Thursday, Feb. 26, 1998 • Volume 4, Number 14 Page 1of8

••••• .•• • •. ..• t x blame scenario I •••• • ... THE --·:=w-=-·- ay just find cynics Vot r apathy may defuse any party advantage HOWEYT INDIANAPOLIS - Ladies and gentleman, start your blaming! When the does its sine die later eek, it will likely come without any dent in the $1.6 billion sur­ plus t at we would consider a tax cut. POLITICAL So, the $64,000 political question is in the split 50/50 cham- ber, w o gets blamed? The short answer is, everybody. And the long answer is, perhaps, nobody. REPORT And in the 18 general election seats we are tracking, HPR sees eight of those seats leaning Democratic, six leaning Republican and The Howey Political Report is published 40 times a year by NewsLink, Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is four toss-up seats currently held by three Democrats and one an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the political Republican.At this stage in February, it would be easy to assume that process in Indiana .. the current wrangling over the Democratic $100 rebate plan and the Brian A. Howey GOP's permanent property tax relief plan might cast a long shadow editor and publisher over these competitive fall campaigns. HPR's forecast is that one race - a Republican primary battle The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 POBox20877 Fax: 317-254-2405 in the House District 22 between Rep. Bill Ruppel and Wabash bho;:;[email protected] County Commissioner Briafl H:i1tp('rt - might be directly impacted by leaving the $1.6 billion surplus intact. Haupert began his cam­ Washington office: 202-775-3242 paign by insisting that voters were tired of the legislature not enact­ Daytime number: 317-254-2400,Ext273 ing the will of the people (See page 3). NewsLink Home Page: http://www.inoffice.com/hpr Other than that race, virtually all public opinion surveys reveal little voter animosity toward incumbents."It will be old news Subscriptions: $250 annually via fax or first class by next fall:' declared Indiana Republican Chairman Mike McDaniel. mail Call subscription office at 317-254-1533. "The problems with the tax plans are so complicated that it will be © 1998, The Howey Political Report. All rights reserved. only a 10-day story.By next fall, it will boil down to individual House Photocopying, faxing or reproducing in any form, in whole or in races. Those districts will take on issues of their own in the fall:' part, is a violation offederal law and is strictly prohibited without consent of the publisher. Yet, McDaniel hardly disguises his disgust in the fact that none of the surplus is being returned to voters. "How can you have that kind of a surplus and not give some of it back?"he asked. Continued on page 2 ((QUOTE" OF THE WEEK INSIDE FEATURES

"Whether Iwould pass ... Ithink I could.But if I • Play of the Week: 58 uncontested seats page2 couldn't, I'd want some tutoring.I'd definitely get •Bob Lang: One last look at the $100 rebate page 3 some remediation ... :" • Horse Race: 24 House races handicapped pages 3-6 - Gov. Frank O'Bannon, answering an Evansville • Columnists: Smith, Kitchell, Riley, Barnes page 7 Reitz HS student n whether he could pus ISTEP­ • Perhaps We Wander: Bayh in Hamilton County page 8 Plus, In the Evansville Courier Thursday, Feb. 26, 1998 Page 2 of 8

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L __~-~-~,,~IIllill ....[~~==~=~~==.-.:=~-~-- every corner of Indiana if we make this move:' Taxes, from page 1 TiiCKI~l~ Borst told the Assoc 1atcd Press. "Because the If that kind of voter animosi1ty rears up, General Assembly me11:ts in 1999, there would be T A P E it's hard to tell who it would bene,C.t. enough debate tn aor~ it vut~ 111"' I' I . I. ~!d •• The Democratic $100 rebate plm wa;; a The problem wi1h Borst's analysis is that 1 populist move !hat won initial rave re ~ .. ews I ;ut with 58 uncontested House and Senate races - • PLAY OF THE WEEK: !:uiiana citizens, who because of the most political observers knew the RepL1blic.rns including virtually aI. · eats in South Bend, could never support a plan that wouk lmve current legislative dist1rictin!J, Evansville and Gary - :J1,ere won't be any signifi­ left a total of 58 Ho1us1! and checks dumping into mailboxes with Gov. Pnmk cant debate at all in ·hn:.e major urban areas. Senate seats uncontesl:1!d out O'Bannon's signature on them just weEl