Philadelphia Phillies

Sixto Sanchez RHP OFP: 70 Likely: 60 ETA: 2021 1 Born: 07/29/98 Age: 19 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'0" Weight: 185 Origin: International Free Agent, 2015 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 DPH RK 16 1 2 0 11 2 25² 32 0 2.1 6.3 18 48% .340 1.48 4.56 3.96 0.5 77 2016 PHL RK 17 5 0 0 11 11 54 33 0 1.3 7.3 44 57% .236 0.76 0.50 3.30 1.5 97 2017 LWD A 18 5 3 0 13 13 67¹ 46 1 1.2 8.6 64 49% .251 0.82 2.41 2.10 2.5 81 2017 CLR A+ 18 0 4 0 5 5 27² 27 1 2.9 6.5 20 42% .295 1.30 4.55 4.66 0.2 92 2018 PHI MLB 19 3 5 0 19 12 68¹ 76 18 3.7 8.6 65 46% .314 1.52 6.04 6.75 -1.0 95 2019 PHI MLB 20 6 10 0 31 23 155 159 39 3.1 8.6 148 46% .306 1.37 5.80 6.48 -1.3 95 Breakout: 0% Improve: 0% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 0% MLB: 0% Comparables: Vicente Campos, Noah Syndergaard, Manny Banuelos

The Good: We here at the Baseball Prospectus prospect team try to avoid needless hyperbole, so please read this next sentence in your head with maximum gravitas—perhaps with Walter Cronkite’s gravely serious baritone intonation: Sixto Sanchez has seven potential average-or-better pitches. This requires splitting the fastball out into three distinct pitches—and they sure work like that at times; there are also two different changes (he’s unlikely to throw both in the majors), and he’s just fooling around with a slider right now. But this is as deep an arsenal as there is in the minors, and hoo-boy, is it good. Sanchez’s four-seam fastball can touch triple digits when he feels like it, and he complements it with a mid-90s variation with late cut that bores into lefties hands and a two-seamer that touches 99 with late sink and run. The split-change variation flashes plus-plus, and his curve might get there as well. He can manipulate the shape and velocity of the breaker much as he does the fastball. Although it’s unclear what the final-major league arsenal will look like at this point—as he was throwing the kitchen sink for much of the season—Sanchez has plenty of potential plus options to choose from. Despite his size, the velocity comes easy. He’s a premium athlete on the mound, and he has a precocious feel for pitching and sequencing. At times it seemed like he was toying with hitters. The Bad: Because of his size and three-quarters slot, Sanchez doesn’t always have ideal plane/movement on the fastball. He didn’t miss as many bats as you’d expect given the stuff, although the top-line results were good. He doesn’t look like a starting pitcher, and he was treated with kid gloves as an 18-year-old in full-season ball, making 18 starts and throwing only 95 innings. He will cast the circle-change at times, and the breaking-ball range he shows might be inconsistent shape rather than purposeful manipulation. The Risks: Very high. You can’t quibble with the stuff or feel for pitching, but the Phillies have been very cautious with Sanchez so far. We don’t know how the frame will hold up deep into games/seasons. And while I prefer him to Anderson Espinoza at similar development points, one need only look at Espinoza’s lost 2017 to see that this can turn into a ball of chalk quite quickly. And even ignoring all that, he was an 18-year-old in A-ball. He could be 6-foot-4, 200 pounds and have thrown 120 innings and there would still be projection risk here. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There are many, many glowing things to say about Sanchez the prospect. Yet he remains a pitcher, and even the best pitching prospects in the low minors require plenty of cold water. Sanchez is one of the few arms in the minors with real SP1 upside, combining the type of strikeout and WHIP prowess that is only seen with the elite, but we’re four years away from even dreaming on that from a ETA and workload perspective. A lot can happen in four years.

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J.P. Crawford SS OFP: 60 Likely: 55 ETA: Debuted in 2017 2 Born: 01/11/95 Age: 23 Bats: L Throws: R Height: 6'2" Weight: 180 Origin: Round 1, 2013 Draft (#16 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 CLR A+ 20 95 15 1 0 1 8 14 9 5 2 .392/.489/.443 .369 15.1 .435 1.1 SS(20) 0.8 1.7 97 2015 REA AA 20 405 53 21 7 5 34 49 45 7 2 .265/.354/.407 .272 21.9 .289 1.0 SS(86) 6.8 3.1 106 2016 REA AA 21 166 23 8 0 3 13 30 21 5 3 .265/.398/.390 .283 11.7 .295 1.3 SS(36) 6.0 1.9 115 2016 LEH AAA 21 385 40 11 1 4 30 42 59 7 4 .244/.328/.318 .241 10.4 .284 2.1 SS(87) -3.2 0.7 98 2017 LEH AAA 22 556 75 20 6 15 63 79 97 5 4 .243/.351/.405 .265 28.0 .275 1.6 SS(113) -6.0, 3B(6) -0.7 2.0 101 2017 PHI MLB 22 87 8 4 1 0 6 16 22 1 0 .214/.356/.300 .263 3.2 .306 -0.2 3B(13) 2.3, SS(6) 0.4 0.6 94 2018 PHI MLB 23 534 65 20 3 14 59 66 106 5 2 .236/.333/.383 .253 20.6 .275 -0.6 SS 2 1.5 95 2019 PHI MLB 24 549 71 21 4 17 66 68 111 5 2 .245/.341/.414 .272 24.6 .283 -0.2 SS 2 2.9 95 Breakout: 2% Improve: 29% Collapse: 6% Attrition: 17% MLB: 51% Comparables: Greg Garcia, Daniel Robertson, Gavin Cecchini

The Good: Although he hasn’t banked a highlight reel of spectacular plays like we associate with Andrelton Simmons or Elvis Andrus, Crawford is quietly a potential plus-plus glove at the 6. He’s a smooth, rangy fielder with good instincts and a plus arm. The total package is better than the sum of any individual defensive tool. The Phillies worked him out at second and third in 2017, and he was excellent there as well—as you’d expect. At the plate, his 2017 struggles were greatly exaggerated, and once fully healthy, he ripped through the International League in July and August. Crawford finally showed flashes of taking his plus raw power into games, and if he can that more consistently, this ranking and role may be low. He shows a strong approach at the plate and an ability to adjust to pitchers from at-bat to at-bat. The Bad: Crawford works a lot of deep counts, by design, and with those come strikeouts, especially since the hit tool looks more like a 5 nowadays than our previous plus projections. We’ve waxed about his raw power for years, but it hasn’t shown up outside of 60 games or so last summer in Lehigh Valley. He’s still a plus runner, but he doesn’t always play like that on the bases. Crawford might just be a .250/.330/.330 hitter, which with that glove is a useful regular at shortstop, but not much more than that. The Risks: Crawford has already accrued major-league at-bats, and his plus-plus glove at short gives him a high floor. Whether the offensive contributions play as an OBP-driven .650 OPS or .750 OPS will determine the ultimate major-league outcome here. If you want to look for positive risk, you can find it. I still think a role 7 outcome is possible, especially if the raw power can find its way into games in the coming seasons. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: As much guff as Crawford has gotten in fantasy circles, he remains the top prospect in this system for our purposes. The plate discipline is still very strong, and there’s enough in every category to wishcast a top-ten shortstop (albeit a back-end one) capable of 15 homers and 15 steals. He’s like Xander Bogaerts if you forgot Bogaerts was supposed to have more thunder in his bat—just with a handful more walks and fewer hits.

