Network Options Assessment 2016/17
UK electricity transmission
JANUARY 2017 Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 2
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We are in the midst of an energy revolution. The economic landscape, developments in technology and consumer behaviour are changing at an unprecedented rate, creating more opportunities than ever for our industry.
Our Network Options We will achieve this through our Assessment (NOA) publication, Network Options Assessment (NOA). along with our other future The NOA aims to make sure energy System Operator that the transmission system is publications, aims to encourage continuously developed in a timely, and inform debate, leading economic and efficient way, providing to changes that ensure a value for our customers. The results secure, sustainable and from ETYS 2016 have fed into NOA affordable energy future. 2016/17 to provide the required transmission capabilities. Your views, knowledge and insight have shaped the publication, helping To conduct the NOA, we asked each us to better understand the future of of the Transmission Owners in GB energy. Thank you for this valuable (SHE Transmission, SP Transmission input over the past year. and the TO business within National Grid) to identify investment options, Now our 2016 analysis is complete, timings and costs to improve the we have been able to look holistically capability of a number of stressed at the results. They point to some system boundaries that we had important themes and messages. identified during the ETYS process.
As highlighted in our Electricity Ten I hope that you find this document, Year Statement (ETYS) 2016 we along with our other System Operator continue to see increasing new low- publications, useful as a catalyst for carbon generation together with fossil wider debate. For more information fuelled plant closures and increasing about all our publications, please see interconnector activity putting page 7– 8. additional stress on the network. Our role is to maintain an efficient Please share your views with us; and economic balance between you can find details of how to investing in further infrastructure and contact us on our website http:// constraining the use of the system www.nationalgrid.com/noa. when necessary – striking a balance between the risk of stranding assets Richard Smith from investing too early; and the Head of Network Capability potential high costs of constraints (Electricity) from investing too late. Getting this balance right will deliver the best value for consumers. Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 02
Contents
Chapter one Chapter five
Aim of the report...... 10 Investment recommendations...... 84 1.1 Introduction ...... 10 5.1 Introduction...... 84 1.2 How the NOA fits in with the FES 5.2 Recommended delivery dates...... 87 and ETYS ...... 11 5.3 Critical options’ least regret analysis....93 1.3 What NOA can do...... 12 5.4 Recommendation for each option...... 97 1.4 What NOA cannot do...... 13 5.5 Onshore competition...... 101 1.5 The NOA Report methodology...... 14 1.6 Navigating through the document...... 15 1.7 What’s new...... 16 Chapter six 1.8 Stakeholder engagement and feedback...... 17 Interconnection analysis...... 104 6.1 Introduction...... 104 Chapter two 6.2 Interconnection theory...... 105 6.3 Current and potential interconnection...... 106 Methodology...... 20 6.4 Methodology...... 107 2.1 Introduction...... 20 6.5 Outcome...... 109 2.2 NOA process...... 21 6.6 Summary...... 115 2.3 Economic analysis...... 24 2.4 How the NOA connects to the SWW process...... 30 Chapter seven 2.5 Interaction between NOA results and FES...... 32 2.6 Other options...... 33 Stakeholder engagement...... 118 7.1 Introduction...... 118 7.2 Continuous development...... 119 Chapter three 7.3 Stakeholder engagement...... 120
Boundary descriptions...... 36 Chapter eight 3.1 Introduction...... 36 3.2 North...... 37 3.3 East...... 53 3.4 South...... 55 Appendix A – SWW projects...... 122 3.5 West...... 60 8.1 Shetland Link...... 122 8.2 Orkney Link...... 124 8.3 Western Isles Link...... 126 8.4 Eastern subsea HVDC Link from Chapter four Peterhead to Hawthorn Pit (E4DC)...... 128 8.5 Eastern Scotland to England Link: Torness to Hawthorn Pit Offshore Proposed options...... 66 HVDC (E2DC)...... 132 4.1 Continuous development...... 66 8.6 North West Coast connections 4.2 Reinforcement options – project...... 135 Scotland and North of England...... 67 8.7 Hinkley Point C connection project...... 137 4.3 Reinforcement options – Appendix B – Meet the NOA team...... 140 East of England...... 76 Appendix C – List of options’ four-letter codes.141 4.4 Reinforcement options – Appendix D – Glossary...... 145 South of England...... 78 Disclaimer...... 150 4.5 Reinforcement options – Wales and the West of England...... 81 Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 03
Executive summary
Using the 2016 Future Energy Scenarios (FES) and ETYS 2016, the System Operator (SO) recommends the options which the GB Transmission Owners should invest in for the upcoming year. Below, we present a summary of the key points from our economic analysis.
Key points
The SO recommends investment of option earlier than necessary. Where the £83m in 2017/18 across fourteen decision cannot be delayed any further, projects to maintain the option to deliver our economic analysis assesses the cost projects worth almost £3.8bn. This year’s impact of not investing in this financial investment will allow us to manage the year. As a result of this analysis, the SO capability of the GB transmission networks recommends to delay spend of over £2.5m against the uncertainty of the future. on three options for this investment year. This will make sure that the networks can The table below is an overview of the NOA continue supporting the transition to the 2016/17 investment recommendations future energy landscape in an efficient, where the decision must be made this year. economical and coordinated way. Our Interconnection analysis has As the energy landscape is uncertain, the demonstrated that the planned first window SO must make certain that all investment Cap and Floor interconnection will be is truly necessary. We performed analysis beneficial for GB consumers under all FES of over 80 different investment options energy scenarios and will provide benefit proposed by the GB Transmission Owners. to GB and European markets. The SO’s We identified 32 options where no decision analysis suggests a total interconnection was yet required, allowing the SO to delay capacity between 14.8 to 17.3 GW between the recommendation to a later investment GB and European markets by 2030 would year. This ensures that we never make provide optimal benefit. an investment recommendation for an
£83m 14 17.3 GW Investing £83 million Through 14 options Up to 17.3 GW interconnection Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 04
Executive summary
Optimal Delivery Date Last Year’s 2016/17 Reasons for Option EISD Gone Consumer Slow No Local No Local Recommendation Recommendation Change Green Power Progression Progression Contracted Contracted BBNO1 New Beauly Not optimal at to Blackhillock 2025 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Delay Do not Proceed this time 400kV double circuit
Reinforcement is LDQB required due to No Decision Lister Drive 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 N/A N/A Proceed heavy constraint Required quad booster build up in early years on B7a
WHTI2 Turn-in of West Boldon 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 N/A N/A Proceed Proceed No Change to Hartlepool circuit at Hawthorn Pit
LNRE Regret Reconductor No Decision analysis gave a Lackenby to 2022 2022 2022 N/A N/A N/A N/A Delay Required recommendation Norton single to delay this year 400kV circuit
MRUP Generation Uprate the background Penwortham to change has Washway Farm 2023 2023 2023 2023 2026 N/A N/A N/A Proceed made this to Kirkby 275kV reinforcement double circuit viable to 400kV
This reinforcement is new for NOA 2016/17 as a 4 GW OENO net reduction Central of power on 2024 2024 2025 2024 2024 N/A N/A N/A Proceed Yorkshire the west of reinforcement the country in some scenarios changes the power flow balance between east and west
E4DC Eastern subsea HVDC Link 2024 2024 2024 2024 2026 N/A N/A Proceed Proceed No Change from Peterhead to Hawthorn Pit
Coordination E2DC between Eastern subsea No decision reinforcements in HVDC Link 2024 2024 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Proceed required the North make from Torness to this reinforcement Hawthorn Pit viable
1 The new Beauly to Blackhillock 400kV double circuit (BBNO) was critical in NOA 2015/16 but recommended to delay. For NOA 2016/17, BBNO is now considered not optimal and therefore we recommend ‘Do Not Proceed’ at this time. 2 WHTI is a modified version of ELEU which was presented in last year’s NOA. Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 05
Optimal Delivery Date Last Year’s 2016/17 Reasons for Option EISD Gone Consumer Slow No Local No Local Recommendation Recommendation Change Green Power Progression Progression Contracted Contracted
NOR1 Reconductor 13.75km of Reinforcement No Decision Norton to 2022 2025 2023 2022 2026 N/A N/A Proceed has become Required Osbaldwick critical this year 400kV double circuit
TLNO Low cost Torness to reduces the North East 2028 N/A N/A 2028 N/A N/A N/A N/A Proceed regret of England AC proceeding reinforcement
Driven by WEOS changing Western HVDC 2019 2023 2025 2025 2024 N/A N/A Proceed Delay generation Link fast de- patterns in north load scheme west England
BMMS Reinforcement 225MVAr No Decision 2023 2024 2028 2026 2023 2023 N/A Proceed has become MSCs at Required critical this year Burwell Main
SCRC South East 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 Proceed Proceed No Change coast reactive compensation
FLRE Fleet to 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Proceed Proceed No Change Lovedean reconductoring
KLRE Kemsley to 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 Proceed Proceed No Change Littlebrook circuits uprating
Reinforcement SEEU is required due Reactive to the large compensation 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 N/A Proceed number of protective interconnectors switching connecting in scheme the region
WYTI Wymondley 2020 2029 2024 2030 2020 2029 2029 Delay Delay turn-in
No Change. We recommend HSNO proceeding Hinkley Point to 2023 2026 2027 2031 2034 2024 N/A Proceed Proceed with the SWW Seabank new project based on double circuit the contracted connection date
WPNO Proceed Wylfa to Pentir because of 2024 2030 2030 2029 N/A 2025 N/A Delay Proceed3 second double customer circuit agreement
3 Work on the Wylfa to Pentir second double circuit has already started, and should continue due to a local customer agreement in place. Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 06
Executive summary
It is important to recognise that these We welcome your views recommendations represent the best view at Our customers and stakeholders have a snap-shot in time. Investment decisions taken contributed to the production of this NOA by any business should always consider these publication from the very beginning, by being recommendations in the light of subsequent involved in Ofgem’s Integrated Transmission events and developments in the energy sector. Planning and Regulation project and shaping our Future Energy Scenarios. The project options we have recommended in this NOA 2016/17 will make sure that the GB We want to evolve this process and report, transmission network can continue supporting year on year, to better serve your interests. the transition to the future energy landscape in So we’d welcome your views on the content an efficient, economical and coordinated way. and scope of this year’s document and would like to know what changes you’d like us to This year NOA recommends the options make to future versions. There are five ways that meet the Ofgem criteria for onshore to tell us what you think: competition. These can be found in Customer seminars. Chapter 5 section 5. Operational forums. Email us at transmission.etys@ nationalgrid.com Feedback via survey at https://www. surveymonkey.com/r/2016-17NOA Bilateral stakeholder meetings.
