limited drinking water services​ and 12% (6.2 million) of the population uses unimproved drinking water sources (from ponds, shallow wells, and rivers).47

Access to potable water and to sanitation is notably worse in rural areas. West

Pokot, Vihiga, and Taita Taveta Counties (all predominantly rural) recorded the lowest water coverage, at 11%, 16%, and 18%, respectively.48 The same trend exists for sanitation and hygiene infrastructure. This is because rural areas tend to be seen as less commercially viable, and they are subjected to less research and data-collection.49 As part of Kenya Vision 2030, Kenya is recommitting to helping people in rural areas gain wider access to water for domestic, sanitation, and irrigation purposes.

People in urban areas tend to have access to water which is of poor quality, often due to pollution. Poor water quality can cause disease like diarrhea (a major killer of children under five), dysentery, typhoid, and cholera.50

In addition to structural problems, water is a scarce resource in Kenya. The country has been in a state of drought since 2017, which has had adverse effects on water security, agricultural yields, food security, and household income. Several studies have concluded that rainfall in Sub-Saharan Africa has declined in recent years,

46 Kenya Country Profile. UNICEF, 2020. ​ 47 Kenya Country Profile. UNICEF, 2020. 48 WASREB, I​ mpact: a performance report of Kenya’s water services sector - 2017/18 (​ Nairobi: Water ​ Services Regulatory Board, 2017/18): 64. 49 Ibid., 71. ​ 50

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probably due to climate change. As the effects of climate change continue to unfold, water scarcity will likely increase.51 Through effective water management,

Kenya can ensure resilience for its citizens for years to come. To increase the amount of water available, the government will construct two dams with a total storage capacity of 2.4 billion cubic meters along the Rivers Nzoia and Nyando.52

In rural areas, Kenya intends to take several corrective actions leading up to 2030.

First, Kenya will construct or rehabilitate 150 water schemes in rural areas each year. Secondly, Kenya will drill approximately 70 boreholes annually in areas lacking acceptable amounts o​ f surface water. Finally, Kenya will build 160 small-scale dams in arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs).53 The development of ASALs is critical, as they make up

89% of the country and account for 38% of Kenya’s population.54 To this end, the government will 24 dams with a total storage capacity of 2 billion cubic meters in ASAL areas. These dams will supply ASAL areas with water for domestic, livestock and irrigation purposes. These areas include: Bunyunyu, Munyu, Londiani, Itare, Upper Narok,

Chemesusu, Kiserian, Yatta, Kitui, Mwingi Thwake, Rare, Thiba, Umma, Rumuruti, Badasa,

Archers’ Post, Awasi, Kora, Ndarugu, Mwachi, Ruiru A, Siyoi and Nyahururu.55

In urban areas, the government is dedicated to improving the supply, cost, and quality of water. The government intends to carry out a study on the introduction of a flat rate for

51 UNESCO, ​The United Nations world water development report 2020: water and climate change, ​ (Paris: ​ The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, ​ ​2020): ​132. 52 “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, ​ http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​ 53 “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, ​ http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​ 54 Ministry of ASALS, “About ASALs,” accessed May 18, 2020, h​ ttp://www.asals.go.ke/asal-info/.​ 55 “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, ​ http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​

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water charges, depending on the region, in order to make water affordable. Second, ​Kenya will improve water supplies in major urban centers like Nairobi, Mombasa Kisumu,

Nakaru, and their “satellite towns.” Third, the government will strengthen the Water

Services Regulation Board (WASREB), a regulatory state corporation which protects the rights of consumers, and ensures the delivery of affordable, clean water on an equitable basis. Fourth, the government will expand water supply in the new port of

Lamu. Finally, the government will expand water supply and sanitation in 15 medium-sized towns, including: Chuka, Maua, Chogoria, Homabay, Runyenjes,

Murang’a, Naivasha, Narok, Ol kalao, Maralal, Moyale, Machakos, Wote, Kitui,

Mavoko, Matuu, Wajir, Lamu, Hola, Moi’s Bridge, Matunda, Malava, Nyahururu,

Kajiado, Kirinyaga, Marsabit and Nanyuki.56

The country will also undergo a Waste Management Strategy which will include a public-private partnership. This strategy will be enacted first in Nairobi, and then modeled in other cities and towns. This partnership will improve sanitation and hygiene services, and thus public health.

