Los Angeles Times

STUDY #520

LOS ANGELES TIMES

Results from the Times Poll LA City/May 2-8, 2005 Stat Sheet

Guide to Column Headings

Among all likely voters:

LV All Likely voters DEM Democrats REP Republicans WHT Whites BLK Blacks LAT Latinos WES Westside SFV San Fernando Valley CEN Central Los Angeles (City of LA, including east of Beverly Hills and North of 10 FWY) SOU Southern Los Angeles (City of LA, including south of the 10 FWY and San Pedro)

Note -All results are among likely voters in the city of Los Angeles. -(Vol.) indicates a voluntarily response - ‘–‘ indicates less than 0.5%

Q1. Do you think things in the city of Los Angeles are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Right direction 28 30 26 31 22 30 27 28 32 23 On the wrong track 56 56 57 53 64 52 51 59 51 60 Don’t know 16 14 17 16 14 18 22 13 17 17

Trend for Q1

Study/Question No. 519/Q1 516/Q1 515/Q1 459/Q1 456/Q1 454/Q1 Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 05/01 04/01 03/01 LV LV LV LV LV LV Right direction 30 36 36 46 40 49 Wrong track 55 49 51 39 44 36 Don’t know 15 15 13 15 16 15

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 1 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 (ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q4. If the May 17th runoff for mayor of the city of Los Angeles were being held today and the candidates were: Los Angeles Mayor James Kenneth Hahn and Los Angeles City Council member Antonio R. Villaraigosa, for whom would you vote: Hahn or Villaraigosa? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU James Hahn 40 34 53 48 40 17 42 44 29 40 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 51 57 37 45 43 77 50 45 66 48 Don’t know 9 9 10 7 17 6 8 11 5 12

Trend for Q4

Study/Question No. 519/Q5 Date ______04/05______LV WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU James Hahn 35 35 32 33 33 34 40 27 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 53 52 52 61 52 54 50 61 Other (Vol.) – – – – 1 – – – Don’t know 12 13 16 6 14 12 10 12

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO MENTIONED A CANDIDATE) Q5. Are you certain you're going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for the other candidate?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Certain 92 92 92 92 93 94 91 92 93 94 Might vote for other candidate 7 8 5 7 6 6 8 7 7 5 Don’t know 1 – 3 1 1 – 1 1 – 1

Among Hahn/Villaraigosa voters:

Hahn Villaraigosa Certain 91 94 Might vote for other candidate 8 6 Don’t know 1 –

Trend for Q5 Study/Question No. 519/Q6 Date ______04/05______LV Hahn voters Villaraigosa voters Certain 83 80 85 Might vote for other candidate 14 18 12 Don’t know 3 2 3

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 2 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q6. Do you support your mayoral choice today mostly because you like him and his policies or because he is the lesser of two evils?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Like him/his policies 50 58 32 42 45 70 47 43 57 56 He is lesser of two evils 45 36 64 54 46 25 46 55 36 36 Don’t know 5 6 4 4 9 5 7 2 7 8

Among Hahn/Villaraigosa voters:

Hahn Villaraigosa Like him/his policies 39 57 He is lesser of two evils 59 35 Don’t know 2 8

Trend for Q6

Study/Question No. 459/Q10 Date ______05/01______LV Hahn voters Villaraigosa voters Like him and his policies 63 58 71 He is lesser of two evils 32 38 25 Don’t know 5 4 4

(ORDER OF NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James Hahn is handling his job as mayor of Los Angeles? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 38 39 37 40 43 27 40 39 29 42 Approve strongly 11 12 11 12 15 10 11 10 8 18 Approve somewhat 26 26 26 29 28 17 30 29 21 24 Disapprove (Net) 56 56 57 54 51 66 55 55 63 54 Disapprove somewhat 28 30 27 28 23 26 40 24 30 25 Disapprove strongly 29 27 30 26 28 40 14 31 33 29 Don’t know 6 5 6 6 6 7 5 6 8 4