Scott Kingery 2B OFP: 60 Likely: 55 ETA: 2018 3 Born: 04/29/94 Age: 24 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 5'10" Weight: 180 Origin: Round 2, 2015 Draft (#48 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 LWD A 21 282 43 9 2 3 21 18 43 11 1 .250/.314/.337 .251 7.4 .287 2.6 2B(65) 0.7 0.9 88 2016 CLR A+ 22 420 60 29 3 3 28 33 54 26 5 .293/.360/.411 .290 26.0 .334 1.6 2B(88) 7.7 3.5 99 2016 REA AA 22 166 16 7 0 2 18 5 36 4 2 .250/.273/.333 .220 -0.6 .306 1.9 2B(37) -1.4 -0.2 117 2017 REA AA 23 317 62 18 5 18 44 28 51 19 3 .313/.379/.608 .337 34.9 .324 2.7 2B(59) 1.7 4.0 104 2017 LEH AAA 23 286 41 11 3 8 21 13 58 10 2 .294/.337/.449 .269 9.8 .348 -1.2 2B(54) 0.9, 3B(4) 0.3 1.1 101 2018 PHI MLB 24 90 12 4 1 3 11 5 21 3 1 .253/.300/.434 .247 2.6 .295 0.3 2B 1 0.2 95 2019 PHI MLB 25 275 34 14 2 10 36 16 65 8 2 .252/.303/.439 .261 9.5 .296 1.0 2B 2 1.2 95 Breakout: 4% Improve: 18% Collapse: 5% Attrition: 24% MLB: 40% Comparables: Alen Hanson, Ryan Brett, Joey Wendle

The Good: The upper minors was always going to be a test for Kingery’s profile, and he passed it with flying colors in 2017. The high batting averages weren’t a surprise: He’s a potential plus hitter due to his above-average bat speed and short, line- drive swing. The power surge was a little more unexpected. The jet stream in Reading doesn’t hurt, but that by itself doesn’t explain going from 11 home runs in his first three seasons to 26 in 2017. There’s fringe-average power here now, and the swing and approach might let Kingery get to most of it in games. He’s a 70 runner who’s a capable second baseman and who can fake the left side of the infield in a pinch.

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The Bad: He’s pretty much second-base-only, and although it’s a nice offensive profile there, the total package isn’t particularly high ceiling. Kingery wouldn’t be the first Phillies prospect to fail to retain power gains in Double-A. There is a bit of stiffness in the swing, and seeing more consistent plus-or-better velo in the majors may make the hit tool play more to average. The Risks: Low. The most difficult thing to project is the major-league hit tool. We think Kingery has a plus one, but he wouldn’t be the first “potential above-average” hitter in the minors to be a below-average one against major-league arms. Even in that worst-case scenario, he has enough defensive flexibility and athletic tools to be a useful bench piece. On the positive side, he would be far from the first Punch-and-Judy middle infielder to suddenly find a little extra power socking the MLB baseball. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Few hitters have taken a larger step forward in dynasty league value over the last 12 months than Kingery, who went from being a boring, deeper league guy to a legitimate top-25 fantasy prospect. Speed has always been Kingery’s calling card, with the batting average not far behind, but if even some of the step forward in power is real, he could be a .280-15-25 hitter with middle infield eligibility. That’s a joy.

Jorge Alfaro C OFP: 60 Likely: 55 ETA: Debuted in 2016 4 Born: 06/11/93 Age: 25 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'2" Weight: 225 Origin: International Free Agent, 2010 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 FRI AA 22 207 22 15 2 5 21 9 61 2 1 .253/.314/.432 .250 5.5 .347 0.6 C(35) -0.3, 1B(1) 0.0 0.6 112 2015 PHL RK 22 6 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 .500/.667/.750 .498 1.9 .500 0.0 C(2) 0.0 0.2 96 2016 REA AA 23 435 68 21 2 15 67 22 105 3 2 .285/.325/.458 .268 20.9 .347 -1.5 C(95) 14.7 3.8 115 2016 PHI MLB 23 17 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 0 .125/.176/.125 .079 -2.5 .250 -0.1 C(4) -0.6 -0.3 86 2017 LEH AAA 24 350 34 13 2 7 43 16 113 1 1 .241/.291/.358 .233 4.0 .345 -1.4 C(77) 5.2 0.9 101 2017 PHI MLB 24 114 12 6 0 5 14 3 33 0 0 .318/.360/.514 .319 10.7 .420 -1.5 C(28) -2.4, 1B(2) 0.1 0.9 93 2018 PHI MLB 25 407 44 17 1 13 48 17 134 0 0 .232/.278/.384 .232 6.8 .318 -0.9 C -1 -0.1 95 2019 PHI MLB 26 425 50 18 1 16 53 22 141 0 0 .231/.285/.403 .246 6.7 .315 -1.0 C -4 0.3 95 Breakout: 9% Improve: 18% Collapse: 16% Attrition: 27% MLB: 42% Comparables: Max Stassi, Steven Hill, Anthony Recker

The Good: We just can’t quit Jorge Alfaro, who was seven at-bats short of graduating from this list. If you’re a longtime reader, you started hearing about Jorge Alfaro as Jason Parks’ backfields sleeper in the Rangers system, back when Parks worked with Kevin Goldstein. Now Parks and KG are winning World Series rings high up in MLB front offices, and Jorge Alfaro is a Phillie ... and we’re still ranking him on prospect lists. The profile hasn’t changed all that much since we first ranked him in 2012: plus-plus raw power, one of the best pure arms in the game, unusual speed and athletic ability for a catcher, good bat speed and overall hitting ability ... The Bad: ... a propensity to swing far too much, limiting the power and creating tons of swing-and-miss that really shouldn’t be there, and overall defensive value that isn’t anywhere close to where it should be given the athleticism and arm. We’ve been hoping for six years now that Alfaro would polish the rough spots out of his game to reach superstardom, and he’s done just enough as he’s advanced to remain both a catcher and roughly the same level of prospect without ever conquering the underlying problems. The reasonable window for what he is might be closing into a pretty narrow range between a decent yet flawed regular and a good player short of stardom. The Risks: The late rise of Gary Sanchez is proof-of-concept on why it would still, even now, be hasty to totally write off stardom for Alfaro entirely quite yet, but he turns 25 in June and time is not on his side. He did hit the ball really well in last year’s MLB trial. Catchers are weird, and Alfaro has already suffered leg injuries and concussions. His walk rates have been low enough that the OBP might not be pretty. —Jarrett Seidler Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Don’t let the prospect fatigue take you, Alfaro is still built for fantasy leagues. He won’t walk, but unless you’re in an OBP league, it won’t really matter.

