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Model Development Manual Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 (OCTM-2013) MODEL DEVELOPMENT MANUAL Prepared by: Stantec Consulting Services Inc. In Association With: Gallop Corporation Amercom March 31, 2015 Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 This Page Is Intentionally Left Blank Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 "The preparation of this report has been financed in part by the U.S. Department of Transportation, North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority, Inc., Federal Transit Administration and the Federal Highway Administration. This document is disseminated under the sponsorship of the U.S. Department of Transportation in the interest of information exchange. The United States Government assumes no liability for its contents or its use thereof.” Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 This Page Is Intentionally Left Blank Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................................1.1 1.1 Organization of the Report .......................................................................................... 1.2 2.0 TRAFFIC ANALYSIS ZONES AND SOCIOECONOMIC DATA .......................................2.1 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 2.1 2.2 Traffic Analysis Zones System ........................................................................................ 2.2 2.3 Socioeconomic Data ................................................................................................... 2.5 3.0 DATA COLLECTION AND SOURCES ............................................................................3.1 3.1 2010-2011 NJTPA-NYMTC RHTS Data ........................................................................... 3.1 3.2 Traffic count data .......................................................................................................... 3.3 3.3 Transit Ridership Data .................................................................................................... 3.7 4.0 HIGHWAY NETWORK DEVELOPMENT ..........................................................................4.1 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 4.1 4.2 Physical/Operational Variables ................................................................................... 4.1 4.2.1 Facility Type .................................................................................................. 4.2 4.2.2 Area Type ..................................................................................................... 4.3 4.2.3 Link Type ........................................................................................................ 4.3 4.2.4 Number of Lanes ......................................................................................... 4.5 4.2.5 Traffic Control Devices ................................................................................ 4.5 4.2.6 Toll Variables ................................................................................................. 4.6 4.2.7 Speed and Capacity Estimation ............................................................. 4.10 4.3 Identification and Performance Variables .............................................................. 4.12 5.0 HIGHWAY PATH-BUILDING .........................................................................................5.1 5.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 5.1 5.2 Highway Path Building Process .................................................................................... 5.1 5.3 Mode Specific Path Building ........................................................................................ 5.2 5.4 Intrazonal Time Estimation ............................................................................................ 5.3 5.5 Skim Files For Mode Choice.......................................................................................... 5.3 6.0 TRANSIT NETWORK DEVELOPMENT .............................................................................6.1 6.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 6.1 6.2 Transit Network Components ....................................................................................... 6.1 6.2.1 Transit Network Modes ................................................................................ 6.1 6.2.2 Transit Network Elements ............................................................................ 6.3 6.2.3 Transit Route Coding ................................................................................... 6.4 6.2.4 Transit Access Coding ................................................................................. 6.4 6.2.5 Transit Use Codes ......................................................................................... 6.5 6.2.6 Transit Network/Highway Network Integration ........................................ 6.6 6.2.7 Transit Fare .................................................................................................... 6.8 7.0 TRANSIT PATH-BUILDING .............................................................................................7.1 7.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 7.1 7.2 Mode Hierarchy ............................................................................................................. 7.1 i Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 7.3 Path-Building Parameters ............................................................................................. 7.1 7.4 Transit Fare Estimation ................................................................................................... 7.5 8.0 COMPOSITE IMPEDANCE ESTIMATION .......................................................................8.1 8.1 Composite Impedance Term Development ............................................................. 8.1 8.2 Composite Impedance Variables .............................................................................. 8.2 8.3 Composite Impedance Application Issues ............................................................... 8.3 9.0 MODEL CALIBRATION .................................................................................................9.1 9.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 9.1 9.2 Trip Generation .............................................................................................................. 9.1 9.3 Trip Distribution ............................................................................................................... 9.4 9.4 Mode Choice ............................................................................................................... 9.14 9.5 Highway Assignment ................................................................................................... 9.17 9.6 Transit Assignment Calibration ................................................................................... 9.24 10.0 ADDITIONAL FEATURES ..............................................................................................10.1 10.1 Seasonal Model ........................................................................................................... 10.1 10.2 Critical Locations And Future Years Forecast .......................................................... 10.9 ii Model Development Manual – Ocean County Transportation Model 2013 March 31, 2015 LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1 The NJRTM-E and OCTM TAZ Comparison............................................................. 2.4 Table 2.2 The Socioeconomic Data by MCD ........................................................................ 2.5 Table 2.3 SED Growth Rate by MCD ....................................................................................... 2.6 Table 3.1 RHTS Sample Size for Ocean County ..................................................................... 3.2 Table 3.2 Traffic Count Locations from Ocean County ....................................................... 3.3 Table 3.3 Traffic Count Locations from JBRTMS and Lakewood Studies ............................ 3.4 Table 3.4 Additional Traffic Count Locations ......................................................................... 3.5 Table 3.5 Turning Movement Count Locations...................................................................... 3.5 Table 3.6 Ocean Ride Transit Routes ...................................................................................... 3.7 Table 3.7 The 2010 Bus Ridership Data .................................................................................... 3.7 Table 4.1 Uncongested Speed by Facility Type and Area Type ....................................... 4.10 Table 4.2 Initial Hourly Capacity per Lane ........................................................................... 4.11 Table 5.1 Highway Path-Building Impedance Variables ..................................................... 5.2
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