-Q7 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q7

Study/Question No. 519/Q7 516/Q28 515/Q32 475/C2 Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 10/02 LV LV LV LV Approve (Net) 44 43 45 57 Approve strongly 14 11 8 11 Approve somewhat 30 32 37 47 Disapprove (Net) 49 51 48 29 Disapprove somewhat 26 30 27 18 Disapprove strongly 23 21 21 11 Don’t know 7 6 7 14

Q8. Generally speaking, do you think the city of Los Angeles is better off because of James Hahn's policies and should continue in the direction he has set, or do you think Los Angeles is not better off and needs to move in a new direction?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Continue policies of Hahn 24 22 29 28 21 16 25 25 20 26 Needs a new direction 67 69 66 63 70 75 68 67 70 65 Don’t know 9 9 5 9 9 9 7 8 10 9

Trend for Q8

Study/Question No. 519/Q17 516/Q15 Date 04/05 03/05 LV LV Continue policies of Hahn 24 26 Needs a new direction 65 65 Don’t know 11 9

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 4 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Regardless of which candidate for mayor you happen to prefer right now, generally speaking, which candidate, if either, do you think would do the better job handling the following issues: James Hahn or Antonio Villaraigosa? If you think neither of them or both of them would do the better job, you can say that, too. For example:

(ORDER OF NEXT THREE QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q9. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job holding down crime: James Hahn or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU James Hahn 42 37 55 49 34 24 50 45 36 38 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 34 41 21 27 37 54 23 30 43 39 Neither (Vol.) 9 7 10 6 17 8 6 9 7 12 Both(Vol.) 9 8 7 11 7 5 19 8 7 4 Don’t know 6 7 7 7 5 9 2 8 7 7

Trend for Q9

Study/Question No. 519/Q8 459/Q19 Date 04/05 5/01 LV LV James Hahn 40 53 Antonio Villaraigosa 33 19 Neither 8 7 Both 10 13 Don’t know 9 8

Q10. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job improving traffic and transportation issues: James Hahn or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU James Hahn 30 27 39 33 31 15 29 32 23 33 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 39 45 24 34 32 59 41 34 50 36 Neither (Vol.) 18 15 20 20 25 9 21 18 14 18 Both(Vol.) 3 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 Don’t know 10 9 12 9 9 14 6 12 10 10

Trend for Q10

Study/Question No. 519/Q10 Date 04/05 LV James Hahn 25 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 39 Neither (Vol.) 14 Both(Vol.) 5 Don’t know 17

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 5 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q11. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job improving the city's public schools: James Hahn or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU James Hahn 22 21 26 24 22 11 16 24 16 27 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 50 55 39 44 46 71 45 47 61 48 Neither (Vol.) 17 12 25 21 17 8 23 19 12 11 Both(Vol.) 4 4 5 5 6 2 8 3 3 5 Don’t know 7 8 5 6 9 8 8 7 8 9

Trend for Q11

Study/Question No. 519/Q11 459/Q21 Date 04/05 05/01 LV LV James Hahn 23 33 Antonio Villaraigosa 52 38 Neither (Vol.) 13 9 Both(Vol.) 4 13 Don’t know 8 7

(ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q12. Do you think James Hahn is a strong leader, or not?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 36 36 40 34 43 37 33 33 32 45 No 59 58 59 62 46 57 65 62 61 46 Don’t know 5 6 1 4 11 6 2 5 7 9

Trend for Q12

Study/Question No. 519/Q13 459/Q16 Date 04/05 5/01 LV LV Yes 44 59 No 49 24 Don’t know 7 17

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 55 63 37 48 50 81 52 49 70 55 No 29 21 46 35 23 12 34 35 18 24 Don’t know 16 16 17 17 27 7 14 16 12 21

Trend for Q13

Study/Question No. 519/Q14 459/Q17 Date 04/05 5/01 LV LV Yes 59 53 No 23 25 Don’t know 18 22