The Stakeholder Engagement chapter sets out further information on our 2016 ETYS and NOA stakeholder activities programme. Your continuing support and feedback on our Future of Energy processes and documents are important to us. Please get in touch. Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 07
Continuing the conversation
Future energy publications We build our long-term view of the gas National Grid has an important role to play in and electricity transmission capability and leading the energy debate across our industry operability in our Future Energy Scenarios and working with you to make sure that (FES), Ten Year Statements (ETYS and together we secure our shared energy future. GTYS), Network Options Assessment (NOA), As System Operator (SO), we are perfectly gas Future Operability Planning (FOP) and placed as an enabler, informer and facilitator. electricity System Operability Framework The SO publications that we produce every (SOF) publications. To help shape these year are intended to be a catalyst for debate, publications, we seek your views and share decision making and change. information across the energy industry that can inform debate. The starting point for our flagship publications is the Future Energy Scenarios (FES). The FES The Gas Ten Year Statement (GTYS) describes is published every year and involves input from in detail what and where entry and exit capacity stakeholders from across the energy industry. is available on the gas National Transmission System (NTS). The GTYS provides an update These scenarios are based on the energy on projects we are currently working on. It also trilemma (security of supply, sustainability provides our view of the capability requirements and affordability) and provide supply and and network development decisions that demand projections out to 2050. We use these will be required for the NTS over the next ten scenarios to inform the energy industry about years. If you are interested in finding out more network analysis and the investment being about the longer-term view of gas capability planned, which will benefit our customers. and operability, please consider reading our Future Energy Scenarios (FES), and gas For short-term challenges around gas and Future Operability Planning (FOP) publications. electricity transmission, we produce the Summer and Winter Outlook Reports every The Electricity Ten Year Statement (ETYS) six months. We publish them ahead of each applies Future Energy Scenarios to network season to provide a view of gas and electricity models and highlights the capacity shortfalls supply and demand for the coming summer on the GB National Electricity Transmission or winter. These publications are designed to System (NETS) over the next ten years. You support and inform your business planning can find out more about the longer-term view of activities and are complemented by summer electricity capability and operability by reading and winter consultations and reports. our Future Energy Scenarios (FES) and System Operability Framework (SOF) publications. Network Options Assessment 2016/17 – January 2017 08
Executive summary
Our gas Future Operability Planning (FOP) The System Operability Framework (SOF) publication describes how changing uses the Future Energy Scenarios to examine requirements affect the future capability future requirements for the operability of of the NTS beyond 2050. It also considers GB electricity networks. It describes how these requirements may affect NTS developments in operational needs and operation and our processes. The FOP provides information that can help towards may highlight a need to change the way developing new technology, codes and we respond to you or other market signals. solutions that improve system operability. This, in turn, may lead us to modify our If you are interested in finding out more about operational processes and decision making. the longer term view of electricity capability This publication helps to make sure we and operability, please consider reading our continue to maintain a resilient, safe and Future Energy Scenarios (FES), Electricity Ten secure NTS now and into the future. If you Year Statements (ETYS) and Network Options are interested in finding out more about Assessment (NOA) publications. the longer-term view of gas capability and operability, please consider reading our Future Energy Scenarios (FES) and Gas Ten Year Statement (GTYS). Chapter one 09 10
Aim of the report the Aim of
one Chapter Chapter 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter one projects mightprojects be suitable for competition. the of which Ofgem to recommend to also (ETYS) Ten Statement Year Electricity the in defined as requirements withproceed to meet the future network to projects which to as Britain Great across (TOs) Owners Transmission the to Its purpose is to make recommendations of and quality supplysecurity standard. the national electricity transmission system of electricity transmission, consistent with system economic and coordinated efficient, The The further. it to develop us tell you what we’ll use produced for you, our stakeholders, and It’s 2016/17 published. to be second the is The The (SO). Operator the System as it works produces with the publications Grid that National the chapter NOA This introduces Introduction 1.1 ofAim the report Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 NOA Network Options (NOA) Assessment Network is the driver for developing an an developing for driver the is . A key aim is is aim . Akey
FES FES on 2017 based is and ETYS The The Transmission System (NETS). potential options for the National Electricity and requirements of picture full the give ETYS the together, read When and electricity transmission networks. the potential development of both the gas (FES) byunderpinned our Future Scenarios Energy This is report one of the publications and explains how explains how and NOA . This means that the NOA the that means . This have a consistent base for assessing assessing for base aconsistent have 2016/17 was published in January January 2016/17 in published was 2016.
and NOA and and the the and
10 Chapter one 11
can can
and NOA ETYS , and ETYS emphasises reinforcing the network the reinforcing emphasises NOA document. The FES be read together form to an evolutionary network. electricity GB’s of importantIt’s note that to while we recommend optionsmeet to system needs, the TOs or other relevant parties will ultimately decide on what, where and when invest. to Some of the alternative options we have evaluated are reduced build options as Methodology. – 2 Chapter in explained and consistent voice in the development development the in voice consistent and The Network Options Options Network Assessment 2017 January and we are keen embrace to innovative ways doto so.
Electricity Ten Electricity Ten Statement Year November 2016 fits in with the FESthe with in fits to assess to the network in November and the TOs 2016 , we summarise each reinforcement publication. Further explanation of this this of explanation Further publication. UK gas and electricity transmission Future Energy Future Scenarios JULY 2015 JULY Future Energy Energy Future Scenarios July 2016 We useWe the FES published were requirements These NETS. GB in the ETYS the reinforcing for options with responded network. Our economic analysis of these the for foundation the forms then options NOA process and each of the publications can be found in Chapter 2 – Methodology. In the NOA option and our cost–benefit analysis of those options. The report also identifies our each for options or option recommended region of the GB network, based on the cost–benefit analysis. For some options, summary Strategicthe a included of have we Wider Works (SWW) analysis in this document. requirements for power flows across the The SO produces a suite of publications on the the on publications of suite a produces SO The future of energy for Great Britain (see page 7–8). These aim inform to the whole energy debate through addressing specific issues in each 1.2 NOA the How 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network
Future Energy Scenarios
No. 4031152 www.nationalgrid.com Registered in England and Wales Registered Gallows Hill, Warwick. Gallows Hill, Warwick. CV34 6DA United Kingdom National Grid House, Park, Technology Warwick National Grid plc Chapter one What 1.3 ofAim the report Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 market-driven analysis. socio-economic welfare based on to maximise order in grids electricity of interconnection to other European NOA benefit. most the deliver will that atime at completed are they sure to make projects current continue or delay NOA in world. an uncertain transmission networks to manage risk their in invest should TOs the when NOA
can indicate the optimum level level optimum the indicate can can recommend whether TOs should can recommend how, where and and how, where recommend can NOA can do do can
are eligible for onshore competition. NOA options. SWW for should begin developing the needs case NOA can indicate to Ofgem whether options they to whether TOs indicate can
12 Chapter one 13
cannot list all of the options that the cannot evaluate the network cannot forecast or recommend NOA TOs develop as some reach only a low level of maturity and are discarded early. It is for the develop TOs to options and consult with options. on variations on stakeholders NOA possible of challenges technical and interconnectors. It can only evaluate the completed a welfare socio-economic provide. would interconnector NOA future interconnection levels. It indicates indicates It levels. interconnection future interconnection. of level optimum the
cannot do NOA cannot comment on options’ specific cannot evaluate options’ specific maintenance assess network cannot cannot insist that options be pursued.
details, such as how they are planned or delivered. It is the TOs who decide how equipment, of choice the as such designs These impacts. environmental or route connections. customer individual or projects for how, whenfor how, and where they invest in their networks. NOA options. their implement they NOA types of decisions can only be made by the TOs when the options are in a more stage. advanced NOA NOA canWe only recommend based upon our responsible ultimately are TOs The analysis. What 1.4 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter one methodology was published in July 2016. the refinement, and discussions more after 2016 May in and, website our on published the methodology for NOA of draft initial The Ofgem. and TOs onshore the with 2016, working early in methodology NOA the started We detail. finer the the the The The The 1.5 ofAim the report Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 NOA NOA
NOA NOA process should work and establishes Report methodology Report sets out how Report methodology methodology Report 2016/17 was was 2016/17 Report Report
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14 Chapter one 15
in future publications. publications. future in six five
seven Chapter Chapter Chapter be proceeded for this investment year. 103 page analysis Interconnection interconnection our presents 6 Chapter analysis results. describe We the optimum between interconnection European of levels GB and European markets and explain the theoryeconomic interconnector behind benefit to the consumer. This is an important areyou interestedif chapter in the future of interconnection. European 117 page engagement Stakeholder Chapter 7 discusses how we can work with you improve to the NOA This is a useful chapter like see to if how you’d opinion. and feedback your us give can you in whether we recommend options to to options recommend we whether in an important chapter if you are interested Investment recommendations page 83 page recommendations Investment investment our presents 5 Chapter is This 2017/18. for recommendations document in a logical document in manner
or if process and process process analysis but are described in Chapter 4 – Proposed Options. Chapter 2 – Methodology two four
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1 Chapter Chapter Chapter
covers why these other options are kept separate from our analysis. Some options are not in our NOA 1 to help you understand reach recommendations our you help we to how and conclusions. Boundary 35 descriptions page Chapter 3 describes how we divide the GB and analysis for boundaries into network 65 page options Proposed Chapter 4 introduces and describes the increase can which options reinforcement Methodology page 19 page Methodology Chapter 2 describes the NOA the economic theory behind it. This is a good overview if you are unfamiliar with NOA like understand to you’d more about how we perform the cost–benefit analysis of options. gives a description of each boundary as well as an overview of the types of generation you can find within each boundary. This is a good introduction like improve to if you’d network. GB the of understanding your Systems’ Transmission Electricity National the (NETS’s) capability. This is a good description of the types of options being proposed by the TOs. We have structured NOA the have We Navigating throughNavigating the document 1.6 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter one decide which party will deliver the project. the deliver will party which decide to process tender acompetitive through go may options some that means This by Ofgem. options against the competition criteria provided these evaluate also will we year. addition, In this to proceed recommend we options the lists recommendations 5–Investment Chapter works wider our of description aclearer has now 2–Methodology Chapter clearer, even results and analysis our to make order In evaluate the future optimum interconnection – Interconnection analysis. This chapter will 6 Chapter forms now but Interconnectors’ Onshore competition competition Onshore 3 1.7. explanation Detailed of our economic analysis 2 1.7. ‘ titled report a separate previously NOA the of part as assessment This year we have included our interconnection analysis Interconnection 1.7.1 improveand the NOA Acting we feedback, stakeholder on continue to evolve What’s new? 1.7 ofAim the report new additions for the NOA Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017
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2016/17: from an economic perspective. value delivered by proposed reinforcements the assess we how and analysis cost–benefit economical system of electricity transmission. and coordinated efficient, an of part as the development of interconnector capacity timing of any increase. capacity This facilitates ideal the and scenarios, four our of each for markets European and GB between capacity can further develop it to meet your needs. your to meet it develop further can we how know us to let hesitate don’t so NOA the improving continue can we how We always want to hear suggestions on
16 Chapter one 17 To help encourage your feedback, you you feedback, your encourage help To will see that included we’ve prompts such as this for engagement throughout the in areas highlight these and publication each section like where your views. we’d
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we’ve included in this publication and publication this in included we’ve be delightedwe’d hear to from you any by appropriate means. are We also keen to know prefer how share you’d to your views and help us develop the NOA for engagement Stakeholder – 7 Chapter more information. Stakeholder engagement and feedback questions the to limited isn’t Feedback 1.8 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter one Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 18 Chapter two Methodology Methodology two Chapter Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 20 19 Chapter two Methodology Introduction 2.1 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 It also explainsIt also how NOA NOA for chapterThis the highlights used the methodology and explains the economic theory behind our analysis. our behind analysis. explains and theory the economic ties in with the SWW process. in with ties the SWW
20 Chapter two 21
or methodology. methodology. may recommend a
. It follows the five stages of the NOA NOA a project or projects in development to boundary or capacity additional deliver alternative system benefits, as identified Statement Year in the Ten Electricity document.” equivalent We defineWe them as: “ In accordance with our licence condition, condition, licence our with accordance In Transmission Electricity National Major System reinforcements are defined in Paragraph of the NOA 21 change the to delivery of these works. If this happens, we will work with those stakeholders and keep them informed. shows theFigure steps we take 2.1 produce to the Some users’ connection agreements have have agreements connection users’ Some works. enabling their as reinforcements major This means that the NOA Report process.