Priorities

● 100 billion Ksh ($9.3 million USD) investment in WASH infrastructure in order

to improve access to and quality of water.57

56 “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, ​ http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​ 57 WASREB, ​Impact: a performance report of Kenya’s water services sector - 2017/18 (​ Nairobi: Water ​ Services Regulatory Board, 2017/18): 54.

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Agriculture

Image Source: World Bank Group

Kenya’s agricultural sector represents 33% of gross domestic product (GDP), making it the foundation of the economy. Through linkages to other sectors, like manufacturing, agriculture contributes an additional 27% to GDP. Agriculture employs 40% of Kenya’s total population, and 70% of the rural population.58

Importantly, women do the majority of agricultural work. As health, employment, income, and gender are closely related to agriculture, there are opportunities to improve overall quality of life through strategic interventions. Wider availability of

58 ​Agricultural Sector Transformation and Growth Strategy: Towards Sustainable Agricultural Transformation and Food Security in Kenya, 2019-2029 ​ (Nairobi: Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Fisheries, 2019): 19.

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nutritious food will also help the 30% of Kenyan households who are food insecure.

59

One major challenge to Kenya’s agricultural sector is its dry sub-Saharan climate.

Only 7% of Kenya is arable, and most of the land is rain-fed.60 The majority of the country is located in arid or semi-arid lands (ASALs) which receive little rainfall. In the coming years, climate change will reduce annual rainfall. With irrigation, larger tracts of land can be made viable for crop and livestock farming, which represent the largest shares of the sector (80% and 15%, respectively).61 As six out of every seven water catchments will be under stress by 2030, there are strong connections between the agriculture and water sectors.62 Responsible water planning is necessary to ensure the sustainability of agricultural networks.

Moreover, the government intends to build local fertilizer plants which will allow small-scale farmers to purchase fertilizer at a reduced cost. The expected result is that farmers will make greater use of fertilizer, enriching their lands. The combination of irrigation and fertilizer will lead to greater outputs of maize, potatoes, rice, beans, and other crops; higher incomes for farmers; and improved food security.63

59 Ibid., 27. ​ 60 Ibid., 20. ​ 61 Ibid., 20. ​ 62 Ibid., 21. ​ 63 ​ “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, ​ http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​

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Additionally, fish farming (currently representing 2% of agricultural output) will be expanded throughout ASALs, creating new opportunities there. There is a major economic opportunity in aquaculture, as the sector is underdeveloped and Kenyans import fish to bridge the gap.64 Fish are also an excellent source of protein, omega-3 fatty acids, vitamins, and minerals, and thus increased consumption may have public health benefits as well. One major challenge to development of the sector is a lack of expertise on bacterial and fungal fish diseases and parasites.65 As the production of fish farming expands, so does the movement of fish across borders, and thus exposure to “unknown health histories.”66

Four economic zones will be established to increase market access to Kenyan meat and leather products. This includes local, regional, and international markets. The first zone will be established at the Coast, covering the counties of Kwale,

Mombasa, Kilifi, Tana River, Lamu and parts of Taita-Taveta outside the Tsavo

National Park. The other three zones will be established in the Laikipia-Isiolo complex and Uasin Gishu and Garissa Counties.67

Priorities

● Investment in expanded irrigation networks

● Expanded fish farming infrastructure

64 Mary A. Opiyo, et al., “A review of aquaculture production and health management practices of ​ farmed fish in Kenya,” ​International Journal of Veterinary Science and Medicine​ 6, no. 2 (2018): 142. 65 Ibid., 141. ​ 66 Ibid., 142. ​ 67 “Economic and Macro Pillar,” Kenya Vision 2030, accessed May 18, 2020, http://vision2030.go.ke/economic-pillar/.​

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● Investment in fertilizer plants

Trade

Kenya has a strong commitment to local, regional and international trade in

the efforts to drive their economy further. Participating in globalization trends has

procured a relatively steady economic and investment flow. With former reforms

set in place by the Kenyan government, there has been a considerable amount of

economic growth, with an average rate of 5%68. Kenya has one of the most

diversified and advanced economies within all of Africa. Key components of the

economy include: agriculture, manufacturing, real estate and services. Agriculture

takes up at least 30% of Kenya’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product), while

manufacturing is increasing productivity making it take up 10% of total GDP69. The

liberal economy of Kenya makes trade and investment more attractive to create

economic recovery and better commercial opportunities.