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Adonis Medina RHP OFP: 60 Likely: 50 ETA: 2021 5 Born: 12/18/96 Age: 21 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'1" Weight: 185 Origin: International Free Agent, 2014 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 PHL RK 18 3 2 0 10 8 45¹ 42 1 2.4 6.9 35 55% .304 1.19 2.98 3.71 1.0 103 2016 WPT A- 19 5 3 0 13 13 64² 47 5 3.3 4.7 34 57% .214 1.10 2.92 6.92 -1.3 93 2017 LWD A 20 4 9 0 22 22 119² 103 7 2.9 10.0 133 49% .306 1.19 3.01 3.40 2.6 83 2018 PHI MLB 21 5 7 0 18 18 91 101 24 4.0 9.0 91 46% .321 1.55 6.03 6.75 -1.1 95 2019 PHI MLB 22 5 9 0 22 22 126² 132 32 3.5 9.0 127 46% .315 1.43 5.96 6.67 -1.3 95 Breakout: 1% Improve: 2% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 3% MLB: 3% Comparables: Robbie Ross, Jacob Faria, Edwin Escobar

The Good: Projection started to actualize as Medina moved into full-season ball in 2017. The velocity went from the low-90s and occasionally touching 95 to sitting 92-96 and scraping even higher. He largely junked his fringy curveball for a slider that grades as an easy future plus. His change flashes at least average, and there’s a great command profile and feel for pitching given his age. He was far too good for the Low-A level overall. The Bad: The change is still too firm and unlikely to miss many upper-level bats. He’s a little on the smallish and slightish side for a workhorse starting pitcher. These are pretty minor nitpicks on a well-rounded profile. The Risks: Really low for a pitcher that hasn’t made it out of Low-A yet, which also converts to medium-high in general because, hey, he’s a pitcher. He could give some of the velocity and slider gains back since pop-up gains like that don’t always stay up. —Jarrett Seidler Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There’s certainly SP3 upside here (with 200+ strikeout potential), but Low-A arms never make for the best bets in dynasty leagues. That said, you bet on the ability to miss bats and control his arsenal, of which Medina does both. The fact that he merited an honorable mention in the Dynasty 101 speaks volumes about how he compares to other low-minors pitchers.

Franklyn Kilome RHP OFP: 60 Likely: 50 ETA: Mid-2019 6 Born: 06/25/95 Age: 22 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'6" Weight: 175 Origin: International Free Agent, 2013 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 WPT A- 20 3 2 0 11 11 49¹ 41 1 3.8 6.6 36 57% .282 1.26 3.28 5.55 -0.2 97 2016 LWD A 21 5 8 0 23 23 114² 113 6 3.9 10.2 130 49% .346 1.42 3.85 3.98 1.4 91 2017 CLR A+ 22 6 4 0 19 19 97¹ 96 5 3.4 7.7 83 48% .325 1.37 2.59 4.76 0.6 96 2017 REA AA 22 1 3 0 5 5 29² 25 2 4.6 6.1 20 43% .267 1.35 3.64 4.29 0.3 105 2018 PHI MLB 23 6 8 0 21 21 103¹ 115 24 4.2 8.6 99 44% .327 1.58 5.74 6.42 -0.9 95 2019 PHI MLB 24 4 7 0 17 17 98¹ 110 23 4.0 8.5 93 44% .336 1.56 5.89 6.59 -0.9 95 Breakout: 4% Improve: 5% Collapse: 3% Attrition: 5% MLB: 9% Comparables: Justin Marks, Anthony Ranaudo, Ben Taylor

The Good: Kilome tossed 127 productive innings between High-A Clearwater and Double-A Reading in 2017, remaining relatively healthy throughout the season. His long, lanky frame has filled out a bit over the last couple of seasons, and he’s now featuring a heavy, sinking fastball that sits 93-95 mph (touching 96). In viewings in Reading, his curveball flashed average depth, but it showed signs of being a plus pitch when he was with Clearwater. He simply seemed a bit tired toward the end of the season after the promotion, which is understandable. Time is on Kilome’s side, as he doesn’t turn 23 until June. His goal in 2018 will be to cement the 12-to-6 curveball as a true plus offering, while trying to figure out whether the changeup or slider can develop into a usable pitch. The Bad: Kilome hasn’t quite figured out his body yet. The growth spurt over the past two seasons has meant plenty of adjustments. When he starts to fly open a bit, the fastball command disappears, and he’ll leave pitches up in the zone. And although it appears that the fastball-curveball combo could get him places in a bullpen, he’ll need to find at least an above- average changeup or slider to succeed as a starter. He isn’t quite there yet. The Risks: Kilome’s still a high-risk guy, although maybe not as extreme as last year. A lot of that is thanks to the fact that he remained healthy throughout the year, displayed a consistently plus fastball, and advanced to Double-A and didn’t look completely lost (and even got a postseason start at Triple-A for a depleted Lehigh Valley roster). As he continues to grow into his body, Kilome will need to repeat his delivery more consistently. If he doesn’t, he will be bound for the bullpen. —Victor Filoromo

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Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: The fact that the stats didn’t back up Kilome’s prospect profile in 2017 doesn’t make him a worse fantasy prospect than you thought, it just skews his risk/proximity placement. When he’s right, he’s still that future SP2. When he’s not, well, he looks like about as good a use of a roster spot as the second-best hitter on your town’s high school baseball team.

Arquimedes Gamboa SS OFP: 60 Likely: 50 ETA: 2020 7 Born: 09/23/97 Age: 20 Bats: B Throws: R Height: 6'0" Weight: 175 Origin: International Free Agent, 2014 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 PHL RK 17 206 23 7 3 0 16 15 50 8 2 .189/.252/.258 .184 -8.2 .257 1.5 SS(32) -2.2, 2B(18) 2.7 -0.8 103 2016 WPT A- 18 147 15 6 0 2 15 9 28 5 1 .200/.254/.292 .254 4.9 .235 0.0 SS(35) -0.4 0.5 96 2017 LWD A 19 350 44 12 3 6 29 33 52 8 0 .261/.328/.378 .282 25.1 .291 2.9 SS(79) -3.3 2.3 88 2018 PHI MLB 20 450 46 16 2 12 48 30 114 1 0 .216/.269/.352 .216 -1.0 .264 -0.6 SS -4 -0.8 95 2019 PHI MLB 21 357 42 13 2 12 42 27 90 1 0 .230/.290/.389 .240 3.9 .276 -0.4 SS -3 0.1 95 Breakout: 2% Improve: 13% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 3% MLB: 14% Comparables: Ruben Tejada, Amed Rosario, Orlando Arcia