. We have. We published this methodology describes how we we how describes methodology process methodology on our website below: website our on methodology NOA NOA The 2.2 NOA 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network year’s methodology on our website. It also also It website. our on methodology year’s interconnectors for methodologies the includes and SWW. As the NOA is derived from the two the (NDP), Policy Development Network methodologies are can similar. find You a copy alongside methodology NDP original our of assess Major National Electricity Transmission Transmission Electricity National Major assess System (NETS) reinforcement options meet to the requirementsthat the SO finds from its analysis of the FES the www2.nationalgrid.com > UK Sites > Industry Information (more information) > Future of Energy > Network Assessment Options www2.nationalgrid.com /WorkArea/DownloadAsset. aspx?id=8589936185 www2.nationalgrid.com /WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=34153 Chapter two Methodology are: scenarios four The analysis. economic and studies our for foundation the form and future background conditions to assess against FES the with The The Scenarios Future Energy 2.2.1 NOA process Figure 2.1 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Consumer Power. No Progression. Slow Progression. Gone Green. UK generation engagement and demand NOA Stakeholder scenarios process F Input E process for the NETS planning starts starts planning NETS the for process S
. They are a plausible range of of range aplausible are . They Future transmission and requirements Network analysis Requirements capabilities E T Y S meet requirements Network analysis Reinforcement options to Options Network OptionsAssessment(NOA) > fes.nationalgrid.com at: find can you which FES the see please created, are they FES our on information more For FES document. analysis ofoptions preferred options Selection of Economic Selection
recommendations NOA publication GB investment and how Output 2016, 2016,
22 Chapter two 23 process With this varied list of options, we move onto the fourth stage of the NOA ‘Selection’. We use our understanding of of understanding our use We ‘Selection’. constraint costs carry to out a cost–benefit analysis of all the options. This narrows the list of proposed options into a list of our the are believe we which options, preferred best ones at the time that provide the most benefit for GB consumers.You can find the full Chapter in recommended options our of list 5 – Investment recommendations. How we perform the cost–benefit analysis is described in greater detail in the following section. www.nationalgrid.com/etys
to transmission transmission to . We encourage. We a range of is the second stage in the NOA 2016, which you 2016, can find at: ETYS As well as these build options, both the opportunities propose can SO and TOs Reduced build options. build reduced for options are solutions that require very maximise of use instead and little build ways. innovative in often assets existing can findYou a full list of the options that we analysed in Chapter 4 – Proposed options. In order to create an electricity transmission transmission electricity an create to order In network fit for the future,TOs propose needs reinforcement the meet to options outlined ETYS by assets existing upgrading include that options or creating new assets in order ensure to that we have a strong selection of options from assess. to which 2.2.3 Assessment Options Network 2.2.2 Statement Year Electricity Ten 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network The process. apply We the FES system models and calculate the power flow network. transmission the across requirements do this we haveTo developed the concept of physically exist don’t Boundaries boundaries. but are insteadconceptual a split of the network into two adjacent parts. As power transfers between these areas, we can see which parts of the network are under the most stress and where network reinforcement would be most suitable. The capability of the network and its future requirements are published in ETYS Chapter two Methodology than its EISD. We need to take this into account account into this to take We EISD. need its than earlier delivered be cannot option an and (EISD) date’ service in ‘earliest the It’s called analysis. our in factor important an is delivered be can option an that year earliest The others. than with some options taking longer to implement network the to TOs upgrade the for time takes it However, time. right the at options right the in to TOs invest to the recommend must we consumer, the to benefit to maximise order In years Optimum 2.3.2 unconstrained area of the network. Balancing an in generation with energy this replace we balance, energy an to maintain order In output. their to limit area affected the within generators When we constrain the network, we ask network. the ‘constraining’ to as referred is transfer power of limiting This assets. dangerously overloading the transmission to avoid transfer power the reduce must room SO’s the control capability, boundary’s that above is boundary system a transmission locations. When the power required across demand are typically situated in different boundaries occurs because generation and network our across energy of transfer The networks. their in to TOs invest the recommend we why understand first must we To understand our investment recommendations, Theory 2.3.1 Economic analysis 2.3 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017
optimum year. optimum its in delivered to be option an to time aim we and benefit, most the realises that delivery of year optimum an has option each best value for consumers. Consequently, the achieve will right balance this Getting late. too by investing costs constraint high potentially incur nor early, too invest to unnecessarily We want don’t options. of timing optimal the we’re considering when network and constraining it. the in investing between balance best the find to order in places right the in time right the at together to upgrade the transmission networks work TOs and SO The to constrain. need the without transferred be can power more that meaning network the of capability the raise also ‘options’ and although they cost money they as investments potential to these We refer new overhead lines and underground cables. creating as such network, the in invest should process when we’re assessing whether we is factor an important in our decision-making Assessment of these future constraint costs constraint costs begin to accumulate. these then regularly amounts by large network the constraining are we if money, and costs off the network by switching generation on and
24 Chapter two 25
Scenario D 2021 Scenario C 2020 Optimum of Delivery Year the risk between recommending the TOs to proceed a critical option so it may be delivered on its EISD or delaying it so it may be delivered closer itsto optimum year. As we are only interested in making investment we options, critical for recommendations utilise ‘single year regret’ analysis. As each recommended be either can option critical ‘proceed’to there or are ‘delay’, a number of For recommend. could we action of courses region same the in options critical two example, courses different possible four produce would of action as demonstrated 2.2. in Table the option missing its optimum Because year. the decision must be made this these year, critical These ‘critical’. considered are options options are entered into our single year least regret analysis where we ultimately decide the investment recommendation for this year. Scenario B 2019
Scenario A 2019 EISD 2019
Critical Option In the above example, the earliest year that the option can be delivered The is 2019. optimum year of delivery varies across the scenarios, but for Scenarios A and B it’s option. critical a is this therefore 2019 also recommendation right the scenarios, those For would be for the proceed TOs to this option maintainto for However, its EISD of 2019. scenarios C and D the right recommendation would be not to proceed with this option and allow its EISD slip make to back To 2020. to a recommendation the to TOs, we must analyse the potential regretof making one recommendation and not the other. Example of a critical option’s optimum years of delivery Example of a critical option’s Table 2.1 Table The uncertainty of the future means that the optimum year of delivery for an option will likely not be the same for each of the energy understand must we Therefore scenarios. 2.3.3 least year Single regret analysis If an optimum option’s year of delivery is later than its EISD, then no decision on whether whether on decision no then EISD, its than proceedto with the option needs be to made ifyet. However, an optimumoption’s year is the same year as its EISD then the decision cannot be delayed any longer without risking 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter two Methodology the option brings over its lifetime can be be can lifetime its over brings option the benefit the Therefore network. to the brings it constraint costs due to the additional capability in savings to see begin will we complete, is implementation. Once the relevant project associated with their construction or acost have will options investment All Economic regret 2.3.4 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 of economic regret. economic of concept the utilise we to risk, exposure and investment of level the to balance order In Possible coursesofactionfortwocriticaloptionsinaregion Table 2.2 Example ofthecosts(investmentand savings)eachoptionprovides Table 2.3 constraint costs constraint in reduction Consequent cost Initial investment ofCourse action 4 ofCourse action 3 ofCourse action 2 ofCourse action 1 Regret benefit Gross accordingly. This means that an option that that option an that means This accordingly. recommendations for an option may adapt As our energy landscape is changing, our EISD. its maintain and year by one forward progressed be can option an so amount right the just to TOs invest to the to recommend us allows analysis regret least year Single
£70m £45m 1 Option - £30m - £75m -
Delay both Options A and B Aand Options both Delay Proceed Option B but delay Option A Proceed Option A but delay Option B B Aand Options both Proceed £0m £40m + £130m 2 Option - £90m and benefits of three example options. example three of benefits and The table below demonstrates the costs regret. of concept the explains it however year single than regret to lifetime closer is in constraint costs. The following description of implementation and the consequent savings cost the between difference the as viewed the consumer. its planned completion date remains best for that to ensure year each revaluated is project ongoing an that is analysis regret least year single the of robustness The versa. vice and year this delayed to be recommended be may year last to proceed recommended we
£15m £75m 3 Option £25m + - £50m
26 Chapter two 27
Option 3 £15m £45m £0m £45m £45m £0m £185m Option 2 £0m £185m £100m analysis shows that Option 3 minimises regret across all four scenarios, as regret will be no more than million. £45 This approach provides a more stable and robust decision against the worst regret we could potentially incur option. that selecting by uncertainties, minimises and of range the exposure significant to regret. The same option won’t always deliver the the deliver always won’t option same The same value across every scenario, so it will have more regret in some scenarios and less in others. As a result, the best option for one scenario might not be the best option for another scenario. regret results 2.3’s Table were for just one scenario.cannot We predict the future, so we analyse an regret option’s across all four credible scenarios and note However, asHowever, we face an uncertain future we must consider the regretof our investments across each of the four energy scenarios.