(ORDER OF NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q14. Do you think James Hahn has the honesty and integrity to serve as mayor of Los Angeles, or not?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 51 56 47 54 52 44 65 48 42 58 No 39 35 45 36 33 49 28 43 49 29 Don’t know 10 9 8 10 15 7 7 9 9 13

Trend for Q14

Study/Question No. 519/Q15 516/Q13 515/Q16 459/Q14 Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 05/01 LV LV LV LV Yes 57 50 48 72 No 31 35 34 16 Don’t know 12 15 18 12

Q15. Do you think Antonio Villaraigosa has the honesty and integrity to serve as mayor of Los Angeles, or not?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 58 67 39 52 62 79 61 50 67 62 No 28 21 47 35 20 13 26 35 22 23 Don’t know 14 12 14 13 18 8 13 15 10 15

-Q15 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q15

Study/Question No. 519/Q16 515/Q19 459/Q15 Date 04/05 02/05 05/01 LV LV LV Yes 64 50 55 No 20 21 25 Don’t know 16 29 20

(ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q16. Do you think James Hahn's personality is well suited for the job of mayor of Los Angeles, or not?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 45 45 45 43 46 44 40 42 45 53 No 48 47 47 50 38 52 56 50 50 35 Don’t know 7 8 8 7 16 4 4 8 5 12

Q17. Do you think Antonio Villaraigosa's personality is well suited for the job of mayor of Los Angeles, or not?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 68 73 57 62 71 87 69 63 79 66 No 23 17 34 28 13 9 23 28 15 20 Don’t know 9 10 9 10 16 4 8 9 6 14

(ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q18. Do you think if James Hahn is reelected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to reduce crime a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 52 52 52 53 48 45 55 50 51 54 A lot 8 8 7 7 13 8 4 6 8 15 Some 44 44 44 46 35 38 51 44 43 39 Not much/Not at all (Net) 43 42 42 41 45 51 41 43 46 42 Not much 29 28 28 30 25 31 32 29 33 23 Not at all 14 14 15 11 20 19 9 14 13 19 Don’t know 5 6 6 6 7 4 4 7 3 4

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 8 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q19. Do you think if Antonio Villaraigosa is elected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to reduce crime a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 56 62 46 48 50 85 48 54 65 57 A lot 14 18 7 4 13 40 4 10 25 18 Some 42 43 39 43 37 46 44 44 40 39 Not much/Not at all (Net) 37 31 47 45 36 12 44 41 28 31 Not much 20 18 19 23 22 8 24 19 17 19 Not at all 17 13 27 23 14 4 20 22 11 12 Don’t know 7 7 7 7 14 3 8 5 7 12

(ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q20. Do you think if James Hahn is reelected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to improve traffic a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 38 42 34 33 41 44 26 35 41 48 A lot 6 7 4 4 9 8 3 4 9 9 Some 32 35 30 30 32 35 23 31 32 39 Not much/Not at all (Net) 57 53 61 63 51 54 70 61 56 43 Not much 30 28 37 34 22 28 37 34 29 19 Not at all 27 25 24 28 29 26 33 28 26 24 Don’t know 5 5 5 4 8 2 4 4 3 9

Q21. Do you think if Antonio Villaraigosa is elected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to improve traffic a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 49 55 37 41 50 68 43 42 58 57 A lot 12 16 8 5 10 34 7 10 17 16 Some 37 39 29 37 40 34 36 32 41 41 Not much/Not at all (Net) 45 38 56 54 40 27 51 53 37 34 Not much 24 23 29 28 21 19 24 29 24 16 Not at all 21 16 27 25 19 8 27 24 13 18 Don’t know 6 7 7 5 10 5 6 5 5 9

(ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q22. Do you think if James Hahn is reelected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to improve public schools a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 35 39 26 30 40 41 33 31 34 44 A lot 4 5 3 3 13 3 – 3 4 10 Some 30 34 23 27 27 38 33 28 30 34 Not much/Not at all (Net) 61 56 71 67 54 56 64 65 62 52 Not much 30 29 34 33 28 22 40 27 34 24 Not at all 32 27 37 33 26 34 24 38 29 28 Don’t know 4 5 3 3 6 3 3 4 4 4

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 9 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q23. Do you think if Antonio Villaraigosa is elected as mayor of Los Angeles, he would be able to improve public schools a lot, some, not much or not at all?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU A lot/some (Net) 58 64 46 48 61 83 52 53 66 62 A lot 19 23 14 9 17 50 8 12 34 25 Some 39 41 32 39 45 33 44 40 32 38 Not much/Not at all (Net) 37 31 50 48 31 12 42 43 29 31 Not much 16 16 18 21 15 4 20 15 18 15 Not at all 21 15 32 27 16 8 22 29 11 16 Don’t know 5 5 4 4 8 5 6 4 5 7

Q24. Lots of people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? So far this year, would you say you have been very interested in following the political campaign for mayor of the city of Los Angeles, or somewhat interested, or somewhat uninterested, or very uninterested in following the political campaign for mayor this year?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Interested (Net) 94 95 88 93 91 99 95 93 93 94 Very interested 49 51 47 47 51 54 44 50 46 52 Somewhat interested 45 44 41 46 41 45 51 43 47 42 Uninterested (Net) 6 5 12 7 8 1 5 7 7 5 Somewhat uninterested 4 4 6 4 4 1 3 4 6 3 Very uninterested 2 1 6 3 3 – 2 3 1 2 Don’t know – – – – 1 – – – – 1

Trend for Q24

Study/Question No. 519/Q22 516/Q16 515/Q21 459/Q25 456/Q13 Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 05/01 04/01 LV LV LV LV LV Interested (Net) 94 91 87 95 94 Very interested 41 45 25 47 47 Somewhat interested 53 47 62 48 47 Uninterested (Net) 6 912 5 5 Somewhat uninterested 4 4 9 4 4 Very uninterested 2 4 3 1 1 Don’t know – – 1 – 1

Study/Question No. 454/Q20 Date 03/01 LV Interested (Net) 88 Very interested 39 Somewhat interested 49 Uninterested (Net) 11 Somewhat uninterested 9 Very uninterested 2 Don’t know 1

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 10 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 (ORDER OF THE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q31. What is your impression of James Hahn? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 46 47 47 49 50 36 49 44 43 52 Very favorable 12 14 10 10 21 10 8 10 7 22 Somewhat favorable 35 34 37 39 29 26 41 34 36 30 Unfavorable (Net) 49 46 53 49 40 55 49 53 50 40 Somewhat unfavorable 30 28 33 31 20 34 36 32 30 24 Very unfavorable 18 17 20 18 20 21 13 21 20 16 Haven’t heard enough 3 3 – 1 5 5 2 2 2 4 Don’t know 2 4 – 1 5 4 – 1 5 4

Trend for Q31

Study/Question No. 519/Q29 516/Q24 515/Q28 459/C33* 456/C22* 454/C34* Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 05/01 04/01 03/01 LV LV LV LV LV LV Favorable (Net) 50 53 51 67 67 60 Very favorable 16 19 15 28 27 24 Somewhat favorable 34 33 36 39 40 36 Unfavorable (Net) 44 42 41 23 18 16 Somewhat unfavorable 31 26 23 16 13 11 Very unfavorable 13 16 18 6 5 5 Haven’t heard enough 3 2 5 8 12 20 Don’t know 3 3 3 2 3 4

* The wording of this question is slightly different in earlier poll/s. Wording in earlier poll/s is as follows: What is your impression of James Kenneth Hahn? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