The Good: There’s a crisp, smooth swing here from the left side of the plate and strong bat speed from both sides. After early struggles that were likely related to a lingering hamstring injury, Gamboa started dominating the South Atlantic League toward the end of the season, belting line drives every which way and looking like he’d solved pitching for the first time as a pro. Jeffrey described Gamboa as “out of central casting for teenage Venezuelan shortstop” last year, and that still very much applies now. He can really pick the ball at short compared to what you normally see at the level, and he’s an above-average runner at present as well. It’s an 80 name tool, even if nobody can decide whether his first name ends with an “s” or a “z.” The Bad: He missed several months early, and looked rusty and compromised upon his return. The present game power rates at a 30, although he’ll get up to fringe-average pop in batting practice and the body remains projectable. The right- handed swing isn’t nearly as good looking as the left-handed swing, and his splits show that, too. If you care about stats at extremely low levels of the minors, his 2015, 2016, and early-2017 hitting lines were all abominable. The Risks: Although there’s been substantial hitting projection since he signed in 2014, Gamboa hadn’t hit at all, anywhere, until the last six weeks of 2017, so it’s possible I just saw him a lot in the hottest run of his life. That hamstring injury that lingered for half the season is both an excuse for poor performance and a risk to recur. Although he’s already shortstop-capable, the physical projectability might cause him to outgrow the position; I’ve seen more than a few Low-A shortstops of this defensive quality end up as corners by Triple-A because the body went in a certain direction. —Jarrett Seidler Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: It’s a good thing there’s enough speed for him to potentially steal 15-20 bases down the road because that’s the best thing about his fantasy profile. If you’re still reading, you’re in a deep enough league for this type of Erick Aybar-lite profile to be valuable.

Jhailyn Ortiz RF OFP: 60 Likely: 50 ETA: 2021 8 Born: 11/18/98 Age: 19 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'3" Weight: 215 Origin: International Free Agent, 2015 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2017 WPT A- 18 187 27 15 1 8 30 18 47 5 1 .302/.401/.560 .335 16.6 .381 -1.7 RF(42) -5.6 1.1 102 2018 PHI MLB 19 450 49 16 1 15 52 29 144 2 1 .204/.266/.358 .220 -4.3 .273 -0.8 RF -5 -1.1 95 2019 PHI MLB 20 343 44 14 1 15 45 26 104 2 1 .228/.298/.420 .254 5.3 .289 -0.5 RF -4 0.2 95 Breakout: 0% Improve: 7% Collapse: 2% Attrition: 6% MLB: 13% Comparables: Nomar Mazara, Domingo Santana, Freddie Freeman

The Good: Phillies director of player development Joe Jordan said recently that he believes Ortiz has the highest ceiling of any player in the Phillies system. So are we underrating him here? Perhaps. The Phillies spent a chunk of change on Ortiz, pinning their hopes on the fact that they had found a guy who would show plus game power, a respectable arm, and a body that would play well in the outfield. He’s pretty much checked those boxes so far. Ortiz developed a better eye in 2017, to complement his prodigious raw power borne of impressive bat speed. He showed off an above-average arm in right field and more athleticism than you’d think for a guy his size. The Bad: Ortiz is risky because of his body, and he might not stick in the outfield despite the fact that he has the arm to play out there. His listed weight isn’t close to accurate—he’s probably closer to 250 than 215 at this point. While his plate discipline took a step forward last year, full-season ball will challenge his eye more than ever.

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The Risks: If the body falls apart and Ortiz has to move to first base, that would significantly raise the bar for contribution; the same is true if he can’t pick up major-league pitching and struggles to make contact. The risks are enormous, and as Ortiz faces better competition he’ll need to prove he’s not a future Chris Carter. —Victor Filoromo Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: If you know me, you know I am absolutely here for this kind of profile. A big body with big power and a discerning approach at the plate for his age, Ortiz could make enough contact eventually to be a power-laden OF2/3 with dreams of 30-plus homers, especially with the way Citizens Bank Park plays.

Mickey Moniak OF OFP: ? Likely: ? ETA: 2021 9 Born: 05/13/98 Age: 20 Bats: L Throws: R Height: 6'2" Weight: 185 Origin: Round 1, 2016 Draft (#1 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2016 PHL RK 18 194 27 11 4 1 28 11 35 10 4 .284/.340/.409 .265 9.0 .345 3.0 CF(30) 4.6, LF(2) 0.1 1.4 98 2017 LWD A 19 509 53 22 6 5 44 28 109 11 7 .236/.284/.341 .256 13.2 .292 -0.1 CF(115) -9.8 0.4 85 2018 PHI MLB 20 450 45 17 3 11 45 20 125 4 2 .215/.254/.348 .207 -4.7 .274 -0.5 CF -6 -1.4 95 2019 PHI MLB 21 298 32 12 2 8 33 16 80 3 2 .221/.269/.368 .227 -2.3 .277 -0.1 CF -5 -0.8 95 Breakout: 1% Improve: 3% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 2% MLB: 4% Comparables: Cedric Hunter, Carlos Tocci, Engel Beltre

The Good: Moniak has extremely good barrel control considering his age and the rest of the profile, and to the extent he kept his head above water in 2017, that’s how he did it. So there’s some hit tool potential here, even with all the problems we’ll rattle off below. He’s pretty athletic with a good body, although he won’t be confused with Jose Pujols any time soon. He’s an above-average runner down the line, and he has a decent shot to remain in center field all the way up the ladder. The Bad: [breathes in deeply] His swing is long, choppy, and frequently off-balance, and it led to a slap-happy game approach. In dozens of looks across the whole season as a prospect team, we can count on one hand the number of balls he barreled with force. He’s completely unable to identify pitches from lefties. He struggles horribly with spin. His over-the- fence power has been largely theoretical in games, and while it’s average in batting practice, it’s only average. Although he has the range necessary to be a good center fielder, his instincts and routes are not up to par for the position yet. His base- running instincts aren’t particularly good. Even his arm wasn’t as good as advertised. Just to top it all off, he looked gassed by the middle of the summer and staggered to the finish line as one of the worst regulars in the league. This is pretty much the definition of a lost season that doesn’t have an injury excuse tagged to it. So how much do we look back at the older scouting reports here? The Risks: It is a testament to our belief in an old Al Skorupa adage that someone smarter than you saw something to draft this dude first overall that we’re even ranking Moniak in the top ten at this point. We might as well throw a dart on grades: If he reverts to a 1-1 candidate type of form, he’s at least an OFP 60; if he doesn’t make very substantial progress, he’s not going to make it at all. —Jarrett Seidler Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: This was not the start to his pro career that those who spent high draft picks on Moniak last year were hoping for. That said, it’s not a good idea to give up on prospects with the kind of pedigree Moniak has in dynasty leagues after one season, no matter how rough it was. Clearly he’s a worse bet to be a fantasy producer now, but the OF3 upside that existed is still there somewhere. Then again, Tywin Lannister’s enemies didn’t know the Casterly Rock mines were empty until years later either.