£10m £70m Option 1 £70m £0m £20m
Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Regret Worst regret Worst Example of least regret analysis with option 3 having the least regret Example of least regret analysis with option 3 Table 2.4 Table The preferred option is selected based upon based selected is option preferred The regret. worst smallest the has option which In the above example, each scenario has 2 Option choice. worst a and choice best a may be the best choice for Scenarios A and butD, would be a much poorer choice under either of the other two scenarios. Least regret In economic analysis, an ’regret‘ option’s is defined as the difference in benefit for that option against the benefit of the best option. Therefore the best option will have regret a of zero, and the other options will have different levels of regret depending how they compare the to best option. In table Option 2.3, 2 is the best option, so there is no regret in choosing it. If we were select to Option3 we would see a cost saving of £25 million which is almost as good, but we would regret the is which 2 Option select didn’t we as decision option the choosing Clearly, better. million £15 with least regret makes economic sense. 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter two Methodology Chapter 2 of ETYS 2of Chapter energy scenarios that we described in future the all account into year, taking next the for action of course best the on decide NOA the of analysis cost–benefit full the in factor important an are which constraints, of costs econometric analysis work. It forecasts the 2016/17 from it using for We began Consulting. Management Pöyry from BID3, tool, economic anew 2016 purchased we March In costs. these to determine (ELSI) we’ve used the Illustrator Scenario Electricity consumers of the different options. Historically, to benefits the establish and to analyse tool assessment costs aconstraint We use Economic tools 2.3.5 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 BID3 toolinputs Figure 2.2 construction cost) and uplift (boundary capability solutions Transmission Scenarios Future Energy EISD . We use this information to help us us to help information this . We use
2016. Economic analysis modelling BID3 constraint n n n Input data Forecast constraint prices. capabilities. Existing network/boundary Physical constraints.
to the minimum. flexibility this with associated cost the keeping investment decision-making, while also our in flexible to be us allow approach this respond to market or policy-driven changes, is still the best solution. So, when we strategy preferred the that sure to make year every results analysis and assumptions data, our revisit –we time over changes analysis cost–benefit our in use we information the so The future energy landscape is uncertain, configurationand benchmarking. BID3 work, our to review appointed were and Dr Iain Staffell, Imperial College London) Strathclyde of University Bell, Keith (Professor reviewers independent two and ELSI against the model has been extensively benchmarked to BID3, transition To asuccessful ensure lifetime costs with strategies transmission of Suite
28 Chapter two 29
– BID3’s other – BID3’s input data , which provides further information further information provides which , webpage. nationalgrid. com/noa Assumptions on why we selectedBID3, what we will use it for and more detail on the inputs BID3. to takes account of fuel cost forecasts, plant interconnected in prices and availabilities states. member European If you want know to more about BID3, there are a number of resources available on our website. A copy of the independent reviewers’ report is available, as well as our Long Term Modelling Constraint Network and Market Report main the at available are reports The NOA
– BID3 assesses – these were calculated calculated were these – using a separate power system analysis package. BID3 is the tool for calculating the market driven flow across the boundaries Figure 2.2 shows the various inputs to BID3. BID3. to inputs various the shows 2.2 Figure The inputs fall broadly into three categories: their and capabilities boundary Existing development future and takes capabilities as an input. The input capability in increase the includes BID3 to that the option provides, its capital cost and the EISD. Scenarios Energy Future against reinforcements network for options all Scenarios. Energy Future detailed the of each The resulting analysis takes us up 2036 to (the values from are 2037 extrapolated from 2036 forecasts so we can estimate full costs). lifetime 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter two Methodology 2009/10in prices: criteria shown below. Once again, all costs are the of all to meet needs Scotland in option An 2009/10 in prices: are costs All SWW. as considered to be below needs to meet at least one of the criteria Wales and England in option An option. an such for case needs the develop who TOs, by the led are SWW SWW. to as referred criteria shown below, then this option is the of one satisfies that infrastructure large involves it but recommended is option an If options. recommended our forward put and options, potential of benefits and costs We use the NOA the We use How the NOA 2.4 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 provision of the TO’s price control settlement. other any under recovered be cannot Costs benefits. system wider or (orboundary capability sub-boundary) The output will deliver additional cross- £100 million for SPT. and Transmission SHE for million £50 than more of costs delivery total has option The scenarios, but would require consents. most in required not is and customer, one by only supported is £100 million, than less of cost aforecast has option The in most scenarios. required not is and customer, one by only £100 million and £500 million, is supported between of cost aforecast has option The than £500 million. more of cost aforecast has option The process to look at the the at to look process connects to the SWW process to connects the SWW
DownloadAsset.aspx?id=8589936185 www2.nationalgrid.com/WorkArea/ Options Assessment >Network Energy of >Future information) (more Information >Industry Sites > UK www2.nationalgrid.com methodology: to the alink is Below needs case submissions on our website. SWW TO-led into input for process SO the We have published our methodology for funding. SWW’s the to justify analysis detailed the to pursue TO needs the sooner the is date this closer The building. to start option is needed in service, determines when the which at date the with combined This, option. the to deliver taken time the is factor important Another formula. funding SWW the trigger they whether and factors,on certain including the forecast costs depending projects SWW for work case needs the economic analysis. The TO initiates the TO with the supports SO the but projects, SWW for cases needs developing on leads TO relevant the to that note It’s important
30
Chapter two 31
The Joint Regulators Group on behalf on Group Regulators Joint The competition and economic UK’s the of discounting a recommend regulators costs all discounts that approach calculated as costs financing (including based on a weighted average cost of capital and or WACC) benefits at rate This (STPR). is known as the for used is and approach Spackman reinforcements. our all HM Treasury’s social time preference We mayWe vary the process where modelling the base network is not straightforward. case, by case assessed, are variations Such with Ofgem.
cost–benefit analysisexamines the economic benefit of a range of reinforcement options their across network base the against lifetimes. The base is usually nothing’ ‘do or minimum’ ‘do and has no associated capital costs. Constraint costs are forecast for the base and eachnetwork option across scenarios.all constraint of value present the calculate We savings compared the to base for each subtracted then are These solution. network from the present value (PV) of capital network each with associated expenditure option, giving a net present value (NPV) for each of the network options. Taking these NPVs, we use lifetime least regret analysis determineto a preferred network option and an optimal delivery The year. results changing how determine to analysed are savings constraint and costs capital project conclusions. affect the would When an option is deemed be to SWW, 2.4.1 Summary SWW of analysis economic methodology 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter two Methodology analysis for these two chapters is done in in done is chapters two these for analysis The markets. European and GB between the future optimum interconnection capacity describes analysis 6–Interconnection Chapter and consumers, GB for benefit maximum the providing on based reinforcements, SO’s recommended options for onshore Investment recommendations explains the and European interconnection. Chapter 5 – future of the electricity transmission networks NOA the In NOA between Interaction 2.5 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 , the SO sets out its vision for the the for vision its out sets SO , the results and FES and results Interconnection analysis. interconnection analysis in Chapter 6 – We’ve described the methodology for 2017/18 for assumptions ETYS credible to the contribute therefore will and 2017our FES influence will results of sets Both another. one upon dependent not are and assumptions credible from derived be can they so this to do other. It’sthe important drive not does results of set one so parallel, and NOA and analysis analysis .