The improvement of fiscal and monetary management is starting to revitalize

the Kenyan economy. The regulations that Kenya has enacted are more willing to

promote the security of environmental stability for private sector monetary

investments. Within the Kenyan Constitution, the Companies Act states that,

“private enterprises, both foreign and domestic, can freely establish, acquire, and

dispose of business enterprises” therefore, Kenya provides “protection against

68 Kenya Investment Authority, 2020 ​ ​ 69 KenInvest, 2020 ​

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expropriation of private property.” The interest in business and trade in Kenya is to

focus majorly on the key aspects of business that keep Kenya’s economy afloat.

Procedures in which Kenya embarks in trade, at the domestic and foreign

level, includes the intervention of National Trade Facilitation Committee (NTFC).

This organization along with The Ministry of Industry, Trade and Cooperatives

created the Information for Trade in Kenya Portal also known as the

InfoTradeKenya Portal. This online platform is a facility to produce a seamless

process as a “single entry point for parties involved in international trade and

transport logistics to lodge documents electronically, for processing, approvals and

to make payments electronically for fees, levies, duties and taxes due to the

Government, on goods imported or exported in the country.”70 This method has

been able to simplify the business processes and facilitation of effective

management.

According to KenInvest71 the main benefits of the InfoTradeKenya Portal include:

1. Provide current, potential and other stakeholders with total transparency on

rules and procedures pertaining to import and export formalities through

detailed, practical and up to date description of steps to go through, as seen

from the user’s point of view.

2. Facilitate the simplification of procedures by enabling easy identification of

unnecessary steps and requirements.

3. Reduce the cost, time and effort spent in search of trade information.

70 KenTrade, 2020 ​ 71 KenInvest, 2020 ​

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4. Promote public-private dialogue through a shared understanding of rules

and procedures.

Kenya is a member of Trade and Investment Framework Agreements (TIFA)

with the (EAC) and the Common Market for Eastern and

Southern Africa (COMESA)72, to be in partnership with the United States and

establish efforts in developing better trade and investment opportunities. Kenya is

the United States 98th largest trading partner as of 2018, and to keep this

relationship alive, Kenya must keep their agriculture initiatives focused. As reported

by the Office of the United States Trade Representatives — top trade imports from

Kenya to the U.S. included: “woven apparel ($240 million), knit apparel ($153

million), edible fruit & nuts (cocoa, brazil, cashew) ($74 million), special other

(returns) ($55 million), and coffee, tea & spice (coffee) ($50 million).”73 The balance

of this partnership in trade must continue to progress in order to keep up with

global competitiveness.

Figure below:74

72 United States Trade Representative, 2020 ​ ​

73 United States Trade Representative, 2020 ​ ​ 74 African Growth Opportunity Act, 2019. ​

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Image Source: African​ Growth Opportunity Act, 2019.

The AGOA — African Growth and Opportunity Act — is focusing to integrate

the direction and structure of Kenya’s future goals in trade with the United States

since 2000. The constant integration of the United States’ administration and the

Kenyan government, as well as the effected business operations, leads Kenya in a

positive direction. As shown above (Figure 1), the continuation of this allied

partnership between the United States and Kenya, exemplifies a balance among

this certain collaboration. Kenya is focused on keeping this consistency of the

partnership set in stone for the future years. However, it is imperative that the

relationship stay steady in the years to come. With help from donor agencies and

the aid coming from outside resources, the chance of stability of the Kenyan

economy is much greater than that of Kenya standing alone.