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Daniel Brito 2B OFP: 60 Likely: 45 ETA: 2021 or 2022 10 Born: 01/23/98 Age: 20 Bats: L Throws: R Height: 6'1" Weight: 170 Origin: International Free Agent, 2015 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 DPH RK 17 257 33 10 3 0 19 35 22 8 9 .269/.383/.344 .320 19.2 .298 -2.2 SS(8) -1.9, 2B(7) 0.4 1.7 82 2016 PHL RK 18 215 35 10 5 2 25 21 27 7 2 .284/.355/.421 .291 15.3 .319 2.0 2B(47) -0.4 1.5 98 2017 LWD A 19 491 54 15 1 6 32 33 95 12 9 .239/.298/.318 .249 9.7 .290 1.7 2B(107) -3.6, SS(6) -0.1 0.6 86 2018 PHI MLB 20 450 47 16 1 11 45 28 113 4 3 .220/.271/.343 .214 -2.2 .270 -0.9 2B -1 -0.6 95 2019 PHI MLB 21 401 46 15 1 12 45 29 98 4 3 .231/.291/.378 .239 3.0 .279 -0.6 2B -1 0.3 95 Breakout: 7% Improve: 14% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 8% MLB: 15% Comparables: Adrian Cardenas, Jorge Polanco, Delino DeShields

The Good: There’s a really nice swing in here, one of those beautiful, lefty line-drive machines you can see rapping 150 hits every year in “The Show.” Brito has excellent bat speed, and has shown above-average raw power and occasional in-game pop despite being a Jeffrey Paternostro Jeans Buddy™. His defensive ability would be more than adequate for shortstop, as he has excellent range, soft hands, and a good arm, and frankly he is one of the better defensive second baseman in the minors already. The Bad: Don’t scout the stat line, but Brito was nearly as bad as Moniak at the same level. Like Moniak, he looked absolutely pooped by the time NFL teams started reporting for training camp. What were consistent showings of huge offensive and defensive upside earlier in the season became flashes of the same later on. Don’t underestimate the impacts of cultural adjustment, the minor-league grind, etc. on players like this. If there’s a long-term concern here, it’s that Brito is still very skinny and might continue to wear down moving forward. There are a lot of ways the body can go from here. The Risks: So much of that OFP is projection that hasn’t actualized yet that the risk is high even given a grade-and-a-half role spread. He’s young, precocious, and filled with tools, and he isn’t performing yet, which means this could go every which way at any given point in time. Joaquin Andujar’s favorite word applies here: you never know. —Jarrett Seidler Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: There’s a wide variety of fantasy outcomes here—though not as wide as Moniak’s on either the low or high end. If it works, it’s a batting-average-heavy profile, but with enough speed and power to keep things interesting for mixed leaguers, not too dissimilar from what we’ve seen out of Josh Harrison. Invest accordingly. The Next Ten (in alphabetical order)

Enyel De Los Santos RHP Born: 12/25/95 Age: 22 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'3" Weight: 170 Origin: International Free Agent, 2014 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 MRN RK 19 3 0 0 5 5 24² 24 1 1.8 10.6 29 60% .343 1.18 2.55 1.98 1.0 78 2015 EVE A- 19 3 0 0 8 8 37² 37 2 3.1 10.0 42 57% .365 1.33 4.06 2.97 1.0 106 2016 FTW A 20 3 2 0 11 7 52² 38 2 2.4 7.7 45 41% .242 0.99 2.91 3.93 0.6 102 2016 LEL A+ 20 5 3 0 15 15 68¹ 70 11 3.2 6.8 52 38% .291 1.38 4.35 7.06 -1.2 93 2017 SAN AA 21 10 6 0 26 24 150 131 12 2.9 8.3 138 45% .290 1.19 3.78 2.51 4.7 94 2018 SDN MLB 22 6 10 0 23 23 120² 120 27 3.7 9.0 120 43% .301 1.40 5.46 6.29 -0.9 90 2019 SDN MLB 23 5 8 0 20 20 119² 113 26 3.3 8.9 118 43% .297 1.31 5.16 5.95 -0.4 90 Breakout: 13% Improve: 21% Collapse: 4% Attrition: 18% MLB: 26% Comparables: Aaron Nola, Adam Wilk, Kyle Drabek

De Los Santos moved from a system loaded with arms, where he got lost in the shuffle to ... uh, another system loaded with arms, where he may get lost in the shuffle. His fastball sits plus and regularly bumps the mid-90s, and it generates a lot of late swings due to a deceptive and compact arm action given his size and lanky build. He adds in a potentially solid-average change and average curve—although the latter is a bit short and only flashes at present—and throws strikes with all of them. There isn’t a ton of upside here, but it’s a potential back-end arm in a system stuffed to the gills with pitching prospects.

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Seranthony Dominguez RHP Born: 11/25/94 Age: 23 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'1" Weight: 185 Origin: International Free Agent, 2011 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 PHL RK 20 1 1 0 2 1 7² 6 1 8.2 10.6 9 40% .263 1.70 2.35 6.20 0.0 97 2016 WPT A- 21 1 1 0 3 3 17 8 0 2.1 7.9 15 57% .170 0.71 2.12 3.30 0.4 114 2016 LWD A 21 5 2 0 10 10 48¹ 34 2 3.7 9.3 50 58% .271 1.12 2.42 3.83 0.7 91 2017 PHL RK 22 0 0 0 2 2 5¹ 5 0 6.8 11.8 7 57% .357 1.69 5.06 4.90 0.1 89 2017 CLR A+ 22 4 4 0 15 13 62¹ 51 6 4.3 10.8 75 45% .306 1.30 3.61 3.68 1.1 93 2018 PHI MLB 23 3 4 0 20 10 56 57 14 4.6 10.2 63 44% .318 1.53 5.78 6.48 -0.7 95 2019 PHI MLB 24 5 9 1 37 21 153² 145 36 4.3 10.2 174 44% .311 1.43 5.64 6.32 -1.1 95 Breakout: 10% Improve: 11% Collapse: 2% Attrition: 10% MLB: 16% Comparables: Dinelson Lamet, Steven Matz, Luke Jackson

Dominguez, a 2011 signee out of the Dominican Republic, can sit comfortably at 93-95 mph with his fastball, touching 97-98. He has flashed an above-average curveball, and it could be a future plus offering. The changeup isn’t a reliable enough third pitch yet, but it’s something he’ll definitely be working on quite a bit in 2018. A mid-May injury sidelined him for about two months, but the promise was there early in the season. He put up a pretty impressive line before the injury: 35 2/3 IP, 23 H, 13 BB, 45 K, and a 2.02 ERA, with opponents hitting .187/.268/.317 against him. He ended up throwing just 67 2/3 innings on the season, and his workload will be closely watched in 2018. He also tossed just 65 1/3 innings across two levels in 2016, so it’s about time to have a longer leash, so we can see what he can do. After all, despite the fact that he finished 2017 in High-A Clearwater, he has been with the Phillies for six seasons and is 23 years old. The Phillies are hoping to see Dominguez come alive in 2018, and if the changeup can become a go-to, he could shoot up these rankings next year and be looked at as a future back-end-of-the-rotation piece. —Victor Filoromo

