Strategic Politicians, Partisan Roll Calls, and the Tea Party: Evaluating the 2010 Midterm Elections
Electoral Studies 32 (2013) 26–36 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Electoral Studies journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/electstud Strategic politicians, partisan roll calls, and the Tea Party: Evaluating the 2010 midterm elections Jamie L. Carson a,*, Stephen Pettigrew b a University of Georgia, 104 Baldwin Hall, Athens, GA 30602-1615, USA b Harvard University, Department of Government, 1737 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA article info abstract Article history: The 2010 midterm elections were politically and historically significant in several respects. Received 14 September 2011 This article offers a concise narrative of the congressional elections beginning with Received in revised form 8 August 2012 a discussion of the factors influencing the outcome of the historic election. We briefly Accepted 22 August 2012 consider established research on congressional elections and analyze the degree to which these theories apply to the specific circumstances in 2010. Throughout the article, we Keywords: compare the 2010 midterms to two other recent elections, 2006 and 2008. We also Congressional elections examine several idiosyncratic aspects of the 2010 elections, relative to the historic Midterms Strategic politicians midterm elections of 1994 and 2006, as well as the effects of the stimulus and healthcare fi Tea Party reform bills and the Tea Party movement. We nd strong effects for member votes on the individual roll calls, but little evidence of Tea Party influence on electoral outcomes. Ó 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. The 2010 midterms will likely go down as one of the economic conditions and changes in presidential approval. most historic elections in the modern era.
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