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Priorities

● Strengthen overall​ access t​o markets and Kenyan products

● Deepen the relationship of trade and investment ties with collaborative countries75

Tourism Kenya is home to a thriving tourism industry, that can generally be separated

into three categories: beach tourism, safari tourism, and business tourism. The

tourism industry is estimated to provide approximately 10% of Kenya’s GDP, and is

the economy’s third largest sector, and provides over 1.5 million jobs.76 Safari

tourism comprises the bulk of tourism revenue, and brought in 491,611 million

Kenyan Shillings to the economy in 2017. With the industry indefinitely shut down

due to coronavirus, this has left millions of people stripped of their livelihoods.

Given the current safety hazards associated with travel, it is unlikely that the

tourism industry will recover within the next few years. This has the potential to put

75 ​U.S.-Kenya Trade and Investment Relationship, 2020 76 Standing Out From the Herd: An Economic Assessment of The World Bank, 2017. ​

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restaurants, hotels, and tour companies out of business, increase unemployment,

and devastate the economy. The pain of this will largely fall to rural people, who

were already facing the worst locust outbreak in decades.

On average, safari tourism generates the largest amount of revenue per

tourist, and in 2017, it brought in 491,611 million Kenyan Shillings to the economy.

In addition, money generated from safari tourism brings in the largest financial

benefits to Kenyans across most demographics, including the rural poor. One cause

of this may be that safari tourism is often located with greater proximity to rural

communities than various other types of tourism. Promoting this form of tourism

would make greater strides to promote the Keyan economy and alleviate poverty in

rural areas. In order to ensure that this sector it is sustainable, and available for

future generations, work must be done to protect natural habitats and the animals

within. An over abundance of tourism has been shown to lead to environmental

degradation and discourage future tourism to the area. Congestion and

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overcrowding will eventually lead to worsened natural habitats and a declining

quantity of tourists.

Kenya has seen severe wildlife loss in recent years. As the tourism industry is

heavily dependent on wildlife, this is a troubling trend. In all counties in Kenya,

wildlife have been in significant decline since 1977. 77 In West Pokot, the most

severely affected county, there has been a 99% decrease in wildlife. Further loss of

endangered wildlife would lead to significant damage to the tourism industry and

result in the loss of jobs for millions of Kenyans. Endangered animals at increased

risk of poachers due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Conservation workers worry that

as people recently unemployed people become more desperate for meat and

income, they will turn to poaching endangered species. 78 Within the first week of

the nation wide lockdown, the country saw an upward spike in rhino poachings.

Animal conservation parks depend on tourism revenue to protect the animals, with

this income stream gone, rangers are struggling to continue to provide quality care

for these animals. Not only does this scenario have serious ecological

consequences, but it jeopardizes the future of safari tourism. If animals protected

on the conservations parks go extinct, it could mean permanent devastating

negative consequences for Kenya’s tourism industry, as well as the environment.

77 When Good Conservation Becomes Good Economics : Kenya’s Vanishing Herds. The World Bank, 2019. ​ 78 Poaching Threats Loom as Wildlife Safaris Put on Hold Due to COVID-19. National Geographic, 2020. ​

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In March, we set aside 500 million shillings (aprox 4.7 million USD) to lessen

the burden on the hard-hit tourism industry.79 This money will go toward marketing

and event planning once crowds can safely gather. The intent behind these funds

are to ensure than after COVID-19 is over, Kenya is still seen as a desirable tourist

destination. However, this does little to help the people who worked in the tourism

sector who have suddenly lost their source of income. Money is needed to ensure

that until a vaccine is available, tourism workers still have the means to provide for

their families.

Priorities The Kenyan government’s goals for our tourism sector include:

79 Kenya Sets Aside Sh 500m to Save Tourism. Daily Nation, 2020. ​

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● Preserving the natural habitat of our endangered wildlife, including

defending our animals from poachers, and preventing further

deforestation.

● Investing in safari tourism, promoting eco-tourism, and improving

existing structures so that the tourism industry can be sustainable

● Developing a media campaign to promote Kenya as a desirable,

sanitary, and safe tourist destination, particularly as more countries

continue to ease lockdown restrictions.

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