Q32. What is your impression of Antonio Villaraigosa? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 62 69 47 55 64 84 59 56 71 66 Very favorable 29 34 19 19 34 56 17 24 39 36 Somewhat favorable 33 35 28 36 29 29 42 32 32 30 Unfavorable (Net) 30 21 50 39 17 13 36 38 21 21 Somewhat unfavorable 16 13 19 19 9 7 24 17 10 13 Very unfavorable 15 8 31 20 8 5 12 21 11 8 Haven’t heard enough 5 7 2 4 14 1 4 4 5 9 Don’t know 3 3 1 2 5 2 1 2 3 4

-Q32 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q32

Study/Question No. 519/Q32 516/Q27 515/Q31 459/C36 456/C24 Date 04/05 03/05 02/05 05/01 04/01 LV LV LV LV LV Favorable (Net) 64 66 55 58 53 Very favorable 26 27 22 24 27 Somewhat favorable 38 39 33 34 27 Unfavorable (Net) 24 22 21 28 19 Somewhat unfavorable 14 10 12 17 11 Very unfavorable 10 12 10 12 8 Haven’t heard enough 8 10 20 10 24 Don’t know 4 2 4 4 4

Study/Question No. 454/C36 Date 03/01 LV Favorable (Net) 36 Very favorable 16 Somewhat favorable 20 Unfavorable (Net) 14 Somewhat unfavorable 8 Very unfavorable 5 Haven’t heard enough 47 Don’t know 3

(ORDER OF NEXT SIX QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q33. As you may know, James Hahn did not advocate the reappointment of Bernard Parks to a second term as Los Angeles police chief. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Hahn for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Hahn because he did not advocate reappointing Parks to a second term as police chief, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 18 17 18 19 23 14 23 18 13 18 Much more likely 12 11 12 13 15 9 15 12 8 13 Somewhat more likely 6 6 6 6 8 5 8 6 4 6 Less Likely (Net) 10 12 8 8 13 14 7 10 10 13 Somewhat less likely 4 5 1 5 4 3 6 3 3 6 Much less likely 6 7 7 3 9 11 1 7 7 7 Will not play a role 69 67 73 72 59 67 69 70 73 64 Don’t know 3 4 1 1 5 5 1 2 4 5

-Q33 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q33

Study/Question No. 516/Q31 515/Q49 Date 02/05 02/05 LV LV More likely (Net) 10 10 Much more likely 6 4 Somewhat more likely 4 6 Less likely (Net) 13 16 Somewhat less likely 4 8 Much less likely 9 8 Will not play a role 73 72 Don’t know 4 2

Q34. As you may know, James Hahn led the campaign that opposed the secession of the San Fernando Valley from the city of Los Angeles. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Hahn for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Hahn because he led the campaign that opposed the secession of the San Fernando Valley from Los Angeles, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 17 18 9 17 16 15 29 16 15 9 Much more likely 10 11 4 9 9 10 10 12 9 6 Somewhat more likely 7 7 4 8 8 4 19 4 6 4 Less Likely (Net) 15 11 22 19 9 14 6 24 10 10 Somewhat less likely 5 5 6 7 4 4 3 7 3 5 Much less likely 10 7 17 12 4 11 3 17 7 4 Will not play a role 65 66 68 63 68 66 65 59 69 76 Don’t know 3 5 1 1 7 5 – 1 6 5

Trend for Q34

Study/Question No. 515/Q47 Date 02/05 LV More likely (Net) 12 Much more likely 5 Somewhat more likely 7 Less likely (Net) 11 Somewhat less likely 3 Much less likely 9 Will not play a role 72 Don’t know 5

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 13 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q35. Do you think Antonio Villaraigosa flip flops on the issues or that he changes what he says to fit the audience, or not? (IF FLIP FLOPS) Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Villaraigosa for mayor, or not? (IF WILL PLAY A ROLE) Are you much more likely to vote for Villaraigosa, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Does not flip flop (Net) 36 40 31 33 36 48 32 35 41 36 Flip Flops (Net) 54 49 63 56 47 50 55 56 51 53 Flip flops/More likely to vote for him 10 11 6 7 12 14 5 7 9 18 Flip flops/Less likely to vote for him 24 18 38 30 15 16 27 28 20 20 Will not play a role 20 20 19 20 20 20 23 21 22 15 Don’t know 10 11 6 10 17 2 13 9 8 11