32 Chapter two 33
for projects where the has TO started the Western Isles. Western Isles. Shetland Isles. Orkney NOA SWW Needs Case process, even though they boundary capability. provide won’t The following projects connect to the Scottish islands are in this category: project Connection Coast West North The is driven a customer. by We willWe include a summary of results in the
for another reason, such as links to the Scottish islands that trigger the SWW category) options that provide benefits, such as minimum, summer the over control voltage boundary no capabilitybut improvement (this is an area where we would welcome feedback) your inspection, by where, options of analysis the costs for the expected benefits would prohibitive be options that are more than twenty years in the future, referred as to long-term options. conceptual (unless they are specifically included projects with no boundary benefit While this report looks at options that could help meet major NETS reinforcement needs, include: doesn’t it 2.6.1 Excluded options 2.6 Other options 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter two Methodology and cost. Development of reinforcement in in reinforcement of Development cost. and benefit for assesses SO the which comparison, and analysis for TOs by the provided options of range awide receives SO the this, For consumers. for value best the to deliver develop their electricity transmission networks and evolve to constantly able are TOs the which through strategy along-term provides process This years. twenty next the over options for dates delivery optimum year, and investment its recommended options for the upcoming NOA the Through options conceptual Long-term 2.6.2 Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 process, the SO states states SO the process, the long-term future network. conceptualised reinforcements to support more with SO the provide also TOs the analysis, cost–benefit our in reinforcements eventual long-term these to represent order In unknown. are future the in far so reinforcements although the designs and costs for such years, twenty these after long continue will that process acontinuous be will network the
34
Chapter three 35 36
three Chapter Chapter 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Boundary descriptions Chapter three ETYS GBboundaries Figure 3.1 ETYS year’s this in description fuller You’lla NETS. find the on boundaries to the This section provides a introduction short Introduction 3.1 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 B1 B1 B3b B2 a B4 B5 B3 NW4 b Ardmor SW1 Harris SC1 NW3 To SW1 B6 B1 B8 B10 e Ireland Stornowa NW2 B7 Dunvegan 2 Broadfor To B9 y NorthernIreland B1 d NW1 B16 1 Carradal Indian Queens e B13
Pembroke Port Deani Nant Inveraray T Quoich aynuil Ann Crossai Grudie Bridg Cruachan Dunoo e Caennacro t Culligran Hunterston Auchencrosh Whistlefiel Clacha Fort Willia g Corriemoilli n B0 Hunterston Aigas Saltcoat Arecleoch Spango Dalmally Va North e Meadowhead n lley Luichart c d s Hunterston Glenluc m Kinlochleven Kilmorac Stewar Newton Maybol East Strathleven Fasnakyl e Markhill Devol Kilwinning Hadyar Mossford Moor Sloy Cassle Auchenwynd Morriso Glen Kilgallioc Ay Swansea Nort Invergarry Wylfa Inverarnan Landulph e Neilsto Erskine e Beaul r Cashli Kilmarnock t d Helensburg To k Baglan Ba wn Rannoch Alverdiscott Fort e Orrin y n Tu n Killin B1 Glenlee y Kilmarnoc Whitelee Extn h Coylto e South mmel Bridge Glendoe Augustus Busby To Lochay TRANSMISSION SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI Windyhill Whitelee New Cumnoc h Foyers Shi ngland Pentir Dingwal h y Langage Ffestiniog n Inverness n Lambhill Dinorwig Margam Strathaven 3 Kendoo Finlarig Carsfad Earlstoun Errocht Errocht Bonnybridg k Lairg Sout Kilbride East Gwynt yMo Clydes Mil Tr To Coalbur l h St. Fillans Denny Knocknagael Pyl awsfynydd Cumbernal Alness Ireland Rhyl Flats Robin Rig Stirling Easterhouse Wishaw Elvanfoo k y y n Coatbridge Bodelwydda Harestanes e Wa B7 Tu l W Newarthil Dounrea mme e n lney I&II Devonside est ofDuddon Errochty PowerStatio Aberthaw Abham Upper Boat d Bainsford r Dumfrie Linnmil Nairn t Mo g l Alpha Steel Black Law Longanne Garten Boat of Bror Dunbeat Kincardine a Grangemout ff y Bathgat n l at Black LawExtension Burbo Bank SP Livingsto Broxbur l s a Hinkley Poin Clyde (North Ormonde Cluni Exeter C Rassau Dunfemlin TRANSMISSION e Clyde (South) Ecclefecha North Hoyle h Cardif n t n Deesid East Te Burghmuir Chapelcross Cilfynyd e Gorgie lford Rd Capenhurst Currie Charleston Inverkeithin e h Thurso Barrow Mybster ) Uskmouth f Ta Blackhilloc Tr Elgin n Mossmorra Glenrothe e W Axminster . t Shrubhil Kaimes emorfa unton Whitehouse Glenniston n d estfield Imperial Dunlaw Extension Connah Park Gretna Smeaton Portobelllo Kirkby g Te Stanah Glenagne Redhouse l Legac aling LT Rocksavage Cupar L Cockenzi k Whitson s Leven yndhurst D Rainhil ’s n Bridgwate Quay Harker y Shrewsbury Heysha W Farm Seaban s Dudhope Ta ashway Crystal Ri Keith l Dudhope Penwortham Chickerell e Hawic Middleton Fallago rland Frodsham Galashiels Kintore Quernmor Carrington r South Manchester m Dunbar Milton ofCraigie Kearsle k g Hutto k Ironbridge Bishops Wo Fiddler Ferry n Arbroath Moray Firth y Iron Craigiebuckler Padiha e Wa Penn Wo Rochdale s Macduff Eccles To Strichen Ocker Hill lham Acton B1 odhill Berwick rness od Daine Rugeley Dyce Whitegat Fiddes m Mannington Bredbur Fourstones Melksham Macclesfiel s Stalybridge Bushbur Kitwel Persley 7 Stella W Cellarhea Clayhill e Willenhal Redmos Willowdal Marshall Meadows Fraserburgh Spennymoo y Feckenha Minety Oldbury Firth ofForth Stocksbridge l Bradford W Winco Bank y Sheff Neepsen Nechells St. Fergus est s est d Elland Peterhead B1 s B1 Marchwoo l Jordanthorpe d B2a e ield City Bustlehol Norton m Chesterfield r Willington Te Berkswel Hams Hall d Kirkstal Knaresboroug mpleborough B0 Pitsmoor Nursling Grangetow a Fawley d m Ferrybridge Coventry Blyth Drakelow l B2 Saltholme T W l Grange Skelto South Shields ynemout Of est Boldon Stoke Bardolph ferto Hawthorne Pi Norton Lees W Melton Bramle n n Hartmoor h est East Claydo Aldwarke Botley W on Soar Ratclif T n Thurcroft a Hartlepool Staythorpe Enderby Brinsworth h Poppleton od Point Didco Fryston Monk Lackenby Cowley Eggborough y Culham Greystones fe Marnha Hig t Thorpe ood Mars Amersham Main Osbaldwick Lovedean . Figure 3.1 t h n Drax Te h esside m Patford Thornton Bridge W Fleet est W Leighton Keadby Laleham Buzzard W Burto est Cottam Killingholm Iver Grendon eybridge n B14 Wa North Saltend Creyke Beck B5 Ealin Willesde tford Sout Mill Hill B2 Sundon Bank Humber Socon Eaton e Chessington g St Johns h W ood Wymondle Bicker Fen B6 Rye House Elstre Brimsdown Wimbledon n Saltend Sout Spaldin Nort T ottenham Hedo Humber Refinery Grimsby W City Rd B4 h e Bolney Cross New g We y n We st Ham Bridge Sutton EC3 Rowdown Beddington stermost Roug Burwell Main
h Redbridg Hurs est Major GeneratingSitesIncludingPumpedStorage Hackne Barkin Cross Wa Pelham Wa We Humber Gatewa t Rampion st ltham g lpole Thurrock System Boundarie Interconnectors 132kV Circuit 220kV Circuit 275kV Circuit 400kV Circuit 132kV Substation 275 kVSubstations 400kV Substation e Hydro Generation Connected at275kV Connected at400k Littlebrook y Inner Dowsing EC1 East Northfleet Wa Braintre h L Ti rley Singlewel ynn lbury Ninfiel Lincs l e y Kingsnorth Rayleigh Main d Necton Grain Kemsley Race Bank Coryton Tr iton Knol s s s s SC2 Nort Canterbur Kentish Flats Dungeness Cleve Hill Gunfleet SandsI&II Bramford h Dogger Bank Sellindge l s s s B1 V y Sheringham Shoa B1 Norwich Main B10 1 Dudgeon for this year’s analysis. considered have we boundaries the all shows 5 B1 Hornsea Sizewel l Thanet London 5 Scroby sands l B12 Array SC2 SC1 Greater Gabbard500M East Greater Gabbard2ndpart To B8 France B7 Anglia a W B9 EC5 B7 B16 To Netherland EC5 s 36 Chapter three 37
Boundaries Boundaries affected radial radial radial radial B0 B0 B0 B0 B0 B1a B1, B1a B1, B1a B1, B1a B1, B1
can improve boundary capability, has been provided the by two Scottish transmission a combination In Grid. National and owners reinforcement might affectother boundaries. The following boundary information, which boundary information, following The relates potential to reinforcements that
Reinforcement title Reinforcement Dounreay to Orkney, Bay of Skaill subsea link link subsea Ronaldsay South Orkney, to Bay Gills link subsea Hoy South Orkney, to Dounreay Dounreay to Orkney, Bay of Skaill and Dounreay to Orkney, South Hoy subsea link subsea Hoy South circuit reconductoring circuit Augustus Fort at Beauly to Shin to Loch Buidhe double 132kV circuit reconductoring Beauly to Fyrish 275kV double circuit reconductoring and generation Beauly to Loch Buidhe 275kV double circuit reconductoring and generationreconfiguration connection double 275kV Dounreay to Buidhe Loch and Buidhe Loch to Beauly New Beauly to Loch Buidhe 275kV double circuit Reactive compensation Tummel at Melgarve and Tummel at compensation Reactive Reactive compensation at Tummel and Melgarve and inter-bus Transformers New Beauly to Kintore 400kV double circuit New Beauly to Blackhillock 400kV double circuit connection reconfiguration connection
