The 2019 Elections:
Initial analysis – final unofficial results
Dr. Ofer Kenig Election Results The Party Map following the 2019 elections
Yisrael Beitenu 5
Hadash- Ta’al 6
Blue and Union Meretz Labor Likud of 4 6 White Right Ra’am 35 5 -Balad 35 4
Kulanu Shas 4 8 UTJ 8 Changing Parties, Stable Blocs
Arabs Labor Kadima Likud Yisrael Beitenu Shas
2009 3 4 4 3 13 28 27 15 5 11 3 4
Jewish Meretz Hatnua Yesh Atid UTJ Home
2013 3 4 4 6 15 6 2 19 31 7 11 12
Zionist Union Kulanu
2015 13 5 24 11 10 30 6 6 7 8
Union Blue and White of Right
2019 4 6 4 6 35 4 35 5 8 8 5 Fragmented Knesset: The Effective Number of Parties 10 8.69 9 7.84 8 7.29 6.94 7 6 6.77 6 5.61 5.35 6.17 4.71 5 4.37 4.39 5.24 4 3.35 3 3.13 2
The effective number of parties is an index that reflects the fragmentation level in parliament. It takes into account not only the number of parties but also their proportional size. Parliamentary Fragmentation
Effective Number of Parties in the Last Elections
8.1 7.8
5.6 5.8 5.8 5.2 4.9 5 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.3 3.6 3.1 3.2 2.8 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 Voter Turnout and the Threshold Effect Voter Turnout in Israel 90
85
80 78.7 72.3 75
70 67.8 67.8 68.5 65 64.8 60 63.5
55
50 How many lists have “made it”?
29 16 19 21 20 21 11 12 14 12 9 15 15 9 2 6 4 3 11 9 3
15 13 13 13 15 15 15 13 12 12 12 11 10 10 10 11 12 12 12 10 11
got in stayed out Threshold and Wasted Votes
Election Number of lists Electoral Number of Share of Year that competed Threshold wasted wasted votes *votes 1984 26 1% 58,978 2.8% 1988 27 1% 55,505 2.4% 1992 25 1.5% 130,989 5.0% 1996 20 1.5% 78,550 2.6% 1999 31 1.5% 197,093 6.0% 2003 27 1.5% 131,740 4.2% 2006 31 2% 182,688 5.8% 2009 33 2% 103,904 3.1% 2013 32 2% 268,795 7.1% 2015 25 3.25% 189,517 4.5% 2019 40 3.25% 366,016 8.5%
* Wasted votes are the votes that were casted in favor of lists that did not pass the threshold. Composition of the New Knesset New MKs
Blue & White 24 Union of Right and Ra’am- Likud Balad 11 3 each New 49 MKs
Labor, UTJ Shas and and Yisrael Hadash-Ta’al Beitenu 2 1 each each
Former MKs who did not serve in the last Knesset were not considered as new. ”Incumbent, Newcomers and “Comebackers
35 30 11 25 24 20 15 10 1 2 1 5 2 2 3 3 0
incumbents comebackers new Turnover of MKs
120
31 100 36 39 38 37 37 38 39 48 49 8 80 6 4 1 3 3 2 5 3 2 60
40 78 77 81 80 80 80 81 76 69 69
20
0 1988 1992 1996 1999 2003 2006 2009 2013 2015 2019 incumbents comebackers new Women MKs – stability
30 29 29 27 25 21 20 18 17 15 14 12 11 11 10 10 10 11 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 5
0
* Figures show number of women elected to each Knesset following general elections. They don’t include changes occurring during parliamentary term. In the last Knesset, due to resignations, number of women MKs reached a high of 35. Gender breakdown by parliamentary group
35 30 10 10 25 20 15
10 0 0 2 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 0
men women Origin
Continent of birth Israel vs. Abroad (excluding Israel-born)
3 22 10 8 1 98
Africa America Europe Asia Israeli-born born abroad Non-Jew MKs
2013 2015 2019 Ra’am-Ta’al 4 - - Hadash 3 - - Balad 3 - - Joint List - 13 - Hadash-Ta’al - - 5 Ra’am-Balad - - 4 Zionist Union - 1 - Likud Beitenu 1 - - Likud - 1 1 Yisrael Beitenu - 1 - Meretz 1 1 1 Blue and White - - 1 total 12 17 12