Tom Eshelman RHP Born: 06/20/94 Age: 23 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'3" Weight: 210 Origin: Round 2, 2015 Draft (#46 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 AST RK 21 0 1 0 2 2 4 3 0 4.5 6.8 3 50% .250 1.25 4.50 3.98 0.1 81 2015 QUD A 21 0 0 0 2 2 6¹ 9 0 4.3 7.1 5 48% .429 1.89 4.26 4.62 0.0 106 2016 CLR A+ 22 4 2 0 11 11 59¹ 58 7 1.7 9.7 64 47% .311 1.16 3.34 1.94 2.4 104 2016 REA AA 22 5 5 0 13 13 61¹ 79 4 2.5 8.1 55 45% .373 1.57 5.14 4.22 0.6 120 2017 REA AA 23 3 0 0 5 5 29 27 6 1.6 6.8 22 36% .266 1.10 3.10 3.09 0.7 105 2017 LEH AAA 23 10 3 0 18 18 121 101 8 1.0 6.0 80 45% .255 0.94 2.23 1.28 5.8 99 2018 PHI MLB 24 6 8 0 20 20 111² 125 27 3.4 7.4 91 43% .309 1.49 5.84 6.51 -1.1 95 2019 PHI MLB 25 5 9 0 20 20 119¹ 128 28 3.2 7.1 95 43% .306 1.42 5.88 6.56 -1.2 95 Breakout: 22% Improve: 35% Collapse: 18% Attrition: 38% MLB: 60% Comparables: Tim Cooney, Adalberto Mejia, Adam Wilk

The Phillies knew what they were getting when they acquired Eshelman in the trade that sent Ken Giles to Houston two winters ago. He was the inverse riskwise of Mark Appel, who they also acquired. It has become clear now which pitcher is likelier to make it to the big club in 2018. Eshelman, who displays plus-plus control, put up cartoon-like strikeout-walk numbers at Cal State Fullerton before being drafted by the Astros in 2015. He began 2017 at Double-A Reading, then advanced to Triple-A Lehigh Valley early on in a roster shuffling/injury fill-in scenario. He never had to go back. Eshelman started 23 games and tossed 150 innings across two levels, walking just 18 batters while striking out 102. Nothing in his arsenal stands out as a plus offering, but the fastball sits a respectable 91-92 mph, and he can work it well throughout the zone. The changeup still looks like it will be his best secondary, though he continues to tinker with a curve and slider. Eshelman won’t wow anyone on the radar gun, but the guy just doesn’t walk anyone. He profiles well as a no. 5 starter and could be with the Phillies by the middle of 2018. —Victor Filoromo

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Adam Haseley LF Born: 04/12/96 Age: 22 Bats: L Throws: L Height: 6'1" Weight: 195 Origin: Round 1, 2017 Draft (#8 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2017 PHL RK 21 14 3 1 1 0 4 2 3 1 1 .583/.643/.833 .451 3.9 .778 0.1 CF(2) -0.4 0.3 105 2017 WPT A- 21 158 18 9 0 2 18 14 28 5 3 .270/.350/.380 .291 12.4 .321 2.6 CF(31) 0.1 1.3 101 2017 LWD A 21 74 15 3 1 1 6 6 13 0 1 .258/.315/.379 .296 6.1 .302 1.6 LF(12) 1.3, CF(4) 0.8 0.9 82 2018 PHI MLB 22 450 47 17 2 12 48 30 120 2 2 .221/.277/.359 .219 -2.2 .273 -1.0 LF 10 0.5 95 2019 PHI MLB 23 229 26 9 1 7 26 17 62 1 1 .224/.286/.376 .238 -0.2 .279 -0.4 LF 5 0.5 95 Breakout: 1% Improve: 7% Collapse: 1% Attrition: 7% MLB: 11% Comparables: Darrell Ceciliani, Roger Bernadina, Mason Williams

Let’s get something out of the way quickly: Haseley would’ve made almost any other top ten, and being the 11th- or 12th- best prospect in this system is no shame. Literally everyone on this top ten is in the 101 discussion. He’s down here because he was drafted based on the idea that he was an extremely advanced college hitter with a plus hit tool, and that just didn’t show up in our pro looks. Like Cornelius Randolph below, this was always going to be a more difficult profile than most for a top-ten pick, with fringe-average power and a bit of an uncertain defensive home, so any concern over said hit tool is a bit alarming. Don’t get too worked up here, because Haseley could just as easily have been sixth or seventh here as where he is, and he could come out rejuvenated (the college season itself can be long and draining) and make some noise in 2018. —Jarrett Seidler

Spencer Howard RHP Born: 07/28/96 Age: 21 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'3" Weight: 205 Origin: Round 2, 2017 Draft (#45 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2017 WPT A- 20 1 1 0 9 9 28¹ 22 0 5.7 12.7 40 48% .349 1.41 4.45 3.40 0.6 100 2018 PHI MLB 21 2 3 0 9 9 34¹ 34 7 5.0 10.6 40 40% .327 1.54 5.40 6.05 -0.2 95 2019 PHI MLB 22 5 9 0 29 29 177² 162 37 4.9 10.4 206 40% .314 1.46 5.46 6.12 -0.6 95 Breakout: 1% Improve: 3% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 4% MLB: 4% Comparables: Vincent Velasquez, Alex Colome, Roman Mendez

Howard, the Phillies second-round pick in 2017, was a draft-eligible sophomore with only one year under his belt as a starter in college. He has two potential above-average offerings in his fastball and slider, a full four-pitch mix, a frame built to log innings, and a relatively easy delivery—all the usual epithets I roll out when I am about to tell you someone is a potential fourth starter. Howard might have a little bit more in the tank than that if the changeup improves, but he could also easily find himself back in the ’pen, where the fastball/slider combo might tick up to more consistently plus. He dominated the New York-Penn League in his pro cameo, but you’d expect nothing less from a power righty that dominated the Big West conference as well. This year in Lakewood we will learn a bit more about where this profile is headed.

Francisco Morales RHP Born: 10/27/99 Age: 18 Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6'4" Weight: 185 Origin: International Free Agent, 2016 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2017 PHL RK 17 3 2 0 10 9 41¹ 34 1 4.4 9.6 44 44% .308 1.31 3.05 5.66 0.2 100 2018 PHI MLB 18 1 3 0 10 6 31² 37 10 6.2 9.0 32 43% .326 1.85 7.53 8.50 -1.1 95 2019 PHI MLB 19 2 7 0 16 14 94² 108 30 6.3 8.7 91 43% .325 1.84 8.01 9.04 -2.5 95 Breakout: 0% Improve: 0% Collapse: 0% Attrition: 0% MLB: 0% Comparables: Brad Keller, J.C. Ramirez, Felix Doubront

While Morales has good stuff, you also kind of expect it given his profile. This isn’t the Sixto Sanchez, Franklyn Kilome, or Adonis Medina low-money flier signs. Those players signed for a combined $145,000. Morales got $720,000, was a well-known commodity in Venezuela, and has the body you want to dream on. This isn’t to say that Morales won’t fail: They all can at some point. You just like your odds with this profile over others. Listed at 6-foot-4, 185 pounds, Morales looked larger than that, perhaps closer to 205, but played all of last season at 17, so suffice to say he is still projectable. He has easy arm speed, so while his fastball is currently 92-94 mph (touching 96), it is easy to see it sitting mid-90s and potentially becoming a 7 offering at peak. The breaking ball is also a solidified pitch, one that you don’t see a lot of at such a young age. An 82-85 breaking ball with hard depth, feel, and a plan is a good pitch whether you call it a curve, slider, or slurve. The change is firm and underdeveloped, but we have said that for a lot of teenagers, and it doesn’t matter much right now. What is holding him back is his control, which is to be expected from such a young player. It doesn’t hurt the profile, but it isn’t great now and would require a leap of faith to put a plus grade on it. But with so many other positives in his favor, that is a leap of faith I would take. —Steve Givarz