Unique reference Unique DSNO GSNO DHNO D2NO BLR1 FBRE BLR2 BDRE BLN2 TURC TMRC B1RC BKNO BBNO Effective reinforcement options Table 3.1 Table The following section describes the NETS in NETS the describes section following The Scotland and Northern England. The onshore owned is Scotland in network transmission Transmission SP and Transmission SHE by but is operated National by Grid as SO. 3.2.1 Introduction 3.2 North 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three Boundary descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 HPNO NOHW NOR3 NOR2 NOR1 LNRE HAEU WBQB WOSR WHTI E4DC TLNO E2DC DWNO WLTI ECU4 ECUP ECU2 RKEU NEEU BLQB Unique reference New east–west circuit between the north east and Lancashire and east north the between circuit east–west New circuit double 400kV toOsbaldwick Norton the of 55km uprate Thermal circuits of length full –reconductor circuit double 400kV toOsbaldwick Norton circuit 1400kV number toOsbaldwick 13.75km Norton of Reconductor circuit double 400kV toOsbaldwick 13.75km Norton of Reconductor circuit 400kV single toNorton Lackenby Reconductor Harker SuperGrid Transformer 6 replacement circuit toOfferton Boldon West in booster quad Install circuit toOfferton Boldon West on FACTS device Deploy Pit Hawthorn at circuit toHartlepool Boldon West of Turn-in Pit toHawthorn Peterhead from Link HVDC subsea Eastern AC reinforcement England East toNorth Torness Pit toHawthorn Torness from Link HVDC subsea Eastern reinforcement 400kV toWishaw Denny 275kV North substation toDenny in turn circuit 275kV toLongannet toLambhill Windyhill East Coast onshore 400kV reinforcement East Coast onshore 400kV incremental reinforcement East Coast onshore 275kV upgrade circuit to Kintore Rothienorman substation with reconductoring of the 275kV Rothienorman reinforcement network 275kV and 400kV east North from Knocknagael New 275kV phase shifting transformers at Blackhillock on the circuits Reinforcement title
B6, B7,B6, B7a, B8 B7 B7,B6, B7a B7 B7,B6, B7a B7 B6 B7 B6, B7 B6, B7,B6, B7a B7, B6, B5, B7a B1, B1a, B4, B2, B2a, B7,B6, B7a B7, B6, B5, B7a, B8 B6 B5, B4, B5 B1, B1a, B5 B2, B4, B1, B1a, B2, B4 B1, B1a, B5 B2, B4, B2a B2a B1 affected Boundaries 38 Chapter three 39 Boundaries Boundaries affected B7a B6, B7, B7 B6, B7 B6 B7a B7a B8 B7a, B6, B7, B8 B7a, B6, B7, and B9 B8 B7a, B6, B7, and B9 B8 B7a, B6, B7, B8 B7a, B7, B6, B7a B8, B9 B7, B8 B7a, B8 B8 B8 B8
Reinforcement title Reinforcement to 400kV New east–west circuit between the north east and Lancashire Lackenby to Thornton double circuit – uprate cable and thermal uprate Lackenby to Thornton double circuit – uprate cable section and Osbaldwick to Thornton 1 circuit thermal upgrade booster quad Drive Lister Uprate the Penwortham to Washway Farm to Kirkby 275kV double circuit reinforcement Yorkshire Central Install series reactors at Thornton Install series reactors at Thornton Reconductor Drax to Thornton double circuit Reconductor Garforth to Keadby Tee leg of the CreykeBeck to Keadby Drax to Eggborough 1 circuit – reconductor and replace cable section Generator circuit breaker replacement to allow Thornton to run two-way split West Burton to High Marnham circuit – complete gantry works to match Reconductor theKeadby to Cottam 400kV circuits scheme de-load fast Link HVDC Western Treuddyn to Connah’s Tee Quay reconductoring Treuddyn to Legacy Tee thermal upgrade overhead line sections line overhead sections reconductor Circuit Killingholme to rating circuit Unique reference Unique NPNO LTR1 LTR2 OTHW LDQB MRUP OENO THS1 THS2 TDRE GKRE DERE DREU WHRE KCRE WEOS TCRE TLH1 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Note that the unique reference code applies only to this year’s document. Chapter three The 275kV overhead line takes a direct route route adirect takes line 275kV overhead The Beauly. from north extending lines overhead double circuit and 132kV double circuit 275kV existing the across cuts boundary The sparse. relatively is transmission infrastructure north of Beauly Sutherland and Orkney. The existing Beauly, Highland, comprising north Caithness, of north area the separates B0 Boundary Geographic representationofboundaryB0 Figure B0.1 Transmission SHE North –Upper B0 Boundary 3.2.2 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Ardmor Harris e
Stornoway Dunvegan Deanie Grudie Bridge Culligran Corriemoillie B0 Aigas Luichart Kilmorack Fasnakyl Mossford Cassley Beaul e Orrin y Shi Dingwall
n Inverness Lairg Knocknagael Alness Dounreay Nairn high transfers across the B0 boundary. B0 the across transfers high Thurso. High renewables output causes from link subsea a33kV via connected is Orkney Thurso. and Mybster Dunbeath, grid supply points at Alness, Shin, Brora, along the east coast and the serves local route alonger takes line 132kV overhead the while to Dounreay, Beauly from north Bror Dunbeat a h Thurso Mybster Blackhillock Elgin Keith Kintor e Moray Firth Macduf Strichen Dyce f Persley Fraserburgh St. Fergus Peterhead B0
40 Chapter three 41 e Peterhead St. Fergus Firth of Forth Fraserburgh Redmoss Willowdal Clayhills Persley f Fiddes Dyce e oodhill Strichen Macduf W Craigiebuckler Arbroath B1 e Milton of Craigi Kintor rland Dudhope Keith Ta Dudhope g yndhurst Leven L Cupar ealin Glenagnes T n estfield W Glenrothes n Elgi Blackhillock Charleston e Burghmuir C Cluni n Boat of Garte l Nairn Errochty Power Statio Devonside mme Tu Alness Knocknagael St. Fillans to Blackhillock, the 275/132kV interface at Keith Keith at interface 275/132kV the Blackhillock, to south running circuit double 275/400kV the and output renewables High Augustus. Fort from causes high transfers across this boundary. Errochty Errochty s Finlarig Inverness Dingwall Foyer SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI TRANSMISSION Lochay Augustus Glendoe mmel Bridge y Killin
Tu d Orrin e Fort Rannoch Cashlie Beaul Inverarnan Invergarry Glen Morrison
Sloy Mossfor Fasnakyl Kilmorack Kinlochleven
m
Luichart n Dalmally Aigas Corriemoillie Fort Willia Clachan Culligra Caennacroc Cruachan Grudie Bridge aynuilt Quoich T Inveraray Nant Deanie Broadford Dunvegan e
Ardmor B1 from the southern and eastern regions. regions. eastern and southern the from double 275kV the boundary crosses The Knocknagael from eastwards running circuit Boundary B1 runs from the Moray coast coast Moray the from runs Boundary B1 near Macduff the to west coast near Oban, separating the North West of Scotland Figure B1.1 3.2.3 Boundary – North SHE Transmission B1 West of boundary B1 Geographic representation 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three B1a to Peterhead and Kintore and the 275/400kV 275/400kV the and Kintore and to Peterhead double circuit running eastwards from Keith 275kV another and route adirect on to Kintore circuit running eastwards from Blackhillock The crosses boundary the 275kV double from the southern and eastern regions. Scotland of West North the separating Oban, near coast west to the Macduff near B1aBoundary runs from the Moray coast Geographic representationofboundaryB1a Figure B1a.1 B1aBoundary West 1a –North Transmission SHE 3.2.4 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Ardmor
e Dunvegan Broadfor d Deani Nant Inveraray T Quoich aynuilt Grudie Bridge Cruachan e Caennacroc Culligra Clachan Fort William Corriemoillie Aigas Dalmally n
Luichart
Kinlochleven Kilmorack Fasnakyl
Mossfor Sloy Morrison Glen Invergarry Inverarnan Beaul
Cashlie Rannoch Fort e Orrin d Tu Killin y mmel Bridge Glendoe Augustus Lochay TRANSMISSION SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI Foyers Dingwal Inverness Finlarig Errocht Errocht for transmission reinforcement across B1a. requirement B1a B1 the and drive boundaries and Kintore. Additional generation between the critical circuits between Blackhillock consider to 2016, specifically November in ETYS in B1a introduced was high transfers across this boundary. Boundary Augustus. High renewables output causes double circuit running south from Fort l St. Fillans Knocknagael Alness y y Tu mme Devonside Errochty PowerStatio Nairn l Garte Boat of n Cluni C Burghmuir e Charleston Blackhillock Elgin n Glenrothes W estfield T Glenagnes ealing Cupar L Leven yndhurst Dudhope Ta Keith Dudhope rland Kintore Milton ofCraigi Arbroat Craigiebuckler W Macduf Strichen 2016, published oodhill h e Dyce Fiddes B1a f Persley Clayhills Redmoss Willowdal Fraserburgh Firth ofForth St. Fergus Peterhead e
42 Chapter three 43 B2
e Firth of Forth Marshall Meadows Willowdal Redmoss Clayhills Persley Fiddes e h rness Berwick oodhill To Eccles W Craigiebuckler Arbroat e g Milton of Craigi Dunbar Kintor rland Fallago Dudhope Crystal Ri Ta Dudhope g n D yndhurst Leven L Cockenzie Cupar LT Redhouse ealin Glenagnes T Portobelllo Smeaton r Dunlaw Extension estfield Glenniston Whitehouse Kaimes Shrubhill . W Glenrothes Mossmorra n e Inverkeithing Charleston Currie lford Rd Gorgie e Burghmui Te n TRANSMISSION Dunfemlin C Cluni n Broxbur Livingston SP Black Law Extension Bathgate Grangemouth Kincardine Boat of Garte Black Law Longannet l Linnmill Bainsford d circuit overhead line running south from Fort Augustus. As a result it crosses all the main the from routes north–south transmission North of Scotland. High renewables output causes high transfers across this boundary. Errochty Power Statio Devonside mme Newarthill Tu Coatbridge y y Wishaw Easterhouse Stirling Cumbernal Denny St. Fillans h Clydes Mill East Kilbride Sout Bonnybridge Errocht Errocht Finlarig Strathaven Lambhill Foyers Whitelee Windyhill TRANSMISSION SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI Lochay Busby Augustus Glendoe mmel Bridge Whitelee Extn Killin Tu n Fort Rannoch wn To Helensburgh Kilmarnock Cashlie Erskine Neilsto Inverarnan Invergarry Glen Morrison Sloy Moor Kilwinning Devol Strathleven East Kinlochleven Hunterston lley Meadowhead North Va Dalmally Spango Saltcoats Hunterston Fort William Whistlefield Clachan Hunterston Caennacroc Dunoon Cruachan Crossaig Ann aynuilt Quoich T Inveraray Nant Port d Broadfor
B2 Boundary B2 cuts across the Scottish between coast east the from mainland Aberdeen and Dundee nearto Oban on the west coast. The boundary cuts across the two double275kV circuits single and a 132kV circuit in the east as well as the double 275/400kV Figure B2.1 3.2.5 Boundary – North B2 SHE South Transmission to of boundary B2 Geographic representation 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three towards Rothienorman. Peterhead power power Peterhead Rothienorman. towards towards Rothienorman and Blackhillock Kintore Persley, via to Kintore Peterhead from lines overhead circuit 275kV double the across cuts boundary The converge. Kintore and Peterhead Keith, from lines overhead the where Rothienorman and Deer New Peterhead, B2aBoundary is a enclosing local boundary Geographic andsingle-linerepresentationofboundaryB2a Figure B2a.1 B2a –Peterhead Boundary 3.2.6 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Keith Kintore Moray Firth W Macduf Strichen oodhill Dyce f
