Reforming the IMF: Back to the Drawing Board
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UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT G-24 Discussion Paper Series Reforming the IMF: Back to the Drawing Board Yilmaz Akyüz No. 38, November 2005 UNITED NATIONS UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE INTERGOVERNMENTAL ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT GROUP OF TWENTY-FOUR G-24 Discussion Paper Series Research papers for the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development UNITED NATIONS New York and Geneva, November 2005 Note Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. Mention of such a symbol indicates a reference to a United Nations document. * ** The views expressed in this Series are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the UNCTAD secretariat. The designations employed and the presentation of the material do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. * ** Material in this publication may be freely quoted; acknowl- edgement, however, is requested (including reference to the document number). It would be appreciated if a copy of the publication containing the quotation were sent to the Publications Assistant, Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, UNCTAD, Palais des Nations, CH-1211 Geneva 10. UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION UNCTAD/GDS/MDPB/G24/2005/5 Copyright © United Nations, 2005 All rights reserved Reforming the IMF: Back to the Drawing Board iii PREFACE The G-24 Discussion Paper Series is a collection of research papers prepared under the UNCTAD Project of Technical Support to the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development (G-24). The G-24 was established in 1971 with a view to increasing the analytical capacity and the negotiating strength of the developing countries in discussions and negotiations in the international financial institutions. The G-24 is the only formal developing-country grouping within the IMF and the World Bank. Its meetings are open to all developing countries. The G-24 Project, which is administered by UNCTAD’s Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, aims at enhancing the understanding of policy makers in developing countries of the complex issues in the international monetary and financial system, and at raising awareness outside developing countries of the need to introduce a development dimension into the discussion of international financial and institutional reform. The research papers are discussed among experts and policy makers at the meetings of the G-24 Technical Group, and provide inputs to the meetings of the G-24 Ministers and Deputies in their preparations for negotiations and discussions in the framework of the IMF’s International Monetary and Financial Committee (formerly Interim Committee) and the Joint IMF/IBRD Development Committee, as well as in other forums. The Project of Technical Support to the G-24 receives generous financial support from the International Development Research Centre of Canada and contributions from the countries participating in the meetings of the G-24. REFORMING THE IMF: BACK TO THE DRAWING BOARD Yilmaz Akyüz G-24 Discussion Paper No. 38 November 2005 Reforming the IMF: Back to the Drawing Board vii Abstract A genuine reform of the IMF would require as much a redirection of its activities as improvements in its policies and operational modalities. There is no sound rationale for the Fund to be involved in development and trade policy, or in bailout operations in emerging market crises. It should focus on short-term counter-cyclical current account financing and policy surveillance. To be effective in crisis prevention it should help emerging markets to manage unsustainable capital inflows by promoting appropriate measures, including direct and indirect controls. It should also pay greater attention to destabilizing impulses originating from macro- economic and financial policies in major industrial countries. Any reform designed to bring greater legitimacy would need to address shortcomings in its governance structure, but the Fund is unlikely to become a genuinely multilateral institution with equal rights and obligations for all its members, de facto as well as de jure, unless it ceases to depend on a few countries for resources and there is a clear separation between multilateral and bilateral arrangements in debt and finance. Reforming the IMF: Back to the Drawing Board ix Table of contents Page Preface .......................................................................................................................................... iii Abstract ......................................................................................................................................... vii A. Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 1 B. The original rationale and the postwar evolution of the IMF ............................................ 2 C. Mission creep into development finance and policy ............................................................ 5 D. Trespassing in trade policy..................................................................................................... 7 E. Crisis management and resolution: bailouts or workouts? ................................................ 9 F. Restructuring IMF lending and supplementing resources ............................................... 12 G. Ineffectiveness and asymmetry of Fund surveillance ....................................................... 15 H. Governance: making the Fund a genuinely multilateral institution ............................... 19 I. Summary and conclusions ................................................................................................... 21 Notes ......................................................................................................................................... 22 References ......................................................................................................................................... 25 REFORMING THE IMF: BACK TO THE DRAWING BOARD Yilmaz Akyüz* The best reformers the world has ever seen are those who commence on themselves. George Bernard Shaw A.Introduction harmful for international economic stability, or that its programmes in the third world serve to aggra- vate rather than alleviate poverty.1 Others want the There have been widespread misgivings about IMF to be merged into the World Bank because they international economic cooperation in recent years see them as doing pretty much the same thing with even as the need for global collective action has the same clientele.2 Many who still wish to keep the grown because of recurrent financial crises in emerg- Fund as an independent institution with a distinct ing markets, the increased gap between the rich and mission call for reform of both what it has been do- the poor, and the persistence of extreme poverty in ing and how it has been doing it.3 All these groups many countries in the developing world. Perhaps include individuals across a wide spectrum of po- more than any other international organization the litical opinion, ranging from conservative free IMF has been the focus of these misgivings. Several marketers to anti-globalizers. observers including former Treasury Secretaries of the United States, a Nobel Prize economist and many The principal rationale for global collective NGOs have called for its abolition on grounds that action in financial matters and for institutions needed it is no longer needed, or that its interventions in to facilitate such action is market failure. More spe- emerging market crises are not only wasteful but also cifically, international financial markets fail to * Former Director, Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, UNCTAD. This work was carried out under the UNCTAD Project of Technical Assistance to the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development with the aid of a grant from the International Development Research Centre of Canada. An earlier version was presented at a technical group meeting of G-24 in IMF on 16 September 2005. Comments and suggestions by Ariel Buira, Andrew Cornford, Richard Kozul-Wright and the participants of the G-24 Technical Group Meeting are greatly appreciated. The usual caveat applies. 2 G-24 Discussion Paper Series, No. 38 provide adequate liquidity and development financ- fective surveillance over national macroeconomic ing for a large number of countries, and they are the and financial policies, particularly of countries which main source of global economic instability. These have a disproportionately large impact on interna- have repercussions not only for the countries directly tional monetary and financial stability. In other concerned but also for the international community words, a genuine reform of the Fund would require as a whole because of the existence of international as much a redirection of its activities as improve- externalities. Furthermore, due to cross-border inter- ments in its policies and operational modalities. dependence, pursuit of national interests by individual However, none of these would be possible without countries in macroeconomic and financial policies addressing shortcomings in its governance structure.