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Roman Quinn OF Born: 05/14/93 Age: 25 Bats: B Throws: R Height: 5'10" Weight: 170 Origin: Round 2, 2011 Draft (#66 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 REA AA 22 257 44 6 6 4 15 18 42 29 10 .306/.356/.435 .283 19.6 .360 6.2 CF(58) 3.2 2.5 107 2016 PHL RK 23 24 6 2 0 0 0 1 3 5 1 .500/.522/.591 .410 6.3 .579 1.7 CF(3) -0.1, LF(2) 0.0 0.6 100 2016 REA AA 23 322 58 14 6 6 25 30 68 31 8 .287/.361/.441 .278 24.5 .357 9.6 CF(62) -6.8, LF(4) -0.8 2.4 115 2016 PHI MLB 23 69 10 4 0 0 6 8 19 5 1 .263/.373/.333 .282 3.9 .395 0.8 LF(12) -0.1, RF(4) 0.1 0.5 87 2017 LEH AAA 24 197 24 8 3 2 13 18 49 10 4 .274/.344/.389 .260 10.0 .368 3.8 CF(38) -0.4, LF(4) -0.2 0.9 102 2018 PHI MLB 25 183 25 7 2 4 18 14 48 11 3 .250/.315/.390 .242 4.3 .317 1.3 CF -1, LF 1 0.2 95 2019 PHI MLB 26 305 36 11 3 9 35 25 84 18 6 .244/.314/.403 .255 9.1 .312 2.6 CF -1, LF 1 1.0 95 Breakout: 8% Improve: 43% Collapse: 6% Attrition: 35% MLB: 67% Comparables: Lorenzo Cain, Abraham Almonte, Roger Bernadina

Unfortunately, a damaged UCL in his non-throwing elbow shortened Quinn’s 2017 season. However, when healthy, he is probably the fastest prospect I have ever evaluated. Quinn uses his speed well on the bases and in the field. He is an above- average center fielder thanks to his athleticism, plus range, and a decent arm, while his reads and routes have improved. The development of his hit tool will likely determine whether he ends up as a fourth outfielder or regular in the Billy Hamilton mold. The switch-hitter displays good bat speed, works counts well, and is capable of using the whole field. On the other hand, he currently strikes out more than I would like (24.9 percent in 197 plate appearances with Lehigh Valley last season) and struggles to consistently drive the ball largely due to his contact-oriented swing. He shows more power from the left side and can turn singles into doubles with his speed. His hit tool will never blow you away, but it could play as average at the major-league level. At age 25, the clock is ticking. —Erich Rothmann

Cornelius Randolph LF Born: 06/02/97 Age: 21 Bats: L Throws: R Height: 5'11" Weight: 205 Origin: Round 1, 2015 Draft (#10 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG/OBP/SLG TAv VORP BABIP BRR FRAA WARP PF 2015 PHL RK 18 212 34 15 3 1 24 32 32 6 5 .302/.425/.442 .312 18.1 .362 1.3 LF(41) 0.5 1.8 102 2016 PHL RK 19 15 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 .077/.200/.077 .113 -2.1 .100 0.0 LF(5) -0.2 -0.2 98 2016 LWD A 19 276 33 12 1 2 27 26 57 5 4 .274/.355/.357 .296 16.4 .346 1.5 LF(53) 0.0 1.8 92 2017 CLR A+ 20 510 47 18 5 13 55 55 125 7 3 .250/.338/.402 .286 21.9 .316 -2.0 LF(108) -10.7 1.2 95 2018 PHI MLB 21 450 50 17 2 13 50 38 130 1 0 .223/.297/.372 .234 0.6 .289 -0.9 LF -3 -0.4 95 2019 PHI MLB 22 362 45 15 1 12 43 34 105 1 0 .229/.310/.400 .256 6.6 .296 -0.6 LF -2 0.5 95 Breakout: 2% Improve: 6% Collapse: 2% Attrition: 7% MLB: 13% Comparables: Ramon Flores, Jesse Winker, Andrew Lambo

The 21-year-old Randolph has bat speed, bat control, and an idea at the plate. He strikes out a bit, but he balances that with the ability to take a walk. Due to his bat speed and strong forearms, the lefty hitter also generates power (13 homers in his first full season) from a 5-foot-11, 205-pound frame. He has shown a propensity to hit the ball to all fields, which would seem to make him a good bet to hit for a good average, but it’s often in the air and rarely hard enough contact, which explains the batting average a bit. The defense isn’t good in left, but this was still a step in the right direct for Randolph, who was young for his level and battled injuries in 2016. There are still hints of a plus hit/plus power bat within Randolph’s profile, but he’ll need to come close to maxing out both of those to be an everyday player in left field. Javier— Barragan

JoJo Romero LHP Born: 09/09/96 Age: 21 Bats: L Throws: L Height: 6'0" Weight: 190 Origin: Round 4, 2016 Draft (#107 overall) YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2016 WPT A- 19 2 2 0 10 10 45² 44 2 2.2 6.1 31 58% .303 1.20 2.56 3.95 0.7 96 2017 LWD A 20 5 1 0 13 13 76² 61 2 2.5 9.3 79 60% .299 1.07 2.11 2.45 2.5 89 2017 CLR A+ 20 5 2 0 10 10 52¹ 43 2 2.6 8.4 49 52% .289 1.11 2.24 3.11 1.3 99 2018 PHI MLB 21 5 6 0 18 18 92² 96 19 3.4 9.1 94 48% .320 1.41 5.01 5.59 0.0 95 2019 PHI MLB 22 8 10 0 28 28 167² 161 32 3.1 9.2 172 48% .315 1.30 4.79 5.35 0.4 95 Breakout: 5% Improve: 8% Collapse: 3% Attrition: 11% MLB: 12% Comparables: Jordan Walden, Will Smith, Jarred Cosart

Overlooked because of the other higher-ceiling arms in the lower levels of the Phillies system (Sixto, Medina, Dominguez), the 6-foot, 190-pound lefty had a tremendous 2017 season split between Low- and High-A ball. While shorter than the average major league starter, Romero is built well and shows great athleticism, which allows him to keep his stuff and above-average command deep into starts. The pure stuff doesn’t wow you, as Romero sits 90-91 mph (touching 92), with flashes of an above- average slider and major-league changeup. He’ll throw in a below-average curveball every now and again, but Romero is a three-pitch guy whose stuff plays much better at the lower levels of the minors. However, what really intrigues me about the

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21-year-old’s long-term starting potential is that he shows advanced pitchability and command for his age. Romero made hitters in the South Atlantic League look silly by working both sides of the plate with his three primary offerings, using a compact, athletic, and repeatable delivery to consistently fool hitters multiple times through the lineup. Romero didn’t make the top ten of this list because of his height and lack of dominant stuff, but his advanced command, pitchability, and confident demeanor on the mound give him a real good chance to break into the big leagues as a starter. —Greg Goldstein