Persley Willowdal Fraserburgh B2 St. Fergus Peterhead e a B2 a KI NT OR E FETTERESSO network in this area. this in network and other generation connected to the 132kV this to accommodate 275kV circuits existing the on capacity limited is There area. this in Interconnector are contracted to connect windfarm and theOffshore Connect North future developments such as Moray addition, In area. this in connected is station TA RL TEAL AN D IN PER G SL EY CR FI BR DDE AI EC PE GI HI S TE EB NG RH UC RI EAD KL D ER ST MOBIL . FERGUS GRANGE PETERHEAD ST . FERGUSGAS AR STRICHEN BR MI OA LT FRASERBURG ON TH OF CR AI H GI
E B2a B2a 44 Chapter three t 45 B4 h n Hartmoor Hawthorne Pi ferto est Boldon Of ynemout South Shields W T Blyth est Firth of Forth Marshall Meadows Stella W Fourstones e h rness Berwick To Eccles Arbroat ss g Milton of Craigi Dunbar GalashielGalashiel Fallago Hawick Dudhope Crystal Ri Dudhope Harker g n D yndhurst Leven Cockenzie L Cupar LT Redhouse ealin Glenagnes T Portobelllo Smeaton Gretna r Dunlaw Extension estfield Glenniston Whitehouse Kaimes Shrubhill . W Glenrothes Mossmorra ) e Inverkeithing Charleston Currie lford Rd Gorgie e Chapelcross Burghmui Te n Ecclefechan Clyde (South) TRANSMISSION Dunfemlin C Cluni Clyde (North s Broxbur Livingston SP Black Law Extension at Bathgate ff Grangemouth Kincardine Longannet Black Law Mo 220kV cables from Crossaig Hunterston, to line overhead circuit double 275/400kV the into Denny North interface andthe 275/132kV at Inverarnan. High renewables output causes high transfers across this boundary. Linnmill Dumfrie Bainsford d Devonside n Newarthill Harestanes Coatbridge Elvanfoot Wishaw Easterhouse Stirling Cumbernal Denny St. Fillans h Coalbur
Clydes Mill East Kilbride Sout Bonnybridge Earlstoun Carsfad Finlarig Kendoon Strathaven Lambhill n h ongland New Cumnock Whitelee Windyhill SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI TRANSMISSION Lochay T Busby mmel Bridge Sout Coylto Whitelee Extn Kilmarnock Glenlee Killin Tu n Rannoch wn To Helensburgh d Kilmarnock Cashlie r Erskine Neilsto e Inverarnan Ay Kilgallioch Auchenwynd Sloy Moor Hadyar Kilwinning Devol Markhill Strathleven East Maybol Newton Stewart Hunterston Glenluce lley Meadowhead North Va Dalmally Spango Arecleoch Saltcoats Hunterston Whistlefield Clachan Auchencrosh Hunterston Dunoon Cruachan Crossaig Ann aynuilt T Inveraray Nant Port Carradale Northern Ireland To
B4 of Tay in the eastof Tay near to the head of Loch Long in the west. The boundary is crossed 275kV by double circuits Kincardine to and Westfield in the east and double two 132kV circuits from Sloy Windyhill to in the west, as well as the Boundary B4 separates the transmission transmission the Boundary separates B4 network at the SP Transmission and SHE Transmission interface running from the Firth Figure B4.1 3.2.7 SP Transmission to Boundary B4– SHE Transmission of boundary B4 Geographic representation 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three between B4 and B5. and B4 between located are substations 275kV Westfield and Windyhill, Lambhill, Bonnybridge, Mossmorran from served groups demand the with together Cruachan, at station storage pumped The east. the in Forth of Firth to the west the in Clyde of Firth the from runs and system Transmission SP to the internal is B5 Boundary Geographic representationofboundaryB5 Figure B5.1 to Transmission South SP –North B5 Boundary 3.2.8 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 B5
To NorthernIreland Carradale Port Nant Inveraray T aynuilt Ann Crossaig Cruachan Dunoon Hunterston Auchencrosh Clachan Whistlefield Hunterston Saltcoats Arecleoch Spango Dalmally Va North Meadowhead lley Hunterston Glenluce Stewar Newton Maybol East Strathleven Markhill Devol Kilwinning Hadyar Moor Sloy Auchenwynd Kilgallioch Ay Inverarnan e Neilston Erskine r Cashlie Kilmarnock t d Helensburgh To wn Rannoch Tu Killin Glenlee Kilmarnock Whitelee Extn Coylto Sout mmel Bridge Busby T Lochay TRANSMISSION SCOTTISH HYDRO-ELECTRI Windyhill Whitelee New Cumnock ongland h n Lambhill Strathaven Kendoon Finlarig Carsfad Earlstoun Bonnybridge Sout Kilbride East Clydes Mill Coalbur h St. Fillans Denny Cumbernald Stirling Easterhouse Wishaw Elvanfoot Coatbridge Harestanes Newarthill n Devonside Bainsfor Dumfries Linnmill Mo Black Law Longannet Kincardine Grangemout ff Bathgat d at Black LawExtension Hunterston also cross the boundary. The 220kV cables between Crossaig and and Longannet 275kV substations in the east. Kincardine of each from one and west, the in routes: one from Windyhill 275kV substation three comprises boundary 275kV double circuit The existing transmission network across the SP Livingston Broxbur Clyde (North) Cluni C Dunfemlin TRANSMISSION e Clyde (South) Ecclefechan n Te Burghmuir Chapelcross e Gorgie lford Rd Curri Charleston Inverkeithin e h e Mossmorran Glenrothes W . Shrubhill Kaimes Whitehouse Glenniston estfield Dunlaw Extension Gretna Smeaton Portobelllo g T Glenagnes ealing Redhouse LT Cupar Cockenzi L Leven yndhurst D Harker Dudhope Crystal Ri Dudhope e Hawick Fallago Galashiel Dunbar Milton ofCraigie g s Arbroat Eccles To Berwick rness h Fourstones Stella W Marshall Meadows Firth ofForth est Blyth T W South Shields ynemouth Of est Boldon ferto Hawthorne Pi Hartmoor n t B5 46 Chapter three 47 B6 eesside T Greystones Lackenby od Point Hartlepool n T Hartmoor Hawthorne Pit ferto est Boldon Of ynemouth South Shields W T Saltholme Blyth Grangetown n Norto est Spennymoor Marshall Meadows Stella W Fourstones rness Berwick To Eccles ss g GalashielGalashiel Fallago Hawick Crystal Ri Harker D LT significantly more installed generation capacity farms. wind from increasingly demand, than Peak power flow requirements are typically from north south to at times of high renewable north to south large while output generation power flows can occur during periods of low output. generation renewable Portobelllo Smeaton Gretna Dunlaw Extension Whitehouse Kaimes ) Currie Gorgie Chapelcross n Ecclefechan Clyde (South) TRANSMISSION Clyde (North Broxbur Livingston SP Black Law Extension at d Bathgate ff Black Law Mo Linnmill Dumfries Bainsfor n Newarthill Harestanes Coatbridge Elvanfoot Wishaw Easterhouse Robin Rigg Cumbernald h Coalbur Clydes Mill East Kilbride Sout Earlstoun Carsfad Kendoon Strathaven Lambhill n h ongland New Cumnock Whitelee Windyhill T Busby Sout Coylto Whitelee Extn Kilmarnock Glenlee Wigtown Bay wn To d Kilmarnock r Erskine Neilston e Ay Kilgallioch Auchenwynd Moor Hadyar Kilwinning Devol Markhill Strathleven East Maybol Newton Stewart Glenluce Hunterston s Meadowhead North Arecleoch Saltcoat Hunterston g Auchencrosh Hunterston Crossai e Carradal
Northern Ireland To B6 Boundary B6 separates the SP Transmission Transmission Electricity Grid National the and (NGET) systems. The existing transmission boundary primarily the across network consists of two double-circuit 400kV routes. There are also some limited capacity 132kV circuits across the boundary. The key 400kV routes are from Gretna Harker to and from Eccles Blyth/Stella to West. Scotland contains Figure B6.1 3.2.9 NGET to Boundary B6 – SP Transmission of boundary B6 Geographic representation 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three Net generation output from between the west. the in one and east the in two circuits: double 400kV by three characterised is It Teesside, cutting across Cumberland. B7Boundary bisects England south of Geographic representationofboundaryB7 Figure B7.1 B7 North –Upper Boundary 3.2.10 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 To B7 Ireland
Auchencrosh Arecleoch Glenluce Stewart Newton Kilgallioch T ongland Earlstoun To Ireland Robin Rigg Wa W lney I&II est ofDuddon Dumfrie Burbo Bank s Ormonde Ecclefechan Chapelcross Barrow Stanah Harker Heysham W Farm ashway
Penwortham Middleton Quernmor Kearsley Hutto
n Padiham e Rochdale Whitegate Fourstones Stella W Spennymoor Bradford W est est Elland Norto driven by renewables output in Scotland. in output by renewables driven to be B7 tend across exports to south north so small, is B7 boundaries and B6 Te Kirkstal Knaresborough mpleborough n Grangetown Ferrybridge l Saltholme T W Grange Skelto South Shields ynemout Of est Boldon ferto Hawthorne Pit n Hartmoor T n Hartlepool h Poppleton od Point Fryston Monk Lackenby Eggborough Greystones Thorpe Mars Osbaldwick Drax T eesside h Thornton Keadby Killingholme North Saltend Creyke Beck Saltend Sout Hedon Humber Refiner W estermost Rough h Humber Gatewa y y T riton Knol l
Hornsea
B7 48 Chapter three a 49 B7
Hornsea Dudgeon Sheringham Shoal l riton Knol T Race Bank Lincs ynn L Inner Dowsing y Humber Gateway est h estermost Rough W Grimsby W Humber Refiner Hedon Saltend Sout Bicker Fen h Humber Bank Sout Creyke Beck Saltend North m n Killingholme Cotta est Burto W Keadby Thornton h Drax Osbaldwick Mars Thorpe High Marnham Eggborough n Lackenby Monk Fryston Poppleton Brinsworth Staythorpe Thurcroft Aldwarke est Melto W Norton Lees Stoke Bardolph Skelton Grange l Ferrybridge Grangetown Pitsmoor B7a is a modifiedB7a versionB7 of in which the west side is brought south below to Penwortham. This move puts the group of generation around Heysham north of the of monitoring closer boundary allows and the circuit heading south from Penwortham. mpleborough Knaresborough Kirkstal Te Chesterfield field City Jordanthorpe Elland est Neepsend Shef Winco Bank W Bradford Stocksbridge y Cellarhead Stalybridge Macclesfield Bredbur Whitegate Daines s Rochdale e Padiham n Ferry
Fiddler Hutto