Q36. As you may know, in 1996 Antonio Villaraigosa wrote a letter to the White House, seeking an early release from prison for Carlos Vignali, who had been convicted of cocaine trafficking and sentenced to 15 years. Villaraigosa and other politicians had been asked to write such letters by Vignali's father, who had contributed to their political campaigns. President Clinton commuted Vignali's sentence. Villaraigosa now says writing the letter was a mistake. Will this matter play any role in whether you will vote for Villaraigosa for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Villaraigosa because of his actions, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 5 6 2 4 11 7 4 4 3 11 Much more likely 3 4 1 3 7 4 3 2 3 7 Somewhat more likely 2 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 – 4 Less Likely (Net) 25 21 36 32 14 13 27 29 22 20 Somewhat less likely 7 7 5 7 5 8 8 7 6 7 Much less likely 19 13 31 25 9 5 19 23 16 12 Will not play a role 66 69 60 63 69 73 65 65 69 63 Don’t know 4 4 2 1 6 7 4 2 6 6

Q37. As you may know, Antonio Villaraigosa is a former leader of the Southern California chapter of the ACLU -- the American Civil Liberties Union. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Villaraigosa for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Villaraigosa because of his leadership of the local ACLU chapter, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 18 22 4 20 19 17 25 12 26 16 Much more likely 9 12 2 9 8 15 12 6 16 9 Somewhat more likely 9 10 2 11 10 2 14 6 11 7 Less Likely (Net) 21 11 50 28 5 8 23 28 16 11 Somewhat less likely 6 4 11 5 2 4 10 6 4 3 Much less likely 15 7 39 22 4 4 13 22 11 8 Will not play a role 59 65 45 51 74 71 52 58 54 71 Don’t know 2 2 1 1 2 4 – 2 4 2

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 14 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q38. As you may know, Antonio Villaraigosa once opposed gang injunctions, which are court orders that limit the ability of gangs to associate in certain neighborhoods. Now, Villaraigosa says he supports such injunctions against gang members. Will this play any role in whether you will vote for Villaraigosa for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Villaraigosa because of his actions, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 16 17 10 14 18 20 16 13 21 18 Much more likely 7 8 5 6 10 10 5 5 10 10 Somewhat more likely 9 10 5 8 8 10 11 8 11 9 Less Likely (Net) 17 13 29 20 12 12 18 19 15 17 Somewhat less likely 5 5 7 5 5 6 9 5 4 6 Much less likely 12 8 22 15 8 5 9 14 10 11 Will not play a role 62 64 59 63 63 64 62 63 60 60 Don’t know 5 6 2 3 7 4 4 5 4 5

(ORDER OF NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q39. As you may know, local and federal prosecutors are investigating whether city contracts were awarded for political contributions to James Hahn's campaign. Hahn denies the allegations. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Hahn for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Hahn because of these allegations, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 8 7 5 5 11 13 3 6 12 12 Much more likely 5 4 4 3 6 9 – 4 7 6 Somewhat more likely 3 3 1 2 5 4 2 1 6 5 Less Likely (Net) 25 22 28 31 13 20 25 31 25 13 Will not play a role 62 64 64 60 69 62 66 60 54 69 Somewhat less likely 12 11 11 16 6 6 16 13 12 8 Much less likely 13 11 17 15 7 14 9 18 13 6 Don’t know 5 7 3 4 7 5 6 3 9 6

Trend for Q39

Study/Question No. 516/Q32 Date 03/05 LV More likely (Net) 8 Much more likely 4 Somewhat more likely 4 Less likely (Net) 37 Somewhat less likely 15 Much less likely 22 Will not play a role 49 Don’t know 6