Ranger Suarez LHP Born: 08/26/95 Age: 22 Bats: L Throws: L Height: 6'1" Weight: 180 Origin: International Free Agent, 2012 YEAR TEAM LVL AGE W L SV G GS IP H HR BB/9 K/9 K GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA WARP PF 2015 PHL RK 19 3 0 0 6 4 27² 15 0 1.3 6.5 20 71% .200 0.69 0.65 2.38 1.0 106 2016 WPT A- 20 6 4 0 13 13 73² 61 4 2.9 6.5 53 53% .260 1.15 2.81 4.78 0.4 98 2017 LWD A 21 6 2 0 14 14 85 52 4 2.5 9.5 90 58% .233 0.89 1.59 1.52 3.7 84 2017 CLR A+ 21 2 4 0 8 8 37² 43 1 2.6 9.1 38 50% .382 1.43 3.82 3.16 0.9 93 2018 PHI MLB 22 5 6 0 17 17 92² 96 20 3.5 9.0 93 49% .315 1.43 5.24 5.85 -0.2 95 2019 PHI MLB 23 8 11 0 27 27 164 157 35 3.2 9.1 166 49% .305 1.32 5.16 5.76 -0.2 95 Breakout: 6% Improve: 17% Collapse: 5% Attrition: 12% MLB: 23% Comparables: Domingo German, Collin Balester, Adam Wilk

Coming into 2017, Suarez was an extreme command-and-control, soft-tossing lefty who had yet to make his full-season debut five seasons into his pro career. A nice bump in velocity got him into the low-90s, and he has the usual array of average off-speed junk for this profile, led by a change. As with Romero—who in many ways Suarez is a slightly lesser version of, despite their much different backgrounds—this kind of profile tends to make A-ball hitters look silly, as Suarez did at both full-season levels. Double-A should provide a stronger test and begin to tell us whether Suarez is a mid-rotation prospect, a back-end starter prospect, or a member of Future LOOGYs of Major League Baseball. No matter which way the tide turns, he has a pretty good chance to be pitching in the majors for awhile. —Jarrett Seidler Friends in Low Places

Jonathan Guzman, SS, Complex-Level GCL

The Phillies are among the best in baseball at identifying good Latin American prospects for under $100,000. Guzman is the latest in their pipeline of scouting finds. He projects as an average-or-better glove at short—the defense is already quite advanced—and there’s a strong approach and above-average bat speed lurking in the profile as well. The development horizon here is long, but there’s a potential everyday shortstop with a balanced profile on both sides of the ball and maybe a bit more pop than you’d guess from looking at him. A Second Opinion Daniel Brito was the better middle-infield prospect in Lakewood. Even though there’s a ton of arm talent in the lower levels of the Phillies farm, I was intrigued by the debate the prospect team had about two middle infielders who spent all of the 2017 season at Low-A Lakewood. Daniel Brito came into the year as the more hyped infielder on the roster, but by season’s end he was clearly outshined by the team’s shortstop, Arquimedez Gamboa, who is four months older than and now ranked three spots above Brito. I was able to see both in a series back in June, and even though Gamboa was reported as much healthier late in the summer, I’m still a much firmer believer in Brito’s potential with the stick, which for me, would have kept him above Gamboa even considering the poor year he had. There’s no question that Gamboa shows more maturity for his age and looks to have the makings of a plus defender at short. In addition, the bat really came around in the second half of the season, while Brito looked tired and overmatched by Low-A pitching. Still, Brito was just a teenager still growing into his body, which makes me think it is a little too soon to start to favor a guy like Gamboa long term over the young second baseman. Brito shows a ton of physicality, bat speed, leverage, and raw power behind the stroke to make you think he can develop into an intriguing middle infielder that can hit for both power and average. At the moment, he is just struggling to stay composed and hone all of his natural ability in the box. Gamboa, on the other hand, strikes me as a contact hitter who has little in the way of power. The swing is rather linear, and while he shows loose hands and an ability to hit the ball to all fields, he doesn’t strike me as a guy that’s going to make a real difference with the bat at the major-league level. This isn’t to say that the value he brings on the dirt is irrelevant, but it does not give me enough reason to see him as having comparable long-term potential to a player like Brito, who shows more physical tools and the ability to drive the baseball.

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I’ll usually lean more toward upside, and Brito has everything you want from a surefire middle-infield bat who has the ability to give pitchers problems in a variety of ways. Even after a down season, Brito’s raw tools are still too evident to make me jump ship for a lower ceiling player like Gamboa at the moment. —Greg Goldstein Top Talents 25 and Under (born 4/1/92 or later)

1. Aaron Nola 2. Rhys Hoskins 3. Sixto Sanchez 4. J.P. Crawford 5. Nick Williams 6. Scott Kingery 7. Jorge Alfaro 8. Adonis Medina 9. Vincent Velasquez 10. Maikel Franco

Aaron Nola would’ve grabbed this year’s top spot even without the graduation of incumbent Odubel Herrera. That’s not a knock on Herrera, who turned in a third relatively identical above-average season as the Phillies’ center fielder, but rather praise of Nola, already a very good starter on the precipice of a breakout into one of baseball’s elite. He won’t beat you with extreme gas like so many of the other arms in this system, but the curve is something special, and he could break into the ace discussion at any time. Let it be known that if Rhys Hoskins had pulled his hamstring on September 15 or so and ended up just-eligible for our prospect lists, he’d have certainly had my vote to rank first in the system and very high on the 101. The narrative is already set that we all overlooked Hoskins for too long—and we probably did, and will probably do it again with the next guy of his type—but we also didn’t get a chance to re-rank him once it became obvious that his game power was in no way illusory. In any event, Hoskins slides down here now, and only a belief that Nola might be a true ace by the end of 2018 keeps him from being at the top of one of our most loaded 25U lists. He might “only” settle in as a 30- to 40-home-run guy annually, and he might “only” hit for an average that starts with a 2, but he could also just be Mark McGwire, in which case I’ll look stupid no matter what. He should be great fun for the Philadelphia faithful well into the 2020s. We were perhaps the last few guys and gals on the planet left on the Nick Williams bandwagon here at BP, so forgive a small victory lap on his initial MLB adjustments. He’s never going to run the best routes, and he’s never going to walk enough to satisfy all his critics, but he’s some kind of natural hitter. Hanging onto the bottom of the list are a pair of 25-year-old talents that might best be described as “mercurial.” When Vincent Velasquez is right he has every bit the talent of Nola and Sanchez, but his huge stuff is constantly compromised by arm injuries. Given that he’s also prone to high pitch counts and fatigue, one wonders why the Phillies haven’t tried the bullpen out yet for him. Maikel Franco, on the other hand, has been healthy and bad. He still possesses all the power and bat speed that made him a top prospect a few years ago and briefly an integral part of the Phillies lineup after that. Yet his propensity for swing-and-miss—and also bad, weak-contact swings—has tanked out his ability to get on base. He has been testing the bounds of how low a BABIP can go the past few years, so even just natural bounce-back there should turn him back into a promising regular. —Jarrett Seidler

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