Kearsley South Manchester Carrington Quernmor Frodsham Middleton Penwortham ashway Farm W Heysham Quay Rainhill Rocksavage Legacy Stanah Kirkby Connah’s Barrow Capenhurst Deeside North Hoyle Ormonde Burbo Bank a est of Duddon lney I & II W Wa Bodelwyddan Rhyl Flats Ireland g To B7 Gwynt y Mor Dinorwig Ffestinio Pentir Wylfa
Ireland To Boundary B7a bisects England south of of south England bisects Boundary B7a Teesside, across Lancashire and into the Mersey Ring area. It is characterised by three 400kV double circuits (two in the east, one in the west) and one circuit. 275kV Figure B7a.1 of boundary B7a Geographic representation 3.2.11 – Upper North Boundary B7a 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three consisting of four 400kV circuits that export export that circuits 400kV four of consisting EC1Boundary is an enclosed local boundary Geographic andsingle-linerepresentationofboundaryEC1 Figure EC1.1 EC1 –Humber Boundary 3.2.12 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Eggborough Thorpe Mars Drax h Keadby W Burto est Cotta Killingholme
n m North Saltend Sout Bank Humber h Saltend Sout Hedon Humber Refiner Grimsby W h est Humber Gatewa y EC1 y encloses an area of high generation. high of area an encloses boundary The substation. to Keadby west power EC1 50 Chapter three 51 Anglia B8 East l Scroby sands Sizewel Dudgeon Norwich Main Sheringham Shoal l Bramford riton Knol T Race Bank Necton Lincs ynn L e Inner Dowsing lpol y Humber Gateway Wa est h Burwell Main Sutton Bridge Grimsby W Humber Refiner Hedon North Spalding Saltend Sout Bicker Fen h Eaton Socon Humber Bank Sout m n Grendon Killingholme Cotta est Burto W Keadby h Drax t Mars Thorpe High Marnham fe Eggborough n Enderby Brinsworth Staythorpe Thurcrof Ratclif on Soar Aldwarke est Melto W Norton Lees crosses four major 400kV double circuits, with with circuits, double 400kV major four crosses two of these passing through the East Midlands and the other two passing through the West to connection 275kV limited a and Midlands, Yorkshire. South Stoke Bardolph l Drakelow Coventry Ferrybridge m Pitsmoor mpleborough Hams Hal Berkswell Te Willington Chesterfield Bustlehol field City y Jordanthorpe l Elland Nechells Neepsend Shef y Winco Bank Stocksbridge Oldbur Feckenham y Willenhal Cellarhead Kitwell Bushbur Stalybridge Macclesfield e Bredbur Whitegate Rugeley Daines ood Ocker Hill Rochdal Penn Ferry Fiddlers Bishops W Ironbridge Kearsley South Manchester Carrington Frodsham Penwortham ashway Farm W Shrewsbury Quay Rainhill Rocksavage Legacy Kirkby Connah’s Capenhurst Deeside North Hoyle Burbo Bank r Bodelwyddan Rhyl Flats Ireland g awsfynydd To Tr Gwynt y Mo Dinorwig Ffestinio Pentir Wylfa
Ireland To B8 The North Midlands to boundary B8 is one of the wider boundaries that intersects the centre of Great Britain, separating the northern Northern Scotland, including zones generation England and North Wales, from the Midlands and southern demand centres. The boundary Figure B8.1 3.2.13 Boundary B8North – Midlands to of boundary B8 Geographic representation 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Chapter three Midlands from the southern demand centres. demand southern the from Midlands the generation northern zones and the The Midlands to B9 South separates boundary Geographic representationofboundaryB9 Figure B9.1 –Midlands B9 to South Boundary 3.2.14 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 To Ireland B9
Wylfa Pentir Ffestinio Dinorwi Gwynt yMor Tr To awsfynydd g Ireland Rhyl Flats g Bodelwyddan Burbo Bank North Hoyle Deeside Capenhurst Connah’s Kirkby Legacy Rocksavage Rainhill Quay Shrewsbury W Farm ashway Penwortham Frodsham Carrington South Manchester Kearsley Ironbridge Fiddlers Bishops W Ferry Penn Rochdale Ocker Hill Daines Rugeley ood Whitegate Bredbur Macclesfield Stalybridge Bushbur Kitwell Cellarhead Willenhall y Feckenham Oldbur Stocksbridge Winco Bank y Shef Neepsend Nechells Elland Jordanthorpe y field City Bustlehol Chesterfield Willington Te Berkswel Hams Hal mpleborough Pitsmoor m Ferrybridge Coventry Drakelow l l Stoke Bardolph Norton Lees W including London. hubs, demand southern to the distance a long over north the from power transporting circuits, double 400kV major five crosses boundary The Melto est Aldwarke on Soar Ratclif Thurcroft Staythorpe Brinsworth Enderby n Eggborough fe Marnham High Thorpe Mars Drax h Keadby W Burto est Cotta Killingholme Grendon n m Sout Bank Humber Socon Eaton h Bicker Fen Saltend Sout Spalding North Hedon Humber Refiner Grimsby W Bridge Sutton Burwell Main h est Wa Humber Gateway y lpol Inner Dowsing e L ynn Lincs Necton Race Bank T riton Knol Bramford l Sheringham Shoal Norwich Main Dudgeon Sizewel Scroby sands l East Anglia B9 52 Chapter three 53
Boundaries Boundaries affected EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 EC5 considered local, based on the generation generation the on based local, considered connected. currently demand and
Reinforcement title Reinforcement 225MVAr MSCs at Burwell Main Reconductor remainder of Bramford to Braintree to Rayleigh route circuit double Norwich to Bramford Reconductor A new 400kV double circuit between Bramford and Twinstead South east to East Anglia HVDC link Reconductor remainder of Coryton South to Tilbury circuit Reconductor remainder of Rayleigh to Tilbury circuit Main Rayleigh to Braintree to Bramford second formed newly Reconductor circuit (following Bramford to Twinstead new double circuit) (following circuit Pelham to Bramford second formed newly Reconductor Bramford to Twinstead new double circuit) Uprate non-conductor components of Bramford to Pelham double circuit(following Bramford to Twinstead new double circuit) Braintree to Bramford formed newly of components non-conductor Uprate double new Twinstead to Bramford (following circuit double Main Rayleigh to Main Rayleigh at circuit)
Unique reference Unique BMMS BRRE NBRE BTNO SGDC CTRE RTRE RBRE PRRE BPEU RMEU Table 3.2 Table Effective reinforcement options The East region includes the counties counties the includes region East The network in the area. This boundary is 3.3.1 Introduction of Norfolk and Suffolk. The transmission transmission The Suffolk. and Norfolk of transmission the covers boundary EC5 3.3 East 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Note that the unique reference code applies only to this year’s document. Chapter three the east. to directly lies that zone 3offshore Round wind projects, including the large East Anglia offshore of connection the for attractive are Anglia East around waters and coastline The towards London. power export mainly that circuits 400kV four crosses It Bramford. and Sizewell Norwich, at most of East Anglia with 400kV substations EC5Boundary is a enclosing local boundary Geographic andsingle-linerepresentationofboundaryEC5 Figure EC5.1 EC5 Anglia –East Boundary 3.3.2 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 Littlebrook Inner Dowsing Eas Northfleet Wa Braintre t L Ti rle Singlewel ynn lbury y Lincs l e Kingsnorth Rayleigh Main Necton Grain Kemsley Race Bank Coryton North Canterbury Kentish Flats Cleve Hill Gunfleet SandsI&II Bramford Sheringham Shoal Norwich Main Dudgeon
Sizewel Thanet London Scroby sands l Array Greater Gabbard500M East Greater Gabbard2ndpart Anglia W EC5 To Netherlands EC5
nuclear generation development. new for selected sites approved the of one is Sizewell at site generation nuclear existing The EC5 54 Chapter three 55 Boundaries Boundaries affected SC1 SC2, B15 SC1, SC2 SC1, SC2 SC2 SC1, SC2 SC1, SC1 SC1, B15 SC1, B13 SC1 SC1 B14e B14e B14e Europe is present on the south coast and influences power flows in the region by being able import to and export power with Europe. boundaries B13, includes region South The and SC1 SC2. B14,
Reinforcement title Reinforcement Bramley to Fleet circuits thermal uprating compensation reactive coast East South Bolney and Ninfield additional reactive compensation scheme switching protective compensation Reactive Lovedean to Ninfield thermal uprate coast south the and London South between route transmission 400kV New (there are three alternative designs for this option) Fleet to Lovedean reconductoring Kemsley to Littlebrook circuits uprating circuit double new Seabank to Point Hinkley Reconductor Hinkley Point to Taunton double circuit Alverdiscott to Taunton double circuit thermal uprating turn-in Wymondley boosters quad Wymondley diversion Ealing cable 275kV Wimbledon to Willesden
Unique reference Unique BFHW SCRC BNRC SEEU LNHW SCN1/SCN2/SCN3 FLRE KLRE HSNO THRE ATHW WYTI WYQB WEC1 Effective reinforcement options Table 3.3 Table The South region stretches from London London from stretches region South The across Devon to and Cornwall. It has a high concentrationof power demand and found demand the of much with generation, Thames the in generation and London in continental to Interconnection Estuary. 3.4.1 Introduction 3.4 South 2017 – January 2016/17 Assessment Options Network Note that the unique reference code applies only to this year’s document. Chapter three entering from the north can be heavily heavily be can north the from entering a small amount of generation. The circuits characterised by high local demand and B14Boundary encloses London and is Geographic andsingle-linerepresentationofboundaryB14 Figure B14.1 B14Boundary –London 3.4.2 descriptions Boundary Network OptionsAssessment2016/17 –January2017 W Fleet est W Leighton Laleham Buzzard Iver eybridge B14 Wa Ealin Willesden tford
Mill Hill Sundon Chessington g St Johns W Wy ood Rye House Elstree Brimsdown Wimbledon mondley To ttenham City Rd Cross Ne West Ham w Rowdown Beddington Redbridg Hurs Hackney Barking Cross Wa Pelham West t ltham Thurrock e Littlebrook East Northfleet Wa Braintre T rle Singlewel
ilbury y
l e to the continent. the European interconnectors export when stressed further are circuits The loaded during winter peak conditions. B14/B14e