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 15 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/May 2005 Q40. As you may know, Antonio Villaraigosa accepted more than $40,000 from employees and relatives of two Florida gift shop companies with interest in doing business at the Los Angeles airport. Some of the donors have given conflicting stories about why they gave to his campaign. Villaraigosa says they gave because they feel it is time for a change in Los Angeles. After the donations became public knowledge, he returned the money. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Villaraigosa for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Villaraigosa because of this, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 8 9 4 5 10 16 5 5 14 10 Much more likely 4 5 2 3 4 10 2 3 9 5 Somewhat more likely 3 4 2 2 5 6 3 2 5 5 Less Likely (Net) 27 23 34 33 17 15 36 30 22 21 Somewhat less likely 10 9 10 11 7 5 15 9 9 6 Much less likely 18 14 24 22 10 10 21 21 13 15 Will not play a role 62 64 61 60 70 66 57 63 59 67 Don’t know 3 4 1 2 3 3 2 2 5 2

This Los Angeles Times poll is the 520th in a series of opinion studies designed to measure public attitudes on a number of critical issues. This particular survey focuses on the upcoming May mayoral runoff election in the city of Los Angeles.

The sampling frame for this survey is all telephone residences in the city of Los Angeles. Three thousand two hundred and thirty-six men and women 18 years of age or older were contacted by telephone May 2-8, 2005. This includes 2,176 registered voters of which 742 were deemed likely to vote in the May election. A screening process that included questions on intention to vote, certainty of vote, interest in the campaign and voting history, including absentee voting, determined likely voters. Additional African-American and Latino voters were contacted in separate random samples to allow more accurate analysis of their subgroups. Although Asian voters were interviewed and are included as part of the overall results in this poll, they are too small a subgroup of the sample to be separately reported.

Results are adjusted to conform to census figures on characteristics such as sex, race/ethnicity, age, education, city region and party registration. Telephone numbers were generated from a computer list that includes all telephone exchanges in the city. Random-digit dialing techniques were used to ensure that both listed and unlisted residences had an opportunity to be contacted. Multiple attempts were made to contact each number. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish. Interviewing Service of America, Van Nuys, conducted interviews in the black and Latino supplemental samples.

Readers are reminded that, since survey research normally questions only a small proportion of the population, one must allow a certain margin for error. The margin of sampling error for registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points and for likely voters, it is 4 points. For certain other subgroups, the error margin is somewhat higher.

Surveys of this kind are sometimes subject to different kinds of inaccuracies for which precise estimates cannot be calculated and which may, in some cases, be even larger than the effects associated with sampling procedures. For example, findings may be influenced by events, which take place while the survey is in the field and, of course, events occurring since the time the interviews were conducted could have changed the opinions reported here.

Undetected flaws in the way the sampling and interviewing procedure were carried out could have a significant effect on the findings. Changing the wording of questions and the sequence in which they are asked can produce different results. Sometimes questions are inadvertently biased or misleading. People who responded to the survey may not necessarily replicate the views of those who refused to be interviewed or who could not be found at home during the time the survey was conducted. Moreover, while every precaution has been taken to make these findings completely accurate, other errors may have resulted from the various practical difficulties associated with taking any survey of public opinion.

Susan Pinkus directs the Los Angeles Times Poll under the general supervision of Dean Baquet, managing editor. Jill Darling Richardson is the associate director, Roger Richardson is the field director, Claudia Vaughn is the data management supervisor and Farnaz Calafi is the publications coordinator.

Further information regarding this study is available by writing to the Los Angeles Times Poll, 202 West 1st Street, Los Angeles, California 90012, or by calling (213) 237-2027, or by emailing [email protected]. In addition, poll data can now be found on the World Wide Web. Visit us at http://www.latimes.com/timespoll.

This report conforms to the standards of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.